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Risk governance deficits and emerging risks IDRC 2 June 2010 Chemin de Balexert 9, CH – 1219 Châtelaine, Geneva, Switzerland  |  tel +41 (0)22 795 17 30  fax +41 (0)22 795 17 39  |  www.irgc.org
Systemic risks Fisheries management The collapse of stocks of cod in the Canadian Grand Banks, blue-fin tuna in the Mediterranean and herring in the North Sea all illustrate the multiple challenges of dealing with the “Tragedy of the Commons”.  Climate Change Climate change is the outcome of decisions made, deliberately or not to increase GHG emissions in favour of economic development.  Its consequences on issues such as water cycle, droughts, agriculture, sea level rise, ocean  acidification and other issues of concer are largely systemic Hurricane Katrina In August 2005 weather warnings persuaded the Governors of Mississippi and Louisiana to declare states of emergency on Friday 26th, but the mayor of New Orleans did not order evacuation until Sunday 28th. Katrina hit the following day. FEMA did not have sufficient organisational capacity to respond effectively.
Risk governance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],: the role of context
What are risk governance deficits? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
A5  Evaluating the acceptability of risk ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Radioactive waste disposal Equity considerations (both intra- and inter-generational) are important when assessing risks relating to the siting of hazardous facilities. Objections by 3 US states to storing all US LLRW led to the Federal Low-Level Radioactive Waste Policy Act (1980) which had the effect of  increasing  the number of people at risk from LLRW disposal facilities. Failure to consider variables that influence risk acceptance and risk appetite
A10  Assessing potential surprises ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],9/11   “ We were trapped by our own paradigm… programs to handle the endless sequence of hijackings and hostage takings…a “book” was devised and experts trained…the premise was that the hostage takers wanted something negotiable; this time, all they wanted was our lives.” David T. Jones Failure to overcome cognitive barriers to imagining events outside of accepted paradigms (“black swans”)
 
B13  Acting in the face of the unexpected ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Millennium Bug Dire consequences were predicted from the possible failure of computers to deal with date-related data between 31 December 1999 and 1 January 2000. Millions were spent checking and upgrading computer systems, but no problems were reported. However, work done to prepare for “Y2K” may have added resilience to systems so as to allow the New York infrastructure to function after 9/11. Insufficient flexibility in the face of unexpected risk situations
Challenges … ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Contributing factors to fertile grounds for risks to emerge IDRC 2 June 2010 Chemin de Balexert 9, CH – 1219 Châtelaine, Geneva, Switzerland  |  tel +41 (0)22 795 17 30  fax +41 (0)22 795 17 39  |  www.irgc.org
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Contributing factors to ‘fertile ground’ for risk emergence ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]

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Risk governance deficits and emerging risks

  • 1. Risk governance deficits and emerging risks IDRC 2 June 2010 Chemin de Balexert 9, CH – 1219 Châtelaine, Geneva, Switzerland | tel +41 (0)22 795 17 30 fax +41 (0)22 795 17 39 | www.irgc.org
  • 2. Systemic risks Fisheries management The collapse of stocks of cod in the Canadian Grand Banks, blue-fin tuna in the Mediterranean and herring in the North Sea all illustrate the multiple challenges of dealing with the “Tragedy of the Commons”. Climate Change Climate change is the outcome of decisions made, deliberately or not to increase GHG emissions in favour of economic development. Its consequences on issues such as water cycle, droughts, agriculture, sea level rise, ocean acidification and other issues of concer are largely systemic Hurricane Katrina In August 2005 weather warnings persuaded the Governors of Mississippi and Louisiana to declare states of emergency on Friday 26th, but the mayor of New Orleans did not order evacuation until Sunday 28th. Katrina hit the following day. FEMA did not have sufficient organisational capacity to respond effectively.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.  
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.  
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Contributing factors to fertile grounds for risks to emerge IDRC 2 June 2010 Chemin de Balexert 9, CH – 1219 Châtelaine, Geneva, Switzerland | tel +41 (0)22 795 17 30 fax +41 (0)22 795 17 39 | www.irgc.org
  • 12.
  • 13.