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Monetary Policy
Monetary Policy 
It is concerned with the changing the supply of money stock 
and rate of interest for the purpose of stabilizing the economy 
at full employment or potential output level by influencing 
the level of aggregate demand. At times of recession 
monetary policy involves the adoption of some monetary 
tools which tends to increase the money supply and lower 
interest rate so as to stimulate aggregate demand in the 
economy. At the time of inflation monetary policy seeks to 
contract aggregate spending by tightening the money supply 
or raising the rate of return.
Objectives 
• To ensure the economic stability at full 
employment or potential level of output. 
• To achieve price stability by controlling 
inflation and deflation. 
• To promote and encourage economic growth in 
the economy.
Tools of Monetary Policy 
• Bank rate policy 
• Open market operations 
• Changing cash reserve ratio 
• Undertaking selective credit controls
Bank Rate Policy 
• Bank rate is the minimum rate at which the 
central bank of a country provides loan to the 
commercial bank of the country. 
• Bank rate is also called discount rate because 
bank provide finance to the commercial bank by 
rediscounting the bills of exchange. 
• When general bank raises the bank rate, the 
commercial bank raises their lending rates, it 
results in less borrowings and reduces money 
supply in the economy.
Limitations 
• Well organized money market should exist in 
the economy. It is not present in India 
• It is use full during the times of inflation but it 
does not full fill its purpose during the time of 
recession or depression.
Open Market Operations 
• It means the purchase and sale of securities 
by central bank of the country. 
• It is useful for the developed countries. 
• The sale of security by the central bank leads 
to contraction of credit and purchase there of 
to credit expansion.
Limitations 
• When the central bank purchases the securities the 
cash reserve of member bank will be increased and 
vise versa. 
• The bank will expand and contract credit according to 
prevailing economic and political circumstances and 
not merely with reference to their cash reserves. 
• When the commercial bank cash balance increase the 
demand for loan and advance should increase. This 
may not happen due to economic and political 
uncertainty. 
• The circulation of bank credit should have a constant 
velocity.
Changing Cash Reserve Ratio 
• The bank have to keep certain amount of bank 
money with them selves as reserves against 
deposits. 
• The increase in the cash rate leads to the 
contraction of credit only when the banks 
excess reserves. 
• The decrease in the cash rate leads to the 
expansion of credit and banks tends to make 
more available to borrowers.
Expansionary Monetary Policy 
Problem: Recession and unemployment 
Measures: (1) Central bank buys securities through open 
market operation 
(2) It reduces cash reserves ratio 
(3) It lowers the bank rate 
Money supply increases 
Investment increases 
Aggregate demand increases 
Aggregate output increases by a multiple of the 
increase in investment
Tight Monetary Policy 
Problem: Inflation 
Measures: (1) Central bank sells securities through open market operation 
(2) It raises cash reserve ratio and statutory liquidity 
(3) It raises bank rate 
(4) It raises maximum margin against holding of stocks of goods 
Money supply decreases 
Interest rate raises 
Investment expenditure declines 
Aggregate demand declines 
Price level falls
Sources of Monetary Mismanagement 
• Variable time lags concerning the effect of money 
supply on the national income. 
• Treating Interest rate as the target of monetary 
policy for influencing investment demand for 
stabilizing the economy.
Role of Monetary Policy in Economic 
Growth 
• Monetary policy and savings. 
• Monetary policy and investment. 
– Cost of credit.. 
– Monetary policy and public investment. 
– Monetary policy and private investment. 
• Allocation of investment funds.
Monetary Policy of RBI 
• In recent years starting from the mid-nineties 
promoting economic growth is being given greater 
emphasis in monetary policy of RBI. 
• Three sub-periods: 
– Monetary policy of controlled examination(1951-1972). 
– Monetary policy in the pre-reforms period(1972-1991) . 
– Monetary policy in the post-reforms period(1991- 
2000).
Monetary policy of controlled examination(1951-1972) 
• Reserve bank’s responsibility in the circumstances 
is mainly to moderate the expansion of credit and 
money supply in such a way as to ensure the 
legitimate requirements of industry and trade 
and curb the use of credit for unproductive and 
speculative purposes. 
• To ensure controlled expansion, RBI used the 
instruments: 
– Changes in bank rate 
– Changes in cash reserve ratio 
– Selective credit control
Monetary policy in the pre-reforms 
period(1972-1991) 
• Price situation worsened during the years of 
1972-1974 to contain inflationary pressures 
RBI further tightened its monetary policy. 
• It is similar to tight monetary policy.
Easy and Liberal Monetary 
Policy(1996) 
• Liberal monetary policy adopted for encouraging 
private sector since 1996. 
• Two instrument for monetary management BY 
RBI since 1996: 
– Reactivation of bank rate. 
– Repo rate system .
Repo Rate System 
• It is introduced through which RBI can add to 
liquidity in the banking system. Through repo 
system RBI buys securities from the bank and there 
by provide funds to them. 
• Repo refers to agreement for a transaction between 
RBI and banks through which RBI supplies funds 
immediately against government securities and 
simultaneously agree to repurchase the same or 
similar securities after a specified time which may 
be one day to 14 days.
Liquidity Adjustment Facility 
• It is the another instrument of monetary policy 
from June 2000 to adjust on a daily basis 
liquidity in the banking system. 
• Through LAF, RBI regulates short-term interest 
rates while its bank rate policy serves as a 
signaling device for its interest rate policy in the 
intermediate period.
4th Bi-monthly Monetary Policy 
• The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) presented its 4th Bi-monthly 
Monetary Policy review on 30 September 2014. 
• RBI kept the major rates unchanged as the central bank kept 
its focus on tackling inflation. Following are the major rates 
and projections coming out of this review: 
– GDP growth rate projected at 5.5% for current fiscal. 
– The high growth rate during Q-1 (Apr-June 2014) may not be 
sustained in Q-2 and Q-3. 
– Consumer Price Index (CPI)-based inflation projected to remain at 
8% by Jan 2015 and 6% by Jan 2016. 
– Repo rate (short term lending rate) unchanged at 8%. 
– Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) unchanged at 4%. 
– Statutory Liquidity Ratio (used for unlocking banking funds) 
retained at 22%. 
– The liquidity rate under Export Credit Refinance (ECR) reduced 
from 32% to 15% (w.e.f. 10 October 2014).
International Capital Market
International Capital Markets 
• International capital markets are a group of markets (in 
London, Tokyo, New York, Singapore, and other financial cities) 
that trade different types of financial and physical capital 
(assets), including 
– stocks 
– bonds (government and corporate) 
– bank deposits denominated in different currencies 
– commodities (like petroleum, wheat, bauxite, gold) 
– forward contracts, futures contracts, swaps, options contracts 
– real estate and land 
– factories and equipment
Gains from Trade 
• How have international capital markets increased the gains 
from trade? 
• When a buyer and a seller engage in a voluntary transaction, 
both receive something that they want and both can be made 
better off. 
• A buyer and seller can trade 
– goods or services for other goods or services 
– goods or services for assets 
– assets for assets
Gains from Trade Cont…
Gains from Trade 
• The theory of comparative advantage describes the 
gains from trade of goods and services for other 
goods and services: 
– with a finite amount of resources and time, use those 
resources and time to produce what you are most 
productive at (compared to alternatives), then trade those 
products for goods and services that you want. 
– be a specialist in production, while enjoying many goods 
and services as a consumer through trade.
Cont… 
• The theory of inter-temporal trade describes the gains from 
trade of goods and services for assets, of goods and services 
today for claims to goods and services in the future (today’s 
assets). 
– Savers want to buy assets (future goods and services) 
and borrowers want to use assets (wealth) to consume or invest in 
more goods and services than they can buy with current income. 
– Savers earn a rate of return on their assets, while borrowers are able 
to use goods and services when they want to use them: they both can 
be made better off.
Cont… 
• The theory of portfolio diversification describes the 
gains from trade of assets for assets, of assets with 
one type of risk with assets of another type of risk. 
– Many times in economics (though not in Las Vegas) people 
want to avoid risk: they would rather have a sure gain of 
wealth than invest in risky assets. 
– Economists say that investors often display risk aversion: 
they are averse to risk. 
– Diversifying or “mixing up” a portfolio of assets is a way for 
investors to avoid or reduce risk.
Portfolio Diversification 
• With portfolio diversification, both countries could always 
enjoy a moderate potato yield and not experience the 
vicissitudes of feast and famine. 
– If the domestic country’s yield is 20 and the foreign country’s yield is 
100 then both countries receive: 
50%*20 + 50%*100 = 60. 
– If the domestic country’s yield is 100 and the foreign country’s yield is 
20 then both countries receive: 
50%*100 + 50%*20 = 60. 
– If both countries are risk averse, then both countries could be made 
better off through portfolio diversification.
Classification of Assets 
Claims on assets (“instruments”) are classified as either 
1. Debt instruments 
Examples include bonds and bank deposits 
They specify that the issuer of the instrument must repay 
a fixed value regardless of economic circumstances. 
2. Equity instruments 
Examples include stocks or a title to real estate 
They specify ownership (equity = ownership) of variable profits or 
returns, which vary according to economic conditions.
International Capital Markets 
The participants: 
1. Commercial banks and other depository 
institutions: 
– accept deposits 
– lend to governments, corporations, other banks, and/or 
individuals 
– buy and sell bonds and other assets 
– Some commercial banks underwrite stocks and bonds by 
agreeing to find buyers for those assets at a specified 
price.
Cont… 
2. Non bank financial institutions: pension funds, insurance 
companies, mutual funds, investment banks 
– Pension funds accept funds from workers and invest them until the 
workers retire. 
– Insurance companies accept premiums from policy holders and 
invest them until an accident or another unexpected event occurs. 
– Mutual funds accept funds from investors and invest them in a 
diversified portfolio of stocks. 
– Investment banks specialize in underwriting stocks and bonds and 
perform various types of investments.
Cont.. 
3. Private firms: 
– Corporations may issue stock, may issue bonds or may borrow from 
commercial banks or other lenders to acquire funds for investment 
purposes. 
– Other private firms may issue bonds or borrow from commercial 
banks. 
4. Central banks and government agencies: 
– Central banks sometimes intervene in foreign exchange markets. 
– Government agencies issue bonds to acquire funds, and may borrow 
from commercial or investment banks.
Cont… 
• Because of international capital markets, policy 
makers generally have a choice of 2 of the 
following 3 policies: 
1. A fixed exchange rate 
2. Monetary policy aimed at achieving domestic 
economic goals 
3. Free international flows of financial capital
Cont… 
• A fixed exchange rate and an independent monetary policy 
can exist if restrictions on flows of financial capital prevent 
speculation and capital flight. 
• Independent monetary policy and free flows of financial 
capital can exist when the exchange rate fluctuates. 
• A fixed exchange rate and free flows of financial capital can 
exist if the central bank gives up its domestic goals and 
maintains the fixed exchange rate.
Introduction to Credit Rating 
Agencies
Credit Rating 
• A credit rating estimates the credit worthiness of an a financial 
security, a corporation, local government or even a country. 
• It is an evaluation made by credit reporting agency of a risk of 
buying into a specific security offering and based on a number 
of factors. 
• Credit ratings are calculated from financial history and current 
assets and liabilities. 
• Typically, a credit rating tells a lender or investor the 
probability of the subject being able to meet payment 
requirements for interest and principal repayment.
What is a credit rating? 
• An opinion on the issuer's capacity to meet its financial 
obligations on a particular issue in a timely manner, for 
example long-term bonds:
Credit Rating Agency 
A Credit Rating Agency (CRA) is a company that 
is responsible for assessing the financial 
strength of a company or government entity. 
This includes domestic and foreign companies. 
The main area that a credit rating agency 
focuses on is the ability of the company or 
government entity to meet the interest and 
principle payments on their debts and bonds.
Functions of Credit Rating Agency 
• Provide easy to understand information: Rating agencies gather 
information, then analyze information to interpret and summarize 
complex information in a simple and readily understood manner. 
• Provide basis for investment: An investment rated by a credit rating 
enjoys higher confidence from investors. Investors can make an 
estimate of the risk and return associated with a particular rated issue 
while investing money in them. 
• Healthy discipline on corporate borrowers: Higher credit rating to 
any credit investment makes the financial instrument (bond, mortgage 
security) more attractive to investors. Corporations can borrow money 
more cheaply if they maintain high credit ratings on their debt. 
• Formation of public policy: Once the debt securities are rated 
professionally, it would be easier to formulate public policy guidelines 
as to the eligibility of securities to be included in different kinds of 
institutional portfolios.
How ratings are established?
Rating Agencies 
• International: 
– Moody’s Investment Services 
– Standard and Poor’s 
– Fitch Rating 
• National 
– Fitch Ratings 
– CRISIL ( 
– CIBIL (Credit Information Bureau (India) Limited)
Rating Scales used by Major Credit Raters
International Monetary System
International Monetary System 
• International monetary systems are sets of 
internationally agreed rules, conventions and 
supporting institutions, that facilitate international 
trade, cross border investment and generally there 
allocation of capital between nation states. 
• International monetary system refers to the 
system prevailing in world foreign exchange 
markets through which international trade and 
capital movement are financed and exchange rates 
are determined.
Cont.. 
• The International Monetary System is part of 
the institutional framework that binds 
national economies, such a system permits 
producers to specialize in those goods for 
which they have a comparative advantage, 
and serves to seek profitable investment 
opportunities on a global basis.
Features that IMS should possess 
• Flow of international trade and investment 
according to comparative advantage. 
• Stability in foreign exchange and should be 
stable. 
• Promoting Balance of Payments adjustments to 
prevent disruptions associated with temporary 
or chronic imbalances. 
• Providing countries with sufficient liquidity to 
finance temporary balance of payments 
deficits.
• Should at least try avoid adding further 
uncertainty. 
• Allowing member countries to pursue 
independent monetary and fiscal policies.
Stages in IMS 
• Classic Gold Standard (1816 – 1914) 
• Interwar Period (1918 – 1939) 
• Bretton Woods System (1944 – 1971) 
• Present International Monetary System (1971
Classical Gold Standard 
(1816 – 1914)
Classical Gold Standard 
• 22nd June 1816, Great Britain declared the gold 
currency as official national currency (Lord Liverpool’s 
Act). On 1st May 1821 the convertibility of Pound 
Sterling into gold was legally guaranteed. 
• Other countries pegged their currencies to the British 
Pound, which made it a reserve currency. This 
happened while the British more and more dominated 
international finance and trade relations. 
• At the end of the 19th century, the Pound was used for 
two thirds of world trade and most foreign exchange 
reserves were held in this currency.
• Between 1810 and 1833 the United States had 
de facto the silver standard. In 1834 (Coinage 
Act of 1834), the government set the gold-silver 
exchange rate to 16:1 which implemented a de 
facto gold standard. 
• In 1879 the United States set the gold price to 
US$ 20,67 and returned to the gold standard. 
With the “Gold Standard Act” of 1900, gold 
became an official instrument of payment.
• From the 1870s to the outbreak of World War I in 
1914, the world benefited from a well integrated 
financial order, sometimes known as the First age 
of Globalization. Money unions were operating 
which effectively allowed members to accept 
each others currency as legal tender including the 
Latin Monetary Union and Scandinavian 
monetary union 
• In the absence of shared membership of a union, 
transactions were facilitated by widespread 
participation in the gold standard, by both 
independent nations and their colonies
Rules of the System 
• Each country defined the value of its currency 
in terms of gold. 
• Exchange rate between any two currencies 
was calculated as X currency per ounce of 
gold/ Y currency per ounce of gold. 
• These exchange rates were set by arbitrage 
depending on the transportation costs of gold. 
• Central banks are restricted in not being able 
to issue more currency than gold reserves.
Arguments in Favour of Gold Standard 
• Price Stability:- 
By tying the money supply to the supply of gold, 
central banks are unable to expand the money 
supply. 
• Facilitates BOP adjustment automatically:- 
The basic idea is that a country that runs a current 
account deficit needs to export money (gold) to 
the countries that run a surplus. The surplus of 
gold reduces the deficit country’s money supply 
and increases the surplus country’s money supply.
Arguments against Gold Standard 
• The growth of output and the growth of gold 
supplies needs to be closely linked. For example, if 
the supply of gold increased faster than the supply 
of goods did there would be inflationary pressure. 
Conversely, if output increased faster than 
supplies of gold did there would be deflationary 
pressure. 
• Volatility in the supply of gold could cause adverse 
shocks to the economy, rapid changes in the 
supply of gold would cause rapid changes in the 
supply of money and cause wild fluctuations in 
prices that could prove quite disruptive
• In practice monetary authorities may not be 
forced to strictly tie their hands in limiting the 
creation of money. 
• Countries with respectable monetary policy 
makers cannot use monetary policy to fight 
domestic issues like unemployment.
Interwar Period (1918 – 1939)
Interwar Period 
• The years between the world wars have been 
described as a period of de-globalization, as both 
international trade and capital flows shrank 
compared to the period before World War I. 
During World War I countries had abandoned the 
gold standard and, except for the United States. 
• The onset of the World Wars saw the end of the 
gold standard as countries, other than the U.S., 
stopped making their currencies convertible and 
started printing money to pay for war related 
expenses.
• After the war, with high rates of inflation and a 
large stock of outstanding money, a return to the 
old gold standard was only possible through a 
deep recession inducing monetary contraction as 
practiced by the British afterWW I. 
• The focus shifted from external cooperation to 
internal reconstruction and events like the Great 
Depression further illustrated the breakdown of 
the international monetary system, bringing such 
bad policy moves such as a deep monetary 
contraction in the face of a recession.
Conditions Prior to Bretton Woods 
• Prior to WW I major national currencies were on a 
system of fixed exchange rates under the 
international gold standards. This system had been 
abandoned during WW I. 
• There were fluctuating exchange rates from the 
end of the War to 1925. But it collapsed with the 
happening of the Great Depression. 
• Many countries resorted to protectionism and 
competitive devaluation. But depression 
disappeared during WW II
BRETTON WOODS (1945-1971) 
• British and American policy makers began to plan 
the post war international monetary system in the 
early 1940s. 
• The objective was to create an order that 
combined the benefits of an integrated and 
relatively liberal international system with the 
freedom for governments to pursue domestic 
policies aimed at promoting full employment and 
social wellbeing. 
• The principal architects of the new system, John 
Maynard Keynes and Harry Dexter White
• Bretton Woods is a little town in New Hampshire, 
famous mostly for good skiing. In July 1944, the 
International Monetary and Financial Conference 
organized by the U.N attempted to put together an 
international financial system that eliminated the chaos 
of the inter-war years. 
• The terms of the agreement were negotiated by 44 
nations, led by the U.S and Britain. The main hope of 
creating a new financial system was to stabilize 
exchange rates, provide capital for reconstruction from 
the war and foment international cooperation.
Features of Bretton Woods System 
• The features of the Bretton Woods system can be 
described as a “gold-exchange” standard rather 
than a “gold-standard”. The key difference was 
that the dollar was the only currency that was 
backed by and convertible into gold. (The rate 
initially was $35 an ounce of gold 
• Other countries would have an “adjustable peg” 
basically, they were exchangeable at a fixed rate 
against the dollar, although the rate could be 
readjusted at certain times under certain 
conditions.
• Each country was allowed to have a 1% band 
around which their currency was allowed to 
fluctuate around the fixed rate. Except on the 
rare occasions when the par value was allowed 
to be readjusted, countries would have to 
intervene to ensure that the currency stayed in 
the required band. 
• The IMF was created with the specific goal of 
being the multilateral body that monitored the 
implementation of the Bretton Woods 
agreement.
• Its role was to hold gold reserves and currency 
reserves that were contributed by the member 
countries and then lend this money out to other 
nations that had difficulty meeting their obligations 
under the agreement. 
• The borrowing was classified into tranches, each 
with attached conditions that became 
progressively stricter. This enabled the IMF to force 
countries to adjust excess fiscal deficits, tighten 
monetary policy etc, and force them to be more 
consistent with their obligations under the 
agreement.
The Demise of the Bretton Woods System 
• In the early post-war period, the U.S. government had to 
provide dollar reserves to all countries who wanted to 
intervene in their currency markets. Lead to problem of lack of 
international liquidity. 
• The increasing supply of dollars worldwide, made available 
through programs like the Marshall Plan, meant that the 
credibility of the gold backing of the dollar was in question. U.S. 
dollars held abroad grew rapidly and this represented a claim 
on U.S. gold stocks and cast some doubt on the U.S.’s ability to 
convert dollars into gold upon request.

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Monetary Policy

  • 2. Monetary Policy It is concerned with the changing the supply of money stock and rate of interest for the purpose of stabilizing the economy at full employment or potential output level by influencing the level of aggregate demand. At times of recession monetary policy involves the adoption of some monetary tools which tends to increase the money supply and lower interest rate so as to stimulate aggregate demand in the economy. At the time of inflation monetary policy seeks to contract aggregate spending by tightening the money supply or raising the rate of return.
  • 3. Objectives • To ensure the economic stability at full employment or potential level of output. • To achieve price stability by controlling inflation and deflation. • To promote and encourage economic growth in the economy.
  • 4. Tools of Monetary Policy • Bank rate policy • Open market operations • Changing cash reserve ratio • Undertaking selective credit controls
  • 5. Bank Rate Policy • Bank rate is the minimum rate at which the central bank of a country provides loan to the commercial bank of the country. • Bank rate is also called discount rate because bank provide finance to the commercial bank by rediscounting the bills of exchange. • When general bank raises the bank rate, the commercial bank raises their lending rates, it results in less borrowings and reduces money supply in the economy.
  • 6. Limitations • Well organized money market should exist in the economy. It is not present in India • It is use full during the times of inflation but it does not full fill its purpose during the time of recession or depression.
  • 7. Open Market Operations • It means the purchase and sale of securities by central bank of the country. • It is useful for the developed countries. • The sale of security by the central bank leads to contraction of credit and purchase there of to credit expansion.
  • 8. Limitations • When the central bank purchases the securities the cash reserve of member bank will be increased and vise versa. • The bank will expand and contract credit according to prevailing economic and political circumstances and not merely with reference to their cash reserves. • When the commercial bank cash balance increase the demand for loan and advance should increase. This may not happen due to economic and political uncertainty. • The circulation of bank credit should have a constant velocity.
  • 9. Changing Cash Reserve Ratio • The bank have to keep certain amount of bank money with them selves as reserves against deposits. • The increase in the cash rate leads to the contraction of credit only when the banks excess reserves. • The decrease in the cash rate leads to the expansion of credit and banks tends to make more available to borrowers.
  • 10. Expansionary Monetary Policy Problem: Recession and unemployment Measures: (1) Central bank buys securities through open market operation (2) It reduces cash reserves ratio (3) It lowers the bank rate Money supply increases Investment increases Aggregate demand increases Aggregate output increases by a multiple of the increase in investment
  • 11. Tight Monetary Policy Problem: Inflation Measures: (1) Central bank sells securities through open market operation (2) It raises cash reserve ratio and statutory liquidity (3) It raises bank rate (4) It raises maximum margin against holding of stocks of goods Money supply decreases Interest rate raises Investment expenditure declines Aggregate demand declines Price level falls
  • 12. Sources of Monetary Mismanagement • Variable time lags concerning the effect of money supply on the national income. • Treating Interest rate as the target of monetary policy for influencing investment demand for stabilizing the economy.
  • 13. Role of Monetary Policy in Economic Growth • Monetary policy and savings. • Monetary policy and investment. – Cost of credit.. – Monetary policy and public investment. – Monetary policy and private investment. • Allocation of investment funds.
  • 14. Monetary Policy of RBI • In recent years starting from the mid-nineties promoting economic growth is being given greater emphasis in monetary policy of RBI. • Three sub-periods: – Monetary policy of controlled examination(1951-1972). – Monetary policy in the pre-reforms period(1972-1991) . – Monetary policy in the post-reforms period(1991- 2000).
  • 15. Monetary policy of controlled examination(1951-1972) • Reserve bank’s responsibility in the circumstances is mainly to moderate the expansion of credit and money supply in such a way as to ensure the legitimate requirements of industry and trade and curb the use of credit for unproductive and speculative purposes. • To ensure controlled expansion, RBI used the instruments: – Changes in bank rate – Changes in cash reserve ratio – Selective credit control
  • 16. Monetary policy in the pre-reforms period(1972-1991) • Price situation worsened during the years of 1972-1974 to contain inflationary pressures RBI further tightened its monetary policy. • It is similar to tight monetary policy.
  • 17. Easy and Liberal Monetary Policy(1996) • Liberal monetary policy adopted for encouraging private sector since 1996. • Two instrument for monetary management BY RBI since 1996: – Reactivation of bank rate. – Repo rate system .
  • 18. Repo Rate System • It is introduced through which RBI can add to liquidity in the banking system. Through repo system RBI buys securities from the bank and there by provide funds to them. • Repo refers to agreement for a transaction between RBI and banks through which RBI supplies funds immediately against government securities and simultaneously agree to repurchase the same or similar securities after a specified time which may be one day to 14 days.
  • 19. Liquidity Adjustment Facility • It is the another instrument of monetary policy from June 2000 to adjust on a daily basis liquidity in the banking system. • Through LAF, RBI regulates short-term interest rates while its bank rate policy serves as a signaling device for its interest rate policy in the intermediate period.
  • 20. 4th Bi-monthly Monetary Policy • The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) presented its 4th Bi-monthly Monetary Policy review on 30 September 2014. • RBI kept the major rates unchanged as the central bank kept its focus on tackling inflation. Following are the major rates and projections coming out of this review: – GDP growth rate projected at 5.5% for current fiscal. – The high growth rate during Q-1 (Apr-June 2014) may not be sustained in Q-2 and Q-3. – Consumer Price Index (CPI)-based inflation projected to remain at 8% by Jan 2015 and 6% by Jan 2016. – Repo rate (short term lending rate) unchanged at 8%. – Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) unchanged at 4%. – Statutory Liquidity Ratio (used for unlocking banking funds) retained at 22%. – The liquidity rate under Export Credit Refinance (ECR) reduced from 32% to 15% (w.e.f. 10 October 2014).
  • 22. International Capital Markets • International capital markets are a group of markets (in London, Tokyo, New York, Singapore, and other financial cities) that trade different types of financial and physical capital (assets), including – stocks – bonds (government and corporate) – bank deposits denominated in different currencies – commodities (like petroleum, wheat, bauxite, gold) – forward contracts, futures contracts, swaps, options contracts – real estate and land – factories and equipment
  • 23. Gains from Trade • How have international capital markets increased the gains from trade? • When a buyer and a seller engage in a voluntary transaction, both receive something that they want and both can be made better off. • A buyer and seller can trade – goods or services for other goods or services – goods or services for assets – assets for assets
  • 24. Gains from Trade Cont…
  • 25. Gains from Trade • The theory of comparative advantage describes the gains from trade of goods and services for other goods and services: – with a finite amount of resources and time, use those resources and time to produce what you are most productive at (compared to alternatives), then trade those products for goods and services that you want. – be a specialist in production, while enjoying many goods and services as a consumer through trade.
  • 26. Cont… • The theory of inter-temporal trade describes the gains from trade of goods and services for assets, of goods and services today for claims to goods and services in the future (today’s assets). – Savers want to buy assets (future goods and services) and borrowers want to use assets (wealth) to consume or invest in more goods and services than they can buy with current income. – Savers earn a rate of return on their assets, while borrowers are able to use goods and services when they want to use them: they both can be made better off.
  • 27. Cont… • The theory of portfolio diversification describes the gains from trade of assets for assets, of assets with one type of risk with assets of another type of risk. – Many times in economics (though not in Las Vegas) people want to avoid risk: they would rather have a sure gain of wealth than invest in risky assets. – Economists say that investors often display risk aversion: they are averse to risk. – Diversifying or “mixing up” a portfolio of assets is a way for investors to avoid or reduce risk.
  • 28. Portfolio Diversification • With portfolio diversification, both countries could always enjoy a moderate potato yield and not experience the vicissitudes of feast and famine. – If the domestic country’s yield is 20 and the foreign country’s yield is 100 then both countries receive: 50%*20 + 50%*100 = 60. – If the domestic country’s yield is 100 and the foreign country’s yield is 20 then both countries receive: 50%*100 + 50%*20 = 60. – If both countries are risk averse, then both countries could be made better off through portfolio diversification.
  • 29. Classification of Assets Claims on assets (“instruments”) are classified as either 1. Debt instruments Examples include bonds and bank deposits They specify that the issuer of the instrument must repay a fixed value regardless of economic circumstances. 2. Equity instruments Examples include stocks or a title to real estate They specify ownership (equity = ownership) of variable profits or returns, which vary according to economic conditions.
  • 30. International Capital Markets The participants: 1. Commercial banks and other depository institutions: – accept deposits – lend to governments, corporations, other banks, and/or individuals – buy and sell bonds and other assets – Some commercial banks underwrite stocks and bonds by agreeing to find buyers for those assets at a specified price.
  • 31. Cont… 2. Non bank financial institutions: pension funds, insurance companies, mutual funds, investment banks – Pension funds accept funds from workers and invest them until the workers retire. – Insurance companies accept premiums from policy holders and invest them until an accident or another unexpected event occurs. – Mutual funds accept funds from investors and invest them in a diversified portfolio of stocks. – Investment banks specialize in underwriting stocks and bonds and perform various types of investments.
  • 32. Cont.. 3. Private firms: – Corporations may issue stock, may issue bonds or may borrow from commercial banks or other lenders to acquire funds for investment purposes. – Other private firms may issue bonds or borrow from commercial banks. 4. Central banks and government agencies: – Central banks sometimes intervene in foreign exchange markets. – Government agencies issue bonds to acquire funds, and may borrow from commercial or investment banks.
  • 33. Cont… • Because of international capital markets, policy makers generally have a choice of 2 of the following 3 policies: 1. A fixed exchange rate 2. Monetary policy aimed at achieving domestic economic goals 3. Free international flows of financial capital
  • 34. Cont… • A fixed exchange rate and an independent monetary policy can exist if restrictions on flows of financial capital prevent speculation and capital flight. • Independent monetary policy and free flows of financial capital can exist when the exchange rate fluctuates. • A fixed exchange rate and free flows of financial capital can exist if the central bank gives up its domestic goals and maintains the fixed exchange rate.
  • 35. Introduction to Credit Rating Agencies
  • 36. Credit Rating • A credit rating estimates the credit worthiness of an a financial security, a corporation, local government or even a country. • It is an evaluation made by credit reporting agency of a risk of buying into a specific security offering and based on a number of factors. • Credit ratings are calculated from financial history and current assets and liabilities. • Typically, a credit rating tells a lender or investor the probability of the subject being able to meet payment requirements for interest and principal repayment.
  • 37. What is a credit rating? • An opinion on the issuer's capacity to meet its financial obligations on a particular issue in a timely manner, for example long-term bonds:
  • 38. Credit Rating Agency A Credit Rating Agency (CRA) is a company that is responsible for assessing the financial strength of a company or government entity. This includes domestic and foreign companies. The main area that a credit rating agency focuses on is the ability of the company or government entity to meet the interest and principle payments on their debts and bonds.
  • 39. Functions of Credit Rating Agency • Provide easy to understand information: Rating agencies gather information, then analyze information to interpret and summarize complex information in a simple and readily understood manner. • Provide basis for investment: An investment rated by a credit rating enjoys higher confidence from investors. Investors can make an estimate of the risk and return associated with a particular rated issue while investing money in them. • Healthy discipline on corporate borrowers: Higher credit rating to any credit investment makes the financial instrument (bond, mortgage security) more attractive to investors. Corporations can borrow money more cheaply if they maintain high credit ratings on their debt. • Formation of public policy: Once the debt securities are rated professionally, it would be easier to formulate public policy guidelines as to the eligibility of securities to be included in different kinds of institutional portfolios.
  • 40. How ratings are established?
  • 41. Rating Agencies • International: – Moody’s Investment Services – Standard and Poor’s – Fitch Rating • National – Fitch Ratings – CRISIL ( – CIBIL (Credit Information Bureau (India) Limited)
  • 42. Rating Scales used by Major Credit Raters
  • 44. International Monetary System • International monetary systems are sets of internationally agreed rules, conventions and supporting institutions, that facilitate international trade, cross border investment and generally there allocation of capital between nation states. • International monetary system refers to the system prevailing in world foreign exchange markets through which international trade and capital movement are financed and exchange rates are determined.
  • 45. Cont.. • The International Monetary System is part of the institutional framework that binds national economies, such a system permits producers to specialize in those goods for which they have a comparative advantage, and serves to seek profitable investment opportunities on a global basis.
  • 46. Features that IMS should possess • Flow of international trade and investment according to comparative advantage. • Stability in foreign exchange and should be stable. • Promoting Balance of Payments adjustments to prevent disruptions associated with temporary or chronic imbalances. • Providing countries with sufficient liquidity to finance temporary balance of payments deficits.
  • 47. • Should at least try avoid adding further uncertainty. • Allowing member countries to pursue independent monetary and fiscal policies.
  • 48. Stages in IMS • Classic Gold Standard (1816 – 1914) • Interwar Period (1918 – 1939) • Bretton Woods System (1944 – 1971) • Present International Monetary System (1971
  • 49. Classical Gold Standard (1816 – 1914)
  • 50. Classical Gold Standard • 22nd June 1816, Great Britain declared the gold currency as official national currency (Lord Liverpool’s Act). On 1st May 1821 the convertibility of Pound Sterling into gold was legally guaranteed. • Other countries pegged their currencies to the British Pound, which made it a reserve currency. This happened while the British more and more dominated international finance and trade relations. • At the end of the 19th century, the Pound was used for two thirds of world trade and most foreign exchange reserves were held in this currency.
  • 51. • Between 1810 and 1833 the United States had de facto the silver standard. In 1834 (Coinage Act of 1834), the government set the gold-silver exchange rate to 16:1 which implemented a de facto gold standard. • In 1879 the United States set the gold price to US$ 20,67 and returned to the gold standard. With the “Gold Standard Act” of 1900, gold became an official instrument of payment.
  • 52. • From the 1870s to the outbreak of World War I in 1914, the world benefited from a well integrated financial order, sometimes known as the First age of Globalization. Money unions were operating which effectively allowed members to accept each others currency as legal tender including the Latin Monetary Union and Scandinavian monetary union • In the absence of shared membership of a union, transactions were facilitated by widespread participation in the gold standard, by both independent nations and their colonies
  • 53. Rules of the System • Each country defined the value of its currency in terms of gold. • Exchange rate between any two currencies was calculated as X currency per ounce of gold/ Y currency per ounce of gold. • These exchange rates were set by arbitrage depending on the transportation costs of gold. • Central banks are restricted in not being able to issue more currency than gold reserves.
  • 54. Arguments in Favour of Gold Standard • Price Stability:- By tying the money supply to the supply of gold, central banks are unable to expand the money supply. • Facilitates BOP adjustment automatically:- The basic idea is that a country that runs a current account deficit needs to export money (gold) to the countries that run a surplus. The surplus of gold reduces the deficit country’s money supply and increases the surplus country’s money supply.
  • 55. Arguments against Gold Standard • The growth of output and the growth of gold supplies needs to be closely linked. For example, if the supply of gold increased faster than the supply of goods did there would be inflationary pressure. Conversely, if output increased faster than supplies of gold did there would be deflationary pressure. • Volatility in the supply of gold could cause adverse shocks to the economy, rapid changes in the supply of gold would cause rapid changes in the supply of money and cause wild fluctuations in prices that could prove quite disruptive
  • 56. • In practice monetary authorities may not be forced to strictly tie their hands in limiting the creation of money. • Countries with respectable monetary policy makers cannot use monetary policy to fight domestic issues like unemployment.
  • 58. Interwar Period • The years between the world wars have been described as a period of de-globalization, as both international trade and capital flows shrank compared to the period before World War I. During World War I countries had abandoned the gold standard and, except for the United States. • The onset of the World Wars saw the end of the gold standard as countries, other than the U.S., stopped making their currencies convertible and started printing money to pay for war related expenses.
  • 59. • After the war, with high rates of inflation and a large stock of outstanding money, a return to the old gold standard was only possible through a deep recession inducing monetary contraction as practiced by the British afterWW I. • The focus shifted from external cooperation to internal reconstruction and events like the Great Depression further illustrated the breakdown of the international monetary system, bringing such bad policy moves such as a deep monetary contraction in the face of a recession.
  • 60. Conditions Prior to Bretton Woods • Prior to WW I major national currencies were on a system of fixed exchange rates under the international gold standards. This system had been abandoned during WW I. • There were fluctuating exchange rates from the end of the War to 1925. But it collapsed with the happening of the Great Depression. • Many countries resorted to protectionism and competitive devaluation. But depression disappeared during WW II
  • 61. BRETTON WOODS (1945-1971) • British and American policy makers began to plan the post war international monetary system in the early 1940s. • The objective was to create an order that combined the benefits of an integrated and relatively liberal international system with the freedom for governments to pursue domestic policies aimed at promoting full employment and social wellbeing. • The principal architects of the new system, John Maynard Keynes and Harry Dexter White
  • 62. • Bretton Woods is a little town in New Hampshire, famous mostly for good skiing. In July 1944, the International Monetary and Financial Conference organized by the U.N attempted to put together an international financial system that eliminated the chaos of the inter-war years. • The terms of the agreement were negotiated by 44 nations, led by the U.S and Britain. The main hope of creating a new financial system was to stabilize exchange rates, provide capital for reconstruction from the war and foment international cooperation.
  • 63. Features of Bretton Woods System • The features of the Bretton Woods system can be described as a “gold-exchange” standard rather than a “gold-standard”. The key difference was that the dollar was the only currency that was backed by and convertible into gold. (The rate initially was $35 an ounce of gold • Other countries would have an “adjustable peg” basically, they were exchangeable at a fixed rate against the dollar, although the rate could be readjusted at certain times under certain conditions.
  • 64. • Each country was allowed to have a 1% band around which their currency was allowed to fluctuate around the fixed rate. Except on the rare occasions when the par value was allowed to be readjusted, countries would have to intervene to ensure that the currency stayed in the required band. • The IMF was created with the specific goal of being the multilateral body that monitored the implementation of the Bretton Woods agreement.
  • 65. • Its role was to hold gold reserves and currency reserves that were contributed by the member countries and then lend this money out to other nations that had difficulty meeting their obligations under the agreement. • The borrowing was classified into tranches, each with attached conditions that became progressively stricter. This enabled the IMF to force countries to adjust excess fiscal deficits, tighten monetary policy etc, and force them to be more consistent with their obligations under the agreement.
  • 66. The Demise of the Bretton Woods System • In the early post-war period, the U.S. government had to provide dollar reserves to all countries who wanted to intervene in their currency markets. Lead to problem of lack of international liquidity. • The increasing supply of dollars worldwide, made available through programs like the Marshall Plan, meant that the credibility of the gold backing of the dollar was in question. U.S. dollars held abroad grew rapidly and this represented a claim on U.S. gold stocks and cast some doubt on the U.S.’s ability to convert dollars into gold upon request.