Parallel Session 3.1.4 Emerging Technologies - Horizon Scanning

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The document discusses developments in various fields including biology, chemistry, physics, engineering, and computing that are contributing to advances in medicine and healthcare. It notes these fields are converging and becoming more complex. It also outlines the process of translational research, where pure science is applied to product development, and how collaboration and innovation can help demonstrate benefits to patients, health services, and medical practice. Finally, it suggests several technologies should be fully integrated and widely used in healthcare by 2020.

Technology Business

Targeted Applications Patient Expectations
Developments
Breakthroughs
Pharmaceuticals


Medicine / Biomedical Research
Molecular Engineering IV Diagnostics
Biology -
Bioengineering
“Me Too”
Chemistry Imaging
Biomechanical / Mechanical Engineering
Physics Bio photonics Procedures
Bioinformatics
Mathematics & Computing Biomedical Devices
Electronic,/ Electrical Engineering
IT / Computational Engineering IT & Communications
Software Engineering
Etc etc + Convergence & Complexity

TRANSLATIONAL RESEARCH

Patient
Health Medical
Pure Applied Product Unmet
Safety, Efficacy / Service &Surgical
Science Development Need
Science Value, Guidance Provider Practice

COLLABORATION / INNOVATION

ANTICIPATE COLLABORATE
APPRAISING/
REGULATING •Trial/ In-Line Evidence Development
Horizon Scanning Centre
Health Technology •Clinical Outcome Registries
Assessment (HTA) •Risk Sharing Deals
•Strategic / Aligned procurement
NICE (1999) / SMC (2002)

Regional
Adoption
Procurement
Hubs
Hubs
NHS
NP
NHS Boards
HIS

SHTG Adoption
HTA
NIC

Horizon
Scanning
Procurement
R&D
MHRA
Benefits
demonstrated
Evaluation

Design
Need
Concept CE mark

Supported by and

•

•

•
•

these technologies are all, in part, available now – but
should be fully integrated and in widespread use by 2020.

To better prepare policy and decision makers in today’s complex and inter-dependent environments, FTA methods can play a significant role in enabling early warning signal detection and pro-active policy action. This paper analyses the use of different horizon scanning approaches and methods as applied in the SESTI project. A comparative analysis is provided as well as a brief evaluation of meeting the needs of policy-makers in identify areas of intervention by policy formulation. The paper suggests that the selection of the best scanning approaches and methods is subject to contextual and content issues. At the same time, there are certain issues characterising horizon scanning processes, methods and results that should be kept in mind by both practitioners and policy-makers.

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Trends for strategic foresight - Cristina Ferraz

Cristina Ferraz

Struggling to navigate disruption? Here's how trends can help you. Trend analysis has been increasingly winning a space in current business strategy as a methodology to provide qualitative insights that help identify new horizons and changing values. Trend analysis helps adapt to fast-changing times and reinforce a leadership position in the market by guiding innovation from vision to downstream. Adding trend knowledge to any business toolkit gives strategic advantage to your proposition and promotes disruptive innovation. Trend foresight helps us discover emerging consumer behaviours and needs, spot qualitative growth opportunities, create vision landscapes on a determined subject, define critical emerging drivers shaping the future of industry and enrich decision-making from a qualitative and intuitive perspective.

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Parallel Session 3.1.4 Emerging Technologies - Horizon Scanning

2. Targeted Applications Patient Expectations Developments Breakthroughs Pharmaceuticals  Medicine / Biomedical Research Molecular Engineering IV Diagnostics Biology - Bioengineering “Me Too” Chemistry Imaging Biomechanical / Mechanical Engineering Physics Bio photonics Procedures Bioinformatics Mathematics & Computing Biomedical Devices Electronic,/ Electrical Engineering IT / Computational Engineering IT & Communications Software Engineering Etc etc + Convergence & Complexity TRANSLATIONAL RESEARCH Patient Health Medical Pure Applied Product Unmet Safety, Efficacy / Service &Surgical Science Development Need Science Value, Guidance Provider Practice COLLABORATION / INNOVATION ANTICIPATE COLLABORATE APPRAISING/ REGULATING •Trial/ In-Line Evidence Development Horizon Scanning Centre Health Technology •Clinical Outcome Registries Assessment (HTA) •Risk Sharing Deals •Strategic / Aligned procurement NICE (1999) / SMC (2002)

3. Regional Adoption Procurement Hubs Hubs NHS NP NHS Boards HIS SHTG Adoption HTA NIC Horizon Scanning Procurement R&D MHRA Benefits demonstrated Evaluation Design Need Concept CE mark Supported by and

4. • – • • • •

5. • • • • •

6. • • • • •

7. • • • • •

8. • • • • these technologies are all, in part, available now – but should be fully integrated and in widespread use by 2020.

Parallel Session 3.1.4 Emerging Technologies - Horizon Scanning

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