Ken Steele Keynote - Automating Educating: Tech Trends and the Future of PSE

Chief Futurist, Eduvation Inc.
Ten with Ken webcast
#PSEWEB 2018 Aug 2018
www.eduvation.ca Copyright ©2018 Eduvation Inc.  
All rights reserved. Distribution strictly prohibited.
Automating Educating:
AI+PSE
@KenSteele

1:00 sec
TEDx Columbia May 2014
Copyright ©2017 Eduvation Inc. All rights reserved. www.eduvation.ca
Video edited by Ken Steele. Original Source: 2014 TEDxColumbiaSIPA conference in New York
http://youtu.be/wRwPoR707UI
TMA-0 (Tycho Magnetic Anomaly) at the dawn of man | An alien telepathic education device (:34 sec)
2001: A Space Odyssey Stanley Kubrick, 1968

Source: Associated Press, New York, May 15 1923. Reported in the Virginia Chronicle.
https://virginiachronicle.com/cgi-bin/virginia?a=d&d=HR19230518.2.11
“The movie
screen will
supplant the
blackboard and
motion picture
film will take the
place of
textbooks  
[in 20 years].”
Thomas A. Edison 
NewYork, May 1923
https://youtu.be/E0wIDQvaGPI

Watch Ken's webcast
www.TenWithKen.com

PollEv.com/eduvate
Participatetoday:
PollEv.com/eduvate
37607
eduvate

PollEv.com/eduvate
Whatnew
educational
technologyarose
whileyouwerein
elementaryschool? 
(chooseone)

“Anythinginvented
afteryou’rethirtyis
againstthenatural
orderofthingsand
thebeginningofthe
endofcivilizationas
weknowit...
Douglas Adams 
The Salmon of Doubt
Posthumous collection, 2002

Douglas Adams 
The Salmon of Doubt
Posthumous collection, 2002
...untilit’sbeen
aroundforabout
tenyearswhenit
graduallyturns
outtobealright
really.”

Singularity University May 2015
A $1,000 Human Brain
http://singularityhub.com/2015/05/11/the-world-in-2025-8-predictions-for-the-next-10-years/
“The World in 2025” | Based on Moore’s Law, computers processing at 10,000 trillion cycles per second (equal to our brains)
The World in 2025:

1:00 sec
K.I.T.T. breaks Michael (David Hasselhoﬀ) out of jail
Knight Rider 1982

1:00 sec
Semi-autonomous features: adaptive cruise control, lane-keeping assist, collision mitigation braking, cross-traﬃc monitoring
Acura Motors 2016

doomsayers

Nottingham, England Nov 1811
Copyright ©2017 Eduvation Inc. All rights reserved. www.eduvation.caSource: https://justseeds.org/product/luddites/
Steam-powered stocking frames being introduced in factories in Nottingham | Violent labour protests
“Luddites” invented a leader, Ned Ludd, smashed equipment, opposed with military force, defended by Lord Byron
Weren’t strictly speaking opposed to the technology, but the way in which capitalists were using it to oppress workers

“Thetimewill
comewhenthe
machineswill
holdthereal
supremacyover
theworldand
itsinhabitants.”
Samuel Butler 
Novelist, Erewhon
“Darwin Among the Machines”,  
Letter to NZ The Press, 1863

1:00 sec
1:35 min
Hollywood’s Trust in AI

“AIwouldbe
thebiggest
eventinhuman
history.
Unfortunately,
itmightalsobe
thelast.”
Elon Musk 
Founder, Tesla, 2017

“The
development
offullartificial
intelligence
couldspellthe
endofthe
humanrace.”
Stephen Hawking 
Centre for Theoretical Cosmology 
University of Cambridge, 2017

PollEv.com/eduvate
Whatisyour
expectation
aboutAI? 
(chooseone)

reality check
R E A
REALITY

College Administrator Spring 2018
Illustration for “Artificial Intelligence” by Mike Sparling, Principal Investigator, the AI Hub, Durham College

Future of Humanity Institute, University of Oxford 2014
General AI by
http://www.nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf
Survey of 550 AI researchers by Vincent Müller and Nick Bostrom |
High-Level Machine Intelligence can carry out most human professions at least as well as a typical human
50% chance by 2040-50, 90% by 2075 | Superintelligence will follow <30 yrs after that | Potential existential risk for humanity
2075

https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/
whitehouse_files/microsites/ostp/NSTC/preparing_for_the_future_of_ai.pdf
“Although it is very unlikely
that machines will exhibit
broadly-applicable
intelligence comparable to
or exceeding that of humans
in the next 20 years, it is to
be expected that machines
will reach and exceed
human performance on
more and more tasks.”
National Science &Technology Council Committee onTechnology,
“Preparing for the Future of Artiﬁcial Intelligence”, Oct 2016

automation
A T M
AUTOMATION

University of Alberta Aug 2014
Copyright ©2018 Eduvation Inc. All rights reserved. www.eduvation.caVideo heavily edited by Ken Steele. Original Source: www.intellibotrobotics.com
Tennant and Intellibot Autoscrubbers, “zamboni for hallways.” Chemical free, use ionized water, use 70% less water, and paid for
themselves within 8 months.

University of Texas at Austin Apr 2018
Reducedirrigation
Source: https://www.chronicle.com/article/How-AI-Is-Infiltrating-Every/243022
Markus Hogue, program coordinator for irrigation and water conservation | Networked AI automated water landscaping
Instruments measure evaporation and rainfall, water pressure and leaks | Can be controlled from a mobile phone
Cut 176 M gallons down to just 35 M, saving $1 M a year | Used to be a full-time job to monitor and adjust sprinkler systems
80%

Knightscope K5 Dec 2015
Security Bots
http://knightscope.com
Cute but not-too-friendly autonomous presence | Detects anomalies and reports back, 300 license plates per min
300 lbs | 24hr battery charge | $6.25/hr | Like early Daleks, stymied by curbs and stairs | Primarily deterrent
Mobile command centre app for iOS, Android etc.

Facebook Nov 2017
SuicideIntervention
https://techcrunch.com/2017/11/27/facebook-ai-suicide-prevention/?ncid=rss
Facebook’s“proactive detection”AI tech scans all posts for patterns of suicidal thoughts, prioritizes them for human moderators
Can send mental health resources to at-risk user, their friends, or local first-responders | 100+ wellness checks in first month
Even Facebook Live posts - first responders arrive onsite sometimes while user is still broadcasting | No option to opt-out

surveillance
S R V
SURVEILLANCE

Target Feb 2012
PredictivePregnancy
https://www.nytimes.com/2012/02/19/magazine/shopping-habits.html?pagewanted=1&_r=2&hp&adxnnl=1&adxnnlx=1329521286-bAJ8Lu/xck%20DQwMUzVaodQ
Purchasing patterns: vitamins, lotions, hand sanitizers, cotton balls | Target identified 10,000+ women likely pregnant
Guest Marketing Analytics predicted a teen was pregnant, sent coupons, outraged her father
Shopping routines are entirely in flux with childbirth, market in 2nd trimester | Now working to mask the obviousness of their work

Cambridge Analytica Mar 2018
CambridgeAnalytica
Involved in republican political campaigns 2014-17 | Fraudulently acquired Facebook data: up to 5,000 data points on 87 million users
Segmentation, psychographics, behavioural microtargetting
Steve Bannon, Alexander Nix, Robert Mercer | Ongoing criminal investigations | Closed in May, launched Emerdata
https://youtu.be/AWuE7EhoejI

University of Arizona Mar 2018
Digital Traces
Source: https://qz.com/1226474/a-us-university-is-tracking-students-locations-to-predict-future-dropouts/
CatCard ID card swipes used at 700 locations on campus (vending machines, libraries, labs, residences, student union, rec, movies)
“Highly accurate indicators” predict drop-outs with 85% accuracy | Size of social circles, regular routines, changes over time
Will be integrated into predictive analytics, proactive advising alerts

1:00 sec
John Anderton (Tom Cruise) walks through a shopping centre | Retinal scans customize advertising by name (:23 sec)
Minority Report 2002
Video edited by Ken Steele. Original Source: https://youtu.be/7bXJ_obaiYQ

Cadillac-Fairview Malls Jul 2018
MallBiometrics
https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2018/07/26/directories-at-cadillac-fairview-malls-have-cameras-inside.html
Federal Privacy Commissioner investigating CF’s use of facial recognition technology inside mall directory kiosks
Since June, unmarked cameras calculating visitor demographics, age and gender“continuously to create a better shopper experience”
Not recording any footage or identifying individuals

Georgia Southern University Mar 2014
Biometric Verification
http://www.cr80news.com/news-item/the-evolution-of-biometrics-on-campus/
Iris scanning to authenticate the person, not the card | 1-2 sec response time, sterile | IrisID cost $35,000 for 5 lanes
Some institutions use for access to dorms, labs, athletics equipment | Potential for exam identity verification

University of Southern Australia Apr 2018
PersonalityTraits
Source: Frontiers in Human Neuroscience Apr 2018 https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fnhum.2018.00105/full
ML algorithms analyzes eye movements during errands on campus, compared to questionnaire results
Predicted 4 of the Big 5 personality traits (Neuroticism, Extroversion, Agreeableness, Conscientiousness) and Perceptual Curiosity
Will allow AIs to better interpret human social signals | “Not yet accurate enough for practical applications”

Stanford University July 2018
AIGaydar
Source: Open Science Framework - https://osf.io/zn79k/
Michal Kosinski, Asst Prof of Org Behaviour at Stanford | Research exploited by Cambridge Analytica work
Algorithms can distinguish between gay and straight, democrat and republican based solely on photographs
81% accuracy (males) and 74% (females) - about 40% better than human judges

Lawson Health Research Institute Aug 2018
MoodDisorderDiagnosis
Source: https://lfpress.com/news/local-news/artificial-intelligence-may-be-key-to-mood-disorder-diagnosis-study
AI algorithm analyzes fMRI brain scans to better classify mood disorders (depression, bipolar) and predict responses to treatment
Diﬀerence between antidepressants or mood stabilizers | Diagnosis and treatment are accurate 92.4% of the time

Carnegie Mellon University Oct 2017
SuicidalIdeation
Source: Nature Human Behaviour, Oct 2017 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-017-0234-y
AI to detect suicidal ideation based on 6 keywords and activity in 5 regions of the brain | eg.“Death”triggers shame reaction
91% accuracy | Gaussian Naive Bayes ML algorithms, fMRI scans

PollEv.com/eduvate
Whatseemlike
the5biggest
violationsof
privacytoyou? 
(choose5)

ai tutors
T U TAI TUTORS

Knewton alta Feb 2018
Copyright ©2018 Eduvation Inc. All rights reserved. www.eduvation.cahttps://www.knewtonalta.com
New fully integrated adaptive learning courseware | Uses OERs, AA-level ADA compliant, seamlessly integrates with any LMS
Dynamically diagnoses concept mastery, remediation, Realtime data for instructor intervention
Now available for Chem, Math, Econ and Stats | $44 per course for 2 years or $10/mo
https://youtu.be/FNLaLr94ppg

1:00 sec
Adaptive learning authoring tool with wizards and templates for interaction, simulation | Can then share your material as OER
Alfredo Leon, prof at Miami Dade College, is using Inspark’s“BioBeyond”course in intro Biology
Projects that push beyond mere information, cognitive connections (1:00 min)
SmartSparrow Jul 2016
Video edited by Ken Steele. Original Source: https://youtu.be/fF4pSGXXPIM

1:00 sec
Virtual reality bio/chem labs used by high schools, 150+ institutions incl Harvard Medical School, MIT, uGlasgow
“Million-dollar lab in your browser” for $15/mo | Tracks student progress, designed to support challenged students
Based in Copenhagen, Denmark | www.Labster.com 1:00 min
Labster Nov 2013
Video edited by Ken Steele. Original Sources: https://youtu.be/oairUMkieak https://youtu.be/IYpovgka-9Q
https://youtu.be/qXmh3exRQCQ

1:00 sec
Oculus Rift VR to train varsity athletes | More immersive than video | Record using GoPros during practice
Developed at Stanford | Wired / Sports Illustrated feature, edited to 2:00 min
StriVR Dec 2015
Video significantly edited by Ken Steele. Original source: https://youtu.be/Cb0p68ULQUM

NLP+Speech
N L PECH RECOG

1:00 sec
“The New York Times Higher Ed Leaders Forum: Campus Matters, The Promise of Big Data” | 2:00 min
Timothy Renick, VP Enrollment Management and Student Services, Georgia State University
Georgia State University June 2017
Video significantly edited by Ken Steele. Original source video: https://youtu.be/04_TMsigejY

Lakehead University Jan 2017
“Virtual Hugs”  
by IVR
Source: Lakehead University Strategic Mandate Agreement, 2017-20. http://www.vocantas.com/products/student-caller
Vocantas Scaller interactive voice response calls | Prospects, Conversion, Onboarding, or Retention | Register, pay, get info
Also at Algonquin, Loyalist, St Clair, OCAD, St Lawrence, UoGuelph, Lethbridge C, Bishop’s, Mohawk
Overall avg 60-70% connection rate, 40% seeking help, 4-9% improved retention
5,500

1:00 sec
“A Teaching Assistant Named Jill Watson” | Ashok Goel describes the creation of Jill Watson 2:57 min
Georgia Institute of Technology Oct 2016
Video significantly edited by Ken Steele. Original source video: https://youtu.be/WbCguICyfTA

1:00 sec
First US institution to put 2,300 Amazon Alexa devices in every student living space | >100 custom questions, n-Powered
Billiken athletics games, concerts, major speakers, student events, clubs, other aspects of student life (1:00 min)
Pilot in Spring 2018
Saint Louis University (MO) Aug 2018
Video edited by Ken Steele. Original Source: https://youtu.be/Q8jfcxMYbQw Info: slu.edu/alexa

1:00 sec
AI personal assistant who can make calls for you, sounds human, including natural tone and pauses (:52 sec)
Recurrent neural net built using TensorFlow Extend | Could help people with social anxiety
May ultimately replace call centre employees, negotiating with an insurance company
Google Duplex May 2018
Video edited by Ken Steele. Original Source: https://youtu.be/-qCanuYrR0g

PollEv.com/eduvate
Whichtechnologies
haveyoufound
genuinelyusefulas
aconsumer? 
(allthatapply)

ai+curriculum
C U R
CURRICULUM

1:00 sec
Arbitrary disciplines and courses, carefully-designed curricula, linear delivery of lectures and exams/assignments
(1:56 min)
Eduvation Inc Aug 2018
Schema developed by Ken Steele.

1:00 sec
AI personalized learning for K-12, PSE, corporations (1:14 min)
Tracks micro-interactions - specific slides/pages, parts of video, posting questions/answers | 250 proprietary algorithms
Real-time insights into student understanding/engagement with specific topics | Identifies best format to serve content
Zoomi Jun 2018
Video edited by Ken Steele. Original Source: https://youtu.be/O3dQE5V7M2Q

assessment
E X M
ASSESSMENT

Educational Testing Service May 2014
Robo-Grading
ETS algorithm for grading GMAT essays | Rubric based on organization, word choice, sentence fluency, punctuation, sentence/word
counts, grammar, vocabulary
in 20 seconds
16,000

1:00 sec
Edited to 1:43 min
D2L Degree Compass Oct 2014
Heavily edited by Ken Steele. Original source video: http://youtu.be/9w7MIg4uJgk

1:00 sec
Course credit vs badging
(1:10 min)
Eduvation Inc Aug 2018
Schema developed by Ken Steele.
https://youtu.be/5HFHyPI2vd0

Competency-Based Education Network Dec 2013
Copyright ©2018 Eduvation Inc. All rights reserved. www.eduvation.caSource:
Network funded by Lumina Foundation, coordinated by Public Agenda
Define CBE, best practices, awareness
SNHU, WGU | 2 cohorts of 30 institutions and 4 public systems

Youwon’tbehired
forknowledge,but
forwhatyoucando
withknowledge.
Lectures,libraries,
testsofknowledge
acquisitionareall
outdated.

1:00 sec
Paulo Blikstein, Asst Prof Stanford Graduate School of Education, on “AI’s Impact on Education, Training & Learning”
Transformative Learning Technologies Lab | Multimodal Assessments using motion tracking, AI - instead of tests
(1:34 min)
Stanford University Nov 2017
Video significantly edited by Ken Steele. Original source: https://youtu.be/Tng-_j9QPNs

University of Waterloo Aug 2018
Copyright ©2018 Eduvation Inc. All rights reserved. www.eduvation.caSource: https://www.plum.io/how-it-works
Data-driven AI and Org Psych to predict the talent and performance of co-op candidates beyond skills and knowledge
“Human data points”: Work ethic, teamwork, leadership, communication and creativity are just as important | >6,900 employers
Plum Discovery Survey measures personality and cognitive ability | Avoids pitfalls of keyword matching
Matching“HumanDataPoints”

ai + careers
C A R
CAREERS

“Quizshow
contestantmay
bethefirstjob
maderedundant
byWatson,but
I’msureitwon’t
bethelast.”
Ken Jennings 
“My Puny Human Brain”
Slate, Feb 2011
Source: http://www.slate.com/articles/arts/culturebox/2011/02/my_puny_human_brain.html

Source: http://www.futuretech.ox.ac.uk/future-employment-how-
susceptible-are-jobs-computerisation-oms-working-paper-dr-carl-benedikt-
frey-m
“Up to 45%
of American
jobs will be
replaced by
AI by 2045.”
Nick Bostrom 
Director, Future of Humanity Institute, 
Oxford University
https://youtu.be/iY4UhfQefdU

1:00 sec
Legal AI software built on IBM Watson, began at University of Toronto in 2014, now in Palo Alto | Machine learning
Natural language questions, cloud-based database of billions of documents, published and unpublished case law
30% time savings per lawyer, $350+ per seat | Bankruptcy, IP, Labour law, more modules being built
ROSS Intelligence Dec 2016
Videos heavily edited by Ken Steele. Sources: https://youtu.be/BO-Ltxk7Hj4 https://youtu.be/qCFz6KAQbS8

“Algorithms
candomany
things,but
theywill
neveractually
giveadamn.”
Christian Madsbjerg 
Founder, ReD Associates

World Economic Forum Mar 2016
Increasingly Social Jobs
Source: New Vision for Education: Fostering Social and Emotional Learning through Technology.
http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_New_Vision_for_Education.pdf
Changes in employment 1980-2012, >24% change | Intensity of math / social skills required | US Dept of Labor Occupational Information Network (O*NET) | Miller, Claire
Cain, "Why What You Learned in Preschool Is Crucial at Work", The New York Times, October 16, 2015, http://www.nytimes. com/2015/10/18/upshot/how-the-modern-
workplace-has-become-more-like-preschool.html , based on data from Deming, David J., The Growing Importance of Social Skills in the Labor Market, Harvard University and
NBER, August 2015, http://scholar.harvard.edu/files/ddeming/files/deming_socialskills_august2015.pdf .

Source:Interview with Bloomberg, Feb 2017 
https://www.businessinsider.com/mark-cuban-liberal-arts-is-the-future-2017-2
“Ipersonallythink
there'sgoingtobea
greaterdemandin
tenyearsforliberal
artsmajorsthanfor
programming
majorsandmaybe
evenengineering.”
Mark Cuban 
Owner of the Dallas Mavericks, 
Chairman of AXS TV, billionaire  
investor on ABC’s Shark Tank

“Theeducational
systemfocuses
primarilyon
trainingstudentsto
masterconvergent
thinking…precisely
thesortofthinking
thatincreasinglyisa
robot’sspecialty.”
Joseph Aoun 
Robot-Proof: Higher Education in  
the Age of Artificial Intelligence
MIT Press, 2017

“Theantidoteto
technological
irrelevanceisto
becomemore
human,notless.”
Scott Hartley 
Venture Capitalist, author of 
The Fuzzy and the Techie, 2017
Source: https://www.huﬃngtonpost.com/entry/the-importance-of-liberal-arts-in-the-ai-
economy_us_5981cfc8e4b09d231a5182bd

PollEv.com/eduvate
Howareyou
feelingabout
thefuturenow? 
(single_words)

thank you!
Ken Steele
Chief Futurist, Eduvation Inc.
Ten with Ken webcast
@kensteele
ken@eduvation.ca
519.432.3600
www.eduvation.ca
www.TenWithKen.com

The content of these slides is
proprietary and copyright ©2017
Eduvation Inc. All moral, legal, and
intellectual property rights are
reserved.
Clients may distribute this
document, unaltered, freely within
their institution, so long as the file
is not published on the public web.
Public distribution of this file is
strictly prohibited.
Please contact Ken Steele with any
questions about usage or
distribution: ken@eduvation.ca

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Ken Steele Keynote - Automating Educating: Tech Trends and the Future of PSE