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![Ranges available vs price
Car Range [km] Price [€]
Citroen C0 150 30,000
Bmw i3 190 (300 with range extender) 36,500
Mercedes B ED 230 41,000
Renault Zoe 240 22,000
Nissan Leaf 250 25,000
Tesla S 90 550 105,000
Range anxiety
Today, good range is available but means high price (Tesla)!](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/automotive2016-torino-170307080801/75/Electric-Car-Market-28-2048.jpg)
![Car Battery [kWh] Estimated Battery cost Car price %
Citroen C0 16 3200 30000 11%
Bmw i3 18 3600 36500 10%
Mercedes B ED 28 5600 41000 14%
Renault Zoe 22 4400 22000 20%
Nissan Leaf 24 4800 25000 19%
Tesla S 90 90 18000 105000 17%
Medium battery price: 200€/kWh
Batteries’ Potential](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/automotive2016-torino-170307080801/75/Electric-Car-Market-31-2048.jpg)
Uploaded byCannon S.p.A.
Electric Car Market
The document discusses the current state and future outlook of the electric car market, highlighting concerns such as range anxiety and the importance of improving battery technology and fast charging capabilities. It emphasizes that regulations and market demand drive the adoption of electric vehicles, with a notable focus on compliance and environmental efficiency. The report concludes that a significant market expansion is anticipated, particularly in China, as improvements in range affordability are realized.
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Electric Car Market
- 1. Electric Car Market MartinoLamacchia
- 2. Why Electric? Electric CarMarket Current Picture Forecasts Outlooks Range anxiety, a real problem? Range: how to improve it Batteries’ potential Fast charging: TSO perspective Electric car: an enabler for renewables Agenda
- 3. Why Electric? Electric CarMarket Current Picture Forecasts Outlooks Range anxiety, a real problem? Range: how to improve it Batteries’ potential Fast charging: TSO perspective Electric car: an enabler for renewables Agenda
- 4. Why Electric? OEM driven:regulations Market driven: – Efficiency – Green Reasons to invest in electric vehicles
- 5. Why Electric? OEM driven:regulations Market driven: – Efficiency – Green Reasons to invest in electric vehicles
- 6.
- 7. Electric They add azero into emissions calculation, means bringing average emissions down and avoiding fines. Why Electric? In regulation compliance perspective we can classify vehicles «BAD» Top performing cars – high emissions «GOOD» Small cars – small engines – low emissions
- 8.
- 9. Why Electric? OEM driven:regulations Market driven: – Efficiency – Green Reasons to invest in electric vehicles
- 10. “How much more wouldyou be willing to pay for an electric vehicle compared to a similar vehicle with a gasoline engine?” Source: International Council for Clean Transportation People are not ready to spend a fee for an electric vehicle Why Electric?
- 11. The need ofgreener ways of transport is not growing Source: National Geographic Why Electric?
- 12. Private owners mainmotivation for buying PHEV (California) Source: Center for Sustainable Energy, 2015 Why Electric?
- 13. Internal Combusition Engine vehicles’ efficiency has grown significantlyand fuel prices have gone down From 9,8 l/100km to 11,7 l/100km Source: EPA Why Electric?
- 14. Today Electric Vehiclesare being developed mainly to improve compliance to regulations! Why Electric?
- 15. Why Electric? Electric CarMarket Current Picture Forecasts Outlooks Range anxiety, a real problem? Range: how to improve it Batteries’ potential Fast charging: TSO perspective Electric car: an enabler for renewables Agenda
- 16. Source: McKinsey Primary Secondary EV Categories
- 17. 58,000,000.00 61,000,000.00 63,000,000.0065,000,000.00 66,000,000.00 50,000.00 125,760.00 212,986.00 315,519.00 540,228.00 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.00 10.00 100.00 1,000.00 10,000.00 100,000.00 1,000,000.00 10,000,000.00 100,000,000.00 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Passenger Cars sales Ev sales % EV Market Source: DOE EV Global Sales and Share
- 18. Total EV sales(2015): 540.228 Total car sales (2015): 66 mil EV share: 0,8% EV Market Source: EV Volumes.com Global EV sales by model
- 19. Country EV Sales2015 China 165153 Japan 93142 Usa 92010 Germany 75561 Others 73526 France 18671 South korea 8204 Sweden 6950 Italy 6204 Totale complessivo 539421 EV Type Sales 2015 BEV 277463 PHEV 171573 EV 73526 REEV 16859 Totale complessivo 539421 EV Market Global EV sales by country Global EV sales by category
- 20. Global EV salesof light-duty plug-in electric vehicles (2011-2015) EV Market Source: USA Department of Energy
- 21. EV Market: forecasts Source:Bloomberg New Energy Finance Marklines
- 22. EV Market: forecasts Source:Bloomberg New Energy Finance Marklines
- 23. The incertain futureof EV (2020) EV Market: forecasts Source: icct
- 24. Why Electric? Electric CarMarket Current Picture Forecasts Outlooks Range anxiety, a real problem? Range: how to improve it Batteries’ potential Fast charging: TSO perspective Electric car: an enabler for renewables Agenda
- 25. Typical questions aboutpetrol-engine cars How fast does it go? What’s the average consumption? How big is it? Doest it have a beautiful design? How’s the gearbox? Range anxiety
- 26. Range Anxyety Typical questions aboutpetrol-engine cars What is its range? ! ! Range anxiety
- 27. Is range areal problem? Range anxiety 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% <30 km <50 km <100 km <150 km <200 km <250 km Average daily mileage of M1 and N1 vehicles in Europe Source: RSE 98% of daily paths in Europe is lower than the average autonomy of the electric vehicles marketed in 2016 (27-30 kWh batteries)
- 28. Ranges available vsprice Car Range [km] Price [€] Citroen C0 150 30,000 Bmw i3 190 (300 with range extender) 36,500 Mercedes B ED 230 41,000 Renault Zoe 240 22,000 Nissan Leaf 250 25,000 Tesla S 90 550 105,000 Range anxiety Today, good range is available but means high price (Tesla)!
- 29. Why Electric? Electric CarMarket Current Picture Forecasts Outlooks Range anxiety, a real problem? Range: how to improve it Batteries’ potential Fast charging: TSO perspective Electric car: an enabler for renewables Agenda
- 30. Batteries’ Potential 2011 20122013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Mass market EV’s Premium EV’s 24 kWh ~ 400 km~ 250 km~ 180 km ~ 450 km ~ 140 km >80 kWh >70 kWh>40 kWh>30 kWh Evolution in batteries technology
- 31. Car Battery [kWh]Estimated Battery cost Car price % Citroen C0 16 3200 30000 11% Bmw i3 18 3600 36500 10% Mercedes B ED 28 5600 41000 14% Renault Zoe 22 4400 22000 20% Nissan Leaf 24 4800 25000 19% Tesla S 90 90 18000 105000 17% Medium battery price: 200€/kWh Batteries’ Potential
- 32. Batteries’ Potential Source: BloombergNew Energy Finance Marklines
- 33. Why Electric? Electric CarMarket Current Picture Forecasts Outlooks Range anxiety, a real problem? Range: how to improve it Batteries’ potential Fast charging: TSO perspective Electric car: an enabler for renewables Agenda
- 34. Fast charging implieshigh power Source: Terna Fast charging Tesla fast charging stations > 100 kW Renewables will transform electricity fares from energy driven to power driven High power is and will be expensive
- 35. Renewables make TSOlife challenging Standard deviation of the load will increase. How to dimension the electric transportation system? Accumulation Slow and intermediate charging
- 36. Electric vehicles willbe distributed with accumulators Electric vehicles are a source of loading balancing for TSO (Transmission System Operator) Electric vehicles are an enabling factor for renewable energies through smart grids Slow and intermediate charging
- 37. Source: McKinsey Slow andintermediate charging
- 38. Need of private financing Winfor TSO RENEWABLES Energy standard deviation increase Need to adsorb peaks EV slow charge: accumulating opportunity Energy variable cost Fares driven by power Expensive fast charging
- 39. • At todayconditions (high range costs) regulations are the reason to invest on electric vehicles • EV market in 2020 will be 7x today market • China is (and will be) main EV market • EV will boom when range will be more affordable • TSO see EV as an opportunity Conclusions Conclusions