UX the almost foreseeable future final
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UX the almost foreseeable future final
- 1. UX DESIGN THE ALMOST FORESEEABLE FUTURE Michael Asaro Michael@alamode.io 23 March 2019
- 2. ARGUMENT This is a story with 6 parts.
- 3. ARGUMENT This is a story with 6 parts. 1. Shit’s going to get Crazy
- 4. ARGUMENT This is a story with 6 parts. 1. Shit’s going to get Crazy 2. The Internet is about to become Aware of the World
- 5. ARGUMENT This is a story with 6 parts. 1. Shit’s going to get Crazy 2. The Internet is about to become Aware of the World 3. That means there’s some Really Amazing Opportunities!
- 6. ARGUMENT This is a story with 6 parts. 1. Shit’s going to get Crazy 2. The Internet is about to become Aware of the World 3. That means there’s some Really Amazing Opportunities! 4. But There’s Also a Big Problem (Privacy)
- 7. ARGUMENT This is a story with 6 parts. 1. Shit’s going to get Crazy 2. The Internet is about to become Aware of the World 3. That means there’s some Really Amazing Opportunities! 4. But There’s Also a Big Problem (Privacy) 5. We can Do Something about it
- 8. ARGUMENT This is a story with 6 parts. 1. Shit’s going to get Crazy 2. The Internet is about to become Aware of the World 3. That means there’s some Really Amazing Opportunities! 4. But There’s Also a Big Problem (Privacy) 5. We can Do Something about it 6. We can Design to Empower The People
- 9. ARGUMENT This is a story with 6 parts. 1. Shit’s going to get crazy 2. The Internet is about to become Aware of the World 3. That means there’s some really amazing opportunities! 4. But There’s Also a Big Problem (Privacy) 5. We can Do Something about it 6. We can design to Empower The People
- 10. REVOLUTIONS IN COMMUNICATION • Spoken Language: 40,000 years ago • Written Language: 15,000 years ago • Agricultural Revolution: 12,000 years ago • Printing Press: 500 years ago (1439) • Industrial Revolution: 350 years ago (1750’s) • Public Internet: 20 years ago (1989) • Ambient / Virtual Revolution: 2020’s – 2040’s The Modern Human Evolves
- 11. REVOLUTIONS IN COMMUNICATION • Spoken Language: 40,000 years ago • Written Language: 15,000 years ago • Agricultural Revolution: 12,000 years ago • Printing Press: 500 years ago (1439) • Industrial Revolution: 350 years ago (1750’s) • Public Internet: 20 years ago (1989) • Ambient / Virtual Revolution: 2020’s – 2040’s Civilization Began 10,000 BC
- 12. REVOLUTIONS IN COMMUNICATION • Spoken Language: 40,000 years ago • Written Language: 15,000 years ago • Agricultural Revolution: 12,000 years ago • Printing Press: 500 years ago (1439) • Industrial Revolution: 350 years ago (1750’s) • Public Internet: 20 years ago (1989) • Ambient / Virtual Revolution: 2020’s – 2040’s Material Abundance
- 13. REVOLUTIONS IN COMMUNICATION • Spoken Language: 40,000 years ago • Written Language: 15,000 years ago • Agricultural Revolution: 12,000 years ago • Printing Press: 500 years ago (1439) • Industrial Revolution: 350 years ago (1750’s) • Public Internet: 20 years ago (1989) • Ambient / Virtual Revolution: 2020’s – 2040’s ”What will the future look like?”
- 14. REVOLUTIONS IN COMMUNICATION • Spoken Language: 40,000 years ago • Written Language: 15,000 years ago • Agricultural Revolution: 12,000 years ago • Printing Press: 500 years ago (1439) • Industrial Revolution: 350 years ago (1750’s) • Public Internet: 20 years ago (1989) • Ambient / Virtual Revolution: 2020’s – 2040’s It’s going to happen very quickly.
- 15. ARGUMENT This is a story with 6 parts. 1. Shit’s going to get crazy 2. The Internet is about to become Aware of the World 3. That means there’s some Really Amazing Opportunities! 4. But There’s Also a Big Problem (Privacy) 5. We can Do Something about it 6. We can Design to Empower The People
- 16. FUTURICA Technologies • 5g • IoT • Blockchain • A.I. • Mixed Reality • Natural Language A Tipping Point? • The next 10 years will see the physical world become digitized, significantly deepening the roots of the digital infrastructure. • New forms of philosophy, language, and art will expand our reality. Virtual / Ambient Revolution
- 17. ARGUMENT This is a story with 6 parts. 1. Shit’s going to get crazy 2. The Internet is about to become Aware of the World 3. That means there’s some Really Amazing Opportunities! 4. But There’s Also a Big Problem (Privacy) 5. We can Do Something about it 6. We can Design to Empower The People
- 18. INDUSTRIES In the Factory • There is a virtual model of the factory, monitoring the movement of all the materials, people, and machines, in real time. In Education • Why go to university, or even public school? Education happens in Mixed Reality. • Truth and Identity are defined by the blockchain, not the ivory tower. In Civics • Truth and Identity get a physical embodiment in the blockchain. • Distributed and semi-automated legal structures replace corporations. In Healthcare • The computer has a real time look into your health, and all public health. • Telepresence in medicine and surgery.
- 19. INDUSTRIES In the Factory • There is a virtual model of the factory, monitoring the movement of all the materials, people, and machines, in real time. In Education • Why go to university, or even public school? Education happens in Mixed Reality. • Truth and Identity are defined by the blockchain, not the ivory tower. In Civics • Truth and Identity get a physical embodiment in the blockchain. • Distributed and semi-automated legal structures replace corporations. In Healthcare • The computer has a real time look into your health, and all public health. • Telepresence in medicine and surgery.
- 20. INDUSTRIES In the Factory • There is a virtual model of the factory, monitoring the movement of all the materials, people, and machines, in real time. In Education • Why go to university, or even public school? Education happens in Mixed Reality. • Truth and Identity are defined by the blockchain, not the ivory tower. In Civics • Truth and Identity get a physical embodiment in the blockchain. • Distributed and semi-automated legal structures replace corporations. In Healthcare • The computer has a real time look into your health, and all public health. • Telepresence in medicine and surgery.
- 21. INDUSTRIES In the Factory • There is a virtual model of the factory, monitoring the movement of all the materials, people, and machines, in real time. In Education • Why go to university, or even public school? Education happens in Mixed Reality. • Truth and Identity are defined by the blockchain, not the ivory tower. In Civics • Truth and Identity get a physical embodiment in the blockchain. • Distributed and semi-automated legal structures replace corporations. In Healthcare • The computer has a real time look into your health, and all public health. • Telepresence in medicine and surgery.
- 22. SCENARIO 1 Agriculture Will the next agricultural revolution be genetically modified monocultures? Or will it be a distributed system of semi-automated organic farms & managed wilderness?
- 23. SCENARIO 2 Industry Will the next set of factories be owned by rich industrialists? Or held in public trusts on the blockchain, so that all may invest and share in the wealth of their output?
- 24. ARGUMENT There are 6 points I want to make. 1. Shit’s going to get crazy 2. The Internet is about to become Aware of the World 3. That means there’s some really amazing opportunities! 4. But There’s Also a Big Problem (Privacy) 5. We can Do Something about it 6. We can design to Empower The People
- 25. THE CHALLENGE The Government is Collecting All The Data, and Using It To Predict Our Behavior Private Corporations Are Collecting All The Data, and Using It To Predict Our Behavior
- 26. SURVEILLANCE CAPITALISM Nudge | Herd | Condition | Entrap
- 27. ARGUMENT This is a story with 6 parts. 1. Shit’s going to get Crazy 2. The Internet is about to become Aware of the World 3. That means there’s some Really Amazing Opportunities! 4. But There’s Also a Big Problem (Privacy) 5. We can Do Something about it 6. We can Design to Empower The People
- 28. THE PROMISE OF DESIGN We Are Designers If Anyone Can Design A Better Future, It’s Us
- 29. THE PROMISE OF DESIGN We Are Designers If Anyone Can Design A Better Future, It’s Us Design Will Lead Development It’s About Making It Work For People
- 30. THE PROMISE OF DESIGN We Are Designers If Anyone Can Design A Better Future, It’s Us Design Will Lead Development It’s About Making It Work For People “Augmented Intelligence” Teach a Man To Fish
- 31. ARGUMENT This is a story with 6 parts. 1. Shit’s going to get Crazy 2. The Internet is about to become Aware of the World 3. That means there’s some Really Amazing Opportunities! 4. But There’s Also a Big Problem (Privacy) 5. We can Do Something about it 6. We can Design to Empower The People
- 32. COOPERATIVES The Business Structure for the Networked Economy Economic Democracy More Than Business Software We’re Designing A New Economy Worker Owner Investor Buyer Passion Public Utilities Service Economy Social Organizations Creatives
- 33. DAEMONS & THE AUTOBROWSER Daemon. 1. Supernatural being between gods and humans. 2. Background process not under the direct control of a user. 3. Virtual Personal Digital Assistant. Compute (A.I.) On Demand Voice Is Code The Self-Driving Web Browser Computers Learn To Use Human Interfaces
- 34. BEHAVIORAL FUTURES MARKETS & UNIVERSAL BASIC INCOME Health, Financial, GPS, Web History, Energy Usage Price is set by a behavioral futures market Everyone is always producing data, so it’s a guaranteed stream of income Work doesn’t pay anymore, only ownership does. Stop Giving Your Data Away Sell It To The Highest Bidder UBI
- 35. ARGUMENT This is a story with 6 parts. 1. Shit’s going to get Crazy 2. The Internet is about to become Aware of the World 3. That means there’s some Really Amazing Opportunities! 4. But There’s Also a Big Problem (Privacy) 5. We can Do Something about it 6. We can Design to Empower The People
- 36. DESIGN PRINCIPLES 1. Design for Augmented Intelligence vs. Artificial Intelligence 2. Design for Context: Is this a Teaching Moment or a Helping Moment? 3. Design for Individuality: Transparency, Accessibility, Comprehensibility 4. Design with Ethics: We are in a unique position to champion the end user. 5. Design with Care: What matters isn’t what happens between your ears, it’s what happens between each other.
- 37. CONCLUSION If not us, then who? If not now, then when? Are you excited? Are you terrified? Great. Let’s do this thing.
Editor's Notes
- Is this when Neanderthals and Homo Erectus went extinct.
- Just 20 years ago we went through another revolution. So it’s still just getting started.
- Give an example of the speed of tech advances “What could it be in the future?...” It only took 2,000 20-year periods
- First we need a quick primer on the foundational technologies of the Age, which I’ve put into three groups. Hardware, Interfaces, and Software. First, let’s look at the hardware. 5G and AI come together to make Compute resources, a utility on tap, just like electricity or water. ------ Hardware Robotics 3D Printers GPU, TPU, ASIC, FPGA Interfaces Daemons + Avatars Software Nootropics Neural Revolution Neural Lace Transhumanism Super Intelligence Quantum Computing
- At Work Why drive to the office when you can meet and work with anyone from anywhere? In Civics: I want to relate it to the systems we have in our body: immune, nervous, lymphatic, etc. I want to show that it will evolve through competition, but also cooperation, horizontal meme-transfer, and endosymbiosis (lynn marguilis)
- At Work Why drive to the office when you can meet and work with anyone from anywhere? In Civics: I want to relate it to the systems we have in our body: immune, nervous, lymphatic, etc. I want to show that it will evolve through competition, but also cooperation, horizontal meme-transfer, and endosymbiosis (lynn marguilis)
- At Work Why drive to the office when you can meet and work with anyone from anywhere? In Civics: I want to relate it to the systems we have in our body: immune, nervous, lymphatic, etc. I want to show that it will evolve through competition, but also cooperation, horizontal meme-transfer, and endosymbiosis (lynn marguilis) Healthcare Personalized Medicine
- At Work Why drive to the office when you can meet and work with anyone from anywhere? In Civics: I want to relate it to the systems we have in our body: immune, nervous, lymphatic, etc. I want to show that it will evolve through competition, but also cooperation, horizontal meme-transfer, and endosymbiosis (lynn marguilis) Humanity is an organism. To survive, it must be anti-fragile. Diversity + Competition + Cooperation + Mimicry + Symbiosis = Evolution
- One is the continuation of
- We are just behavioral surplus. The world is collapsing around us, and we are lost and confused. Suppression of Individuality to make us more predictable Reduces the diversity we need for cultural anti-fragility Is there another way? Google, Facebook, Amazon, Microsoft, Cambridge Analytica, etc.
- Ask people how they feel about privacy. We are just behavioral surplus. The world is collapsing around us, and we are lost and confused. Suppression of Individuality to make us more predictable Reduces the diversity we need for cultural anti-fragility Is there another way? It’s up to us to build the ethical tools and software that does not compromise the freedom and individuality of our users and everyone. Social Listening – A term for listening to people on facebook
- Corporations become the friction that gets competed out of the marketplace. Still need political democracy, market dynamics, and a favorable legal foundation. Will disintermediate the government at some point. Unions are hierarchical, don’t work in a networked age. ------ Companies are like children. They need to be raised and nurtured. But once they are old enough, They are more served by a wide-open acceptance of the World, and access to its anti-fragility. Swarms & Hives (Non-hierarchical) Hives take care of the steady-state Swarms provide the dynamic evolutionary impulse
- Definition of a daemon: Supernatural being of a nature between gods and humans. Background process not under the direct control of an interactive user “Background Process” https://app.getpocket.com/read/1383954279 OmniChannel – message, search, share, organize Blockchain based Reliability Scores (fake news) Language as Code An AI that can browse any website, app, or standard visual interface in order to handle natural language queries. Web and App domination. Facebook, Google, and all social media companies won’t be able to sell ad’s if your not looking at them.
- Anonymous data. We need a Heisenberg Uncertainty for data. Perhaps if it is stored in an entangled quantum memory? I think it could be simpler than that, using mixing wallets, etc. The behavioral futures market is where we get market growth without it being material growth. Access to a persons data is always valuable, but it requires no physical extraction. UBI – what it is (not just what it stands for) Your information is uploaded to a verified blockchain so that companies can trust it, even when it’s anonymous. Wallets manage Identity This allows anyone to make money by selling their information into a public trust blockchain, where companies can purchase that information to run their cloud services.
- Start thinking about Augmented Intelligence vs. Artificial Intelligence Design for Context Foster Discovery rather than Destination Jobs of the future will be a series of non-routine tasks, that require social intelligence, complex critical thinking, and creative problem-solving. Design for Agency = Transparency, Accessibility, Comprehensibility Empower users as individuals Democratizing access to knowledge (data) will be of primary importance Ethics: We are the link between Humans and Technology Care for each other, care for our institutions, care for humanity, care for life – the care economy Design for the Heart as well as the mind What matters isn’t what happens between your ears, it’s what happens between each other. Promote systems of: bottom-up, grassroots, evolutionary governance
- A Call to Action