This document provides an introduction to Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC), a Markov chain Monte Carlo method for sampling from distributions. It begins with an overview and motivation, then covers preliminary concepts. The main section explains how HMC constructs a Markov chain using Hamiltonian dynamics to efficiently explore complex, high-dimensional distributions. A demonstration compares HMC to the random walk Metropolis algorithm on a challenging "banana-shaped" distribution. The document concludes with a discussion of future work and applications of HMC.
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I am Stacy W. I am a Statistical Physics Assignment Expert at statisticsassignmenthelp.com. I hold a Masters in Statistics from, University of McGill, Canada
I have been helping students with their homework for the past 7years. I solve assignments related to Statistical.
Visit statisticsassignmenthelp.com or email info@statisticsassignmenthelp.com.
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I am Bing Jr. I am a Signal Processing Assignment Expert at matlabassignmentexperts.com. I hold a Master's in Matlab Deakin University, Australia. I have been helping students with their assignments for the past 9 years. I solve assignments related to Signal Processing.
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Why should you care about Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods?
→ They are in the list of "Top 10 Algorithms of 20th Century"
→ They allow you to make inference with Bayesian Networks
→ They are used everywhere in Machine Learning and Statistics
Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are a class of algorithms used to sample from complicated distributions. Typically, this is the case of posterior distributions in Bayesian Networks (Belief Networks).
These slides cover the following topics.
→ Motivation and Practical Examples (Bayesian Networks)
→ Basic Principles of MCMC
→ Gibbs Sampling
→ Metropolis–Hastings
→ Hamiltonian Monte Carlo
→ Reversible-Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo
The MAIN CONTRIBUTION is an on-line heuristic law to set the training process and to modify the NN topology based on the Levenberg-Marquardt method.
An Area Predictor Filter using nonlinear autoregressive model based on neural networks for time series forecasting is introduced.
The core of the proposal is to analyze the roughness (long or short term stochastic dependence) of time series evaluated by the Hurst parameter (H).
The proposed law adapts in real time the topology of the filter at each stage of time series, changing the number of pattern, the number of iterations and the input vector length.
The main results show a good performance of the predictor, considering in particular to time series whose H parameter has a high roughness of signal, which is evaluated by HS and HA, respectively.
These results encouraged to continue working on new adjustment algorithms for time series modeling natural phenomena.
Some experiments done on MATLAB for the course on Simulation and Modelling. Includes Model of Bouncing Ball, Model of Spring Mass System and Model of Traffic Flow.
REDUCING TIMED AUTOMATA: A NEW APPROACHijistjournal
Today model checking is the most useful verification method for real time systems, so there is a serious need for improving its efficiency with respect to both time and resources. In this paper we present a new approach for reducing timed automata. In fact regions of a region automaton are aggregated according to a coarse equivalence class partitioning based on traces. We will show that the proposed algorithm terminates and preserves original timed automaton. Proposed algorithms are implemented by model transformation with Atom3 tool.
Spline interpolation is a problem of "Numerical Methods".
This slide covers the basics of spline interpolation mostly the linear spline and cubic spline interpolation.
I am Anthony F. I am a Digital Signal Processing Assignment Expert at matlabassignmentexperts.com. I hold a Ph.D. in Matlab, University of Cambridge, UK. I have been helping students with their homework for the past 8 years. I solve assignments related to Digital Signal Processing.
Visit matlabassignmentexperts.com or email info@matlabassignmentexperts.com.
You can also call on +1 678 648 4277 for any assistance with Digital Signal Processing Assignments.
Presentation of the NUTS Algorithm by M. Hoffmann and A. Gelman
(disclamer: informal work, the huge amount of interesting work by R.Neal is not entirely referenced)
Introduction of Quantum Annealing and D-Wave MachinesArithmer Inc.
This slide was used for Arithmer seminar in April 2021, by Dr. Yuki Bando.
It is for introduction of quantum computer, D-wave series, and its application to optimization problems in industry.
"Arithmer Seminar" is weekly held, where professionals from within and outside our company give lectures on their respective expertise.
The slides are made by the lecturer from outside our company, and shared here with his/her permission.
Arithmer株式会社は東京大学大学院数理科学研究科発の数学の会社です。私達は現代数学を応用して、様々な分野のソリューションに、新しい高度AIシステムを導入しています。AIをいかに上手に使って仕事を効率化するか、そして人々の役に立つ結果を生み出すのか、それを考えるのが私たちの仕事です。
Arithmer began at the University of Tokyo Graduate School of Mathematical Sciences. Today, our research of modern mathematics and AI systems has the capability of providing solutions when dealing with tough complex issues. At Arithmer we believe it is our job to realize the functions of AI through improving work efficiency and producing more useful results for society.
Why should you care about Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods?
→ They are in the list of "Top 10 Algorithms of 20th Century"
→ They allow you to make inference with Bayesian Networks
→ They are used everywhere in Machine Learning and Statistics
Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are a class of algorithms used to sample from complicated distributions. Typically, this is the case of posterior distributions in Bayesian Networks (Belief Networks).
These slides cover the following topics.
→ Motivation and Practical Examples (Bayesian Networks)
→ Basic Principles of MCMC
→ Gibbs Sampling
→ Metropolis–Hastings
→ Hamiltonian Monte Carlo
→ Reversible-Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo
The MAIN CONTRIBUTION is an on-line heuristic law to set the training process and to modify the NN topology based on the Levenberg-Marquardt method.
An Area Predictor Filter using nonlinear autoregressive model based on neural networks for time series forecasting is introduced.
The core of the proposal is to analyze the roughness (long or short term stochastic dependence) of time series evaluated by the Hurst parameter (H).
The proposed law adapts in real time the topology of the filter at each stage of time series, changing the number of pattern, the number of iterations and the input vector length.
The main results show a good performance of the predictor, considering in particular to time series whose H parameter has a high roughness of signal, which is evaluated by HS and HA, respectively.
These results encouraged to continue working on new adjustment algorithms for time series modeling natural phenomena.
Some experiments done on MATLAB for the course on Simulation and Modelling. Includes Model of Bouncing Ball, Model of Spring Mass System and Model of Traffic Flow.
REDUCING TIMED AUTOMATA: A NEW APPROACHijistjournal
Today model checking is the most useful verification method for real time systems, so there is a serious need for improving its efficiency with respect to both time and resources. In this paper we present a new approach for reducing timed automata. In fact regions of a region automaton are aggregated according to a coarse equivalence class partitioning based on traces. We will show that the proposed algorithm terminates and preserves original timed automaton. Proposed algorithms are implemented by model transformation with Atom3 tool.
Spline interpolation is a problem of "Numerical Methods".
This slide covers the basics of spline interpolation mostly the linear spline and cubic spline interpolation.
I am Anthony F. I am a Digital Signal Processing Assignment Expert at matlabassignmentexperts.com. I hold a Ph.D. in Matlab, University of Cambridge, UK. I have been helping students with their homework for the past 8 years. I solve assignments related to Digital Signal Processing.
Visit matlabassignmentexperts.com or email info@matlabassignmentexperts.com.
You can also call on +1 678 648 4277 for any assistance with Digital Signal Processing Assignments.
Presentation of the NUTS Algorithm by M. Hoffmann and A. Gelman
(disclamer: informal work, the huge amount of interesting work by R.Neal is not entirely referenced)
Introduction of Quantum Annealing and D-Wave MachinesArithmer Inc.
This slide was used for Arithmer seminar in April 2021, by Dr. Yuki Bando.
It is for introduction of quantum computer, D-wave series, and its application to optimization problems in industry.
"Arithmer Seminar" is weekly held, where professionals from within and outside our company give lectures on their respective expertise.
The slides are made by the lecturer from outside our company, and shared here with his/her permission.
Arithmer株式会社は東京大学大学院数理科学研究科発の数学の会社です。私達は現代数学を応用して、様々な分野のソリューションに、新しい高度AIシステムを導入しています。AIをいかに上手に使って仕事を効率化するか、そして人々の役に立つ結果を生み出すのか、それを考えるのが私たちの仕事です。
Arithmer began at the University of Tokyo Graduate School of Mathematical Sciences. Today, our research of modern mathematics and AI systems has the capability of providing solutions when dealing with tough complex issues. At Arithmer we believe it is our job to realize the functions of AI through improving work efficiency and producing more useful results for society.
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Richard's entangled aventures in wonderlandRichard Gill
Since the loophole-free Bell experiments of 2020 and the Nobel prizes in physics of 2022, critics of Bell's work have retreated to the fortress of super-determinism. Now, super-determinism is a derogatory word - it just means "determinism". Palmer, Hance and Hossenfelder argue that quantum mechanics and determinism are not incompatible, using a sophisticated mathematical construction based on a subtle thinning of allowed states and measurements in quantum mechanics, such that what is left appears to make Bell's argument fail, without altering the empirical predictions of quantum mechanics. I think however that it is a smoke screen, and the slogan "lost in math" comes to my mind. I will discuss some other recent disproofs of Bell's theorem using the language of causality based on causal graphs. Causal thinking is also central to law and justice. I will mention surprising connections to my work on serial killer nurse cases, in particular the Dutch case of Lucia de Berk and the current UK case of Lucy Letby.
THE IMPORTANCE OF MARTIAN ATMOSPHERE SAMPLE RETURN.Sérgio Sacani
The return of a sample of near-surface atmosphere from Mars would facilitate answers to several first-order science questions surrounding the formation and evolution of the planet. One of the important aspects of terrestrial planet formation in general is the role that primary atmospheres played in influencing the chemistry and structure of the planets and their antecedents. Studies of the martian atmosphere can be used to investigate the role of a primary atmosphere in its history. Atmosphere samples would also inform our understanding of the near-surface chemistry of the planet, and ultimately the prospects for life. High-precision isotopic analyses of constituent gases are needed to address these questions, requiring that the analyses are made on returned samples rather than in situ.
Professional air quality monitoring systems provide immediate, on-site data for analysis, compliance, and decision-making.
Monitor common gases, weather parameters, particulates.
Observation of Io’s Resurfacing via Plume Deposition Using Ground-based Adapt...Sérgio Sacani
Since volcanic activity was first discovered on Io from Voyager images in 1979, changes
on Io’s surface have been monitored from both spacecraft and ground-based telescopes.
Here, we present the highest spatial resolution images of Io ever obtained from a groundbased telescope. These images, acquired by the SHARK-VIS instrument on the Large
Binocular Telescope, show evidence of a major resurfacing event on Io’s trailing hemisphere. When compared to the most recent spacecraft images, the SHARK-VIS images
show that a plume deposit from a powerful eruption at Pillan Patera has covered part
of the long-lived Pele plume deposit. Although this type of resurfacing event may be common on Io, few have been detected due to the rarity of spacecraft visits and the previously low spatial resolution available from Earth-based telescopes. The SHARK-VIS instrument ushers in a new era of high resolution imaging of Io’s surface using adaptive
optics at visible wavelengths.
A brief information about the SCOP protein database used in bioinformatics.
The Structural Classification of Proteins (SCOP) database is a comprehensive and authoritative resource for the structural and evolutionary relationships of proteins. It provides a detailed and curated classification of protein structures, grouping them into families, superfamilies, and folds based on their structural and sequence similarities.
(May 29th, 2024) Advancements in Intravital Microscopy- Insights for Preclini...Scintica Instrumentation
Intravital microscopy (IVM) is a powerful tool utilized to study cellular behavior over time and space in vivo. Much of our understanding of cell biology has been accomplished using various in vitro and ex vivo methods; however, these studies do not necessarily reflect the natural dynamics of biological processes. Unlike traditional cell culture or fixed tissue imaging, IVM allows for the ultra-fast high-resolution imaging of cellular processes over time and space and were studied in its natural environment. Real-time visualization of biological processes in the context of an intact organism helps maintain physiological relevance and provide insights into the progression of disease, response to treatments or developmental processes.
In this webinar we give an overview of advanced applications of the IVM system in preclinical research. IVIM technology is a provider of all-in-one intravital microscopy systems and solutions optimized for in vivo imaging of live animal models at sub-micron resolution. The system’s unique features and user-friendly software enables researchers to probe fast dynamic biological processes such as immune cell tracking, cell-cell interaction as well as vascularization and tumor metastasis with exceptional detail. This webinar will also give an overview of IVM being utilized in drug development, offering a view into the intricate interaction between drugs/nanoparticles and tissues in vivo and allows for the evaluation of therapeutic intervention in a variety of tissues and organs. This interdisciplinary collaboration continues to drive the advancements of novel therapeutic strategies.
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4. Introduction
This is intuitive introduction of Hamiltonian Monte
Carlo.
Almost all parts of this presentation is from
“A Conceptual Introduction to Hamiltonian Monte Carlo”, Michael
Betancourt .
7. Notation
Sample space 𝑄 = ℝ𝑑
.
Denote 𝑀 > 0, if M is symmetric positive
definite matrix.
𝑁 0, Σ ; for mean zero covariance Σ Gaussian
distribution.
𝑞 ~ 𝜋; 𝑞 is distributed by 𝜋.
Use “≡” for definition
9. Sampling Problem
How do we make efficient sampling from given
target distribution 𝜋 𝑞 ?
Define sample problem we are interested in
10. Markov Chain Monte Carlo: MCMC
Desired transition kernel 𝕋 𝑞′
𝑞 to satisfy
reversibility
Construct Markov chain that converges to target distribution by Random
proposal and Acceptance
𝜋 𝑞 𝕋 𝑞′
𝑞 = 𝜋 𝑞′ 𝕋 𝑞 𝑞′
11. Random Walk Metropolis: RWM
One simple implementation
of Metropolis-Hasting
algorithm
Require: target 𝜋 𝑞
proposal covariance Σ > 0
1. Random proposal
2. Accept
given qn, draw qprop ~ N qn, Σ
accept qn+1 = qprop with probability
min{1,
π(qprop)
π(qn)
}
12. Issue of MCMC
Poor performance with high dimension and
complex target distributions
13. Hamilton Dynamics
Hamilton equation on phase
space
preserve volume in phase
space(Liouville’s Theorem)
preserve total energy in phase
space, which is Hamiltonian
time reversal symmetry
𝑑𝑞
𝑑𝑡
=
𝑑𝐻
𝑑𝑝
𝑑𝑝
𝑑𝑡
= −
𝑑𝐻
𝑑𝑞
15. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo: HMC
A. One approach is using geometric information
of target and constructing conservative transition
kernel by Hamilton flow.
Q. How do we make efficient sampling from given target distribution
𝝅𝑼 𝒒 ?
16. Information of Gradient
1. Consider 𝜋𝑈 𝑞 = 𝑒−𝑈(𝑞)
, where 𝑈 𝑞 ≡
− log(𝜋𝑈 𝑞 )
2. But gradient
dU
dq
pulls us the mode of density!
3. → Need to introduce momentum 𝑝
Using geometric information of target density
17. Expand Sample Space
1. Expand to phase space 𝑞 → 𝑞, 𝑝 with 𝑝
2. Choose conditional distribution 𝜋𝐾(𝑝|𝑞)
3. Lift 𝜋𝑈 𝑞 to 𝜋𝐻 𝑞, 𝑝 ≡ 𝜋𝐾 𝑝|𝑞 𝜋𝑈 𝑞
Expand sample space to phase space,
We can always gain sample q by projection(marginalization).
18. Choice of Kinetic Energy
1. Choose Kinetic Energy 𝐾(𝑞, 𝑝)
2. Conditional distribution of momentum determined
by 𝜋𝐾 𝑝 𝑞 ≡ 𝑒−𝐾 𝑞,𝑝
To define conditional distribution of momentum 𝜋𝐾 𝑝 𝑞 , a user choose kinetic
energy.
In simple case, let 𝐾 𝑞, 𝑝 =
1
2
𝑝𝑇
𝑀−1
𝑝.
19. Hamiltonian
1. 𝐻 𝑞, 𝑝 ≡ 𝐾 𝑞, 𝑝 + 𝑈(𝑞)
2. 𝜋𝐻 𝑞, 𝑝 ≡ 𝜋𝐾 𝑝|𝑞 𝜋𝑈 𝑞 = 𝑒−𝐻(𝑞,𝑝)
Hamiltonian 𝐻 and canonical distribution 𝜋𝐻 are defined as below.
24. Advantage of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo
Rich Theoretical Support
effective for wider class of target than non-gradient method
Computational Efficiency
Fast exploration and large acceptance probability
32. Future work
Studying mathematical guarantee and guideline
Adaptive tuning of parameters
Selecting Integrators
Generalizing to infinite-dimensional sample
space
Introducing inverse temperature
33. Discussion
Particle Filter
Variational method
Inverse problem
“Estimation of Hydraulic Conductivity from Steady
State Seepage Flow Using Hamiltonian Monte
Carlo”- 01/02/2021
34. For Your Information…
“Remember that using Bayes' Theorem doesn't make
you a Bayesian. Quantifying uncertainty with probability
makes you a Bayesian.” - Michael Betancourt
https://twitter.com/betanalpha/status/81701286064363
5204
This is pinned tweet of Michael Betancourt.
35. References
“A Conceptual Introduction to Hamiltonian Monte Carlo”
“The Geometric Foundations of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo”
“The Adaptive proposal distribution for Random Walk
Metropolis Algorithm” – only for banana Gaussian
“Estimation of Hydraulic Conductivity from Steady State
Seepage Flow Using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo” -
http://soil.en.a.u-tokyo.ac.jp/jsidre/search/PDFs/20/%5B1-
52%5D.pdf
36. Documents
Detail documents on my site
https://kotatakeda.github.io/math/2021/01/03/
hamiltonian-monte-carlo.html
Editor's Notes
- 挨拶
- 自己紹介
- index
- conceptualでintuitiveなintroductionであることを強調.
応用の文脈ではGiven data Dに対して, 事後分布pi(q|D)に関する期待値などを求める.
パラメータの事後分布を推定することが目標
- {TODO: 他にもあるか確認}
- Typical set, which is region that has dominant contributing to integral, is singular in high dimension.