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Mils
Project Study
Agenda
Initial Idea
Train Claim
Planning
Mils
Implementing
Mils
Taking Mils to the
Next Level
Agenda
Initial Idea
Train Claim
Planning
Mils
Implementing
Mils
Taking Mils to the
Next Level
Claim Refunds via Smartphone
Initial Idea Train Claim
Idea Based on EU Directive
Intelligent, Quick & Easy Process
Take a Picture of the Ticket as Proof of Delay
Sign via Touchscreen
Submit & get the Refund
Payment via In-App Purchase
Claim Refunds via Smartphone
Initial Idea Train Claim
Idea Based on EU Directive
Intelligent, Quick & Easy Process
Take a Picture of the Ticket as Proof of Delay
Sign via Touchscreen
Submit & get the Refund
Payment via In-App Purchase
Claim Refunds via Smartphone
Initial Idea Train Claim
Idea Based on EU Directive
Intelligent, Quick & Easy Process
Take a Picture of the Ticket as Proof of Delay
Sign via Touchscreen
Submit & get the Refund
Payment via In-App Purchase
Market: Who and Why?
Initial Idea Train Claim
Target Group USP
Frequent Train Travellers
Dissatisfied DB Customers
Digital Natives
Smartphone Users
User-Friendly
On the Way & Fast
Only Smartphone Required
Competitors
Refund.me
Traditional Refund System
Flightright
Unrealized Turnover
Turnover
Potential
Initial Idea Train Claim
Total Market vs. Maximum Turnover
High Implementation Cost Limit Turnover and Margins
0.90 €
0.33 €
0.63 €
0.23 €
- €
0.50 €
1.00 €
1.50 €
2.00 €
Profit per Claim
In-App Purchase
Print
Postage
Cost Structure
Why did we Bail?
Initial Idea Train Claim
Validity of Touchscreen Signature
Quagmire: High Dependence on Deutsche Bahn
Terms
Photos of Tickets Might be Illegible and
Therefore Void
Only Postal Service Accepted
Third Party Liability Issues
European Rollout Hardly Possible
Legal Issues
General Issues
Bad Ratings
Demands for Refund
Cost for Non-Refundable Claims
This Results in a High Financial Risk
Risks
Agenda
Initial Idea:
Train Claim
Planning
Mils
Implementing Mils Taking Mils to the
Next Level
Market: Competitive Landscape
Planning Mils
Medium Cost
Difficult to Find the Right Partner
for Individual Destination
User Unfriendly Interfaces
Time Consuming
Low Cost
Time Consuming
Equipment Necessary
Exclusively Domestic
„Postident“ Required
Distribution Partners Traditional Postal Services
E-Post (Germany)
Market: Who and Why?
Planning Mils
Target Group USP
Digital Natives
Expatriates
Globally Connected
Tech-Savvy
Medium to High Income
User-Friendly
Integrated Signature Possible
Worldwide Distribution
Fast Delivery
Available on Mac OSX & Windows
1.00 € 2.00 € 3.00 € 4.00 €
IAP
Legal & Feasibility: Payment
Planning Mils
„Economies of Price“
VAT Applies
Common Means of Payment
Efficient at Lower Price end
VAT Does not Apply
Feasibility Issues
Only Fixed Prices Possible
CREDIT
Price IAP
Price Credit Card
Credit Card
In-App Purchase
Legal & Feasibility: VAT
Planning Mils
EU Non-EU
Consumer
Business
Germany
19% VAT 19% VAT 0% VAT
VAT Refundable 0% VAT if VAT-ID
Provided & Valid
19% VAT Otherwise
0% VAT
Higher Margin with Non-EU Customers
Forecast
Planning Mils
Download Curve Similiar to Track My Life
Based on Platform User Numbers
Active User Rate Similiar Between Utility Apps
Experience Based Scenarios
Optimistic
Realisitc
Pessimistic
Model Assumptions Realistic Case
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
Total Monthly Downloads Total Cumulative Downloads
Financial Model
Planning Mils
Based on Forecast
Surveyed Spending Behaviour Included
Two Extreme Cases:
Case 1: Germans Send a Letter to a German
Recipient (Unfavourable)
Case 2: People Outside of the USA Send a
Letter to the USA (Favourable)
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
0.9 € 1.5 € 2.1 € 2.7 €
Case 1
Case 2
Spending Behaviour ComparedAssumptions
Financial Model
Planning Mils
Costs Based on Cases
VAT & Credit Card Costs Included
Optimum Margin at 0.35 €
Forecasts of Monthly Returns
Assumptions
Results
Average Monthly Returns
383 €
1100 €
2489 €
0 €
200 €
400 €
600 €
800 €
1000 €
1200 €
1400 €
1600 €
1800 €
2000 €
2200 €
2400 €
2600 €
2800 €
Pessimistic Base Optimistic
Agenda
Initial Idea:
Train Claim
Planning
Mils
Implementing
Mils
Taking Mils to the
Next Level
Spain
Portugal
Germany
UK
France
Czech Republic
Partnering: Distribution Network
Implementing Mils
Europe
Marketing
Implementing Mils
Own Webpage
Blog Features
Articles on Webpages
Joint Press Releases
Contributions to Competitions
Open Source References
Guerrilla Marketing Video
Ideally Viral Spread
Pitches to Tech Journalists
App Store Features
High Ratings
Download Rankings
Cross-App Advertising
Multi-Language Support
Implementing Mils
Portuguese: 3.08%
Italian: 0.90%
German: 1.39%
French: 1.12%
English: 5.52%
Spanish: 5.85% Benefits
Increased Customer Base
Enhanced Trustworthiness
Substantially Elevated Community Recognition and
Augmented App Store Featuring Probability
17.86% Native Language Coverage
Drawbacks
Time and Cost Intensive
Increasing Complexity for Updates
Economic Review
Implementing Mils
Pessimistic
IRR: - 37.08%
Base
IRR: +10.93%
Optimistic
IRR: +77.14%
2 Year IRR
Scenarios
Agenda
Initial Idea:
Train Claim
Planning
Mils
Implementing
Mils
Taking Mils to the
Next Level
Future Developments
Taking Mils to the Next Level
Easy Implementation for Mass Mailings
Include Discount for Key Customers
Premium Services (i.e. Customized
Envelopes)
Economies of Scale
Smartphone Expansion
Extend Distribution Network
Verticals: Offer Other Print Products
B2B B2C
Lessons Learned
Taking Mils to the Next Level
Train Claim Mils
The More Complex the Service, the
Higher the Chance of Legal
Problems
Cost Structure Matters Big Time
High Risk Requires High Return
Consumers are very cost sensitive
When Depending on Partners
Planning Thoroughly is Crucial
Prepare for Eventualities, Especially
When Dealing With Third Parties
Don´t Mistake Launching a Product
with Creating a Product
Thank You!

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Mils Interdisciplinary Project Study at TUM

  • 4. Claim Refunds via Smartphone Initial Idea Train Claim Idea Based on EU Directive Intelligent, Quick & Easy Process Take a Picture of the Ticket as Proof of Delay Sign via Touchscreen Submit & get the Refund Payment via In-App Purchase
  • 5. Claim Refunds via Smartphone Initial Idea Train Claim Idea Based on EU Directive Intelligent, Quick & Easy Process Take a Picture of the Ticket as Proof of Delay Sign via Touchscreen Submit & get the Refund Payment via In-App Purchase
  • 6. Claim Refunds via Smartphone Initial Idea Train Claim Idea Based on EU Directive Intelligent, Quick & Easy Process Take a Picture of the Ticket as Proof of Delay Sign via Touchscreen Submit & get the Refund Payment via In-App Purchase
  • 7. Market: Who and Why? Initial Idea Train Claim Target Group USP Frequent Train Travellers Dissatisfied DB Customers Digital Natives Smartphone Users User-Friendly On the Way & Fast Only Smartphone Required Competitors Refund.me Traditional Refund System Flightright
  • 8. Unrealized Turnover Turnover Potential Initial Idea Train Claim Total Market vs. Maximum Turnover High Implementation Cost Limit Turnover and Margins 0.90 € 0.33 € 0.63 € 0.23 € - € 0.50 € 1.00 € 1.50 € 2.00 € Profit per Claim In-App Purchase Print Postage Cost Structure
  • 9. Why did we Bail? Initial Idea Train Claim Validity of Touchscreen Signature Quagmire: High Dependence on Deutsche Bahn Terms Photos of Tickets Might be Illegible and Therefore Void Only Postal Service Accepted Third Party Liability Issues European Rollout Hardly Possible Legal Issues General Issues Bad Ratings Demands for Refund Cost for Non-Refundable Claims This Results in a High Financial Risk Risks
  • 11. Market: Competitive Landscape Planning Mils Medium Cost Difficult to Find the Right Partner for Individual Destination User Unfriendly Interfaces Time Consuming Low Cost Time Consuming Equipment Necessary Exclusively Domestic „Postident“ Required Distribution Partners Traditional Postal Services E-Post (Germany)
  • 12. Market: Who and Why? Planning Mils Target Group USP Digital Natives Expatriates Globally Connected Tech-Savvy Medium to High Income User-Friendly Integrated Signature Possible Worldwide Distribution Fast Delivery Available on Mac OSX & Windows
  • 13. 1.00 € 2.00 € 3.00 € 4.00 € IAP Legal & Feasibility: Payment Planning Mils „Economies of Price“ VAT Applies Common Means of Payment Efficient at Lower Price end VAT Does not Apply Feasibility Issues Only Fixed Prices Possible CREDIT Price IAP Price Credit Card Credit Card In-App Purchase
  • 14. Legal & Feasibility: VAT Planning Mils EU Non-EU Consumer Business Germany 19% VAT 19% VAT 0% VAT VAT Refundable 0% VAT if VAT-ID Provided & Valid 19% VAT Otherwise 0% VAT Higher Margin with Non-EU Customers
  • 15. Forecast Planning Mils Download Curve Similiar to Track My Life Based on Platform User Numbers Active User Rate Similiar Between Utility Apps Experience Based Scenarios Optimistic Realisitc Pessimistic Model Assumptions Realistic Case 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 300000 Total Monthly Downloads Total Cumulative Downloads
  • 16. Financial Model Planning Mils Based on Forecast Surveyed Spending Behaviour Included Two Extreme Cases: Case 1: Germans Send a Letter to a German Recipient (Unfavourable) Case 2: People Outside of the USA Send a Letter to the USA (Favourable) 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 0.9 € 1.5 € 2.1 € 2.7 € Case 1 Case 2 Spending Behaviour ComparedAssumptions
  • 17. Financial Model Planning Mils Costs Based on Cases VAT & Credit Card Costs Included Optimum Margin at 0.35 € Forecasts of Monthly Returns Assumptions Results Average Monthly Returns 383 € 1100 € 2489 € 0 € 200 € 400 € 600 € 800 € 1000 € 1200 € 1400 € 1600 € 1800 € 2000 € 2200 € 2400 € 2600 € 2800 € Pessimistic Base Optimistic
  • 20. Marketing Implementing Mils Own Webpage Blog Features Articles on Webpages Joint Press Releases Contributions to Competitions Open Source References Guerrilla Marketing Video Ideally Viral Spread Pitches to Tech Journalists App Store Features High Ratings Download Rankings Cross-App Advertising
  • 21. Multi-Language Support Implementing Mils Portuguese: 3.08% Italian: 0.90% German: 1.39% French: 1.12% English: 5.52% Spanish: 5.85% Benefits Increased Customer Base Enhanced Trustworthiness Substantially Elevated Community Recognition and Augmented App Store Featuring Probability 17.86% Native Language Coverage Drawbacks Time and Cost Intensive Increasing Complexity for Updates
  • 22. Economic Review Implementing Mils Pessimistic IRR: - 37.08% Base IRR: +10.93% Optimistic IRR: +77.14% 2 Year IRR Scenarios
  • 24. Future Developments Taking Mils to the Next Level Easy Implementation for Mass Mailings Include Discount for Key Customers Premium Services (i.e. Customized Envelopes) Economies of Scale Smartphone Expansion Extend Distribution Network Verticals: Offer Other Print Products B2B B2C
  • 25. Lessons Learned Taking Mils to the Next Level Train Claim Mils The More Complex the Service, the Higher the Chance of Legal Problems Cost Structure Matters Big Time High Risk Requires High Return Consumers are very cost sensitive When Depending on Partners Planning Thoroughly is Crucial Prepare for Eventualities, Especially When Dealing With Third Parties Don´t Mistake Launching a Product with Creating a Product