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Can smart devices save the Press?

Chair: Xavier LORPHELIN, Managing Partner, Serena Capital
• Ari ASSUIED, President, LeKiosque.fr
• Jean-Louis CONSTANZA, Director Orange Vallée
• Guillaume MONTEUX, Founder and CEO, Milibris
Global print circulation is declining, traffic to newspaper
websites keep growing

               Global circulation (paid daily in Mil.)            Aggregated US Newspaper Website Audience
 600
                     538          540          526
        518                                              519                          October       October          %
 500                                                                                   2010          2011          growth
                                                                 Total Unique
                                                                                      105 250       112 196        +6,6%
 400                                                             Visitors ('000)
                                                                 Total Minutes
                                                                                        3 238        4 129         +27,5%
                                                                 (mm)
 300
                                                                 Average Minutes
                                                                                         3,5          3,8          +8,6%
                                                                 per Visite
 200
                                                                 Average Visits
                                                                                         8,7          9,7          +11,5%
                                                                 per Visitors
 100

                                                                 Source: comScore
   0
        2005         2007         2008         2009      2010

Source: 2011, WAN-IFRA
                                                                 Engagement is a challenge on the web:
                                                                                           Print        Digital
 North America: - 17% between 2006 - 2010
                                                                    Minutes per visit          25            4
 Western Europe: - 12% between 2006 - 2010
                                                                    Pages per visit            40           11,4

                                                                                                                            2
Global revenues are declining and not compensated by the
  increase of online advertising
             Global Newspaper Advertising (in Bil. US$)                                          Newspaper US market
                                                                                                 Newspaper US advertising
140   127      127                                                               50 000
                       120
120
                               99     97     95                                  40 000
100                                                  94    93




                                                                  millions USD
 80                                                                              30 000
 60
                                                                                                                                      Online
                                                                                 20 000
 40                                                                                                                                   Print

 20                                                                              10 000
  0
      2006     2007   2008    2009   2010    2011   2012   2013                      0
 Source: 2011, WAN-IFRA                                                                   2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
 Zenith Optimedia                                                                         Source : Newspaper Association of America


   Global advertising revenues: - 23% between 2006 – 2010         Decline of classified revenues: - 16% in 2007,
   North America: - 41% between 2006 – 2010                        - 29% in 2008, - 38% in 2009

   Western Europe: - 20% between 2006 – 2010                      Online advertising: 11% of total advertising (2010)
                                                                   Advertising : 80% of total newspaper revenues

                                                                                                                                        3
How smartphones are changing consumption habits

                                 Top 10 Smartphone Apps                                                           Top 10 Smartphone Apps
                                     Categories - US                                                                Categories - Japan

       Restaurant Information                 12,7%                                  Photo or Video Sharing Services             14,4%
      Digital Books/Magazine                  13,0%                                               Sports Information              15,9%
Photo or video sharing service                 14,8%                                 Stock Quotes or Financial News                17,5%
              Bank Accounts                    14,9%                                            Entertainment News                 18,3%
           Sports Information                   15,5%                                                Traffic Reports                 20,2%
                      Search                          19,3%                                       Social Networking                      21,1%
                        News                          19,8%                                                   News                          25,7%
                        Maps                                      33,6%                                     Search                           27,3%
            Social Networking                                        38,7%                                    Maps                                   35,7%
                     Weather                                              41,2%                            Weather                                           41,7%

                            0,0%      10,0%    20,0%      30,0%    40,0%     50,0%                                0,0%   10,0%   20,0%     30,0%     40,0%     50,0%



        Smartphone users in the US and Japan rely more and more on their mobile phones to access
         news and information
        In August 2011, 7.7% of total traffic going to newspaper websites came from mobile devices (source: comScore)


                                                                                                                                                                     4
How tablets & smart devices are changing consumption habits

      How often do you access these types of
        news/information on your tablet?


                         At least     almost
                         once in     every day
                        the past    in the past
                         month        month
   World, national or
                          58%          22%
      local news
    Sports content        54%          22%
    Entertainment/
   music/ celebrity       54%          20%
         news
    Financial news        52%          18%
   Technology news        49%          16%                                                          Source: comScore


   Source: comScore Tablet Advisor, US,            Tablet traffic peaks between 8pm and midnight
             September 2011
                                                   Mobile overtakes computer for at-home browsing
 Tablet users are heavy news consumers:
  Nearly 1 in 4 consume news daily


                                                                                                                       5
What’s the future? Hope and glories…?

  Survey on tablet users:
   14% have paid for news on their tablets                    Revenues for newspaper publishers from online
   86% have not                                                advertising and digital subscriptions:
   (Source: Pew Research Center, The Tablet Revolution and     8.2 B$ in 2011                  15.7 B$ in 2015
    What it Means for the Future of News)


                                                              Total revenues for global newspaper publishers:
                                                               126.5 B$ in 2011                130.1 B$ in 2015


                                                              By 2015, the installed base of smartphones, tablets
                                                               and eReaders will reach 2.8 billion.
                                                               By comparison, the total daily readership of all the
                                                               world’s newspapers in 2015 will be around 1.8 billion.



                                                              Source: Generator Research
                                                                      Newspapers & the Internet (2011 to 2015)




                                                                                                                     6
Panel Questions

 What are the usage scenarios for news consumption on smart devices?
 What is the appropriate business model: (targeted)
advertising, subscription, bundles…?
 What kind of newspaper and magazine content: real-time news, premium
content, multi-directional or linear…?
 What is the right format to package newspaper content on smart devices:
PDF or rich media (ex: The Daily)?
 How smart device users can access news?
   apps vs. browser
   appstore (Amazon, Apple, Google, Microsoft) vs. digital newsstand
   (LeKiosque.fr, Zinio, Orange)…?
   smartphone vs. tablet vs. eReader?

 Why smart devices can be an opportunity for newspaper and magazine
publishers?
                                                                            7
Can smart devices save the Press?

Chair: Xavier LORPHELIN, Managing Partner, Serena Capital
• Ari ASSUIED, President, LeKiosque.fr
• Jean-Louis CONSTANZA, Director Orange Vallée
• Guillaume MONTEUX, Founder and CEO, Milibris

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Mr Lorphelin Smart Devices save the press ?

  • 1. Can smart devices save the Press? Chair: Xavier LORPHELIN, Managing Partner, Serena Capital • Ari ASSUIED, President, LeKiosque.fr • Jean-Louis CONSTANZA, Director Orange Vallée • Guillaume MONTEUX, Founder and CEO, Milibris
  • 2. Global print circulation is declining, traffic to newspaper websites keep growing Global circulation (paid daily in Mil.) Aggregated US Newspaper Website Audience 600 538 540 526 518 519 October October % 500 2010 2011 growth Total Unique 105 250 112 196 +6,6% 400 Visitors ('000) Total Minutes 3 238 4 129 +27,5% (mm) 300 Average Minutes 3,5 3,8 +8,6% per Visite 200 Average Visits 8,7 9,7 +11,5% per Visitors 100 Source: comScore 0 2005 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: 2011, WAN-IFRA  Engagement is a challenge on the web: Print Digital  North America: - 17% between 2006 - 2010 Minutes per visit 25 4  Western Europe: - 12% between 2006 - 2010 Pages per visit 40 11,4 2
  • 3. Global revenues are declining and not compensated by the increase of online advertising Global Newspaper Advertising (in Bil. US$) Newspaper US market Newspaper US advertising 140 127 127 50 000 120 120 99 97 95 40 000 100 94 93 millions USD 80 30 000 60 Online 20 000 40 Print 20 10 000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 0 Source: 2011, WAN-IFRA 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Zenith Optimedia Source : Newspaper Association of America  Global advertising revenues: - 23% between 2006 – 2010  Decline of classified revenues: - 16% in 2007,  North America: - 41% between 2006 – 2010 - 29% in 2008, - 38% in 2009  Western Europe: - 20% between 2006 – 2010  Online advertising: 11% of total advertising (2010)  Advertising : 80% of total newspaper revenues 3
  • 4. How smartphones are changing consumption habits Top 10 Smartphone Apps Top 10 Smartphone Apps Categories - US Categories - Japan Restaurant Information 12,7% Photo or Video Sharing Services 14,4% Digital Books/Magazine 13,0% Sports Information 15,9% Photo or video sharing service 14,8% Stock Quotes or Financial News 17,5% Bank Accounts 14,9% Entertainment News 18,3% Sports Information 15,5% Traffic Reports 20,2% Search 19,3% Social Networking 21,1% News 19,8% News 25,7% Maps 33,6% Search 27,3% Social Networking 38,7% Maps 35,7% Weather 41,2% Weather 41,7% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0%  Smartphone users in the US and Japan rely more and more on their mobile phones to access news and information  In August 2011, 7.7% of total traffic going to newspaper websites came from mobile devices (source: comScore) 4
  • 5. How tablets & smart devices are changing consumption habits How often do you access these types of news/information on your tablet? At least almost once in every day the past in the past month month World, national or 58% 22% local news Sports content 54% 22% Entertainment/ music/ celebrity 54% 20% news Financial news 52% 18% Technology news 49% 16% Source: comScore Source: comScore Tablet Advisor, US,  Tablet traffic peaks between 8pm and midnight September 2011  Mobile overtakes computer for at-home browsing  Tablet users are heavy news consumers: Nearly 1 in 4 consume news daily 5
  • 6. What’s the future? Hope and glories…?  Survey on tablet users: 14% have paid for news on their tablets  Revenues for newspaper publishers from online 86% have not advertising and digital subscriptions: (Source: Pew Research Center, The Tablet Revolution and 8.2 B$ in 2011 15.7 B$ in 2015 What it Means for the Future of News)  Total revenues for global newspaper publishers: 126.5 B$ in 2011 130.1 B$ in 2015  By 2015, the installed base of smartphones, tablets and eReaders will reach 2.8 billion. By comparison, the total daily readership of all the world’s newspapers in 2015 will be around 1.8 billion. Source: Generator Research Newspapers & the Internet (2011 to 2015) 6
  • 7. Panel Questions  What are the usage scenarios for news consumption on smart devices?  What is the appropriate business model: (targeted) advertising, subscription, bundles…?  What kind of newspaper and magazine content: real-time news, premium content, multi-directional or linear…?  What is the right format to package newspaper content on smart devices: PDF or rich media (ex: The Daily)?  How smart device users can access news?  apps vs. browser  appstore (Amazon, Apple, Google, Microsoft) vs. digital newsstand (LeKiosque.fr, Zinio, Orange)…?  smartphone vs. tablet vs. eReader?  Why smart devices can be an opportunity for newspaper and magazine publishers? 7
  • 8. Can smart devices save the Press? Chair: Xavier LORPHELIN, Managing Partner, Serena Capital • Ari ASSUIED, President, LeKiosque.fr • Jean-Louis CONSTANZA, Director Orange Vallée • Guillaume MONTEUX, Founder and CEO, Milibris