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November 14, 2018
Closing Customers. Reducing Risk, Phased Approach.
HOMER Energy
Marc Lopata, PE
US and Caribbean markets, St Louis HQ
Portfolio over 500 projects totaling over 120 MW
80+ battery storage plants, 10 microgrids in US and Caribbean
LEED & Energy Star projects from 10,000 sf to 9,000,000 sq.ft.
Solar Power World Magazine 2018 – #147 overall and #1 for off-grid / microgrids
Only NABCEP-Certified Photovoltaic System Inspector in Caribbean Region
▪ St Louis Rams
▪ Hertz Car Rental (2)
▪ Prime Minister of Jamaica
▪ Fontainebleau Resorts
▪ Nestle Purina PetCare (2)
▪ Peter Island Resort & Spa, BVI
▪ Pageant Theatre (2)
▪ United Health Care / MetLife (2)
▪ Harrah’s Entertainment
▪ Sheraton Hotels
▪ Enterprise Rent-A-Car (4)
▪ US Army Corps of Engineers (4)
▪ Tropigas Panama
▪ Oil Nut Bay Resort, BVI
▪ Confidential client, NY
▪ St. Louis Cardinals (20+)
▪ US Bank (9)
▪ St Louis Science Center (3)
▪ Novus International (2)
▪ Washington University (20+)
▪ Missouri Botanical Garden (3)
▪ Drury Hotels (14)
▪ University of Missouri St Louis
▪ MasterCard International (4)
▪ Eastern Caribbean Central Bank
▪ McCormack Baron Salazar (3)
▪ Yanbu Royal Commission
▪ Missouri Univ of Science Tech
▪ Ameren Missouri
▪ Confidential, Bahamas (3)
▪ IKEA
▪ Schlafly Bottleworks
▪ Anheuser Busch / InBev (2)
▪ Jamaican Government House
▪ Cooper Island Beach Club (2)
▪ World Bank (3)
▪ Moonrise Hotel (4)
▪ Express Scripts (2)
▪ Webster University (5)
▪ Illinois Institute of Technology (4)
▪ Commerce Bank (5)
▪ City of Columbia Water & Light
▪ Prairie Power Coop Utility (2)
▪ Central Iowa Power Company (6)
▪ Confidential client, BVI (2)
Caribbean Island Microgrid
• Hotel and microbrewery
• Truly “islanded” – was 100% diesel electricity
• Diesel electricity is $0.40/kWh to $0.55/kWh
• Now solar-storage-diesel hybrid
• 92% to 95% solar penetration
• Renewables and energy efficiency
• Microgrid electricity $0.23/kWh
• $1M higher property value (lower OpEx, higher NOI)
• Increasing certainty.
• De-risk the project.
• Use HOMER for Basis of Design.
• Uncertain load profile.
• Uncertain design approach.
• Uncertain construction costs.
• Uncertain owner goals.
Problem Solving with HOMER
www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
• Daily energy? Maybe maximum power.
• Convert diesel fuel purchased to electricity produced: 80 gpd average ~ 1000 kWh
• No energy efficiency measures.
• Random advise from neighbors, manufacturers, crystal ball.
• Skeptical.
Meet the Island/Resort Owner
www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
HourlyPower[kW]
'-
11
22
33
44
Time of Day (24-hr)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
MIN 30 kW
MAX 45 kW
“RESORT” PROFILE, AREA UNDER THE
CURVE ENERGY ~ 1,000 KWH
• Reduce energy expense.
• Improve reliability.
• Improve survivability.
• Reduce noise.
Desired Project Outcomes
• Improve air quality.
• Improve financial resiliency.
• Gain marketing advantage.
• Attract investors.
• Create local career jobs
• Stop sending 20% of GDP to Venezuela
www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
Investment Metrics, Unlevered
19% Internal Rate of Return, IRR
5.5 yrs Straight-line payback
$ 2,618,132 Net Present Value
18% Cash-on-cash return, Yr-1
• Original conditions – 100% diesel electricity – $0.52 / kWh
• LCOE – $0.29 / kWh (prior to actual project costs and EEMs)
• HOMER optimizes PV, storage, genset (and wind turbines)
LCOE Analysis with HOMER
www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
Phase-2 Project
Step 1: Average daily energy consumption
• Fuel consumption
• Peak power correlation based on use profile
Microgrid Sizing & Cost
www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average
• Fuel consumption
• Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average
Microgrid Sizing & Cost
www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average
• Fuel consumption
• Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average
Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss.
• Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries.
Microgrid Sizing & Cost
www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average
• Fuel consumption
• Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average
Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss.
• Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries.
Step 3: PV power capacity required to produce daily energy.
Microgrid Sizing & Cost
www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average
• Fuel consumption
• Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average
Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss.
• Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries.
Step 3: PV power capacity required to produce daily energy. 230 to 250 kW
Microgrid Sizing & Cost
www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average
• Fuel consumption
• Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average
Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss.
• Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries.
Step 3: PV power capacity required to produce daily energy. 230 to 250 kW
Step 4: LCOE at 70% PV penetration (80% with losses)
Microgrid Sizing & Cost
www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average
• Fuel consumption
• Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average
Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss.
• Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries.
Step 3: PV power capacity required to produce daily energy. 230 to 250 kW
Step 4: LCOE at 70% PV penetration (80% with losses) 160 kW
Microgrid Sizing & Cost
www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average
• Fuel consumption
• Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average
Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss.
• Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries.
Step 3: PV power capacity required to produce daily energy. 230 to 250 kW
Step 4: LCOE at 70% PV penetration (80% with losses) 160 kW
Step 5: Size the storage plant at 3 times the power capacity.
Microgrid Sizing & Cost
www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average
• Fuel consumption
• Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average
Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss.
• Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries.
Step 3: PV power capacity required to produce daily energy. 230 to 250 kW
Step 4: LCOE at 70% PV penetration (80% with losses) 160 kW
Step 5: Size the storage plant at 3 times the power capacity. 400 kWh
Microgrid Sizing & Cost
www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average
• Fuel consumption
• Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average
Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss.
• Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries.
Step 3: PV power capacity required to produce daily energy. 230 to 250 kW
Step 4: LCOE at 70% PV penetration (80% with losses) 160 kW
Step 5: Size the storage plant at 3 times the power capacity. 400 kWh
Step 6: Estimate price, at $3,000 to $6,000 per kW.
Microgrid Sizing & Cost
www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average
• Fuel consumption
• Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average
Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss.
• Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries.
Step 3: PV power capacity required to produce daily energy. 230 to 250 kW
Step 4: LCOE at 70% PV penetration (80% with losses) 160 kW
Step 5: Size the storage plant at 3 times the power capacity. 400 kWh
Step 6: Estimate price, at $4,000 to $5,000 per PV-kW. $ 650k-800k
Microgrid Sizing & Cost
www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average
• Fuel consumption
• Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average
Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss.
• Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries.
Step 3: PV power capacity required to produce daily energy. 230 to 250 kW
Step 4: LCOE at 70% PV penetration (80% with losses) 160 kW
Step 5: Size the storage plant at 3 times the power capacity. 400 kWh
Step 6: Estimate price, at $4,000 to $5,000 per PV-kW. $ 650k-800k
Step 7: Financial analysis, then HOMER modeling phase
Microgrid Sizing & Cost
www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
No/low-cost measures.
• Turn out the lights.
• Schedule high-demand equipment during peak sun hours.
Short payback upgrades and retrofits.
• LED in areas lit more than 6-8 hours a day, or particularly difficult to replace lamps.
• Light switches / occupancy sensors in back of house areas that are low occupancy.
• Variable frequency drives for motors not requiring 100% power all the time.
Energy Efficiency vs Renewables
www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
EXAMPLES
• 100 x 100 W incandescent lamps on during the day is
25-30 kW of PV capacity and 75-100 kWh of battery,
costing around $100-$150k.
• Upgrade one 5 HP motor to premium efficiency is a $5-
$10k reduction in microgrid cost
Marc Lopata, PE
314.378.1913
Marc@Azimuth.Energy

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HOMER Energy Webinar. Modeling Energy Storage in Microgrids, November 2018

  • 1. November 14, 2018 Closing Customers. Reducing Risk, Phased Approach. HOMER Energy Marc Lopata, PE
  • 2. US and Caribbean markets, St Louis HQ Portfolio over 500 projects totaling over 120 MW 80+ battery storage plants, 10 microgrids in US and Caribbean LEED & Energy Star projects from 10,000 sf to 9,000,000 sq.ft. Solar Power World Magazine 2018 – #147 overall and #1 for off-grid / microgrids Only NABCEP-Certified Photovoltaic System Inspector in Caribbean Region ▪ St Louis Rams ▪ Hertz Car Rental (2) ▪ Prime Minister of Jamaica ▪ Fontainebleau Resorts ▪ Nestle Purina PetCare (2) ▪ Peter Island Resort & Spa, BVI ▪ Pageant Theatre (2) ▪ United Health Care / MetLife (2) ▪ Harrah’s Entertainment ▪ Sheraton Hotels ▪ Enterprise Rent-A-Car (4) ▪ US Army Corps of Engineers (4) ▪ Tropigas Panama ▪ Oil Nut Bay Resort, BVI ▪ Confidential client, NY ▪ St. Louis Cardinals (20+) ▪ US Bank (9) ▪ St Louis Science Center (3) ▪ Novus International (2) ▪ Washington University (20+) ▪ Missouri Botanical Garden (3) ▪ Drury Hotels (14) ▪ University of Missouri St Louis ▪ MasterCard International (4) ▪ Eastern Caribbean Central Bank ▪ McCormack Baron Salazar (3) ▪ Yanbu Royal Commission ▪ Missouri Univ of Science Tech ▪ Ameren Missouri ▪ Confidential, Bahamas (3) ▪ IKEA ▪ Schlafly Bottleworks ▪ Anheuser Busch / InBev (2) ▪ Jamaican Government House ▪ Cooper Island Beach Club (2) ▪ World Bank (3) ▪ Moonrise Hotel (4) ▪ Express Scripts (2) ▪ Webster University (5) ▪ Illinois Institute of Technology (4) ▪ Commerce Bank (5) ▪ City of Columbia Water & Light ▪ Prairie Power Coop Utility (2) ▪ Central Iowa Power Company (6) ▪ Confidential client, BVI (2)
  • 3. Caribbean Island Microgrid • Hotel and microbrewery • Truly “islanded” – was 100% diesel electricity • Diesel electricity is $0.40/kWh to $0.55/kWh • Now solar-storage-diesel hybrid • 92% to 95% solar penetration • Renewables and energy efficiency • Microgrid electricity $0.23/kWh • $1M higher property value (lower OpEx, higher NOI)
  • 4. • Increasing certainty. • De-risk the project. • Use HOMER for Basis of Design. • Uncertain load profile. • Uncertain design approach. • Uncertain construction costs. • Uncertain owner goals. Problem Solving with HOMER www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
  • 5. • Daily energy? Maybe maximum power. • Convert diesel fuel purchased to electricity produced: 80 gpd average ~ 1000 kWh • No energy efficiency measures. • Random advise from neighbors, manufacturers, crystal ball. • Skeptical. Meet the Island/Resort Owner www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy HourlyPower[kW] '- 11 22 33 44 Time of Day (24-hr) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 MIN 30 kW MAX 45 kW “RESORT” PROFILE, AREA UNDER THE CURVE ENERGY ~ 1,000 KWH
  • 6. • Reduce energy expense. • Improve reliability. • Improve survivability. • Reduce noise. Desired Project Outcomes • Improve air quality. • Improve financial resiliency. • Gain marketing advantage. • Attract investors. • Create local career jobs • Stop sending 20% of GDP to Venezuela www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy Investment Metrics, Unlevered 19% Internal Rate of Return, IRR 5.5 yrs Straight-line payback $ 2,618,132 Net Present Value 18% Cash-on-cash return, Yr-1
  • 7. • Original conditions – 100% diesel electricity – $0.52 / kWh • LCOE – $0.29 / kWh (prior to actual project costs and EEMs) • HOMER optimizes PV, storage, genset (and wind turbines) LCOE Analysis with HOMER www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
  • 8. www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy Phase-2 Project
  • 9. Step 1: Average daily energy consumption • Fuel consumption • Peak power correlation based on use profile Microgrid Sizing & Cost www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
  • 10. Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average • Fuel consumption • Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average Microgrid Sizing & Cost www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
  • 11. Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average • Fuel consumption • Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss. • Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries. Microgrid Sizing & Cost www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
  • 12. Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average • Fuel consumption • Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss. • Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries. Step 3: PV power capacity required to produce daily energy. Microgrid Sizing & Cost www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
  • 13. Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average • Fuel consumption • Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss. • Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries. Step 3: PV power capacity required to produce daily energy. 230 to 250 kW Microgrid Sizing & Cost www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
  • 14. Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average • Fuel consumption • Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss. • Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries. Step 3: PV power capacity required to produce daily energy. 230 to 250 kW Step 4: LCOE at 70% PV penetration (80% with losses) Microgrid Sizing & Cost www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
  • 15. Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average • Fuel consumption • Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss. • Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries. Step 3: PV power capacity required to produce daily energy. 230 to 250 kW Step 4: LCOE at 70% PV penetration (80% with losses) 160 kW Microgrid Sizing & Cost www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
  • 16. Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average • Fuel consumption • Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss. • Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries. Step 3: PV power capacity required to produce daily energy. 230 to 250 kW Step 4: LCOE at 70% PV penetration (80% with losses) 160 kW Step 5: Size the storage plant at 3 times the power capacity. Microgrid Sizing & Cost www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
  • 17. Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average • Fuel consumption • Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss. • Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries. Step 3: PV power capacity required to produce daily energy. 230 to 250 kW Step 4: LCOE at 70% PV penetration (80% with losses) 160 kW Step 5: Size the storage plant at 3 times the power capacity. 400 kWh Microgrid Sizing & Cost www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
  • 18. Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average • Fuel consumption • Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss. • Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries. Step 3: PV power capacity required to produce daily energy. 230 to 250 kW Step 4: LCOE at 70% PV penetration (80% with losses) 160 kW Step 5: Size the storage plant at 3 times the power capacity. 400 kWh Step 6: Estimate price, at $3,000 to $6,000 per kW. Microgrid Sizing & Cost www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
  • 19. Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average • Fuel consumption • Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss. • Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries. Step 3: PV power capacity required to produce daily energy. 230 to 250 kW Step 4: LCOE at 70% PV penetration (80% with losses) 160 kW Step 5: Size the storage plant at 3 times the power capacity. 400 kWh Step 6: Estimate price, at $4,000 to $5,000 per PV-kW. $ 650k-800k Microgrid Sizing & Cost www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
  • 20. Step 1: Average daily energy consumption 1,000 kWh average • Fuel consumption • Peak power correlation based on use profile 50 kW average Step 2: Add 10% r/t efficiency loss. • Typical is 15%, in/out of the batteries. Step 3: PV power capacity required to produce daily energy. 230 to 250 kW Step 4: LCOE at 70% PV penetration (80% with losses) 160 kW Step 5: Size the storage plant at 3 times the power capacity. 400 kWh Step 6: Estimate price, at $4,000 to $5,000 per PV-kW. $ 650k-800k Step 7: Financial analysis, then HOMER modeling phase Microgrid Sizing & Cost www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy
  • 21. No/low-cost measures. • Turn out the lights. • Schedule high-demand equipment during peak sun hours. Short payback upgrades and retrofits. • LED in areas lit more than 6-8 hours a day, or particularly difficult to replace lamps. • Light switches / occupancy sensors in back of house areas that are low occupancy. • Variable frequency drives for motors not requiring 100% power all the time. Energy Efficiency vs Renewables www.Azimuth.Energy NABCEP-Certified Solar Installer + Inspector www.SolarIsland.Energy EXAMPLES • 100 x 100 W incandescent lamps on during the day is 25-30 kW of PV capacity and 75-100 kWh of battery, costing around $100-$150k. • Upgrade one 5 HP motor to premium efficiency is a $5- $10k reduction in microgrid cost