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EducationEducation
andand
technology:technology:
stories ofstories of
the futurethe future
3er. Congreso
Internacional de
Innovació n
Educativa
https://www.flickr.com/photos/dweekly/64221580
Greetings from AmericaGreetings from America
Choices are before usChoices are before us
The US
context
is…
chaotic,
maybe
dire
How can we
grapple with
the future?
•Trends
•Futures
•Choices
 Monthly
environmental
scan report
 Trends
identified,
tested,
projected
TrendlinesTrendlines
Technology trendsTechnology trends
Rise of the stacks
Yet hardware +
networks = multiple
ecosystems
The post-
Snowden
world
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_Snowden
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kevin_Kelly_(editor)
 Screening
 Flowing
 Accessing
 Sharing
 Cognifying
 Filtering
 Remixing
 Interacting
 Screening
 Flowing
 Accessing
 Sharing
 Cognifying
 Filtering
 Remixing
 Interacting
Automation on the rise
Automation on the rise
http://www.cnet.com/news/and-heres-a-drone-with-a-chainsaw-attached/
Design for mobile *first *
New device ecosystemNew device ecosystem
VR
VR + AR = MR
New device ecosystemNew device ecosystem
 Android battles iOS
 Disintegrated computing:
 Wearables
 Very small cameras and
computers…
New device ecosystemNew device ecosystem
 Android battles iOS
 Disintegrated computing:
 Wearables
 Very small cameras and
computers
 Leading to…
Leading to…
https://www.reddit.com/r/IllBeYourGuide
https://www.flickr.com/photos/collegeofsanmateolibrary/15373589050/
Globalization of higher educationGlobalization of higher education
 International higher ed systems
building up
 More international students
heading to other nations
 US campuses expanding
overseas presence
Education trendsEducation trends
 Reform movements
 Alternative certification
pilots
 Alternative business
models and schools
DemographicsDemographics
 Youth population
shrinkage
 Expanding senior
population…
31
32
MEXICOMEXICO
Macroeconomic changesMacroeconomic changes
Labor transformations
•manufacturing->service
•1 job/career->many
gigs
•declining participation
•automation
Student populationStudent population
changeschanges
 Near-majority
adult
 Increasing first-
generation
students
 Veterans
 Learning
disabilities
12https://www.flickr.com/photos/un_photo/6708914025/
Adjunctification rising
Defunding public universitiesDefunding public universities
A new finance modelA new finance model
Teaching and learning and techTeaching and learning and tech
blended/
flipped /
hybrid
classroom
Teaching and learning and techTeaching and learning and tech
 distance learning
grows
 generational gaps
 gaming in education
Changes in the LMS world?
http://i0.wp.com/mfeldstein.com/wp-
content/uploads/2014/09/walledgarden5.jpg
 Uses of
social
media
 Uses of
Web video
 OER
 The rise of
the Maker
movement
MOOCs on the moveMOOCs on the move
 Credit for MOOCs?
 STEM vs humanities
 Sustainability?
 New forms
 Multinational
Technology-mediated research
Simulations
http://web.archive.org/web/20150418162758/http://www.futurict.eu
/
Computational *
• Computational genomics
• Computational life sciences
• Bioinformatics
• Computational molecular science
• New media practice and studies
• Predictive policing
• High frequency trading (finance)
Textual research
Law: e-discovery
http://criminalintent.org/
Textual research
Digital humanities
The new community of
scholars*
*Credit to Dan Cohen for this formulation
What happens to the library?
•Shift from collection development
to digital literacy consultation
•Open scholarship
•Transforms to research
entrepreneurship
National Science Library at the Chinese Academy of
Which of these
trends are the
most powerful?
Which of these
trends are the most
unpredicatble?
All of these
are in the present.
So what’s next?So what’s next?
Extrapolations:
 Transnational
campuses
 Average
student age: 40
 Hourly faculty
 Privatizing
public
universities
 Hogwarts vs
poor
campuses
What comes next?What comes next?
• Rich
multimedia
environment
• Some
gamification
• Student as
producer
Disintegrated
computing as
a service
Extensive data
analysis,
surveillance,
creativity
Campus of
networked
things
A higher education bubble?A higher education bubble?
A higher education bubble?A higher education bubble?
 Continued cost/quality
anxiety
 Student and parent anxieties
about debt
 Grad school crises
 Political pressure
The
Queen
sacrifice
gambit
Yet the college premiumYet the college premium
persistspersists
Will universities fight Trump?Will universities fight Trump?
Campuses
defending
immigrants
https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2
016/12/02/outlining-commitments-
undocumented-immigrant-students-some-
presidents-avoid-term
What do campuses
do during civil
unrest?
We’re so not sustainable
Political dysfunction
“ unrest
Failure of the elites
Resentment “ “ “
https://www.flickr.com/photos/suxsie_q/27261718274
/
We’re not sustainable
What happens when these combine?
• Environmental stresses trigger political
unrest
• Political unrest meets tottering leadership
• Distrust and friction escalate
• Repeat, reiterate: vicious cycle
Taking automation seriouslyTaking automation seriously
Curriculum and life:
is school for
unemployment or
working with AIs?
Post-AI educationPost-AI education
Curriculum and life:
what does it mean to be
human when machines
exceed us?
Post-AI educationPost-AI education
Pedagogy:
• Apps instead of classes
• Computer-assisted
creativity
• Cyborg teaching and
becoming
Post-AI educationPost-AI education
What if we take digital literacy seriously?What if we take digital literacy seriously?
It might be insurgent
https://www.flickr.com/photos/77688862@N02/20014884218/
The best digital literacy
storytelling
https://www.youtube.com/
watch?v=W6yVCgoBn-I
What comes next?What comes next?
Choices:
• Reinvest in public academics or
privatize further?
What comes next?What comes next?
Choices:
• Reinvest in public academics or
privatize further?
• Turn away the world or embrace
increasing globalism
What comes next?What comes next?
Choices:
• Reinvest in public academics or
privatize further?
• Turn away the world or embrace
increasing globalism
• Become open or erect walled gardens
What comes next?What comes next?
Choices:
• Embrace social media or retreat to
silos?
What comes next?What comes next?
Choices:
• Embrace social media or retreat to
silos
• Rebuild authorities or encourage
democratic digital literacy?
What comes next?What comes next?
Choices:
• Embrace social media or retreat to
silos?
• Rebuild authorities or encourage
democratic digital literacy?
• Prepare for automation now or be
caught by surprise?
What comes next?What comes next?
Collaborate with each
other, across
institutions, sectors,
nations, populations,
professions
What can we do now?What can we do now?
Use social media
Use social media
Use and be open
Rethink everything
in terms of
automation’s
possibilities
Imagine different worlds
and inhabiting them -
yourselves, your
institution, your children
and the generation to
come
http://bryanalexander.orghttp://bryanalexander.org
http://ftte.ushttp://ftte.us
http://twitter.com/bryanalexanderhttp://twitter.com/bryanalexander

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Future of education late 2016

Editor's Notes

  1. An honor to address an organization - a community - that has meant so much to me for more than a decade. NMC is a source of inspiration, learning, challenges, and many friendships.
  2. One way of describing this world of small, embedded, invisible, and environmental hardware is the IoT. This is already occurring through an enormous infrastructure build out: Expanding into the IPv6 internet protocol Developing new middleware, OSes Building out data ownership and control systems
  3. You. Help. Make. The. Future. It isn’t something just done to you, delivered like gifts from a cargo cult. You help make the future. Every decision you make contributes. When you craft a creative work, or teach in a certain way, or nudge a campus in one direction, or support a political candidate, or tell a story, or dream out loud, or influence younger folks, you help co-create what is coming next. Don’t be passive - it’s too late! You’re already making it happen. You are all - each of you - practicing futurists and world-makers. Do so with open eyes, and the flame of creative possibility roaring in your heart.