DEVELOPING A CORPORATE ACQUISITION STRATEGY Case studies, Concepts, and Debatable Ideas Kenny Ong CNI Holdings Berhad www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
M&A Trends  Rationale for M&As  Strategies, Structure, and Optimizing Value in M&As Considerations, Risks and Pitfalls www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
How to fail without trying The Roadmap to Failure by Fred Wiersema and Mike Treacy Before we start… www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
The Roadmap to Failure   Fred Wiersema and   Mike Treacy Performance Time www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com   Clear Sailing Today’s performance Ad-hoc Tactics Denial & Defense Doom Projections Overdue Failure The Moment of Truth X Performance Freefall Tomorrow’s actual performance Downpresure of Unclear Strategy
Denial and Defense “ It’s not really good value our competitor is offering, because it doesn’t include a lot of our features.” - ABC vs Air Asia “ It’s good value but not in our preferred customer market.” - ABC vs Toyota “ Sure they’re hurting us, but with their unfair advantage, what can we do?” – ABC vs MILO “ The rules we are playing by have always worked before” – AMEX vs VISA www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
The Roadmap to Failure   Fred Wiersema and   Mike Treacy Performance Time www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com   Clear Sailing Today’s performance Ad-hoc Tactics Denial & Defense Doom Projections Overdue Failure The Moment of Truth X Performance Freefall Tomorrow’s actual performance Downpresure of Unclear Strategy
Ad Hoc Tactics Selectively hold discounts to hold business that has started to go elsewhere Introduce new promotions, terms, conditions, and offers to confuse and cloud the market Beef up customer service by adding people to fix mess-ups and quicken delayed shipments Delay capital investments and adjust accounting methods to portray quarterly financial results more favorably Introduce “new and improved” products that are new in form, but not in substantive ways that are of consequence to purchasers Merge, Acquire, Joint Venture and Ally out of desperation or without proper considerations www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
The Roadmap to Failure   Fred Wiersema and   Mike Treacy Performance Time www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com   Clear Sailing Today’s performance Ad-hoc Tactics Denial & Defense Doom Projections Overdue Failure The Moment of Truth X Performance Freefall Tomorrow’s actual performance Downpresure of Unclear Strategy
“ What is the moral of the story?” www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
What is the Business Model? USP Market  Discipline Profit Model www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Intro: Market Discipline Mamak stall www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Intro: Market Discipline "Exactly what I need" Customized products Personalized communications "They're very responsive" Preferential service and flexibility Recommends what I need "I'm very loyal to them" Helps us to be a success "They are the most innovative" "Constantly renewing and creative" "Always on the leading edge" "A great deal!" Excellent/attractive price Minimal acquisition cost and hassle Lowest overall cost of ownership "A no-hassles firm" Convenience and speed Reliable product and service Product Leadership Operational Excellence Customer Intimacy www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Strategy: Disciplines, Priorities, and KPIs Operational Excellence (low cost producer) Ref:  The Discipline of Market Leaders , Michael Treacy & Fred Wiersema; 1995 Product Leadership (best product) Customer Intimacy (best total solution) www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
The McPlaybook* Make it easy to eat 50% drive-thru Meals held in one hand Make it easy to prepare High Turnover Tasks simple to learn & repeat Make it quick “ Fast Food” Tests new products for Cooking Times Make what customers want Prowls market for new products Monitored field tests *Adapted from: Businessweek , Februrary 5 th  2007 www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Product Leadership New, state of the art products or services Risk takers Meet volatile customer needs Fast concept-to- counter Never satisfied - obsolete own and competitors' products Learning organization Strategy: Disciplines, Priorities, and KPIs Operational Excellence Competitive price Error free, reliable Fast (on demand) Simple Responsive Consistent information for all Transactional 'Once and Done' Customer Intimacy Management by Fact Easy to do business with Have it your way (customization) Market segments of one Proactive, flexible Relationship and consultative selling Cross selling www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Strategy: Value Disciplines Operational Excellence (low cost producer) Ref:  The Discipline of Market Leaders , Michael Treacy & Fred Wiersema; 1995 Product Leadership (best product) Customer Intimacy (best total solution) www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Strategy: Value Disciplines Operational Excellence (low cost producer) Ref:  The Discipline of Market Leaders , Michael Treacy & Fred Wiersema; 1995 Product Leadership (best product) Customer Intimacy (best total solution) www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Sample KPIs for Each Discipline Operational Excellence Price Selection Convenience Zero Defects Growth Customer Intimacy Customer Knowledge Solutions Offered Penetration Customer Data Customer-success focus Product Leadership Marketing Functionality # of Successes # of Failures Learn from key users Interdisciplinary teams Pipeline www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
1. M&A Trends www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
M&A Trends Booming Demand Supply/Demand shift to remote, unstable locations Demand shift in Asia Middle East ‘cheap’ energy = diversification Natural resources depleting fast Massive capital required Supply security Scarcity of Talent Global labor market New, low cost players Niche companies in new technologies* Private Equity Restructuring undervalued Conglomerates www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
M&A Trends Alternative Industries – growth, fragmented* Low R&D, demand for new technologies Credit Crunch Foreign entities Political instabilities De-regularization, Unbundling Record profits, High Prices Antitrust Regulations Cross-border Regulations Traditional MNC consolidation Competition for Assets Rise of Sovereign Funds www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Biggest Trend “ Earnings Per Share growth expectations are way above what companies can achieve in most territories from organic growth alone” John McConomy, US Power and Utilities Transaction Services Leader, PricewaterhouseCoopers www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
2. Rationale for M&As www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Two Major Rationale for M&As: Cost Reduction Growth
Strategies for Growth “ Double-Digit Growth”, Michael Treacy www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com   Base Retention Share Gain Positioning Adjacent Market New Business GROWTH
Rationale for M&As: Growth Expansion Consolidate Geographic Distribution Compensate Transformative Portfolio refocus Diversification Easier Tougher www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Rationale for M&As: Expansion Expansion Consolidate Geographic Distribution Compensate Gain Scale to compete Integrated Solutions Financial Growth Supply (security, mix) Developing markets High cost of Extra Capacity Private Equity Expanding Sovereign Funds www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Rationale for M&As: Expansion Expansion Consolidate Geographic Distribution Compensate De-regularization Demand outstrip supply Revenue Mix – Tax optimization Talent New, Low-cost Entrants Undervalued Big Players Newer Assets www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Rationale for M&As: Transformative Transformative Portfolio refocus Diversification New Business Lines Selling/Spin-off non-core Increase product line New customers New technologies* Complementary Business Up-down Supply Chain Patent Convergence anticipation www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Rationale for M&As: Cross Sectors www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com   Traditional Alternative Incremental
Rationale for M&As: Cross Sectors New Delivery, New Sources, Existing Resources Oil, Gas, Electricity, Coal Biomass, Nuclear, Ethanol, Wind, Solar www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com   Example: Energy Sector Traditional Utility Alternative Energy Incremental Technology
Possible ‘Outside’ Acquirers or Investors Institutional Fund Managers Corporations Sovereign Funds VCs NGOs Non-Profit Org Financial (Loans) JV Partners M&A Social VCs Holding Co. Gov. VCs Supply Chain Gov. Partnership Competitors www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Why do ‘Outsiders’ Acquire or Invest? Return/Profit Risk Management/ Hedging Tax-benefits CSR/Image Diversify revenue Counter-cyclical balance Support ‘Mission’ Exclusive rights Contractual obligation National Agenda Control Supply Chain R&D portfolio Control Management Alternative Cash Flow M&A www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
3. Strategies, Structure, and Optimizing Value in M&As www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Strategies for Growth “ Double-Digit Growth”, Michael Treacy www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com   Base Retention Share Gain Positioning Adjacent Market New Business GROWTH
How Markets determine Growth Strategies (1) Growth Rate www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com   Base Retention Share Gain (Acquisitions) Market Positioning Share Gain Base Retention Strategy Lose customers slower than competitors Create scale economics, squeeze costs Maintain market share in strategic segments Prepare for market decline Competitors focus too much on getting new customers Why? Flat Fast Growth Rate
Churn Rate How Markets determine Growth Strategies (2) www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com   Base Retention Share Gain  Adjacent Market Share Gain (Acquisitions) Adjacent Markets Strategy Lose customers slower than competitors Customers are always open to the best value and offer Desperate to gain revenue Buying customer base is cheaper than own efforts New products, old customers strategy Why? High Low Churn Rate
How Markets determine Growth Strategies (3) Example: Energy Sector www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com   Market Positioning Share Gain (M&A) Base Retention Adjacent Markets (M&A) Fast Growth, Low Churn
Create better ‘Value’ proposition Neutralize competitor advantages Buy Market Share outright Price Premium Operating Model Integration Strategy 2: Share Gain www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Buying Market Share: Acquisition strategy No evidence of previous company One Kingdom Pre-integration Blueprint Slow Trigger, Fast Bullet www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com   Integration Operating Model Price Premium Buying  Market  Share Net Cost per Customer < Direct Acquire
Buying Market Share: Side notes on Funding www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com   *Adapted from Warren Buffet’s acquisition strategies Cash from Stock sale Issue more stock Cash from Earnings Cash from Borrowings OK, but not preferred Preferable
Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent Markets Adjacent Market = Important Similarities and Large Differences in: Cost Structure Competitors Customers Critical Capabilities www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent Markets www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com   Traditional Alternative Incremental
Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent Markets www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com   Example: Energy Sector Traditional Utility Alternative Energy Incremental Technology
Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent Markets Upstream Midstream Downstream Distribution Conversion Raw Mat Vendors/Services www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Is it a promising market? Best when market is new and not stable You must time your entry carefully Entrenched companies usually delay embracing new technology or process Can you win in this market? Must be built on advantages that are tangible, practical and easily implemented Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent Markets www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Can you match the Standards of Competition in this Market? You do have to meet the quality level that is  common in the market Three Standards:-  Technology ,  Relationships ,  Business-model You must have  80 percent  of the capabilities you need to match competitor’s Standards Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent Markets www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Make or Buy? It is easier to meet the standards of competition if you buy an existing player Adjacent acquisitions must remain as a  separate enterprise Integrate Management Control (systems, technology) Inter-transfer of management talent, knowledge and capability are important Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent Markets www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Strategy 5: Acquire new Business No core advantage to bring in Investors mind-set vs. Managers mind-set Value unlocking via operational improvements Invest in Management/Leadership Premium = Combined value > stand alone www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Linking BSC to M&A Strategy Revenue Growth Base Retention Share Gain Positioning Adjacent Market New Business Operational Excellence Product Leadership Customer Intimacy Competencies Information Systems Motivation, empowerment, alignment Financial Learning & Growth Internal Process Customers  Investment Strategy Productivity Market Value www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
4. Considerations, Risks and Pitfalls www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Types of M&A Deals vs. Considerations Overcapacity Product/ Market Consolidation Transformation/ Convergence Roll-up Acquire products/ market Strategic Growth Bet Size (Relative) Share Gain (Expansion) Adjacent (Transformative) New Business (Transformative) Small Large “ Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey
Types of M&A Deals vs. Considerations Overcapacity Size (Relative) Share Gain (Expansion) Adjacent (Transformative) New Business (Transformative) Small Large “ Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey Reduce industry capacity Control Pricing Similar Product Offerings Pay for Cost synergies
Types of M&A Deals vs. Considerations Roll-up Size (Relative) Share Gain (Expansion) Adjacent (Transformative) New Business (Transformative) Small Large “ Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey Transfer Core Strength to target Pay for lower operating cost of target Increase revenue thru broad strength
Types of M&A Deals vs. Considerations Product/ Market Consolidation Size (Relative) Share Gain (Expansion) Adjacent (Transformative) New Business (Transformative) Small Large “ Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey Economies of Scale Consolidate back office Expand Market presence Pay for Growth, Channels
Types of M&A Deals vs. Considerations Acquire products/ market Size (Relative) Share Gain (Expansion) Adjacent (Transformative) New Business (Transformative) Small Large “ Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey Expand market offering Expand Geographic reach Pay for Growth, Channels Revenue synergies
Types of M&A Deals vs. Considerations Transformation/ Convergence Size (Relative) Share Gain (Expansion) Adjacent (Transformative) New Business (Transformative) Small Large “ Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey Transform Industry Create new Value Proposition Pay for New Markets, New Capabilities
Types of M&A Deals vs. Considerations Strategic Growth Bet Size (Relative) Share Gain (Expansion) Adjacent (Transformative) New Business (Transformative) Small Large Adapted: “Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey Skill transfer into new business Pay for High Risk options, ability to act in new market space
Three-Stage Process for Evaluating M&A deals 1. Strategy Approval 2. Approval-to- Negotiate 3. Deal Approval Business Dev + Business Unit Worth of Target? Attractiveness of Target vs. Others Target compatible with Strategy? Support from Acquirer? Integration possibilities? “ Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey
Three-Stage Process for Evaluating M&A deals 1. Strategy Approval 2. Approval-to- Negotiate 3. Deal Approval Price range Initial Due Diligence Vision for incorporation Key Synergies Nonbinding Term Sheet/LOI Negotiation Roadmap Process to Close “ Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey
Three-Stage Process for Evaluating M&A deals 1. Strategy Approval 2. Approval-to- Negotiate 3. Deal Approval Answering Key Questions Debating Valuations Aiming for Integration Dealing with Execution Risks “ Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey
Considerations, Risks and Pitfalls Global footprint vs. Local Presence Anti-trust and Regulatory permissions M&A Accounting Standards ‘Fair Value’ definition in financial reporting = ‘Exit’ price Acquirer and Target having different Risk Tolerances Public (or Public-hopeful) companies need to consider EPS after acquisition www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Considerations, Risks and Pitfalls Synergies and Improvements need to realized as quickly and efficiently as possible Combined Management capability to deliver improved performance First 100 days post-acquisition blueprint Culture management Staff Poaching from Competitors (and non-competitors) Customer Poaching from Competitors  www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Consideration: Alternative Deals to M&A “ When companies are unwilling to sell or acquisition premiums are too high, alliances are the next best thing to a merger. In other cases, they are actually preferable to M&A” David Hernst, Principal, McKinsey’s Washington, DC www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Consideration: Alternative Deals to M&A Joint Venture Unite business units Problem with shared ownership New Product Lines Cost Reductions Share risk, Share Cost in new markets, R&D Buy-out clause Alliances Reduce non-core or commoditizing parts Outsourcing, Offshoring Help supplier gain Scale Enter Complementary business www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
End Note for M&A “ Go where the money is... then marry for love” F. Scott Fitzgerald, Author www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
Thank You. soft copy of slides:  www.totallyunrelatedrandomanddebatable.blogspot.com

Developing a Corporate Acquisition Strategy

  • 1.
    DEVELOPING A CORPORATEACQUISITION STRATEGY Case studies, Concepts, and Debatable Ideas Kenny Ong CNI Holdings Berhad www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 2.
    M&A Trends Rationale for M&As Strategies, Structure, and Optimizing Value in M&As Considerations, Risks and Pitfalls www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 3.
    How to failwithout trying The Roadmap to Failure by Fred Wiersema and Mike Treacy Before we start… www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 4.
    The Roadmap toFailure Fred Wiersema and Mike Treacy Performance Time www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com Clear Sailing Today’s performance Ad-hoc Tactics Denial & Defense Doom Projections Overdue Failure The Moment of Truth X Performance Freefall Tomorrow’s actual performance Downpresure of Unclear Strategy
  • 5.
    Denial and Defense“ It’s not really good value our competitor is offering, because it doesn’t include a lot of our features.” - ABC vs Air Asia “ It’s good value but not in our preferred customer market.” - ABC vs Toyota “ Sure they’re hurting us, but with their unfair advantage, what can we do?” – ABC vs MILO “ The rules we are playing by have always worked before” – AMEX vs VISA www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 6.
    The Roadmap toFailure Fred Wiersema and Mike Treacy Performance Time www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com Clear Sailing Today’s performance Ad-hoc Tactics Denial & Defense Doom Projections Overdue Failure The Moment of Truth X Performance Freefall Tomorrow’s actual performance Downpresure of Unclear Strategy
  • 7.
    Ad Hoc TacticsSelectively hold discounts to hold business that has started to go elsewhere Introduce new promotions, terms, conditions, and offers to confuse and cloud the market Beef up customer service by adding people to fix mess-ups and quicken delayed shipments Delay capital investments and adjust accounting methods to portray quarterly financial results more favorably Introduce “new and improved” products that are new in form, but not in substantive ways that are of consequence to purchasers Merge, Acquire, Joint Venture and Ally out of desperation or without proper considerations www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 8.
    The Roadmap toFailure Fred Wiersema and Mike Treacy Performance Time www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com Clear Sailing Today’s performance Ad-hoc Tactics Denial & Defense Doom Projections Overdue Failure The Moment of Truth X Performance Freefall Tomorrow’s actual performance Downpresure of Unclear Strategy
  • 9.
    “ What isthe moral of the story?” www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 10.
    What is theBusiness Model? USP Market Discipline Profit Model www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 11.
    Intro: Market DisciplineMamak stall www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 12.
    Intro: Market Discipline&quot;Exactly what I need&quot; Customized products Personalized communications &quot;They're very responsive&quot; Preferential service and flexibility Recommends what I need &quot;I'm very loyal to them&quot; Helps us to be a success &quot;They are the most innovative&quot; &quot;Constantly renewing and creative&quot; &quot;Always on the leading edge&quot; &quot;A great deal!&quot; Excellent/attractive price Minimal acquisition cost and hassle Lowest overall cost of ownership &quot;A no-hassles firm&quot; Convenience and speed Reliable product and service Product Leadership Operational Excellence Customer Intimacy www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 13.
    Strategy: Disciplines, Priorities,and KPIs Operational Excellence (low cost producer) Ref: The Discipline of Market Leaders , Michael Treacy & Fred Wiersema; 1995 Product Leadership (best product) Customer Intimacy (best total solution) www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 14.
    The McPlaybook* Makeit easy to eat 50% drive-thru Meals held in one hand Make it easy to prepare High Turnover Tasks simple to learn & repeat Make it quick “ Fast Food” Tests new products for Cooking Times Make what customers want Prowls market for new products Monitored field tests *Adapted from: Businessweek , Februrary 5 th 2007 www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 15.
    Product Leadership New,state of the art products or services Risk takers Meet volatile customer needs Fast concept-to- counter Never satisfied - obsolete own and competitors' products Learning organization Strategy: Disciplines, Priorities, and KPIs Operational Excellence Competitive price Error free, reliable Fast (on demand) Simple Responsive Consistent information for all Transactional 'Once and Done' Customer Intimacy Management by Fact Easy to do business with Have it your way (customization) Market segments of one Proactive, flexible Relationship and consultative selling Cross selling www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 16.
    Strategy: Value DisciplinesOperational Excellence (low cost producer) Ref: The Discipline of Market Leaders , Michael Treacy & Fred Wiersema; 1995 Product Leadership (best product) Customer Intimacy (best total solution) www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 17.
    Strategy: Value DisciplinesOperational Excellence (low cost producer) Ref: The Discipline of Market Leaders , Michael Treacy & Fred Wiersema; 1995 Product Leadership (best product) Customer Intimacy (best total solution) www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 18.
    Sample KPIs forEach Discipline Operational Excellence Price Selection Convenience Zero Defects Growth Customer Intimacy Customer Knowledge Solutions Offered Penetration Customer Data Customer-success focus Product Leadership Marketing Functionality # of Successes # of Failures Learn from key users Interdisciplinary teams Pipeline www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 19.
    1. M&A Trendswww.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 20.
    M&A Trends BoomingDemand Supply/Demand shift to remote, unstable locations Demand shift in Asia Middle East ‘cheap’ energy = diversification Natural resources depleting fast Massive capital required Supply security Scarcity of Talent Global labor market New, low cost players Niche companies in new technologies* Private Equity Restructuring undervalued Conglomerates www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 21.
    M&A Trends AlternativeIndustries – growth, fragmented* Low R&D, demand for new technologies Credit Crunch Foreign entities Political instabilities De-regularization, Unbundling Record profits, High Prices Antitrust Regulations Cross-border Regulations Traditional MNC consolidation Competition for Assets Rise of Sovereign Funds www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 22.
    Biggest Trend “Earnings Per Share growth expectations are way above what companies can achieve in most territories from organic growth alone” John McConomy, US Power and Utilities Transaction Services Leader, PricewaterhouseCoopers www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 23.
    2. Rationale forM&As www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 24.
    Two Major Rationalefor M&As: Cost Reduction Growth
  • 25.
    Strategies for Growth“ Double-Digit Growth”, Michael Treacy www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com Base Retention Share Gain Positioning Adjacent Market New Business GROWTH
  • 26.
    Rationale for M&As:Growth Expansion Consolidate Geographic Distribution Compensate Transformative Portfolio refocus Diversification Easier Tougher www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 27.
    Rationale for M&As:Expansion Expansion Consolidate Geographic Distribution Compensate Gain Scale to compete Integrated Solutions Financial Growth Supply (security, mix) Developing markets High cost of Extra Capacity Private Equity Expanding Sovereign Funds www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 28.
    Rationale for M&As:Expansion Expansion Consolidate Geographic Distribution Compensate De-regularization Demand outstrip supply Revenue Mix – Tax optimization Talent New, Low-cost Entrants Undervalued Big Players Newer Assets www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 29.
    Rationale for M&As:Transformative Transformative Portfolio refocus Diversification New Business Lines Selling/Spin-off non-core Increase product line New customers New technologies* Complementary Business Up-down Supply Chain Patent Convergence anticipation www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 30.
    Rationale for M&As:Cross Sectors www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com Traditional Alternative Incremental
  • 31.
    Rationale for M&As:Cross Sectors New Delivery, New Sources, Existing Resources Oil, Gas, Electricity, Coal Biomass, Nuclear, Ethanol, Wind, Solar www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com Example: Energy Sector Traditional Utility Alternative Energy Incremental Technology
  • 32.
    Possible ‘Outside’ Acquirersor Investors Institutional Fund Managers Corporations Sovereign Funds VCs NGOs Non-Profit Org Financial (Loans) JV Partners M&A Social VCs Holding Co. Gov. VCs Supply Chain Gov. Partnership Competitors www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 33.
    Why do ‘Outsiders’Acquire or Invest? Return/Profit Risk Management/ Hedging Tax-benefits CSR/Image Diversify revenue Counter-cyclical balance Support ‘Mission’ Exclusive rights Contractual obligation National Agenda Control Supply Chain R&D portfolio Control Management Alternative Cash Flow M&A www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 34.
    3. Strategies, Structure,and Optimizing Value in M&As www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 35.
    Strategies for Growth“ Double-Digit Growth”, Michael Treacy www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com Base Retention Share Gain Positioning Adjacent Market New Business GROWTH
  • 36.
    How Markets determineGrowth Strategies (1) Growth Rate www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com Base Retention Share Gain (Acquisitions) Market Positioning Share Gain Base Retention Strategy Lose customers slower than competitors Create scale economics, squeeze costs Maintain market share in strategic segments Prepare for market decline Competitors focus too much on getting new customers Why? Flat Fast Growth Rate
  • 37.
    Churn Rate HowMarkets determine Growth Strategies (2) www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com Base Retention Share Gain Adjacent Market Share Gain (Acquisitions) Adjacent Markets Strategy Lose customers slower than competitors Customers are always open to the best value and offer Desperate to gain revenue Buying customer base is cheaper than own efforts New products, old customers strategy Why? High Low Churn Rate
  • 38.
    How Markets determineGrowth Strategies (3) Example: Energy Sector www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com Market Positioning Share Gain (M&A) Base Retention Adjacent Markets (M&A) Fast Growth, Low Churn
  • 39.
    Create better ‘Value’proposition Neutralize competitor advantages Buy Market Share outright Price Premium Operating Model Integration Strategy 2: Share Gain www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 40.
    Buying Market Share:Acquisition strategy No evidence of previous company One Kingdom Pre-integration Blueprint Slow Trigger, Fast Bullet www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com Integration Operating Model Price Premium Buying Market Share Net Cost per Customer < Direct Acquire
  • 41.
    Buying Market Share:Side notes on Funding www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com *Adapted from Warren Buffet’s acquisition strategies Cash from Stock sale Issue more stock Cash from Earnings Cash from Borrowings OK, but not preferred Preferable
  • 42.
    Strategy 4: InvadeAdjacent Markets Adjacent Market = Important Similarities and Large Differences in: Cost Structure Competitors Customers Critical Capabilities www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 43.
    Strategy 4: InvadeAdjacent Markets www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com Traditional Alternative Incremental
  • 44.
    Strategy 4: InvadeAdjacent Markets www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com Example: Energy Sector Traditional Utility Alternative Energy Incremental Technology
  • 45.
    Strategy 4: InvadeAdjacent Markets Upstream Midstream Downstream Distribution Conversion Raw Mat Vendors/Services www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 46.
    Is it apromising market? Best when market is new and not stable You must time your entry carefully Entrenched companies usually delay embracing new technology or process Can you win in this market? Must be built on advantages that are tangible, practical and easily implemented Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent Markets www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 47.
    Can you matchthe Standards of Competition in this Market? You do have to meet the quality level that is common in the market Three Standards:- Technology , Relationships , Business-model You must have 80 percent of the capabilities you need to match competitor’s Standards Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent Markets www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 48.
    Make or Buy?It is easier to meet the standards of competition if you buy an existing player Adjacent acquisitions must remain as a separate enterprise Integrate Management Control (systems, technology) Inter-transfer of management talent, knowledge and capability are important Strategy 4: Invade Adjacent Markets www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 49.
    Strategy 5: Acquirenew Business No core advantage to bring in Investors mind-set vs. Managers mind-set Value unlocking via operational improvements Invest in Management/Leadership Premium = Combined value > stand alone www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 50.
    Linking BSC toM&A Strategy Revenue Growth Base Retention Share Gain Positioning Adjacent Market New Business Operational Excellence Product Leadership Customer Intimacy Competencies Information Systems Motivation, empowerment, alignment Financial Learning & Growth Internal Process Customers Investment Strategy Productivity Market Value www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 51.
    4. Considerations, Risksand Pitfalls www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 52.
    Types of M&ADeals vs. Considerations Overcapacity Product/ Market Consolidation Transformation/ Convergence Roll-up Acquire products/ market Strategic Growth Bet Size (Relative) Share Gain (Expansion) Adjacent (Transformative) New Business (Transformative) Small Large “ Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey
  • 53.
    Types of M&ADeals vs. Considerations Overcapacity Size (Relative) Share Gain (Expansion) Adjacent (Transformative) New Business (Transformative) Small Large “ Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey Reduce industry capacity Control Pricing Similar Product Offerings Pay for Cost synergies
  • 54.
    Types of M&ADeals vs. Considerations Roll-up Size (Relative) Share Gain (Expansion) Adjacent (Transformative) New Business (Transformative) Small Large “ Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey Transfer Core Strength to target Pay for lower operating cost of target Increase revenue thru broad strength
  • 55.
    Types of M&ADeals vs. Considerations Product/ Market Consolidation Size (Relative) Share Gain (Expansion) Adjacent (Transformative) New Business (Transformative) Small Large “ Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey Economies of Scale Consolidate back office Expand Market presence Pay for Growth, Channels
  • 56.
    Types of M&ADeals vs. Considerations Acquire products/ market Size (Relative) Share Gain (Expansion) Adjacent (Transformative) New Business (Transformative) Small Large “ Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey Expand market offering Expand Geographic reach Pay for Growth, Channels Revenue synergies
  • 57.
    Types of M&ADeals vs. Considerations Transformation/ Convergence Size (Relative) Share Gain (Expansion) Adjacent (Transformative) New Business (Transformative) Small Large “ Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey Transform Industry Create new Value Proposition Pay for New Markets, New Capabilities
  • 58.
    Types of M&ADeals vs. Considerations Strategic Growth Bet Size (Relative) Share Gain (Expansion) Adjacent (Transformative) New Business (Transformative) Small Large Adapted: “Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey Skill transfer into new business Pay for High Risk options, ability to act in new market space
  • 59.
    Three-Stage Process forEvaluating M&A deals 1. Strategy Approval 2. Approval-to- Negotiate 3. Deal Approval Business Dev + Business Unit Worth of Target? Attractiveness of Target vs. Others Target compatible with Strategy? Support from Acquirer? Integration possibilities? “ Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey
  • 60.
    Three-Stage Process forEvaluating M&A deals 1. Strategy Approval 2. Approval-to- Negotiate 3. Deal Approval Price range Initial Due Diligence Vision for incorporation Key Synergies Nonbinding Term Sheet/LOI Negotiation Roadmap Process to Close “ Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey
  • 61.
    Three-Stage Process forEvaluating M&A deals 1. Strategy Approval 2. Approval-to- Negotiate 3. Deal Approval Answering Key Questions Debating Valuations Aiming for Integration Dealing with Execution Risks “ Running a winning M&A shop”, McKinsey
  • 62.
    Considerations, Risks andPitfalls Global footprint vs. Local Presence Anti-trust and Regulatory permissions M&A Accounting Standards ‘Fair Value’ definition in financial reporting = ‘Exit’ price Acquirer and Target having different Risk Tolerances Public (or Public-hopeful) companies need to consider EPS after acquisition www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 63.
    Considerations, Risks andPitfalls Synergies and Improvements need to realized as quickly and efficiently as possible Combined Management capability to deliver improved performance First 100 days post-acquisition blueprint Culture management Staff Poaching from Competitors (and non-competitors) Customer Poaching from Competitors www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 64.
    Consideration: Alternative Dealsto M&A “ When companies are unwilling to sell or acquisition premiums are too high, alliances are the next best thing to a merger. In other cases, they are actually preferable to M&A” David Hernst, Principal, McKinsey’s Washington, DC www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 65.
    Consideration: Alternative Dealsto M&A Joint Venture Unite business units Problem with shared ownership New Product Lines Cost Reductions Share risk, Share Cost in new markets, R&D Buy-out clause Alliances Reduce non-core or commoditizing parts Outsourcing, Offshoring Help supplier gain Scale Enter Complementary business www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 66.
    End Note forM&A “ Go where the money is... then marry for love” F. Scott Fitzgerald, Author www.myCNI.com.my www.OOBEY.com
  • 67.
    Thank You. softcopy of slides: www.totallyunrelatedrandomanddebatable.blogspot.com