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7 października 2010 r.
                  Warszawa, Multikino Złote Tarasy




20 lat Internetu. To dopiero początek.
Internet everywhere: Social Networks,
Information Networks, Business Networks




Luis Lucatero
Alcatel Lucent
1990
7.4 kg
2010
680 g
A description of demand for wireless connectivity




                       •100


                        •80
 •Percentage of Subs




                        •60


                        •40
                                                                     •All Devices
                                                                     •IPhone
                        •20                                          •Blackberry
                                                                     •Data card
                                                                     •Nexus One
                         •0
                          0.001   0.01   0.1   1     10      100   1000   10000 100000
                                                   •Mbytes
The Vision for APIs
From Browsing to APIs - The Web is Now Programmable




                                         “It took 8 years to get to 1000 APIs,
                                          but only 18 months to get to 2000
                                                         APIs.”

                                        “2010 has a 2x increase in new APIs
                                             per month over last year.”

                                                    John Musser,
                                                  programmableweb
2011
A description of supply and demand
                for wireless connectivity

                                               Spectrum Economics:
                           demand           inelastic in a strange way
Kbps/km2




                                                 Very few purchasers
                                                 Very little spectrum
                  stress
                  point
                                supply                Site economics:
                                           inelastic in a negative way

                                                       sites are scarce
                                it takes a lot of time to get each one

                                         time    Handset economics:
                                                       very elastic


               market revolutions start at
            supply and demand stress points
2015
Future urban connectivity demand




          Verizon 26
          AT&T 30

          Clearwire 225
all mobile handsets in cities
   will be internet enabled
            in 2015
empowering
   social networks
information networks
 business networks
enhanced human interactions world



                                                          applications world



                                                              network world




   Customer                            Automatic                   Location,                   Content                      Interactive
  Engagement                          Application                  Contacts                   Streaming                     Voice and
                                     Identification               & Presence                                               Video Media




                     Massively                          Rich                    Content                     Call Control
                    Scalable QoS                      Messaging                Distribution                 & Routing




   Subscriber                         Converged                   Payments                    Advertising                    Optimized
Data Monetization                  Policy Framework               & Charging                   & Offers                    Video Delivery
Thank You.




Luis Lucatero
Alcatel Lucent

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Quo vadis współczesny świecie? Sieci społecznościowe, biznesowe i informacyjne: ekonomia wszechobecnego internetu.

  • 1. 7 października 2010 r. Warszawa, Multikino Złote Tarasy 20 lat Internetu. To dopiero początek.
  • 2. Internet everywhere: Social Networks, Information Networks, Business Networks Luis Lucatero Alcatel Lucent
  • 7. A description of demand for wireless connectivity •100 •80 •Percentage of Subs •60 •40 •All Devices •IPhone •20 •Blackberry •Data card •Nexus One •0 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 •Mbytes
  • 8. The Vision for APIs From Browsing to APIs - The Web is Now Programmable “It took 8 years to get to 1000 APIs, but only 18 months to get to 2000 APIs.” “2010 has a 2x increase in new APIs per month over last year.” John Musser, programmableweb
  • 10. A description of supply and demand for wireless connectivity Spectrum Economics: demand inelastic in a strange way Kbps/km2 Very few purchasers Very little spectrum stress point supply Site economics: inelastic in a negative way sites are scarce it takes a lot of time to get each one time Handset economics: very elastic market revolutions start at supply and demand stress points
  • 11. 2015
  • 12. Future urban connectivity demand Verizon 26 AT&T 30 Clearwire 225
  • 13. all mobile handsets in cities will be internet enabled in 2015
  • 14. empowering social networks information networks business networks
  • 15. enhanced human interactions world applications world network world Customer Automatic Location, Content Interactive Engagement Application Contacts Streaming Voice and Identification & Presence Video Media Massively Rich Content Call Control Scalable QoS Messaging Distribution & Routing Subscriber Converged Payments Advertising Optimized Data Monetization Policy Framework & Charging & Offers Video Delivery