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@nicolegelique
P.1
TRENDS
TREND
 A directed movement or behavior
 Implies change: positive or negative, good
or bad, stable or erratic
 It is unpredictable
FAD
 Highly interesting in a relatively short
period of time
 Comes and goes, short-lived
 It helps to predict a trend
Ex. Late 80’s and 90’s
FAD- Boom in the computer industry
TREND- Taking computer-related courses
such as computer information technology in
the tertiary education.
ELEMENTS & CHARACTERISTICS OF A TREND
1. Appeal
-degree of attraction
2. Result
-Impact
-Ability to produce sustainable
movement/change
3. Scope
-Extent of influence
4. Support
-Structure that enables a fad or a trend to
be sustainable.
5. Sustainability
-Length of time of continuous existence
 FAD
- Few weeks up to few months
-Relatively brief
 TRENDS
-Months & years
-Long period of time
6. Value
-utility or usefulness
 FAD
-Limited only to areas where it is
directly related
 TRENDS
-Different areas which may not be
related.
FAD & TRENDS
 Easy access
 Easy to get
 Makes people to look or feel better
EMERGENCE OF TREND
 Pattern Recognition
-Identifying patterns recognizing
emerging trends.
-encountering patterns adapting to the
world
-“No innate ideas” – Locke
TRENDSPOTTING
“The only thing that is constant is change”
-Heraclitus
 The Rise of Culinary Tourism
Food Tourism – revolves around the human
need to eat.
FAD TREND
-Hyped or advertised
(usually by media)
-Accepted by limited
group of people.
-Support is almost
inexistent and unclear
-Endures with or
without publicity
-Accepted by a wide
audience or a large
group of consumers.
-Supported by a
number of fads,
existing trends and
prevalent socio-
economic, political and
religio-cultural factors,
etc.
@nicolegelique
Provides authenticity, which is its biggest
draw to travelers (What factors made this
popular?)
P.3
 Also called cool hunting and trend analysis.
 Looking at the future through the lens of
the present moment.
 Being able to predict a trend is a valued skill
for the global citizen.
 Start with environmental scanning or
engaging in the process of gathering
information
 Demands of breadth of analysis.
TRENDSPOTTER
 Kara David “Gintong Putik”
 Do not content themselves with secondary
sources. They immerse themselves directly
with people, within places and in events.
 Early identification is a key to
trendspotting.
 There is a competitive advantage in
noticing new forces earlier than others.
TREND SIGNIFICANCE GUIDE QUESTIONS
1) Does this fit a pattern?
2) Is this suggestive of a pattern?
3) Is this a part of a bigger phenomena, a
growth or decline of significance that will
change the environment?
4) Does it offer threat and opportunities, and
will it change what is required of
organizations in order for it to be
successful?
TRENDSPOTTING
 It is a product of a through and careful
analysis of anybody who is sensitive to
what is happening in the society.
 Once identified, a trend is categorized,
interpreted and labelled based on their
contexts and perspectives.
 Some trends are relatively easy and nobody
would contend their interpretation.
OVERANALYSIS
 Japan
-observed to have an aging population.
 Philippines
-observed to have increasing population.
P.4
PROJECTION TRENDS
 Where is this trend heading?
 Trend projection assumes that the future
will be a logical extension of a past.
 The future can be conceived as the
convergence of different forces of change
 4 FACTORS
1. Drivers - vital part, starter of trend
2. Enablers- acts as catalyst of driver.. adds
fuel to fire
3. Blockers- occur when people
internionally stop or slow a trend
4. Friction- resistance to change, occur
naturally and inevitably because of norms
 CATALYST - a substance that increase rate of
chem reaction wihout itself undergoing to any
perm chemical change
 NORMS - something that is usual typical or
standard
- standard pattern esp, to soc.
Behavior that is typical or extended by a
group
 FORCE OF TRENDS
1. Technology - (DRIVER) the most
powerful force
@nicolegelique
- provides new capabilities to
proudcts and services
- allows us to do more/less
- not fool proof/ sometimes
fail to solve problems/ creates new
problems
2. Powerful Individuals / organizations
3. Ideas / ideologies - concepts that people
subscribe or believe in
 DEMOCRACY
- ideology of letting
masses to choose leaders.
- vox populi vox dei
 VEGITARIANISM
-practice of abstaining
from eating any form of meat
A. Lacto ovo - cheese milk
egg
B. Lacto - di pede cheese
pero pede sa dairy
C. Ovo - egg lang di dairy
D. Vegan - pure veg
4. SOCIAL and MORAL VALUES
- most - (FRICTION)
- basically the same but values (right
and wrong) social (focus on what is
accepted by many/ society)
- reason why change is slow. Applies
break on future
- last line of defense (agaiants a rush
of change)
- conflicts the values surface
whether we should block future or not
- often social values are
institutionalized in the form of regulation

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Trends and Trendspotting: Identifying Patterns and Predicting Future Changes

  • 1. @nicolegelique P.1 TRENDS TREND  A directed movement or behavior  Implies change: positive or negative, good or bad, stable or erratic  It is unpredictable FAD  Highly interesting in a relatively short period of time  Comes and goes, short-lived  It helps to predict a trend Ex. Late 80’s and 90’s FAD- Boom in the computer industry TREND- Taking computer-related courses such as computer information technology in the tertiary education. ELEMENTS & CHARACTERISTICS OF A TREND 1. Appeal -degree of attraction 2. Result -Impact -Ability to produce sustainable movement/change 3. Scope -Extent of influence 4. Support -Structure that enables a fad or a trend to be sustainable. 5. Sustainability -Length of time of continuous existence  FAD - Few weeks up to few months -Relatively brief  TRENDS -Months & years -Long period of time 6. Value -utility or usefulness  FAD -Limited only to areas where it is directly related  TRENDS -Different areas which may not be related. FAD & TRENDS  Easy access  Easy to get  Makes people to look or feel better EMERGENCE OF TREND  Pattern Recognition -Identifying patterns recognizing emerging trends. -encountering patterns adapting to the world -“No innate ideas” – Locke TRENDSPOTTING “The only thing that is constant is change” -Heraclitus  The Rise of Culinary Tourism Food Tourism – revolves around the human need to eat. FAD TREND -Hyped or advertised (usually by media) -Accepted by limited group of people. -Support is almost inexistent and unclear -Endures with or without publicity -Accepted by a wide audience or a large group of consumers. -Supported by a number of fads, existing trends and prevalent socio- economic, political and religio-cultural factors, etc.
  • 2. @nicolegelique Provides authenticity, which is its biggest draw to travelers (What factors made this popular?) P.3  Also called cool hunting and trend analysis.  Looking at the future through the lens of the present moment.  Being able to predict a trend is a valued skill for the global citizen.  Start with environmental scanning or engaging in the process of gathering information  Demands of breadth of analysis. TRENDSPOTTER  Kara David “Gintong Putik”  Do not content themselves with secondary sources. They immerse themselves directly with people, within places and in events.  Early identification is a key to trendspotting.  There is a competitive advantage in noticing new forces earlier than others. TREND SIGNIFICANCE GUIDE QUESTIONS 1) Does this fit a pattern? 2) Is this suggestive of a pattern? 3) Is this a part of a bigger phenomena, a growth or decline of significance that will change the environment? 4) Does it offer threat and opportunities, and will it change what is required of organizations in order for it to be successful? TRENDSPOTTING  It is a product of a through and careful analysis of anybody who is sensitive to what is happening in the society.  Once identified, a trend is categorized, interpreted and labelled based on their contexts and perspectives.  Some trends are relatively easy and nobody would contend their interpretation. OVERANALYSIS  Japan -observed to have an aging population.  Philippines -observed to have increasing population. P.4 PROJECTION TRENDS  Where is this trend heading?  Trend projection assumes that the future will be a logical extension of a past.  The future can be conceived as the convergence of different forces of change  4 FACTORS 1. Drivers - vital part, starter of trend 2. Enablers- acts as catalyst of driver.. adds fuel to fire 3. Blockers- occur when people internionally stop or slow a trend 4. Friction- resistance to change, occur naturally and inevitably because of norms  CATALYST - a substance that increase rate of chem reaction wihout itself undergoing to any perm chemical change  NORMS - something that is usual typical or standard - standard pattern esp, to soc. Behavior that is typical or extended by a group  FORCE OF TRENDS 1. Technology - (DRIVER) the most powerful force
  • 3. @nicolegelique - provides new capabilities to proudcts and services - allows us to do more/less - not fool proof/ sometimes fail to solve problems/ creates new problems 2. Powerful Individuals / organizations 3. Ideas / ideologies - concepts that people subscribe or believe in  DEMOCRACY - ideology of letting masses to choose leaders. - vox populi vox dei  VEGITARIANISM -practice of abstaining from eating any form of meat A. Lacto ovo - cheese milk egg B. Lacto - di pede cheese pero pede sa dairy C. Ovo - egg lang di dairy D. Vegan - pure veg 4. SOCIAL and MORAL VALUES - most - (FRICTION) - basically the same but values (right and wrong) social (focus on what is accepted by many/ society) - reason why change is slow. Applies break on future - last line of defense (agaiants a rush of change) - conflicts the values surface whether we should block future or not - often social values are institutionalized in the form of regulation