This study examined whether HLA-G expression could predict disease progression in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis (ERA). The study found that ERA patients had significantly lower serum HLA-G levels compared to controls. However, disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD) therapy led to increased HLA-G expression and lower inflammatory cytokine levels over 12 months. Patients with initially lower HLA-G expression experienced a more severe disease course. The results suggest that DMARD therapy modifies HLA-G secretion and exerts its disease-modifying effects in ERA partly by suppressing the Th1 immune response.