SlideShare a Scribd company logo
HRP Demand and supply
forecasting
Baddi University of emerging science and
technology
Ram Murti
16PBA041
rammurtikumar033@gmail.com
HRP
• HRP is also called manpower planning,
personnel planning or employment planning.
• Meaning – HRP is defined as the process by
which management determines how an
organization should move from its current
manpower position to its desired manpower
position.
Definition
• According to beach, “Human resource planning is
a process of determining and assuming that the
organization will have an adequate number of
qualified persons, available at the proper times,
performing jobs which meet the needs of the
enterprise and which provide satisfaction for the
individuals involved.
Forecasting
• Forecasting is determining what is going to
happen in the future by analyzing what happened
in the past and what is going on now. It is a
planning tool that helps business people in their
attempts to cope with the uncertainty of what will
might and might not occur – it relies on past and
current data and analysis of trends.
• Forecasts may be short- or long-term.
Human Resource Forecasting
Process of projecting the organization’s future
HR needs (demand) and how it will meet those
needs (supply) under a given set of
assumptions about the organization’s policies
and the environmental conditions in which it
operates.
Demand forecasting
• Demand forecasting is the process of estimating
the quantity and quality of people required to meet
future needs of the organization
• According to Evan J. Douglas, “Demand
estimation (forecasting) may be defined as a
process of finding values for demand in future
time periods.”
Method of demand forecasting
• Ratio-trend analysis
• Regression analysis
• Work study techniques
• Delphi technique
• Flow models
• Other forecasting techniques
Factor affecting Forecasting HR
Demand
• Employment trends
• Replacement needs
• Productivity
• Absenteeism
• Expansion and growth.
Supply forecasting
• The purpose of identifying future HR supply
requirements is to determine the number of
employees required for each job and their
knowledge, skills, abilities, and other
characteristics.
• Specifically supply forecasting measures the
number of people likely to be available from
within and outside an organization.
Internal supply forecasting
• Internal supply forecasts relate to conditions
inside the org. such as age distribution of
workforce, terminations, retirements, etc.
Internal supply forecasting
Factors affecting internal supply
forecasting
• Organizational features (e.g., staffing
capabilities)
• Productivity - rates of productivity,
productivity changes
• Rates of promotion, demotion, transfer and
turnover
External supply forecasting
• External supply forecasts relate to external
labour market conditions & estimates of
supply of labour to be available to the firm in
the future in different categories
Factors affecting external supply
Forecaasting
• Competition for talent
• Industry or occupational expected growth levels
• Public policy, government, and legal changes
• Trends in labour force participation (including
entry and exit)
• Technological development patterns
Method of supply forecasting
• Skills Inventory
• Replacement Charts
• Succession Planning
• Flow Modeling/Markov Analysis
• Computer Simulations
Conclusion
• Forecasting is a process of making statements
about events those actual outcomes have not
yet been observed
• HR forecasting is all about estimating future
demand and supply of HR in an organization
Thank You

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HRP Demand and supply

  • 1. HRP Demand and supply forecasting Baddi University of emerging science and technology Ram Murti 16PBA041 rammurtikumar033@gmail.com
  • 2. HRP • HRP is also called manpower planning, personnel planning or employment planning. • Meaning – HRP is defined as the process by which management determines how an organization should move from its current manpower position to its desired manpower position.
  • 3. Definition • According to beach, “Human resource planning is a process of determining and assuming that the organization will have an adequate number of qualified persons, available at the proper times, performing jobs which meet the needs of the enterprise and which provide satisfaction for the individuals involved.
  • 4. Forecasting • Forecasting is determining what is going to happen in the future by analyzing what happened in the past and what is going on now. It is a planning tool that helps business people in their attempts to cope with the uncertainty of what will might and might not occur – it relies on past and current data and analysis of trends. • Forecasts may be short- or long-term.
  • 5.
  • 6. Human Resource Forecasting Process of projecting the organization’s future HR needs (demand) and how it will meet those needs (supply) under a given set of assumptions about the organization’s policies and the environmental conditions in which it operates.
  • 7. Demand forecasting • Demand forecasting is the process of estimating the quantity and quality of people required to meet future needs of the organization • According to Evan J. Douglas, “Demand estimation (forecasting) may be defined as a process of finding values for demand in future time periods.”
  • 8. Method of demand forecasting • Ratio-trend analysis • Regression analysis • Work study techniques • Delphi technique • Flow models • Other forecasting techniques
  • 9. Factor affecting Forecasting HR Demand • Employment trends • Replacement needs • Productivity • Absenteeism • Expansion and growth.
  • 10. Supply forecasting • The purpose of identifying future HR supply requirements is to determine the number of employees required for each job and their knowledge, skills, abilities, and other characteristics. • Specifically supply forecasting measures the number of people likely to be available from within and outside an organization.
  • 11. Internal supply forecasting • Internal supply forecasts relate to conditions inside the org. such as age distribution of workforce, terminations, retirements, etc.
  • 13. Factors affecting internal supply forecasting • Organizational features (e.g., staffing capabilities) • Productivity - rates of productivity, productivity changes • Rates of promotion, demotion, transfer and turnover
  • 14. External supply forecasting • External supply forecasts relate to external labour market conditions & estimates of supply of labour to be available to the firm in the future in different categories
  • 15. Factors affecting external supply Forecaasting • Competition for talent • Industry or occupational expected growth levels • Public policy, government, and legal changes • Trends in labour force participation (including entry and exit) • Technological development patterns
  • 16. Method of supply forecasting • Skills Inventory • Replacement Charts • Succession Planning • Flow Modeling/Markov Analysis • Computer Simulations
  • 17. Conclusion • Forecasting is a process of making statements about events those actual outcomes have not yet been observed • HR forecasting is all about estimating future demand and supply of HR in an organization