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Social Cash Transfers and Financial Inclusion:
Evidence from Four Countries




                                    March 21, 2012
Social Cash Transfers and Financial Inclusion:
Evidence from Four Countries


                           • Various unconditional transfers reaching 9 million recipients
  South Africa’s Social      (30% of population)
    Security Agency        • Various payments methods: prepaid smart cards and magstripe cards
                             linked to account



                           • CCT program started in 1997 reaching 6 million households
        Mexico’s             (20% of population)
     Oportunidades         • Bansefi has various payment mechanisms, including cash, magstripe
                             cards linked to accounts, smart cards




 Colombia’s Familias en    • CCT program reaching 2.4 million families (11% of population)
        Accion             • 1.8 million interest-bearing savings accounts opened by Banco Agrario




                           • CCT program reaching 12.9 million families (30% of population)
  Brazil’s Bolsa Familia   • 2 million recipients receive grants into simplified current account
                             accessible via magstripe card




                                                                                                     2
Updated Payments Categorization




                                  3
Changes over time towards electronic payments




                                                4
Sought to address key questions from previous Focus Note




 1. For government: Is building inclusive financial services into social
    transfer programs affordable for the social program?
        •    COST

 2. For recipients: Will poor recipients use financial services if these are
    offered to them?
        •    USAGE

 3. For providers: Can financial institutions offer financially inclusive
    services to G2P payment recipients on a profitable basis?
        •    BUSINESS CASE




                                                                            5
Government Costs

                                                BRAZIL                    COLOMBIA                       MEXICO                    SOUTH AFRICA

Average grant per recipient                       $71.0                        $55.1                       $118.2                         $144.7

Average cost per payment                          $0.84                        $6.24                        $2.52                          $3.50


As % of average grant                             1.2%                        11.3%                         2.1%                            2.4%


Cash payment                                       N/A                        $5.20a                        $2.35                            N/A

Limited purpose payment                           $0.88                        $6.24                         N/A                           $4.46

Mainstream financial account                      $0.60                         N/A                         $2.84                  $2.03 or $0.10b


Rate used in conversion:

1 USD= (15 August 2011)                        1.62 BRL                   1784.5 COP                    12.4 MXN                         7.2 ZAR


             a. Under previous contract; included for comparison only since current contract has no cash payment as defined.
             b. $0.10 is the fee paid by SASSA to make a bulk electronic transfer into client bank accounts via the Automated Clearing Bureau; the   6
             recipient then pays any costs associated with using the account directly.
Government Costs: per country

                 •MDS pays Caixa a fee that is 31% lower ($0.88 compared to $0.60) for a recipient with a
                  mainstream Caixa Facil account than for a limited-purpose Social Card
     Brazil      •MDS saves 5.8% of cost of payments by having 15% of banked recipients. If all payments
                  shifted to Caixa Facil, MDS would save 31.5%.




                 •SASSA also pays a fee that is 54% lower ($4.46 compared to $2.03) for a recipient with a
                  mainstream financial account
  South Africa   •Payments made into bank account of recipient’s choice, bulk electronic transfer costs 10c.
                 •If SASSA receives reports for reconciliation, benchmark is $2.03.



                 •Electronic payments are not cheaper than cash
                 •Fee paid to sole bidder Banco Agrario is $6.24 USD, a substantial increase from previous
                  cash payment fee of $5.20.
   Colombia      •High price reflected the short term nature of the initial contract and bank’s need to upgrade
                  its system, issue millions of debit cards, capture biometric information and build a new
                  merchant network.



                 •Payments into mainstream financial accounts are slightly more expensive than cash
                  payments ($2.84 compared to $2.35).
    Mexico       •Gov. set norms for distance recipients should have to travel to collect payments, resulting in
                  higher costs across thinly populated areas.
                 •In 2010, President directed all G2P disbursements to electronic means by end of 2012.


                                                                                                                  7
Government Costs: main takeaways


 •     Case of Brazil & South Africa:
     •    Evidence shows that move from cash to electronic payments can be
          less expensive for the programs
     •    Evidence shows that it may be cheaper to use mainstream financial
          accounts from the start, rather than get stuck in limited purpose,
          closed loop systems

 •    Case of Colombia & Mexico: Evidence shows that cost per payment
      increases if upfront development of new distribution network is included

 •    Case of Colombia: Limited purpose instruments should be implemented in
      a way that makes it possible to easily transition to mainstream financial
      accounts later



                                                                                 8
Recipient Usage



                  • Recipients welcome convenience of electronic
                    payments over cash.
  Evidence from
                  • Few recipients automatically use new bank
     research       account to save or for much else beyond
                    withdrawing benefits.



                  • It will take time for entrenched behavior
                    patterns to change; and it will require clear,
                    consistent communication.
  How to adjust   • Early expectations about rapid and automatic
                    take up of financial services, especially
   our thinking     savings, need to be recalibrated.
                  • Main benefit to recipients from inclusive
                    accounts may come from simply serving as a
                    gateway to formal financial sector.



                                                                     9
Business Case for Providers




                              10
Business Case for Providers: average balance needed


Illustrative Financial Model: informed from 4 country experiences

Revenue
Average balance                             $10-15           Fee income of $0.97
                                                             per month is needed
Interest recognized                         5%
                                                             for bank to break
Transaction fees                            Rare             even on account.

Fixed costs
Opening cost                                $10
Monthly maintenance                         $0.75
Dormancy rate                               20-40%

Variable costs
Transaction pattern                         1 withdrawal; 2 balance inquiries
Unitary cost of each transaction            $0.25-$3


                                                                                   11
Business Case for Providers: main takeaways


 • Business case depends on receiving a regular fee from government. If this fee
   is at an adequate level, the business case can be attractive.


 • Without fee, business case is challenging. Governments cannot assume that
   banks get sufficient revenue from interest on float or from cross-selling.


 • In time, a combination of increasing balances, more customer-initiated payment
   transactions and cross-selling may support a stronger business case.


 • An efficient widespread agent distribution network is key factor in reducing cost of
   opening accounts and servicing client transactions.




                                                                                  12
Overall Focus Note Conclusions

1.   Design payment arrangements to integrate with other payment channels - path most
     likely to reduce cost and improve efficiency.

2.   Even under-utilized accounts may be stepping stones to greater financial inclusion
     provided they are mainstreamed into country’s payment system.

3.   Early expectations about rapid and automatic take up of financial services,
     especially of savings, need to be recalibrated.

4.   Banks can sustain business case based on a regular government fee; where banks
     have to build new channels, it will be more viable if these channels can service the
     greater population.

      Don’t maroon recipients in high-cost “dead-end” solutions. Build on and support
      development of country’s general retail payment system. Social transfer program
      can function as a stepping stone in the move from cash to electronic and on to
      fully-inclusive formal financial services.


                                                                                          13
Advancing financial access for the world’s poor
                 www.cgap.org
           www.microfinancegateway.org

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G2P - Social Cash Transfers. Evidence from four countries 2012

  • 1. Social Cash Transfers and Financial Inclusion: Evidence from Four Countries March 21, 2012
  • 2. Social Cash Transfers and Financial Inclusion: Evidence from Four Countries • Various unconditional transfers reaching 9 million recipients South Africa’s Social (30% of population) Security Agency • Various payments methods: prepaid smart cards and magstripe cards linked to account • CCT program started in 1997 reaching 6 million households Mexico’s (20% of population) Oportunidades • Bansefi has various payment mechanisms, including cash, magstripe cards linked to accounts, smart cards Colombia’s Familias en • CCT program reaching 2.4 million families (11% of population) Accion • 1.8 million interest-bearing savings accounts opened by Banco Agrario • CCT program reaching 12.9 million families (30% of population) Brazil’s Bolsa Familia • 2 million recipients receive grants into simplified current account accessible via magstripe card 2
  • 4. Changes over time towards electronic payments 4
  • 5. Sought to address key questions from previous Focus Note 1. For government: Is building inclusive financial services into social transfer programs affordable for the social program? • COST 2. For recipients: Will poor recipients use financial services if these are offered to them? • USAGE 3. For providers: Can financial institutions offer financially inclusive services to G2P payment recipients on a profitable basis? • BUSINESS CASE 5
  • 6. Government Costs BRAZIL COLOMBIA MEXICO SOUTH AFRICA Average grant per recipient $71.0 $55.1 $118.2 $144.7 Average cost per payment $0.84 $6.24 $2.52 $3.50 As % of average grant 1.2% 11.3% 2.1% 2.4% Cash payment N/A $5.20a $2.35 N/A Limited purpose payment $0.88 $6.24 N/A $4.46 Mainstream financial account $0.60 N/A $2.84 $2.03 or $0.10b Rate used in conversion: 1 USD= (15 August 2011) 1.62 BRL 1784.5 COP 12.4 MXN 7.2 ZAR a. Under previous contract; included for comparison only since current contract has no cash payment as defined. b. $0.10 is the fee paid by SASSA to make a bulk electronic transfer into client bank accounts via the Automated Clearing Bureau; the 6 recipient then pays any costs associated with using the account directly.
  • 7. Government Costs: per country •MDS pays Caixa a fee that is 31% lower ($0.88 compared to $0.60) for a recipient with a mainstream Caixa Facil account than for a limited-purpose Social Card Brazil •MDS saves 5.8% of cost of payments by having 15% of banked recipients. If all payments shifted to Caixa Facil, MDS would save 31.5%. •SASSA also pays a fee that is 54% lower ($4.46 compared to $2.03) for a recipient with a mainstream financial account South Africa •Payments made into bank account of recipient’s choice, bulk electronic transfer costs 10c. •If SASSA receives reports for reconciliation, benchmark is $2.03. •Electronic payments are not cheaper than cash •Fee paid to sole bidder Banco Agrario is $6.24 USD, a substantial increase from previous cash payment fee of $5.20. Colombia •High price reflected the short term nature of the initial contract and bank’s need to upgrade its system, issue millions of debit cards, capture biometric information and build a new merchant network. •Payments into mainstream financial accounts are slightly more expensive than cash payments ($2.84 compared to $2.35). Mexico •Gov. set norms for distance recipients should have to travel to collect payments, resulting in higher costs across thinly populated areas. •In 2010, President directed all G2P disbursements to electronic means by end of 2012. 7
  • 8. Government Costs: main takeaways • Case of Brazil & South Africa: • Evidence shows that move from cash to electronic payments can be less expensive for the programs • Evidence shows that it may be cheaper to use mainstream financial accounts from the start, rather than get stuck in limited purpose, closed loop systems • Case of Colombia & Mexico: Evidence shows that cost per payment increases if upfront development of new distribution network is included • Case of Colombia: Limited purpose instruments should be implemented in a way that makes it possible to easily transition to mainstream financial accounts later 8
  • 9. Recipient Usage • Recipients welcome convenience of electronic payments over cash. Evidence from • Few recipients automatically use new bank research account to save or for much else beyond withdrawing benefits. • It will take time for entrenched behavior patterns to change; and it will require clear, consistent communication. How to adjust • Early expectations about rapid and automatic take up of financial services, especially our thinking savings, need to be recalibrated. • Main benefit to recipients from inclusive accounts may come from simply serving as a gateway to formal financial sector. 9
  • 10. Business Case for Providers 10
  • 11. Business Case for Providers: average balance needed Illustrative Financial Model: informed from 4 country experiences Revenue Average balance $10-15 Fee income of $0.97 per month is needed Interest recognized 5% for bank to break Transaction fees Rare even on account. Fixed costs Opening cost $10 Monthly maintenance $0.75 Dormancy rate 20-40% Variable costs Transaction pattern 1 withdrawal; 2 balance inquiries Unitary cost of each transaction $0.25-$3 11
  • 12. Business Case for Providers: main takeaways • Business case depends on receiving a regular fee from government. If this fee is at an adequate level, the business case can be attractive. • Without fee, business case is challenging. Governments cannot assume that banks get sufficient revenue from interest on float or from cross-selling. • In time, a combination of increasing balances, more customer-initiated payment transactions and cross-selling may support a stronger business case. • An efficient widespread agent distribution network is key factor in reducing cost of opening accounts and servicing client transactions. 12
  • 13. Overall Focus Note Conclusions 1. Design payment arrangements to integrate with other payment channels - path most likely to reduce cost and improve efficiency. 2. Even under-utilized accounts may be stepping stones to greater financial inclusion provided they are mainstreamed into country’s payment system. 3. Early expectations about rapid and automatic take up of financial services, especially of savings, need to be recalibrated. 4. Banks can sustain business case based on a regular government fee; where banks have to build new channels, it will be more viable if these channels can service the greater population. Don’t maroon recipients in high-cost “dead-end” solutions. Build on and support development of country’s general retail payment system. Social transfer program can function as a stepping stone in the move from cash to electronic and on to fully-inclusive formal financial services. 13
  • 14. Advancing financial access for the world’s poor www.cgap.org www.microfinancegateway.org