The document describes the scientific method as it applies to psycholinguistics. It discusses the key aspects of the scientific method including forming hypotheses, testing hypotheses through controlled experiments, analyzing results, and reporting findings. The scientific method seeks objective, empirical evidence and aims to falsify hypotheses rather than prove them. It values evidence that can be confirmed independently and discounts personal testimonies. Deductive and inductive reasoning are both important to the scientific method.
What is a theory? What makes a good theory?
We also look at accuracy and precision, historic examples, Karl Popper's ideas of a theories, Occam's razor, the scientific model etc. for an extensive look into the concept of a theory and its place in any discipline.
What is a theory? What makes a good theory?
We also look at accuracy and precision, historic examples, Karl Popper's ideas of a theories, Occam's razor, the scientific model etc. for an extensive look into the concept of a theory and its place in any discipline.
Explanations 6.1 Qualities of Explanations Questions 0 of 3 com.docxgitagrimston
Explanations / 6.1 Qualities of Explanations Questions: 0 of 3 complete (0%) | 0 of 2 correct (0%)
Qualities of Explanations
An explanation is a statement that provides a reason for why or how something became the way it is. Arguments present a conclusion that's presumably new to you and then support this conclusion with evidence that you're likely to believe. Explanations work the other way around: they start with a conclusion that you likely believe (e.g., the sky is blue) and then offer an explanation for why that is so (e.g., because God is a UNC fan).
We will be looking specifically at causal explanations—that is, explanations in which you suggest that a particular physical or behavioral phenomenon is the result of another event.
Situation
Explanation
Traffic on a Saturday
There must be a football game today.
Most explanations start as theories. It can be challenging to fight the human impulse to pick the first theory that comes to mind and stop there, but what are the odds that the first thing you conceive of is in fact the best possible explanation?
Situation
Explanation
Traffic on a Saturday
Perhaps there's a concert today?
Maybe an art festival?
Or possibly an accident up ahead?
With a little imagination, you can come up with a seemingly unlimited number of theories, but at some point you've likely exhausted all the plausible explanations.
Situation
Explanation
Traffic on a Saturday
Perhaps a new IKEA has been built without my hearing anything about it, and all these people are headed to the grand opening.
As with all critical thinking, you'll need some judgment here. Discard the implausible theories (at least initially) and give fair consideration to all the reasonable ones:
· State your theory clearly (make a hypothesis).
· Consider possible alternatives.
· Look at the evidence.
· Evaluate the theory.
Sometimes the facts make the explanation quite clear:
I can see a train moving through an intersection several hundred yards ahead. That explains why traffic isn't moving.
Other times, you'll need to employ inductive reasoning to establish the most likely cause:
I can't see the tracks from here, but I drive through here every Saturday morning and usually a train was responsible for traffic being stalled. So it's probably a train.
We are presented with many such explanations on a daily basis.
Why is this webpage not loading?Why are sales down for last quarter?Why is my spouse not speaking to me?
As you consider potential explanations, keep the following standards in mind.
Consistency
First, is it internally consistent or does it contradict itself?
Second, is it externally consistent? Could this explanation effectively and fully account for whatever it's supposed to explain?
A good theory should be compatible with what we already know about how the world works. This is a problem with many paranormal theories—they go against accepted scientific fact. If the theory contradicts established knowledge, the burden of proof is on the new t ...
1.1Arguments, Premises, and ConclusionsHow Logical Are You·.docxbraycarissa250
1.1Arguments, Premises, and Conclusions
How Logical Are You?
· After a momentary absence, you return to your table in the library only to find your smartphone is missing. It was there just minutes earlier. You suspect the student sitting next to you took it. After all, she has a guilty look. Also, there is a bulge in her backpack about the size of your phone, and one of the pouches has a loose strap. Then you hear a “ring” come from the backpack—and it’s the same ringtone that you use on your phone. Which of these pieces of evidence best supports your suspicion?
Answer
The best evidence is undoubtedly the “ring” you hear coming from her backpack, which is the same ringtone as the one on your phone. The weakest evidence is probably the “guilty look.” After all, what, exactly, is a guilty look? The bulge in the backpack and the loose strap are of medium value. The loose strap supports the hypothesis that something was quickly inserted into the backpack. In this section of the chapter you will learn that evidentiary statements form the premises of arguments.
Logic may be defined as the organized body of knowledge, or science, that evaluates arguments. All of us encounter arguments in our day-to-day experience. We read them in books and newspapers, hear them on television, and formulate them when communicating with friends and associates. The aim of logic is to develop a system of methods and principles that we may use as criteria for evaluating the arguments of others and as guides in constructing arguments of our own. Among the benefits to be expected from the study of logic is an increase in confidence that we are making sense when we criticize the arguments of others and when we advance arguments of our own.
An argument, in its simplest form, is a group of statements, one or more of which (the premises) are claimed to provide support for, or reasons to believe, one of the others (the conclusion). Every argument may be placed in either of two basic groups: those in which the premises really do support the conclusion and those in which they do not, even though they are claimed to. The former are said to be good arguments (at least to that extent), the latter bad arguments. The purpose of logic, as the science that evaluates arguments, is thus to develop methods and techniques that allow us to distinguish good arguments from bad.
As is apparent from the given definition, the term argument has a very specific meaning in logic. It does not mean, for example, a mere verbal fight, as one might have with one’s parent, spouse, or friend. Let us examine the features of this definition in greater detail. First of all, an argument is a group of statements. A statement is a sentence that is either true or false—in other words, typically a declarative sentence or a sentence component that could stand as a declarative sentence. The following sentences are statements:
Chocolate truffles are loaded with calories.
Melatonin helps relieve jet lag.
Political can.
1.1Arguments, Premises, and ConclusionsHow Logical Are You·.docxjeremylockett77
1.1Arguments, Premises, and Conclusions
How Logical Are You?
· After a momentary absence, you return to your table in the library only to find your smartphone is missing. It was there just minutes earlier. You suspect the student sitting next to you took it. After all, she has a guilty look. Also, there is a bulge in her backpack about the size of your phone, and one of the pouches has a loose strap. Then you hear a “ring” come from the backpack—and it’s the same ringtone that you use on your phone. Which of these pieces of evidence best supports your suspicion?
Answer
The best evidence is undoubtedly the “ring” you hear coming from her backpack, which is the same ringtone as the one on your phone. The weakest evidence is probably the “guilty look.” After all, what, exactly, is a guilty look? The bulge in the backpack and the loose strap are of medium value. The loose strap supports the hypothesis that something was quickly inserted into the backpack. In this section of the chapter you will learn that evidentiary statements form the premises of arguments.
Logic may be defined as the organized body of knowledge, or science, that evaluates arguments. All of us encounter arguments in our day-to-day experience. We read them in books and newspapers, hear them on television, and formulate them when communicating with friends and associates. The aim of logic is to develop a system of methods and principles that we may use as criteria for evaluating the arguments of others and as guides in constructing arguments of our own. Among the benefits to be expected from the study of logic is an increase in confidence that we are making sense when we criticize the arguments of others and when we advance arguments of our own.
An argument, in its simplest form, is a group of statements, one or more of which (the premises) are claimed to provide support for, or reasons to believe, one of the others (the conclusion). Every argument may be placed in either of two basic groups: those in which the premises really do support the conclusion and those in which they do not, even though they are claimed to. The former are said to be good arguments (at least to that extent), the latter bad arguments. The purpose of logic, as the science that evaluates arguments, is thus to develop methods and techniques that allow us to distinguish good arguments from bad.
As is apparent from the given definition, the term argument has a very specific meaning in logic. It does not mean, for example, a mere verbal fight, as one might have with one’s parent, spouse, or friend. Let us examine the features of this definition in greater detail. First of all, an argument is a group of statements. A statement is a sentence that is either true or false—in other words, typically a declarative sentence or a sentence component that could stand as a declarative sentence. The following sentences are statements:
Chocolate truffles are loaded with calories.
Melatonin helps relieve jet lag.
Political can ...
Explanations 6.1 Qualities of Explanations Questions 0 of 3 com.docxgitagrimston
Explanations / 6.1 Qualities of Explanations Questions: 0 of 3 complete (0%) | 0 of 2 correct (0%)
Qualities of Explanations
An explanation is a statement that provides a reason for why or how something became the way it is. Arguments present a conclusion that's presumably new to you and then support this conclusion with evidence that you're likely to believe. Explanations work the other way around: they start with a conclusion that you likely believe (e.g., the sky is blue) and then offer an explanation for why that is so (e.g., because God is a UNC fan).
We will be looking specifically at causal explanations—that is, explanations in which you suggest that a particular physical or behavioral phenomenon is the result of another event.
Situation
Explanation
Traffic on a Saturday
There must be a football game today.
Most explanations start as theories. It can be challenging to fight the human impulse to pick the first theory that comes to mind and stop there, but what are the odds that the first thing you conceive of is in fact the best possible explanation?
Situation
Explanation
Traffic on a Saturday
Perhaps there's a concert today?
Maybe an art festival?
Or possibly an accident up ahead?
With a little imagination, you can come up with a seemingly unlimited number of theories, but at some point you've likely exhausted all the plausible explanations.
Situation
Explanation
Traffic on a Saturday
Perhaps a new IKEA has been built without my hearing anything about it, and all these people are headed to the grand opening.
As with all critical thinking, you'll need some judgment here. Discard the implausible theories (at least initially) and give fair consideration to all the reasonable ones:
· State your theory clearly (make a hypothesis).
· Consider possible alternatives.
· Look at the evidence.
· Evaluate the theory.
Sometimes the facts make the explanation quite clear:
I can see a train moving through an intersection several hundred yards ahead. That explains why traffic isn't moving.
Other times, you'll need to employ inductive reasoning to establish the most likely cause:
I can't see the tracks from here, but I drive through here every Saturday morning and usually a train was responsible for traffic being stalled. So it's probably a train.
We are presented with many such explanations on a daily basis.
Why is this webpage not loading?Why are sales down for last quarter?Why is my spouse not speaking to me?
As you consider potential explanations, keep the following standards in mind.
Consistency
First, is it internally consistent or does it contradict itself?
Second, is it externally consistent? Could this explanation effectively and fully account for whatever it's supposed to explain?
A good theory should be compatible with what we already know about how the world works. This is a problem with many paranormal theories—they go against accepted scientific fact. If the theory contradicts established knowledge, the burden of proof is on the new t ...
1.1Arguments, Premises, and ConclusionsHow Logical Are You·.docxbraycarissa250
1.1Arguments, Premises, and Conclusions
How Logical Are You?
· After a momentary absence, you return to your table in the library only to find your smartphone is missing. It was there just minutes earlier. You suspect the student sitting next to you took it. After all, she has a guilty look. Also, there is a bulge in her backpack about the size of your phone, and one of the pouches has a loose strap. Then you hear a “ring” come from the backpack—and it’s the same ringtone that you use on your phone. Which of these pieces of evidence best supports your suspicion?
Answer
The best evidence is undoubtedly the “ring” you hear coming from her backpack, which is the same ringtone as the one on your phone. The weakest evidence is probably the “guilty look.” After all, what, exactly, is a guilty look? The bulge in the backpack and the loose strap are of medium value. The loose strap supports the hypothesis that something was quickly inserted into the backpack. In this section of the chapter you will learn that evidentiary statements form the premises of arguments.
Logic may be defined as the organized body of knowledge, or science, that evaluates arguments. All of us encounter arguments in our day-to-day experience. We read them in books and newspapers, hear them on television, and formulate them when communicating with friends and associates. The aim of logic is to develop a system of methods and principles that we may use as criteria for evaluating the arguments of others and as guides in constructing arguments of our own. Among the benefits to be expected from the study of logic is an increase in confidence that we are making sense when we criticize the arguments of others and when we advance arguments of our own.
An argument, in its simplest form, is a group of statements, one or more of which (the premises) are claimed to provide support for, or reasons to believe, one of the others (the conclusion). Every argument may be placed in either of two basic groups: those in which the premises really do support the conclusion and those in which they do not, even though they are claimed to. The former are said to be good arguments (at least to that extent), the latter bad arguments. The purpose of logic, as the science that evaluates arguments, is thus to develop methods and techniques that allow us to distinguish good arguments from bad.
As is apparent from the given definition, the term argument has a very specific meaning in logic. It does not mean, for example, a mere verbal fight, as one might have with one’s parent, spouse, or friend. Let us examine the features of this definition in greater detail. First of all, an argument is a group of statements. A statement is a sentence that is either true or false—in other words, typically a declarative sentence or a sentence component that could stand as a declarative sentence. The following sentences are statements:
Chocolate truffles are loaded with calories.
Melatonin helps relieve jet lag.
Political can.
1.1Arguments, Premises, and ConclusionsHow Logical Are You·.docxjeremylockett77
1.1Arguments, Premises, and Conclusions
How Logical Are You?
· After a momentary absence, you return to your table in the library only to find your smartphone is missing. It was there just minutes earlier. You suspect the student sitting next to you took it. After all, she has a guilty look. Also, there is a bulge in her backpack about the size of your phone, and one of the pouches has a loose strap. Then you hear a “ring” come from the backpack—and it’s the same ringtone that you use on your phone. Which of these pieces of evidence best supports your suspicion?
Answer
The best evidence is undoubtedly the “ring” you hear coming from her backpack, which is the same ringtone as the one on your phone. The weakest evidence is probably the “guilty look.” After all, what, exactly, is a guilty look? The bulge in the backpack and the loose strap are of medium value. The loose strap supports the hypothesis that something was quickly inserted into the backpack. In this section of the chapter you will learn that evidentiary statements form the premises of arguments.
Logic may be defined as the organized body of knowledge, or science, that evaluates arguments. All of us encounter arguments in our day-to-day experience. We read them in books and newspapers, hear them on television, and formulate them when communicating with friends and associates. The aim of logic is to develop a system of methods and principles that we may use as criteria for evaluating the arguments of others and as guides in constructing arguments of our own. Among the benefits to be expected from the study of logic is an increase in confidence that we are making sense when we criticize the arguments of others and when we advance arguments of our own.
An argument, in its simplest form, is a group of statements, one or more of which (the premises) are claimed to provide support for, or reasons to believe, one of the others (the conclusion). Every argument may be placed in either of two basic groups: those in which the premises really do support the conclusion and those in which they do not, even though they are claimed to. The former are said to be good arguments (at least to that extent), the latter bad arguments. The purpose of logic, as the science that evaluates arguments, is thus to develop methods and techniques that allow us to distinguish good arguments from bad.
As is apparent from the given definition, the term argument has a very specific meaning in logic. It does not mean, for example, a mere verbal fight, as one might have with one’s parent, spouse, or friend. Let us examine the features of this definition in greater detail. First of all, an argument is a group of statements. A statement is a sentence that is either true or false—in other words, typically a declarative sentence or a sentence component that could stand as a declarative sentence. The following sentences are statements:
Chocolate truffles are loaded with calories.
Melatonin helps relieve jet lag.
Political can ...
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Class8 - the Scientific Method Applied to Psycholinguistics
1. The Scientific Method Applied
to Psycholinguistics
LCD 105 – Class 8 – Professor Nathacia
2. In "The Analytical Language of John Wilkins," Borges describes 'a certain Chinese
Encyclopedia,' the Celestial Emporium of Benevolent Knowledge, in which it is written
that animals are divided into:
1. those that belong to the Emperor,
2. embalmed ones,
3. those that are trained,
4. suckling pigs,
5. mermaids,
6. fabulous ones,
7. stray dogs,
8. those included in the present classification,
9. those that tremble as if they were mad,
10. innumerable ones,
11. those drawn with a very fine camelhair brush,
12. others,
13. those that have just broken a flower vase,
14. those that from a long way off look like flies.
This classification has been used by many writers. It "shattered all the familiar
landmarks of his thought" for Michel Foucault. Anthropologists and ethnographers,
German teachers, postmodern feminists, Australian museum curators, and artists quote
it. The list of people influenced by the list has the same heterogeneous character as the
list itself.
3. • Scientific Method is the systematic attempt of turning
those limitations around.
• It is the set of procedures to help us on the task of not
getting fooled by ourselves.
• Science seeks objective measures that can be
confirmed in independent events.
• It demands evidences
open to public judgement.
• Personal testimonies are
under valued.
4. • Reason as source of
knowledge
• Intellectual
• Methods of reasoning:
§ Intuition
§ Deduction
§ Induction
§ Abduction
• Experience as source
of knowledge
• Sensory
• Empirical methods:
§ Observation
§ Experimentation
Rationalism Empiricism
5. DEDUCTION
Deductive reasoning is when one gets to
a particular truth from a more general
one. Therefore, when we include a more
specific fact into a more general one, we
are reasoning through deduction.
1) A always equals B (general fact, also
known by first premise);
2) There is an X that equals A (particular
case or second premise);
3) Therefore, this X equals B
(conclusion).
6. Inductive reasoning is when we go the
opposite way: observing particular cases,
isolated, we look for a pattern, or a general
rule that can explain and be applied to all
observed cases.
1)All observed As equal B (data
observation, isolated facts);
2)Therefore, all A equals B.
INDUCTION
7. Deductive reasoning: immediate inferences, syllogism or
conditional argumentation.
All animals are mortal
All men are animals
Therefore, all men are mortal
Inductive reasoning: from particular cases to general inferences;
predictions.
Copper conducts electricity.
Iron conducts electricity.
Silver conducts electricity.
Gold conducts electricity.
Copper, iron, silver and gold are metals.
Metals are electrical conductors.
DEDUCTION VS. INDUCTION
8. Are you able to solve this case?
A man was found dead Sunday morning.
His wife called the cops immediately. The officer questioned the wife and the
employees and registered their alibi:
The woman said she was sleeping.
The chef said he was cooking the brunch.
The gardener said he was getting vegetables outside.
The maid said she was getting the mails outside.
The waiter said he was cleaning the kitchen floor that was dirty with mud
from the gardener’s boots.
The police arrested the murderer immediately. Who was the murder and
why?
10. POPPER:
A theory is only scientific when it is
refutable by a conceivable event.
The aim is not to prove a hypothesis right,
but to prove it wrong.
The point is the more you fail in prove your
hypothesis wrong, the more it is reliable
(probability).
It is true just for that moment under that
conditions.
FALSIFYABILITY
12. Problem
Initial (question)
When we observe the world with “virgin eyes”,
events can be questioned. And when we
question an event, we give the first step toward a
scientific investigation.
I have a car which I use daily.
This week, I put on some Premium gas from
Exxon and it seems that it is taking longer for
my car to run out of gas again.
13. Background
investigation
When we question something we observed
in the world, a new observation process takes
place. A more systematic and specialized
one, that might help us understand better
what is going on.
- Gas composition
- Motor of my car
- Comment about my suspecting with other
people
14. Hypothesis
formulation
When we question an event and engage in a
deeper observation, we are able to
formulate a hypothesis about that event,
give possible explanations. We also take as
true some hypothesis formulated by others
that we found during our background
investigation.
Premium gas from Exxon burns slower than
others in 1.8 sport cars
15. Testing with
Experiments
A hypothesis have only some chance of
being a good explanation to a phenomenon.
Therefore, we need to test the phenomenon
to see if our hypothesis isn’t false, or built
upon wrong facts/ assumptions.
Independent Variables are factors involved
with the event that may be involved in the
explanation to the phenomenon.
Therefore, it is the set of factors that can
be manipulated on testing.
16. Independent Variables
1.Type of gas with similar features by brand
Premium from Exxon
Premium from Conoco
Premium from Mobil
2. Type of car (place of original design) to
similar models (1.8 sport)
Asian
European
American
Testing with
Experiments
17. To test all factors, in all possible combinations, what should we do?
Factorial combination!
Premium from
Exxon (X)
Premium from
Conoco (C)
Premium from
Mobil (M)
Asian (A) XA CA MA
European (E) XE CE ME
American (U) XU CU MU
Testing with
Experiments
18. Dependent Variables are factors that are
altered by the test, during testing. But not
ANY altered factor, only those that tell us
something about what we are testing and
about our initial hypothesis. They are the
set of factors that we measure. They
depend on what kind of testing we are
conducting.
What can we measure to understand if the
Premium Gas from Exxon burns slower than
others? How can we test that?
Testing with
Experiments
19. Result
Analysis
Hypothesis is
being confirmed
Hypothesis is
being negated
After we run the tests, we have to observe our results, through analysis
of the measures of our dependent variables.
In order to see the bigger picture, mathematical calculus and statistics
may (and must) help us.
Many times, knowledge about other things and events in the world can
help us understand and analise our results.
Our results will support or negate our hypothesis.
20. Report
A very important part of the method is the
report. It is thought to register all the details
about that experimentation, and to discuss
our opinions and reasoning on the results.
21. Back to
Hypothesis
When we go back to our hypothesis, either to rethink it
because it failed, or to test further, we have to think of
all the things we didn't measure or that we didn't
controlled.
22. What are some other factors that we could
control or measure?
Independent Variables:
- Year of manufacturing
- Type of road
- Type of gas
Controls:
- Same driver
- Gas station
- Year of manufacturing
Dependent Variables:
- Dust in motor
- Filters
- Power/ Performance
Back to
Hypothesis