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@gleonhard

Gerd Leonhard
      Futurist, Author, CEO
               TheFuturesAgency




   The Future of Media:
Social. Local. Mobile. Cloud
The Futures Agency-
The future is already here!      what we do...
The future is already here!




  For


 as...
 such
clients
The future is already here!
                Download via Cloudftp
The future is already here!
Exponential Disruption... Speed
The future is already here!
             Disrupt...or Be Disrupted
The future is already here!




                               There is
                              no recipe
                               - but there are
                              some important
                                  learnings,
                               foresights and
                                  hunches:)
“Change the instruments, and you will change
The future is already here!
                               the entire social theory that goes with them”
                                                Bruno Latour 2009
The future is already here!




                              Social Media is Content. Not Marketing
My way or the highway...
The future is already here!
                              Can we enforce payment online?
The problem is not the ‘pay’ -
The future is already here!
                                             it’s the wall!



                              Source:
Ease of use + Choice + Price +
The future is already here!
                               Added Values + Brand = $£€
The future is already here!
                              Convergence will pose serious Challenges
                                  - and offer massive Opportunities
                                    Search « » Social
                                  Television « » Internet
                                   Computer « » Mobile
                                    Online « » Offline
                              Social Media « » Corp. Comms
                              Fragmentation « » Aggregation
                                      User « » Producer
Next 3-5 years: TeleMedia convergence
The future is already here!




Content                                             Devices
                                         Technology  / CE
                               Telecom
The future is already here!
The future is already here:
The future is already here!   Voice Control | Instant Translation | Gestures
The future is already here!
                Augmented Humans?
The future is already here!




Beyond Moore’s Law
The future is already here!
                              The Internet just made another 3 huge leaps

                                   Social Local Mobile
The future is already here!
Nirvana - and quite possibly a
The future is already here!     kind of Madness, as well
2017: 5 Billion people, 75% mobile Internet,
The future is already here!
                              50+ major platforms, a €250 Billion ad market
The future is already here!
                              By 2017, between 50% to 75% + of all media
                               consumption will be via mobile devices *
Mobile. Social. Cloud. FLF:)
The future is already here!
                                                    *Feels Like Free
The future is already here!
                  Curated Mobile Immersion
From ‘Stuff’ to Services
The future is already here!
                              From hard goods to soft goods
Media.them   !   Media.Us
The Social OS. Be networked or be... gone.
   The future is already here!
The Social OS: we have new powers.
The future is already here!
                              Now we need to learn new responsibilities
The new cult of Publicy...:)
The future is already here!




                              Aren’t humans a
                                 lot more
                               complex and
                              non-linear than
                              Algorithms?
Well, it is kind of a game:)
The future is already here!
                              It comes down to control and responsibility
The future is already here!




                               data oil




Many new, first-time-ever issues
Every screen is becoming some
The future is already here!   kind of ‘connected TV or Radio’
The future is already here!
                              Second Screens: Many ‘New Generatives’
Fragmentation
is becoming a massive challenge
Touch. Play. Connect. Share.
The future is already here!
                              Access not ownership *
The future is already here!
               Access *not ownership
The future is already here!
               Music is first *
The future is already here!
                   Total Unbundling of Media
The end of Distribution as the key
The future is already here!
                              success factor, metric - and gate-keeper
Challenge #1 for the consumer, access to content
The future is already here!
                         will be much cheaper than copies i.e. ownership




                                                       Source: Huffington Post
Selling digital ‘Content’:
      The future is already here!
70-90% ‘value’ reduction if compared to traditional, offline metrics
The future is already here!
                                                Piracy ycariP

                              CEO of MacMillan UK, April 2011, via PaidContent.org
Control consumption?
Make content unavailable?
    Enforce payment?
    Restrict sharing?
Create artificial scarcity?
Sue fans into submission?
The future is already here!
So very true:
The future is already here!
                              It all depends...!
The future is already here!
                              LinkedIn
                               Skype
                               Google
                              Amazon
                              Dropbox
                              Evernote
                                Flickr
                                  ...
Premium-Services
The future is already here!
                              Up-Selling Added Values

                              New Generatives
Build income streams around Content.
The future is already here!
                              Invent added values, pursue collaborative business models
The future is already here!
                Content
                Context
The future is already here!
                 Content
                 Commerce
The future is already here!
                  Content
                  Ads
The future is already here!




Paper
    News
    News
The New Generatives *Kevin Kelly
  The future is already here!           Packaging and Interfaces
                                    Curation, Filtering and Selection * Thanks to Kevin Kelly kk.org



                                      Social Context & Relevance
                                         Intelligent Aggregation
                                          Assisted Serendipity
                                  Timeliness and Personal Relevance
                                      Quality and Trust Guarantee
                                   Customization and Personalization
                                    Localization / Contextualization
                                     Cloud-to-Device Management
                                Advertising as Content (Branded Content)
                                                Gamification
                                            ... and many more
The future is already here!
                     Some New Generatives
There are many other ways to get paid
The future is already here!              (apart from cash)
The future is already here!
                                         We are already..
                              Paying with our Data
The future is already here!
               A Faustian deal?
The future is already here!
           and eat it?
         Having the cake
The future is already here!
                              Big Data will fund new ‘Big Content’
Image via WEF
The future is already here!
                              Digital Content   Digital Advertising
Going Direct is becoming very real
The future is already here!
But Apps will need to open-up, as well
The future is already here!
Is this the Net we really want?
The future is already here!
The future is already here!
                 Key points to remember
Key points to remember


      It’s a MOBILE world now
            SoLoMo + Cloud
       Disrupt or be disrupted
    Access not (just) ownership
  Content piracy is unmet demand
 Value is derived around the content
      Pursue new generatives
          Data is the new Oil
Feels Like Free / Freemium is crucial
The future is already here!   Thank
                              You!


                                      D E S I G N :
                              C   R   E   A   T   I   V   E

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MFW12: Gerd Leonhard

  • 1. @gleonhard Gerd Leonhard Futurist, Author, CEO TheFuturesAgency The Future of Media: Social. Local. Mobile. Cloud
  • 2. The Futures Agency- The future is already here! what we do...
  • 3. The future is already here! For as... such clients
  • 4. The future is already here! Download via Cloudftp
  • 5. The future is already here!
  • 7. The future is already here! Disrupt...or Be Disrupted
  • 8. The future is already here! There is no recipe - but there are some important learnings, foresights and hunches:)
  • 9. “Change the instruments, and you will change The future is already here! the entire social theory that goes with them” Bruno Latour 2009
  • 10. The future is already here! Social Media is Content. Not Marketing
  • 11. My way or the highway... The future is already here! Can we enforce payment online?
  • 12. The problem is not the ‘pay’ - The future is already here! it’s the wall! Source:
  • 13. Ease of use + Choice + Price + The future is already here! Added Values + Brand = $£€
  • 14. The future is already here! Convergence will pose serious Challenges - and offer massive Opportunities Search « » Social Television « » Internet Computer « » Mobile Online « » Offline Social Media « » Corp. Comms Fragmentation « » Aggregation User « » Producer
  • 15. Next 3-5 years: TeleMedia convergence
  • 16. The future is already here! Content Devices Technology / CE Telecom
  • 17. The future is already here!
  • 18. The future is already here: The future is already here! Voice Control | Instant Translation | Gestures
  • 19. The future is already here! Augmented Humans?
  • 20. The future is already here! Beyond Moore’s Law
  • 21. The future is already here! The Internet just made another 3 huge leaps Social Local Mobile
  • 22. The future is already here!
  • 23. Nirvana - and quite possibly a The future is already here! kind of Madness, as well
  • 24. 2017: 5 Billion people, 75% mobile Internet, The future is already here! 50+ major platforms, a €250 Billion ad market
  • 25. The future is already here! By 2017, between 50% to 75% + of all media consumption will be via mobile devices *
  • 26. Mobile. Social. Cloud. FLF:) The future is already here! *Feels Like Free
  • 27. The future is already here! Curated Mobile Immersion
  • 28. From ‘Stuff’ to Services The future is already here! From hard goods to soft goods
  • 29. Media.them ! Media.Us
  • 30. The Social OS. Be networked or be... gone. The future is already here!
  • 31. The Social OS: we have new powers. The future is already here! Now we need to learn new responsibilities
  • 32. The new cult of Publicy...:)
  • 33. The future is already here! Aren’t humans a lot more complex and non-linear than Algorithms?
  • 34. Well, it is kind of a game:)
  • 35. The future is already here! It comes down to control and responsibility
  • 36. The future is already here! data oil Many new, first-time-ever issues
  • 37. Every screen is becoming some The future is already here! kind of ‘connected TV or Radio’
  • 38. The future is already here! Second Screens: Many ‘New Generatives’
  • 39. Fragmentation is becoming a massive challenge
  • 40. Touch. Play. Connect. Share. The future is already here! Access not ownership *
  • 41. The future is already here! Access *not ownership
  • 42. The future is already here! Music is first *
  • 43. The future is already here! Total Unbundling of Media
  • 44. The end of Distribution as the key The future is already here! success factor, metric - and gate-keeper
  • 45. Challenge #1 for the consumer, access to content The future is already here! will be much cheaper than copies i.e. ownership Source: Huffington Post
  • 46. Selling digital ‘Content’: The future is already here! 70-90% ‘value’ reduction if compared to traditional, offline metrics
  • 47. The future is already here! Piracy ycariP CEO of MacMillan UK, April 2011, via PaidContent.org
  • 48. Control consumption? Make content unavailable? Enforce payment? Restrict sharing? Create artificial scarcity? Sue fans into submission?
  • 49. The future is already here!
  • 50. So very true: The future is already here! It all depends...!
  • 51. The future is already here! LinkedIn Skype Google Amazon Dropbox Evernote Flickr ...
  • 52. Premium-Services The future is already here! Up-Selling Added Values New Generatives
  • 53. Build income streams around Content. The future is already here! Invent added values, pursue collaborative business models
  • 54. The future is already here! Content Context
  • 55. The future is already here! Content Commerce
  • 56. The future is already here! Content Ads
  • 57. The future is already here! Paper News News
  • 58. The New Generatives *Kevin Kelly The future is already here! Packaging and Interfaces Curation, Filtering and Selection * Thanks to Kevin Kelly kk.org Social Context & Relevance Intelligent Aggregation Assisted Serendipity Timeliness and Personal Relevance Quality and Trust Guarantee Customization and Personalization Localization / Contextualization Cloud-to-Device Management Advertising as Content (Branded Content) Gamification ... and many more
  • 59. The future is already here! Some New Generatives
  • 60. There are many other ways to get paid The future is already here! (apart from cash)
  • 61. The future is already here! We are already.. Paying with our Data
  • 62. The future is already here! A Faustian deal?
  • 63. The future is already here! and eat it? Having the cake
  • 64. The future is already here! Big Data will fund new ‘Big Content’
  • 66.
  • 67. The future is already here! Digital Content Digital Advertising
  • 68. Going Direct is becoming very real The future is already here!
  • 69. But Apps will need to open-up, as well The future is already here!
  • 70. Is this the Net we really want? The future is already here!
  • 71. The future is already here! Key points to remember
  • 72. Key points to remember It’s a MOBILE world now SoLoMo + Cloud Disrupt or be disrupted Access not (just) ownership Content piracy is unmet demand Value is derived around the content Pursue new generatives Data is the new Oil Feels Like Free / Freemium is crucial
  • 73. The future is already here! Thank You! D E S I G N : C R E A T I V E