Speaker: Ted Buehner, Warning Coordination Meteorologist, National Weather Service (NWS)
This session will introduce how the National Weather Service (NWS) partners with the emergency
management community throughout the Pacific Northwest, focused on the joint mission of protection of
life and property. The material to be covered includes an understanding of NWS operations, products
and services, terminology, joint warning message dissemination, Pacific Northwest weather hazards, and
all-hazards weather support, all meeting the needs and requirements of the emergency management
community 24/7. Ted Buehner, Warning Coordination Meteorologist, National Weather Service (NWS)
This session will introduce how the National Weather Service (NWS) partners with the emergency
management community throughout the Pacific Northwest, focused on the joint mission of protection of
life and property. The material to be covered includes an understanding of NWS operations, products
and services, terminology, joint warning message dissemination, Pacific Northwest weather hazards, and
all-hazards weather support, all meeting the needs and requirements of the emergency management
community 24/7.
Speakers: Cynthia Gardner, Research Geologist, U.S. Geological Survey
Carolyn Dreidger, Hydrologist/Outreach Coordinator ; The 18 May 1980 eruption of Mount St. Helens awoke the Pacific Northwest to the reality that
Cascade volcanoes erupt with significant consequences to communities downstream and
downwind. What will you need to know when your community‟s backyard volcano showed
signs of unrest? Do you know how you will be alerted? What kind of information you will
receive? What hazards may confront you and for how long? At what point will you be required
to make decisions? What are the sources of uncertainty during volcanic unrest and eruption?
This session is intended as a dialogue between volcano scientists and emergency managers,
infrastructure managers, and the business community. Scientists will present basic information
about Cascade volcanoes, the hazards they pose, timescales of eruptive unrest and activity, the
USGS alert-level system, and uncertainties in forecasting eruptive events.
Getting the Most From Weather Data - Daniel Pearson, Mark Lenz, Nelun Fernand...TWCA
TWCA Fall Conference 2019 - (helpful links below)
USGS Links:
Water Alert - https://maps.waterdata.usgs.gov/mapper/wateralert/
National Water Information System: Web Interface - https://waterdata.usgs.gov/tx/nwis/current?type=flow
Water Services - https://waterservices.usgs.gov/
Texas Water Dashboard - https://txpub.usgs.gov/txwaterdashboard
NWS Austin/San Antonio - weather.gov/sanantonio
TWDB Links:
Water Data for Texas – https://waterdatafortexas.org/
Flood viewer - https://map.texasflood.org/#/
TexMesonet - https://www.texmesonet.org/
LCRA Hyrdromet - hydromet.lcra.org
Speakers: Cynthia Gardner, Research Geologist, U.S. Geological Survey
Carolyn Dreidger, Hydrologist/Outreach Coordinator ; The 18 May 1980 eruption of Mount St. Helens awoke the Pacific Northwest to the reality that
Cascade volcanoes erupt with significant consequences to communities downstream and
downwind. What will you need to know when your community‟s backyard volcano showed
signs of unrest? Do you know how you will be alerted? What kind of information you will
receive? What hazards may confront you and for how long? At what point will you be required
to make decisions? What are the sources of uncertainty during volcanic unrest and eruption?
This session is intended as a dialogue between volcano scientists and emergency managers,
infrastructure managers, and the business community. Scientists will present basic information
about Cascade volcanoes, the hazards they pose, timescales of eruptive unrest and activity, the
USGS alert-level system, and uncertainties in forecasting eruptive events.
Getting the Most From Weather Data - Daniel Pearson, Mark Lenz, Nelun Fernand...TWCA
TWCA Fall Conference 2019 - (helpful links below)
USGS Links:
Water Alert - https://maps.waterdata.usgs.gov/mapper/wateralert/
National Water Information System: Web Interface - https://waterdata.usgs.gov/tx/nwis/current?type=flow
Water Services - https://waterservices.usgs.gov/
Texas Water Dashboard - https://txpub.usgs.gov/txwaterdashboard
NWS Austin/San Antonio - weather.gov/sanantonio
TWDB Links:
Water Data for Texas – https://waterdatafortexas.org/
Flood viewer - https://map.texasflood.org/#/
TexMesonet - https://www.texmesonet.org/
LCRA Hyrdromet - hydromet.lcra.org
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice 24-28 August 2014 in Davos, Switzerland
Disaster management refers to the systematic approach and set of actions taken to prepare for, respond to, and recover from natural or man-made disasters. It involves a range of activities aimed at minimizing the impact of disasters on communities, infrastructure, and the environment, and ensuring the safety and well-being of affected populations.
The Benin's Arnaud Zannou shared this presentation in the recent UNDP Last Mile Conference in Zambia.
Climate information and early warning systems can save lives, improve livelihoods and build resiliency across Africa. In order to seize this opportunity, timely, accurate and actionable weather and climate information must be delivered from data collection and creation sources across the “Last Mile” to uninformed and vulnerable end-users.
In this innovation-driven multi-country workshop, experts on cutting-edge technology, communications, public-private partnerships, meteorology and sustainable development will come together to explore new pathways to move from the collection of data to its application, with the end goal of creating actionable recommendations that UNDP-supported climate-information programmes can leverage to impact lives and build sustainability. For this to happen, national weather information services should not only have access to modern weather observation technologies and forecast information, but they must also be able to communicate and apply the content derived from these systems to those in need.
Every thunderstorm produces lightning. In the United States, an average of 300 people are injured and 80 people
are killed each year by lightning. Although most lightning victims survive, people struck by lightning often report a
variety of long-term, debilitating symptoms. Other dangers associated with thunderstorms include tornadoes, strong
winds, hail and flash flooding…
“A disaster can be defined as any occurrence that cause damage, ecological disruption, loss of human life, deterioration of health and health services on a scale, sufficient to warrant an extraordinary response from outside the affected community or area”. World Health Organization (WHO)
“A disaster can be defined as an occurrence either nature or man made that causes human suffering and creates human needs that victims cannot alleviate without assistance”. American Red Cross (ARC)
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice 24-28 August 2014 in Davos, Switzerland
Disaster management refers to the systematic approach and set of actions taken to prepare for, respond to, and recover from natural or man-made disasters. It involves a range of activities aimed at minimizing the impact of disasters on communities, infrastructure, and the environment, and ensuring the safety and well-being of affected populations.
The Benin's Arnaud Zannou shared this presentation in the recent UNDP Last Mile Conference in Zambia.
Climate information and early warning systems can save lives, improve livelihoods and build resiliency across Africa. In order to seize this opportunity, timely, accurate and actionable weather and climate information must be delivered from data collection and creation sources across the “Last Mile” to uninformed and vulnerable end-users.
In this innovation-driven multi-country workshop, experts on cutting-edge technology, communications, public-private partnerships, meteorology and sustainable development will come together to explore new pathways to move from the collection of data to its application, with the end goal of creating actionable recommendations that UNDP-supported climate-information programmes can leverage to impact lives and build sustainability. For this to happen, national weather information services should not only have access to modern weather observation technologies and forecast information, but they must also be able to communicate and apply the content derived from these systems to those in need.
Every thunderstorm produces lightning. In the United States, an average of 300 people are injured and 80 people
are killed each year by lightning. Although most lightning victims survive, people struck by lightning often report a
variety of long-term, debilitating symptoms. Other dangers associated with thunderstorms include tornadoes, strong
winds, hail and flash flooding…
“A disaster can be defined as any occurrence that cause damage, ecological disruption, loss of human life, deterioration of health and health services on a scale, sufficient to warrant an extraordinary response from outside the affected community or area”. World Health Organization (WHO)
“A disaster can be defined as an occurrence either nature or man made that causes human suffering and creates human needs that victims cannot alleviate without assistance”. American Red Cross (ARC)
Similar to Partners in Weather Preparedness – Basic (20)
Speaker: Ron Kamps, Manager of Business Continuity, Office Security and Risk Management for
the Agency Markets Division of Liberty Mutual
Presentation will walk audience through the recent changes in Business Continuity from an insider and
outsider perspective. Presentation will show how mainstream Business Continuity has become through
the use of media, reporting, jobs and advertising. Audience will score their own program and learn from
speaker and audience members of what has changed, why and what is working with other company
programs.
William Moorehead, President, All Clear Emergency Management Group
Using situational analysis, participants will learn to identify common legal issues in emergency
management and how to enhance response through agreements. This session will examine common
legal issues encountered within emergency management and emergency response including liability and
the formation of mutual aid agreements. The audience will analyze hypothetical scenarios and news
stories to identify potential liability issues. The session will highlight the challenges and barriers to
implementing agreements, benefits of prepositioned contracts, and the importance of putting agreement
in place now before they are needed. The goals of the session are to review the fundamentals of
liability, examine common legal issues, discuss best practices, and analyze situations common in
emergency management.
Speaker: Kathryn Koelemay, Medical Epidemiologist, Public Health – Seattle & King County
All hospitals should be prepared to receive pediatric patients in a mass casualty incident and to provide
appropriate short-term acute care and more definitive management, depending upon the nature of the emergency and the extent of its impact on the region. Hospitals of the King County (WA) Healthcare
Coalition are in the process of implementing a regional pediatric disaster response plan, with the goal of
providing consistent, efficient and age-appropriate medical care to pediatric patients at every County
hospital with emergency services in an MCI that involves children. Our “pediatric toolkit,” which was
recognized as a 2010 NACCHO Model Practice winner, suggests guidelines for development of the
hospital‟s pediatric response plan. The regional plan also includes countywide adoption of a color-
coding system based on a length-based resuscitation tape to expedite accurate medication and equipment
deployment.
Speaker: Dick Bower, Building/Fire Safety/Emergency Management Director, City of Gig Harbor
Lack of coordination between members of the emergency management community adversely affects our
ability to protect citizens. While a host of federal, state and local sources provide the emergency
management community with guidance through the four phases of emergency management, such
guidance falls short of emphasizing the full value of an established multi-agency coordination (MAC)
entity and system. By building relationships between the governmental agencies, response partners,
private sector, non-governmental and faith based organizations that make up the community, effective
multi-agency collaboration spanning the entire emergency management continuum can be developed.
Such collaboration provides effective, efficient, and cost-effective emergency management across the
full continuum of emergency management activities. By redefining Multi-Agency Coordination to
include pre-incident/event collaboration planning, mitigation, response and recovery activities can be
greatly improved.
Speakers: David Shannon, Program Manager/ Community Disaster Education, American Red Cross
Donna Platt, Emergency Education Program Manager, Hearing, Speech & Deafness
Center
This session will provide an overview on the Disaster Preparedness Skills Training for Deaf, Deaf-Blind
and Hard of Hearing event which was coordinated by several organizations (emergency responders and
non-profit agencies). This event which was held twice in Seattle turned out to be educational for both
emergency responders and attendees as they learned each other‟s needs and responsibilities in
emergency preparedness. Also this event drew attention from other community based organizations and
emergency responders who expressed an interest in setting up in their location. Tips on setting up an
event and mini-activities will be given. Also pros and cons (or lessons learned) will be discussed.
Sharon Badger, Community Education Coordinator, Northwest Renal Network
This presentation will provide an overview of the end stage of renal disease and the treatments that must
be maintained by the patient until there is a kidney transplant or the patient dies. The presentation will
encourage the disaster planning community to incorporate the special requirements of the kidney
community into local and regional emergency and disaster plans. It will encourage the emergency
managers to utilize both the Network and the individual facilities to create a plan that can best serve this
vulnerable population
Speaker: Bob Mellinger, President, Attainium Corp
Chances are that while you read this, an unexpected disaster is causing an organization stress and
confusion and is affecting its long-term ability to provide products and services to its customers. Are the
organization‟s leaders prepared to handle it? Will they be able to recover? Disasters of every shape, size,
look and feel happen all the time, affecting businesses, people's jobs, lives and families. This session
has been designed to put you in the throes of a real-life disaster situation, as it unfolds. You will make
the critical decisions any organization will have to make - and deal with the consequences of those
Tara Leininger, Mayor, City of Metaline Falls
Scott Miller, Emergency Manager, Okanogan County, WA
Dave Hall, Emergency Planning Program Coordinator, WA Emergency Management
Division, WA Military Department
Showcasing some local success stories, Mayor Tara Leininger and Emergency Manager Scott Miller
will share how they accomplished the initially-daunting mission of creating a required Comprehensive
Emergency Management Plan, despite having little or no EM resources.
Speakers: Mary Schoenfeldt, Public Education Coordinator, City of Everett Office of Emergency
Management
Rebekah Green, Associate Director, Resilience Institute
CJ Huxford, Project Coordinator, Resilience Institute
Riley Grant, Project Coordinator, Resilience Institute
Public Education Campaigns come and go. Some are good, even great, but if we don‟t deliver the
message correctly, no one really hears us. The message is only as good as the messenger. Everett
Office of Emergency Management, Snohomish County, and Western Washington University teamed up
to research the effectiveness of Who Depends on You, Are You Prepared for Disaster? And, they found
some interesting results. For instance, in some areas more people have plans for their pets than for their
children. Does that tell us about parents or about our messaging? Does our message catch the attention of those with a high school education more than those with a college education? Is our message missing
important recipients? Come hear the results of the research, discuss their meaning, and participate to
help us design message delivery systems that work. If a public education message falls in the forest and
no one is listening…
Speaker: Althea Rizzo, Geologic Hazards Program Coordinator, Oregon Emergency Management
Public education has consistently been shown to be an effective emergency preparedness and mitigation
strategy when done well. This presentation will give the attendees an effective road map to developing,
implementing and evaluating a public education and outreach program. Using real world examples, the
presenter will show best practices and how to design your outreach campaign to create positive
preventative action by the public.
Speakers: Joan Gomberg, Research Geophysicist, US Geological Survey
Brian Sherrod, Research Geologist, US Geological Survey
Tim Walsh, Division of Geology & Earth Resources, Chief Hazards, Washington State
Department of Natural Resources
This session will communicate, in lay terms, the latest scientific discoveries relevant to assessing and
responding to earthquake hazards in the Pacific Northwest. We will describe recent advances in
understanding of regional faults, forecasts of the ground shaking and impacts from earthquakes on these
faults, and lessons learned for the Pacific Northwest from recent significant earthquakes around the
globe. The scientific programs underway and planned also will be discussed, emphasizing their linkages
to improved earthquake hazard assessments and mitigation and response tools.
Speaker: Dave Nichols, Volunteer Manager & Workforce Manager, Public Health of Seattle & King
County
The MRC is a relative newcomer to the disaster response world. It is another tool in your emergency
management toolkit; but only if you know about it and how it works during a medical emergency or
disaster. This presentation has been designed to introduce, inform, and answer questions about the
Medical Reserve Corps program and how it fits into the disaster. I will also offer some ways that you
can involve them in your exercises to help them learn your area and your operation.
Speakers: Mark Fedderson, Lieutenant, Tacoma Police Department
Frank Krause, Sergeant, Tacoma Police Department
Birney Elementary – Teacher Homicide occurred on February 26, 2010 in Tacoma, Washington. This
presentation discusses the dispatch, intervention, investigation, and partnerships at work.
Speakers: Lauren Zeigler, Lead Case Manager, Catholic Community Services of Western
Washington
Barbara Nelson, Public Education Outreach Specialist - Pierce County Department of
Emergency Management
Susan Vaughn, Regional Chief of Operations, Catholic Community Services of Western
Washington
Victims of disasters often require case management services to help them regain self-sufficiency and
return to their pre-disaster condition. Prior to Hurricanes Katrina and Rita there was no federal authority
to support case management of disaster victims. Consequently, case management was provided through
donated funds and by voluntary agencies. For disasters on a much smaller scale, such as an apartment
fire or flooding, recent experience in Washington State has demonstrated a similar need for a system that
assesses individual and family needs and assists with connecting them with the appropriate services to
address immediate circumstances and longer-term needs. Pierce County and King County have both
developed models to respond to typically unmet needs in their communities.
Speaker: Ted Buehner Warning Coordination Meteorologist National Weather Service
This session provides an extension of information presented in the basic session (see D4). Topics
include: - How to obtain and use National Weather Service (NWS) all-hazards weather support -
Significant Pacific Northwest weather patterns - Storm Surveys – what they are, when are they done
and the local emergency manager‟s participation in them - Washington‟s Presidentially weather-related
disaster rankings and fatality statistics - How to use the NWS web page such as interpreting the weather
radar and satellite imagery, climate/historical data, spotter reports, new digital forecasts and use in your
GIS operations (live demo is planned) - StormReady and TsunamiReady communities – what do they
mean to you and how to apply and get recognized for the work you do - Address your questions.
Speakers: Kathy Woods, Director, Business Continuity, Premera
Jennie Clinton, Program Manager, Crisis Management & Personal Preparedness, Premera
Our presentation will provide a case study on our approach to overall preparedness the personal aspect
being a large component; b. Program component; c. How we engage execs, employees, and community
partners. In this presentation we will: 1. Share how we are getting our employee base more prepared to
support keeping the company in business; 2. How to motivate and provide incentives for employees to
take action; and, 3. Demonstrate how we partner and engage the public sector to do this.
Speaker: Nimisha Ghosh Roy, Program Developer and Coordinator, Cross Cultural Health Care
Program
The evolving demographics of our communities as well as the dramatic challenges surfacing in the field
of emergency management have resulted in the magnification of issues facing the provision of emergency services for racial and ethnic minority communities. Issues of diversity are present in every
human interaction and must be acknowledged and addressed competently in all emergency management
activities. The Cross Cultural Health Care Program (CCHCP) has worked with organizations and
communities across the nation addressing topics such as effective cross cultural communication skills
for diverse populations and disaster training for medical interpreters. In 2010 CCHCP hosted a
community event to explore the challenges in emergency management facing communities in the Puget
Sound. Through an interactive presentation style involving multimedia and case studies from CCHCP
projects, this presentation will define and discuss the imperative for cultural competency and share best
practices and strategies for culturally competent emergency management.
More from Partners in Emergency Preparedness Conference (20)
Here is Gabe Whitley's response to my defamation lawsuit for him calling me a rapist and perjurer in court documents.
You have to read it to believe it, but after you read it, you won't believe it. And I included eight examples of defamatory statements/
‘वोटर्स विल मस्ट प्रीवेल’ (मतदाताओं को जीतना होगा) अभियान द्वारा जारी हेल्पलाइन नंबर, 4 जून को सुबह 7 बजे से दोपहर 12 बजे तक मतगणना प्रक्रिया में कहीं भी किसी भी तरह के उल्लंघन की रिपोर्ट करने के लिए खुला रहेगा।
An astonishing, first-of-its-kind, report by the NYT assessing damage in Ukraine. Even if the war ends tomorrow, in many places there will be nothing to go back to.
01062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
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31052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
03062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
04062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
El Puerto de Algeciras continúa un año más como el más eficiente del continente europeo y vuelve a situarse en el “top ten” mundial, según el informe The Container Port Performance Index 2023 (CPPI), elaborado por el Banco Mundial y la consultora S&P Global.
El informe CPPI utiliza dos enfoques metodológicos diferentes para calcular la clasificación del índice: uno administrativo o técnico y otro estadístico, basado en análisis factorial (FA). Según los autores, esta dualidad pretende asegurar una clasificación que refleje con precisión el rendimiento real del puerto, a la vez que sea estadísticamente sólida. En esta edición del informe CPPI 2023, se han empleado los mismos enfoques metodológicos y se ha aplicado un método de agregación de clasificaciones para combinar los resultados de ambos enfoques y obtener una clasificación agregada.
2. Partners In Weather
Preparedness
Ted Buehner
Warning Coordination Meteorologist
National Weather Service – Seattle/Tacoma
Serving America Since 1870
3. Outline
• Mission Partnership
• NWS Operations
• The Warning System
• Washington Weather Hazards
• What Does That Mean ?
• How Forecasts / Warnings Are Made ?
• Working Together When the Weather Hits the Fan
4. What Is Your Mission ?
National Weather Service
Mission
(Serving America Since 1870)
Provide Weather, Hydrologic, and
Climate F
Cli t Forecasts and Warnings for
t dW i f
the United States, its Territories,
Adjacent Waters and Ocean Areas,
for the Protection of Life and
Property and Enhancement of the
National Economy.
N ti lE
5. Weather, Flood Warnings
& Forecasts –
Essential for the Nation
* The U.S. Encounters More Severe Weather
Than Any Other Nation
* Advance Forecasts and Warnings of
Severe Weather Save Lives
* 95% of All Presidentially Declared
Disasters are Weather Related
Nature is a hard teacher since she gives the test first,
first
the lesson afterwards. - Vernon Sanders
8. Who We Are
Weather Forecast Office (WFO) Team:
Community Weather Experts
Issues all Local Forecasts & Warnings
Builds and Maintains Relationships With Local and
State Governments
Provides Expert Advice
to Emergency
Operations Centers
Solicits Customer
Feedback on Products
and Services
Conducts Community
Awareness and Ed
A d Education P
ti Programs
Trains Volunteer Observers and Storm Spotters
9. How We Do It
The average person only sees the tip of the iceberg
TV
Radio
Internet
Private Weather Companies
NATIONAL
WEATHER 122 Weather Forecast Offices Issue
Local Forecasts & Warnings
SERVICE
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Model Simulations
Climate & Seasonal Outlooks River Forecasts
Aviation Marine Forecasts
A i ti & M i F t Hydropower, Flood warnings
Storm & Tornado Prediction Irrigation, River Navigation
Hurricane Tracks Observations
Radar Network Satellites Weather Balloons Ground-level
Network, Satellites, Balloons, Ground-
observations at airports, Aircraft, Lightning Network, Data Buoys,
Stream Gauge Network, 11,000 Volunteer daily-data collectors,
daily-
Thousands of Volunteer storm spotters
10. NWS Offices
- 122 Field Offices
- 9 National Centers
- 13 River Forecast
Centers
14. Coastal Radar Status
• Langley Hill
• Construction
Underway
• Will have
dual-pol tech
• Operational
by end of
y
Sept
15. Elevation of the center of the radar beam increases with
distance from the radar (tilt + earth curvature).
For example, the height of the lowest elevation slice (0.5
degree) is about 5,500 ft AGL (above ground level) at 60 nm
(
(nautical miles) from the radar, while at 120 nm the beam
) ,
height is about 15,000 ft AGL.
~ 15,000 ft
~ 5,500 ft Buoy 41
~ 2400 ft
100 mi 60 mi 20 mi
16. What the
Wh t th coastal radar will do:
t l d ill d
• Improve observation of weather systems
• Fine tune wind and precipitation forecasts (zero to 6
hours lead)
• Improve estimates of rainfall
• Help identify snow level
• I
Improve forecasts of short-fused severe weather
f t f h tf d th
• It would, over time, improve understanding of
weather along the coast
th l th t
18. National Weather Service Forecast /
Warning P
W i Programs
- Severe Weather - Public Weather
- Aviation Weather - Marine Weather
- Fire Weather - Hydrology
- Public Service Unit - Support Staff
19. NWS All-Hazards
Weather Support
- Tsunami
- Volcanic
- HazMat
- Search and Rescue
- Earthquake
- Dam Break
- Terrorism
20. NWS Customers
• Transportation • Schools
• Construction • Health Care
• Recreation • Mariners
• M di
Media • Milit
Military
• Emergency Officials • Land Management
Officials
• Businesses
• Water Resource
• Utilities Managers
Essentially Everyone!
21. The Weather Warning
Partnership:
P t hi
National
Weather
Service
News M di
N Media
& The
Private Sector Public
Meteorologists
Emergency
Management
In Washington during the 1990s
- Nearly 100 Fatalities,
-H d d I j d
Hundreds Injured,
- Over $1 Billion in Property
Damage
23. Warning S stem Goal:
System
To maximize the
number of people
who take appropriate
and timely action to
minimize injury,
death, and property
damage due to
hazardous weather
and flooding.
26. Human Response to Warning
Messages
Messages
• Social Constraints
– Perceived Proximity
– Previous Experience
– Observation
– Warning Confirmation
• Influencing Factors
– Age
– Language
– Time of Day
– Disabilities
– T
Type of Community
fC it
– Pets
27. Human Response to Warning
Messages
Messages
• Inconsistent Warning Information Ever Turned From
– Delay Decision Making One TV or Radio
– Fail To Believe Warnings Station To Another
– Take The Wrong Action
and Heard a
– Take No Action
Different Forecast?
• Desired Public Response
– Receive
– Understand Our Partnership in
– Believe
the Education Effort
– Personalize
– T k Proper Action
Take P A ti
When you’re prepared, you’re not scared !
28. How many tax
dollars does it cost
you,
you for all the
services you get from
the NWS each year?
Every dollar invested in the NWS returns $8 to
E d ll i di h
our Nation s economy !!
31. What Does That Mean ?
Event Driven Prod cts
E ent – Dri en Products
Outlook
Watch
W t h
Warning
Advisory
32. Event – Driven Products
Outlook
O tl k
Outlook (Heads Up!)
Seve e wea e co d o s a e poss b e
Severe weather conditions are possible in a few days.
ew
Consider options !
36-72 hours lead time (long fuse):
High Wind, Flood, Winter Storm
12-48 hours lead time (short-fuse):
Flash Flood, Severe Thunderstorm, Tornado
Flood Thunderstorm
33. Event – Driven Products
Watch W
W t h / Warning / Advisory
i Ad i
Watch (Get Prepared!)
( p )
Severe weather conditions are possible, but not yet
certain. Prepare now!
p
Up to 36 hours lead time (long-fuse):
High Wind Watch, Winter Storm Watch
i h i d h i S h
Up to 12 hours lead time (short-fuse):
(short fuse):
Flash Flood Watch
Up to 6 hours lead time (short-fuse):
Severe Thunderstorm Watch, Tornado Watch
34. Event – Driven Products
Watch W
W t h / Warning / Advisory
i Ad i
Warning (Take Action!)
g( )
Severe weather conditions have begun or are imminent
in your area. Take immediate action !
y
Long-fused warnings:
High Wind Warning, Winter Storm Warning,
i h i d i i S i
Coastal Flood Warning, Flood Warning
Short-fused warnings:
Flash Flood Warning, Tornado Warning,
g, g,
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
35. Event – Driven Products
Watch W
W t h / Warning / Advisory
i Ad i
Advisory
y
Weather conditions are expected to cause significant
inconvenience and may be hazardous. The greatest
hazard is to motorists.
Winter Weather Advisory
High Surf Advisory
Small Craft Advisory
Urban d Small St
U b and S ll Stream Flood Advisory
Fl d Ad i
36. National Weather Service
Weather and Flood Bulletins
Weather/Flood Weather/ Weather/
Flood
Outlook Flood Watch Warning
Time to onset of event (hours)
72 48 24 0
Increasing confidence that event will occur
37. “High Wind” Criteria
* 40 MPH or more Sustained and/or
* Gusts of 58 MPH or greater
Marine Warnings and Advisories
Hurricane Force Storm - 64 knots or greater
Storm Warning - 48 to 63 knots
Gale Warning - 34 to 47 knots
Small Craft Advisory - 21 to 33 knots
(plus heavy coastal swells and rough bars)
38. Winter Weather Criteria
Winter Storm Warning (within 12 hours) Winter Weather
• Can be combined with Ice and/or Strong Winds Advisory
• Lowlands – 4 inches or more 1 to 3 inches
• Mountains – 12 inches or more 6 to 11 inches
Blizzard Warning
• Snow Combined with Strong Winds of 35 MPH or more and
visibility less than 1/4 mile
Avalanche
A l h
• #2 Weather-Related Killer in Washington
42. Thunderstorms
• Heavy Rainfall = Flash Floods
• #1 Thunderstorm Killer in U.S.
• M t D th O
Most Deaths Occur at Night and When
t Ni ht d Wh
People Become Trapped in Vehicles
43. Thunderstorms
Lightning
– # 2 Thunderstorm Killer in U.S.
– Washington Averages 1 Death
g g
every 5 Years
– Lightning Safety
44. ‘Severe’ Thunderstorms
Severe
• Large Hail
– 1 inch diameter or greater
– Significant Damage to
Agriculture or Vehicles
• Strong Damaging Winds
– Gusts of 58 MPH or
Greater
– Microbursts (often
(
confused with tornados)
• Note – Does Not Involve
g g
Lightning
45. Thunderstorms
• Tornados
– “A Violently Rotating Column of
y g
Air in Contact with the Ground”
– Key Word is ROTATION
– U.S. Now Averages over 1100 per
Year
–A
Average 65 D h and 1500
Deaths d
Injuries / Year
– What is a Tornado called over the
Water?
52. Weather Forecasting:
g
The Process of Inferring Sensible Weather from a Blend of:
* Data Assimilation * Experience
* Understanding * Climatology
* Solutions of the Governing Equations
* Effectively Communicating to the Target Group
Main Tools - Observations and Forecast Computer Models
- Collect Current and Recent Observations
- Compare with Initial Forecast Model Conditions
- Make any Needed Adjustments (Human/Machine Mix)
- Coordinate (Internal, External)
- Compose Forecast / Warning Issue
53. How We Do It
Observe
Products & Services
Process Central Local
Guidance Offices
Respond &
Feedback
IBM SP at Bowie, MD
Computer Center Distribute
Feedback
56. Skywarn Weather Spotters
Reporting C it i
R ti Criteria
• Tornados / Waterspouts / Funnel Clouds
o ados ate spouts u e C ouds
• Hail
• Frequent Lightning Over 280,000
,
Weather Spotters
• Damaging Winds
In the U.S. – All
• Heavy Rainfall Volunteers
• Flooding (of any kind)
• Heavy Snowfall
• Freezing Precipitation
• Poor Visibility Began in Mar 1960
57. Working Together When the
Weather “Hits the Fan”
How Do You Get Your Weather Information Today?
58. Warning Systems –
Passive vs Active
Passive
– The Internet - Television / Cable
– Commercial Radio - Newspaper
Active
– Emergency Managers Weather Information
Network (EMWIN)
( )
– NOAA Weather Radio (NWR)
– Emergency Alert System (
g y y (EAS)
)
– E-Warn
– iNWS, NWSChat
iNWS,
59. NWS Warning Government
Product Agencies
NOAA Port NOAA
Weather
Wire
EMWIN
Internet
Private Associated
Vendors Press ACCESS
NWR / EAS
Media
General Emergency Multiple
Public Mgmt Paths
60. EMWIN
NWS Text/Graphic Products via Satellite and your PC
Fixed or Portable (Hazmat, Search & Rescue)
More Info – http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/index.htm
Products
• Weather Warnings – Top Priority
• Forecasts / Current Conditions
• Graphics – Radar, Satellite Images and more
• Alarm Any Product You Desire – Site Specific
Transmission
• Vi NOAA GOES Satellite
Via S t llit
• Non-Encrypted Signal – No Recurring Cost
61. NOAA Weather Radio
A Life Saver for the Cost of a Pair of Shoes
Direct from the NWS 24 hours a day
62. NOAA Weather Radio
A Life Saver for the Cost of a Pair of Shoes
Latest Area Forecasts and Conditions
63. NOAA Weather Radio
A Life Saver for the Cost of a Pair of Shoes
Over 1000 Stations Across the Nation
64. NOAA Weather Radio
A Life Saver for the Cost of a Pair of Shoes
22 Stations Serving Washington
65. NOAA Weather Radio
A Life Saver for the Cost of a Pair of Shoes
Has a Warning Alarm Feature
66. NOAA Weather Radio
A Life Saver for the Cost of a Pair of Shoes
Flood and Weather Warnings as Needed
67. NOAA Weather Radio
A Life Saver for the Cost of a Pair of Shoes
Key Element in Emergency Alert System (EAS)
68. NOAA Weather Radio
A Life Saver for the Cost of a Pair of Shoes
“All-
“All-Hazards” Warning System
69. NOAA Weather Radio
A Life Saver for the Cost of a Pair of Shoes
Receivers Available at Most Radio Electronic Retailers and via
the Internet
72. NWS Messages to EAS
* Tornado Watch or Warning
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch or Warning
* Flash Flood Watch or Warning
* Major Flood Warning
* High Wind Warning
* Winter Storm / Blizzard Warning
* Tsunami Watch or Warning
* Tests – Weekly and Monthly
73. Non -NWS Messages on
g
NOAA Weather Radio
17 Event Codes in all - Examples include:
* Civil Emergency Warning
g y g
* Evacuation Immediate
* Shelter In Place Warning
* Volcano Warning
* 911 Outage
g
* Child Abduction Emergency (AMBER)
77. NWS Seattle Amateur
Radio W k t ti
R di Workstation
• UHF / VHF
– K7MMI Repeater System,
147.20
• Seattle 800 MHz, King,
, g,
Pierce, Snohomish
counties
• State CemNet
• Packet, APRS
• HF
• Skywarn Recognition Day
– First Sat in Dec
• Exercises
78. Look What Everyone Is
y
Talking About
Your National Weather
Service Goes Digital
79. National Digital Forecast Database
• Mosaic forecasts for the entire
country, regional or by state
• National marine and other
products available
• Interactive! Via the web or
download the data files - use
them as needed
• Can be integrated with GIS
mapping
80. IFPS
Interactive Forecast Processing System
• Grid Resolution
– 2.5 km (down to a “neighborhood” scale)
– 1.6 million grid boxes across the lower 48, 40,000 in
g , ,
Washington
• Numerical Weather (Computer Model) Prediction Inputs
– Local forecaster adjustments to grids
• Forecast Grid Elements (all at surface)
– Temps Max/Min Dewpoint RH
Temps, Max/Min, Dewpoint,
– POPS, Precip Amounts, % Sky Cover, Weather
– Snow / Freezing Level, Winds, Wave Heights and more
81. Giving You More Weather Information
via the Internet
The public, emergency
managers and city
planners use
WWW. graphic
products for detailed
More weather data
forecasts
Higher resolution
g
forecasts
Different
Commercial weather Visual displays of
Products for companies & emergency probability
ii
Different managers use grids to
generate tailored
Customers products User-defined
User-
products create
business
TODAY...RAIN LIKELY.
SNOW LIKELY ABOVE 2500
FEET. SNOW
opportunities
ACCUMULATION BY LATE
AFTERNOON 1 TO 2 Radio stations & public
INCHES ABOVE 2500 FEET.
COLDER WITH HIGHS 35 read text forecasts
TO 40. SOUTHEAST WIND
5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTHWESTEARLY
THIS AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70%.
82. All-
All-Hazards
Weather Support
New Carrissa Selendang AYU
1999 2005
- Weather Data
Missoula Derailment
1996
-FForecasts
t Hurricane Katrina
2005
- Incident Mets
- On-Site or from
NWS Seattle
- Exercises
83. Available NWS Services –
On-
On-site Support
Incident Meteorologist (IMET)
– Local Expertise
– Able to work independent of local NWS office
– Provide weather input to response team
Trained
– ICS
– HAZMAT Response
– Media
Resources
– 4X4 response vehicle
– Laptop with portable two-way satellite dish
two-
– Local weather observation equipment
84. Available NWS Services –
Remote Office Support
Available 24/7
A il bl
– Forecasters around the clock
Dedicated Ph
D di t d Phone
– Unlisted
– No voice mail
– Answered 24/7
Spot Forecasts
– Site-specific
Site-
85. Spot Forecasts
p
Your Local NWS
Web Site
Click the
Fire Weather Link
- Wildfire
- HAZMAT
- Search & Rescue
90. NWS Media / Emergency Management
Ph
Phone N
Numbers i W hi t (U li t d)
b in Washington (Unlisted)
Weather /Flood Related Questions
Hazmat Weather Support
Search and R
S h d Rescue W th S
Weather Support
t
Seattle - 206-526-6857 Portland - 503-261-9248
Spokane - 509-244-0537 Pendleton - 541-276-4493