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Chapter 5: Perception,
Decision-Making, and
Problem-Solving
Would You Be Happier If You Were
Richer?
• Focusing illusion--the tendency to overestimate
the effect of a single factor on one’s life
satisfaction
• Example: Income
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 2
What Is It?
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 3
Did You See It?
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 4
What Is Perception?
• A leader must understand that each person’s
perception is their reality and this is how they
will interpret the leader’s actions and
everything else that happens at the work place
• Perceptions can change
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 5
Understanding Why People Don’t See
Eye To Eye
• Perceptual errors:
• Primacy effect
• Recency effect
• Availability bias
• Contrast effects
• Halo error (Horns error)
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 6
Understanding Why People Don’t See
Eye To Eye (Cont.)
• Primacy Effect
• Belief perseverance
• Once a person has formed an initial impression,
they maintain it even when presented with concrete
evidence that it is false.
• Example: first impressions
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 7
Understanding Why People Don’t See
Eye To Eye (Cont.)
• Recency Effect
• Not only do people remember what they experience
first, they also remember the most recently
presented items or experiences
• Example: reading misspelled words
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 8
Understanding Why People Don’t See
Eye To Eye (Cont.)
• Can you understand this? Why?
• i cdnuolt blveiee taht i cluod aulaclty uesdnatnrd
waht i was rdanieg. the phaonmneal pweor of the
hmuan mind is amazanig. aoccdrnig to a
rscheearch taem at cmabrigde uinervtisy, it deosnt
mttaer in waht oredr the ltteers in a wrod are, the
olny iprmoatnt tihng is taht the frist and lsat ltteer be
in the rghit pclae. the rset can be a taotl mses and
you can sitll raed it wouthit a porbelm. amazanig ?
and yuo awlyas thohgut slpeling was ipmorantt
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 9
Understanding Why People Don’t See
Eye To Eye (Cont.)
• The Availability Bias
• When a person’s judgments are based on what
most readily comes into a person’s mind
• Example: How many words in the English language start
with the letter R?
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 10
Understanding Why People Don’t See
Eye To Eye (Cont.)
• Contrast Effects
• Comparisons based on what has happened just
before we make a decision or judgment
• Example: Interviewing job applicants
• Contrast effects are among the most significant
decision biases for a leader to guard against
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 11
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 12
Understanding Why People Don’t See
Eye To Eye (Cont.)
Understanding Why People Don’t See
Eye To Eye (Cont.)
• Halo Error
• Halo (or its opposite, horns) error occurs when the
rater's overall positive (or negative) impression
strongly influences ratings of specific attributes
• Example: performance appraisals
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 13
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 14
Self-Fulfilling Prophecies During
The Application Process
Individual Decision-Making
• The Top Five Business Decisions
• Henry Ford’s decision to double the salaries of Ford’s
workforce
• The Apple board’s decision to bring back Steve Jobs
after he had been fired 10 years earlier
• Sam Walton’s decision to hold Saturday morning all-
employee meetings
• Samsung’s decision to create a sabbatical program that
allows their top performers to travel all over the world
• Jack Welch’s decision to create Crotonville, a training
and development center that produced hundreds of
great leaders who practice the “GE Way”
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 15
Individual Decision-Making (Cont.)
• Decision Processes and Organizational
Performance
• Procedural rationality
• Related to the success of strategic decisions
• Managers who collect information and use analytical
techniques to make decisions are more effective
• Good information and analysis are more important
than politics to effective decision-making
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 16
Individual Decision-Making (Cont.)
• Mintzberg’s Research
• Managers play four decisional roles:
• Entrepreneur
• Disturbance handler
• Resource allocator
• Negotiator
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 17
Individual Decision-Making (Cont.)
• Why Some People Can’t Make Decisions
• Sources of indecisiveness
• Personality traits
• Complex nature of situations faced in rapidly changing
environments:
• Lack of information
• Unclear or conflicting goals
• Uncertainty of outcomes
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 18
Individual Decision Making (Cont.)
• Constraints On Individual Decision Making
• Three situational factors may hinder decision
making:
• Lack of information
• Unclear or conflicting goals
• The uncertainty of outcomes
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 19
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 20
The Rational Decision-Making
Model
The Rational Decision-Making
Model (Cont.)
• Limitations of the Rational Model
• Decision makers
• Don’t have complete information
• Can’t develop and accurately weight an exhaustive list of
alternatives
• Consider only a few alternatives
• Suboptimize
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 21
The Rational Decision-Making
Model (Cont.)
• Bounded Rationality
• Decision makers have limits on ability to assimilate
large amounts of information
• Results from:
• Organizational factors
• Individual limits on the ability to process information
• Perceptions
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 22
Prospect Theory
• Focuses on risk perceptions
• People are willing to settle for a reasonable gain
• People are willing to engage in risk-seeking
behaviors where they can limit their losses
• Losses weigh more heavily in decision making
than equivalent gains (emotions influence
decision making)
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 23
Prospect Theory (Cont.)
• Consider the Following:
• You have US$1,000 and you must pick one of the
following choices:
• Choice A: You have a 50% chance of gaining
US$1,000, and a 50% chance of gaining US$0
• Choice B: You have a 100% chance of gaining
US$500
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 24
Prospect Theory (Cont.)
• Consider the Following Part 2:
• You have US$2,000 and you must pick one of the
following choices:
• Choice A: You have a 50% chance of losing
US$1,000, and 50% of losing US$0
• Choice B: You have a 100% chance of losing
US$500
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 25
Prospect Theory (Cont.)
• Results
• How many picked A for Part 1
• How many picked B for Part 2
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 26
Prospect Theory (Cont.)
• The Importance of How Decisions are Framed
• Leaders must pay attention to how decisions are
framed when they are presented.
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 27
Prospect Theory (Cont.)
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 28
Intuition
• Automatic and effortless decision making that
is often involuntary
• Four characteristics:
• Nonconscious processes
• Involve holistic associations
• Produced rapidly
• Resulting in affectively charged judgments
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 29
Intuition (Cont.)
• Benefits of Intuition
• Expedites decision making
• Improves the decision in some way
• Facilitates personal development
• Promotes decisions compatible with company culture
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 30
Intuition (Cont.)
• ”Wicked Organizational Problems”
• Some problems have learning environments
that are “kind” in that they can be structured so
analysis or heuristics can be applied
• Other problems are “wicked” because they are
complex and dynamic, and there may be limits
to whether analysis or heuristics can be
applied
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 31
Decision Traps
• Hindsight Bias ("I-knew-it-all-along" effect)
• Tendency for individuals with outcome
knowledge (hindsight) to claim they would have
estimated a probability of occurrence for a
reported outcome that is higher than they
would have estimated in foresight (without the
outcome information)
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 32
Decision Traps (Cont.)
• Overconfidence Bias (sometimes referred to as
“hubris”)
• Inflated confidence in how accurate a person’s
knowledge or estimates are
• Leaders with more power tend to have more
overconfidence bias
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 33
Decision Traps (Cont.)
• Escalation of Commitment
• Individuals continue a failing course of action after
receiving feedback that shows it isn’t working.
• Sunk costs fallacy: continued commitment because
a person has already invested in a course of action
and does not recognize what they invested initially
is sunk (gone)
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 34
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 35
Decision Traps (Cont.)
Creative Problem Solving
• Creativity: The tendency to generate or
recognize ideas, alternatives, or possibilities
that may be useful in solving problems,
communicating with others, and entertaining
ourselves and others
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 36
Creative Problem Solving (Cont.)
• Going With the Flow
• Creative experiences are linked to emotional states
called flow in which a person experiences a
challenging opportunity aligned with her skills.
• When both challenges and skills are high, people
learn more during optimal flow experience.
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 37
Creative Problem Solving (Cont.)
• Three-Component Model
• Expertise refers to knowledge (technical, processes
and academic)
• Creative thinking skills are how adaptable and
imaginative individuals in the organization are
• Motivation refers to the intrinsic form of motivation --
the urgent need to solve the problem faced and not
the monetary rewards expected
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 38
Creative Problem Solving (Cont.)
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 39
Creative Leadership
• Problem finding
• Problem-solving
• Solution implementation
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 40
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 41
Creative Leadership Model
Leadership Implications: How Leaders
Support Creativity
• Enhance creative problem solving
• Innovative styles and intrinsic motivation
combine with LMX to produce more creativity
• Leader expectations and support increase
creative self-efficacy
Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 42

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Lead 705 ppt 5

  • 2. Would You Be Happier If You Were Richer? • Focusing illusion--the tendency to overestimate the effect of a single factor on one’s life satisfaction • Example: Income Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 2
  • 3. What Is It? Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 3
  • 4. Did You See It? Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 4
  • 5. What Is Perception? • A leader must understand that each person’s perception is their reality and this is how they will interpret the leader’s actions and everything else that happens at the work place • Perceptions can change Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 5
  • 6. Understanding Why People Don’t See Eye To Eye • Perceptual errors: • Primacy effect • Recency effect • Availability bias • Contrast effects • Halo error (Horns error) Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 6
  • 7. Understanding Why People Don’t See Eye To Eye (Cont.) • Primacy Effect • Belief perseverance • Once a person has formed an initial impression, they maintain it even when presented with concrete evidence that it is false. • Example: first impressions Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 7
  • 8. Understanding Why People Don’t See Eye To Eye (Cont.) • Recency Effect • Not only do people remember what they experience first, they also remember the most recently presented items or experiences • Example: reading misspelled words Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 8
  • 9. Understanding Why People Don’t See Eye To Eye (Cont.) • Can you understand this? Why? • i cdnuolt blveiee taht i cluod aulaclty uesdnatnrd waht i was rdanieg. the phaonmneal pweor of the hmuan mind is amazanig. aoccdrnig to a rscheearch taem at cmabrigde uinervtisy, it deosnt mttaer in waht oredr the ltteers in a wrod are, the olny iprmoatnt tihng is taht the frist and lsat ltteer be in the rghit pclae. the rset can be a taotl mses and you can sitll raed it wouthit a porbelm. amazanig ? and yuo awlyas thohgut slpeling was ipmorantt Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 9
  • 10. Understanding Why People Don’t See Eye To Eye (Cont.) • The Availability Bias • When a person’s judgments are based on what most readily comes into a person’s mind • Example: How many words in the English language start with the letter R? Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 10
  • 11. Understanding Why People Don’t See Eye To Eye (Cont.) • Contrast Effects • Comparisons based on what has happened just before we make a decision or judgment • Example: Interviewing job applicants • Contrast effects are among the most significant decision biases for a leader to guard against Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 11
  • 12. Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 12 Understanding Why People Don’t See Eye To Eye (Cont.)
  • 13. Understanding Why People Don’t See Eye To Eye (Cont.) • Halo Error • Halo (or its opposite, horns) error occurs when the rater's overall positive (or negative) impression strongly influences ratings of specific attributes • Example: performance appraisals Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 13
  • 14. Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 14 Self-Fulfilling Prophecies During The Application Process
  • 15. Individual Decision-Making • The Top Five Business Decisions • Henry Ford’s decision to double the salaries of Ford’s workforce • The Apple board’s decision to bring back Steve Jobs after he had been fired 10 years earlier • Sam Walton’s decision to hold Saturday morning all- employee meetings • Samsung’s decision to create a sabbatical program that allows their top performers to travel all over the world • Jack Welch’s decision to create Crotonville, a training and development center that produced hundreds of great leaders who practice the “GE Way” Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 15
  • 16. Individual Decision-Making (Cont.) • Decision Processes and Organizational Performance • Procedural rationality • Related to the success of strategic decisions • Managers who collect information and use analytical techniques to make decisions are more effective • Good information and analysis are more important than politics to effective decision-making Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 16
  • 17. Individual Decision-Making (Cont.) • Mintzberg’s Research • Managers play four decisional roles: • Entrepreneur • Disturbance handler • Resource allocator • Negotiator Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 17
  • 18. Individual Decision-Making (Cont.) • Why Some People Can’t Make Decisions • Sources of indecisiveness • Personality traits • Complex nature of situations faced in rapidly changing environments: • Lack of information • Unclear or conflicting goals • Uncertainty of outcomes Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 18
  • 19. Individual Decision Making (Cont.) • Constraints On Individual Decision Making • Three situational factors may hinder decision making: • Lack of information • Unclear or conflicting goals • The uncertainty of outcomes Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 19
  • 20. Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 20 The Rational Decision-Making Model
  • 21. The Rational Decision-Making Model (Cont.) • Limitations of the Rational Model • Decision makers • Don’t have complete information • Can’t develop and accurately weight an exhaustive list of alternatives • Consider only a few alternatives • Suboptimize Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 21
  • 22. The Rational Decision-Making Model (Cont.) • Bounded Rationality • Decision makers have limits on ability to assimilate large amounts of information • Results from: • Organizational factors • Individual limits on the ability to process information • Perceptions Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 22
  • 23. Prospect Theory • Focuses on risk perceptions • People are willing to settle for a reasonable gain • People are willing to engage in risk-seeking behaviors where they can limit their losses • Losses weigh more heavily in decision making than equivalent gains (emotions influence decision making) Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 23
  • 24. Prospect Theory (Cont.) • Consider the Following: • You have US$1,000 and you must pick one of the following choices: • Choice A: You have a 50% chance of gaining US$1,000, and a 50% chance of gaining US$0 • Choice B: You have a 100% chance of gaining US$500 Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 24
  • 25. Prospect Theory (Cont.) • Consider the Following Part 2: • You have US$2,000 and you must pick one of the following choices: • Choice A: You have a 50% chance of losing US$1,000, and 50% of losing US$0 • Choice B: You have a 100% chance of losing US$500 Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 25
  • 26. Prospect Theory (Cont.) • Results • How many picked A for Part 1 • How many picked B for Part 2 Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 26
  • 27. Prospect Theory (Cont.) • The Importance of How Decisions are Framed • Leaders must pay attention to how decisions are framed when they are presented. Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 27
  • 28. Prospect Theory (Cont.) Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 28
  • 29. Intuition • Automatic and effortless decision making that is often involuntary • Four characteristics: • Nonconscious processes • Involve holistic associations • Produced rapidly • Resulting in affectively charged judgments Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 29
  • 30. Intuition (Cont.) • Benefits of Intuition • Expedites decision making • Improves the decision in some way • Facilitates personal development • Promotes decisions compatible with company culture Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 30
  • 31. Intuition (Cont.) • ”Wicked Organizational Problems” • Some problems have learning environments that are “kind” in that they can be structured so analysis or heuristics can be applied • Other problems are “wicked” because they are complex and dynamic, and there may be limits to whether analysis or heuristics can be applied Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 31
  • 32. Decision Traps • Hindsight Bias ("I-knew-it-all-along" effect) • Tendency for individuals with outcome knowledge (hindsight) to claim they would have estimated a probability of occurrence for a reported outcome that is higher than they would have estimated in foresight (without the outcome information) Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 32
  • 33. Decision Traps (Cont.) • Overconfidence Bias (sometimes referred to as “hubris”) • Inflated confidence in how accurate a person’s knowledge or estimates are • Leaders with more power tend to have more overconfidence bias Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 33
  • 34. Decision Traps (Cont.) • Escalation of Commitment • Individuals continue a failing course of action after receiving feedback that shows it isn’t working. • Sunk costs fallacy: continued commitment because a person has already invested in a course of action and does not recognize what they invested initially is sunk (gone) Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 34
  • 35. Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 35 Decision Traps (Cont.)
  • 36. Creative Problem Solving • Creativity: The tendency to generate or recognize ideas, alternatives, or possibilities that may be useful in solving problems, communicating with others, and entertaining ourselves and others Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 36
  • 37. Creative Problem Solving (Cont.) • Going With the Flow • Creative experiences are linked to emotional states called flow in which a person experiences a challenging opportunity aligned with her skills. • When both challenges and skills are high, people learn more during optimal flow experience. Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 37
  • 38. Creative Problem Solving (Cont.) • Three-Component Model • Expertise refers to knowledge (technical, processes and academic) • Creative thinking skills are how adaptable and imaginative individuals in the organization are • Motivation refers to the intrinsic form of motivation -- the urgent need to solve the problem faced and not the monetary rewards expected Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 38
  • 39. Creative Problem Solving (Cont.) Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 39
  • 40. Creative Leadership • Problem finding • Problem-solving • Solution implementation Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 40
  • 41. Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 41 Creative Leadership Model
  • 42. Leadership Implications: How Leaders Support Creativity • Enhance creative problem solving • Innovative styles and intrinsic motivation combine with LMX to produce more creativity • Leader expectations and support increase creative self-efficacy Scandura, Essentials of Organizational Behavior 2e. © SAGE Publications, 2019. 42