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Finding Ground Truth in Data:
      Consensus Rules!



                                   Dr. MAK Mitchell
       New York City Public Schools / Consensus NOW!
                                          June 2012
The Consensus Culture We Are Creating

 Can consensus become a lever for producing
 achievement results that last?
 There is growing evidence that schools on
 campuses improve when principals change
 their solo behaviors into campus consensus
 teams that learn…
LETTING THE
                                                CULTURE DRIVE THE
                                                      WORK
Campus Development                                              CULTURAL




                             USING THE WORK
                             TO CHANGE THE
                                                  Distributed
                                 CULTURE          Leadership

                                                   Shared
         LEARNING THE                              Campus
            WORK                                    Vision
                              Autonomy            Consistent
                            & collaboration        Practice
             Footprint      (simultaneously )
          Solo leadership



       TECHNICAL
                                                                      3
CAMPUS: Pre and Post Consensus

Defensive routines          Trust routines
Solo advocacy               Balanced inquiry
Self interest MM            Group interest MM
Accusations based on        Understandings based on
high inference               mutual alternatives
Data as basis for winning   Data as basis for shared
the argument                 ground truth
Autonomy justifies          Shared mental model
behavior                     justifies behavior


                                                         4
Consensus Rules!

#             #             #

Ground Truth Data
               +
       Consensus
              =
     Shared Vision
(based on changed mental models)

                                   5
What is GROUND TRUTH DATA?

   In US military slang, "ground truth" is used to
  describe the reality of a tactical situation on the
ground as opposed to what intelligence reports and
       mission plans assert the reality to be.

   Typically derived from a number of converging
evidential sources close to the action, as opposed to
        a solo or remote source of evidence.




                                                        6
What is CONSENSUS?
Consensus is a process for group decision making, a method
  whereby an entire group of people who own the issue come to an
  agreement.
The input, evidence and ideas of all participants are gathered and
  synthesized to arrive at a final decision acceptable to all.
Consensus does not mean that everyone thinks that the decision
  made is necessarily the best one possible, or even that they are
  sure it will work. Everyone feels their data was given a fair
  hearing, and collective intelligence prevails




                                                                     7
What does Consensus Look Like?
During the dialogue process, people learn how
  to think together—not just in the sense of
 analyzing a shared problem or creating new
pieces of shared knowledge but in the sense of
occupying a collective sensibility, in which the
   thoughts, emotions and resulting actions
 belong not to one individual, but all of them
            together. David Bohm
Consensual ground truth is essential
     to enact a shared vision




                                       9
Turn and Talk


G:   Video: How does Denise’s campus
      story reflect the perspective levels ?
11
12
The Instruction Culture We Are Creating

 There is growing evidence that student
 performance improves when teachers change
 their solo behaviors into consensus teams
 that learn…
LETTING THE
Instructional Team Development:                 CULTURE DRIVE THE
                                                      WORK

                                                                   CULTURAL

                                                    Distributed
                                                    Leadership
                               USING THE WORK
                               TO CHANGE THE
                                   CULTURE           (changed
                                                      mental
                                                      models)
          LEARNING THE          Autonomy
             WORK             & collaboration         Shared
                                                       Team
           Solo teaching         (consensus         Alternatives
                            instructional change)
           (ground truth)
                               Research and
            Student data        Best practice


        TECHNICAL
                                                                        14
Consensus Rules!

#             #             #

Ground Truth Data
               +
Instructional Consensus
              =
     Shared Vision
(based on changed mental models)

                                   15
Turn and Talk
From your own experience, how are ground
truth data and consensus related to your
process of instructional or organizational
decisions?
Synchronicity: Two Consensus Stories


LEVELS        CAMPUS CONSENSUS                       INSTRUCTIONAL CHANGE CONSENSUS

Vision        Shared vision for campus               Shared vision for instructional results


Mental        Common team purpose:                   Common team purpose:
              Serve all students on campus           Get all students to mastery
Models
Systemic      Consensus decisions:                   Consensus collaborations:
              • Breaking defensive routines          • Breaking solo routines
Methods       • Balancing advocacy with inquiry      • Balance advocacy with inquiry
                (flow, patterns, contiguous space)      (research and best practice)
              • Generating mutual alternatives       • Generating mutual alternatives
              • New mental models                    • New mental models
Patterns      Footprint data=ground truth            Student data=ground truth
over Time
Events        Solo advocacy                          Isolated classrooms, students




                                                                                           17
CONSENSUS TURNAROUND CYCLE
                    Colleague
                    Survey



  Analyze Ground
Analyze Data
  Truth
                                Research
                                Question
                   CONSENSUS
                   TURNAROUND


                                Turnaround
                                Plan




                                             18
Systemic Methods:
                 Defensive Routines
Habitual ways of interacting that protect us
and others from threat or embarrassment, but
which also prevent us from learning.

>   Maintaining isolation, solo behaviors
>   Avoidance, preference for status quo
>   Faced with conflict, smooth over differences
>   Speak out in a no holds barred, winner take all way
>   Speaking in a guarded way, not transparent about data
Systemic Methods:
          Unlocking Defensive Routines

• Suspend assumptions
• Examine multiple points of view
• Reveal the incoherence of thought (become an
  observer of your own/others’ thinking)
•   Hold the context of the dialogue; avoid distractions
• Avoid focusing down consensus, seek opening it
  up to more options
Systemic Methods:
            Generating Alternatives
• Have each person describe the problem in their own
  words
• State the shared best outcome they are seeking and
  verify by consensus check
• Identify perceived resources: time, money, space,
  people
• Brainstorm possible trade-offs and new or combined
  resources
• Declare best alternatives and adopt
Systemic Methods:
    Advocating and Inquiring Productively

Advocacy                    Inquiry
 Make your own              Ask others how
  reasoning explicit.         they arrived at
 Share your data             their views
  and its source             Check out your
 Invite others to            assessment of
  inquire into your           their views with
  thinking, mindset,          them.
  worldview ,etc.            Be genuinely
                              curious.
Conclusion: “It’s In Every One of Us”




                  http://www.personalgrowthcourses.net/video/every_one_of_us
Dr. MAK Mitchell
   Consensus NOW!
mak@consensus-now.com
www.consensus-now.com




                        24

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MAK Mitchell Keynote Address

  • 1. Finding Ground Truth in Data: Consensus Rules! Dr. MAK Mitchell New York City Public Schools / Consensus NOW! June 2012
  • 2. The Consensus Culture We Are Creating Can consensus become a lever for producing achievement results that last? There is growing evidence that schools on campuses improve when principals change their solo behaviors into campus consensus teams that learn…
  • 3. LETTING THE CULTURE DRIVE THE WORK Campus Development CULTURAL USING THE WORK TO CHANGE THE Distributed CULTURE Leadership Shared LEARNING THE Campus WORK Vision Autonomy Consistent & collaboration Practice Footprint (simultaneously ) Solo leadership TECHNICAL 3
  • 4. CAMPUS: Pre and Post Consensus Defensive routines Trust routines Solo advocacy Balanced inquiry Self interest MM Group interest MM Accusations based on Understandings based on high inference mutual alternatives Data as basis for winning Data as basis for shared the argument ground truth Autonomy justifies Shared mental model behavior justifies behavior 4
  • 5. Consensus Rules! # # # Ground Truth Data + Consensus = Shared Vision (based on changed mental models) 5
  • 6. What is GROUND TRUTH DATA? In US military slang, "ground truth" is used to describe the reality of a tactical situation on the ground as opposed to what intelligence reports and mission plans assert the reality to be. Typically derived from a number of converging evidential sources close to the action, as opposed to a solo or remote source of evidence. 6
  • 7. What is CONSENSUS? Consensus is a process for group decision making, a method whereby an entire group of people who own the issue come to an agreement. The input, evidence and ideas of all participants are gathered and synthesized to arrive at a final decision acceptable to all. Consensus does not mean that everyone thinks that the decision made is necessarily the best one possible, or even that they are sure it will work. Everyone feels their data was given a fair hearing, and collective intelligence prevails 7
  • 8. What does Consensus Look Like? During the dialogue process, people learn how to think together—not just in the sense of analyzing a shared problem or creating new pieces of shared knowledge but in the sense of occupying a collective sensibility, in which the thoughts, emotions and resulting actions belong not to one individual, but all of them together. David Bohm
  • 9. Consensual ground truth is essential to enact a shared vision 9
  • 10. Turn and Talk G: Video: How does Denise’s campus story reflect the perspective levels ?
  • 11. 11
  • 12. 12
  • 13. The Instruction Culture We Are Creating There is growing evidence that student performance improves when teachers change their solo behaviors into consensus teams that learn…
  • 14. LETTING THE Instructional Team Development: CULTURE DRIVE THE WORK CULTURAL Distributed Leadership USING THE WORK TO CHANGE THE CULTURE (changed mental models) LEARNING THE Autonomy WORK & collaboration Shared Team Solo teaching (consensus Alternatives instructional change) (ground truth) Research and Student data Best practice TECHNICAL 14
  • 15. Consensus Rules! # # # Ground Truth Data + Instructional Consensus = Shared Vision (based on changed mental models) 15
  • 16. Turn and Talk From your own experience, how are ground truth data and consensus related to your process of instructional or organizational decisions?
  • 17. Synchronicity: Two Consensus Stories LEVELS CAMPUS CONSENSUS INSTRUCTIONAL CHANGE CONSENSUS Vision Shared vision for campus Shared vision for instructional results Mental Common team purpose: Common team purpose: Serve all students on campus Get all students to mastery Models Systemic Consensus decisions: Consensus collaborations: • Breaking defensive routines • Breaking solo routines Methods • Balancing advocacy with inquiry • Balance advocacy with inquiry (flow, patterns, contiguous space) (research and best practice) • Generating mutual alternatives • Generating mutual alternatives • New mental models • New mental models Patterns Footprint data=ground truth Student data=ground truth over Time Events Solo advocacy Isolated classrooms, students 17
  • 18. CONSENSUS TURNAROUND CYCLE Colleague Survey Analyze Ground Analyze Data Truth Research Question CONSENSUS TURNAROUND Turnaround Plan 18
  • 19. Systemic Methods: Defensive Routines Habitual ways of interacting that protect us and others from threat or embarrassment, but which also prevent us from learning. > Maintaining isolation, solo behaviors > Avoidance, preference for status quo > Faced with conflict, smooth over differences > Speak out in a no holds barred, winner take all way > Speaking in a guarded way, not transparent about data
  • 20. Systemic Methods: Unlocking Defensive Routines • Suspend assumptions • Examine multiple points of view • Reveal the incoherence of thought (become an observer of your own/others’ thinking) • Hold the context of the dialogue; avoid distractions • Avoid focusing down consensus, seek opening it up to more options
  • 21. Systemic Methods: Generating Alternatives • Have each person describe the problem in their own words • State the shared best outcome they are seeking and verify by consensus check • Identify perceived resources: time, money, space, people • Brainstorm possible trade-offs and new or combined resources • Declare best alternatives and adopt
  • 22. Systemic Methods: Advocating and Inquiring Productively Advocacy Inquiry  Make your own  Ask others how reasoning explicit. they arrived at  Share your data their views and its source  Check out your  Invite others to assessment of inquire into your their views with thinking, mindset, them. worldview ,etc.  Be genuinely curious.
  • 23. Conclusion: “It’s In Every One of Us” http://www.personalgrowthcourses.net/video/every_one_of_us
  • 24. Dr. MAK Mitchell Consensus NOW! mak@consensus-now.com www.consensus-now.com 24

Editor's Notes

  1. Chancellor defined my role as “Changing Principal Behavior”Principals felt convinced about their autonomy
  2. How what I learned about data and consensus on campuses has informed instructional teamwork in schoolsContrast behaviors of how campus principals behaved before and after consensus work Vision precedes practice
  3. How do we analyze data to assure ground truth?Not manipulated or interpreted by others not on the groundTrue of both campus data (footprints) and school based instructional team data
  4. NOTESWhat it does mean is that in coming to that decision, no one felt that her/his data on the matter was misunderstood or that it wasn't given a proper hearing. Hopefully, everyone will think it is the best decision; this often happens because, when it works, collective intelligence does come up with better data solutions than individuals canHow do we reach consensus so that ground truth informs our practice and changes our mental models?
  5. The discipline of team learning starts with the “dialogue” capacity of its members to suspend assumptions and enter into a genuine “thinking together;” the group discovers insights not attainable individuallyDialogue—True consensus begins to emerge, where everyone in a group is heard and input is synthesized onto an agreement acceptable to allDiscussion (or debate)-People hold on to and defend their positions; this can only result in a vote where members of the group choose one alternative from several
  6. SA reconciliation acknowledged the historical realities (ground truth) and conducted a consensual dialogue where defensive routines were revealed, advocacies were balanced with inquiry and creative alternatives resulted in an agreement.A shared vision is valuable because it is what we take action on!
  7. How what I learned about data and consensus on campuses has informed instructional teamwork in schoolsContrast behaviors of how campus principals behaved before and after consensus work Vision precedes practice
  8. Beyond data analysis: What are the levers?Instructional change is generative, thereby showing the way to those with limited repertoires or experience.Campus Systemic Methods =Dialogue tools: breaking defensive routines, balancing advocacy with inquiry (useable knowledge: flow, patterns informs), generating alternatives to get to a shared visionInstruction Systemic Methods = Dialogue tools: break solo routines, balance advocacy with inquiry (useable knowledge: research and best practice informs) generating alternatives to get to shared vision for