The document summarizes a summer seminar about hurricanes and coastal hazards. It discusses the NOAA-JRC implementing arrangement for cooperation on topics like earth observation. It then covers hurricane hazards like winds, storm surge, rainfall and tornadoes. It explains the Saffir-Simpson scale for categorizing hurricane intensity and discusses key concepts like storm surge. It outlines products from the National Hurricane Center, like forecasts, watches and warnings. The presentation emphasizes the importance of being informed and making preparedness plans.
Examining The Impacts of Hurricane Sandy on Rhode Island: A serious wake up ...riseagrant
Examining The Impacts of Hurricane Sandy on Rhode Island: A serious wake-up call!
This presentation was given by David R. Vallee (Hydrologist-in-Charge, NOAA/NWS/Northeast River Forecast Center) at the Shoreline Change SAMP Stakeholder Meeting on April 4th, 2013.
To contribute more effectively to the security of the nation and to promote the general welfare of the State of Nevada and its citizens through the development of educational and scientific research, the Board of Regents may establish… the Desert Research Institute.
Examining The Impacts of Hurricane Sandy on Rhode Island: A serious wake up ...riseagrant
Examining The Impacts of Hurricane Sandy on Rhode Island: A serious wake-up call!
This presentation was given by David R. Vallee (Hydrologist-in-Charge, NOAA/NWS/Northeast River Forecast Center) at the Shoreline Change SAMP Stakeholder Meeting on April 4th, 2013.
To contribute more effectively to the security of the nation and to promote the general welfare of the State of Nevada and its citizens through the development of educational and scientific research, the Board of Regents may establish… the Desert Research Institute.
ICLR Webex: The role of groundwater in flooding (September 24, 2014)glennmcgillivray
On September 24, 2014, the Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction held a workshop entitled 'The role of groundwater in flooding' with Cathy Ryan from the University of Calgary.
Cathy Ryan is a Professor in Geoscience at the University of Calgary who is trained as a geotechnical engineer and hydrogeologist. She has been researching groundwater/river interaction river-connected alluvial aquifers in the Calgary region for more than a decade. Her interest in the role of groundwater in flooding was sparked after the 2005 Calgary floods when anecdotal information collected in a door-to-door survey of residents in neighbourhoods around Calgary's Elbow River suggested groundwater inundation (as opposed to overland flooding) caused a significant amount of the economic damage to homes. It is Dr. Ryan's view that groundwater flooding is under-recognized but can be easily monitored and understood.
Abstract
South Biscay coastally trapped disturbances known as gales (galernas, enbatak, galarrenak, bruilartak) are adverse phenomena that send along the Cantabrian and Basque Coast a narrow jet of sudden and violent gusts of wind that do not follow a hydrostatic balance parameterization, being faster, stronger and of a Western-North-Westerly component, and accelerate as they rush Eastward enduring their speed and intensity. These gales run the coast line from West to East strengthening in Eastern Cantabrian Seashore line from May to October.
A motivational talk delivered during the Mathematics Awareness Month 2009 and introducing students to the science of hurricanes and how they may benefit from Mathematics to understand this phenomenon.
Hurricane Threat and Risk Analysis in Rhode Islandriseagrant
Hurricane Threat and Risk Analysis in Rhode Island presented at the July 24, 2014 Beach Special Area Management Plan Stakeholder meeting.
Dr. Isaac Ginis, URI Graduate School of Oceanography
View the video here: http://new.livestream.com/universityofrhodeisland/StormRecoveryRI
ICLR Forecast Webinar: 2014 Canadian hurricane season (June 20, 2014) glennmcgillivray
On June 20, 2014, the Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction (ICLR) conducted a Webinar with Bob Robichaud, Environment Canada's Warning Preparedness Meteorologist for Eastern Canada.
The interactive webinar included a review of the 2013 North-Atlantic hurricane season and concluded with a seasonal outlook for the 2014 North-Atlantic hurricane season.
Robichaud received his B.Sc. in meteorology from Lyndon State College, Vermont in 1995. After a few years as a weather forecaster in the private sector, he joined Environment Canada in 1998 as an aviation forecaster in Gander NL where he eventually became aviation weather program manager for Atlantic Canada. In 2003, Robichaud managed the National Aviation Weather Services contract with NAV CANADA and he has
also written a book on aviation weather for eastern Canada.
Robichaud moved to Halifax in 2004 to fill the new warning preparedness meteorologist role in Atlantic Canada where his primary focus is working closely with emergency management officials on a variety of different weather related issues including training,
exercising and support during actual weather events.
ICLR Webex: The role of groundwater in flooding (September 24, 2014)glennmcgillivray
On September 24, 2014, the Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction held a workshop entitled 'The role of groundwater in flooding' with Cathy Ryan from the University of Calgary.
Cathy Ryan is a Professor in Geoscience at the University of Calgary who is trained as a geotechnical engineer and hydrogeologist. She has been researching groundwater/river interaction river-connected alluvial aquifers in the Calgary region for more than a decade. Her interest in the role of groundwater in flooding was sparked after the 2005 Calgary floods when anecdotal information collected in a door-to-door survey of residents in neighbourhoods around Calgary's Elbow River suggested groundwater inundation (as opposed to overland flooding) caused a significant amount of the economic damage to homes. It is Dr. Ryan's view that groundwater flooding is under-recognized but can be easily monitored and understood.
Abstract
South Biscay coastally trapped disturbances known as gales (galernas, enbatak, galarrenak, bruilartak) are adverse phenomena that send along the Cantabrian and Basque Coast a narrow jet of sudden and violent gusts of wind that do not follow a hydrostatic balance parameterization, being faster, stronger and of a Western-North-Westerly component, and accelerate as they rush Eastward enduring their speed and intensity. These gales run the coast line from West to East strengthening in Eastern Cantabrian Seashore line from May to October.
A motivational talk delivered during the Mathematics Awareness Month 2009 and introducing students to the science of hurricanes and how they may benefit from Mathematics to understand this phenomenon.
Hurricane Threat and Risk Analysis in Rhode Islandriseagrant
Hurricane Threat and Risk Analysis in Rhode Island presented at the July 24, 2014 Beach Special Area Management Plan Stakeholder meeting.
Dr. Isaac Ginis, URI Graduate School of Oceanography
View the video here: http://new.livestream.com/universityofrhodeisland/StormRecoveryRI
ICLR Forecast Webinar: 2014 Canadian hurricane season (June 20, 2014) glennmcgillivray
On June 20, 2014, the Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction (ICLR) conducted a Webinar with Bob Robichaud, Environment Canada's Warning Preparedness Meteorologist for Eastern Canada.
The interactive webinar included a review of the 2013 North-Atlantic hurricane season and concluded with a seasonal outlook for the 2014 North-Atlantic hurricane season.
Robichaud received his B.Sc. in meteorology from Lyndon State College, Vermont in 1995. After a few years as a weather forecaster in the private sector, he joined Environment Canada in 1998 as an aviation forecaster in Gander NL where he eventually became aviation weather program manager for Atlantic Canada. In 2003, Robichaud managed the National Aviation Weather Services contract with NAV CANADA and he has
also written a book on aviation weather for eastern Canada.
Robichaud moved to Halifax in 2004 to fill the new warning preparedness meteorologist role in Atlantic Canada where his primary focus is working closely with emergency management officials on a variety of different weather related issues including training,
exercising and support during actual weather events.
An overview of the scientific evidence that climate change is occurring, and what was normal in the past is not going to be normal for the future. Recent extreme-weather events -- snowstorms, last summer's derecho, and two severe hurricanes in the space of just over a year, are harbingers of more to come. Because the future will be different, we must use future-based modeling rather than historical data to prepare.
Dr. Cynthia Rosenzweig, Senior Research Scientist, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies Senior Research Scientist, Earth Institute at Columbia University Co-Chair Mayor Bloomberg’s Climate Change Commission Co-Director Urban Climate Change Research Network (UCCRN); National Institute for Coastal & Harbor Infrastructure, John F. Kennedy Center, Boston, Nov. 12, 2013: "The Triple Threat of Rising Sea Levels, Extreme Storms and Aging Infrastructure: Coastal Community Responses and The Federal Role" See http://www.nichiusa.org or http://www.nichi.us
On May 30, 2016, ICLR conducted a webinar providing a forecast for the 2016 hurricane season. The Webinar was conducted by Bob Robichaud, Warning Preparedness Meteorologist, Canadian Hurricane Centre. Bob Robichaud received his B.Sc. in meteorology from Lyndon State College, Vermont in 1995. After a few years as a weather forecaster in the private sector, he joined Environment Canada in 1998 as an aviation forecaster in Gander NL where he eventually became aviation weather program manager for Atlantic Canada.
Robichaud moved to Halifax in 2004 to fill the new warning preparedness meteorologist role in Atlantic Canada where his primary focus is working closely with emergency management officials on a variety of different weather related issues including training, exercising and support during actual weather events.
Speaker: Ted Buehner Warning Coordination Meteorologist National Weather Service
This session provides an extension of information presented in the basic session (see D4). Topics
include: - How to obtain and use National Weather Service (NWS) all-hazards weather support -
Significant Pacific Northwest weather patterns - Storm Surveys – what they are, when are they done
and the local emergency manager‟s participation in them - Washington‟s Presidentially weather-related
disaster rankings and fatality statistics - How to use the NWS web page such as interpreting the weather
radar and satellite imagery, climate/historical data, spotter reports, new digital forecasts and use in your
GIS operations (live demo is planned) - StormReady and TsunamiReady communities – what do they
mean to you and how to apply and get recognized for the work you do - Address your questions.
Disaster is a serious, dangerous and intolerable phenomena on the planet earth. Thousands of people die in a moment. Many people may become homeless and parentless. Valuable properties get damaged within no time. Disasters are events shocking the whole world and making the humanity to feel very sad. All life support systems are affected by these incidences.
What is required to minimize the effects is the application of certain management practices. Disaster management is an essential component of our development works. Let us see the aspects of Disaster Management in this module.
Builder.ai Founder Sachin Dev Duggal's Strategic Approach to Create an Innova...Ramesh Iyer
In today's fast-changing business world, Companies that adapt and embrace new ideas often need help to keep up with the competition. However, fostering a culture of innovation takes much work. It takes vision, leadership and willingness to take risks in the right proportion. Sachin Dev Duggal, co-founder of Builder.ai, has perfected the art of this balance, creating a company culture where creativity and growth are nurtured at each stage.
UiPath Test Automation using UiPath Test Suite series, part 4DianaGray10
Welcome to UiPath Test Automation using UiPath Test Suite series part 4. In this session, we will cover Test Manager overview along with SAP heatmap.
The UiPath Test Manager overview with SAP heatmap webinar offers a concise yet comprehensive exploration of the role of a Test Manager within SAP environments, coupled with the utilization of heatmaps for effective testing strategies.
Participants will gain insights into the responsibilities, challenges, and best practices associated with test management in SAP projects. Additionally, the webinar delves into the significance of heatmaps as a visual aid for identifying testing priorities, areas of risk, and resource allocation within SAP landscapes. Through this session, attendees can expect to enhance their understanding of test management principles while learning practical approaches to optimize testing processes in SAP environments using heatmap visualization techniques
What will you get from this session?
1. Insights into SAP testing best practices
2. Heatmap utilization for testing
3. Optimization of testing processes
4. Demo
Topics covered:
Execution from the test manager
Orchestrator execution result
Defect reporting
SAP heatmap example with demo
Speaker:
Deepak Rai, Automation Practice Lead, Boundaryless Group and UiPath MVP
Epistemic Interaction - tuning interfaces to provide information for AI supportAlan Dix
Paper presented at SYNERGY workshop at AVI 2024, Genoa, Italy. 3rd June 2024
https://alandix.com/academic/papers/synergy2024-epistemic/
As machine learning integrates deeper into human-computer interactions, the concept of epistemic interaction emerges, aiming to refine these interactions to enhance system adaptability. This approach encourages minor, intentional adjustments in user behaviour to enrich the data available for system learning. This paper introduces epistemic interaction within the context of human-system communication, illustrating how deliberate interaction design can improve system understanding and adaptation. Through concrete examples, we demonstrate the potential of epistemic interaction to significantly advance human-computer interaction by leveraging intuitive human communication strategies to inform system design and functionality, offering a novel pathway for enriching user-system engagements.
Connector Corner: Automate dynamic content and events by pushing a buttonDianaGray10
Here is something new! In our next Connector Corner webinar, we will demonstrate how you can use a single workflow to:
Create a campaign using Mailchimp with merge tags/fields
Send an interactive Slack channel message (using buttons)
Have the message received by managers and peers along with a test email for review
But there’s more:
In a second workflow supporting the same use case, you’ll see:
Your campaign sent to target colleagues for approval
If the “Approve” button is clicked, a Jira/Zendesk ticket is created for the marketing design team
But—if the “Reject” button is pushed, colleagues will be alerted via Slack message
Join us to learn more about this new, human-in-the-loop capability, brought to you by Integration Service connectors.
And...
Speakers:
Akshay Agnihotri, Product Manager
Charlie Greenberg, Host
Search and Society: Reimagining Information Access for Radical FuturesBhaskar Mitra
The field of Information retrieval (IR) is currently undergoing a transformative shift, at least partly due to the emerging applications of generative AI to information access. In this talk, we will deliberate on the sociotechnical implications of generative AI for information access. We will argue that there is both a critical necessity and an exciting opportunity for the IR community to re-center our research agendas on societal needs while dismantling the artificial separation between the work on fairness, accountability, transparency, and ethics in IR and the rest of IR research. Instead of adopting a reactionary strategy of trying to mitigate potential social harms from emerging technologies, the community should aim to proactively set the research agenda for the kinds of systems we should build inspired by diverse explicitly stated sociotechnical imaginaries. The sociotechnical imaginaries that underpin the design and development of information access technologies needs to be explicitly articulated, and we need to develop theories of change in context of these diverse perspectives. Our guiding future imaginaries must be informed by other academic fields, such as democratic theory and critical theory, and should be co-developed with social science scholars, legal scholars, civil rights and social justice activists, and artists, among others.
"Impact of front-end architecture on development cost", Viktor TurskyiFwdays
I have heard many times that architecture is not important for the front-end. Also, many times I have seen how developers implement features on the front-end just following the standard rules for a framework and think that this is enough to successfully launch the project, and then the project fails. How to prevent this and what approach to choose? I have launched dozens of complex projects and during the talk we will analyze which approaches have worked for me and which have not.
Key Trends Shaping the Future of Infrastructure.pdfCheryl Hung
Keynote at DIGIT West Expo, Glasgow on 29 May 2024.
Cheryl Hung, ochery.com
Sr Director, Infrastructure Ecosystem, Arm.
The key trends across hardware, cloud and open-source; exploring how these areas are likely to mature and develop over the short and long-term, and then considering how organisations can position themselves to adapt and thrive.
Accelerate your Kubernetes clusters with Varnish CachingThijs Feryn
A presentation about the usage and availability of Varnish on Kubernetes. This talk explores the capabilities of Varnish caching and shows how to use the Varnish Helm chart to deploy it to Kubernetes.
This presentation was delivered at K8SUG Singapore. See https://feryn.eu/presentations/accelerate-your-kubernetes-clusters-with-varnish-caching-k8sug-singapore-28-2024 for more details.
Accelerate your Kubernetes clusters with Varnish Caching
Summer seminar hurricanes - 27. july 2012
1. Summer Seminar –
Hurricanes & Coastal Hazards
Dr. Astrid-Christina Koch
Science Counselor
EU Delegation to the United States in
Washington
2. Summer Seminar
• NOAA – JRC Implementing
Arrangement
• Hurricane Hazards
• Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
• Storm Surge
• National Hurricane Center’s Products
• Stay informed - Make a plan !
3. Summer Seminar
• NOAA – JRC Implementing
Arrangement
• Hurricane Hazards
• Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
• Storm Surge
• National Hurricane Center’s Products
• Stay informed - Make a plan !
4. EU-U.S. Implementing Arrangement
European Commision National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Joint Research Centre (JRC) Administration (NOAA)
• NOAA and the European Commission’s Joint Research
Centre signed an implementation arrangement on
scientific and other cooperative activities in the fields of
climate, weather, oceans and coasts
• Umbrella agreement is the EU-US Science &Technology
Agreement of 1998 signed by the Department of State
and the European Commission
5. EU-U.S. Implementing Arrangement
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Joint Research Centre (JRC) Adminstration (NOAA)
Dominique Ristori Jane Lubchenco
6. EU-U.S. Implementing Arrangement
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Joint Research Centre (JRC)
Dominique Ristori
Adminstration (NOAA)
Jane Lubchenco
Joint priorities:
• Earth observation and data sharing
• Climate prediction and monitoring
• Regional/global modeling of coastal hazards
• Space weather prediction and impact mitigation
• Atmospheric and air quality monitoring
• Environmental contaminants in marine
environments
• Fisheries research and management
• Promoting coastal activities within multilateral fora
7. Specific Nature of Collaboration
• Areas of collaboration
– Timely exchange of relevant information on grants and proposals
– Regular review of both Sides’ program reviews and agency
announcements
– Shared access to some laboratory facilities, equipment, and materials
– Exchange of personnel with administrative approval
– Shared scientific infrastructure and training of scientists and experts
– Support for joint research and content development for mutual value
• Coordination
– Five-year duration
– No financial obligations
– Intellectual property rights maintained
8. GMES: Dedicated to Space
Infrastructure
•Sentinel 1 – SAR imaging (radar data) (2011)
– All weather, day/night applications, interferometry
– successor of ENVISAT
•Sentinel 2 – Multispectral imaging (2012)
– for land applications, e.g. urban, forest, agriculture
– successor of SPOT, Landsat
•Sentinel 3 – Ocean & Land monitoring (2012)
– Wide-swath ocean color, vegetation, sea/land surface
temperature, ocean altimetry
•Sentinel 4 – Geostationary atmospheric (2017)
– Atmospheric composition monitoring, trans-boundary
pollution
•Sentinel 5 – Low-orbit atmospheric (2019)
– Atmospheric composition monitoring
8
9. Summer Seminar
• NOAA – JRC Implementing
Arrangement
• Hurricane Hazards
• Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
• Storm Surge
• National Hurricane Center’s Products
• Stay informed – Make a plan !
10. Hurricane Hazards
• Winds
• Storm surge
• Rainfall and inland
fresh water flooding
• Tornadoes
WIND
RECORD
FROM
GUSTAV
(2008) IN
CUBA 10
DANNY (1997) SPAWNS
TORNADO IN NORFOLK, VA
11. Hurricane winds can
cause tremendous
damage to structures
and trees, as shown by
Charley’s damage in
southwestern Florida
11
13. Storm Surge
Hurricane Betsy, 1965, US 1 in the
• The greatest potential killer in Florida Keys
a tropical cyclone
• Abnormal rise in water
generated by a storm, over
and above the astronomical
tide
• Temporary rise in sea level
that effectively moves the New Orleans levee overtopping in
coastline inland Katrina
• Caused primarily by force of
wind blowing across water
surface
• Contribution by low pressure
within center of storm is
13
minimal
Picture by Don McCrosky, Entergy’s Michoud Power Plant Manager
14. Ike’s Damage
Bolivar Peninsula, TX
Images courtesy USGS
Before
14
After
15. Factors Determining Storm Surge
Height at a Given Location
• Where the circulation center Isabel (2003) - Baltimore, MD
crosses the coast
• Storm direction of motion
relative to coastline
• Strength of the winds (storm
intensity)
• Radius of maximum winds
Ike (2008) - Bolivar Peninsula, TX
• Overall size of storm (outer
wind radii)
• Slope of the continental shelf
• Shape of the coastline and
other coastal features
(examples: barrier islands, 15
bays, rivers, levees)
16. Fresh Water Flooding
Hurricane Floyd (1999) Tarboro, NC (Reuters) NC DENR
• U. S. tropical cyclones have
produced as much as 43 inches of
rain in 24 hours.
• TC rainfall potential depends most
on the speed of motion, with slow-
moving systems producing the most
rain
• Tropical depressions or storms can 16
produce more rain than hurricanes!
25. Summer Seminar
• NOAA – JRC Implementing
Arrangement
• Hurricane Hazards
• Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
• Storm Surge
• National Hurricane Center’s Products
• FEMA - Have a plan !
26. HURRICANE LANDFALL AND STORM SURGE
Top view of Sea Surface and Land Side view of Cross Section “ABC”
Wind Sand Dunes Wind
A B C on Barrier
Island STORM SURGE
Eye
MSL
0’
A 5O’ B Current C
100’
150’
200’
Mainland Barrier
Island Continental Shelf
27. The NWS Storm Surge Program
• Total Water Level Guidance: produce water level
analyses, forecasts, and observations that include
all contributions to surge
• Surge, tides, waves, fresh water, background
anomaly
• Inundation Products: provide information about
the water depth over the land (inundation) above
ground level (AGL)
• Communicating Actionable Information:
provide information that people can act on
• Transition from Deterministic approaches to
ensemble/probabilistic approaches
31. Actionable Information
• NWS has assembled teams to investigate a
collaborative watch/warning CONOPs for
storm surge and begin prototyping ideas for
implementation
– HFIP Social Science contract established to
investigate user requirements/preferences
– Initial ideas tested informally during Irene
– NHC/WFOs testing collaborative W/W concepts
32. Summer Seminar
• NOAA – JRC Implementing
Arrangement
• Hurricane Hazards
• Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
• Storm Surge
• The National Hurricane Center’s
Products
• Stay informed - Have a plan !
33. National Weather Service hurricane forecast and warning products are like a mosaic…
The National Hurricane Center paints the “big picture”...
and the local Weather Forecast Offices tell the local story
34. Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
mimics the text TWO
issued at same time as text TWO
High > 50%
(20%)
Medium 30 – 50%
Low < 30% (40%) (70%)
35. Public Advisory
Atlantic 500 am 1100 am 500 pm 1100 pm EDT
Plain-language text product
originally intended for “rip
and read”
Headline or lead statement
Summary information
Watches and warnings
Center location, motion, forecast
Wind speed and forecast
Hazards: Wind / Storm surge /
Rainfall / Tornadoes /
Waves and Rip Currents
Recommended actions
36. • Tropical Storm/Hurricane Watch:
An announcement that hurricane conditions are
possible within the specified area. Watches are
issued 48 hours in advance of the anticipated onset
of tropical-storm-force winds.
• Tropical Storm/Hurricane Warning:
An announcement that hurricane conditions are
expected within the specified area. Warnings are
issued 36 hours in advance of the anticipated onset
of tropical-storm-force winds.
36
37. New Public Advisory Format
Section headers added
Storm information first
Changes to watches and
warnings in the current
advisory are highlighted
Bulleted summary of all
watches and warnings in
effect
38. New Public Advisory Format
Section headers
Discussion of forecast motion
and intensity and other
pertinent information
Storm hazards and impacts,
shown by type
39. Forecast / Advisory
Atlantic 500 am 1100 am 500 pm 1100 pm EDT
Only source of all the
forecast data
Data is used in
HURREVAC and other
commercial tracking
software
Watches and warnings
Center location, motion,
minimum pressure and
eye diameter
Forecast positions,
intensity and wind radii
40. Surface Wind Field
Shows:
Wind field
Past track
Current
watches/
warnings
43. NHC Forecast Cone
• Represents the
probable track of the
center of the tropical
cyclone.
• Formed by connecting
circles centered on
each forecast point (at
12, 24, 36 h, etc.)
• Size of the circles
determined so that,
say, the actual storm
position at 48 h will be
within the 48-h circle
67% of the time.
44. Cone Radii in the Era of 5-Day Forecasts
Atlantic East Pacific
2003 Circle 2011 Circle 2003 Circle 2011 Circle
Forecas Radius (n Radius (n Forecas Radius (n Radius (n
Percent Percent
t Period mi) mi) t Period mi) mi)
Change Reduction
(h) (‘98 – ’02 (‘06 – ’10 (h) (‘98 – ’02 (‘06 – ’10
errors) errors) errors) errors)
12 49 36 -27% 12 43 33 -23%
24 85 59 -31% 24 75 59 -21%
36 121 79 -35% 36 108 79 -27%
48 164 98 -40% 48 131 98 -25%
72 232 144 -38% 72 190 134 -29%
96 318 190 -40% 96 230 187 -19%
120 439 239 -46% 120 252 230 -9%
09:30 PM
45. 09:30 PM
CM
h
Ct arll
o e
hi e bo
N ur
Ci nce tso
ty ow ne
te ,
ag , F
Yo SC
uk Lt
re
,V o
A
49. Discussion
Atlantic 500 am 1100 am 500 pm 1100 pm EDT
Free-form text product
Provides the reasoning
behind forecasts and
warnings
Discussion of relevant
observations, model
guidance, and the forecast
uncertainties
Includes table of track
and intensity forecasts
50. Surface Wind Speed Probabilities
Maximum 1-minute Wind Speed Probability
51. Storm Surge Probabilities
available in 1-ft increments from 2 to 25 ft
run when a Hurricane Watch or Warning is in effect
Chance of surge > 2 ft Chance of surge > 10 ft
Stay tuned for more from Jamie…
52. Storm Surge Exceedance Product
Available in 10% increments from 10% to 90%
http://www.weather.gov/mdl/psurge/active.php
53. All products can be found on
the website of
The National Hurricane
Center:
http://www.hurricanes.gov
54. Summer Seminar
• NOAA – JRC Implementing
Arrangement
• Hurricane Hazards
• Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale
• Storm Surge
• The National Hurricane Center’s
Products
• Stay informed - Have a plan !
55. Hurricane Liaison Team
HLT Background
• Initial idea arose in early
1990’s
• Successfully proven
during response to the
1995 Hurricane Season
• Became formal in 1996 by
FEMA Director upon
Andy Newman
request of Governor of
Former National Hurricane Center Director Max
Florida and Director of
Mayfield discusses where to issue watches and
warnings along the west coast of Florida for Hurricane
National Hurricane Center
Charley.
56. Hurricane Liaison Team DHS NOC
Communication Flowchart
FEMA NRCC
National
Hurricane FEMA RRCC
HLT
Center HLT
State EOCs
Hu
Ho rric
tli an
ne e Local Local EOCs
NWSFOs
57. Hurricane Liaison Team
Responsibilities
• Facilitate video and
audio conference
briefings to Federal
and State agencies
• Direct issues of
importance to the NHC
Hurricane Specialists
Former National Hurricane Center Director Bill Read
briefing President Barack Obama on Hurricane Irene
• Field and refer
Saturday, August 27, 2011. emergency
management calls to
appropriate state or
other offices
58. Hurricane Preparedness Week
End of May each year
7 informative videos can be found at :
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/prepare/
Day 1: The Hurricane Season – Bill Read, NHC
Day 2: Storm Surge – Robbie Berg, NHC
Day 3: Wind Effects Including Tornadoes – Robert Molleda, WFO Miami
Day 4: Inland Flooding – Dan Gregoria, WFO Miami
Day 5: The “Full Team Effort” – Dan Brown, NHC
Day 6: Get a Plan – Craig Fugate, FEMA
Day 7: What to Do: Before/During/After – Bill Read, NHC
09:30 PM
60. Stay informed !
• NHC website – www.hurricanes.gov
• Local NWS Weather Forecast Office
in Sterling close to the Dulles
Airport:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/lwx/
61. Make a plan !
• U.S. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) –
www.ready.gov
• For Embassies :OFM's Disaster Preparedness Seminar
Presentations:
http://www.state.gov/ofm/emergency/c50508.htm
-OFM Disaster Response by Bruce Matthews, OFM's Managing
Director
-Emergency Preparedness and the Fire Code by the DC Fire
and EMC Department
-Disasters! How Prepared are YOU? by DepaRtment's
Diplomatic Security Protective Liaison Division
-Preparedness in the District of Columbia by DC Homeland
Security and Emergency Management Agency
-Providing Assistance to the United States after a Disaster by
FEMA 61
62. This presentation was made from slides provided by
James Franklin, Branch Chief of the Hurricane
Specialist Unit of the National Hurricane Center.
62