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ECO-506: Macroeconomic Theory II

          Lectures 1-6


        By : WAQAS AHMED


                -NOSSCIRE-
Introduction



    -NOSSCIRE-
Topics to be Covered
1.   Balance of Payments
2.   IS-LM-FB Model
3.   Effectiveness of Fiscal and Monetary Policies
4.   Exchange Rate Concepts
5.   Perfect and Imperfect Capital Mobility
6.   Problems of Stabilization in Global
     Framework



                        -NOSSCIRE-
Balance of Payments



        -NOSSCIRE-
What is BOP?
Which are two main accounts of BOP?

What is Current account Balance?
If a country has negative CAB then what options are
   available for that country?

What is Capital Account?
How many parts of Capital Account exist?



Four Possible Situations of BOP.
                         -NOSSCIRE-
What is BOP?
• The balance of payments is a systematic record of
  the transactions of the residents of a country with the
  rest of the world during a particular period of time.
• There are two main accounts of BOP(see Summary of
  BOP data of Pakistan):
  1. Current Account 2. Capital Account
• The current Account records trade in goods,
  services, income and current transfers.
• The Capital account records purchase and sales of
  assets, such as stocks bonds and lands.

                          -NOSSCIRE-
If a country has negative CAB then what options
are available for that country?
•   Country can sell her assets abroad
•   Country can borrow from other countries or IMF
•   Use foreign currency reserves
•   Achieve balance in CAB




                         -NOSSCIRE-
What is Capital Account?
 The Capital account records purchase and sales of
 assets, such as stocks bonds and lands.

How many parts of Capital Account exist?
  Transaction of the Private Sector
  Transaction of the Government




                            -NOSSCIRE-
Four Possible Situations of BOP
1. Current Account Surplus
   Equivalent Capital Account Deficit
                                                   No Problem
2. Current Account Deficit
   Equivalent Capital Account Surplus
                                                   No Problem
3. Current Account Surplus
   Capital Account Surplus
                             Rise in Reserves of Central Bank
4. Current Account Deficit
   Capital Account Deficit
                             Fall in Reserves of Central Bank

                             -NOSSCIRE-
If a country has negative CAB then what options
are available for that country?
•   Country can sell her assets abroad
•   Country can borrow from other countries or IMF
•   Use foreign currency reserves
•   Achieve balance in CAB




                         -NOSSCIRE-
Exchange Rate Concepts



         -NOSSCIRE-
What is Exchange Rate?
Fixed, Flexible and Managed Exchange Rate
  Regimes?
Difference between:
      Depreciation and Devaluation
      Appreciation and Revaluation
What is Purchasing Power Parity(PPP)?
What is Real Exchange Rate?
Reversing of Real exchange Rate to PPP

                     -NOSSCIRE-
What is Exchange Rate?

Exchange Rate is the price of one currency in
  terms of another.

Interbank closing rates for dollar on 02-03-2009

           Buying Rs 79.88
           Selling Rs 79.92


                      -NOSSCIRE-
Exchange Rate Regimes
• In a fixed exchange rate system foreign central banks
  stand ready to buy and sell their currencies at a fixed
  price in terms of dollar.

• In a flexible(floating) exchange rate system, the central
  banks allow the exchange rate to adjust to equate the
  supply and demand for foreign currency.

• When central banks intervene to buy and sell foreign
  currencies in attempts to influence exchange rates the
  system is known as managed floating or dirty floating.

                            -NOSSCIRE-
Depreciation and Devaluation
A devaluation takes place when the price of
foreign currencies under a fixed rate regime is
increased by official action. Whereas,
depreciation takes place when, under floating
exchange rate regime domestic currency
becomes less expensive in terms of foreign
currency.




                 -NOSSCIRE-
Appreciation and Revaluation
A revaluation takes place when the price of
foreign currencies under a fixed rate regime is
decreased by official action. Whereas,
appreciation takes place when, under floating
exchange rate regime domestic currency
becomes more expensive in terms of foreign
currency.




                 -NOSSCIRE-
What is Purchasing Power Parity(PPP)?
Two currencies are at Purchasing Power Parity(PPP)
   when a unit of domestic currency can buy the same
   baskets of goods at home or abroad.
What is Real Exchange Rate?
The real exchange rate is the ratio of foreign to
   domestic prices, measured in the same currency.
                        R= e Pf /P
If RER=1 the currencies are at PPP.
Why Reversing of Real exchange Rate to PPP is Slow
      Market baskets differ across countries
      Barriers to movement of goods between countries
      Non-traded goods are part of price indexes
                              -NOSSCIRE-
Goods Market Equilibrium


          -NOSSCIRE-
Domestic Spending=DS=C+I+G
Spending on Domestic Goods=C+I+G+(X-Q)
                 NX=f(Y, Yf, R)
Marginal Propensity to Import
Repercussion Effects




                   -NOSSCIRE-

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OPEN ECONOMY

  • 1. ECO-506: Macroeconomic Theory II Lectures 1-6 By : WAQAS AHMED -NOSSCIRE-
  • 2. Introduction -NOSSCIRE-
  • 3. Topics to be Covered 1. Balance of Payments 2. IS-LM-FB Model 3. Effectiveness of Fiscal and Monetary Policies 4. Exchange Rate Concepts 5. Perfect and Imperfect Capital Mobility 6. Problems of Stabilization in Global Framework -NOSSCIRE-
  • 4. Balance of Payments -NOSSCIRE-
  • 5. What is BOP? Which are two main accounts of BOP? What is Current account Balance? If a country has negative CAB then what options are available for that country? What is Capital Account? How many parts of Capital Account exist? Four Possible Situations of BOP. -NOSSCIRE-
  • 6. What is BOP? • The balance of payments is a systematic record of the transactions of the residents of a country with the rest of the world during a particular period of time. • There are two main accounts of BOP(see Summary of BOP data of Pakistan): 1. Current Account 2. Capital Account • The current Account records trade in goods, services, income and current transfers. • The Capital account records purchase and sales of assets, such as stocks bonds and lands. -NOSSCIRE-
  • 7. If a country has negative CAB then what options are available for that country? • Country can sell her assets abroad • Country can borrow from other countries or IMF • Use foreign currency reserves • Achieve balance in CAB -NOSSCIRE-
  • 8. What is Capital Account? The Capital account records purchase and sales of assets, such as stocks bonds and lands. How many parts of Capital Account exist? Transaction of the Private Sector Transaction of the Government -NOSSCIRE-
  • 9. Four Possible Situations of BOP 1. Current Account Surplus Equivalent Capital Account Deficit No Problem 2. Current Account Deficit Equivalent Capital Account Surplus No Problem 3. Current Account Surplus Capital Account Surplus Rise in Reserves of Central Bank 4. Current Account Deficit Capital Account Deficit Fall in Reserves of Central Bank -NOSSCIRE-
  • 10. If a country has negative CAB then what options are available for that country? • Country can sell her assets abroad • Country can borrow from other countries or IMF • Use foreign currency reserves • Achieve balance in CAB -NOSSCIRE-
  • 12. What is Exchange Rate? Fixed, Flexible and Managed Exchange Rate Regimes? Difference between: Depreciation and Devaluation Appreciation and Revaluation What is Purchasing Power Parity(PPP)? What is Real Exchange Rate? Reversing of Real exchange Rate to PPP -NOSSCIRE-
  • 13. What is Exchange Rate? Exchange Rate is the price of one currency in terms of another. Interbank closing rates for dollar on 02-03-2009 Buying Rs 79.88 Selling Rs 79.92 -NOSSCIRE-
  • 14. Exchange Rate Regimes • In a fixed exchange rate system foreign central banks stand ready to buy and sell their currencies at a fixed price in terms of dollar. • In a flexible(floating) exchange rate system, the central banks allow the exchange rate to adjust to equate the supply and demand for foreign currency. • When central banks intervene to buy and sell foreign currencies in attempts to influence exchange rates the system is known as managed floating or dirty floating. -NOSSCIRE-
  • 15. Depreciation and Devaluation A devaluation takes place when the price of foreign currencies under a fixed rate regime is increased by official action. Whereas, depreciation takes place when, under floating exchange rate regime domestic currency becomes less expensive in terms of foreign currency. -NOSSCIRE-
  • 16. Appreciation and Revaluation A revaluation takes place when the price of foreign currencies under a fixed rate regime is decreased by official action. Whereas, appreciation takes place when, under floating exchange rate regime domestic currency becomes more expensive in terms of foreign currency. -NOSSCIRE-
  • 17. What is Purchasing Power Parity(PPP)? Two currencies are at Purchasing Power Parity(PPP) when a unit of domestic currency can buy the same baskets of goods at home or abroad. What is Real Exchange Rate? The real exchange rate is the ratio of foreign to domestic prices, measured in the same currency. R= e Pf /P If RER=1 the currencies are at PPP. Why Reversing of Real exchange Rate to PPP is Slow Market baskets differ across countries Barriers to movement of goods between countries Non-traded goods are part of price indexes -NOSSCIRE-
  • 19. Domestic Spending=DS=C+I+G Spending on Domestic Goods=C+I+G+(X-Q) NX=f(Y, Yf, R) Marginal Propensity to Import Repercussion Effects -NOSSCIRE-