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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: QE INDEX AND KEY STOCKS TO CONSIDER 
QE Index: Short-Term – Pullback 
The QE Index continued its southbound journey for the third 
consecutive session and shed around 111 points (-0.79%) to settle 
near 14,000.0. The index remained in a bearish mode throughout the 
day and slipped below the 14,100.0 and 14,050.0 levels on the back 
of sustained selling. With both the momentum indicators pointing 
down, the index may retrace toward 13,950.0. However, the outlook 
may turn bullish, if the index moves above the 14,100.0 level. 
Qatar Electricity & Water Co.: Short-Term – Pullback 
QEWS has been drifting lower over the past few days since topping 
the current rally at QR196.50. Moreover, volumes were also large on 
the decline, which is a negative sign. Further, both the indicators are 
looking weak. We believe although the stock is sitting exactly on its 
immediate support of QR190.0, it is unlikely to cling onto it and may 
move down further to test QR188.0. Conversely, the stock may 
rebound, if it manages to stay above QR190.0 on a closing basis. 
Al Rayan Islamic Index: Short-Term – Pullback 
The QERI Index ended the session in red with a cut of over 1 percent 
for the third straight session. The index caved in under selling 
pressure and penetrated below the important supports of 4,770.0 and 
the 21-day moving average in a single swoop. The current prognosis 
implies further downside toward 4,700.0, with the RSI showing a 
negative slope and the MACD growing in a bearish manner. 
However, a close above the 4,750.0 level may attract buyers. 
Al Meera Consumer Goods Co.: Short-Term – Pullback 
MERS has been making lower lows on the chart since moving below 
the 21-day moving average. We believe the stock may continue to 
underperform and head down toward its next support of QR181.40. 
Further, the RSI is in a downtrend mode, while the MACD is widening 
away from the signal line in a bearish manner, indicating sustained 
weakness. Meanwhile, the stock needs to move above QR185.0 to 
attract buying interest, until then it may move lower. 
Barwa Real Estate Co.: Short-Term – Pullback 
BRES continued on its declining mode and breached the supports of 
the 21-day and the 55-day moving averages. The stock has been 
moving along the descending trendline over the past few days and is 
registering losses. We believe the stock may continue to weaken 
further and test QR40.20 on the downside. However, a close above 
both the moving averages may halt its pullback. Meanwhile, both the 
momentum indicators are providing bearish signals. 
Qatar Islamic Bank: Short-Term – Pullback 
QIBK failed to make further headway above QR118.0 and retreated, 
breaching its important support of QR117.40. Moreover, the stock 
developed a bearish Marubozu candlestick formation, indicating a 
likely continuation of this pullback. We believe the stock may drift 
down toward QR115.0 and any sustained weakness below this level 
may pull it further down to test QR111.0. Meanwhile, both the 
momentum indicators are pointing down.
Contacts 
Saugata Sarkar Abdullah Amin, CFA Shahan Keushgerian Sahbi Kasraoui Ahmed Al-Khoudary QNB Financial Services SPC 
Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Senior Research Analyst Manager - HNWI Head of Sales Trading – Institutional Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 
Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6569 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 Tel: (+974) 4476 6548 PO Box 24025 
saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa abdullah.amin@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa ahmed.alkhoudary@qnbfs.com.qa Doha, Qatar 
DISCLAIMER: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange; QNB is 
regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, 
tax, accounting, or financial advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS 
believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. While this publication has been prepared with the utmost degree of care by our analysts, QNBFS does not make any representations or 
warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express 
viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. 
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS. 
Page 2 of 2 
*These stocks are today’s suggested ideas 
Overall Methodology: The charts and descriptions on Page 1 provide an indicative view of the future direction of the equities mentioned. The table on page 2 has been provided to denote historical movements in certain stocks. The historical trend analysis uses 21- and 55- day SMAs for indicating short-term and long-term trends, respectively. Based on these SMAs, the historical direction of the trend is denoted as UP, DOWN or FLAT. 
Selection of Key Stocks of the Day: Key stocks’ selection is based on our analysis of 19 members of the QE Index (excludes QNBK QD). Analysis includes identifying trends (short-term as well as long-term), patterns and support/resistance levels. 
Trend Direction: The methods used to determine trend direction are subjective in nature. We use 21-day SMA and 55-day SMA, absolute price movements, price movements relative to SMAs and accurately drawn trend lines and chart patterns to determine the short- and long-term trends. 
Investment Horizon: The definition of short term and long term depends upon investors’ preferences and their investment objectives. As a rule of thumb, the time horizon for traders/short-term trend is 1-3 weeks while it is 1-3 months for investors/long-term trend. 
Combining Technical and Fundamental Analysis: Investors can combine technical analysis (TA) with fundamental analysis (FA) to maximize their investment returns. While the “True Value” of stocks could be estimated by FA, the entry and exit timings could be fine tuned using technical analysis to benefit from short-term movements in stock prices. 
Trading Tactics: The trend direction should be analyzed based on the time-horizon of your investments. In general, investors attempt selling close to resistance levels during a downtrend and attempt buying close to support levels during uptrend. 
Definitions: 
1> Simple Moving Average (SMA): A SMA is the average of the closing price of a security for a given period. 
2> RSI (Relative Strength Index): A technical momentum indicator that ranges from 0 to 100 and compares the stock’s recent price movements by evaluating recent gains and losses. Stocks with RSI above 70 could be considered overbought and below 30 could be considered oversold. If the RSI falls below 70, it is a bearish signal. On the other hand, if the RSI rises above 30 it is considered bullish. We use a RSI of 14 days. 
3> MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): MACD denotes the relationship between two moving averages, which is used to spot changes in strength, direction, momentum and duration of a stock price trend. The MACD is calculated by subtracting the 26-day exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-day EMA. A nine-day EMA of the MACD, called the signal line, is also plotted on top of the MACD, functioning as a trigger for buy/sell signals. The MACD line above the signal line provides a positive signal and vice versa. Name (Ticker) Last Close Trend Support Resistance 
Short Term 
Long Term 
First 
Second 
First 
Second Qatar Exchange Index (QE Index) 14,006.46 FLAT UP 13,993.34 13,909.87 14,102.54 14,225.39 Al Rayan Islamic Index (QERI Index) 4,723.42 DOWN UP 4,707.59 4,672.95 4,750.00 4,770.31 Banks and Financial Services 
Banks and Masraf Al Rayan (MARK QD) 
56.10 
DOWN 
UP 
55.80 
54.00 
57.30 
58.20 Commercial Bank of Qatar (CBQK QD) 72.90 UP UP 72.40 70.70 73.40 74.30 
Doha Bank (DHBK QD) 
60.10 
DOWN 
FLAT 
59.90 
58.80 
61.00 
62.00 Qatar Islamic Bank (QIBK QD)* 115.60 DOWN UP 115.00 111.00 117.40 118.90 
Qatar International Islamic Bank (QIIK QD) 
92.30 
UP 
UP 
91.50 
90.50 
93.50 
96.00 Qatar Insurance (QATI QD) 98.30 DOWN UP 97.00 95.20 99.00 100.00 
Al Khalij Commercial Bank (KCBK QD) 
22.40 
DOWN 
FLAT 
21.99 
21.70 
22.49 
22.85 Consumer Goods and Services 
Consumer Goods Medicare Group (MCGS QD) 
128.60 
DOWN 
UP 
126.50 
122.50 
128.80 
130.00 
Al Meera Consumer Goods Co. (MERS QD)* 
183.00 
DOWN 
DOWN 
183.00 
181.60 
185.00 
187.80 Industrials 
Industrials 
Industries Qatar (IQCD QD) 
193.00 
FLAT 
UP 
192.10 
191.00 
193.50 
194.60 Qatar Electricity & Water Co. (QEWS QD)* 190.00 UP UP 190.00 188.00 192.00 194.00 
Gulf International Services (GISS QD) 
126.00 
UP 
UP 
124.10 
122.50 
127.00 
129.80 Qatari Investors Group (QIGD QD) 58.60 DOWN UP 57.70 56.20 59.00 60.60 Real Estate 
Real Estate 
Barwa Real Estate Co. (BRES QD)* 
41.10 
DOWN 
DOWN 
41.00 
40.20 
41.80 
42.50 United Development Co. (UDCD QD) 29.30 DOWN UP 29.05 28.70 29.50 30.00 Telecom 
Telecom 
Ooredoo (ORDS QD) 
135.00 
UP 
UP 
133.90 
132.00 
135.90 
138.50 Vodafone Qatar (VFQS QD) 21.70 FLAT UP 21.40 21.00 21.97 22.30 Transportation 
Transportation 
Nakilat (QGTS QD) 
24.80 
FLAT 
UP 
24.45 
23.90 
24.90 
25.30 Milaha (QNNS QD) 96.90 UP UP 96.50 95.10 97.80 98.80

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24 September Daily technical trader

  • 1. Page 1 of 2 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: QE INDEX AND KEY STOCKS TO CONSIDER QE Index: Short-Term – Pullback The QE Index continued its southbound journey for the third consecutive session and shed around 111 points (-0.79%) to settle near 14,000.0. The index remained in a bearish mode throughout the day and slipped below the 14,100.0 and 14,050.0 levels on the back of sustained selling. With both the momentum indicators pointing down, the index may retrace toward 13,950.0. However, the outlook may turn bullish, if the index moves above the 14,100.0 level. Qatar Electricity & Water Co.: Short-Term – Pullback QEWS has been drifting lower over the past few days since topping the current rally at QR196.50. Moreover, volumes were also large on the decline, which is a negative sign. Further, both the indicators are looking weak. We believe although the stock is sitting exactly on its immediate support of QR190.0, it is unlikely to cling onto it and may move down further to test QR188.0. Conversely, the stock may rebound, if it manages to stay above QR190.0 on a closing basis. Al Rayan Islamic Index: Short-Term – Pullback The QERI Index ended the session in red with a cut of over 1 percent for the third straight session. The index caved in under selling pressure and penetrated below the important supports of 4,770.0 and the 21-day moving average in a single swoop. The current prognosis implies further downside toward 4,700.0, with the RSI showing a negative slope and the MACD growing in a bearish manner. However, a close above the 4,750.0 level may attract buyers. Al Meera Consumer Goods Co.: Short-Term – Pullback MERS has been making lower lows on the chart since moving below the 21-day moving average. We believe the stock may continue to underperform and head down toward its next support of QR181.40. Further, the RSI is in a downtrend mode, while the MACD is widening away from the signal line in a bearish manner, indicating sustained weakness. Meanwhile, the stock needs to move above QR185.0 to attract buying interest, until then it may move lower. Barwa Real Estate Co.: Short-Term – Pullback BRES continued on its declining mode and breached the supports of the 21-day and the 55-day moving averages. The stock has been moving along the descending trendline over the past few days and is registering losses. We believe the stock may continue to weaken further and test QR40.20 on the downside. However, a close above both the moving averages may halt its pullback. Meanwhile, both the momentum indicators are providing bearish signals. Qatar Islamic Bank: Short-Term – Pullback QIBK failed to make further headway above QR118.0 and retreated, breaching its important support of QR117.40. Moreover, the stock developed a bearish Marubozu candlestick formation, indicating a likely continuation of this pullback. We believe the stock may drift down toward QR115.0 and any sustained weakness below this level may pull it further down to test QR111.0. Meanwhile, both the momentum indicators are pointing down.
  • 2. Contacts Saugata Sarkar Abdullah Amin, CFA Shahan Keushgerian Sahbi Kasraoui Ahmed Al-Khoudary QNB Financial Services SPC Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Senior Research Analyst Manager - HNWI Head of Sales Trading – Institutional Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6569 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 Tel: (+974) 4476 6548 PO Box 24025 saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa abdullah.amin@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa ahmed.alkhoudary@qnbfs.com.qa Doha, Qatar DISCLAIMER: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange; QNB is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. While this publication has been prepared with the utmost degree of care by our analysts, QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS. Page 2 of 2 *These stocks are today’s suggested ideas Overall Methodology: The charts and descriptions on Page 1 provide an indicative view of the future direction of the equities mentioned. The table on page 2 has been provided to denote historical movements in certain stocks. The historical trend analysis uses 21- and 55- day SMAs for indicating short-term and long-term trends, respectively. Based on these SMAs, the historical direction of the trend is denoted as UP, DOWN or FLAT. Selection of Key Stocks of the Day: Key stocks’ selection is based on our analysis of 19 members of the QE Index (excludes QNBK QD). Analysis includes identifying trends (short-term as well as long-term), patterns and support/resistance levels. Trend Direction: The methods used to determine trend direction are subjective in nature. We use 21-day SMA and 55-day SMA, absolute price movements, price movements relative to SMAs and accurately drawn trend lines and chart patterns to determine the short- and long-term trends. Investment Horizon: The definition of short term and long term depends upon investors’ preferences and their investment objectives. As a rule of thumb, the time horizon for traders/short-term trend is 1-3 weeks while it is 1-3 months for investors/long-term trend. Combining Technical and Fundamental Analysis: Investors can combine technical analysis (TA) with fundamental analysis (FA) to maximize their investment returns. While the “True Value” of stocks could be estimated by FA, the entry and exit timings could be fine tuned using technical analysis to benefit from short-term movements in stock prices. Trading Tactics: The trend direction should be analyzed based on the time-horizon of your investments. In general, investors attempt selling close to resistance levels during a downtrend and attempt buying close to support levels during uptrend. Definitions: 1> Simple Moving Average (SMA): A SMA is the average of the closing price of a security for a given period. 2> RSI (Relative Strength Index): A technical momentum indicator that ranges from 0 to 100 and compares the stock’s recent price movements by evaluating recent gains and losses. Stocks with RSI above 70 could be considered overbought and below 30 could be considered oversold. If the RSI falls below 70, it is a bearish signal. On the other hand, if the RSI rises above 30 it is considered bullish. We use a RSI of 14 days. 3> MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): MACD denotes the relationship between two moving averages, which is used to spot changes in strength, direction, momentum and duration of a stock price trend. The MACD is calculated by subtracting the 26-day exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-day EMA. A nine-day EMA of the MACD, called the signal line, is also plotted on top of the MACD, functioning as a trigger for buy/sell signals. The MACD line above the signal line provides a positive signal and vice versa. Name (Ticker) Last Close Trend Support Resistance Short Term Long Term First Second First Second Qatar Exchange Index (QE Index) 14,006.46 FLAT UP 13,993.34 13,909.87 14,102.54 14,225.39 Al Rayan Islamic Index (QERI Index) 4,723.42 DOWN UP 4,707.59 4,672.95 4,750.00 4,770.31 Banks and Financial Services Banks and Masraf Al Rayan (MARK QD) 56.10 DOWN UP 55.80 54.00 57.30 58.20 Commercial Bank of Qatar (CBQK QD) 72.90 UP UP 72.40 70.70 73.40 74.30 Doha Bank (DHBK QD) 60.10 DOWN FLAT 59.90 58.80 61.00 62.00 Qatar Islamic Bank (QIBK QD)* 115.60 DOWN UP 115.00 111.00 117.40 118.90 Qatar International Islamic Bank (QIIK QD) 92.30 UP UP 91.50 90.50 93.50 96.00 Qatar Insurance (QATI QD) 98.30 DOWN UP 97.00 95.20 99.00 100.00 Al Khalij Commercial Bank (KCBK QD) 22.40 DOWN FLAT 21.99 21.70 22.49 22.85 Consumer Goods and Services Consumer Goods Medicare Group (MCGS QD) 128.60 DOWN UP 126.50 122.50 128.80 130.00 Al Meera Consumer Goods Co. (MERS QD)* 183.00 DOWN DOWN 183.00 181.60 185.00 187.80 Industrials Industrials Industries Qatar (IQCD QD) 193.00 FLAT UP 192.10 191.00 193.50 194.60 Qatar Electricity & Water Co. (QEWS QD)* 190.00 UP UP 190.00 188.00 192.00 194.00 Gulf International Services (GISS QD) 126.00 UP UP 124.10 122.50 127.00 129.80 Qatari Investors Group (QIGD QD) 58.60 DOWN UP 57.70 56.20 59.00 60.60 Real Estate Real Estate Barwa Real Estate Co. (BRES QD)* 41.10 DOWN DOWN 41.00 40.20 41.80 42.50 United Development Co. (UDCD QD) 29.30 DOWN UP 29.05 28.70 29.50 30.00 Telecom Telecom Ooredoo (ORDS QD) 135.00 UP UP 133.90 132.00 135.90 138.50 Vodafone Qatar (VFQS QD) 21.70 FLAT UP 21.40 21.00 21.97 22.30 Transportation Transportation Nakilat (QGTS QD) 24.80 FLAT UP 24.45 23.90 24.90 25.30 Milaha (QNNS QD) 96.90 UP UP 96.50 95.10 97.80 98.80