SlideShare a Scribd company logo
P(H|E)= [P(E|H) P(H)]/P(E)
You
Gopal
Gopal is a very shy and withdrawn, invariably
helpful but with very little interest in people
or in the world of reality. A meek and tidy soul,
he has a need for order and structure, and a
passion for detail.
Seem bookish….. He might
be a scientist.
Scientist(90%) Farmer(10%)
You
Scientist Farmer
Scientist Farmer
Stereotype Unexpected
200
4
20
1:20
1
0
P(Scientist given farmer )
= 4/(4+20)
= 16.7%
P(H|E)= [P(E|H) P(H)]/P(E)
Bayes’ rule
P(H) = Probability of a hypothesis is true (before any
evidence)
P(E|H)= Probability of seeing the evidence if the
hypothesis is true.
P(E)= Probability of seeing the evidence.
P(H|E)= Probability of hypothesis is true given some
evidence.
Biotechnologist
Biotechnologist
What is the probability of the event “both children are girls” (B) conditional on the event “the older child is a
girl” (G)?
“Critical thinking is an active and
ongoing process. It requires that we all
think like Bayesians, updating our
knowledge as new information comes
in.”
THANK
YOU

More Related Content

More from CHIRANTANMONDAL2

Lac Operon System(Catabolite Repression).pptx
Lac Operon System(Catabolite Repression).pptxLac Operon System(Catabolite Repression).pptx
Lac Operon System(Catabolite Repression).pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
DNA POLYMERASE.pptx
DNA POLYMERASE.pptxDNA POLYMERASE.pptx
DNA POLYMERASE.pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
DNA POLYMERASE AND RNA POLYMERASE.pptx
DNA POLYMERASE AND RNA POLYMERASE.pptxDNA POLYMERASE AND RNA POLYMERASE.pptx
DNA POLYMERASE AND RNA POLYMERASE.pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
PROKARYOTES DNA RPLICATION.pptx
PROKARYOTES DNA RPLICATION.pptxPROKARYOTES DNA RPLICATION.pptx
PROKARYOTES DNA RPLICATION.pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
PROKARYOTIC DNA REPLICATION .pptx
PROKARYOTIC DNA REPLICATION .pptxPROKARYOTIC DNA REPLICATION .pptx
PROKARYOTIC DNA REPLICATION .pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
Prokaryotic DNA replication.pptx
Prokaryotic DNA replication.pptxProkaryotic DNA replication.pptx
Prokaryotic DNA replication.pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
DNA repair mechanism and their types.pptx
DNA repair mechanism and their types.pptxDNA repair mechanism and their types.pptx
DNA repair mechanism and their types.pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
TOPIC NAME Structure of DNA and their Type.pptx
TOPIC NAME  Structure of DNA and their Type.pptxTOPIC NAME  Structure of DNA and their Type.pptx
TOPIC NAME Structure of DNA and their Type.pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
LAC OPERON SYSTEM.pptx
LAC  OPERON  SYSTEM.pptxLAC  OPERON  SYSTEM.pptx
LAC OPERON SYSTEM.pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
LAC OPERON 2.pptx
LAC  OPERON 2.pptxLAC  OPERON 2.pptx
LAC OPERON 2.pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
DNA STRUCTURE AND TYPES.pptx
DNA STRUCTURE AND TYPES.pptxDNA STRUCTURE AND TYPES.pptx
DNA STRUCTURE AND TYPES.pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
TOPIC-DNA repair mechanism and their types.pptx
TOPIC-DNA repair mechanism and their types.pptxTOPIC-DNA repair mechanism and their types.pptx
TOPIC-DNA repair mechanism and their types.pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
Structure of DNA & Their Types.pptx
Structure of DNA  & Their Types.pptxStructure of DNA  & Their Types.pptx
Structure of DNA & Their Types.pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
STRUCTURE OF DNA AND THEIR TYPES.pptx
STRUCTURE OF DNA AND THEIR TYPES.pptxSTRUCTURE OF DNA AND THEIR TYPES.pptx
STRUCTURE OF DNA AND THEIR TYPES.pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
DNA DAMAGE AND MUTATION.pptx
DNA DAMAGE AND MUTATION.pptxDNA DAMAGE AND MUTATION.pptx
DNA DAMAGE AND MUTATION.pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
RNA Polymerase.pptx
RNA Polymerase.pptxRNA Polymerase.pptx
RNA Polymerase.pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
Splicing and m-RNA formation.pptx
Splicing and m-RNA formation.pptxSplicing and m-RNA formation.pptx
Splicing and m-RNA formation.pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
LAC OPERON.pptx
LAC  OPERON.pptxLAC  OPERON.pptx
LAC OPERON.pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
Different Types and Structure.pptx
Different Types  and Structure.pptxDifferent Types  and Structure.pptx
Different Types and Structure.pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 
DNA Polymerase And RNA Polymerase .pptx
DNA Polymerase And RNA Polymerase .pptxDNA Polymerase And RNA Polymerase .pptx
DNA Polymerase And RNA Polymerase .pptx
CHIRANTANMONDAL2
 

More from CHIRANTANMONDAL2 (20)

Lac Operon System(Catabolite Repression).pptx
Lac Operon System(Catabolite Repression).pptxLac Operon System(Catabolite Repression).pptx
Lac Operon System(Catabolite Repression).pptx
 
DNA POLYMERASE.pptx
DNA POLYMERASE.pptxDNA POLYMERASE.pptx
DNA POLYMERASE.pptx
 
DNA POLYMERASE AND RNA POLYMERASE.pptx
DNA POLYMERASE AND RNA POLYMERASE.pptxDNA POLYMERASE AND RNA POLYMERASE.pptx
DNA POLYMERASE AND RNA POLYMERASE.pptx
 
PROKARYOTES DNA RPLICATION.pptx
PROKARYOTES DNA RPLICATION.pptxPROKARYOTES DNA RPLICATION.pptx
PROKARYOTES DNA RPLICATION.pptx
 
PROKARYOTIC DNA REPLICATION .pptx
PROKARYOTIC DNA REPLICATION .pptxPROKARYOTIC DNA REPLICATION .pptx
PROKARYOTIC DNA REPLICATION .pptx
 
Prokaryotic DNA replication.pptx
Prokaryotic DNA replication.pptxProkaryotic DNA replication.pptx
Prokaryotic DNA replication.pptx
 
DNA repair mechanism and their types.pptx
DNA repair mechanism and their types.pptxDNA repair mechanism and their types.pptx
DNA repair mechanism and their types.pptx
 
TOPIC NAME Structure of DNA and their Type.pptx
TOPIC NAME  Structure of DNA and their Type.pptxTOPIC NAME  Structure of DNA and their Type.pptx
TOPIC NAME Structure of DNA and their Type.pptx
 
LAC OPERON SYSTEM.pptx
LAC  OPERON  SYSTEM.pptxLAC  OPERON  SYSTEM.pptx
LAC OPERON SYSTEM.pptx
 
LAC OPERON 2.pptx
LAC  OPERON 2.pptxLAC  OPERON 2.pptx
LAC OPERON 2.pptx
 
DNA STRUCTURE AND TYPES.pptx
DNA STRUCTURE AND TYPES.pptxDNA STRUCTURE AND TYPES.pptx
DNA STRUCTURE AND TYPES.pptx
 
TOPIC-DNA repair mechanism and their types.pptx
TOPIC-DNA repair mechanism and their types.pptxTOPIC-DNA repair mechanism and their types.pptx
TOPIC-DNA repair mechanism and their types.pptx
 
Structure of DNA & Their Types.pptx
Structure of DNA  & Their Types.pptxStructure of DNA  & Their Types.pptx
Structure of DNA & Their Types.pptx
 
STRUCTURE OF DNA AND THEIR TYPES.pptx
STRUCTURE OF DNA AND THEIR TYPES.pptxSTRUCTURE OF DNA AND THEIR TYPES.pptx
STRUCTURE OF DNA AND THEIR TYPES.pptx
 
DNA DAMAGE AND MUTATION.pptx
DNA DAMAGE AND MUTATION.pptxDNA DAMAGE AND MUTATION.pptx
DNA DAMAGE AND MUTATION.pptx
 
RNA Polymerase.pptx
RNA Polymerase.pptxRNA Polymerase.pptx
RNA Polymerase.pptx
 
Splicing and m-RNA formation.pptx
Splicing and m-RNA formation.pptxSplicing and m-RNA formation.pptx
Splicing and m-RNA formation.pptx
 
LAC OPERON.pptx
LAC  OPERON.pptxLAC  OPERON.pptx
LAC OPERON.pptx
 
Different Types and Structure.pptx
Different Types  and Structure.pptxDifferent Types  and Structure.pptx
Different Types and Structure.pptx
 
DNA Polymerase And RNA Polymerase .pptx
DNA Polymerase And RNA Polymerase .pptxDNA Polymerase And RNA Polymerase .pptx
DNA Polymerase And RNA Polymerase .pptx
 

Recently uploaded

Juneteenth Freedom Day 2024 David Douglas School District
Juneteenth Freedom Day 2024 David Douglas School DistrictJuneteenth Freedom Day 2024 David Douglas School District
Juneteenth Freedom Day 2024 David Douglas School District
David Douglas School District
 
MDP on air pollution of class 8 year 2024-2025
MDP on air pollution of class 8 year 2024-2025MDP on air pollution of class 8 year 2024-2025
MDP on air pollution of class 8 year 2024-2025
khuleseema60
 
Wound healing PPT
Wound healing PPTWound healing PPT
Wound healing PPT
Jyoti Chand
 
CHUYÊN ĐỀ ÔN TẬP VÀ PHÁT TRIỂN CÂU HỎI TRONG ĐỀ MINH HỌA THI TỐT NGHIỆP THPT ...
CHUYÊN ĐỀ ÔN TẬP VÀ PHÁT TRIỂN CÂU HỎI TRONG ĐỀ MINH HỌA THI TỐT NGHIỆP THPT ...CHUYÊN ĐỀ ÔN TẬP VÀ PHÁT TRIỂN CÂU HỎI TRONG ĐỀ MINH HỌA THI TỐT NGHIỆP THPT ...
CHUYÊN ĐỀ ÔN TẬP VÀ PHÁT TRIỂN CÂU HỎI TRONG ĐỀ MINH HỌA THI TỐT NGHIỆP THPT ...
Nguyen Thanh Tu Collection
 
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ TIẾNG ANH LỚP 8 - CẢ NĂM - FRIENDS PLUS - NĂM HỌC 2023-2024 (B...
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ TIẾNG ANH LỚP 8 - CẢ NĂM - FRIENDS PLUS - NĂM HỌC 2023-2024 (B...BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ TIẾNG ANH LỚP 8 - CẢ NĂM - FRIENDS PLUS - NĂM HỌC 2023-2024 (B...
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ TIẾNG ANH LỚP 8 - CẢ NĂM - FRIENDS PLUS - NĂM HỌC 2023-2024 (B...
Nguyen Thanh Tu Collection
 
Educational Technology in the Health Sciences
Educational Technology in the Health SciencesEducational Technology in the Health Sciences
Educational Technology in the Health Sciences
Iris Thiele Isip-Tan
 
NIPER 2024 MEMORY BASED QUESTIONS.ANSWERS TO NIPER 2024 QUESTIONS.NIPER JEE 2...
NIPER 2024 MEMORY BASED QUESTIONS.ANSWERS TO NIPER 2024 QUESTIONS.NIPER JEE 2...NIPER 2024 MEMORY BASED QUESTIONS.ANSWERS TO NIPER 2024 QUESTIONS.NIPER JEE 2...
NIPER 2024 MEMORY BASED QUESTIONS.ANSWERS TO NIPER 2024 QUESTIONS.NIPER JEE 2...
Payaamvohra1
 
Elevate Your Nonprofit's Online Presence_ A Guide to Effective SEO Strategies...
Elevate Your Nonprofit's Online Presence_ A Guide to Effective SEO Strategies...Elevate Your Nonprofit's Online Presence_ A Guide to Effective SEO Strategies...
Elevate Your Nonprofit's Online Presence_ A Guide to Effective SEO Strategies...
TechSoup
 
Jemison, MacLaughlin, and Majumder "Broadening Pathways for Editors and Authors"
Jemison, MacLaughlin, and Majumder "Broadening Pathways for Editors and Authors"Jemison, MacLaughlin, and Majumder "Broadening Pathways for Editors and Authors"
Jemison, MacLaughlin, and Majumder "Broadening Pathways for Editors and Authors"
National Information Standards Organization (NISO)
 
Data Structure using C by Dr. K Adisesha .ppsx
Data Structure using C by Dr. K Adisesha .ppsxData Structure using C by Dr. K Adisesha .ppsx
Data Structure using C by Dr. K Adisesha .ppsx
Prof. Dr. K. Adisesha
 
Philippine Edukasyong Pantahanan at Pangkabuhayan (EPP) Curriculum
Philippine Edukasyong Pantahanan at Pangkabuhayan (EPP) CurriculumPhilippine Edukasyong Pantahanan at Pangkabuhayan (EPP) Curriculum
Philippine Edukasyong Pantahanan at Pangkabuhayan (EPP) Curriculum
MJDuyan
 
Bonku-Babus-Friend by Sathyajith Ray (9)
Bonku-Babus-Friend by Sathyajith Ray  (9)Bonku-Babus-Friend by Sathyajith Ray  (9)
Bonku-Babus-Friend by Sathyajith Ray (9)
nitinpv4ai
 
CIS 4200-02 Group 1 Final Project Report (1).pdf
CIS 4200-02 Group 1 Final Project Report (1).pdfCIS 4200-02 Group 1 Final Project Report (1).pdf
CIS 4200-02 Group 1 Final Project Report (1).pdf
blueshagoo1
 
REASIGNACION 2024 UGEL CHUPACA 2024 UGEL CHUPACA.pdf
REASIGNACION 2024 UGEL CHUPACA 2024 UGEL CHUPACA.pdfREASIGNACION 2024 UGEL CHUPACA 2024 UGEL CHUPACA.pdf
REASIGNACION 2024 UGEL CHUPACA 2024 UGEL CHUPACA.pdf
giancarloi8888
 
A Free 200-Page eBook ~ Brain and Mind Exercise.pptx
A Free 200-Page eBook ~ Brain and Mind Exercise.pptxA Free 200-Page eBook ~ Brain and Mind Exercise.pptx
A Free 200-Page eBook ~ Brain and Mind Exercise.pptx
OH TEIK BIN
 
NEWSPAPERS - QUESTION 1 - REVISION POWERPOINT.pptx
NEWSPAPERS - QUESTION 1 - REVISION POWERPOINT.pptxNEWSPAPERS - QUESTION 1 - REVISION POWERPOINT.pptx
NEWSPAPERS - QUESTION 1 - REVISION POWERPOINT.pptx
iammrhaywood
 
CapTechTalks Webinar Slides June 2024 Donovan Wright.pptx
CapTechTalks Webinar Slides June 2024 Donovan Wright.pptxCapTechTalks Webinar Slides June 2024 Donovan Wright.pptx
CapTechTalks Webinar Slides June 2024 Donovan Wright.pptx
CapitolTechU
 
A Visual Guide to 1 Samuel | A Tale of Two Hearts
A Visual Guide to 1 Samuel | A Tale of Two HeartsA Visual Guide to 1 Samuel | A Tale of Two Hearts
A Visual Guide to 1 Samuel | A Tale of Two Hearts
Steve Thomason
 
Level 3 NCEA - NZ: A Nation In the Making 1872 - 1900 SML.ppt
Level 3 NCEA - NZ: A  Nation In the Making 1872 - 1900 SML.pptLevel 3 NCEA - NZ: A  Nation In the Making 1872 - 1900 SML.ppt
Level 3 NCEA - NZ: A Nation In the Making 1872 - 1900 SML.ppt
Henry Hollis
 
HYPERTENSION - SLIDE SHARE PRESENTATION.
HYPERTENSION - SLIDE SHARE PRESENTATION.HYPERTENSION - SLIDE SHARE PRESENTATION.
HYPERTENSION - SLIDE SHARE PRESENTATION.
deepaannamalai16
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Juneteenth Freedom Day 2024 David Douglas School District
Juneteenth Freedom Day 2024 David Douglas School DistrictJuneteenth Freedom Day 2024 David Douglas School District
Juneteenth Freedom Day 2024 David Douglas School District
 
MDP on air pollution of class 8 year 2024-2025
MDP on air pollution of class 8 year 2024-2025MDP on air pollution of class 8 year 2024-2025
MDP on air pollution of class 8 year 2024-2025
 
Wound healing PPT
Wound healing PPTWound healing PPT
Wound healing PPT
 
CHUYÊN ĐỀ ÔN TẬP VÀ PHÁT TRIỂN CÂU HỎI TRONG ĐỀ MINH HỌA THI TỐT NGHIỆP THPT ...
CHUYÊN ĐỀ ÔN TẬP VÀ PHÁT TRIỂN CÂU HỎI TRONG ĐỀ MINH HỌA THI TỐT NGHIỆP THPT ...CHUYÊN ĐỀ ÔN TẬP VÀ PHÁT TRIỂN CÂU HỎI TRONG ĐỀ MINH HỌA THI TỐT NGHIỆP THPT ...
CHUYÊN ĐỀ ÔN TẬP VÀ PHÁT TRIỂN CÂU HỎI TRONG ĐỀ MINH HỌA THI TỐT NGHIỆP THPT ...
 
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ TIẾNG ANH LỚP 8 - CẢ NĂM - FRIENDS PLUS - NĂM HỌC 2023-2024 (B...
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ TIẾNG ANH LỚP 8 - CẢ NĂM - FRIENDS PLUS - NĂM HỌC 2023-2024 (B...BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ TIẾNG ANH LỚP 8 - CẢ NĂM - FRIENDS PLUS - NĂM HỌC 2023-2024 (B...
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ TIẾNG ANH LỚP 8 - CẢ NĂM - FRIENDS PLUS - NĂM HỌC 2023-2024 (B...
 
Educational Technology in the Health Sciences
Educational Technology in the Health SciencesEducational Technology in the Health Sciences
Educational Technology in the Health Sciences
 
NIPER 2024 MEMORY BASED QUESTIONS.ANSWERS TO NIPER 2024 QUESTIONS.NIPER JEE 2...
NIPER 2024 MEMORY BASED QUESTIONS.ANSWERS TO NIPER 2024 QUESTIONS.NIPER JEE 2...NIPER 2024 MEMORY BASED QUESTIONS.ANSWERS TO NIPER 2024 QUESTIONS.NIPER JEE 2...
NIPER 2024 MEMORY BASED QUESTIONS.ANSWERS TO NIPER 2024 QUESTIONS.NIPER JEE 2...
 
Elevate Your Nonprofit's Online Presence_ A Guide to Effective SEO Strategies...
Elevate Your Nonprofit's Online Presence_ A Guide to Effective SEO Strategies...Elevate Your Nonprofit's Online Presence_ A Guide to Effective SEO Strategies...
Elevate Your Nonprofit's Online Presence_ A Guide to Effective SEO Strategies...
 
Jemison, MacLaughlin, and Majumder "Broadening Pathways for Editors and Authors"
Jemison, MacLaughlin, and Majumder "Broadening Pathways for Editors and Authors"Jemison, MacLaughlin, and Majumder "Broadening Pathways for Editors and Authors"
Jemison, MacLaughlin, and Majumder "Broadening Pathways for Editors and Authors"
 
Data Structure using C by Dr. K Adisesha .ppsx
Data Structure using C by Dr. K Adisesha .ppsxData Structure using C by Dr. K Adisesha .ppsx
Data Structure using C by Dr. K Adisesha .ppsx
 
Philippine Edukasyong Pantahanan at Pangkabuhayan (EPP) Curriculum
Philippine Edukasyong Pantahanan at Pangkabuhayan (EPP) CurriculumPhilippine Edukasyong Pantahanan at Pangkabuhayan (EPP) Curriculum
Philippine Edukasyong Pantahanan at Pangkabuhayan (EPP) Curriculum
 
Bonku-Babus-Friend by Sathyajith Ray (9)
Bonku-Babus-Friend by Sathyajith Ray  (9)Bonku-Babus-Friend by Sathyajith Ray  (9)
Bonku-Babus-Friend by Sathyajith Ray (9)
 
CIS 4200-02 Group 1 Final Project Report (1).pdf
CIS 4200-02 Group 1 Final Project Report (1).pdfCIS 4200-02 Group 1 Final Project Report (1).pdf
CIS 4200-02 Group 1 Final Project Report (1).pdf
 
REASIGNACION 2024 UGEL CHUPACA 2024 UGEL CHUPACA.pdf
REASIGNACION 2024 UGEL CHUPACA 2024 UGEL CHUPACA.pdfREASIGNACION 2024 UGEL CHUPACA 2024 UGEL CHUPACA.pdf
REASIGNACION 2024 UGEL CHUPACA 2024 UGEL CHUPACA.pdf
 
A Free 200-Page eBook ~ Brain and Mind Exercise.pptx
A Free 200-Page eBook ~ Brain and Mind Exercise.pptxA Free 200-Page eBook ~ Brain and Mind Exercise.pptx
A Free 200-Page eBook ~ Brain and Mind Exercise.pptx
 
NEWSPAPERS - QUESTION 1 - REVISION POWERPOINT.pptx
NEWSPAPERS - QUESTION 1 - REVISION POWERPOINT.pptxNEWSPAPERS - QUESTION 1 - REVISION POWERPOINT.pptx
NEWSPAPERS - QUESTION 1 - REVISION POWERPOINT.pptx
 
CapTechTalks Webinar Slides June 2024 Donovan Wright.pptx
CapTechTalks Webinar Slides June 2024 Donovan Wright.pptxCapTechTalks Webinar Slides June 2024 Donovan Wright.pptx
CapTechTalks Webinar Slides June 2024 Donovan Wright.pptx
 
A Visual Guide to 1 Samuel | A Tale of Two Hearts
A Visual Guide to 1 Samuel | A Tale of Two HeartsA Visual Guide to 1 Samuel | A Tale of Two Hearts
A Visual Guide to 1 Samuel | A Tale of Two Hearts
 
Level 3 NCEA - NZ: A Nation In the Making 1872 - 1900 SML.ppt
Level 3 NCEA - NZ: A  Nation In the Making 1872 - 1900 SML.pptLevel 3 NCEA - NZ: A  Nation In the Making 1872 - 1900 SML.ppt
Level 3 NCEA - NZ: A Nation In the Making 1872 - 1900 SML.ppt
 
HYPERTENSION - SLIDE SHARE PRESENTATION.
HYPERTENSION - SLIDE SHARE PRESENTATION.HYPERTENSION - SLIDE SHARE PRESENTATION.
HYPERTENSION - SLIDE SHARE PRESENTATION.
 

Bayesian Probability The geometry of changing beliefs.pptx