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October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 1
Lattice Energy LLC
Asset-based lending in the oil & gas industry
Asset value of in-ground reserves used to support debt
Important source of financing for upstream exploration and production
Commercializing a next-generation source of safe CO2-free nuclear energy
Contact: 1-312-861-0115 Chicago, Illinois USA lewisglarsen@gmail.com
http://www.slideshare.net/lewisglarsen/presentations
Lewis Larsen
President and CEO
October 8, 2015
Commercialization of LENR technology could increase value of reserves by 500x
BP’s Thunder Horse platform - Texas Gulf
bp
Oil sands open pit - Ft. McMurray, Alberta, Ca
Credit: Ryan Jackson/Postmedia News files
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 2
LENRs increase value of fossil Carbon reserves by 500x
Dramatically expands debt financing opportunities for oil & gas industry
✓ Revolutionary LENR technology can potentially transform aromatic fractions found
in oil, coal, natural gas, and biomass (lignin) into ‘green’ CO2-free LENR fuels that
possess >5,000x the energy density (Watt*hours/kg) of unleaded gasoline fuel
✓ In LENR fuels derived from extraction and processing of aromatic fractions found in
oil and coal and Mo-catalytic conversion of natural gas, generation of thermal heat
energy occurs via clean radiation-free, neutron-catalyzed transmutation of Carbon
into Nitrogen and Oxygen rather than CO2-producing chemical combustion with O2
✓ Herein we show how development of LENR technology can potentially increase the
economic value of Carbonaceous fossil energy reserves by at least 500x; much of
this increase in realizable economic value comes from enormously larger energy
densities and BTUs produced by nuclear LENR reactions versus purely chemical
energy processes such as age-old combustion used by mankind for millennia
✓ In British Petroleum's 64th annual Statistical Review of World Energy (2015) they
estimated that oil will run-out in 52.5 years, coal in 110 years, and natural gas in 54.1
years. Given at least 500x increase in the energetic economic value of LENR fuel,
commercialization of LENRs on aromatic molecules could extend useful economic
lifetime of fossil Carbon sources out to at least 25,000 years – maybe vastly longer
✓ Commercial LENRs eliminate the “Carbon Bubble” and “stranded assets” problems
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 3
✓ Asset-based lending (ABL) is a mechanism that is commonly
utilized to support debt financing by U.S. and foreign oil &
gas companies engaged in exploration and production (E&P)
✓ In reserve-based lending (RBL) facilities, borrowers put up
in-ground hydrocarbon reserves as collateral for large loans
✓ Comments: While ABL/RBL lending is somewhat akin to
traditional working-capital-based ABL loan facilities, there
are important differences. One key differentiating feature is
that RBL agreements can provide lenders with unilateral
discretion to revise commodity price assumptions and other
relevant market or technology parameters used to estimate
net present economic value of a borrower’s in-ground assets
Asset-based lending utilized in the global oil & gas industry
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 4
https://www.unionbank.com/commercial-bank/credit/asset-based-lending/index.jsp
Example: Union Bank engages in asset-based lending
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 5
http://www.bracewellgiuliani.com/assets/OGFJ%20April%202014.pdf
Example of how a reserve-based lending facility works
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 6
https://www.energyinst.org/_uploads/documents/wpc.pdf
Oil companies’ capital expenditures continue to increase
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 7
http://www.wsj.com/articles/banks-struggle-to-unload-oil-loans-1426728583
Wirz & Tan story in The Wall Street Journal, March 18, 2015
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 8
Evolution of nuclear technology
Commercializing ultralow energy neutron reactions (LENRs)
for power generation and vehicular propulsion applications
Breakthrough in nuclear technology: no dangerous radiation or wastes
• LENR fuels get transmuted by absorbing neutrons which releases enormous heat
• Sustainable CO2-free transmutation of Carbon could replace combustion processes
Widom-Larsen theory enables LENR power generation devices
Widom-Larsen
Theory of LENRs
Few-body
Strong interaction
Many-body collective
Weak interaction
Nuclear weapons
Fission and fusion power plants
No weapons
Safe: even portable power plants
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 9
Convert fossil fuels into green LENR energy sources
✓ Bitumen such as in Canadian oil sands, almost all oils, coals, and biomass
(lignin) all naturally contain varying % of Carbon aromatic ring molecules;
these include simple moieties like Benzene and more complex, multi-ring
aromatics such as polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs). One example of
a PAH is Phenanthrene, which is comprised of three bonded Benzene rings
✓ Using a mixture of traditional and recently developed chemical techniques,
oil and coal can be processed to extract desired aromatic fractions; in theory,
it should be possible to convert these aromatics into CO2-free LENR fuels that
would be ‘burned’ in new, proprietary types of radiation-free transmutation
reactors that would not require shielding, containment, or radwaste disposal
✓ Compared to combusting Carbon with Oxygen, using LENRs to instead
transmute Carbon into stable Oxygen and Nitrogen can produce 5 million
times more BTUs of thermal energy without emitting any gaseous CO2
✓ Opportunity for oil and coal companies selling BTUs to customers to vastly
increase revenues/profits by engaging in production and sale of LENR fuels
Aromatic fractions found in oil and coal can be turned into LENR fuels
LENR fuels would have energy densities 5,000x larger than unleaded gasoline
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 10
LENRs enable oil companies to increase future profits
Use LENRs to decrease costs; sell new CO2-free fuels to customers
New LENR fuels could be produced and sold in parallel with today's products
✓ Commercial LENR thermal sources could provide CO2-free, low-cost process
heat for various upstream and downstream operations in oil & gas business:
LENR-based thermal sources qualified for operating underground could also
enable in situ heating and partial upgrading of bitumen and heavy oil reservoirs;
in Canada, could eliminate burning of natural gas to make steam used in SAGD
process and need for diluents. This could reduce production costs for Canadian
oil sands, making downstream products more quality/price-competitive with WTI
and light, sweet Middle Eastern crudes produced in Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Iran
✓ Aromatic fractions in oil and coal can potentially be converted into LENR fuels:
When purchasing most types of carbonaceous fuels, end-user customers are
effectively buying quantities of heat measured in British Thermal Units (BTUs).
By working in partnership with, for example, vehicle manufacturers to facilitate
adoption of vastly more energy-dense green LENR fuels, today’s large oil & gas
companies could have an incredible economic opportunity to increase future
revenues and profits from exactly the same barrel of oil or ton of coal by many-
fold compared to today when end-users are burning their fuels via combustion
✓ LENRs provide fossil fuel industry with smooth technological transition to ‘green’
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 11
Image credit: co-author Domenico Pacifici
From: “Nanoscale plasmonic interferometers for
multispectral, high-throughput biochemical sensing”
J. Feng et al., Nano Letters pp. 602 - 609 (2012)
Revolutionary new type of safe nuclear energy technology
Laura 13
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All Rights Reserved 11
Unique advantages of ultralow energy neutron reactions (LENRs)
Widom-Larsen theory rigorously explains all of these unique attributes
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 12
Electroweak reaction in Widom-Larsen theory is simple
Protons or deuterons react directly with electrons to make neutrons
Need input energy source such as electricity to drive LENR neutron production
EnergyE-field + e-
sp g e-*sp + p+ g n0 + νe
Collective many-body quantum effects:
many electrons each transfer little bits
of energy to a much smaller number of
electrons also bathed in the very same
extremely high local electric field
Quantum electrodynamics (QED): smaller number of
electrons that absorb energy directly from local electric
field will increase their effective masses (m = E/c2)
above key thresholds β0 where they can react directly
with a proton (or deuteron) neutron and neutrino
νe neutrinos: ghostly unreactive particles that fly-off into space; n0 neutrons capture on nearby atoms
Neutrons + fuel elements heavier elements + decay products
Neutrons induce nuclear transmutations that release enormous amounts of clean, CO2-free heat
Input energy creates electric fields > 2.5 x1011 V/m Heavy-mass e-* electrons react directly with protons
electrons + protons (Hydrogen) g neutrons + neutrinos (benign particles, fly into space)
Radiation-free LENR transmutation
Require source(s) of input energy Many-body collective electroweak neutron production
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 13
Guided by physics of the Widom-Larsen theory,
an opportunity to commercialize LENRs as truly
green CO2-free nuclear energy source has been
enabled by a unique juxtaposition of very recent
parallel advances in certain very vibrant areas
of nanotechnology (esp. plasmonics), quantum
entanglement, new innovations in nanoparticle
fabrication techniques, as well as an array of
new discoveries in advanced materials science.
Widom-Larsen enables commercialization of LENRs
Applied nanotechnology and LENRs are mutually joined at the hip
Development risks can be reasonable thanks to Widom-Larsen and nanotech
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 13
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 14
LENRs are green: no energetic radiation or radwastes
Lack of hard radiation obviates need for shielding and containment
Major opportunity to develop safe, battery-like portable LENR power sources
Revolution in green
nuclear technology
Fission reactors need 1 foot of steel and 3 feet of concrete
to protect humans from hard radiation and wastes emitted
by reactor; makes systems intrinsically large and heavy
LENRs enable devices something like
this: small, portable battery-like power
sources that are safe and disposable
Much larger LENR devices based on dusty
plasma embodiments can potentially scale-up
to megawatts; akin to today’s power plants
Fission and fusion processes both emit deadly MeV-energy neutron and gamma radiation
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 15
LENRs have energy densities 5,000x greater vs. gasoline
57,500,000 (maximum theoretical energy
density – only a fraction would be achievable
in practice)
LENRs (based on an assumption of an average
of 0.5 MeV per nuclear reaction in an LENR
system)
11,500100% Efficient Combustion of Pure Gasoline
5,930100% Efficient Combustion of Pure Methanol
2,300Gas Burning Microgenerator (20% efficient)
1,680Direct Methanol Fuel Cell (35% efficient)
460Zinc-Air Battery
329Lithium Battery
164Alkaline Battery
Approximate Energy Density
(Watt*hours/kg)
Source of Energy
LENRs Versus Chemical Energy Sources: Batteries, Fuel Cells, and Microgenerators
57,500,000 (maximum theoretical energy
density – only a fraction would be achievable
in practice)
LENRs (based on an assumption of an average
of 0.5 MeV per nuclear reaction in an LENR
system)
11,500100% Efficient Combustion of Pure Gasoline
5,930100% Efficient Combustion of Pure Methanol
2,300Gas Burning Microgenerator (20% efficient)
1,680Direct Methanol Fuel Cell (35% efficient)
460Zinc-Air Battery
329Lithium Battery
164Alkaline Battery
Approximate Energy Density
(Watt*hours/kg)
Source of Energy
LENRs Versus Chemical Energy Sources: Batteries, Fuel Cells, and Microgenerators
ChemicalEnergySourcesLENRs
Energy densities of LENR transmutation processes surpass chemical combustion
Estimate of multiple based on very conservative energetic assumptions
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 16
LENR systems are energy-dense and readily scale-up
Solar or wind - innately low energy densities; must be collected and concentrated
http://www.drexel.edu/~/media/Files/greatworks/pdf_sum10/WK8_Layton
_EnergyDensities.ash
Petroleum energy density: “A single gallon of gasoline contains
approximately forty megajoules of chemical energy. Dividing energy by
volume yields an energy density of ten billion joules per cubic meter.
Gasoline is ten quadrillion times more energy-dense than solar radiation
and one billion times more energy-dense than wind and water power.”
✓ Vast majority of vehicles are now
powered by internal combustion
engines burning gasoline or diesel
fuels with O2 because effective
energy densities are much higher
than all-electric vehicles powered
by advanced chemical batteries
✓ At the present time, vehicles with
internal combustion engines have
substantially lower total lifetime $
costs than all-electric vehicles
✓ LENRs are at least 5,000 times
more energy-dense than gasoline
✓ If LENRs can be scaled-up to
power vehicles, have opportunity
to displace internal combustion
Source: B.E. Layton, International Journal
of Green Energy 5 pp. 438 - 455 (2008)
Renewables
Fossil fuels
Energy density is a key advantage of LENRs vs. chemical combustion
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 17
Market Application Examples More details about applications Economic Advantages
LENRs enable safe, radiation- and
CO2-free free nuclear energy
production and power generation
at substantially lower cost vs.
competing nuclear (fission or
fusion) and chemical technologies.
Vastly greater energy densities
and longevity at a lower price per
kWh compared to chemical power
sources for producing electricity
Integrate LENR heat sources w.
different types of energy conversion
technologies: e.g., create battery-like
devices using thermoelectrics that can
convert raw heat directly into DC
electricity; or use heat to rotate a shaft
for direct motive propulsion and/or in
power generation systems (e.g., steam
turbines); scale-up by increasing LENR-
active surface areas and/or
volumetrically in case of dusty plasmas
SAFE - no radiation
shielding or waste issues.
Could someday enter huge
unit-volume portable power
markets and be able to
compete directly against
advanced chemical
batteries, small fuel cells,
and fossil fuel
microgenerators
Create large quantities of
inexpensive raw process heat for
bitumen extraction, heavy oil
recovery, and/or oil shale
processing. Could eliminate
burning of natural gas used to
make steam employed in SAGD
process for underground bitumen
extraction in oil sands regions of
Canada (big decrease in CO2
footprint and extraction costs)
Long-lived LENR thermal sources
lowered down boreholes could be used
to directly heat-up bitumen or heavy oil
in underground rock formations to
reduce production costs and enhance
% recovery. Could use LENR heaters
for in-situ underground upgrading ---
maybe up to mid-distillates. Can also
produce clean, inexpensive process
heat for downstream petroleum
operations such as refining
Major benefits to large oil
and coal producers – can
help increase long-term
supplies of oil and reduce
total production costs;
shrink industry’s global CO2
emission footprint across
all upstream and
downstream operations
Examples of applications for potent LENR thermal sources
LENRs could reduce costs and enhance production in oil & gas industry
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 18
Fossil fuels could be converted into green LENR fuels
Breakthroughs in physics and nanotechnology make this possible
Bitumen, heavy oil, and coal may be much more valuable as CO2-free LENR fuels
Canadian natural bitumen Heavy viscous oils found in many fields Various grades of coal
These fossil hydrocarbons contain aromatic ring molecules on which LENRs can be triggered
In 2009 Larsen discovered that aromatic molecules can potentially
be extracted and processed to be converted into green LENR fuels
in which there would be no hard radiation emissions, no production
of any long-lived radioactive wastes or emission of gaseous CO2 into
the atmosphere; would instead release > 5,000 times more thermal
energy versus combustion of Carbon-based molecules with Oxygen
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 19
Many moieties contain or are convertible into aromatics
Variety of simple and
complex aromatic
molecules
Examples:
Green
CO2-free
LENR
fuels
5,000x
greater
energy
density
Process into
Heavy oils
and natural
bitumen
Coal
Contain aromatic
molecules
Examples:
CH4 natural gas
Lignin from
renewable
biomass
Extract
Extract
Digest
Mo catalyst
Chemical
process
Chemical
processing
plus
nanotech
Benzene
Phenanthrene
CO2 C nanofibers
Enormous gain in energy
density makes processing
conversions $$$ economic
Bottom line: just about any
Carbon-based moiety can
be converted into aromatic
ring-structure molecules
using a chemical process
Processing
LENR fuels can be created from many different types of Carbon sources
Nanoparticulate fuelsBase feedstock Aromatic molecules
LNG
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 20
Oil, coal, lignin, and LNG could be processed into CO2-free LENR fuels
Carbon atoms on aromatic rings could be fuel for radiation-free transmutation
Neutrons + LENR fuel elements heavier elements + decay products +
+
Catalytic neutron
‘match’
Neutrons are readily absorbed by
LENR fuels such as Nickel, Titanium,
Lithium, or aromatic Carbon atoms
Direct conversion of neutron capture
and decay-related gammas to IR and
beta/alpha particles create heat
n0
Carbon
Radiation-free LENR transmutation
Process does not emit any deadly radiation or produce troublesome radwastes
Aromatic Carbon can be transmuted rather than combusted
capture on LENR fuel elements produces heat
BTUs
Absorbed
by fuel
elements
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 21
Convert ring Hydrogen atoms (protons) into safe neutrons
Neutrons are captured by ring Carbon atoms that are then transmuted
In example a Carbon atom is transmuted into Nitrogen via an LENR process
LENR neutron
capture catalyzed
Process does not emit any deadly radiation or produce troublesome radwastes
Aromatic Carbon molecules could be converted into revolutionary LENR fuels
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 22
Nanoparticulate LENR fuels could be used in many systems
Huge energy density advantages vs. fossil fuels & chemical batteries
Intrinsic LENR fuel energy densities could be 5,000x larger vs. gasoline
LENR fuels would be inert and benign and could use existing package delivery systems
for resupply; typical gasoline or diesel tanker truck carries ~5,000 - 12,000 US Gallons of
liquid fuel. LENR fuels producing same # of BTUs could be shipped in 1 - 2 FedEx boxes or
delivered to remote locations via drones. Size of fuel logistics pipelines would collapse.
Consequence: an automobile powered by LENRs could travel around the entire
world on a quantity of nanoparticulate fuel that fits into just a single FedEx box
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 23
LENRs could enable vast increases in product performance
Energy densities of LENR fuels at least 5,000x > chemical processes
LENR-powered systems could easily achieve 10x - 100x chemical systems
Product Name
Present capabilities with today’s
power sources
Range (endurance)
Vastly enhanced capabilities with
future LENR-based power sources
10x chemical 100x chemical
GreenWing e430 180 miles (~3 hours @ 60 mph) 1,800 (30) 18,000 (300)
Airbus E-Fan 2.0 99 miles (1 hour @ 99 mph) 990 (10) 9,900 (100)
Predator MQ-1 1,800 miles (24 hours @ 75 mph) 18,000 (240) 180,000 (2,400)
Super Heron
est. ~4,000 miles (45 hours @ 89
mph?)
40,000 (450+) 400,000 (4,500)
Springtail 184 miles (2.2+ hours @ 94 mph ) 1,840 (200+) 18,400 (2,000+)
Crazyflie Speed not measured (3 - 10 minutes) ? (30 - 100 min.) ? (maybe 5 - 17 hrs.)
InstantEye est. ~8 miles (18 - 20 min @ 25 mph) est. 80 (3.2 hrs.) 800 (32 hrs.)
Tesla Model S car ~300 miles (4 - 5 hours @ 70 mph) 3,000 (40 - 50) 30,000 (400 - 500)
Shkval torpedo
6.8 - 9.3 miles (1.8 - 2.4 min @230
mph)
68 - 93 (18 - 24
min)
680 - 930 (3 - 4 hrs)
Exoskeletons and
autonomous robots
Require tether cables connected to
some type of external power source
Duration of autonomous activity might be
extended up to weeks or even months
Variousaircraft
Note: roughly 730 hours in a month and 8,760 hours in a year; average U.S. car’s IC engine runs for ~5,000 hrs over lifetime
Enhancements in product range and endurance if LENR technology were commercialized
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 24
LENRs solve issue of future “Carbon bubble” asset risk
Bank of England et al. weigh risks of “stranded” in-ground fossil fuels
Not only will such risks disappear but LENRs increase energetic value by >500x
Quoted directly from news story by Damian Carrington, The Guardian online, December 1, 2014 at 08:47 EST
"The Bank of England is to conduct an enquiry into the risk of fossil fuel companies causing a major
economic crash if future climate change rules render their coal, oil and gas assets worthless."
"The concept of a 'carbon bubble' has gained rapid recognition since 2013, and is being taken
increasingly seriously by some major financial companies including Citibank, HSBC and Moody’s,
but the Bank’s enquiry is the most significant endorsement yet from a regulator."
"The concern is that if the world’s government’s meet their agreed target of limiting global warming
to 2o C by cutting carbon emissions, then about two-thirds of proven coal, oil and gas reserves
cannot be burned. With fossil fuel companies being among the largest in the world, sharp losses in
their value could prompt a new economic crisis.”
Source: http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/dec/01/bank-of-england-investigating-risk-of-carbon-bubble
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 25
Oil companies facing turbulent times in near future
Strategic issue: BP says oil supplies will likely run-out in 52.5 years
Besides resource depletion, climate change may force cuts in fossil fuel usage
Global energy demand has been increasing exponentially and will try to continue to do so
✓ Resource depletion: BP says oil will run-out
in 52.5 years and coal in 110; what happens
to world’s fossil energy markets after that?
✓ Climate change: emerging scientific
consensus posits global warming is being
caused by increasing CO2 emissions from
human activities; need huge cuts in CO2
✓ Concern about global warming has lead to
speculation about somehow mandating
radical decreases in man’s CO2 emissions
to help mitigate further rise in average
global temperature; restrict fossil fuel use?
✓ Further concerns about possible “Carbon
bubble” that makes remaining in-ground
fossil fuels unextractable and worthless
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 26
https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/pdf/Energy-economics/statistical-review-2015/bp-
statistical-review-of-world-energy-2015-full-report.pdf
Real price of
oil in 2014
USD$ shown
in lighter
shade of
green Today
~USD$
45 - 53
Real price of oil has recently hit values seen back in 1860s
Real price is high even after recent decline; suggests resource depletion
Today
“BP Statistical Review of World Energy” - 2015 pp.15
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 27
Transmutation is economically attractive vs. combustion
LENRs increase net energy equivalent values of coal and oil by >500x
Oil is in barrels; Coal in short tons Oil Coal
Total adjusted economic
value for oil + coal in US$
BP est. proven reserves as of the end of 2013 1,687,900,000,000 891,531,000,000
Percentage of proven reserves of a fossil fuel
left in ground for whatever reasons (%) 0.33 0.80
Number of barrels of oil or short tons of coal
deliberately left in the ground (reserves x %)
5.57007E+11 7.13225E+11
For discussion purposes, simply assume price
of oil and coal remains ~ same as it is today US$ 50 bbl US$ 55 ST
Conservatively estimated economic value of
reserves left-in-ground (US$ price x in-ground)
2.78504E+13 3.92274E+13 6.70777E+13
Assume that only 10% of in-ground oil and coal
is recoverable as usable aromatic molecules
0.10 0.10
Net economic value of green LENR fuels before
adjusting for > energy density (value x .10)
2.78504E+12 3.92274E+12
Adjust energy equivalent economic value for
higher LENR energy density (net value x 5,000)
1.39252E+16 1.96137E+16 3.35389E+16 US$
500x
“Haircut” for non-aromatic
fractions of oil and coal
See McGlade & Elkins in
recent Nature article (2015)
See BP’s Statistical Review
of World Energy (2014)
In fact, prices should rise
as resources are depleted
Hypothetical assumption
for discussion purposes
Adjust for >>> larger LENR
heat production in BTUs
Assumed proven reserves data is from the BP Statistical Review of World Energy (2014);
assumptions re % of oil and coal left in ground (whether because of governmental fiats,
voluntary restraint, taxation of extraction, or any combination thereof) taken from McGlade &
Elkins (Nature 2015); assumption that net energy density (ED) of LENR fuels derived from
aromatic rings found in oil and coal is ~5,000x > gasoline is probably quite conservative - very
likely that an additional 10 - 12x increase may be achievable, i.e., >50,000x the ED of gasoline
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 28
Transmutation is economically attractive vs. combustion
✓ At this point, it is not clear exactly how or even whether rates of extraction and/or use of
fossil fuels for combustion could be substantially reduced. That said, for purposes of
discussion let’s assume that leaving 33% of remaining oil and 80% of coal fallow in the
ground might be a real possibility via governmental fiats. What would it be worth in terms of
economic $$$ value for the oil and coal industry to be able to extract those potentially
‘stranded’ fossil Carbon resources and generate vastly more CO2-free energy via LENRs?
(note: non-aromatic components of oil and coal would still be available for use as chemical
feedstock) Answer to this question is provided in previous slide’s Table: 3.35 x 1016 US$
✓ For purposes of discussion, let’s arbitrarily assume that US$ 250 billion invested over 10
years would be needed to fully commercialize LENRs (Lattice believes it is ~2 - 3 orders of
magnitude less than that number). What multiple of that investment would the realized
economic value of 3.35 x 1016 US$ represent; dividing that number by 2.5 x 1011 US$ yields
ratio of 1.34 x 105 – huge economic multiplier resulting from a 10-year US$ 250 b investment
✓ In 2014 alone, the global oil & gas industry collectively spent US$ 670 billion searching for
and developing new fossil fuel resources. In 2013, just Chevron, ExxonMobil, and Royal
Dutch Shell together spent more than US$ 120 billion on such activities. Lastly, drilling a
single deep water oil well can cost US$100 million. Investment capital that is needed to fully
commercialize LENR technology is well-within financing capabilities of major oil players
✓ LENRs have not yet been successfully commercialized but the science behind it is certainly
real --- what remains to be accomplished is mainly device engineering and scale-up of
system power outputs. Besides Lattice and NASA in USA, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries and
Toyota in Japan have experimental R&D programs, are filing patents, and are publishing
some of their results in peer-reviewed scientific journals. Given the very attractive economic
proposition that has been outlined herein, more large companies will very likely enter the
LENR technology race and eventually, somebody or somebodies, somewhere, will succeed
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 29
If mankind continues to utilize
age-old chemical combustion at
present rates of global fossil fuel
consumption, we will exhaust
fossil fuel reserves in <150 years
If we instead developed and deployed LENR
power sources using CO2-free nuclear fuels
created from aromatic Carbon in fossil fuels
and biomass, we could maybe move day of
reckoning on energy out to > 25,000 years
?
How can we ever
bridge this gap
with truly green
forms of energy?
LENRs
LENR fuels derived from Carbon would be sustainable
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 29
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 30
Key take-aways
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 30
✓ Ultralow energy neutron reactions (LENRs) are new type of clean, green CO2-
free nuclear energy source that has huge energy densities, vastly lower costs
versus fission or fusion, and could enable truly sustainable economic growth
✓ Development and utilization of LENR thermal sources for process heat could
help reduce upstream and downstream costs for oil & gas producers and
significantly decrease CO2 emission footprints for the entire oil & gas industry
✓ Should be possible to develop green LENR fuels derived from aromatic Carbon
fractions present in oil, coal, and biomass as well as aromatics produced by
converting natural gas; these would be suitable for use in many applications
that include stationary/portable power generation and vehicular propulsion
✓ Oil & gas companies that successfully employ technology to produce LENR
fuels for sale to customers can: (1) exploit a major strategic diversification
opportunity to expand beyond their present product lines and (2) greatly
enhance their capacity for RBL debt financing as a result of very substantial
increases in net present economic value of their proven fossil fuel reserves
✓ Existing crude oil refineries could be modified to add capabilities for
production of LENR fuels in parallel with traditional industry products
✓ Not competitive; LENRs are a strategic opportunity for oil & gas companies
Canadian oil sands: Suncor Millennium open pit mine, Alberta 56°56'17"N 111°20'37"W; photograph by Peter Essick
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 31
http://www.bracewellgiuliani.com/assets/OGFJ%20April%202014.pdf
http://www.ey.com/Publication/vwLUAssets/EY-Funding-challenges-in-the-oil-
and-gas-sector/$FILE/EY-Funding-challenges-in-the-oil-and-gas-sector.pdf
http://tjogel.org/journalarchive/Issue10/RBLEmergingMarkets.pdf
http://www.grantspub.com/files/presentations/Grant_s%20April%207%
20Presentation%20-%20Oil%20and%20Gas%20Restructuring.pdf
https://www.energyinst.org/_uploads/documents/wpc.pdf
Additional reading re reserve-based oil & gas lending
“Challenges and opportunities in global oil & gas finance”
World Petroleum Council Expert Workshop - 153 PowerPoint slides (2014)
“Reserve based finance - a tale of two markets”
J. Fox et al., Oil & Gas Financial Journal four-part article, 25 pp. (2014)
“Challenges and opportunities in global oil & gas finance”
J. Sprayregen, Kirkland & Ellis LLP - 43 PowerPoint slides (2015)
“Funding challenges in the oil and gas sector - innovative financing
solutions for oil and gas companies”
A. Brogan, EY - 8 pp. (2014)
“A future for reserve-based lending in emerging markets? Limitations of
the traditional model”
M. Marek & R. Wilson, TJOGEL- Journal 31 pp. (2014)
October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 32
Additional relevant information in Lattice documents
“Index and User Guide to the Widom-Larsen theory and ultralow energy
neutron reactions (LENRs)” [133 slides] pdf download is enabled for this one
http://www.slideshare.net/lewisglarsen/lattice-energy-llc-hyperlinked-index-to-
documents-re-widomlarsen-theory-and-lenrs-september-7-2015
http://www.slideshare.net/lewisglarsen/lattice-energy-llc-lenr-transmutation-of-carbon-better-
energy-strategy-than-obama-clean-power-plan-aug-3-2015
“LENR transmutation of Carbon is superior energy strategy - slashes CO2
emissions for vehicles as well as electric power generation” [32 slides]
http://www.slideshare.net/lewisglarsen/lattice-energy-llc-compelling-economics-of-
transmutation-vs-combustion-of-carbonaceous-energy-sources-jan-14-2015
“Compelling economics of transmutation vs. combustion of
carbonaceous energy sources” [44 slides]
“Transmutation vs. combustion - are LENRs a Chicxulub for fossil fuel
dinosaurs?” [49 slides]
http://www.slideshare.net/lewisglarsen/lattice-energy-llc-transmutation-vs-combustion-are-lenrs-
chicxulub-for-fossil-fuel-dinosaurs-oct-6-2014
“Lignin comprises ~33% of total plant biomass; aromatics found therein
could potentially be liberated and converted into green CO2-free bionuclear
LENR fuels with energy density 5,000x > than gasoline” [28 slides]
http://www.slideshare.net/lewisglarsen/lattice-energy-llc-renewable-lignin-biomass-
aromatics-convert-into-green-radiationfree-lenr-fuels-sept-14-2015

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Lattice Energy LLC - LENRs dramatically expand financing opportunities for oil and gas industry - October 8 2015

  • 1. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 1 Lattice Energy LLC Asset-based lending in the oil & gas industry Asset value of in-ground reserves used to support debt Important source of financing for upstream exploration and production Commercializing a next-generation source of safe CO2-free nuclear energy Contact: 1-312-861-0115 Chicago, Illinois USA lewisglarsen@gmail.com http://www.slideshare.net/lewisglarsen/presentations Lewis Larsen President and CEO October 8, 2015 Commercialization of LENR technology could increase value of reserves by 500x BP’s Thunder Horse platform - Texas Gulf bp Oil sands open pit - Ft. McMurray, Alberta, Ca Credit: Ryan Jackson/Postmedia News files
  • 2. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 2 LENRs increase value of fossil Carbon reserves by 500x Dramatically expands debt financing opportunities for oil & gas industry ✓ Revolutionary LENR technology can potentially transform aromatic fractions found in oil, coal, natural gas, and biomass (lignin) into ‘green’ CO2-free LENR fuels that possess >5,000x the energy density (Watt*hours/kg) of unleaded gasoline fuel ✓ In LENR fuels derived from extraction and processing of aromatic fractions found in oil and coal and Mo-catalytic conversion of natural gas, generation of thermal heat energy occurs via clean radiation-free, neutron-catalyzed transmutation of Carbon into Nitrogen and Oxygen rather than CO2-producing chemical combustion with O2 ✓ Herein we show how development of LENR technology can potentially increase the economic value of Carbonaceous fossil energy reserves by at least 500x; much of this increase in realizable economic value comes from enormously larger energy densities and BTUs produced by nuclear LENR reactions versus purely chemical energy processes such as age-old combustion used by mankind for millennia ✓ In British Petroleum's 64th annual Statistical Review of World Energy (2015) they estimated that oil will run-out in 52.5 years, coal in 110 years, and natural gas in 54.1 years. Given at least 500x increase in the energetic economic value of LENR fuel, commercialization of LENRs on aromatic molecules could extend useful economic lifetime of fossil Carbon sources out to at least 25,000 years – maybe vastly longer ✓ Commercial LENRs eliminate the “Carbon Bubble” and “stranded assets” problems
  • 3. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 3 ✓ Asset-based lending (ABL) is a mechanism that is commonly utilized to support debt financing by U.S. and foreign oil & gas companies engaged in exploration and production (E&P) ✓ In reserve-based lending (RBL) facilities, borrowers put up in-ground hydrocarbon reserves as collateral for large loans ✓ Comments: While ABL/RBL lending is somewhat akin to traditional working-capital-based ABL loan facilities, there are important differences. One key differentiating feature is that RBL agreements can provide lenders with unilateral discretion to revise commodity price assumptions and other relevant market or technology parameters used to estimate net present economic value of a borrower’s in-ground assets Asset-based lending utilized in the global oil & gas industry
  • 4. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 4 https://www.unionbank.com/commercial-bank/credit/asset-based-lending/index.jsp Example: Union Bank engages in asset-based lending
  • 5. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 5 http://www.bracewellgiuliani.com/assets/OGFJ%20April%202014.pdf Example of how a reserve-based lending facility works
  • 6. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 6 https://www.energyinst.org/_uploads/documents/wpc.pdf Oil companies’ capital expenditures continue to increase
  • 7. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 7 http://www.wsj.com/articles/banks-struggle-to-unload-oil-loans-1426728583 Wirz & Tan story in The Wall Street Journal, March 18, 2015
  • 8. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 8 Evolution of nuclear technology Commercializing ultralow energy neutron reactions (LENRs) for power generation and vehicular propulsion applications Breakthrough in nuclear technology: no dangerous radiation or wastes • LENR fuels get transmuted by absorbing neutrons which releases enormous heat • Sustainable CO2-free transmutation of Carbon could replace combustion processes Widom-Larsen theory enables LENR power generation devices Widom-Larsen Theory of LENRs Few-body Strong interaction Many-body collective Weak interaction Nuclear weapons Fission and fusion power plants No weapons Safe: even portable power plants
  • 9. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 9 Convert fossil fuels into green LENR energy sources ✓ Bitumen such as in Canadian oil sands, almost all oils, coals, and biomass (lignin) all naturally contain varying % of Carbon aromatic ring molecules; these include simple moieties like Benzene and more complex, multi-ring aromatics such as polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs). One example of a PAH is Phenanthrene, which is comprised of three bonded Benzene rings ✓ Using a mixture of traditional and recently developed chemical techniques, oil and coal can be processed to extract desired aromatic fractions; in theory, it should be possible to convert these aromatics into CO2-free LENR fuels that would be ‘burned’ in new, proprietary types of radiation-free transmutation reactors that would not require shielding, containment, or radwaste disposal ✓ Compared to combusting Carbon with Oxygen, using LENRs to instead transmute Carbon into stable Oxygen and Nitrogen can produce 5 million times more BTUs of thermal energy without emitting any gaseous CO2 ✓ Opportunity for oil and coal companies selling BTUs to customers to vastly increase revenues/profits by engaging in production and sale of LENR fuels Aromatic fractions found in oil and coal can be turned into LENR fuels LENR fuels would have energy densities 5,000x larger than unleaded gasoline
  • 10. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 10 LENRs enable oil companies to increase future profits Use LENRs to decrease costs; sell new CO2-free fuels to customers New LENR fuels could be produced and sold in parallel with today's products ✓ Commercial LENR thermal sources could provide CO2-free, low-cost process heat for various upstream and downstream operations in oil & gas business: LENR-based thermal sources qualified for operating underground could also enable in situ heating and partial upgrading of bitumen and heavy oil reservoirs; in Canada, could eliminate burning of natural gas to make steam used in SAGD process and need for diluents. This could reduce production costs for Canadian oil sands, making downstream products more quality/price-competitive with WTI and light, sweet Middle Eastern crudes produced in Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Iran ✓ Aromatic fractions in oil and coal can potentially be converted into LENR fuels: When purchasing most types of carbonaceous fuels, end-user customers are effectively buying quantities of heat measured in British Thermal Units (BTUs). By working in partnership with, for example, vehicle manufacturers to facilitate adoption of vastly more energy-dense green LENR fuels, today’s large oil & gas companies could have an incredible economic opportunity to increase future revenues and profits from exactly the same barrel of oil or ton of coal by many- fold compared to today when end-users are burning their fuels via combustion ✓ LENRs provide fossil fuel industry with smooth technological transition to ‘green’
  • 11. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 11 Image credit: co-author Domenico Pacifici From: “Nanoscale plasmonic interferometers for multispectral, high-throughput biochemical sensing” J. Feng et al., Nano Letters pp. 602 - 609 (2012) Revolutionary new type of safe nuclear energy technology Laura 13 October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All Rights Reserved 11 Unique advantages of ultralow energy neutron reactions (LENRs) Widom-Larsen theory rigorously explains all of these unique attributes
  • 12. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 12 Electroweak reaction in Widom-Larsen theory is simple Protons or deuterons react directly with electrons to make neutrons Need input energy source such as electricity to drive LENR neutron production EnergyE-field + e- sp g e-*sp + p+ g n0 + νe Collective many-body quantum effects: many electrons each transfer little bits of energy to a much smaller number of electrons also bathed in the very same extremely high local electric field Quantum electrodynamics (QED): smaller number of electrons that absorb energy directly from local electric field will increase their effective masses (m = E/c2) above key thresholds β0 where they can react directly with a proton (or deuteron) neutron and neutrino νe neutrinos: ghostly unreactive particles that fly-off into space; n0 neutrons capture on nearby atoms Neutrons + fuel elements heavier elements + decay products Neutrons induce nuclear transmutations that release enormous amounts of clean, CO2-free heat Input energy creates electric fields > 2.5 x1011 V/m Heavy-mass e-* electrons react directly with protons electrons + protons (Hydrogen) g neutrons + neutrinos (benign particles, fly into space) Radiation-free LENR transmutation Require source(s) of input energy Many-body collective electroweak neutron production
  • 13. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 13 Guided by physics of the Widom-Larsen theory, an opportunity to commercialize LENRs as truly green CO2-free nuclear energy source has been enabled by a unique juxtaposition of very recent parallel advances in certain very vibrant areas of nanotechnology (esp. plasmonics), quantum entanglement, new innovations in nanoparticle fabrication techniques, as well as an array of new discoveries in advanced materials science. Widom-Larsen enables commercialization of LENRs Applied nanotechnology and LENRs are mutually joined at the hip Development risks can be reasonable thanks to Widom-Larsen and nanotech October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 13
  • 14. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 14 LENRs are green: no energetic radiation or radwastes Lack of hard radiation obviates need for shielding and containment Major opportunity to develop safe, battery-like portable LENR power sources Revolution in green nuclear technology Fission reactors need 1 foot of steel and 3 feet of concrete to protect humans from hard radiation and wastes emitted by reactor; makes systems intrinsically large and heavy LENRs enable devices something like this: small, portable battery-like power sources that are safe and disposable Much larger LENR devices based on dusty plasma embodiments can potentially scale-up to megawatts; akin to today’s power plants Fission and fusion processes both emit deadly MeV-energy neutron and gamma radiation
  • 15. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 15 LENRs have energy densities 5,000x greater vs. gasoline 57,500,000 (maximum theoretical energy density – only a fraction would be achievable in practice) LENRs (based on an assumption of an average of 0.5 MeV per nuclear reaction in an LENR system) 11,500100% Efficient Combustion of Pure Gasoline 5,930100% Efficient Combustion of Pure Methanol 2,300Gas Burning Microgenerator (20% efficient) 1,680Direct Methanol Fuel Cell (35% efficient) 460Zinc-Air Battery 329Lithium Battery 164Alkaline Battery Approximate Energy Density (Watt*hours/kg) Source of Energy LENRs Versus Chemical Energy Sources: Batteries, Fuel Cells, and Microgenerators 57,500,000 (maximum theoretical energy density – only a fraction would be achievable in practice) LENRs (based on an assumption of an average of 0.5 MeV per nuclear reaction in an LENR system) 11,500100% Efficient Combustion of Pure Gasoline 5,930100% Efficient Combustion of Pure Methanol 2,300Gas Burning Microgenerator (20% efficient) 1,680Direct Methanol Fuel Cell (35% efficient) 460Zinc-Air Battery 329Lithium Battery 164Alkaline Battery Approximate Energy Density (Watt*hours/kg) Source of Energy LENRs Versus Chemical Energy Sources: Batteries, Fuel Cells, and Microgenerators ChemicalEnergySourcesLENRs Energy densities of LENR transmutation processes surpass chemical combustion Estimate of multiple based on very conservative energetic assumptions
  • 16. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 16 LENR systems are energy-dense and readily scale-up Solar or wind - innately low energy densities; must be collected and concentrated http://www.drexel.edu/~/media/Files/greatworks/pdf_sum10/WK8_Layton _EnergyDensities.ash Petroleum energy density: “A single gallon of gasoline contains approximately forty megajoules of chemical energy. Dividing energy by volume yields an energy density of ten billion joules per cubic meter. Gasoline is ten quadrillion times more energy-dense than solar radiation and one billion times more energy-dense than wind and water power.” ✓ Vast majority of vehicles are now powered by internal combustion engines burning gasoline or diesel fuels with O2 because effective energy densities are much higher than all-electric vehicles powered by advanced chemical batteries ✓ At the present time, vehicles with internal combustion engines have substantially lower total lifetime $ costs than all-electric vehicles ✓ LENRs are at least 5,000 times more energy-dense than gasoline ✓ If LENRs can be scaled-up to power vehicles, have opportunity to displace internal combustion Source: B.E. Layton, International Journal of Green Energy 5 pp. 438 - 455 (2008) Renewables Fossil fuels Energy density is a key advantage of LENRs vs. chemical combustion
  • 17. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 17 Market Application Examples More details about applications Economic Advantages LENRs enable safe, radiation- and CO2-free free nuclear energy production and power generation at substantially lower cost vs. competing nuclear (fission or fusion) and chemical technologies. Vastly greater energy densities and longevity at a lower price per kWh compared to chemical power sources for producing electricity Integrate LENR heat sources w. different types of energy conversion technologies: e.g., create battery-like devices using thermoelectrics that can convert raw heat directly into DC electricity; or use heat to rotate a shaft for direct motive propulsion and/or in power generation systems (e.g., steam turbines); scale-up by increasing LENR- active surface areas and/or volumetrically in case of dusty plasmas SAFE - no radiation shielding or waste issues. Could someday enter huge unit-volume portable power markets and be able to compete directly against advanced chemical batteries, small fuel cells, and fossil fuel microgenerators Create large quantities of inexpensive raw process heat for bitumen extraction, heavy oil recovery, and/or oil shale processing. Could eliminate burning of natural gas used to make steam employed in SAGD process for underground bitumen extraction in oil sands regions of Canada (big decrease in CO2 footprint and extraction costs) Long-lived LENR thermal sources lowered down boreholes could be used to directly heat-up bitumen or heavy oil in underground rock formations to reduce production costs and enhance % recovery. Could use LENR heaters for in-situ underground upgrading --- maybe up to mid-distillates. Can also produce clean, inexpensive process heat for downstream petroleum operations such as refining Major benefits to large oil and coal producers – can help increase long-term supplies of oil and reduce total production costs; shrink industry’s global CO2 emission footprint across all upstream and downstream operations Examples of applications for potent LENR thermal sources LENRs could reduce costs and enhance production in oil & gas industry
  • 18. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 18 Fossil fuels could be converted into green LENR fuels Breakthroughs in physics and nanotechnology make this possible Bitumen, heavy oil, and coal may be much more valuable as CO2-free LENR fuels Canadian natural bitumen Heavy viscous oils found in many fields Various grades of coal These fossil hydrocarbons contain aromatic ring molecules on which LENRs can be triggered In 2009 Larsen discovered that aromatic molecules can potentially be extracted and processed to be converted into green LENR fuels in which there would be no hard radiation emissions, no production of any long-lived radioactive wastes or emission of gaseous CO2 into the atmosphere; would instead release > 5,000 times more thermal energy versus combustion of Carbon-based molecules with Oxygen
  • 19. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 19 Many moieties contain or are convertible into aromatics Variety of simple and complex aromatic molecules Examples: Green CO2-free LENR fuels 5,000x greater energy density Process into Heavy oils and natural bitumen Coal Contain aromatic molecules Examples: CH4 natural gas Lignin from renewable biomass Extract Extract Digest Mo catalyst Chemical process Chemical processing plus nanotech Benzene Phenanthrene CO2 C nanofibers Enormous gain in energy density makes processing conversions $$$ economic Bottom line: just about any Carbon-based moiety can be converted into aromatic ring-structure molecules using a chemical process Processing LENR fuels can be created from many different types of Carbon sources Nanoparticulate fuelsBase feedstock Aromatic molecules LNG
  • 20. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 20 Oil, coal, lignin, and LNG could be processed into CO2-free LENR fuels Carbon atoms on aromatic rings could be fuel for radiation-free transmutation Neutrons + LENR fuel elements heavier elements + decay products + + Catalytic neutron ‘match’ Neutrons are readily absorbed by LENR fuels such as Nickel, Titanium, Lithium, or aromatic Carbon atoms Direct conversion of neutron capture and decay-related gammas to IR and beta/alpha particles create heat n0 Carbon Radiation-free LENR transmutation Process does not emit any deadly radiation or produce troublesome radwastes Aromatic Carbon can be transmuted rather than combusted capture on LENR fuel elements produces heat BTUs Absorbed by fuel elements
  • 21. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 21 Convert ring Hydrogen atoms (protons) into safe neutrons Neutrons are captured by ring Carbon atoms that are then transmuted In example a Carbon atom is transmuted into Nitrogen via an LENR process LENR neutron capture catalyzed Process does not emit any deadly radiation or produce troublesome radwastes Aromatic Carbon molecules could be converted into revolutionary LENR fuels
  • 22. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 22 Nanoparticulate LENR fuels could be used in many systems Huge energy density advantages vs. fossil fuels & chemical batteries Intrinsic LENR fuel energy densities could be 5,000x larger vs. gasoline LENR fuels would be inert and benign and could use existing package delivery systems for resupply; typical gasoline or diesel tanker truck carries ~5,000 - 12,000 US Gallons of liquid fuel. LENR fuels producing same # of BTUs could be shipped in 1 - 2 FedEx boxes or delivered to remote locations via drones. Size of fuel logistics pipelines would collapse. Consequence: an automobile powered by LENRs could travel around the entire world on a quantity of nanoparticulate fuel that fits into just a single FedEx box
  • 23. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 23 LENRs could enable vast increases in product performance Energy densities of LENR fuels at least 5,000x > chemical processes LENR-powered systems could easily achieve 10x - 100x chemical systems Product Name Present capabilities with today’s power sources Range (endurance) Vastly enhanced capabilities with future LENR-based power sources 10x chemical 100x chemical GreenWing e430 180 miles (~3 hours @ 60 mph) 1,800 (30) 18,000 (300) Airbus E-Fan 2.0 99 miles (1 hour @ 99 mph) 990 (10) 9,900 (100) Predator MQ-1 1,800 miles (24 hours @ 75 mph) 18,000 (240) 180,000 (2,400) Super Heron est. ~4,000 miles (45 hours @ 89 mph?) 40,000 (450+) 400,000 (4,500) Springtail 184 miles (2.2+ hours @ 94 mph ) 1,840 (200+) 18,400 (2,000+) Crazyflie Speed not measured (3 - 10 minutes) ? (30 - 100 min.) ? (maybe 5 - 17 hrs.) InstantEye est. ~8 miles (18 - 20 min @ 25 mph) est. 80 (3.2 hrs.) 800 (32 hrs.) Tesla Model S car ~300 miles (4 - 5 hours @ 70 mph) 3,000 (40 - 50) 30,000 (400 - 500) Shkval torpedo 6.8 - 9.3 miles (1.8 - 2.4 min @230 mph) 68 - 93 (18 - 24 min) 680 - 930 (3 - 4 hrs) Exoskeletons and autonomous robots Require tether cables connected to some type of external power source Duration of autonomous activity might be extended up to weeks or even months Variousaircraft Note: roughly 730 hours in a month and 8,760 hours in a year; average U.S. car’s IC engine runs for ~5,000 hrs over lifetime Enhancements in product range and endurance if LENR technology were commercialized
  • 24. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 24 LENRs solve issue of future “Carbon bubble” asset risk Bank of England et al. weigh risks of “stranded” in-ground fossil fuels Not only will such risks disappear but LENRs increase energetic value by >500x Quoted directly from news story by Damian Carrington, The Guardian online, December 1, 2014 at 08:47 EST "The Bank of England is to conduct an enquiry into the risk of fossil fuel companies causing a major economic crash if future climate change rules render their coal, oil and gas assets worthless." "The concept of a 'carbon bubble' has gained rapid recognition since 2013, and is being taken increasingly seriously by some major financial companies including Citibank, HSBC and Moody’s, but the Bank’s enquiry is the most significant endorsement yet from a regulator." "The concern is that if the world’s government’s meet their agreed target of limiting global warming to 2o C by cutting carbon emissions, then about two-thirds of proven coal, oil and gas reserves cannot be burned. With fossil fuel companies being among the largest in the world, sharp losses in their value could prompt a new economic crisis.” Source: http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/dec/01/bank-of-england-investigating-risk-of-carbon-bubble
  • 25. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 25 Oil companies facing turbulent times in near future Strategic issue: BP says oil supplies will likely run-out in 52.5 years Besides resource depletion, climate change may force cuts in fossil fuel usage Global energy demand has been increasing exponentially and will try to continue to do so ✓ Resource depletion: BP says oil will run-out in 52.5 years and coal in 110; what happens to world’s fossil energy markets after that? ✓ Climate change: emerging scientific consensus posits global warming is being caused by increasing CO2 emissions from human activities; need huge cuts in CO2 ✓ Concern about global warming has lead to speculation about somehow mandating radical decreases in man’s CO2 emissions to help mitigate further rise in average global temperature; restrict fossil fuel use? ✓ Further concerns about possible “Carbon bubble” that makes remaining in-ground fossil fuels unextractable and worthless
  • 26. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 26 https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/pdf/Energy-economics/statistical-review-2015/bp- statistical-review-of-world-energy-2015-full-report.pdf Real price of oil in 2014 USD$ shown in lighter shade of green Today ~USD$ 45 - 53 Real price of oil has recently hit values seen back in 1860s Real price is high even after recent decline; suggests resource depletion Today “BP Statistical Review of World Energy” - 2015 pp.15
  • 27. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 27 Transmutation is economically attractive vs. combustion LENRs increase net energy equivalent values of coal and oil by >500x Oil is in barrels; Coal in short tons Oil Coal Total adjusted economic value for oil + coal in US$ BP est. proven reserves as of the end of 2013 1,687,900,000,000 891,531,000,000 Percentage of proven reserves of a fossil fuel left in ground for whatever reasons (%) 0.33 0.80 Number of barrels of oil or short tons of coal deliberately left in the ground (reserves x %) 5.57007E+11 7.13225E+11 For discussion purposes, simply assume price of oil and coal remains ~ same as it is today US$ 50 bbl US$ 55 ST Conservatively estimated economic value of reserves left-in-ground (US$ price x in-ground) 2.78504E+13 3.92274E+13 6.70777E+13 Assume that only 10% of in-ground oil and coal is recoverable as usable aromatic molecules 0.10 0.10 Net economic value of green LENR fuels before adjusting for > energy density (value x .10) 2.78504E+12 3.92274E+12 Adjust energy equivalent economic value for higher LENR energy density (net value x 5,000) 1.39252E+16 1.96137E+16 3.35389E+16 US$ 500x “Haircut” for non-aromatic fractions of oil and coal See McGlade & Elkins in recent Nature article (2015) See BP’s Statistical Review of World Energy (2014) In fact, prices should rise as resources are depleted Hypothetical assumption for discussion purposes Adjust for >>> larger LENR heat production in BTUs Assumed proven reserves data is from the BP Statistical Review of World Energy (2014); assumptions re % of oil and coal left in ground (whether because of governmental fiats, voluntary restraint, taxation of extraction, or any combination thereof) taken from McGlade & Elkins (Nature 2015); assumption that net energy density (ED) of LENR fuels derived from aromatic rings found in oil and coal is ~5,000x > gasoline is probably quite conservative - very likely that an additional 10 - 12x increase may be achievable, i.e., >50,000x the ED of gasoline
  • 28. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 28 Transmutation is economically attractive vs. combustion ✓ At this point, it is not clear exactly how or even whether rates of extraction and/or use of fossil fuels for combustion could be substantially reduced. That said, for purposes of discussion let’s assume that leaving 33% of remaining oil and 80% of coal fallow in the ground might be a real possibility via governmental fiats. What would it be worth in terms of economic $$$ value for the oil and coal industry to be able to extract those potentially ‘stranded’ fossil Carbon resources and generate vastly more CO2-free energy via LENRs? (note: non-aromatic components of oil and coal would still be available for use as chemical feedstock) Answer to this question is provided in previous slide’s Table: 3.35 x 1016 US$ ✓ For purposes of discussion, let’s arbitrarily assume that US$ 250 billion invested over 10 years would be needed to fully commercialize LENRs (Lattice believes it is ~2 - 3 orders of magnitude less than that number). What multiple of that investment would the realized economic value of 3.35 x 1016 US$ represent; dividing that number by 2.5 x 1011 US$ yields ratio of 1.34 x 105 – huge economic multiplier resulting from a 10-year US$ 250 b investment ✓ In 2014 alone, the global oil & gas industry collectively spent US$ 670 billion searching for and developing new fossil fuel resources. In 2013, just Chevron, ExxonMobil, and Royal Dutch Shell together spent more than US$ 120 billion on such activities. Lastly, drilling a single deep water oil well can cost US$100 million. Investment capital that is needed to fully commercialize LENR technology is well-within financing capabilities of major oil players ✓ LENRs have not yet been successfully commercialized but the science behind it is certainly real --- what remains to be accomplished is mainly device engineering and scale-up of system power outputs. Besides Lattice and NASA in USA, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries and Toyota in Japan have experimental R&D programs, are filing patents, and are publishing some of their results in peer-reviewed scientific journals. Given the very attractive economic proposition that has been outlined herein, more large companies will very likely enter the LENR technology race and eventually, somebody or somebodies, somewhere, will succeed
  • 29. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 29 If mankind continues to utilize age-old chemical combustion at present rates of global fossil fuel consumption, we will exhaust fossil fuel reserves in <150 years If we instead developed and deployed LENR power sources using CO2-free nuclear fuels created from aromatic Carbon in fossil fuels and biomass, we could maybe move day of reckoning on energy out to > 25,000 years ? How can we ever bridge this gap with truly green forms of energy? LENRs LENR fuels derived from Carbon would be sustainable October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 29
  • 30. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 30 Key take-aways October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 30 ✓ Ultralow energy neutron reactions (LENRs) are new type of clean, green CO2- free nuclear energy source that has huge energy densities, vastly lower costs versus fission or fusion, and could enable truly sustainable economic growth ✓ Development and utilization of LENR thermal sources for process heat could help reduce upstream and downstream costs for oil & gas producers and significantly decrease CO2 emission footprints for the entire oil & gas industry ✓ Should be possible to develop green LENR fuels derived from aromatic Carbon fractions present in oil, coal, and biomass as well as aromatics produced by converting natural gas; these would be suitable for use in many applications that include stationary/portable power generation and vehicular propulsion ✓ Oil & gas companies that successfully employ technology to produce LENR fuels for sale to customers can: (1) exploit a major strategic diversification opportunity to expand beyond their present product lines and (2) greatly enhance their capacity for RBL debt financing as a result of very substantial increases in net present economic value of their proven fossil fuel reserves ✓ Existing crude oil refineries could be modified to add capabilities for production of LENR fuels in parallel with traditional industry products ✓ Not competitive; LENRs are a strategic opportunity for oil & gas companies Canadian oil sands: Suncor Millennium open pit mine, Alberta 56°56'17"N 111°20'37"W; photograph by Peter Essick
  • 31. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 31 http://www.bracewellgiuliani.com/assets/OGFJ%20April%202014.pdf http://www.ey.com/Publication/vwLUAssets/EY-Funding-challenges-in-the-oil- and-gas-sector/$FILE/EY-Funding-challenges-in-the-oil-and-gas-sector.pdf http://tjogel.org/journalarchive/Issue10/RBLEmergingMarkets.pdf http://www.grantspub.com/files/presentations/Grant_s%20April%207% 20Presentation%20-%20Oil%20and%20Gas%20Restructuring.pdf https://www.energyinst.org/_uploads/documents/wpc.pdf Additional reading re reserve-based oil & gas lending “Challenges and opportunities in global oil & gas finance” World Petroleum Council Expert Workshop - 153 PowerPoint slides (2014) “Reserve based finance - a tale of two markets” J. Fox et al., Oil & Gas Financial Journal four-part article, 25 pp. (2014) “Challenges and opportunities in global oil & gas finance” J. Sprayregen, Kirkland & Ellis LLP - 43 PowerPoint slides (2015) “Funding challenges in the oil and gas sector - innovative financing solutions for oil and gas companies” A. Brogan, EY - 8 pp. (2014) “A future for reserve-based lending in emerging markets? Limitations of the traditional model” M. Marek & R. Wilson, TJOGEL- Journal 31 pp. (2014)
  • 32. October 8, 2015 Lattice Energy LLC, Copyright 2015 All rights reserved 32 Additional relevant information in Lattice documents “Index and User Guide to the Widom-Larsen theory and ultralow energy neutron reactions (LENRs)” [133 slides] pdf download is enabled for this one http://www.slideshare.net/lewisglarsen/lattice-energy-llc-hyperlinked-index-to- documents-re-widomlarsen-theory-and-lenrs-september-7-2015 http://www.slideshare.net/lewisglarsen/lattice-energy-llc-lenr-transmutation-of-carbon-better- energy-strategy-than-obama-clean-power-plan-aug-3-2015 “LENR transmutation of Carbon is superior energy strategy - slashes CO2 emissions for vehicles as well as electric power generation” [32 slides] http://www.slideshare.net/lewisglarsen/lattice-energy-llc-compelling-economics-of- transmutation-vs-combustion-of-carbonaceous-energy-sources-jan-14-2015 “Compelling economics of transmutation vs. combustion of carbonaceous energy sources” [44 slides] “Transmutation vs. combustion - are LENRs a Chicxulub for fossil fuel dinosaurs?” [49 slides] http://www.slideshare.net/lewisglarsen/lattice-energy-llc-transmutation-vs-combustion-are-lenrs- chicxulub-for-fossil-fuel-dinosaurs-oct-6-2014 “Lignin comprises ~33% of total plant biomass; aromatics found therein could potentially be liberated and converted into green CO2-free bionuclear LENR fuels with energy density 5,000x > than gasoline” [28 slides] http://www.slideshare.net/lewisglarsen/lattice-energy-llc-renewable-lignin-biomass- aromatics-convert-into-green-radiationfree-lenr-fuels-sept-14-2015