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Millennials in a Changing U.S.
Kim Parker
May 8, 2015
Director, Social Trends Research
May 15, 2015 2www.pewresearch.org
Overview:
• Generations and the changing face of America
• Outlook and political views
• Coming of age and the Great Recession
• Experiences and lifestyle
GENERATIONS AND THE CHANGING
FACE OF AMERICA
May 15, 2015 www.pewresearch.org 3
May 15, 2015 4www.pewresearch.org
The Generations Defined
Note: * The youngest Millennials are in their teens. No chronological end point has been set for this group.
The “Greatest Generation,” which includes those born before 1928, is not included in the analysis due to the small sample size.
The Millennial Generation
Age: 18 to 34*
Born after 1980
Generation X
Age: 35 to 50
Born 1965 to1980
The Baby Boom Generation
Age: 51 to 69
Born 1946 to 1964
The Silent Generation
Age: 70 to 87
Born 1928 to 1945
May 15, 2015 5www.pewresearch.org
Millennials Will Overtake Boomers in 2015
Projected populations, in millions, 2014 to 2050
Source: Pew Research Center tabulations of U.S. Census Bureau population projections released December 2014
81
66
65
75
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1/1/2014 1/1/2024 1/1/2034 1/1/2044
Boomers
Millennials
Silents
Gen X-ers
May 15, 2015 6www.pewresearch.org
The Changing Face of America, 1960-2060
% of the total population
Note: Data labels not showing if less than 5%. White, black, Asian and “all other” include only non-Hispanics who identify as a single race. Hispanics are of any race.
Asians include Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders. All other includes American Indians/Alaska Natives in all years and those who reported two or more
races beginning in 2000.
Source: Pew Research Center historic population estimates for 1960–1990 (Passel and Cohn, “US Population Projections: 2005–2050,” Feb. 11, 2008). Census
Bureau population estimates for 2000–2010 and projections for 2015–2060
85 83 80 76
69
64
10 11
12
12
12
12
4 5 6
9
13
16
5
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Actual
60
55
51
47 43
13
13
13
13
13
19
22
25
28
31
6 6 7 8 8
5 6
2020 2030 2040 2050 2060
- White
- Black
- Hispanic
- Asian
- All other
Projected
May 15, 2015 7www.pewresearch.org
U.S. Population, by Race and Age, 2014
Note: Whites include only non-Hispanics.
Source: Current Population Survey, March 2014
% of each age group
52
63
78
48
37
22
Younger than 18
18 to 64
65 and older
White Non-white
Millennials
43%
OUTLOOK AND POLITICAL VIEWS
May 15, 2015 www.pewresearch.org 8
May 15, 2015 9www.pewresearch.org
Millennials: Unmoored from Institutions
May 15, 2015 10www.pewresearch.org
Millennials More Liberal than Older Generations
% of each generation who identify as liberal
Source: Data points represent totals based on all Pew Research surveys of the general public conducted in that calendar year
13
17
25
27
2001 2005 2009 2013
24% Gen X
31% Millennial
21% Boomer
18% Silent
2014
May 15, 2015 11www.pewresearch.org
Millennials at Leading Edge of Changing Views on
Gay Marriage
% of each generation who favor allowing gays and lesbians to marry legally
Source: Data points represent totals based on all Pew Research surveys of the general public conducted in that calendar year
21
32
49 44
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
55% Gen X
68% Millennial
48% Boomer
38% Silent
May 15, 2015 12www.pewresearch.org
Growing Support for Marijuana Legalization
% saying use of marijuana should be made legal
Source: Pew Research Center survey, Feb. 12-26, 2014. 1973-2008 data from General Social Survey: 1969 and 1972 data from
Gallup
15
30 Silent
43
52 Boomer
21
53 Gen X
34
69 Millennial
1969 1978 1987 1996 2005 2014
May 15, 2015 13www.pewresearch.org
Millennials Have More Progressive Views on
Key Trends in Marriage and Family
% saying … is a “good thing for American society”
Source: Pew Research survey, Feb. 14-23, 2014
50
35
38
24
33
21
19
11
Millennial Gen X Boomer Silent
More people of different races
marrying each other
More gay and lesbian couples
raising children
COMING OF AGE AND THE GREAT RECESSION
May 15, 2015 www.pewresearch.org 14
May 15, 2015 15www.pewresearch.org
The Recession’s Impact on Millennials
% of 18-34 year-olds saying they have done each in recent years
because of economic conditions
Source: Pew Research survey, Dec. 6-19, 2011
49
35
24
24
22
20
Taken a job just to pay the bills
Gone back to school
Taken an unpaid job/internship
Postponed getting married
Moved back in with parents
Postponed having a baby
May 15, 2015 16www.pewresearch.org
Young Adults Now Much More Likely than Older Adults to
Live in Poverty
Share of households in poverty, by age of householder, 1967-2011
Source: Pew Research Center analysis of the Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement, IPUMS
22
10
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
1967 1977 1987 1997 2007
Younger than 35
65 and older
%
2011
May 15, 2015 17www.pewresearch.org
Sagging Wages for Millennial Men
Note: Estimates are for civilian, non-institutionalized, full- and part-time employed workers with positive earnings. Self-employed
workers are excluded.
Source: Pew Research Center tabulations of Current Population Survey data.
$10
$15
$20
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
Women
ages 25-34
Men
ages 25-34
2012
Men
Women
Median hourly earnings (in 2012 dollars), 1980-2012
EXPERIENCES AND LIFESTYLE
May 15, 2015 www.pewresearch.org 18
May 15, 2015 19www.pewresearch.org
The Decline in Marriage
Current marital status, 1960-2012
Source: Pew Research calculations of Decennial Census and American Community Survey data
72
50
5
14
9
6
15
29
0
20
40
60
80
100
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Never married Widowed Divorced or separated Married
2012
May 15, 2015 20www.pewresearch.org
Public Divided Over Value of Marriage for Society
% saying society is …
Source: Pew Research Center survey, Jan 23-Mar 16, 2014 (N=10,013)
50%
46%
Better off if marriage
and children are
a priority
Just as well off if
people have priorities
other than marriage
and children
Neither, Both equally,
Don’t know (VOL.)
5
May 15, 2015 21www.pewresearch.org
Generational Divide on Importance of Marriage
% saying “Society is just as well off if people have priorities other than
marriage and children”
Source: Pew Research Center survey, Jan. 23-Mar 16, 2014 (N=10,013)
65
51
43
30
Millennial
Gen X
Boomer
Silent
May 15, 2015 22www.pewresearch.org
The Decline in Marriage Among the Young
Source: Data from 1980, 1997 and 2013 are from the March Current Population Survey; 1960 data are from the 1960 Census
26
36
48
65
Millennial (2013)
Gen X (1997)
Boomer (1980)
Silent (1960)
% married at age 18 to 32, by generation
May 15, 2015 23www.pewresearch.org
Generations, Facebook and Friends
Note: Based on Facebook users, n=960. In 2013, “Younger Boomers” were ages 49 to 57, “Older Boomers” were ages 58 to 67 and
“Silents” were ages 68 to 85.
Source: Pew Research Center’s Internet Project survey, Aug. 7-Sep. 16, 2013
250
200
98
50
Millennial
Gen X
Younger Boomer
Older Boomer/Silent
Median number of friends on Facebook
May 15, 2015 24www.pewresearch.org
Social Network Site Use by Age Group, 2005-2013
% of internet users in each age group who use social networking sites
Sources: Pew Research Center’s Internet & American Life Project surveys, 2005-2013
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
All internet users
72
Ages 18–29
89
Ages 30–49
78
Ages 50–64
60
Ages 65
and older
43
%
Feb
'05
Aug
'06
May
'08
Apr
'09
May
'10
Aug
'11
Aug
'12
May
‘13

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  • 1. Millennials in a Changing U.S. Kim Parker May 8, 2015 Director, Social Trends Research
  • 2. May 15, 2015 2www.pewresearch.org Overview: • Generations and the changing face of America • Outlook and political views • Coming of age and the Great Recession • Experiences and lifestyle
  • 3. GENERATIONS AND THE CHANGING FACE OF AMERICA May 15, 2015 www.pewresearch.org 3
  • 4. May 15, 2015 4www.pewresearch.org The Generations Defined Note: * The youngest Millennials are in their teens. No chronological end point has been set for this group. The “Greatest Generation,” which includes those born before 1928, is not included in the analysis due to the small sample size. The Millennial Generation Age: 18 to 34* Born after 1980 Generation X Age: 35 to 50 Born 1965 to1980 The Baby Boom Generation Age: 51 to 69 Born 1946 to 1964 The Silent Generation Age: 70 to 87 Born 1928 to 1945
  • 5. May 15, 2015 5www.pewresearch.org Millennials Will Overtake Boomers in 2015 Projected populations, in millions, 2014 to 2050 Source: Pew Research Center tabulations of U.S. Census Bureau population projections released December 2014 81 66 65 75 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 1/1/2014 1/1/2024 1/1/2034 1/1/2044 Boomers Millennials Silents Gen X-ers
  • 6. May 15, 2015 6www.pewresearch.org The Changing Face of America, 1960-2060 % of the total population Note: Data labels not showing if less than 5%. White, black, Asian and “all other” include only non-Hispanics who identify as a single race. Hispanics are of any race. Asians include Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders. All other includes American Indians/Alaska Natives in all years and those who reported two or more races beginning in 2000. Source: Pew Research Center historic population estimates for 1960–1990 (Passel and Cohn, “US Population Projections: 2005–2050,” Feb. 11, 2008). Census Bureau population estimates for 2000–2010 and projections for 2015–2060 85 83 80 76 69 64 10 11 12 12 12 12 4 5 6 9 13 16 5 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Actual 60 55 51 47 43 13 13 13 13 13 19 22 25 28 31 6 6 7 8 8 5 6 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 - White - Black - Hispanic - Asian - All other Projected
  • 7. May 15, 2015 7www.pewresearch.org U.S. Population, by Race and Age, 2014 Note: Whites include only non-Hispanics. Source: Current Population Survey, March 2014 % of each age group 52 63 78 48 37 22 Younger than 18 18 to 64 65 and older White Non-white Millennials 43%
  • 8. OUTLOOK AND POLITICAL VIEWS May 15, 2015 www.pewresearch.org 8
  • 9. May 15, 2015 9www.pewresearch.org Millennials: Unmoored from Institutions
  • 10. May 15, 2015 10www.pewresearch.org Millennials More Liberal than Older Generations % of each generation who identify as liberal Source: Data points represent totals based on all Pew Research surveys of the general public conducted in that calendar year 13 17 25 27 2001 2005 2009 2013 24% Gen X 31% Millennial 21% Boomer 18% Silent 2014
  • 11. May 15, 2015 11www.pewresearch.org Millennials at Leading Edge of Changing Views on Gay Marriage % of each generation who favor allowing gays and lesbians to marry legally Source: Data points represent totals based on all Pew Research surveys of the general public conducted in that calendar year 21 32 49 44 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 55% Gen X 68% Millennial 48% Boomer 38% Silent
  • 12. May 15, 2015 12www.pewresearch.org Growing Support for Marijuana Legalization % saying use of marijuana should be made legal Source: Pew Research Center survey, Feb. 12-26, 2014. 1973-2008 data from General Social Survey: 1969 and 1972 data from Gallup 15 30 Silent 43 52 Boomer 21 53 Gen X 34 69 Millennial 1969 1978 1987 1996 2005 2014
  • 13. May 15, 2015 13www.pewresearch.org Millennials Have More Progressive Views on Key Trends in Marriage and Family % saying … is a “good thing for American society” Source: Pew Research survey, Feb. 14-23, 2014 50 35 38 24 33 21 19 11 Millennial Gen X Boomer Silent More people of different races marrying each other More gay and lesbian couples raising children
  • 14. COMING OF AGE AND THE GREAT RECESSION May 15, 2015 www.pewresearch.org 14
  • 15. May 15, 2015 15www.pewresearch.org The Recession’s Impact on Millennials % of 18-34 year-olds saying they have done each in recent years because of economic conditions Source: Pew Research survey, Dec. 6-19, 2011 49 35 24 24 22 20 Taken a job just to pay the bills Gone back to school Taken an unpaid job/internship Postponed getting married Moved back in with parents Postponed having a baby
  • 16. May 15, 2015 16www.pewresearch.org Young Adults Now Much More Likely than Older Adults to Live in Poverty Share of households in poverty, by age of householder, 1967-2011 Source: Pew Research Center analysis of the Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement, IPUMS 22 10 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 1967 1977 1987 1997 2007 Younger than 35 65 and older % 2011
  • 17. May 15, 2015 17www.pewresearch.org Sagging Wages for Millennial Men Note: Estimates are for civilian, non-institutionalized, full- and part-time employed workers with positive earnings. Self-employed workers are excluded. Source: Pew Research Center tabulations of Current Population Survey data. $10 $15 $20 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Women ages 25-34 Men ages 25-34 2012 Men Women Median hourly earnings (in 2012 dollars), 1980-2012
  • 18. EXPERIENCES AND LIFESTYLE May 15, 2015 www.pewresearch.org 18
  • 19. May 15, 2015 19www.pewresearch.org The Decline in Marriage Current marital status, 1960-2012 Source: Pew Research calculations of Decennial Census and American Community Survey data 72 50 5 14 9 6 15 29 0 20 40 60 80 100 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Never married Widowed Divorced or separated Married 2012
  • 20. May 15, 2015 20www.pewresearch.org Public Divided Over Value of Marriage for Society % saying society is … Source: Pew Research Center survey, Jan 23-Mar 16, 2014 (N=10,013) 50% 46% Better off if marriage and children are a priority Just as well off if people have priorities other than marriage and children Neither, Both equally, Don’t know (VOL.) 5
  • 21. May 15, 2015 21www.pewresearch.org Generational Divide on Importance of Marriage % saying “Society is just as well off if people have priorities other than marriage and children” Source: Pew Research Center survey, Jan. 23-Mar 16, 2014 (N=10,013) 65 51 43 30 Millennial Gen X Boomer Silent
  • 22. May 15, 2015 22www.pewresearch.org The Decline in Marriage Among the Young Source: Data from 1980, 1997 and 2013 are from the March Current Population Survey; 1960 data are from the 1960 Census 26 36 48 65 Millennial (2013) Gen X (1997) Boomer (1980) Silent (1960) % married at age 18 to 32, by generation
  • 23. May 15, 2015 23www.pewresearch.org Generations, Facebook and Friends Note: Based on Facebook users, n=960. In 2013, “Younger Boomers” were ages 49 to 57, “Older Boomers” were ages 58 to 67 and “Silents” were ages 68 to 85. Source: Pew Research Center’s Internet Project survey, Aug. 7-Sep. 16, 2013 250 200 98 50 Millennial Gen X Younger Boomer Older Boomer/Silent Median number of friends on Facebook
  • 24. May 15, 2015 24www.pewresearch.org Social Network Site Use by Age Group, 2005-2013 % of internet users in each age group who use social networking sites Sources: Pew Research Center’s Internet & American Life Project surveys, 2005-2013 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 All internet users 72 Ages 18–29 89 Ages 30–49 78 Ages 50–64 60 Ages 65 and older 43 % Feb '05 Aug '06 May '08 Apr '09 May '10 Aug '11 Aug '12 May ‘13