Market Outlook
                                                                                                                               India Research
                                                                                                                                    June 23, 2010

Dealer’s Diary                                                                                      Domestic Indices      Chg (%)       (Pts)   (Close)

The key benchmark indices slumped to fresh intraday lows in late trade as                           BSE Sensex             -0.7%     (126.9) 17,750
European stocks extended losses and US index futures turned negative. Reliance                      Nifty                  -0.7%      (36.8)     5,317
Industries edged lower in volatile trade, while metal, banking and IT stocks fell.                  MID CAP                -0.0%       (1.5)     7,064
The market dropped in early trade as most Asian stocks fell. It trimmed losses                      SMALL CAP               0.1%         6.0     8,960
before weakening once again in morning trade. Intraday volatility was high as                       BSE HC                  0.1%         3.2     5,661
traders rolled over positions in the derivatives segment. Both the Sensex and                       BSE PSU                -0.4%      (33.5)     9,223
Nifty closed down by 0.7% each. The BSE mid-cap index closed down by                                BANKEX                 -0.8%      (90.2) 11,012
0.02%, while the small-cap index closed up by 0.1%. Among the front-liners,                         AUTO                   -0.4%      (35.2)     8,222
HUL, ITC and Tata Power were up by 3–5%, while Sterlite Industries, ACC,                            METAL                  -1.9%     (296.5) 15,290
Jaiprakash Associates, Jindal Steel and Tata Steel were down by 2–3%. Among                         OIL & GAS               0.0%         2.2 10,386
the mid-caps, Sterlite Technologies, Karnataka Bank, Dishman Pharma, Essar                          BSE IT                 -1.2%      (67.5)     5,369
Ship Ports and Geekay Finance were up by 5–8%, while Kwality Dairy, KGN
Industries, Yes Bank, DB Corp. and HCL Infosystems declined by 3–5%.
                                                                                                    Global Indices        Chg (%)      (Pts)    (Close)
Markets Today                                                                                       Dow Jones               -1.4% (148.9)       10,294
                                                                                                    NASDAQ                  -1.2%    (27.3)      2,262
The trend deciding level for the day is 17781 / 5327 levels. If NIFTY trades
                                                                                                    FTSE                    -1.5%    (80.2)      5,247
above this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a
                                                                                                    Nikkei                  -1.2% (125.1)       10,113
further rally up to 17837 – 17924 / 5344 – 5371 levels. However, if NIFTY
trades below 17781 / 5327levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may                     Hang Seng               -0.4%    (93.1)     20,819
correct up to 17694 – 17639/ 5300 – 5284 levels.                                                    Straits Times           -0.5%    (13.3)      2,872
                                                                                                    Shanghai Com             0.1%       2.5      2,589
  Indices                              S2                  S1               R1               R2
  SENSEX                        17,639                17,694             17,837         17,924      Indian ADRs           Chg (%)      (Pts)    (Close)
  NIFTY                          5,284                 5,300              5,344          5,371      Infosys                 -1.9%      (1.2)     $62.0
                                                                                                    Wipro                   -3.5%      (0.8)     $21.7
News Analysis                                                                                       Satyam                  -2.8%      (0.1)      $4.9
                                                                                                    ICICI Bank              -3.1%      (1.2)     $37.8
        Piramal Healthcare acquires BioSyntech assets
                                                                                                    HDFC Bank               -2.1%      (3.3)    $151.3
        Rabobank sells 11% stake in YES Bank for Rs1,000cr
Refer detailed news analysis on the following page.                                                 Advances / Declines               BSE          NSE
  Net Inflows (June 18, 2010)                                                                       Advances                        1,293          531
  Rs cr              Purch                   Sales                Net        MTD            YTD     Declines                        1,599          793
  FII                   2,134               1,439                 695      4,843        25,379      Unchanged                        101            42
  MFs                     511                 557                 (46)       468        (6,662)
                                                                                                    Volumes (Rs cr)
  FII Derivatives (June 22, 2010)
                                                                                                    BSE                                          4,840
                                                                                           Open
  Rs cr                                     Purch             Sales           Net                   NSE                                         12,460
                                                                                         Interest
  Index Futures                             8,096            8,311          (215)       21,285
  Stock Futures                             6,027            6,773          (746)       30,449


  Gainers / Losers
                         Gainers                                            Losers
                            Price                                              Price
  Company                               Chg (%)        Company                          Chg (%)
                             (Rs)                                               (Rs)
  Essar Ship.                   91            5.2      Yes Bank                 272        -3.5
  BPCL                        550             4.4      Sesa Goa                   376      -2.9
  Dabur India                 198             3.9      India Cement               112      -2.8
  HPCL                        355             3.6      Jai Corp.                  254      -2.7
  IOC                         346             3.6      Sterlite                   179      -2.7




Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report                                        Sebi Registration No: INB 0109965391
Market Outlook | India Research


                Piramal Healthcare acquires BioSyntech assets

                Piramal Healthcare announced signing of a definitive agreement to acquire BioSyntech’s
                assets for a consideration of CAD 3.9mn. Piramal had subscribed to common shares of
                BioSyntech in FY2006, which then constituted 17% of BioSyntech’s equity. By virtue of this
                investment, Piramal had exclusive marketing rights to market, sell and distribute
                BioSyntech’s current and future products for India and some neighboring Asian markets.
                BioSyntech is a medical device company specializing in the development, manufacture and
                commercialization of advanced biotherapeutic thermogels for regenerative medicine (tissue
                repair) and therapeutic delivery.

                BioSyntech’s platform technology is a family of hydrogels called BST-Gel, some of which
                are liquid at low temperatures and solid at human-body temperature. These gels can be
                injected or applied to a specific local site and offer beneficial properties for local repair of
                damaged tissues such as cartilage, bone and chronic wounds and provide the benefit of
                avoiding invasive surgery. The company’s lead, late-stage product, BST-CarGel, is
                currently undergoing an international pivotal trial, which is expected to be completed by
                September 2010. The potential global opportunity for the product is estimated to be worth
                US $300mn–500mn. If the trials are successful, the product can likely be launched by June
                2011. Currently, we are not changing our estimates on back of the same and maintain
                our Neutral stance on the stock.



                Rabobank sells 11% stake in YES Bank for Rs1,000cr; may launch solo
                banking operations

                The Netherlands-based Rabobank sold 3.73cr shares in YES Bank, which works out to an
                11% stake, paring its total shareholding to 4.9%. Shares were sold in a series of bulk deals
                at an average price of Rs263 per share, amounting to over Rs1,000cr. Rabobank was one
                of the initial investors in YES Bank, founded in 2004, in which Rana Kapoor and Ashok
                Kapoor were the Indian partners. Rabobank has been showing interest in setting up its own
                banking business in India and, hence, is obliged under the regulations to reduce its
                shareholding in YES Bank below 5% to get the approval for a full banking license in India.
                The stock is currently trading at 2.1x FY2012E ABV. We maintain a Neutral rating on the
                stock.




June 23, 2010                                                                                                 2
Market Outlook | India Research



                               Economic and Political News

                               Government to take up new SEZ requests on July 13
                               Murli Deora hints at fuel price increase
                               Auto, taxi fares up in Delhi; Mumbai may follow suit



                               Corporate News

                               Reliance Industries to pay US $1.35bn for 45% stake in Pioneer field
                               Tata Steel's Rs15-lakh-crore Jamshedpur expansion plan gets MoEF nod
                               GVK's 800MW power project in AP to be built by Hyundai, L&T
                                Sun settles patent row over Parkinson's drugs with Orion
                               Steel Exchange to set up Rs315cr power plant
                            Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint




       Events for the day
       Great Offshore                        Dividend, Results
       Sunil Hi-Tech                         Results




June 23, 2010                                                                                                                   3
Market Outlook | India Research


Research Team Tel: 022-4040 3800                                         E-mail: research@angeltrade.com                                      Website: www.angeltrade.com


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 necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and
 risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment.


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 are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the
 company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.


 Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as
 opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals.


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June 23, 2010                                                                                                                                                                           4

Market Outlook- June 23, 2010

  • 1.
    Market Outlook India Research June 23, 2010 Dealer’s Diary Domestic Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close) The key benchmark indices slumped to fresh intraday lows in late trade as BSE Sensex -0.7% (126.9) 17,750 European stocks extended losses and US index futures turned negative. Reliance Nifty -0.7% (36.8) 5,317 Industries edged lower in volatile trade, while metal, banking and IT stocks fell. MID CAP -0.0% (1.5) 7,064 The market dropped in early trade as most Asian stocks fell. It trimmed losses SMALL CAP 0.1% 6.0 8,960 before weakening once again in morning trade. Intraday volatility was high as BSE HC 0.1% 3.2 5,661 traders rolled over positions in the derivatives segment. Both the Sensex and BSE PSU -0.4% (33.5) 9,223 Nifty closed down by 0.7% each. The BSE mid-cap index closed down by BANKEX -0.8% (90.2) 11,012 0.02%, while the small-cap index closed up by 0.1%. Among the front-liners, AUTO -0.4% (35.2) 8,222 HUL, ITC and Tata Power were up by 3–5%, while Sterlite Industries, ACC, METAL -1.9% (296.5) 15,290 Jaiprakash Associates, Jindal Steel and Tata Steel were down by 2–3%. Among OIL & GAS 0.0% 2.2 10,386 the mid-caps, Sterlite Technologies, Karnataka Bank, Dishman Pharma, Essar BSE IT -1.2% (67.5) 5,369 Ship Ports and Geekay Finance were up by 5–8%, while Kwality Dairy, KGN Industries, Yes Bank, DB Corp. and HCL Infosystems declined by 3–5%. Global Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close) Markets Today Dow Jones -1.4% (148.9) 10,294 NASDAQ -1.2% (27.3) 2,262 The trend deciding level for the day is 17781 / 5327 levels. If NIFTY trades FTSE -1.5% (80.2) 5,247 above this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a Nikkei -1.2% (125.1) 10,113 further rally up to 17837 – 17924 / 5344 – 5371 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below 17781 / 5327levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may Hang Seng -0.4% (93.1) 20,819 correct up to 17694 – 17639/ 5300 – 5284 levels. Straits Times -0.5% (13.3) 2,872 Shanghai Com 0.1% 2.5 2,589 Indices S2 S1 R1 R2 SENSEX 17,639 17,694 17,837 17,924 Indian ADRs Chg (%) (Pts) (Close) NIFTY 5,284 5,300 5,344 5,371 Infosys -1.9% (1.2) $62.0 Wipro -3.5% (0.8) $21.7 News Analysis Satyam -2.8% (0.1) $4.9 ICICI Bank -3.1% (1.2) $37.8 Piramal Healthcare acquires BioSyntech assets HDFC Bank -2.1% (3.3) $151.3 Rabobank sells 11% stake in YES Bank for Rs1,000cr Refer detailed news analysis on the following page. Advances / Declines BSE NSE Net Inflows (June 18, 2010) Advances 1,293 531 Rs cr Purch Sales Net MTD YTD Declines 1,599 793 FII 2,134 1,439 695 4,843 25,379 Unchanged 101 42 MFs 511 557 (46) 468 (6,662) Volumes (Rs cr) FII Derivatives (June 22, 2010) BSE 4,840 Open Rs cr Purch Sales Net NSE 12,460 Interest Index Futures 8,096 8,311 (215) 21,285 Stock Futures 6,027 6,773 (746) 30,449 Gainers / Losers Gainers Losers Price Price Company Chg (%) Company Chg (%) (Rs) (Rs) Essar Ship. 91 5.2 Yes Bank 272 -3.5 BPCL 550 4.4 Sesa Goa 376 -2.9 Dabur India 198 3.9 India Cement 112 -2.8 HPCL 355 3.6 Jai Corp. 254 -2.7 IOC 346 3.6 Sterlite 179 -2.7 Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report Sebi Registration No: INB 0109965391
  • 2.
    Market Outlook |India Research Piramal Healthcare acquires BioSyntech assets Piramal Healthcare announced signing of a definitive agreement to acquire BioSyntech’s assets for a consideration of CAD 3.9mn. Piramal had subscribed to common shares of BioSyntech in FY2006, which then constituted 17% of BioSyntech’s equity. By virtue of this investment, Piramal had exclusive marketing rights to market, sell and distribute BioSyntech’s current and future products for India and some neighboring Asian markets. BioSyntech is a medical device company specializing in the development, manufacture and commercialization of advanced biotherapeutic thermogels for regenerative medicine (tissue repair) and therapeutic delivery. BioSyntech’s platform technology is a family of hydrogels called BST-Gel, some of which are liquid at low temperatures and solid at human-body temperature. These gels can be injected or applied to a specific local site and offer beneficial properties for local repair of damaged tissues such as cartilage, bone and chronic wounds and provide the benefit of avoiding invasive surgery. The company’s lead, late-stage product, BST-CarGel, is currently undergoing an international pivotal trial, which is expected to be completed by September 2010. The potential global opportunity for the product is estimated to be worth US $300mn–500mn. If the trials are successful, the product can likely be launched by June 2011. Currently, we are not changing our estimates on back of the same and maintain our Neutral stance on the stock. Rabobank sells 11% stake in YES Bank for Rs1,000cr; may launch solo banking operations The Netherlands-based Rabobank sold 3.73cr shares in YES Bank, which works out to an 11% stake, paring its total shareholding to 4.9%. Shares were sold in a series of bulk deals at an average price of Rs263 per share, amounting to over Rs1,000cr. Rabobank was one of the initial investors in YES Bank, founded in 2004, in which Rana Kapoor and Ashok Kapoor were the Indian partners. Rabobank has been showing interest in setting up its own banking business in India and, hence, is obliged under the regulations to reduce its shareholding in YES Bank below 5% to get the approval for a full banking license in India. The stock is currently trading at 2.1x FY2012E ABV. We maintain a Neutral rating on the stock. June 23, 2010 2
  • 3.
    Market Outlook |India Research Economic and Political News Government to take up new SEZ requests on July 13 Murli Deora hints at fuel price increase Auto, taxi fares up in Delhi; Mumbai may follow suit Corporate News Reliance Industries to pay US $1.35bn for 45% stake in Pioneer field Tata Steel's Rs15-lakh-crore Jamshedpur expansion plan gets MoEF nod GVK's 800MW power project in AP to be built by Hyundai, L&T Sun settles patent row over Parkinson's drugs with Orion Steel Exchange to set up Rs315cr power plant Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint Events for the day Great Offshore Dividend, Results Sunil Hi-Tech Results June 23, 2010 3
  • 4.
    Market Outlook |India Research Research Team Tel: 022-4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Securities Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, and is for general guidance only. Angel Securities Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Securities Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Securities Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Securities Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Address: Acme Plaza, ‘A’ Wing, 3rd Floor, M.V. Road, Opp. Sangam Cinema, Andheri (E), Mumbai - 400 059. Tel : (022) 3952 4568 / 4040 3800 Angel Broking Ltd: BSE Sebi Regn No : INB 010996539 / CDSL Regn No: IN - DP - CDSL - 234 - 2004 / PMS Regn Code: PM/INP000001546 Angel Securities Ltd:BSE: INB010994639/INF010994639 NSE: INB230994635/INF230994635 Membership numbers: BSE 028/NSE:09946 Angel Capital & Debt Market Ltd: INB 231279838 / NSE FNO: INF 231279838 / NSE Member code -12798 Angel Commodities Broking (P) Ltd: MCX Member ID: 12685 / FMC Regn No: MCX / TCM / CORP / 0037 NCDEX : Member ID 00220 / FMC Regn No: NCDEX / TCM / CORP / 0302 June 23, 2010 4