The document describes an FMD Impact Calculator that allows users to input epidemiological and economic parameters to model the impacts of a foot-and-mouth disease outbreak. The calculator uses specific epidemiological and economic models tailored to different regions and countries. It outputs graphics, tables, and parameters on animal population changes, intervention costs, and production impacts. Next steps include presenting the initial model, gathering feedback on its usefulness, and refining the calculator based on discussions with decision makers.

1. FMD Impact Calculator
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João Afonso, Nick Lyons, Theo Knight Jones, Will
Gilbert, Jonathan Rushton
jrushton@rvc.ac.uk
23rd April 2015

2. Specific Models to enhance evidence
User Input
Epidemiological
Model of FMD
Sector and economy
Models specific to
the regions and/or
countries
Qualitative Matrix on:
- Scale of outbreak
- Wide economy impacts
- Trade issues
- Political issues
User Decision Making
FMD Impact Calculator
Animal Population
Changes
Intervention Type and
Costs
Production Changes
Outputs
• Graphics – major
resources
• Tables – products
and labour
Parameters
• High level – easy
access
• Low level – default
values with ranges

3. Next steps
Presentation of the first version of the model in
the breakout session today
Discussions with people on the usefulness of the
approach
• Will Gilbert (wgilbert@rvc.ac.uk)
Follow up with decision makers by email and
telephone – by Will Gilbert
Refinement of the Calculator based on feedback
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