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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: QE INDEX AND KEY STOCKS TO CONSIDER 
QE Index: Short-Term – Bounce Back 
The QE Index extended its gains and moved higher around 33 points 
(0.24%) to settle above the 13,500.0 psychological level. After 
moving down toward 13,350.0 yesterday, the index once again 
witnesses a smart recovery sustaining its rebound for the second 
straight session. With the RSI showing signs of recovery, the index 
may continue its bounce-back and approach the 13,550.0-13,580.0 
levels. Conversely, the 13,450.0 level may provide strong support. 
Commercial Bank of Qatar: Short-Term – Rebound 
CBQK gained 0.56% and cleared the stiff resistance of the 
descending trendline, which had restricted its bullish move in the past. 
With volumes also picking up it seems potential buyers are stepping 
in. We believe the current higher push has enough steam to surpass 
QR72.40 and the 21-day moving average, targeting QR73.40. 
However, any retreat below QR71.50 may pull the stock down. The 
RSI, which is in the buy zone, supports this bullish sentiment. 
Al Rayan Islamic Index: Short-Term – Neutral 
The QERI Index ended the session in the red losing marginally by - 
0.03% to close at 4,540.64. The index failed to capitalize on its 
rebound witnessed on Monday and retreated. Meanwhile, the index 
faces its strong resistance at 4,585.0, whereas support is seen at 
4,529.0. A move above or below these levels may decide the next 
direction of the index, until then it may oscillate in the above range. 
Traders are advised to remain on the sidelines for now. 
Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev.: Short-Term – Pullback 
MRDS has been experiencing selling pressure over the past few days 
and is underperforming. Moreover, the stock breached its support of 
QR22.90 and continued its decline, which is a negative sign. The 
prognosis for the near-term suggests a further downside with both the 
RSI and the MACD lines showing weakness. We believe the stock 
may drift lower toward QR22.44. However, the stock may halt its 
pullback if it manages to reclaim the QR22.90 level. 
Qatar Islamic Bank: Short-Term – Rebound 
QIBK respected its support of QR111.0 and rebounded on the back of 
increased participation. The stock is now approaching the 55-day 
moving average. If QIBK can move above the 55-day moving 
average, it will provide confirmation that the upmove is underway 
targeting QR115.0. On the other hand, any failure to move above the 
55-day moving average may result in consolidation. Meanwhile, the 
RSI is moving up in a bullish manner, indicating strength. 
Industries Qatar: Short-Term – Bounce Back 
IQCD has been witnessing a steady decline since topping the current 
rally at QR198.0; however, it found support near QR183.0 and 
reversed yesterday. We believe based on the current price swing the 
stock may clear the 55-day moving average, targeting QR186.40. 
Further, the RSI has turned flat after moving down over the past few 
days, indicating the stock may further continue its rebound. However, 
any dip below QR184.50 may pull the stock to test QR183.0.
Contacts 
Saugata Sarkar Abdullah Amin, CFA Shahan Keushgerian Sahbi Kasraoui Ahmed Al-Khoudary QNB Financial Services SPC 
Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Senior Research Analyst Manager - HNWI Head of Sales Trading – Institutional Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 
Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6569 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 Tel: (+974) 4476 6548 PO Box 24025 
saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa abdullah.amin@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa ahmed.alkhoudary@qnbfs.com.qa Doha, Qatar 
DISCLAIMER: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange; QNB is 
regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, 
tax, accounting, or financial advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS 
believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. While this publication has been prepared with the utmost degree of care by our analysts, QNBFS does not make any representations or 
warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express 
viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. 
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS. 
Page 2 of 2 
*These stocks are today’s suggested ideas 
Overall Methodology: The charts and descriptions on Page 1 provide an indicative view of the future direction of the equities mentioned. The table on page 2 has been provided to denote historical movements in certain stocks. The historical trend analysis uses 21- and 55- day SMAs for indicating short-term and long-term trends, respectively. Based on these SMAs, the historical direction of the trend is denoted as UP, DOWN or FLAT. 
Selection of Key Stocks of the Day: Key stocks’ selection is based on our analysis of 19 members of the QE Index (excludes QNBK QD). Analysis includes identifying trends (short-term as well as long-term), patterns and support/resistance levels. 
Trend Direction: The methods used to determine trend direction are subjective in nature. We use 21-day SMA and 55-day SMA, absolute price movements, price movements relative to SMAs and accurately drawn trend lines and chart patterns to determine the short- and long-term trends. 
Investment Horizon: The definition of short term and long term depends upon investors’ preferences and their investment objectives. As a rule of thumb, the time horizon for traders/short-term trend is 1-3 weeks while it is 1-3 months for investors/long-term trend. 
Combining Technical and Fundamental Analysis: Investors can combine technical analysis (TA) with fundamental analysis (FA) to maximize their investment returns. While the “True Value” of stocks could be estimated by FA, the entry and exit timings could be fine tuned using technical analysis to benefit from short-term movements in stock prices. 
Trading Tactics: The trend direction should be analyzed based on the time-horizon of your investments. In general, investors attempt selling close to resistance levels during a downtrend and attempt buying close to support levels during uptrend. 
Definitions: 
1> Simple Moving Average (SMA): A SMA is the average of the closing price of a security for a given period. 
2> RSI (Relative Strength Index): A technical momentum indicator that ranges from 0 to 100 and compares the stock’s recent price movements by evaluating recent gains and losses. Stocks with RSI above 70 could be considered overbought and below 30 could be considered oversold. If the RSI falls below 70, it is a bearish signal. On the other hand, if the RSI rises above 30 it is considered bullish. We use a RSI of 14 days. 
3> MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): MACD denotes the relationship between two moving averages, which is used to spot changes in strength, direction, momentum and duration of a stock price trend. The MACD is calculated by subtracting the 26-day exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-day EMA. A nine-day EMA of the MACD, called the signal line, is also plotted on top of the MACD, functioning as a trigger for buy/sell signals. The MACD line above the signal line provides a positive signal and vice versa. Name (Ticker) Last Close Trend Support Resistance 
Short Term 
Long Term 
First 
Second 
First 
Second Qatar Exchange Index (QE Index) 13,511.11 DOWN DOWN 13,500.00 13,447.17 13,584.34 13,650.00 Al Rayan Islamic Index (QERI Index) 4,540.64 DOWN DOWN 4,528.58 4,481.57 4,584.50 4,638.81 Banks and Financial Services 
Banks and Masraf Al Rayan (MARK QD) 
53.40 
DOWN 
DOWN 
52.80 
51.80 
54.00 
55.00 Commercial Bank of Qatar (CBQK QD)* 72.00 DOWN UP 71.50 70.70 72.40 73.40 
Doha Bank (DHBK QD) 
57.50 
DOWN 
DOWN 
57.00 
56.20 
58.00 
59.20 Qatar Islamic Bank (QIBK QD)* 113.10 DOWN FLAT 113.00 111.00 115.00 117.40 
Qatar International Islamic Bank (QIIK QD) 
86.30 
DOWN 
DOWN 
85.90 
84.90 
87.80 
89.00 Qatar Insurance (QATI QD) 99.10 FLAT UP 98.00 97.00 100.00 100.90 Consumer Goods and Services 
Consumer Goods Medicare Group (MCGS QD) 
126.90 
DOWN 
FLAT 
126.50 
121.50 
128.80 
130.00 Industrials 
Industrials 
Industries Qatar (IQCD QD)* 
185.40 
DOWN 
FLAT 
184.50 
183.00 
186.40 
188.50 Qatar Electricity & Water Co. (QEWS QD) 187.00 DOWN FLAT 186.00 184.00 188.00 190.00 
Gulf International Services (GISS QD) 
117.60 
DOWN 
DOWN 
115.00 
111.90 
118.10 
119.50 Qatari Investors Group (QIGD QD) 55.30 DOWN DOWN 55.20 54.30 56.10 57.70 Real Estate 
Real Estate 
Barwa Real Estate Co. (BRES QD) 
40.45 
DOWN 
DOWN 
40.20 
39.70 
41.00 
41.80 United Development Co. (UDCD QD) 27.70 DOWN DOWN 27.35 27.00 27.85 28.20 
Ezdan Holding Group (ERES QD) 
19.85 
FLAT 
DOWN 
19.71 
19.36 
20.04 
20.36 Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Development (MRDS QD)* 22.75 DOWN DOWN 22.45 22.09 22.90 23.35 Telecom 
Telecom 
Ooredoo (ORDS QD) 
131.10 
DOWN 
UP 
129.70 
128.00 
132.00 
134.00 Vodafone Qatar (VFQS QD) 20.74 DOWN DOWN 20.40 20.00 20.79 21.00 Transportation 
Transportation 
Nakilat (QGTS QD) 
24.04 
DOWN 
DOWN 
23.90 
23.69 
24.20 
24.45 Milaha (QNNS QD) 94.00 DOWN DOWN 92.90 91.30 94.50 95.10

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15 October Daily technical trader

  • 1. Page 1 of 2 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: QE INDEX AND KEY STOCKS TO CONSIDER QE Index: Short-Term – Bounce Back The QE Index extended its gains and moved higher around 33 points (0.24%) to settle above the 13,500.0 psychological level. After moving down toward 13,350.0 yesterday, the index once again witnesses a smart recovery sustaining its rebound for the second straight session. With the RSI showing signs of recovery, the index may continue its bounce-back and approach the 13,550.0-13,580.0 levels. Conversely, the 13,450.0 level may provide strong support. Commercial Bank of Qatar: Short-Term – Rebound CBQK gained 0.56% and cleared the stiff resistance of the descending trendline, which had restricted its bullish move in the past. With volumes also picking up it seems potential buyers are stepping in. We believe the current higher push has enough steam to surpass QR72.40 and the 21-day moving average, targeting QR73.40. However, any retreat below QR71.50 may pull the stock down. The RSI, which is in the buy zone, supports this bullish sentiment. Al Rayan Islamic Index: Short-Term – Neutral The QERI Index ended the session in the red losing marginally by - 0.03% to close at 4,540.64. The index failed to capitalize on its rebound witnessed on Monday and retreated. Meanwhile, the index faces its strong resistance at 4,585.0, whereas support is seen at 4,529.0. A move above or below these levels may decide the next direction of the index, until then it may oscillate in the above range. Traders are advised to remain on the sidelines for now. Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Dev.: Short-Term – Pullback MRDS has been experiencing selling pressure over the past few days and is underperforming. Moreover, the stock breached its support of QR22.90 and continued its decline, which is a negative sign. The prognosis for the near-term suggests a further downside with both the RSI and the MACD lines showing weakness. We believe the stock may drift lower toward QR22.44. However, the stock may halt its pullback if it manages to reclaim the QR22.90 level. Qatar Islamic Bank: Short-Term – Rebound QIBK respected its support of QR111.0 and rebounded on the back of increased participation. The stock is now approaching the 55-day moving average. If QIBK can move above the 55-day moving average, it will provide confirmation that the upmove is underway targeting QR115.0. On the other hand, any failure to move above the 55-day moving average may result in consolidation. Meanwhile, the RSI is moving up in a bullish manner, indicating strength. Industries Qatar: Short-Term – Bounce Back IQCD has been witnessing a steady decline since topping the current rally at QR198.0; however, it found support near QR183.0 and reversed yesterday. We believe based on the current price swing the stock may clear the 55-day moving average, targeting QR186.40. Further, the RSI has turned flat after moving down over the past few days, indicating the stock may further continue its rebound. However, any dip below QR184.50 may pull the stock to test QR183.0.
  • 2. Contacts Saugata Sarkar Abdullah Amin, CFA Shahan Keushgerian Sahbi Kasraoui Ahmed Al-Khoudary QNB Financial Services SPC Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Senior Research Analyst Manager - HNWI Head of Sales Trading – Institutional Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6569 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 Tel: (+974) 4476 6548 PO Box 24025 saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa abdullah.amin@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa ahmed.alkhoudary@qnbfs.com.qa Doha, Qatar DISCLAIMER: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange; QNB is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. While this publication has been prepared with the utmost degree of care by our analysts, QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS. Page 2 of 2 *These stocks are today’s suggested ideas Overall Methodology: The charts and descriptions on Page 1 provide an indicative view of the future direction of the equities mentioned. The table on page 2 has been provided to denote historical movements in certain stocks. The historical trend analysis uses 21- and 55- day SMAs for indicating short-term and long-term trends, respectively. Based on these SMAs, the historical direction of the trend is denoted as UP, DOWN or FLAT. Selection of Key Stocks of the Day: Key stocks’ selection is based on our analysis of 19 members of the QE Index (excludes QNBK QD). Analysis includes identifying trends (short-term as well as long-term), patterns and support/resistance levels. Trend Direction: The methods used to determine trend direction are subjective in nature. We use 21-day SMA and 55-day SMA, absolute price movements, price movements relative to SMAs and accurately drawn trend lines and chart patterns to determine the short- and long-term trends. Investment Horizon: The definition of short term and long term depends upon investors’ preferences and their investment objectives. As a rule of thumb, the time horizon for traders/short-term trend is 1-3 weeks while it is 1-3 months for investors/long-term trend. Combining Technical and Fundamental Analysis: Investors can combine technical analysis (TA) with fundamental analysis (FA) to maximize their investment returns. While the “True Value” of stocks could be estimated by FA, the entry and exit timings could be fine tuned using technical analysis to benefit from short-term movements in stock prices. Trading Tactics: The trend direction should be analyzed based on the time-horizon of your investments. In general, investors attempt selling close to resistance levels during a downtrend and attempt buying close to support levels during uptrend. Definitions: 1> Simple Moving Average (SMA): A SMA is the average of the closing price of a security for a given period. 2> RSI (Relative Strength Index): A technical momentum indicator that ranges from 0 to 100 and compares the stock’s recent price movements by evaluating recent gains and losses. Stocks with RSI above 70 could be considered overbought and below 30 could be considered oversold. If the RSI falls below 70, it is a bearish signal. On the other hand, if the RSI rises above 30 it is considered bullish. We use a RSI of 14 days. 3> MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): MACD denotes the relationship between two moving averages, which is used to spot changes in strength, direction, momentum and duration of a stock price trend. The MACD is calculated by subtracting the 26-day exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-day EMA. A nine-day EMA of the MACD, called the signal line, is also plotted on top of the MACD, functioning as a trigger for buy/sell signals. The MACD line above the signal line provides a positive signal and vice versa. Name (Ticker) Last Close Trend Support Resistance Short Term Long Term First Second First Second Qatar Exchange Index (QE Index) 13,511.11 DOWN DOWN 13,500.00 13,447.17 13,584.34 13,650.00 Al Rayan Islamic Index (QERI Index) 4,540.64 DOWN DOWN 4,528.58 4,481.57 4,584.50 4,638.81 Banks and Financial Services Banks and Masraf Al Rayan (MARK QD) 53.40 DOWN DOWN 52.80 51.80 54.00 55.00 Commercial Bank of Qatar (CBQK QD)* 72.00 DOWN UP 71.50 70.70 72.40 73.40 Doha Bank (DHBK QD) 57.50 DOWN DOWN 57.00 56.20 58.00 59.20 Qatar Islamic Bank (QIBK QD)* 113.10 DOWN FLAT 113.00 111.00 115.00 117.40 Qatar International Islamic Bank (QIIK QD) 86.30 DOWN DOWN 85.90 84.90 87.80 89.00 Qatar Insurance (QATI QD) 99.10 FLAT UP 98.00 97.00 100.00 100.90 Consumer Goods and Services Consumer Goods Medicare Group (MCGS QD) 126.90 DOWN FLAT 126.50 121.50 128.80 130.00 Industrials Industrials Industries Qatar (IQCD QD)* 185.40 DOWN FLAT 184.50 183.00 186.40 188.50 Qatar Electricity & Water Co. (QEWS QD) 187.00 DOWN FLAT 186.00 184.00 188.00 190.00 Gulf International Services (GISS QD) 117.60 DOWN DOWN 115.00 111.90 118.10 119.50 Qatari Investors Group (QIGD QD) 55.30 DOWN DOWN 55.20 54.30 56.10 57.70 Real Estate Real Estate Barwa Real Estate Co. (BRES QD) 40.45 DOWN DOWN 40.20 39.70 41.00 41.80 United Development Co. (UDCD QD) 27.70 DOWN DOWN 27.35 27.00 27.85 28.20 Ezdan Holding Group (ERES QD) 19.85 FLAT DOWN 19.71 19.36 20.04 20.36 Mazaya Qatar Real Estate Development (MRDS QD)* 22.75 DOWN DOWN 22.45 22.09 22.90 23.35 Telecom Telecom Ooredoo (ORDS QD) 131.10 DOWN UP 129.70 128.00 132.00 134.00 Vodafone Qatar (VFQS QD) 20.74 DOWN DOWN 20.40 20.00 20.79 21.00 Transportation Transportation Nakilat (QGTS QD) 24.04 DOWN DOWN 23.90 23.69 24.20 24.45 Milaha (QNNS QD) 94.00 DOWN DOWN 92.90 91.30 94.50 95.10