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The Labor Market Situation in October 
November 12, 2014 
Heidi Shierholz, Ph.D. 
Chief Economist 
UNITED STATES 
DEPARTMENT OF LABOR
Total nonfarm employment increased 214,000 
1-month change, in thousands 
• October 2014 214 
• September 2014 256 
• August 2014 203 
12-month change, in thousands 
• September 2013 to 2014: 2,643 
• Average: 220 
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics www.bls.gov/ces 
1 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 1
Private sector employment increased 209,000 
1-month change, in thousands 
• October 2014 209 
• September 2014 244 
• August 2014 200 
12-month change, in thousands 
• September 2013 to 2014: 2,583 
• Average: 215 
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics www.bls.gov/ces 
2 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 2
Employment growth by super-sector this month 
Over-the-month employment change, 
October 2014, seasonally adjusted, in thousands 
Over-the-month employment change, 
October 2013, seasonally adjusted, in thousands 
0.4% 
0.2% 
0.2% 
0.2% 
0.1% 
0.3% 
0.2% 
0.1% 
0.0% 
0.0% 
0.1% 
0.1% 
0.1% 
-0.1% -4 
3 
3 
1 
0 
5 
9 
13 
12 
15 
27 
37 
41 
52 
Leisure and Hospitality* 
Education and Health Services* 
Professional and Business Services 
Retail Trade* 
Manufacturing 
Transportation and Warehousing 
Construction 
Wholesale Trade 
Government 
Financial Activities 
Other Services 
Mining and Logging* 
Utilities 
Information 
1-Month Net Change 
Prior 12-month average 
-15.0 0.0 15.0 30.0 45.0 60.0 
*denotes significance 
*denotes significance Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics www.bls.gov/ces 
3 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 3
Unemployment rounded down, 
Long-term unemployment was unchanged 
Civilian unemployment rate, by duration of unemployment, 
January 1990 to September 2014, seasonally adjusted 
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey www.bls.gov/cps 
4 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 4
Labor force participation steady since October 2013 
Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate, 
January 1990 to October 2014, seasonally adjusted 
October 2014: 62.8 % 
September 2014: 62.7 % 
August 2014: 62.8 % 
October 2013: 62.8 % 
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey www.bls.gov/cps 
5 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 5
Employment rate age 25 to 54, essentially flat this month 
significantly up from October 2013 
Employment-to-Population Ratio and Labor Force Participation, 
age 25 to 54, January 1990 to September 2014, seasonally adjusted 
Employment to Population 
October 2014: 76.9 % 
September 2014: 76.7 % 
August 2014: 76.8 % 
October 2013: 75.5 % 
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey www.bls.gov/cps 
Labor Force Participation 
October 2014: 80.8 % 
September 2014: 80.7 % 
August 2014: 81.1 % 
October 2013: 80.6 % 
6 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 6
What’s going on with part-time employment? 
Part time for economic reasons, 
as a percent of total employment, seasonally adjusted, 2004 to 2014 
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey www.bls.gov/cps 
7 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 7
2.2 million jobseekers found employment, 
2.1 million dropped out of the labor force 
Labor Force Status Flows out of Unemployment, 
January 1990 to October 2014, seasonally adjusted 
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey www.bls.gov/cps 
8 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 8
Hourly earnings growth has remained flat at 2.0%, 
but low inflation has resulted in some small real wage growth 
Average hourly earnings, all private sector employees, 
January 2007 to October 2014, seasonally adjusted 
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics, www.bls.gov/ces 
9 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 9
Gulf War II-era Veterans have elevated unemployment rates 
Unemployment Rate for Veterans 
2009 to 2014, 12-month moving average not seasonally adjusted 
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey www.bls.gov/cps 
10 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 10
Young Veterans in particular face challenges 
Unemployment Rate for Veterans age 20 to 24 
2009 to 2014, 12-month moving average not seasonally adjusted 
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey www.bls.gov/cps 
11 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 11
Gulf War-era II women’s unemployment rate similar to 
men’s for that era 
Unemployment Rate for Veterans by period of service and gender 
2013 annual averages 
12 Filename/RPS Number Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Office Current Population of Economic Survey www.bls.Policy gov/cps 
12
Dr. Heidi Shierholz 
Chief Economist 
UNITED STATES 
DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

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The Labor Market Situation in October, Department of Labor, Dr. Shierholz

  • 1. The Labor Market Situation in October November 12, 2014 Heidi Shierholz, Ph.D. Chief Economist UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF LABOR
  • 2. Total nonfarm employment increased 214,000 1-month change, in thousands • October 2014 214 • September 2014 256 • August 2014 203 12-month change, in thousands • September 2013 to 2014: 2,643 • Average: 220 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics www.bls.gov/ces 1 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 1
  • 3. Private sector employment increased 209,000 1-month change, in thousands • October 2014 209 • September 2014 244 • August 2014 200 12-month change, in thousands • September 2013 to 2014: 2,583 • Average: 215 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics www.bls.gov/ces 2 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 2
  • 4. Employment growth by super-sector this month Over-the-month employment change, October 2014, seasonally adjusted, in thousands Over-the-month employment change, October 2013, seasonally adjusted, in thousands 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% -0.1% -4 3 3 1 0 5 9 13 12 15 27 37 41 52 Leisure and Hospitality* Education and Health Services* Professional and Business Services Retail Trade* Manufacturing Transportation and Warehousing Construction Wholesale Trade Government Financial Activities Other Services Mining and Logging* Utilities Information 1-Month Net Change Prior 12-month average -15.0 0.0 15.0 30.0 45.0 60.0 *denotes significance *denotes significance Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics www.bls.gov/ces 3 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 3
  • 5. Unemployment rounded down, Long-term unemployment was unchanged Civilian unemployment rate, by duration of unemployment, January 1990 to September 2014, seasonally adjusted Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey www.bls.gov/cps 4 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 4
  • 6. Labor force participation steady since October 2013 Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate, January 1990 to October 2014, seasonally adjusted October 2014: 62.8 % September 2014: 62.7 % August 2014: 62.8 % October 2013: 62.8 % Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey www.bls.gov/cps 5 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 5
  • 7. Employment rate age 25 to 54, essentially flat this month significantly up from October 2013 Employment-to-Population Ratio and Labor Force Participation, age 25 to 54, January 1990 to September 2014, seasonally adjusted Employment to Population October 2014: 76.9 % September 2014: 76.7 % August 2014: 76.8 % October 2013: 75.5 % Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey www.bls.gov/cps Labor Force Participation October 2014: 80.8 % September 2014: 80.7 % August 2014: 81.1 % October 2013: 80.6 % 6 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 6
  • 8. What’s going on with part-time employment? Part time for economic reasons, as a percent of total employment, seasonally adjusted, 2004 to 2014 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey www.bls.gov/cps 7 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 7
  • 9. 2.2 million jobseekers found employment, 2.1 million dropped out of the labor force Labor Force Status Flows out of Unemployment, January 1990 to October 2014, seasonally adjusted Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey www.bls.gov/cps 8 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 8
  • 10. Hourly earnings growth has remained flat at 2.0%, but low inflation has resulted in some small real wage growth Average hourly earnings, all private sector employees, January 2007 to October 2014, seasonally adjusted Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics, www.bls.gov/ces 9 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 9
  • 11. Gulf War II-era Veterans have elevated unemployment rates Unemployment Rate for Veterans 2009 to 2014, 12-month moving average not seasonally adjusted Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey www.bls.gov/cps 10 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 10
  • 12. Young Veterans in particular face challenges Unemployment Rate for Veterans age 20 to 24 2009 to 2014, 12-month moving average not seasonally adjusted Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey www.bls.gov/cps 11 Filename/RPS Number Office of Economic Policy 11
  • 13. Gulf War-era II women’s unemployment rate similar to men’s for that era Unemployment Rate for Veterans by period of service and gender 2013 annual averages 12 Filename/RPS Number Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Office Current Population of Economic Survey www.bls.Policy gov/cps 12
  • 14. Dr. Heidi Shierholz Chief Economist UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF LABOR