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Dell in China
Sample Case Analysis Presentation
Professor Josh Philpot
April 10, 2008
Agenda
   Identification of Key Strategic Issues
   External Analysis
   Internal Analysis
   Summary SWOT
   Strategic Alternatives & Recommendations
   Questions & Answers
Key Strategic Issues
Key Strategic Issues
   Taking advantage of an international opportunity in
    a high growth market

   Adjusting business-level strategy in light of a rivalry

   Leveraging core competencies in a foreign market
About Dell
   Founded in 1984
   World’s largest computer vendor
   Revenues of $41 billion in 2004
   Operates in 13 Asia Pacific markets with sales of $4.3B in
    2004
   Entered China in 1995 via export
   Started focusing on China in 1998
       In 1998 established a local manufacturing and distribution
        operation
   In 2004, Dell PCs captured 7% share in China
External Analysis
Industry Definition
   Dell competes in the PC industry, selling enterprise
    systems, desktop computers and notebook
    computers.
General Environment
External Analysis:
Key Environmental Factors


 Chinese population is 23% of world total
 Main opportunities will be in the larger cities
  where incomes are higher




    Source: China Country Commercial Guide (CCG)
External Analysis:
Key Environmental Factors
       Socio:
       Purchasing expectations (try before they buy)
       Chinese attitudes and culture becoming more similar in
        purchasing patterns and work ethic to U.S.

   Economic:
       Chinese economy grew 9.8% in 2005
       Total retail sales increased 13%
       China’s PC market estimated to grow 19% in 2004-2005
       Low per capita incomes and unevenly distributed
            Average US $1,583
            Urban US $5,000
            Middle class (200 million people) US $8,000
         Source: China Country Commercial Guide (CCG)
External Analysis:
Key Environmental Factors
                    (new member of WTO but…)
       China’s political system controls unions and financial institutions
       Legal and regulatory systems can be inconsistent
       Business based on relationships (guanxi)
       Intellectual property at risk


       Tech
     Just 2.5% of urban Chinese own a computer
     Access and use of the internet is increasing



       Global
     Sales opportunity (Asia/Pacific currently just 10% of Dell)
     China’s attractive low-cost manufacturing capabilities

         Source: China Country Commercial Guide (CCG)
The Five Forces of Competition Model
                    HIGH



   INTENSE

                               LOW




                           MODERATE
       NONE
External Analysis:
Porter’s Five Forces
   Threat of New Entrants – HIGH
       Foreign and local competitors
       IBM, Compaq and HP also entered in 1990s
       Less government policy barriers (China joined WTO in 2002)
       Potential barriers include:
            Access to distribution channels
            Scale economies (Local production plants)

   Substitutes – NONE

   Bargaining Power of Suppliers – LOW
       Dell and most competitors are vertically integrated
External Analysis:
    Porter’s Five Forces
   Bargaining Power of Buyers – MODERATE
        Few buyers purchase a large portion of industry output
             State-owned companies, MNCs and educational institutions
        Sales account for a large portion of Dell’s sales revenue
             50% from government, education, telecoms, power and finance.
        Brand reputation and product differentiation can mitigate

   Competitive Rivalry – INTENSE
        High profit potential due to industry growth
             Main buyers are institutions with more resources than individuals
      Price pressure from local competitors
      High fixed costs of production capacity
      High strategic stakes (focus on market share)
      Aggressive competitive response
             Lenovo adopting Dell’s direct sales model in China
             Lenovo’s joint venture with IBM to increase it’s share
             Lenovo’s brand campaign to improve recognition
Competitors
   Future objectives:
     Build   market share rapidly
   Current strategy:
     Cost  leadership (Lenovo, Founder, Tongfang)
     Differentiation (HP, IBM & Compaq)
     Focused on consumer market
     Lenovo positioning itself to challenge in high-end
Competitors
   Key Strengths:
     Chinese competitors: market knowledge and low cost
      advantage.
     American competitors: technology and brand recognition


   Key Weaknesses:
     Chinese competitors: brand recognition
     American competitors: higher costs
Customer
   High-end Customers
       State-owned companies
       MNCs
       Government
       Educational institutions
       Large Corporate Accounts (1,500+ employees in Telecoms, Power
        and Finance
   Individual Consumers
   Behavior:
       Consumer market is price sensitive
       Prefer a trial use of PCs before purchase
       Internet purchases were uncommon but internet users increasing
       Best way to reach is through retailing (Kiosks)
       Value product quality, especially high-end customers
       Brand loyal
Internal Analysis
Key Financial Ratios
                           FY 2005 FY 2004 FY 2003 FY 2002 FY 2001
Profitability Ratios
Gross Profit Margin         18.32%    18.22%   17.93%   17.67%    20.21%
Net Profit Margin            6.75%     6.38%    5.99%    5.71%     7.06%
Return on Equity            51.24%    42.12%   43.55%   37.92%    40.02%

Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio                  1.20     0.98     1.00      1.05     1.43
Quick Ratio                    1.16     0.95     0.96      1.01     1.38

Leverage Ratios
Debt to Total Assets          0.72     0.67     0.69      0.65     0.59
Debt to Equity                2.58     2.08     2.17      1.88     1.43
Long-term Debt to Equity      0.40     0.34     0.34      0.28     0.23

Activity (Efficiency) Ratios
Inventory Turnover           107.20   126.74   115.70    112.12    79.72
Accounts Receivable Turnover 11.15     11.40    13.69     13.74    13.16
Average Collection Period     32.29    31.58    26.30     26.21    27.37

Key Growth Rates
Sales                       18.73%    17.06%   13.59%    -2.26%
Net Income                  25.63%    24.65%   19.21%   -20.89%
Current Assets              58.91%    19.15%   13.29%   -19.01%
Current Liabilities         29.74%    21.97%   18.81%    10.93%
Key Resources
   Key tangible resources:
       WW market leadership & financial resources ($8B in China)
       Direct sales system and customer service
       Local production plant in China
       Alliance with Oracle
       Manufacturing (“Build-to-order) and low inventory” strategy
       “Just-in-time” model (6 days vs. 40 days of supply)
       Portfolio of award-winning products
   Key intangible resources:
       Strong brand
       Reputation (“Dell experience” of high-quality products, support and
        service)
       Innovative in its technology, business practices and customer service

              http://www.dell.com/content/topics/global.aspx/corp/en/home?c=us&l=en&s=corp
Core Competencies
   Ability to simplify PCs and the supply chain since their
    beginning
   Ability to understand customer needs and deliver innovative
    technology and services
   Ability to use technology to simultaneously improve
    customer experience and contain costs
   Ability to operate a direct business model




         All are valuable, rare, costly to imitate and
                      Nonsubstitutable.
Value Chain Analysis
   Primary activities of value:
     Operations: Manufacturing processes contain costs well
     Outbound logistics: Direct sales model
     Service: High responsiveness to customer needs


   Support activities of value:
     Technological   development: Innovative web site and IT
      infrastructure
     Firm infrastructure: Visionary founder and management
      team
Summary SWOT
SWOT Analysis
   Organizational   Environmental
      analysis        analysis

     Strengths      Opportunities




    Weaknesses         Threats
Strengths & Weaknesses
   Strengths:
     Reputation
     Manufacturing plant (build-to-order capability, JIT)
     Direct sales model (on line and phone order capability)
     Strong sales revenue in 2003 ($8 Billion)
     Strategic alliance with Oracle
     Product performance (Best Overseas PC Corporation
      Award)
   Weaknesses
     No  low cost advantage that will allow them to compete in
      the consumer segment
     Possible cost advantages not realized from their China
      plant
Opportunities
   Large population in China and economic growth potential
    (Dell’s fourth largest market)
       PC market expected to grow by 19%
       Only 2.5% of urban Chinese own PCs


   Sales potential in larger cities

   Reduction in tariffs on IT products makes it less costly to
    export to China

   Expansion into Japan, Korea and Taiwan
Risks
   Low GDP per capita in China
   Weak government protection of IP
   Moderately high threat of entry of new competitors
   Intense rivalry among competitors
   Lenovo-IBM joint venture
   Lenovo’s copying of Dell’s direct sales model
   Lenovo’s attempts to boost brand recognition
Strategic Alternatives
and Recommendations
General Problem Statement
   Dell faces a rivalry from Chinese PC firms, in particular
    Lenovo’s (Legend) attempts to copy Dell’s direct sales
    approach and build brand recognition. (At risk is Dell’s
    dominance of the high end market)

   Will require a cost advantage to re-enter the low-cost
    segment. (At risk is the Dell customer experience of product
    quality and service levels or accepting declining profits)
Strategic Alternatives
   Lower costs to be viable and establish a presence in the
    low-end (consumer market) before competitors

   Abandon the low-end and put all resources on defending
    the high-end (corporate market) where Dell currently has
    an advantage

   Challenge Lenovo in other Asian markets that are
    important to it while increasing product quality and services
    in China
Strategic Recommendation:
Expand and defend the high-end of the market

Implementation
   Continue Dell’s business level strategy of differentiation
        Based on product quality, build-to-own capability and direct sales method
   Continue to innovate and outpace the Lenovo-IBM partnership
   Build brand recognition in China as Lenovo’s doing worldwide
   Grow direct ordering via the internet (increasing Chinese web usage)
   Leverage penetration in LCAs (>1,500 emp.) for increased “share of wallet”
   Challenge Lenovo in other important Asian markets while increasing product quality and
    services in China
   Prepare for wireless/mobility trend and strengthen notebook offering
   Eventually broaden reach to penetrate low-end and rural areas
        Develop the infrastructure to service, support and sell (different than urban areas)
        Requires a low-cost, differentiated product line (e.g. AMD, no Windows OS)
        Learn the Chinese market to overcome “foreignness” and local rivals
        Explore alternative sales channels (besides direct) to reach small cities
Questions & Answers
Dell to build second factory in China
New facility will double Dell's current production capacity in China
By Sumner Lemon, IDG News Service

March 25, 2005

Dell announced on Thursday plans to build a second manufacturing plant in southeastern China.

The new plant will be constructed in Xiamen, Fujian province, where Dell already has one factory, according to the
company. The new manufacturing plant will produce PCs for Dell customers in northern Asia, including China and Japan,
the company said, adding that the new facility will double the company's current production capacity in China. The
company did not disclose what that capacity is.

China is the world's second-largest PC market, after the U.S., and continues to grow at a healthy clip. According
to Gartner, 14.9 million PCs were sold in China last year and shipments grew by 14.9 percent. Dell has the largest
market share of any foreign PC maker in China, but rivals IBM and Hewlett-Packard closed the gap last year by growing
faster than their rival from Round Rock, Texas, according to market analysts Gartner and IDC.

Despite the best efforts of foreign PC makers, the Chinese PC market continues to be dominated by local players, with
Lenovo Group holding the largest share of the market.




 http://www.infoworld.com/archives/emailPrint.jsp?R=printThis&A=/article/05/03/25/HNdellchina_1.html
From April 3 ’08 Analyst Meeting




 2008 27% revenue groth in BRIC

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Dell in china.ppt

  • 1. Dell in China Sample Case Analysis Presentation Professor Josh Philpot April 10, 2008
  • 2. Agenda  Identification of Key Strategic Issues  External Analysis  Internal Analysis  Summary SWOT  Strategic Alternatives & Recommendations  Questions & Answers
  • 4. Key Strategic Issues  Taking advantage of an international opportunity in a high growth market  Adjusting business-level strategy in light of a rivalry  Leveraging core competencies in a foreign market
  • 5. About Dell  Founded in 1984  World’s largest computer vendor  Revenues of $41 billion in 2004  Operates in 13 Asia Pacific markets with sales of $4.3B in 2004  Entered China in 1995 via export  Started focusing on China in 1998  In 1998 established a local manufacturing and distribution operation  In 2004, Dell PCs captured 7% share in China
  • 7. Industry Definition  Dell competes in the PC industry, selling enterprise systems, desktop computers and notebook computers.
  • 9. External Analysis: Key Environmental Factors  Chinese population is 23% of world total  Main opportunities will be in the larger cities where incomes are higher Source: China Country Commercial Guide (CCG)
  • 10. External Analysis: Key Environmental Factors  Socio:  Purchasing expectations (try before they buy)  Chinese attitudes and culture becoming more similar in purchasing patterns and work ethic to U.S.  Economic:  Chinese economy grew 9.8% in 2005  Total retail sales increased 13%  China’s PC market estimated to grow 19% in 2004-2005  Low per capita incomes and unevenly distributed  Average US $1,583  Urban US $5,000  Middle class (200 million people) US $8,000 Source: China Country Commercial Guide (CCG)
  • 11. External Analysis: Key Environmental Factors  (new member of WTO but…)  China’s political system controls unions and financial institutions  Legal and regulatory systems can be inconsistent  Business based on relationships (guanxi)  Intellectual property at risk  Tech  Just 2.5% of urban Chinese own a computer  Access and use of the internet is increasing  Global  Sales opportunity (Asia/Pacific currently just 10% of Dell)  China’s attractive low-cost manufacturing capabilities Source: China Country Commercial Guide (CCG)
  • 12. The Five Forces of Competition Model HIGH INTENSE LOW MODERATE NONE
  • 13. External Analysis: Porter’s Five Forces  Threat of New Entrants – HIGH  Foreign and local competitors  IBM, Compaq and HP also entered in 1990s  Less government policy barriers (China joined WTO in 2002)  Potential barriers include:  Access to distribution channels  Scale economies (Local production plants)  Substitutes – NONE  Bargaining Power of Suppliers – LOW  Dell and most competitors are vertically integrated
  • 14. External Analysis: Porter’s Five Forces  Bargaining Power of Buyers – MODERATE  Few buyers purchase a large portion of industry output  State-owned companies, MNCs and educational institutions  Sales account for a large portion of Dell’s sales revenue  50% from government, education, telecoms, power and finance.  Brand reputation and product differentiation can mitigate  Competitive Rivalry – INTENSE  High profit potential due to industry growth  Main buyers are institutions with more resources than individuals  Price pressure from local competitors  High fixed costs of production capacity  High strategic stakes (focus on market share)  Aggressive competitive response  Lenovo adopting Dell’s direct sales model in China  Lenovo’s joint venture with IBM to increase it’s share  Lenovo’s brand campaign to improve recognition
  • 15. Competitors  Future objectives:  Build market share rapidly  Current strategy:  Cost leadership (Lenovo, Founder, Tongfang)  Differentiation (HP, IBM & Compaq)  Focused on consumer market  Lenovo positioning itself to challenge in high-end
  • 16. Competitors  Key Strengths:  Chinese competitors: market knowledge and low cost advantage.  American competitors: technology and brand recognition  Key Weaknesses:  Chinese competitors: brand recognition  American competitors: higher costs
  • 17. Customer  High-end Customers  State-owned companies  MNCs  Government  Educational institutions  Large Corporate Accounts (1,500+ employees in Telecoms, Power and Finance  Individual Consumers  Behavior:  Consumer market is price sensitive  Prefer a trial use of PCs before purchase  Internet purchases were uncommon but internet users increasing  Best way to reach is through retailing (Kiosks)  Value product quality, especially high-end customers  Brand loyal
  • 19. Key Financial Ratios FY 2005 FY 2004 FY 2003 FY 2002 FY 2001 Profitability Ratios Gross Profit Margin 18.32% 18.22% 17.93% 17.67% 20.21% Net Profit Margin 6.75% 6.38% 5.99% 5.71% 7.06% Return on Equity 51.24% 42.12% 43.55% 37.92% 40.02% Liquidity Ratios Current Ratio 1.20 0.98 1.00 1.05 1.43 Quick Ratio 1.16 0.95 0.96 1.01 1.38 Leverage Ratios Debt to Total Assets 0.72 0.67 0.69 0.65 0.59 Debt to Equity 2.58 2.08 2.17 1.88 1.43 Long-term Debt to Equity 0.40 0.34 0.34 0.28 0.23 Activity (Efficiency) Ratios Inventory Turnover 107.20 126.74 115.70 112.12 79.72 Accounts Receivable Turnover 11.15 11.40 13.69 13.74 13.16 Average Collection Period 32.29 31.58 26.30 26.21 27.37 Key Growth Rates Sales 18.73% 17.06% 13.59% -2.26% Net Income 25.63% 24.65% 19.21% -20.89% Current Assets 58.91% 19.15% 13.29% -19.01% Current Liabilities 29.74% 21.97% 18.81% 10.93%
  • 20. Key Resources  Key tangible resources:  WW market leadership & financial resources ($8B in China)  Direct sales system and customer service  Local production plant in China  Alliance with Oracle  Manufacturing (“Build-to-order) and low inventory” strategy  “Just-in-time” model (6 days vs. 40 days of supply)  Portfolio of award-winning products  Key intangible resources:  Strong brand  Reputation (“Dell experience” of high-quality products, support and service)  Innovative in its technology, business practices and customer service http://www.dell.com/content/topics/global.aspx/corp/en/home?c=us&l=en&s=corp
  • 21. Core Competencies  Ability to simplify PCs and the supply chain since their beginning  Ability to understand customer needs and deliver innovative technology and services  Ability to use technology to simultaneously improve customer experience and contain costs  Ability to operate a direct business model All are valuable, rare, costly to imitate and Nonsubstitutable.
  • 22. Value Chain Analysis  Primary activities of value:  Operations: Manufacturing processes contain costs well  Outbound logistics: Direct sales model  Service: High responsiveness to customer needs  Support activities of value:  Technological development: Innovative web site and IT infrastructure  Firm infrastructure: Visionary founder and management team
  • 24. SWOT Analysis Organizational Environmental analysis analysis Strengths Opportunities Weaknesses Threats
  • 25. Strengths & Weaknesses  Strengths:  Reputation  Manufacturing plant (build-to-order capability, JIT)  Direct sales model (on line and phone order capability)  Strong sales revenue in 2003 ($8 Billion)  Strategic alliance with Oracle  Product performance (Best Overseas PC Corporation Award)  Weaknesses  No low cost advantage that will allow them to compete in the consumer segment  Possible cost advantages not realized from their China plant
  • 26. Opportunities  Large population in China and economic growth potential (Dell’s fourth largest market)  PC market expected to grow by 19%  Only 2.5% of urban Chinese own PCs  Sales potential in larger cities  Reduction in tariffs on IT products makes it less costly to export to China  Expansion into Japan, Korea and Taiwan
  • 27. Risks  Low GDP per capita in China  Weak government protection of IP  Moderately high threat of entry of new competitors  Intense rivalry among competitors  Lenovo-IBM joint venture  Lenovo’s copying of Dell’s direct sales model  Lenovo’s attempts to boost brand recognition
  • 29. General Problem Statement  Dell faces a rivalry from Chinese PC firms, in particular Lenovo’s (Legend) attempts to copy Dell’s direct sales approach and build brand recognition. (At risk is Dell’s dominance of the high end market)  Will require a cost advantage to re-enter the low-cost segment. (At risk is the Dell customer experience of product quality and service levels or accepting declining profits)
  • 30. Strategic Alternatives  Lower costs to be viable and establish a presence in the low-end (consumer market) before competitors  Abandon the low-end and put all resources on defending the high-end (corporate market) where Dell currently has an advantage  Challenge Lenovo in other Asian markets that are important to it while increasing product quality and services in China
  • 31. Strategic Recommendation: Expand and defend the high-end of the market Implementation  Continue Dell’s business level strategy of differentiation  Based on product quality, build-to-own capability and direct sales method  Continue to innovate and outpace the Lenovo-IBM partnership  Build brand recognition in China as Lenovo’s doing worldwide  Grow direct ordering via the internet (increasing Chinese web usage)  Leverage penetration in LCAs (>1,500 emp.) for increased “share of wallet”  Challenge Lenovo in other important Asian markets while increasing product quality and services in China  Prepare for wireless/mobility trend and strengthen notebook offering  Eventually broaden reach to penetrate low-end and rural areas  Develop the infrastructure to service, support and sell (different than urban areas)  Requires a low-cost, differentiated product line (e.g. AMD, no Windows OS)  Learn the Chinese market to overcome “foreignness” and local rivals  Explore alternative sales channels (besides direct) to reach small cities
  • 33. Dell to build second factory in China New facility will double Dell's current production capacity in China By Sumner Lemon, IDG News Service March 25, 2005 Dell announced on Thursday plans to build a second manufacturing plant in southeastern China. The new plant will be constructed in Xiamen, Fujian province, where Dell already has one factory, according to the company. The new manufacturing plant will produce PCs for Dell customers in northern Asia, including China and Japan, the company said, adding that the new facility will double the company's current production capacity in China. The company did not disclose what that capacity is. China is the world's second-largest PC market, after the U.S., and continues to grow at a healthy clip. According to Gartner, 14.9 million PCs were sold in China last year and shipments grew by 14.9 percent. Dell has the largest market share of any foreign PC maker in China, but rivals IBM and Hewlett-Packard closed the gap last year by growing faster than their rival from Round Rock, Texas, according to market analysts Gartner and IDC. Despite the best efforts of foreign PC makers, the Chinese PC market continues to be dominated by local players, with Lenovo Group holding the largest share of the market. http://www.infoworld.com/archives/emailPrint.jsp?R=printThis&A=/article/05/03/25/HNdellchina_1.html
  • 34. From April 3 ’08 Analyst Meeting 2008 27% revenue groth in BRIC