Evm+agile estimating

+
21.5 ‒ Estimating
1. Agile Process Framework
2. Features and Stories
3. Scaled Agile for Enterprise (SAFe)
4. Earned Value Management
5. Estimating for Agile Programs
6. Requirements
7. Systems Engineering
8. Root Cause Analysis
9. Agile Transformation
10. Risk Management
11. Agile Maturity Models
The primary purpose of software
estimation is not to predict a project’s
outcome; it is to determine whether a
project’s targets are realistic enough
to allow the project to be controlled to
meet them ‒ Steve McConnell
21. Resources
Performance–Based Project Management®, Copyright © Glen B. Alleman, 2002 ― 2016
922

+ Estimating
n “Believing is Seeing: Confirmation Bias Studies in Software Engineering,
“Magne Jørgensen and Efi Papatheocharous, 41st Euromicro Conference on
Software Engineering and Advanced Applications (SEAA)
n “Numerical anchors and their strong effects on software development effort
estimates,” Erik Løhrea, and Magne Jørgensen, Simula Research Laboratory,
Oslo.
n “Review on Traditional and Agile Cost Estimation Success Factor in Software
Development Project,” Zulkefli Mansor, Saadiah Yahya, Noor Habibah Hj Arshad,
International Journal on New Computer Architectures and Their Applications
(IJNCAA) 1(3): 942–952.
n “Release Planning & Buffered MoSCoW Rules,” Dr. Eduardo Miranda Institute for
Software Research ASSE 2013 - 14th Argentine Symposium on Software
Engineering / 42 JAIIO (Argentine Conference on Informatics) September 16th,
2013, Cordoba, Argentina
21. Resources
923

+ Estimating
n “Fixed price without fixed specification,” Magne Jørgensen Simula Research
Laboratory, https://www.simula.no/file/refsq-fixed-price-jorgensen-
march15pdf/download
n “The Use of Precision of Software Development Effort Estimates to Communicate
Uncertainty,” Magne Jørgensen, Software Quality Days.The Future of Systems-and
Software Development. Springer International Publishing, 2016.
n “The Influence of Selection Bias on Effort Overruns in Software Development
Projects,” Magne Jørgensen, Simula Research Laboratory & Institute of Informatics,
University of Oslo.
n “Software effort estimation terminology:The tower of Babel,” Stein Grimstad,
Magne Jørgensen, Kjetil Moløkken-Østvold, Information and Software Technology
48 (2006) 302–310.
n “Planning and Executing Time-Bound Projects,” Eduardo Miranda, IEEE
Computer, March 2002, pp. 73 ‒ 78.
21. Resources
924

+ Estimating
n “When 90% Confidence Intervals are 50% Certain: On the Credibility of
Credible Intervals,” Karl Halvor Teigen and Magne Jørgensen, Applied
Cognitive Psychology Applied Cognitive Psychology, 19: 455–475 (2005),
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/acp.1085/abstract
n “Software quality measurement,” Magne Jørgensen, Advances in Engineering
Software 30 (1999) 907–912,
ftp://163.13.201.222/Prof_Shyur/Software%20Project%20Management/99_2/Un
it_5%20software%20quality%20assurance/Reading/software%20quality%20me
asurement.pdf
n “Group Processes in Software Effort Estimation,” Kjetil Moløkken-østvold and
Magne Jørgensen, Empirical Software Engineering, 9, 315–334, 2004,
http://faculty.ksu.edu.sa/ghazy/Documents/Emp%20SWE%2004/Group%20Pr
ocesses%20in%20Software%20Effort%20Estimation.pdf
n “Story Point Estimating,” Richard Carlson, ALEA, http://www.a2zalea.com/wp–
content/uploads/2014/02/Story–Point–Estimating_20140213.pdf
21. Resources
925

+ Estimating
n Project Estimation in the Norwegian Software Industry – A Summary Kjetil
Moløkken, Magne Jørgensen, Sinan S.Tanilkan, Hans Gallis, Anette C. Lien, and
Siw E. Hove, Simula Research Laboratory,
http://developer.skolelinux.no/~knuty/simula_estimation_survey_2004.pdf
n “A Comparison of Software Project Overruns—Flexible versus Sequential
Development Models,” Kjetil Moløkken-Østvold, Member, IEEE, and Magne
Jørgensen,
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.458.5585&rep=rep1
&type=pdf
n “Software Estimation using a Combination of Techniques,” Klaus Nielsen, PM
Virtual Library, https://www.pmi.org/~/media/PDF/Knowledge-
Shelf/Nielsen_2013.ashx
n “Software effort estimation terminology:The tower of Babel,” Stein Grimstad,
Magne Jørgensen, Kjetil Moløkken-Østvold, Information and Software
Technology 48 (2006) 302–310, https://www.st.cs.uni-
saarland.de/edu/empirical-se/2006/PDFs/grismstad.pdf
21. Resources
926

+ Estimating
n “An Effort Prediction Interval Approach Based on the Empirical Distribution of
Previous Estimation Accuracy,” Magne Jørgensen and D. I. K. Sjøberg, Simula
Research Laboratory, Norway,
https://www.simula.no/file/se4joergensen2003bpdf/download
n “Better Sure than Safe? Overconfidence in Judgment Based Software
Development Effort Prediction Intervals,” Magne Jørgensen, Karl Halvor Teigen,
and Kjetil Moløkken-Østvold, Journal of Systems and Software, February 2004
https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Karl_Teigen/publication/222433989_Bett
er_sure_than_safe_Over-
confidence_in_judgement_based_software_development_effort_prediction_inte
rvals/links/09e4150bf98695d74d000000.pdf
n “The Impact of Irrelevant and Misleading Information on Software Development
Effort Estimates: A Randomized Controlled Field Experiment,” Magne Jørgensen
and Stein Grimstad, https://www.simula.no/file/simulase299pdf/download
21. Resources
927

+ Estimating
n “Experience With the Accuracy of Software Maintenance Task Effort Prediction
Models, Magne Jørgensen, IEEE Transactions On Software Engineering,Vol. 21,
No. 8, August 1995,
http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/stamp/stamp.jsp?tp=&arnumber=403791
n “Conducting Realistic Experiments in Software Engineering,” Dag I. K. Sjøberg,
Bente Anda, Erik Arisholm,Tore Dybå, Magne Jørgensen, Amela Karahasanovic,
Espen F. Koren and Marek Vokác,
https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Bente_Anda/publication/3998285_Condu
cting_Realistic_Experiments_in_Software_Engineering/links/00b7d518406c335
133000000.pdf
n “Forecasting of software development work effort: Evidence on expert
judgement and formal models,” Magne Jørgensen, http://interaction-
room.de/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Improving-task-breakdown-
comprehensiveness-in-agile-projects-with-an-Interaction-Room.pdf
21. Resources
928

+ Estimating
n “A Systematic Review of Software Development Cost Estimation Studies,” Magne
Jørgensen and Martin Shepperd, IEEE Transactions On Software Engineering,
Vol. 33, No. 1, January 2007,
http://bura.brunel.ac.uk/bitstream/2438/1076/3/04027147.pdf
n “Towards a Fuzzy based Framework for Effort Estimation in Agile Software
Development,” Atef Tayh Raslan, Nagy Ramadan Darwish, and Hesham Ahmed
Hefny, (IJCSIS) International Journal of Computer Science and Information
Security,Vol. 13, No. 1, 2015,
n “Evaluation of Model Evaluation Criterion for Software Development Effort
Estimation,” S. K. Pillai, and M. K. Jeyakumar, International Journal of Electrical,
Computer, Energetic, Electronic and Communication Engineering Vol: 9, No: 1,
2015, http://waset.org/publications/10000667/evaluation-of-model-evaluation-
criterion-for-software-development-effort-estimation
21. Resources
929

+ Estimating
n “Software Effort Estimation with Ridge Regression and Evolutionary Attribute
Selection,” Efi Papatheocharous , Harris Papadopoulos and Andreas S. Andreou,
http://arxiv.org/pdf/1012.5754.pdf
n “The Business of Software Estimation Is Not Evil: Reconciling agile approaches
and project estimates,” Phillip G. Armour, Communications of the ACM, January
2014,Vol. 57, No. 1.
n “Analysis of Empirical Software Effort Estimation Models,” Saleem Basha and
Dhavachelvan P, (IJCSIS) International Journal of Computer Science and
Information Security,Vol. 7, No. 3, 2010, http://arxiv.org/pdf/1004.1239.pdf
n “Empirical Estimation of Hybrid Model: A Controlled Case Study,” Sadaf Un Nisa
and M. Rizwan Jameel Qureshi, I.J. Information Technology and Computer
Science, 2012, 8, 43–50, http://www.mecs–press.org/ijitcs/ijitcs–v4–n8/IJITCS–
V4–N8–5.pdf
21. Resources
930

+ Estimating
n “Identification of inaccurate effort estimates in agile software development,”
Florian Raith, Ingo Richter, Robert Lindermeier, and Gudrun Klinker, 2013 20th
Asia-Pacific Software Engineering Conference (APSEC),
http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/stamp/stamp.jsp?tp=&arnumber=6754353
n “Efficient Indicators to Evaluate the Status of Software Development Effort
Estimation inside the Organizations,” Elham Khatibi and Roliana Ibrahim,
International Journal of Managing Information Technology (IJMIT) Vol. 4, No. 3,
August 2012, http://arxiv.org/pdf/1209.2516.pdf
n “Modern Project Management: A New Forecasting Model to Ensure Project
Success,” Iman Attarzadeh and Ow Siew Hock, International Conference on
Future Computer and Communication, 2009,
http://www.computer.org/csdl/proceedings/icfcc/2009/3591/00/3591a426.pdf
21. Resources
931

+ Estimating
n “What We Do and Don’t Know about Software Development Effort Estimation,”
Magne Jørgensen, IEEE Software, March / April 2014,
https://www.computer.org/csdl/mags/so/2014/02/mso2014020037.pdf
n “A review of studies on expert estimation of software development effort,”
Magne Jørgensen,The Journal of Systems and Software 70 (2004) 37–60,
http://www.idi.ntnu.no/grupper/su/publ/ebse/RK15-reviewexpertestim-
jorgensen-jss04.pdf
n “How to Avoid Impact from Irrelevant and Misleading Information when
Estimating Software Development Effort,” Magne Jørgensen & Stein Grimstad
Simula Research Laboratory,
https://www.simula.no/file/simulase112pdf/download
n “Avoiding Irrelevant and Misleading Information When Estimating Development
Effort,” Bente Anda , Hege Dreiem , Dag I. K. Sjøberg1, and Magne Jørgensen,
21. Resources
932

+ Estimating
n “The ROI of Agile VS.Traditional Methods? An Analysis of XP,TDD, Pair
Programming, and Scrum (Using Real Options),” Dr. David Rico,
http://w.davidfrico.com/rico08b.pdf
n “Exploring the ‘Planning Fallacy’:Why People Underestimate Their Task
Completion Times.” Roger Buehler, Dale Griffin, and Michael Ross,
http://web.mit.edu/curhan/www/docs/Articles/biases/67_J_Personality_and_S
ocial_Psychology_366,_1994.pdf
n “Estimates, Uncertainty, and Risk,” Barbara Kitchenham and Stephen Linkman,
University of Keele, IEEE Software, May / June, 1997,
https://www.unf.edu/~ncoulter/cen6070/handouts/minorreport/Kitchenham-
risk.pdf
n “Software Project Scheduling under Uncertainties,” Intaver Institute Inc.,
http://www.intaver.com/Articles/Article_SoftwareProjectManagement.pdf
21. Resources
933

+ Estimating
n “Cost Estimating Issues for MAIS Programs Using an Agile Approach for SW
Development,” Richard Mabe, 22 September 2015,
http://www.acq.osd.mil/evm/resources/AgileSep2015/DOD%20AGILE%20DAY
%201%20-%20MAIS%20AND%20SW%20CE%20CHALLENGES.pdf
n “An Empirical Investigation on Effort Estimation in Agile Global Software
Development,” Ricardo Britto, Emilia Mendes, and Jurgen Borstler, 2015 IEEE
10th International Conference on Global Software Engineering,
https://www.computer.org/csdl/proceedings/icgse/2015/8409/00/8409a038.p
df
n “Planning, Estimating, and Monitoring Progress in Agile Systems Development
Environments,” Suzette S. Johnson, STC 2010, http://www.ieee-
stc.org/proceedings/2010/pdfs/SSJ2669.pdf
n “Improving Subjective Estimates Using Paired Comparisons,” Eduardo Miranda,
IEEE Software, January/February, 2001, http://mse.isri.cmu.edu/software–
engineering/documents/faculty–publications/miranda/pdf1.pdf
21. Resources
934

+ Estimating
n “Using Performance Indices to Evaluate the Estimate at Completion,” David
Christensen, Journal of Cost Analysis and Management, Spring 17–24.
n “Reliability Improvement of Major Defense Acquisition Program Cost
Estimates—Mapping DoDAF to COSMO,” Ricardo Valerdi, Matthew Dabkowski,
and Indrajeet Dixit, Systems Engineering,Volume 18, Issue 4, 2015
n “Fallacies and biases when adding effort estimates.” Magne Jørgensen,
https://www.simula.no/file/simulasimula2762pdf/download
Software Development. Springer.
n “Communication of software cost estimates,” Magne Jørgensen,
21. Resources
935

+ Estimating
n “Relative Estimation of Software Development Effort: It Matters With What and
How You Compare,” Magne Jørgensen, IEEE Software (2013): 74-79.
n “Reasons for Software Effort Estimation Error: Impact of Respondent Role,
Information Collection Approach, and Data Analysis Method Magne,” Jørgensen
and Kjetil Moløkken-Østvold, IEEE Transactions On Software Engineering,Vol. 30,
No. 12, December 2004.
n “Use Case Points: An estimation approach,” Gautam Banerjee,
http://www.bfpug.com.br/Artigos/UCP/Banerjee-
UCP_An_Estimation_Approach.pdf
n “Software Cost Estimation Methods: A Review,“ Vahid Khatibi and Dayang N. A.
Jawawi, Journal of Emerging Trends in Computing and Information Sciences,
Volume 2 No. 1.
21. Resources
936

+ Estimating
n “Estimating Development Time and Effort of Software Projects by using a Neuro-
Fuzzy Approach,”Venus Marza and Mohammad Teshnehlab, in Advanced
Technologies, INTECH Open, October 2009.
n “Function Points, Use Case Points, Story Points: Observations From a Case
Study,” Joe Schofield, Alan W. Armentrout, and Regina M.Trujillo, CrossTalk:The
Journal of Defense Software Engineering, May–June 2013.
n “Advanced Topics in Agile Estimating,” Mike Cohn, Mountain Goat Software
n “Schedule Assessment Guide: Best Practices for Schedule Assessment,” GAO-
16-89G.
n Agile Estimating and Planning, Mike Cohn, Prentice Hall, 2006
21. Resources
937

+ Estimating
n “A Model for Software Development Effort and Cost Estimation,” Krishnakumar
Pillai and V.S. Sukumaran Nair, IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering,Vol. 23,
No. 8, August 1997.
n “An Alternative to the Rayleigh Curve Model for Software Development Effort,”
F. N. Parr, IEEE Transactions On Software Engineering,Vol. SE–6, NO. 3, May1980.
n Fifty Quick Ideas to ImproveYour User Stories, Gojko Adzix and David Evans,
http://leanpub.com/50quickideas
n “The Use of Agile Surveillance Points: An Alternative to Milestone Reviews,”
Richard “Dick” Carlson, http://www.a2zalea.com/wp–
content/uploads/2014/02/Agile–Surveillance–Points_20140113.pdf
21. Resources
938

+ Estimating
n “An Effort Estimation Model for Agile Software Development,” Ziauddin, Shahid
Kamal Tipu, Shahrukh Zia, Advances in Computer Science and its Applications
(ACSA) 314 Vol. 2, No. 1, 2012.
n “Successful Solutions Through Agile Project Management,” ESI International
White Paper, 2010.
n “Towards a Fuzzy based Framework for Effort Estimation in Agile
Software Development,” Atef Tayh Raslan, Nagy Ramadan Darwish, and Hesham
Ahmed Hefny, (IJCSIS) International Journal of Computer Science and Information
Security,Vol. 13, No. 1, 2015.
n “Improving Subjective Estimations Using Paired Comparisons,” Eduardo
Miranda, IEEE Software Magazine,Vol. 18, No. 1, January 2001,
21. Resources
939

+ Estimating
n “Effort Estimation in Global Software Development: A Systematic Literature
Review,” Ricardo Britto,Vitor Freitas, Emilia Mendes, and Muhammad Usman,
IEEE 9th International Conference on Global Software Engineering, 2014.
n “An evaluation of the paired comparisons method for software sizing,” Eduardo
Miranda, Proceedings of the 2000 International Conference on Software
Engineering.
n “Protecting Software Development Projects Against Underestimation,” Eduardo
Miranda and Alain Abran, Project Management Journal,Volume 39, Issue 3, Pages
75-85, September, 2008.
n “Sizing User Stories Using Paired Comparisons,” Eduardo Miranda, Pierre
Bourque, and Alain Abran, Information and Software Technology, Volume 51,
Issue 9, September 2009, Pages 1327–1337.
21. Resources
940

+ Estimating
n “Effort Estimation in Agile Software Development using Story Points,” Evita
Coelho and Anirban Basu, International Journal of Applied Information Systems
(IJAIS),Volume 3, Number 7, August 2012.
n “A Model for Estimating Agile Project Schedule Acceleration,” Dan Ingold,
Barry Boehm, Supannika Koolmanojwong, and Jo Ann Lane, Center for Systems
and Software Engineering, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, 2013.
n “Cost Estimation in Agile Development Projects,” Siobhan Keaveney and Kieran
Conboy, International Conference on Information Systems Development
(ISD2011) Prato, Italy.
n “Analysis of Empirical Software Effort Estimation Models,” Saleem Basha and
Dhavachelvan P, (IJCSIS) International Journal of Computer Science and
Information Security,Vol. 7, No. 3, 2010.
21. Resources
941

+ Estimating
n “Replanning, Reprogramming, and Single Point Adjustments,”
July 2013, NAVY CEVM (Center for Earned Value Management).
n “Software Cost Estimating for Iterative / Incremental Development Programs –
Agile Cost Estimating,” NASA CAS, July 2014.
n “Distinguishing Two Dimensions of Uncertainty,” Craig Fox and Güllden
Ülkümen, Perspectives on Thinking, Judging, and Decision Making, Brun,W.,
Keren, G., Kirkeboen, G., & Montgomery, H. (Eds.). (2011). Oslo, Norway:
Universitetsforlaget.
21. Resources
942

+ Estimating
n “Fix Your Estimating Bad Habits,”Ted M.Young,
http://www.slideshare.net/tedyoung/fix-you-some-bad-estimation-habits
n “How to Estimate and Agile Project,” Saunders Learning Center,
http://www.slideshare.net/FloydSaunders/how-to-estimate-an-agile-project
n Software Cost Estimation Metrics Manual for Defense Systems, Bradford Clark and
Richard Madachy (editors), 2015.
n “Metrics for Agile Projects: Finding the Right Tools for the Job,” ESI
International, https://www.projectsmart.co.uk/white–papers/metrics–for–agile–
projects.pdf
n “The Sprint Planning Meeting, Richard “Dick” Carlson,
http://www.a2zalea.com/wp–
content/uploads/2014/02/SprintPlanningMeeting_20140118.pdf
21. Resources
943

+ Estimating
n “Software Development Estimation Biases:The Role of Interdependence,”
Magne Jørgensen and Stein Grimstad, IEEE Transactions on Software
Engineering,Vol. 38, No. 3, May/June 2012.
n “Managing Projects of Chaotic and Unpredictable Behavior,” Richard “Dick”
Carlson, http://www.a2zalea.com/wp–content/uploads/2014/02/Managing–
Projects–of–Chaotic–and–Unpredictable–Behavior_20140219.pdf
n ‘Practical Guidelines for Expert-Judgement-Based Software Effort Estimation,”
Magna Jørgensen, IEEE Software, May/June 2005.
n “How do you estimate on an Agile project?,”ThoughtWorks,
http://info.thoughtworks.com/rs/thoughtworks2/images/twebook-
perspectives-estimation_1.pdf
21. Resources
944

+ Estimating
n “On the problem of the software cost function,” J. J. Dolado, Information and
Software Technology 43 (2001) 61–72.
n Software Project Effort Estimation: Foundations and Best Practice Guidelines for
Success, 2014th Edition, Adam Trendowicz and Ross Jeffery, Springer.
n “Unit effects in project estimation: It matters whether you estimate in work-hours
or workdays,” Magne Jørgensen Journal of Systems and Software (2015).
n “Estimating Software Development Effort based on Use Cases – Experiences
from Industry,” Bente Anda , Hege Dreiem , Dag I. K. Sjøberg1, and Magne
Jørgensen, http://www.bfpug.com.br/Artigos/UCP/Anda-
Estimating_SW_Dev_Effort_Based_on_Use_Cases.pdf
21. Resources
945

+ Estimating
n “A Program Manager's Guide For Software Cost Estimating,” Andrew L. Dobbs,
Naval Postgraduate School, December 2002.
n “An Engineering Context For Software Engineering,” Richard D. Riehle,
September 2008, Naval Postgraduate School.
n “Application of Real Options theory to software engineering for strategic
decision making in software related capital investments,” Albert O. Olagbemiro,
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School, 2008.
21. Resources
946

+ Estimating
n “Application of selected software cost estimating models to a tactical
communications switching system: tentative analysis of model applicability to
an ongoing development program,”William B. Collins, Naval Postgraduate
School
n “An examination of project management and control requirements and
alternatives at FNOC,” Charlotte Ruth Gross, Naval Postgraduate School.
n “Software cost estimation through Bayesian inference of software size, In Kyoung
Park, Naval Postgraduate School.
n “Using the agile development methodology and applying best practice project
management processes,” Gary R. King, Naval Postgraduate School.
21. Resources
947

+ Estimating
n Practical Software Project Estimation:A Toolkit for Estimating Software
Development Effort & Duration, Peter Hill, International Software Benchmarking
Standards Group.
n Software Estimation Best Practices,Tools & Techniques:A Complete Guide for
Software Project Estimators, Murali K. Chemuturi.
n Software Project Cost and Schedule Estimating: Best Practices, William H.
Roetzheim, Prentice Hall.
n Estimating the Scope of Software Projects Using Statistics, Louis Newstrom, Louis
Newstrom Publisher, December 4, 2015.
21. Resources
948

+ Estimating
n “Estimate of the appropriate Sprint length in agile development by conducting
simulation,” Ryushi Shiohama, Hironori Washizaki, Shin Kuboaki, Kazunori
Sakamoto, and Yoshiaki Fukazawa, 2012 Agile Conference, 13-17 August 2012,
Dallas Texas
n “Advancement of decision making in Agile Projects by applying Logistic
Regression on Estimates,” Lakshminarayana Kompella, 2013 IEEE 8th
International Conference on Global Software EngineeringWorkshops.
n “Estimating in Actual Time,” Moses M. Hohman, IEEE Proceedings of the Agile
Development Conference (ADC’05), Denver, Colorado 24-29 July, 2005
n COST ESTIMATION IN AGILE DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS, Siobhan Keaveney and
Kieran Conboy,
https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/c8fb/8e11a1e2fdca59db0ab823e2ec6e354bf5ee.pd
f
21. Resources
949

+ Estimating
n “Combining Estimates with Planning Poker – An Empirical Study,” Kjetil Moløkken-
Østvold and Nils Christian Haugen, Proceedings of the 2007 Australian Software
Engineering Conference (ASWEC'07).
n “A Case Study Research on Software Cost Estimation Using Experts’ Estimates,
Wideband Delphi, and Planning Poker Technique,”Taghi Javdani Gandomani , Koh
Tieng Wei, and Abdulelah Khaled Binhamid, International Journal of Software
Engineering and Its Applications, Vol. 8, No. 11 (2014), pp. 173-182.
n “Algorithmic Based and Non-Algorithmic Based Approaches to Estimate the Software
Effort,”WanJiang Han ,TianBo Lu , XiaoYan Zhang , LiXin Jiang and Weijian Li,
International Journal of Multimedia and Ubiquitous Engineering, Vol. 10, No. 4 (2015),
pp. 141-154.
n “Reducing Estimation Uncertainty with Continuous Assessment:Tracking the 'Cone of
Uncertainty’” Pongtip Aroonvatanaporn, Chatchai Sinthop and Barry Boehm, Center
for Systems and Software Engineering University of Southern California Los Angeles,
CA 90089, ASE’10, September 20–24, 2010, Antwerp, Belgium, 2010.
21. Resources
950

+ Estimating
n “Integrated Approach of Software Project Size Estimation,” Brajesh Kumar Singh,
Akash Punhani, and A. K. Misra, International Journal of Software Engineering and Its
Applications Vol. 10, No. 2 (2016), pp. 45-64.
n “Investigating the Effect of Using Methodology on Development Effort in Software
Projects,”Vahid B. Khatibi, Dayang N. A. Jawawi, and Elham Khatibi, International
Journal of Software Engineering and Its Applications Vol. 6, No. 2, April, 2012.
n “Data-Driven Decision Making as a Tool to Improve Software Development
Productivity,” Mary Erin Brown,
http://scholarworks.waldenu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2074&context=dissert
ations
n “Applying Agile Practices to Space-Based Software Systems,” Arlene Minkiewicz,
Software Technology Conference, Long Beach, CA 31 March – 3 April, 2014
21. Resources
951

+ Estimating
n “A Proposed Framework for Software Effort Estimation Using the Combinational
Approach of Fuzzy Logic and Neural Networks,” Pawandeep Kaur and Rupinder
Singh, International Journal of Hybrid Information Technology Vol. 8, No. 10 (2015), pp.
73-80.
n “Software Estimating Rules of Thumb,” Capers Jones,
http://www.compaid.com/caiinternet/ezine/capers-rules.pdf
n “Why Are Estimates Always Wrong: Estimation Bias and Strategic Misestimation,”
Daniel D. Galorath, http://www.iceaaonline.com/ready/wp-
content/uploads/2015/06/RI03-Paper-Galorath-Estimates-Always-Wrong.pdf
n “Using planning poker for combining expert estimates in software projects,” K.
Moløkken-Østvold, N. C. Haugen, and H. C. Benestad, Journal of Systems and Software,
vol. 81, issue 12 (2008) pp. 2106–2117.
n “Effort Distribution to Estimate Cost in Small to Medium Software Development
Project with Use Case Points,” Putu Linda Primandari and Sholiq, The Third
Information Systems International Conference, 2015
21. Resources
952

+ Estimating
n “Estimation of IT-Projects Highlights of a Workshop,” Manfred Bundschuh, Metrics
News,Vol. 4, Nr. 2, December 1999, pp. 29 – 37,
https://www.itmpi.org/Portals/10/PDF/bundschuh-est.pdf
n “Curbing Optimism Bias and Strategic Misrepresentation in Planning: Reference
Class Forecasting in Practice,” Bent Flyvbjerg, European Planning Studies Vol. 16, No.
1, January 2008.
Software Development. Springer International Publishing, 2016.
n “Numerical anchors and their strong effects on software development effort
estimates,” Erik Løhrea, and Magne Jørgensen, Journal of Systems and Software (2015).
21. Resources
953

+ Estimating
n “Unit effects in project estimation: It matters whether you estimate in work-hours or
workdays,” Magne Jørgensen, Journal of Systems and Software (2015),
https://www.simula.no/file/time-unit-effect-woauthorinfpdf/download
n “Fallacies and biases when adding effort estimates,” Magne Jørgensen, Proceedings
at Euromicro/SEEA. : IEEE, 2014.
n “How Does Project Size Affect Cost Estimation Error? Statistical Artifacts and
Methodological Challenges,” International Journal of Project Management 30 (2012):
751-862, https://www.simula.no/file/simulasimula742pdf/download
n “Does the Use of Fibonacci Numbers in Planning Poker Affect Effort Estimates?”
Ritesh Tamrakar and Magne Jørgensen, 16th Int. Conference on Evaluation &
Assessment in Software Engineering. IET, 2012.
21. Resources
954

+ Estimating
n “Software Development Effort Estimation:Why it fails and how to improve it,” Magne
Jørgensen, Simula Research Laboratory & University of Oslo,
n Contrasting Ideal and Realistic Conditions As a Means to Improve Judgment-Based
Software Development Effort Estimation,” Magne Jørgensen, Information and Software
Technology 53 (2011): 1382-1390.
n Software Effort Estimation as Collaborative Planning Activity Kristin Børte,
n “Human judgment in planning and estimation of software projects,”
n “Guideline for Sizing Agile Projects with COSMIC,” Sylvie Trudel and Luigi Buglione,
http://cosmic-sizing.org/publications/guideline-for-sizing-agile-projects-with-
cosmic
21. Resources
955

+ Estimating
n “The COSMIC Functional Size Measurement Method,Version 3.0.1, Guideline for the
use of COSMIC FSM to manage Agile projects,VERSION 1.0,” September 2011,
http://cosmic-sizing.org/cosmic-method-v3-0-1-agile-projects-guideline-v1-0/
n “Using the COSMIC Method to Evaluate the Quality of the Documentation of Agile
User Stories,” Jean-Marc Desharnais, Buğra Kocatürk, and Alain Abran, http://cosmic-
sizing.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/mensura2011_submission_14.pdf
n “An Empirical Study of Using Planning Poker for User Story Estimation,” Nils C.
Haugen, Proceedings of AGILE 2006 Conference (AGILE’06).
n “A Framework for the Analysis of Software Cost Estimation Accuracy,” Stein Grimstad
and Magne Jørgensen, ISESE'06, September 21–22, 2006.
21. Resources
956

+ Estimating
n “Software Effort Estimation: Unstructured Group Discussion as a Method to Reduce
Individual Biases,” Kjetil Moløkken and Magne Jørgensen,
http://folk.uio.no/isu/INCO/Papers/ppig_molokken_2003.pdf
n “A Case Study on Agile Estimating and Planning using Scrum,”V. Mahnic, Electronics
And Electrical Engineering, 2011. No. 5(111).
n “Review on Traditional and Agile Cost Estimation Success Factor in Software
Development Project,” Zulkefli Mansor, Saadiah Yahya, Noor Habibah Hj Arshad,
International Journal on New Computer Architectures and Their Applications
(IJNCAA) 1(3): 942-952.
n “A Collective Study of PCA and Neural Network based on COCOMO for Software
Cost Estimation,” Rina M.Waghmode, L.V. Patil, and S.D Joshi, International Journal of
Computer Applications (0975 – 8887) Volume 74– No. 16, July 2013.
21. Resources
957

+ Estimating
n “Estimating Software Project Effort Using Analogies,” Martin Shepperd and Chris
Schofield, IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SOFTWARE ENGINEERING,VOL. 23, NO. 12,
NOVEMBER 1997.
n “Software Engineering Economics,” Barry W. Boehm,
https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/Software-Engineering-Economics-
Boehm/970fc1889f7097bbb5c0a13c965567070a0df6d2/pdf
n “Adapting, Correcting, and Perfecting Software Estimates: A Maintenance Metaphor,”
Tarek K. Abdel-Hamid, IEEE Computer, March 1993.
n Estimating software projects R. Agarwal, Manish Kumar t,Yogesh, S. Mallick, RM.
Bharadwaj, D. Anantwar, ACM Software Engineering Notes Vol 26 no 4 July 2001 Page
6.
21. Resources
958

+ Estimating
n “Managing Uncertainty in Agile Release Planning,” K. McDaid, D. Greer, F. Keenan, P.
Prior, P.Taylor, G. Coleman, Proceedings of the Eighteenth International Conference
on Software Engineering & Knowledge Engineering (SEKE'2006).
n “Research Challenges of Agile Estimation,” Rashmi Popli, Dr. Naresh Chauhan,
International Journal of IT & Knowledge Management,Volume 7 • Number 1 •
December 2013 pp. 108-111 (ISSN 0973-4414),
n “Allowing for Task Uncertainties and Dependencies in Agile Release Planning,” Kevin
Logue, Kevin McDaid, and Des Greer,
n “Agile Software Development in Large Organizations, ” Mikael Lindvall, Dirk Muthig,
Aldo Dagnino Christina Wallin, Michael Stupperich, David Kiefer, John May, adn
Tuomo Kähkönen, IEEE Computer, December 2004.
21. Resources
959

+ Estimating
n “The Relationship between Customer Collaboration and Software Project
Overruns,” Kjetil Moløkken-Østvold and Kristian Marius Furulund, IEEE Agile
Conference, 13-17 August, 2007.
n “Improving Estimations in Agile Projects: Issues and Avenues,” Luigi Buglione,
Alain Abran, Proceedings Software Measurement European Forum (SMEF) 2007.
n “Allowing for Task Uncertainties and Dependencies in Agile Release Planning,”
Kevin Logue, Kevin McDaid, and Des Geer, Proceedings Software Measurement
European Forum (SMEF) 2007.
n “Fundamental uncertainties in projects and the scope of project management,”
Roger Atkinson , Lynn Crawford, and Stephen Ward, International Journal of
Project Management 24 (2006) 687–698.
21. Resources
960

+ Estimating
n “Effort Estimation in Agile Software Development: A Systematic Literature
Review,” Muhammad Usman , Emilia Mendes , Francila Weidt , and Ricardo
Britto,
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/263330486_Effort_Estimation_in_Agi
le_Software_Development_A_Systematic_Literature_Review
n “Incremental effort prediction models in Agile Development using Radial Basis
Functions ,” Raimund Moser,Witold Pedrycz , and Giancarlo Succi,
https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/5368/3c5bb34d486d0761d25c4267abd8efeba
7a1.pdf
n “Applying Combined Efforts of Resource Capability of Project Teams for
Planning and Managing Contingency Reserves for Software and Information
Engineering Projects,” Peter H. Chang, GSTF Journal on Computing (JoC) Vol. 2
No. 3, October 2012.
21. Resources
961

+ Estimating
n Estimating Software Intensive Systems: Project, Products, and Processes, Richard
Stutzke, Addison Wesley.
n Estimating Software Costs: Bringing Realism to Estimating, 2nd Edition, Capers
Jones, McGraw Hill
n Software Estimation: Demystifying the Black Art, Steve McConnell, Microsoft Press.
n Software Metrics:A Rigorous and Practical Approach, 3rd Edition, Norman Fenton
and Janes Bieman, CRC Press.
n Probability Methods for Cost Uncertainty Analysis:A Systems Engineering
Perspective, Paul R. Garvey, CRC Press.
n Forecasting and Simulating Software Development Projects: Effective Modeling of
Kanban & Scrum Projects using Monte-Carlo Simulation,Troy Magennis,
http://www.amazon.com/Forecasting-Simulating-Software-Development-
Projects/dp/1466454830
21. Resources
962

+ Estimating
n “Effort estimation for Agile Software Development Projects,” Andreas
Schmietendorf, Martin Kunz, Reiner Dumke, Proceedings 5th Software
Measurement European Forum, Milan 2008,
http://www.dpo.it/smef2008/papers/SMEF08_proc_204_schmietendorf.pdf
n “The QUELCE Method: Using Change Drivers To Estimate Program Costs,” Sarah
Sheard April 2016, Software Engineering Institute,
http://resources.sei.cmu.edu/asset_files/WhitePaper/2016_019_001_453977.pd
f
n “Software Cost and Schedule Estimating: A Process Improvement Initiative,”
Robert Park,Wolfhart Goethert, J.Todd Webb, Special Report CMU/SEI-94-SR-3
May 1994,
ttp://resources.sei.cmu.edu/asset_files/SpecialReport/1994_003_001_16256.pd
f
n “Organizational Considerations for the Estimating Process,” Bob Ferguson,
http://resources.sei.cmu.edu/asset_files/Presentation/2004_017_001_23778.pdf
21. Resources
963

+ Estimating
n “Checklists and Criteria for Evaluating the Cost and Schedule Estimating
Capabilities of Software Organizations,” Robert E. Park,
http://repository.cmu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1093&context=sei
n “A Manager's Checklist for Validating Software Cost and Schedule Estimates,”
Robert E. Park, Special Report CMU/SEI-95-SR-004 January 1995,
http://resources.sei.cmu.edu/asset_files/SpecialReport/1995_003_001_16358.p
df
n ACE Accurate Confident Estimating TSP Symposium November 4, 2014
Pittsburgh, PA,
http://resources.sei.cmu.edu/asset_files/presentation/2014_017_101_423644.p
df
n How to Lie with Statistics, Darrell Huff,W.W. Norton, 1954
21. Resources
964

+ Estimating
n “Avoid Software Project Horror Stories: Check the Reality Value of the Estimate
First!”, Harold van Herringen, ICEAA 2014,
http://documentcenter.meetingcaddie.mobi/Events//2ffb743d-7bc3-492c-
b756-cfb6eeea0110/Documents/ef7d120c-c386-471a-9f86-bac6bc7a80f7.pdf
n COSMIC: Guideline for Sizing Business Software,Version 3,
http://www.etsmtl.ca/Unites-de-recherche/GELOG/accueil
n “Factors Affecting Duration And Effort Estimation Errors In Software
Development Projects,” Ofer Morgenshtern,Tzvi Raz, and Dov Dvir,Working
Paper No 8/2005, Henry Crown Institute of Business Research, Israel.
http://recanati-bs.tau.ac.il/Eng/?CategoryID=444&ArticleID=747
n “An Empirical Validation of Software Cost Estimation Models,” Chris F. Kemerer,
Research Contributions, Management of Computing, Communications of the
ACM , May 1987,Volume 30, Number 5.
21. Resources
965

+ Estimating
n “Protecting Software Development Projects Against Underestimation,” Eduardo
Miranda, Alain Abran, École de technologie supérieure - Université du Québec,
http://mse.isri.cmu.edu/software-engineering/documents/faculty-
publications/miranda/mirandaprotectingprojectsagainstunderestimations.pdf
n “Improving Subjective Estimates Using Paired Comparisons,” Eduardo Miranda,
IEEE Software, January/February 2001.
n “Improving Estimations in Agile Projects: Issues and Avenues,” Luigi Buglione,
Alain Abran, Software Measurement European Forum – SMEF2007, Rome (Italy),
May 8-11, 2007.
n “Estimation of Software Development Effort from Requirements Based
Complexity,” Ashish Sharma , Dharmender Singh Kushwaha, 2nd International
Conference on Computer, Communication, Control and Information Technology
(C3IT 2012), February 25 - 26, 2012
21. Resources
966

+ Estimating
n “Estimating the Test Volume and Effort for Testing and Verification & Validation,”
Alain Abran, Juan Garbajosa, , Laila Cheikhi1, First Annual ESAWorkshop on
Spacecraft Data Systems and Software - SDSS 2005, ESTEC, Noordwijk, European
Space Agency, Netherlands, 17-20 October 2005.
n “A General Empirical Solution to the Macro Software Sizing and Estimating
Problem,” Lawrence H. Putnam, IEEE Transactions On Software Engineering,VOL.
SE-4, NO. 4, JULY 1978.
n “A Comparison of Software Cost, Duration, and Quality for Waterfall vs. Iterative
and Incremental Development: A Systematic Review,” Susan M. Mitchell and
Carolyn B. Seaman, Third International Symposium on Empirical Software
Engineering and Measurement, 2009.
21. Resources
967

+ Estimating
n “A Review of Surveys on Software Effort Estimation,” Kjetil Molkken and
Magne Jorgensen, Proceeding of International Symposium on Empirical
Software Engineering, ISESE '03.
n “Accurate Estimates Without Local Data?”Tim Menzies, Steve Williams,
Oussama Elrawas, Daniel Baker, Barry Boehm, Jairus Hihn, Karen Lum, and
Ray Madachy, Software Process Improvement And Practice, (2009).
n “An Assessment and Comparison of Common Software Cost Estimation
Modeling Techniques,” Lionel C. Briand, Khaled El Emam, Dagmar
Surmann, Isabella Wieczorek, and Katrina D. Maxwell, Proceedings of the
21st international conference on Software engineering, Pg. 313-322
21. Resources
968

+ Estimating
n “An Efficient Approach for Agile Web Based Project Estimation: AgileMOW,”
Ratnesh Litoriya and Abhay Kothari, Journal of Software Engineering and
Applications, 2013, 6, 297-303.
n “Corad Agile Method for Agile Software Cost Estimation,” Govind Singh Rajput
and Ratnesh Litoriya, http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/oalib.1100579
n “Anchoring and Adjustment in Software Estimation,” Jorge Aranda and Steve
Easterbrook, ESEC-FSE’05, September 5–9, 2005.
n “A Baseline Model for Software Effort Estimation,” Peter A.Whigham, Caitlin A.
Owen, and Stephen G. MacDonell, ACM Transaction on Software Engineering
Methodology, 24, 3, Article 20 (May 2015).
21. Resources
969

+ Estimating
n “Core Estimating Concepts,”William Roetzheim, CrossTalk:The Journal of
Defense Software Engineering—January/February 2013.
n “A Practical Approach to Size Estimation of Embedded Software Components,”
Kenneth Lind and Rogardt Heldal, IEEE Transactions On Software Engineering,
Vol. 38, No. 5, September/October 2012.
n “A Probabilistic Model for Predicting Software Development Effort,” Parag C.
Pendharkar, Girish H. Subramanian, and James A. Rodger, IEEE Transactions On
Software Engineering,Vol. 31, No. 7, July 2005.
21. Resources
970

+ Estimating
n “The Inaccurate Conception: Some thoughts on the accuracy of estimates,”
Phillip G. Armour, Communications Of The ACM, March 2008/Vol. 51, No. 3
n “Understanding Software Project Estimates,” Katherine Baxter, Cross Talk The
Journal of Defense Software Engineering, March/April 2009,
n “Validation Methods for Calibrating Software Effort Models,”Tim Menzies, Dan
Port, Zhihao Chen, and Jairus Hihn, May 15–21, 2005,
http://menzies.us/pdf/04coconut.pdf
n “Requirements Instability in Cost Estimation,” Abiha Batool, Sabika Batool, and
Mohammad Ayub Latif,
https://www.academia.edu/4493828/Requirements_Instability_in_Cost_Estimati
on
21. Resources
971

+ Estimating
n “Creating Requirements-Based Estimates Before Requirements Are Complete,”
Carol A. Dekkers, Cross Talk The Journal of Defense Software Engineering, April
2005.
n “Rational Cost Estimation of Dedicated Software Systems,” Beata Czarnacka-
Chrobot, Journal of Software Engineering and Applications, 2012, 5, 262-269.
n “Summarization of Software Cost Estimation,” Xiaotie Qina and Miao Fang,
Advances in Control Engineering and Information Science, 2011
n “Software Project Development Cost Estimation,” Barbara Kitchenham,The
Journal of Systems and Software 3, 267-278 (1985).
n “Cost Estimation in Agile Software Development Projects,” Michael Lang, Kieran
Conboy and Siobhán Keaveney, International Conference on Information Systems
Development (ISD2011) Prato, Italy.
21. Resources
972

+ Estimating
n “Project Estimating and Scheduling,”Terry Boult, University of Colorado,
Colorado Springs, CS 330 Software Engineering.
n “Practical Guidelines for Expert-Judgment-Based Software Effort Estimation,”
Magne Jørgensen, IEEE Software, May/June 2005.
n “Predicting Software Projects Cost Estimation Based on Mining Historical Data,”
Hassan Najadat, Izzat Alsmadi, and Yazan Shboul, ISRN Software Engineering,
Volume 2012, Article ID 823437.
n “Models for Improving Software System Size Estimates during Development,”
William W. Agresti,William M. Evanco,William M.Thomas, Journal of Software
Engineering & Applications, 2010, 3: 1-10.
973
21. Resources

+ Estimating
n “A Method for Improving Developers’ Software Size Estimates,” Lawrence H.
Putnam, Douglas T. Putnam, and Donald M. Beckett, Cross Talk The Journal of
Defense Software Engineering, April 2005.
n “PERT, CPM, and Agile Project Management,” Robert C. Martin 5 October 2003,
http://www.codejournal.com/public/cj/previews/PERTCPMAGILE.pdf
n “Reliability and accuracy of the estimation process Wideband Delphi vs.
Wisdom of Crowds,” Marek Grzegorz Stochel, 35th IEEE Annual Computer
Software and Applications Conference, 2011
n “Predicting development effort from user stories,” P. Abrahamsson, I. Fronza, R.
Moser, J.Vlasenko, and W. Pedrycz, International Symposium on Empirical
Software Engineering and Measurement, 2011
974
21. Resources

+ Estimating
n “Effort prediction in iterative software development processes - incremental
versus global prediction models,” Pekka Abrahamsson, Raimund Moser,Witold
Pedrycz, Alberto Sillitti, Giancarlo Succi, First International Symposium on
Empirical Software Engineering and Measurement, 2007.
n “Planning Poker or How to avoid analysis paralysis while release planning,”
James Grenning, https://wingman-sw.com/papers/PlanningPoker-v1.1.pdf
n “Agile Estimation using CAEA: A Comparative Study of Agile Projects,” Shilpa
Bhalerao , Maya Ingle, 2009 International Conference on Computer Engineering
and Applications IPCSIT,Vol.2 (2011).
975
21. Resources

+ Estimating
n “An Empirical Approach for Estimation of the Software Development Effort,”
Amit Kumar Jakhar and Kumar Rajnish, International Journal of Multimedia and
Ubiquitous Engineering, Vol. 10, No. 2 (2015), pp. 97-110.
n “Forecasting of Software Development Work Effort: Evidence on Expert
Judgment and Formal Models,” Magne Jørgensen, International Journal of
Forecasting, 2007
n Software Project Effort Estimation Foundations and Best Practice Guidelines for
Success, Adam Trendowicz and Ross Jeffery, Springer 2014.
n “Agile Release Planning: Dealing with Uncertainty in Development Time and
Business Value,” Kevin Logue and Kevin McDaid, 15th Annual IEEE International
Conference andWorkshop on the Engineering of Computer Based Systems, March
31 – April 4, 2008.
21. Resources
976

+ Estimating
n “Why Are Estimates Always Wrong: Estimation Bias and Strategic
Misestimation,” Daniel D. Galorath, AIAA SPACE 2015 Conference and Exposition
Pasadena, California, 2015.
n “Estimation of Project Size Using User Stories,” Murad Ali, Zubair A Shaikh ,
Eaman Ali, International Conference on Recent Advances in Computer Systems
(RACS 2015).
n “A Survey of Agile Software Estimation Methods,” Hala Hamad Osman and
Mohamed Elhafiz Musa, International Journal of Computer Science and
Telecommunications,Volume 7, Issue 3, March 2016.
n “Why Can’t People Estimate: Estimation Bias and Mitigation,” Dan Galorath, IEEE
Software Technology Conference, October 12-15, 2015
Hilton Hotel, Long Beach California
21. Resources
977

+ Estimating
n “Cost-Effective Supervised Learning Models for Software Effort Estimation in
Agile Environments,” Kayhan Moharreri, Alhad Vinayak Sapre, Jayashree
Ramanathan, and Rajiv Ramnath, 40th Annual IEEE Computer Software and
Applications Conference (COMPSAC), 2016
n “A Review of Surveys on Software Effort Estimation,” Kjetil Moløkken and Magne
Jørgensen, http://folk.uio.no/isu/INCO/Papers/Review_final8.pdf
n “Project Duration Forecasting Using Earned Value Method and Time Series,”
Khandare Manish A.,Vyas Gayatri S., International Journal of Engineering and
Innovative Technology (IJEIT) Volume 1, Issue 4, April 2012.
n “Integrating Risk Assessment and Actual Performance for Probabilistic Project
Cost Forecasting: A Second Moment Bayesian Model,” Byung-Cheol Kim, IEEE
Transactions On Engineering Management,Vol. 62, No. 2, May 2015.
21. Resources
978

+ Estimating
n “A study of project selection and feature weighting for analogy based software
cost estimation,”Y.F. Li , M. Xie, and T.N. Goh, The Journal of Systems and Software
82 (2009) 241–252.
n “Complementing Measurements and Real Options Concepts to Support
InterSprint Decision-Making in Agile Projects,” Zornitza Racheva , Maya Daneva
, Luigi Buglione, 34th Euromicro Conference Software Engineering and Advanced
Applications
n “Software Cost Estimation and Sizing Methods: Issues and Guidelines,” Shari
Lawrence Pfleeger, Felicia Wu, and Rosalind Lewis, RAND Corporation, Project
Air Force, 2005.
n “Anchoring and Adjustment in Software Estimation,” Jorge Aranda and Steve
Easterbrook, ESEC-FSE’05, September 5–9, 2005, Lisbon, Portugal.
21. Resources
979

+ Estimating
n “Cycle Time Analytics: Making Decision using lead Time and Cycle Time to
avoid needing estimates for every story,”Troy Magennis, LKCE 2013 ‒ Modern
Management Methods,
n “Probabilistic Forecasting Decision Making:When Do You Want it?” Larry
Maccherone, http://www.hanssamios.com/dokuwiki/_media/larry-
maccherone-probabilistic-decision-making.pdf
n “Software Project Planning for Robustness and Completion Time in the Presence
of Uncertainty using Multi Objective Search Based Software Engineering,”
Stefan Gueorguiev, Mark Harman, and Giuliano Antoniol, GECCO’09, July 8–12,
2009, Montréal Québec, Canada.
n “Empirical Validation of Neural Network Models for Agile Software Effort
Estimation based on Story Points,” Aditi Panda, Shashank Mouli Satapathy, and
Santanu Kumar Rath, 3rd International Conference on Recent Trends in Computing
2015 (ICRTC-2015).
21. Resources
980

+ Estimating
n “When 90% Confidence Intervals are 50% Certain: On the Credibility of
Credible Intervals,” Karl Halvor Teigen and Magne Jørgensen, Applied Cognitive
Psychology, 19: 455–475 (2005)
n “Scaling Agile Estimation Methods with a Parametric Cost Model,” Carl
Friedrich Kreß, Oliver Hummel, Mahmudul Huq, ICSEA 2014 :The Ninth
International Conference on Software Engineering Advances, 2014
n “Expert Estimation and Historical Data: An Empirical Study,” Gabriela Robiolo,
Silvana Santos, and Bibiana Rossi, ICSEA 2013 :The Eighth International
Conference on Software Engineering Advances
n “Agile Monitoring Using The Line Of Balance,” Eduardo Miranda, Institute for
Software Research – Carnegie-Mellon University and Pierre Bourque, École de
technologie supérieure – Université du Québec
n “Managerial Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty,” Ari Riabacke,
IAENG International Journal of Computer Science, 32:4, IJCS_32_4_12
21. Resources
981

+ Estimating
n “Simple Method Proposal for Cost Estimation from Work Breakdown
Structure,” Sérgio Sequeira and Eurico Lopes, Conference on ENTERprise
Information Systems / International Conference on Project Management/
Conference on Health and Social Care Information Systems and Technologies,
CENTERIS / ProjMAN / HCist 2015 October 7-9, 2015.
n “From Nobel Prize to Project Management: Getting Risks Right,” Bent
Flyvbjerg, Aalborg University, Denmark, Project Management Journal, vol.
37, no. 3, August 2006, pp. 5-15.
n “The Uncertainty Principle in Software Engineering,” Hadar Ziv and Debra
Richardson, ICSE 97, 9th International Conference on Software Engineering,
Boston MA, 17 ‒ 23 May, 1997
n “Analyzing Software Effort Estimation using k means Clustered Regression
Approach,” Geeta Nagpal, Moin Uddin, and Arvinder Kaur, ACM SIGSOFT
Software Engineering Notes, January 2013 Volume 38 Number 1.
21. Resources
982

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