How will roadways dominated by high or fully automated vehicles impact future industries, economies and populations? What shifts in leverage and underlying business models are imminent? What new pathways for ecosystem innovation might arise from the data explosion that comes with AV proliferation?
The answers to these questions can be revealed by examining the immediate impact of AV adoption on three industry segments: automotive sales and service; logistics and supply chains; and auto insurance.
The Importance of Timing to Autonomous Vehicle NavigationTim Klimasewski
Presented at the Institute of Navigation's (ION) joint meeting of their International Technical Meeting (ITM) and Precise Time and Time Interval Meeting (PTTI), Spectracom's CTO, John Fischer, shares his perspective on the confluence of precise timing and the future of autonomous navigation.
A self-driving car is hyper-communication: a system communicating with more elements, more frequently, and in real-time But to what extent can unmanned vehicles trust communication to make their own decisions? In other terms, how autonomous will be autonomous cars, once they reach the so-called ‘fifth level of autonomy’? 樂
Spindox is involved in 2 different research programs working on this question. We will give our vision for the mid-term scenario, from both a technical and a business perspective: architectural view, industry role, sourcing and delivery strategies. More specifically, we are presenting a proposed model for the data layer within this architecture, that addressed most of foreseen technical issues
Autonomous Vehicles: Technologies, Economics, and OpportunitiesJeffrey Funk
These slides use concepts from my (Jeff Funk) course entitled analyzing hi-tech opportunities to show how the cost and performance of autonomous vehicles are improving rapidly. LIDAR, other sensors, ICs, and wireless are experiencing rapid improvements that are enabling the overall cost of AVs to fall. For example, the latency of wireless systems is improving rapidly thus enabling vehicles to be controlled with wireless systems. This is also creating many new opportunities in the vehicle industry in the Internet of Things, data analytics, and logistics. The slides include a detailed discussion of AVs in Singapore, a likely early adopter.
Designing Roads for AVs (autonomous vehicles)Jeffrey Funk
Autonomous vehicles (AVs) represent one of the most promising new technologies for smart cities and for humans in general. The problem is that cities will not realize the full benefits from AVs until roads are designed for them. Until this occurs, their main benefit will be the elimination of the driver and steering wheel, which will reduce the cost and increase the capacity of taxis; but even this impact will not occur for many years because of safety concerns. Thus, in the near term, the main benefit of AVs will be free time for the driver to do emails and other smart phone related tasks.
A better solution is to design roads for AVs or in other words, to constrain the environment for AVs in order to simplify the engineering problem for them. For example, designing roads so that all vehicles can be controlled by a combination of wireless communication, RFID tags, and magnets will reduce the cost of AVs and increase their benefits. Only AVs would be allowed on these roads, they are checked for autonomous capability at the entrance, and control is returned to the driver when an AV leaves the road. Existing cars can be retrofitted with wireless modules that enable cars to be controlled by a central system, thus enabling cars to travel closely together. The magnets and RFID tags create an invisible railway that keeps the AVs in their lanes while wireless communication is used for lane changing and exiting a highway (Chang et al, 2014; Le Quesne et al, 2014). These wireless modules, magnets and RFID tags will be much cheaper than the expensive LIDAR that is needed when AVs are mixed with conventional vehicles on a road.
The benefits from dedicating roads to AVs include higher vehicle densities, less congestion, faster travel times, and higher fuel efficiencies. These seemingly contradicting goals can be achieved because AVs can have shorter inter-vehicle distances even at high speeds thus enabling higher densities, lower congestion, and lower travel times. The less congestion and thus fewer instances of slow moving or stopped vehicles enable the vehicles to travel at those speeds at which higher fuel efficiencies can be achieved (Funk, 2015). In combination with new forms of multiple passenger ride sharing, the higher fuel efficiencies will also reduce carbon emissions and thus help fight climate change.
The challenge is to develop a robust system that can be easily deployed in various cities and that will be compatible with vehicles containing the proper subsystems. Such a system can be developed in much the same way that new cellular systems are developed and tested. Suppliers of mobile phone infrastructure, automobiles, sensors, LIDAR, 3D vision systems, and other components must work with city governments and universities to develop and test a robust architecture followed by the development of a detail design.
Describes the process for using the business model canvas to identify connected vehicle scenarios and prioritize feature sets into cloud-based, global platforms
In the past decade, auto manufacturers have installed various technologies designed to make cars safer, more responsive, and more pleasurable to drive. From the hands-free cellphone, to iPod berths, to satellite radio, to automated parking—not to mention Google’s self-driving vehicle—the automobile is undergoing an electronic overhaul that promises to transform its role for consumers. What once was perceived as personal transportation is fast evolving into a new mobile device, merging with the digital world into an all-encompassing communications environment.
This ongoing transformation is poised to shift into high gear as cars display still greater connectivity and broader capabilities than ever. What makes this shift different from the way automobiles adopted new technologies in the past is that this time, automakers may have to consider how they can quickly merge consumer electronics and software with their traditional automotive systems.
The Importance of Timing to Autonomous Vehicle NavigationTim Klimasewski
Presented at the Institute of Navigation's (ION) joint meeting of their International Technical Meeting (ITM) and Precise Time and Time Interval Meeting (PTTI), Spectracom's CTO, John Fischer, shares his perspective on the confluence of precise timing and the future of autonomous navigation.
A self-driving car is hyper-communication: a system communicating with more elements, more frequently, and in real-time But to what extent can unmanned vehicles trust communication to make their own decisions? In other terms, how autonomous will be autonomous cars, once they reach the so-called ‘fifth level of autonomy’? 樂
Spindox is involved in 2 different research programs working on this question. We will give our vision for the mid-term scenario, from both a technical and a business perspective: architectural view, industry role, sourcing and delivery strategies. More specifically, we are presenting a proposed model for the data layer within this architecture, that addressed most of foreseen technical issues
Autonomous Vehicles: Technologies, Economics, and OpportunitiesJeffrey Funk
These slides use concepts from my (Jeff Funk) course entitled analyzing hi-tech opportunities to show how the cost and performance of autonomous vehicles are improving rapidly. LIDAR, other sensors, ICs, and wireless are experiencing rapid improvements that are enabling the overall cost of AVs to fall. For example, the latency of wireless systems is improving rapidly thus enabling vehicles to be controlled with wireless systems. This is also creating many new opportunities in the vehicle industry in the Internet of Things, data analytics, and logistics. The slides include a detailed discussion of AVs in Singapore, a likely early adopter.
Designing Roads for AVs (autonomous vehicles)Jeffrey Funk
Autonomous vehicles (AVs) represent one of the most promising new technologies for smart cities and for humans in general. The problem is that cities will not realize the full benefits from AVs until roads are designed for them. Until this occurs, their main benefit will be the elimination of the driver and steering wheel, which will reduce the cost and increase the capacity of taxis; but even this impact will not occur for many years because of safety concerns. Thus, in the near term, the main benefit of AVs will be free time for the driver to do emails and other smart phone related tasks.
A better solution is to design roads for AVs or in other words, to constrain the environment for AVs in order to simplify the engineering problem for them. For example, designing roads so that all vehicles can be controlled by a combination of wireless communication, RFID tags, and magnets will reduce the cost of AVs and increase their benefits. Only AVs would be allowed on these roads, they are checked for autonomous capability at the entrance, and control is returned to the driver when an AV leaves the road. Existing cars can be retrofitted with wireless modules that enable cars to be controlled by a central system, thus enabling cars to travel closely together. The magnets and RFID tags create an invisible railway that keeps the AVs in their lanes while wireless communication is used for lane changing and exiting a highway (Chang et al, 2014; Le Quesne et al, 2014). These wireless modules, magnets and RFID tags will be much cheaper than the expensive LIDAR that is needed when AVs are mixed with conventional vehicles on a road.
The benefits from dedicating roads to AVs include higher vehicle densities, less congestion, faster travel times, and higher fuel efficiencies. These seemingly contradicting goals can be achieved because AVs can have shorter inter-vehicle distances even at high speeds thus enabling higher densities, lower congestion, and lower travel times. The less congestion and thus fewer instances of slow moving or stopped vehicles enable the vehicles to travel at those speeds at which higher fuel efficiencies can be achieved (Funk, 2015). In combination with new forms of multiple passenger ride sharing, the higher fuel efficiencies will also reduce carbon emissions and thus help fight climate change.
The challenge is to develop a robust system that can be easily deployed in various cities and that will be compatible with vehicles containing the proper subsystems. Such a system can be developed in much the same way that new cellular systems are developed and tested. Suppliers of mobile phone infrastructure, automobiles, sensors, LIDAR, 3D vision systems, and other components must work with city governments and universities to develop and test a robust architecture followed by the development of a detail design.
Describes the process for using the business model canvas to identify connected vehicle scenarios and prioritize feature sets into cloud-based, global platforms
In the past decade, auto manufacturers have installed various technologies designed to make cars safer, more responsive, and more pleasurable to drive. From the hands-free cellphone, to iPod berths, to satellite radio, to automated parking—not to mention Google’s self-driving vehicle—the automobile is undergoing an electronic overhaul that promises to transform its role for consumers. What once was perceived as personal transportation is fast evolving into a new mobile device, merging with the digital world into an all-encompassing communications environment.
This ongoing transformation is poised to shift into high gear as cars display still greater connectivity and broader capabilities than ever. What makes this shift different from the way automobiles adopted new technologies in the past is that this time, automakers may have to consider how they can quickly merge consumer electronics and software with their traditional automotive systems.
These are the slides used by George to guide the discussion on autonomous vehicles.
The slides are also available at: https://www.adaptive-ip.eu/files/adaptive/content/downloads/moods/Deliverables%20&%20papers/1AriaEtemad.pdf
This is the link to the meetup: https://www.meetup.com/Brussels-Legal-Hackers/events/235890664/
This presentation was made by Phil Carter of ARUP, at the Shared and App Based Transport Innovation seminar, organised by the Institute for Sensible Transport.
2017 Autonomous Vehicle Presentation Package Michael Scheno
This exclusive package includes presentations by Annabel R. Chang, Director of Public Policy at Lyft, Glen DeVos, Vice President – Engineering at Delphi, and Sam Abuelsamid, Senior Research Analyst at Navigant Research.
Welcome to the Connected Vehicle Training Overview. This program will give professionals an overview of overarching concepts of the connected vehicle space Mobile Comply has created the Connected Vehicle Management Overview, a highly selective two-hour course designed to give participants a basic understanding of the connected vehicle space for Future connected vehicle education and certification programs.
Adrian Pearmine of DKS Associates presented at Drive Oregon's October 2015 event. He highlighted new modes of mobility that are anticipated to transform our transportation system and discussed best practices for private and municipal planners to use when planning for these changes.
MONETIZING THE CONNECTED CAR, Citi 2013 Connected Car SymposiumArynga
Walter Buga, CEO of Arynga made this presentation at the Citi forum of the connected car. This presentation answers the "How to monetize the connected car?" question
'' Internet of Vehicles (IoV) ,,
IoV is basically INTERNET of VEHICLES, a strong network between vehicles and living.
IoT is a proposed development of the Internet in which everyday objects have network connectivity, allowing them to send and receive data.
The new era of the Internet of Things is driving the evolution of conventional Vehicle Ad-hoc Networks into the Internet of Vehicles (IoV).
Being in generation of Internet connectivity, there is a need to stay in safe and hassle free environment.
According to recent predictions, 25 billion “things” will be connected to the Internet by 2020, of which vehicles will constitute a significant portion.
Objectives
IoV – distributed transport fabric capable of making its own decisions about driving customers to their destinations
IoV should have communications, processing, storage, intelligence, learning and strong security capabilities .
To be integrated in IoT framework and smart cities technologies.
Extended business models and the range of applications ( including mediaoriented) current vehicular networks.
Types Of Communication IoV
The IoV includes mainly five types of vehicular communications
1.Vehicle-to-Vehicle (V2V).
2.Vehicle to-Roadside Unit (V2R).
3.Vehicle-to-Infrastructure of cellular networks (V2I) .
4.Vehicle-to-Personal devices (V2P)
5.Vehicle-to-Sensors (V2S).
Network elements of IoV
A network model of IoV is proposed based on the three network elements, including cloud, connection, and client. The benefits of the design and development of IoV are highlighted by performing a qualitative comparison between IoV and VANETs
Improvements in information technology related technologies are encouraging and enabling greater use of public transportation and they are enabling new forms of transportation systems that have lower carbon emissions and use less resources. Improvements in information-related technologies such as mobile phones and GPS encourage greater use of public buses, bicycle sharing systems, and trains. These same improvements are making autonomous vehicles economically feasible and roads dedicated to them. Roads dedicated to them can reduce congestion, increase fuel efficiency, and reduce accidents and costs related to them. In combination with public transportation, autonomous vehicles can reduce the need for private vehicles and thus parking spaces. Similar types of improvements in power electronics are reducing the cost and improving the performance of charging stations and thus enable more rapid recharging with a denser number of charging stations. This rapid and more frequent recharging can overcome the existing bottleneck of lower battery storage densities and slow improvements in these storage densities. Overall, improvements in information technology are making possible new forms of sustainable systems that have a much higher chance of becoming economically feasible than more commonly discussed solutions such as hybrid vehicles and wind turbines.
Rapid strides in Technology are making mobility seamless. Consumers are connected to the external world through a plethora of personal smart devices.
Automotive sector too is witnessing an unprecedented absorption of these technologies en masse to provide a connected car experience. There is an immediate need for the right mix of technologies/processes and the right delivery mechanisms for providing the Car occupants safer & ultimate driving Experience while generating value for the stake holders.
This presentation will cover some of the key technology trends and challenges involved in realizing the connected car functions
Connected car solutions: one of the major business drivers for the automotive...Pierre Audoin Consultants
With the connected car topic the automotive industry is about to experience a technological leap that will substantially change mobility. Automotive manufacturers are increasingly considering the integration of information technology and external services in their cars.
Against this background, PAC conducted a survey among 250 CxOs in European automotive companies (in France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, Sweden and the UK) with more than 50 employees. The study explores the strategies of the automotive industry to develop and launch connected car technologies and services and deals with the following questions:
- What is the status quo in terms of the development of connected car services and which areas are in the focus?
- Which trends and changes are important?
- What are the (main) challenges?
- What role do politics and standardization play regarding connected car offerings?
- What are the strategies and objectives that automotive companies pursue?
- How important are external services?
- What are upcoming investment plans and who are the decision makers?
Connected cars are fast becoming a reality and has the potential to change the way businesses are run. A connected car facilitates devices inside the car to connect with the computing and application servers and use computing power to access real time information and data. Use cases are explained for Transportation, Healthcare and Education fields along with the business models.
Connected Cars, State of the Industry Q1 2019Liz Slocum
I presented this for ReadWrite Labs:
In the last few years, the electric vehicle (EV) has evolved from the idealist underdog to the emerging leader of future cars. We'll cover the consumer adoption trends of EVs and how global public policy is changing the connected vehicle market landscape. We will also analyze gallium nitride as the future of more powerful computing and its applications in mobility. We‘ve updated the market landscape with some new categories, so please join us for our latest research!
IT and Sustainability: New Strategies for Reducing Carbon Emissions and Reso...Jeffrey Funk
This paper describes how rapid rates of improvement in smart phones, telecommunication systems and other forms of IT enable solutions for sustainability and how this provides opportunities for the fields of telecommunication and information systems. While reports from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change focuses on technologies with rates of improvement less than 5% per year, most types of information technologies are experiencing annual rates of improvement that exceed 30% per year. These rapid rates of improvement are changing the economics of many activities of which this paper describes four examples in transportation. The paper concludes by discussing challenges for universities and in particular for the fields of telecommunications and information systems.
Last Week’s session - “IoT – Connected Car – Technology Trends & Opportunities” covered a trending topic that promises to disrupt the transportation industry, as we know it. Here are the key Lounge47 takeaways:
1. Connected Cars are vehicles that use any from a range of communication technologies to communicate a) with the driver b) with other cars on the road (vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V)) c) road infrastructure (vehicle-to-infrastructure (V2I)) and d) the “Cloud” 2. Status today? a) Only a fraction of future automated and connected vehicle technologies are available today b) Although individual aspects of the connected driving experience are established the integrated whole is not c) The public today only enjoys up to level 2 on a 5 level scale of 0 to full automation. Level 4 vehicles are however being tested 3. 2014 milestones: a) Google and Apple target the car dashboard with 'Android Auto' and 'Carplay' platforms b) Google makes autonomous cars real with its self driving car d) Automotive companies begin to take customer data protection seriously e) Vehicle-to-Vehicle (V2V) technology gets the regulatory nod 4. Questions: Is the car the new Tech battleground? Will there be an Apple car? What business models will prevail? Are Uber-like companies preparing the market for the self-driving car? Would Self-driving cars make owning a car a thing of the past? 5. Benefits: a) Savings in terms of increased people productivity b) reduced gasoline usage due to efficient driving c) reduced road infrastructure maintenance d) Increased safety 6. Challenges: a) Developing a UI/UX that minimizes driver distraction b) Customer Data security c) In-car and remote cyber crime d) Liability – where does it sit? 7.Opportunities: a) In-car data that could serve consumers, drivers themselves, marketers, hardware manufactures, car companies and insurance companies b) Aftermarket solutions c) IoT products & solutions. 47b market today set to grow to 270b USD by 2020. Revenue potential per connected car estimated to be 1400 USD/vehicle/year 8. Opportunities in India: The Indian market will take time to mature. In the short-term: a) Parking Management b) Connected Infrastructure (e.g. smart cities) c) Insurance – Usage Based Insurance, driving pattern monitoring & support d) Radio Taxi Service – e.g. Ola, Uber e) Transportation as a Service – Personal mobility, Goods mobility f) Service Stations - cloud-based diagnostics & preventive care g) Battery technologies – Charging stations offer opportunities. In summary - realization of the Connected Car vision and the benefits it brings hinges not on the technology challenges but on whether it will win consumer acceptance and trust.
www.lounge47.in
The Internet of Cars - Towards the Future of the Connected CarJorgen Thelin
No doubt you have heard the phrase “Internet of Things” and the new buzzword “IoT” been used more and more these days, but what does that mean in practice? The Tesla Model S is probably the most well-connected car on the planet at the moment, and in this presentation we will use that vehicle as a case study of some practical usage of IoT concepts and technology that is already being applied to modern automobiles.How far away are we from a future “Internet of Cars” and what will be the social and privacy impacts of more connected-car scenarios?
Dedicated roads for autonomous vehicles Jeffrey Funk
These slides use concepts from my (Jeff Funk) course entitled analyzing hi-tech opportunities to analyze how autonomous vehicles are becoming economic feasible. They are becoming economically feasible because the cost of lasers, ICs, MEMS, and other electronic components are falling at 25 to 40% per year. If the cost of autonomous vehicles fall 25% a year, the cost of the electronics associated with autonomous vehicles will fall 90% in 10 years. Dedicating roads to autonomous vehicles is necessary to achieve the most benefits from autonomous vehicles. While using autonomous vehicles in combination with conventional vehicles can free drivers for other activities, dedicating roads to autonomous vehicles can dramatically reduce congestion, increase speeds, and thus increase the number of cars per area of the road. They can also reduce accidents, insurance, and the number of traffic police. These slide discuss a number of technologies that can be used for the dedicated roads including wireless communication, magnetic stripes and RFIDs that together can coordinate vehicles on roads. The slides end by summarizing efforts in Singapore.
Cars with access to the Internet, also known as connected cars, are gaining popularity in the automobile industry. Download the Special Report by Aranca here!
These are the slides used by George to guide the discussion on autonomous vehicles.
The slides are also available at: https://www.adaptive-ip.eu/files/adaptive/content/downloads/moods/Deliverables%20&%20papers/1AriaEtemad.pdf
This is the link to the meetup: https://www.meetup.com/Brussels-Legal-Hackers/events/235890664/
This presentation was made by Phil Carter of ARUP, at the Shared and App Based Transport Innovation seminar, organised by the Institute for Sensible Transport.
2017 Autonomous Vehicle Presentation Package Michael Scheno
This exclusive package includes presentations by Annabel R. Chang, Director of Public Policy at Lyft, Glen DeVos, Vice President – Engineering at Delphi, and Sam Abuelsamid, Senior Research Analyst at Navigant Research.
Welcome to the Connected Vehicle Training Overview. This program will give professionals an overview of overarching concepts of the connected vehicle space Mobile Comply has created the Connected Vehicle Management Overview, a highly selective two-hour course designed to give participants a basic understanding of the connected vehicle space for Future connected vehicle education and certification programs.
Adrian Pearmine of DKS Associates presented at Drive Oregon's October 2015 event. He highlighted new modes of mobility that are anticipated to transform our transportation system and discussed best practices for private and municipal planners to use when planning for these changes.
MONETIZING THE CONNECTED CAR, Citi 2013 Connected Car SymposiumArynga
Walter Buga, CEO of Arynga made this presentation at the Citi forum of the connected car. This presentation answers the "How to monetize the connected car?" question
'' Internet of Vehicles (IoV) ,,
IoV is basically INTERNET of VEHICLES, a strong network between vehicles and living.
IoT is a proposed development of the Internet in which everyday objects have network connectivity, allowing them to send and receive data.
The new era of the Internet of Things is driving the evolution of conventional Vehicle Ad-hoc Networks into the Internet of Vehicles (IoV).
Being in generation of Internet connectivity, there is a need to stay in safe and hassle free environment.
According to recent predictions, 25 billion “things” will be connected to the Internet by 2020, of which vehicles will constitute a significant portion.
Objectives
IoV – distributed transport fabric capable of making its own decisions about driving customers to their destinations
IoV should have communications, processing, storage, intelligence, learning and strong security capabilities .
To be integrated in IoT framework and smart cities technologies.
Extended business models and the range of applications ( including mediaoriented) current vehicular networks.
Types Of Communication IoV
The IoV includes mainly five types of vehicular communications
1.Vehicle-to-Vehicle (V2V).
2.Vehicle to-Roadside Unit (V2R).
3.Vehicle-to-Infrastructure of cellular networks (V2I) .
4.Vehicle-to-Personal devices (V2P)
5.Vehicle-to-Sensors (V2S).
Network elements of IoV
A network model of IoV is proposed based on the three network elements, including cloud, connection, and client. The benefits of the design and development of IoV are highlighted by performing a qualitative comparison between IoV and VANETs
Improvements in information technology related technologies are encouraging and enabling greater use of public transportation and they are enabling new forms of transportation systems that have lower carbon emissions and use less resources. Improvements in information-related technologies such as mobile phones and GPS encourage greater use of public buses, bicycle sharing systems, and trains. These same improvements are making autonomous vehicles economically feasible and roads dedicated to them. Roads dedicated to them can reduce congestion, increase fuel efficiency, and reduce accidents and costs related to them. In combination with public transportation, autonomous vehicles can reduce the need for private vehicles and thus parking spaces. Similar types of improvements in power electronics are reducing the cost and improving the performance of charging stations and thus enable more rapid recharging with a denser number of charging stations. This rapid and more frequent recharging can overcome the existing bottleneck of lower battery storage densities and slow improvements in these storage densities. Overall, improvements in information technology are making possible new forms of sustainable systems that have a much higher chance of becoming economically feasible than more commonly discussed solutions such as hybrid vehicles and wind turbines.
Rapid strides in Technology are making mobility seamless. Consumers are connected to the external world through a plethora of personal smart devices.
Automotive sector too is witnessing an unprecedented absorption of these technologies en masse to provide a connected car experience. There is an immediate need for the right mix of technologies/processes and the right delivery mechanisms for providing the Car occupants safer & ultimate driving Experience while generating value for the stake holders.
This presentation will cover some of the key technology trends and challenges involved in realizing the connected car functions
Connected car solutions: one of the major business drivers for the automotive...Pierre Audoin Consultants
With the connected car topic the automotive industry is about to experience a technological leap that will substantially change mobility. Automotive manufacturers are increasingly considering the integration of information technology and external services in their cars.
Against this background, PAC conducted a survey among 250 CxOs in European automotive companies (in France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, Sweden and the UK) with more than 50 employees. The study explores the strategies of the automotive industry to develop and launch connected car technologies and services and deals with the following questions:
- What is the status quo in terms of the development of connected car services and which areas are in the focus?
- Which trends and changes are important?
- What are the (main) challenges?
- What role do politics and standardization play regarding connected car offerings?
- What are the strategies and objectives that automotive companies pursue?
- How important are external services?
- What are upcoming investment plans and who are the decision makers?
Connected cars are fast becoming a reality and has the potential to change the way businesses are run. A connected car facilitates devices inside the car to connect with the computing and application servers and use computing power to access real time information and data. Use cases are explained for Transportation, Healthcare and Education fields along with the business models.
Connected Cars, State of the Industry Q1 2019Liz Slocum
I presented this for ReadWrite Labs:
In the last few years, the electric vehicle (EV) has evolved from the idealist underdog to the emerging leader of future cars. We'll cover the consumer adoption trends of EVs and how global public policy is changing the connected vehicle market landscape. We will also analyze gallium nitride as the future of more powerful computing and its applications in mobility. We‘ve updated the market landscape with some new categories, so please join us for our latest research!
IT and Sustainability: New Strategies for Reducing Carbon Emissions and Reso...Jeffrey Funk
This paper describes how rapid rates of improvement in smart phones, telecommunication systems and other forms of IT enable solutions for sustainability and how this provides opportunities for the fields of telecommunication and information systems. While reports from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change focuses on technologies with rates of improvement less than 5% per year, most types of information technologies are experiencing annual rates of improvement that exceed 30% per year. These rapid rates of improvement are changing the economics of many activities of which this paper describes four examples in transportation. The paper concludes by discussing challenges for universities and in particular for the fields of telecommunications and information systems.
Last Week’s session - “IoT – Connected Car – Technology Trends & Opportunities” covered a trending topic that promises to disrupt the transportation industry, as we know it. Here are the key Lounge47 takeaways:
1. Connected Cars are vehicles that use any from a range of communication technologies to communicate a) with the driver b) with other cars on the road (vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V)) c) road infrastructure (vehicle-to-infrastructure (V2I)) and d) the “Cloud” 2. Status today? a) Only a fraction of future automated and connected vehicle technologies are available today b) Although individual aspects of the connected driving experience are established the integrated whole is not c) The public today only enjoys up to level 2 on a 5 level scale of 0 to full automation. Level 4 vehicles are however being tested 3. 2014 milestones: a) Google and Apple target the car dashboard with 'Android Auto' and 'Carplay' platforms b) Google makes autonomous cars real with its self driving car d) Automotive companies begin to take customer data protection seriously e) Vehicle-to-Vehicle (V2V) technology gets the regulatory nod 4. Questions: Is the car the new Tech battleground? Will there be an Apple car? What business models will prevail? Are Uber-like companies preparing the market for the self-driving car? Would Self-driving cars make owning a car a thing of the past? 5. Benefits: a) Savings in terms of increased people productivity b) reduced gasoline usage due to efficient driving c) reduced road infrastructure maintenance d) Increased safety 6. Challenges: a) Developing a UI/UX that minimizes driver distraction b) Customer Data security c) In-car and remote cyber crime d) Liability – where does it sit? 7.Opportunities: a) In-car data that could serve consumers, drivers themselves, marketers, hardware manufactures, car companies and insurance companies b) Aftermarket solutions c) IoT products & solutions. 47b market today set to grow to 270b USD by 2020. Revenue potential per connected car estimated to be 1400 USD/vehicle/year 8. Opportunities in India: The Indian market will take time to mature. In the short-term: a) Parking Management b) Connected Infrastructure (e.g. smart cities) c) Insurance – Usage Based Insurance, driving pattern monitoring & support d) Radio Taxi Service – e.g. Ola, Uber e) Transportation as a Service – Personal mobility, Goods mobility f) Service Stations - cloud-based diagnostics & preventive care g) Battery technologies – Charging stations offer opportunities. In summary - realization of the Connected Car vision and the benefits it brings hinges not on the technology challenges but on whether it will win consumer acceptance and trust.
www.lounge47.in
The Internet of Cars - Towards the Future of the Connected CarJorgen Thelin
No doubt you have heard the phrase “Internet of Things” and the new buzzword “IoT” been used more and more these days, but what does that mean in practice? The Tesla Model S is probably the most well-connected car on the planet at the moment, and in this presentation we will use that vehicle as a case study of some practical usage of IoT concepts and technology that is already being applied to modern automobiles.How far away are we from a future “Internet of Cars” and what will be the social and privacy impacts of more connected-car scenarios?
Dedicated roads for autonomous vehicles Jeffrey Funk
These slides use concepts from my (Jeff Funk) course entitled analyzing hi-tech opportunities to analyze how autonomous vehicles are becoming economic feasible. They are becoming economically feasible because the cost of lasers, ICs, MEMS, and other electronic components are falling at 25 to 40% per year. If the cost of autonomous vehicles fall 25% a year, the cost of the electronics associated with autonomous vehicles will fall 90% in 10 years. Dedicating roads to autonomous vehicles is necessary to achieve the most benefits from autonomous vehicles. While using autonomous vehicles in combination with conventional vehicles can free drivers for other activities, dedicating roads to autonomous vehicles can dramatically reduce congestion, increase speeds, and thus increase the number of cars per area of the road. They can also reduce accidents, insurance, and the number of traffic police. These slide discuss a number of technologies that can be used for the dedicated roads including wireless communication, magnetic stripes and RFIDs that together can coordinate vehicles on roads. The slides end by summarizing efforts in Singapore.
Cars with access to the Internet, also known as connected cars, are gaining popularity in the automobile industry. Download the Special Report by Aranca here!
Connected cars a rising trend in the global automobile sectorAranca
Connected cars a rising trend in the global automobile sector.Find special reports on industries, latest innovations & technology trends, business analysis, intellectual property & patent industry & other knowledge reports created by Aranca, a global provider of outsourced research & analytics services firm & a trusted research partner for various global clients.
With increasingly autonomous capabilities and a declining interest in ownership, the auto industry needs to focus on in-transit innovation, purpose-driven design and a transition to a service-based business model.
Interview: What is the main security and privacy risks associated with the ad...Ersin KARA
worldautomotiveconference.co.uk
"The methods of artificial intelligence and augmented reality have always been the substance of rumination and speculation since very recently, where they’ve started to take very a central role in our lives.
Intelligent technologies today are computer-aided systems that completely control all industrial pipelines. They can operate autonomously and on this account all processes can be managed independently.
Today’s logistics do not resemble one-way storage of goods seen up to a few years ago. This is due to new web technologies that allow an entirely new level of interaction within the moving parts of a given logistics eco-system. As these technologies continue developing at a rapid pace, several partially and fully automated logistic frameworks are already readying for deployment."
"When we compare Industry 4.0 advantages and classic ERP programs advantages We see below points ;
- Space-efficient storage. This will save in warehouse areas and volumes. Ex. Kardex Remstar applications, vertical storage solutions
- ERP’s are integrated warehouse management software.
So the error will be absolutely minimal. Prevention of losses due to lack of communication in monolithic systems that have one point of failure.
- Automatic and controlled product circulation. This will allow for increased work safety and fewer work accidents. This will naturally result in risk reduction resulting from controllability, especially in hazardous material logistics.
- Line feed, standby modules. So perfect stock management, “0” inventory loss.
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Autonomous vehicles: Plotting a route to the driverless future
1.
2. 2 AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES: PLOTTING A ROUTE TO THE DRIVERLESS FUTURE
A reduction in fossil fuel dependency is driving the largest adoption of electric
vehicles (EVs) yet seen. Societal shifts and new ways of owning and using
vehicles are contributing to a steady decline in car ownership, especially for
younger generations. And perhaps most importantly, cheaper chipsets, sensors
and software components are enabling the production of intelligent vehicles that
can drive on their own. We’re set to enter the age of the autonomous vehicle (AV).
While the long-term benefits of AVs are genuinely exciting, the route to true
autonomy in transportation will likely be long and full of uncertainty. The precise
impact of AVs on individuals, communities, industries and workplaces is, as yet,
unclear. One thing’s for sure, though – every industry will be affected. Some will
find themselves disrupted; others will find new opportunities for growth and
innovation. Both outcomes create a pressing need for businesses to understand
the current direction of AV travel, and to develop a plan to prepare for a future
in which AV use is widespread.
THE AUTOMOTIVE
AND TRANSPORTATION
INDUSTRIES ARE CURRENTLY
UNDERGOING WHAT IS
PROBABLY THE MOST
DISRUPTIVE PERIOD IN THEIR
HISTORY SINCE HENRY FORD
FIRST DEVELOPED THE MASS
PRODUCTION ASSEMBLY
LINE BACK IN 1908.
3. 3 AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES: PLOTTING A ROUTE TO THE DRIVERLESS FUTURE
The industry is still at the beginning of
its journey to translate its undeniable
successes in controlled environments into
seamless autonomous experiences in the
real world. But as the technology is tested
and refined, demand for AVs is certain to
grow, particularly among the young. BI
Intelligence’s 2017 survey on AV acceptance
reveals that 18- to 29-year-olds are more
receptive to driverless vehicles than any
other demographic, and are likely to
spearhead future AV adoption.
AVS TODAY...
AV adoption is still in its infancy. While various forms of
intelligent driver assistance are now making their way into
production models, high or full levels of automation (that is,
levels 4 and 5 on the U.S. Department of Transportation’s
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration scale set
out below) are still confined to the testing ground.
HUMAN DRIVER MONITORS
DRIVING ENVIRONMENT
AUTOMATED DRIVING SYSTEM MONITORS
DRIVING ENVIRONMENT
LEVEL 0
No Automation Driver
Assistance
Partial
Automation
Conditional
Automation
High
Automation
Full
Automation
LEVEL 1 LEVEL 2 LEVEL 3 LEVEL 4 LEVEL 5
4. 4 AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES: PLOTTING A ROUTE TO THE DRIVERLESS FUTURE
There are three particular factors in play:
1. Customer expectations
Today’s consumers increasingly compare
their experiences across different domains.
They’ve become accustomed to intuitive,
personalized and seamless experiences,
especially when they interact with digital
technologies. This is most evident in the
phenomenal transition from bulky feature
phones to sleek smartphones. Today’s
high-spec, design-focused smartphones,
which offer countless mobile applications,
have established high expectations for
user experience. Those expectations are
now being transferred to other experiences
and other sectors – and that’s having a big
impact on the automotive industry. Drivers
and passengers alike increasingly expect
their vehicles to offer carefully designed
intuitive, interactive and, yes, automated
experiences, just as their smartphones do.
But that doesn’t mean customers want
automated experiences at all costs. Neither
drivers nor manufacturers are ever going
to compromise on safety, which means
thorough testing by the automotive
industry and certification by transportation
authorities must precede any large-scale
adoption of new services. Additionally, more
personalized automotive experiences will
likely require customers to release more of
their personal information, which they’ll only
do if there is a fair exchange of value.
2. Advances in technology
AVs exist at the leading edge of
technological disruption, meaning a great
deal of collaboration will be needed in
the automotive ecosystem to make them
production-ready. But the technologies are
evolving quickly: "intelligent infrastructure"
is increasing accuracy and safety, and cost
reductions in radar, LiDAR and camera
systems are each bringing AVs one-step
closer to reality, notwithstanding current
line-of-sight limitations. "Vehicle to X" (V2X)
technology is being developed to provide
360-degree, non-line-of-sight awareness,
extending a vehicle’s ability to "see" farther
down the road, even at blind intersections
or in bad weather conditions. And when 5G
wireless technology hits the mainstream,
AV communications will be transformed –
broadband multimedia streaming and high-
volume transmission of sensor data will be
possible over the same medium.
3.Transportation-as-a-service
Consumer attitudes to vehicle ownership
are undergoing a revolution. Ridesharing –
or transportation-as-a-service – has seen
a meteoric rise in recent years and has
disrupted traditional mobility service markets,
especially for incumbent taxi businesses.
Uber now serves a global monthly rider base
of 40 million1
people, for example. These
ridesharing providers have low fixed costs
and offer user-friendly applications, making
them an ideal solution for consumers
without access to public transportation or
their own vehicle – and even for those that
do. And, as urbanization continues to drive
greater population density, AVs are ideally
placed to capitalize on this ever-increasing
preference for access rather than ownership.
WHAT’S DRIVING THAT TREND?
5. 5 AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES: PLOTTING A ROUTE TO THE DRIVERLESS FUTURE
How will roadways dominated by high or fully automated
vehicles impact future industries, economies and
populations? What shifts in leverage and underlying
business models are imminent? What new pathways
for ecosystem innovation might arise from the data
explosion that comes with AV proliferation?
The answers to these questions can be revealed by examining the immediate
impact of AV adoption on three industry segments: automotive sales and service;
logistics and supply chains; and auto insurance.
… AND IN
THE FUTURE
NOW
Customers’ automotive sales and service
experiences have remained unchanged
for decades. Manufacturers’ technological
advances have focused mainly on
aesthetics and mechanical performance,
meaning dealerships still rely on three
traditional revenue streams: car sales,
interior and amenities customization, and
maintenance. But this model relies on large
numbers of people owning their own cars.
As automation and ridesharing models
continue to grow, those numbers will surely
decline, especially among the young.
FUTURE
Dealerships will be in the firing line of these
disruptive shifts, and the auto sales and service
industry must alter its strategies accordingly.
Future sales and service models will likely evolve
to focus on differentiation via maintenance
services and service option sales, closer to
the way the air travel industry operates today:
• Maintenance services. Dealerships
will likely become hubs for storage and
charging. The large physical footprints of
these premises make them ideal locations
for vehicles pulled from service or awaiting
new passenger assignments. And they’ll
be equally well-placed to meet the ever-
growing demand for EV charging points.
Most importantly, dealership hubs will focus
on software maintenance and hardware
upgrades. Around 30 percent of connected
vehicles (CVs) will have over-the-air (OTA)
software updates by the end of this decade.
AUTOMOTIVE SALES AND SERVICE
6. 6 AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES: PLOTTING A ROUTE TO THE DRIVERLESS FUTURE
• Dealerships can transform themselves
into maintenance centers for these
capabilities. And as applications increase
in complexity, corresponding hardware
upgrades will likely be required. Automotive
manufacturers could find themselves
offering annual technology upgrades,
just as mobile service operators do.
• Option sales. AVs will force a paradigm
shift from "drivers" to "passengers."
Without a driver, everybody in a high or
fully autonomous vehicle is effectively a
passenger. Those passengers will expect
truly immersive and sublime experiences.
Dealerships will therefore be able to extend
vehicle customization options beyond
aesthetics and mechanical features
to specific journey comforts – seating
configuration, monitor placement, included
applications or media. AV passengers will
also have more time to consume content
via personal or in-vehicle devices – again,
closer to today’s air travel experience. From
television to in-vehicle Wi-Fi, this is fertile
ground for dealerships to seed partnerships
with media and technology providers.
THREE STEPS TO CONSIDER NOW
Allocate resources to
understand customer demands
and potential service offerings
for mid-level AVs (Level 3 –
conditional automation).
Establish partnerships with
multimedia service providers to
obtain first-mover advantage in the
marketplace and initiate feasibility
studies or proofs of concept.
Plan new dealership infrastructures
to match coming AV storage and
maintenance needs.
ONE
NOW FUTURE
Selling Cars
Selling Options
Maintenance Services
Selling Transporation-as-a-Service
Comfortability and Content Options
Software Maintenance
TWO THREE
7. 7 AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES: PLOTTING A ROUTE TO THE DRIVERLESS FUTURE
LOGISTICS AND
SUPPLY CHAINS
NOW
Digital commerce has enabled consumers
to shop anytime and anywhere. Customers
have come to expect the freedom to choose
same-day and one-hour delivery, reinforced
by merchants’ willingness to bundle these
options with retail transactions – in a sense,
treating expedited service as a differentiator.
While great for customers, this has
presented a challenge for the logistics
industry. Logistics companies have seen a
digitally fueled growth in order volume, but
have had to manage their fleets ever more
effectively to keep pace with demanding
service-level agreements. And because
dominant e-Commerce marketplaces
struggle to pass additional costs on to end
customers due to price sensitivities, they
demand volume pricing for deliveries in
accordance with upticks in business. This
has put fulfillment and transportation costs
under pressure, further exacerbated by the
first-mile (pickup) and the last-mile (drop-off)
requirements of logistics networks.
Logistics companies face further challenges
in predicting asset and personnel
allocations, especially during peak holiday
seasons and unplanned spikes in demand.
Their capacity is being stretched, and
purchased transportation – the hiring of
independent contractors – has grown
significantly in recent years. These pressures
are pushing top logistics providers to initiate
extensive cost takeout programs. And AV
adoption represents an opportunity to
take this to the next level.
FUTURE
Trucking is big business – truck drivers
represented the majority of full-time working
adults in 29 of 50 U.S. states in 20142
, for
example. Even the U.S. Bureau of Labor and
Statistics projected that demand for truck
drivers would nearly double from 2014 to
reach 2.76 million in 2022.3
AVs could change
that picture dramatically. In an environment
where safety regulations limit the amount
of time a human can operate a vehicle,
Morgan Stanley conservatively estimates that
the freight industry could save up to $168
billion annually by leveraging autonomous
technology. And as much as $70 billion of that
figure would come from staff reductions.4
How will this happen? AV’s impact on
logistics is best understood by breaking
down the network into three legs: first mile,
middle mile and last mile.
The middle mile is characterized by the least
amount of navigational complexity, requiring
fewer turns and less traffic negotiation. It
will therefore serve as an entry point for AV
adoption in the logistics industry. This could
mean leveraging platooning techniques, where
one manned truck leads several AVs along a
highway – effectively requiring only one driver
for multiple loads. Truck platooning would
address a lack of skilled drivers and improve
fuel economy for trailing trucks on long routes.
The first and last miles pose the greatest
challenges for AVs, given the complex
navigation requirements and dense traffic
in urban areas. But if the middle mile
reaches a point of standardization, logistics
companies would have to differentiate
themselves in these first and last legs.
8. 8 AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES: PLOTTING A ROUTE TO THE DRIVERLESS FUTURE
There are two opportunities to do so:
• Specialized customer experiences
The first and last mile experiences can be
redesigned with an emphasis on logistical
convenience for the end customer or
business. Collection and delivery currently
occur in three principal ways: mailboxes,
in-store drop-offs, and carrier pickups.
But AVs could serve as "storefronts on
wheels," facilitating delivery anytime,
anywhere. Imagine if consumers could
use their mobile devices to locate
and reserve delivery space and set up
rendezvous points for deliveries. And AV
pickup services could provide tailored
home and business pickups, using
customer smartphone locations.
• Specialized functional services
Although not exclusive to AVs, additional
functional services could offer logistics
companies added layers of differentiation.
Storefronts on wheels could include
payment acceptance, product returns,
scanning, and sorting integration as a
part of their service, for example.
This would not only improve customer
convenience, but also streamline logistics
operations by speeding-up depot facility
processing. Carrier booking systems
could also be integrated with car-sharing
services. This would not only allow
the nearest AV courier to be hailed for
completion of the end customer delivery,
but more broadly, it would offer carriers
flexible, just-in-time options for shipment
pickup and optimizing cargo capacity.
AVs can also drive cost efficiencies in
maritime ports and airports. Initially, they
could complement the capabilities of
Automated Guided Vehicles (AGVs), currently
used for repetitive container transportation.
Existing AGVs are predominately guided by
electromagnetic sensors and transponders,
and come with high upfront costs and
inflexible navigation capabilities. Ports and
airports are showing increasing interest in
autonomous navigation systems using
LiDAR and radar as an alternative solution.
THREE STEPS TO CONSIDER NOW
ONE TWO THREE
Logistics companies should actively
partner with OEMs to develop truck-
sharing service models they can
leverage during spikes in demand or
peak seasons. This will reduce both
purchased transportation and fixed
transportation costs.
Logistics companies should build
analytics capability roadmaps and
start collecting extended sets of
operational data – AV adoption
will require sophisticated analytics
modeling to fully realize its benefits.
Ports and multimodal logistics hubs
should consider investing in AV
technologies like LiDAR and radar
for potential AV applications.
NOW FUTURE
First Mile
Middle Mile
Last Mile
Storefront on Wheels
Standardized and Autonomous
Specialized
Customer
Experiences
Specialized
Functional
Services
9. 9 AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES: PLOTTING A ROUTE TO THE DRIVERLESS FUTURE
NOW
Insurance companies have been operating
some of the most profitable business
models in recent history. But auto insurers
are not immune from digital disruption.
Online sales, usage-based insurance,
data analytics and telematics are having
a negative impact on profits – all while
consumers perceive auto insurance
premiums as overpriced and providing
questionable claims benefits.
Technology advances in the automotive
industry are closing the gap between
traditional vehicles and the future state of
AVs. New vehicles equipped with Advanced
Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) have
already been proven to reduce fatalities
on the road. Higher levels of automation
are expected to yield even better results.
Fewer accidents and safer roadways mean
fewer claims and a corresponding reduction
in risk premiums. While the automotive
insurance industry is braced for a decline
in premium-based revenues, they are yet to
fully understand the new types of risk that
will accompany AV adoption.
FUTURE
AVs are expected to drive a $26 billion loss in
revenues for insurance companies by 2035.5
This is not quite the doomsday scenario for
insurers it may initially seem. Massive disruption
in the industry presents an enormous
opportunity – the Accenture Connected
Transport practice has identified and modeled
four key new revenue streams for insurers:
• Cyber-security risk
While cyber-security risk has traditionally
been associated with vehicle theft via
third-party telematics system entry points,
in fact AVs represent an even greater risk
of cyber-security attack. Hackers could
theoretically take control of vehicles
remotely and engage in serious cyber-
physical tampering, from privacy invasion
to vehicle navigation control. Insurers
could respond with comprehensive
coverage models.
• Software or hardware failures
Because AVs require no driver intervention,
the nature of liability shifts from personal
to commercial product liability. Similar to
the traditional collision coverage model,
insurance premiums are collected to
compensate in case of an accident, but
the burden is on manufacturers to take
full liability of the hardware and software
that support vehicle operation. Thus,
as we move closer to full autonomy,
accident liabilities are shifted from drivers
to manufacturers, who redistribute this
burden across their tier 1 and 2 suppliers.
• Infrastructure risk
V2X communication is key to autonomous
driving – AVs must communicate with
road infrastructure and other vehicles to
determine their driving actions. But any
communication loss or failure could result
in serious traffic incidents, and will need to
be accounted for as an infrastructure risk,
with liability assigned to whichever entity
manages road infrastructure.
AUTO INSURANCE
10. 10 AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES: PLOTTING A ROUTE TO THE DRIVERLESS FUTURE
• Fleet operation liability
With little or no manual control in an
AV, interactions between vehicle and
driver are greatly reduced or eliminated.
Vehicle owners will thus likely be far
less emotionally attached to the idea of
vehicle ownership, and consequently
fewer people will own vehicles. But, in
conjunction with fundamental shifts
toward car sharing, this trend will present
new opportunities for insurers in the
fleet management space. New insurance
models will be required to accommodate
increasing demand for AV fleet operations.
Together, these business models will
offer more than $22 billion in new revenue
opportunities by 2035.6
Insurers who pivot
their businesses, and begin investing in
incremental technologies, will be best
positioned to capture this revenue. Those
who don’t will find themselves struggling
to catch up in a complex and fast-paced
future ecosystem.
THREE STEPS TO CONSIDER NOW
ONE TWO THREE
To capitalize on revenue
opportunities, insurers must
begin to identify and invest in
new, scalable insurance products
and services for AVs.
As commercial and product
insurance becomes increasingly
widespread, insurers must
build new relationships with
those directly impacted – auto
manufacturers, governments
and tech companies.
Insurers must build internal
capabilities and knowledge
in telematics, advanced
driver assistance systems and
machine learning to capture
early mover advantage and
maintain market share.
NOW FUTURE
Driver Profile Rating
Car Profile Rating
Driver Behavior Rating
Cyber-Security Risk Rating
SW and HW Failure Risk Rating
Infrastructure Risk Rating
Fleet Operation Risk Rating
11. 11 AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES: PLOTTING A ROUTE TO THE DRIVERLESS FUTURE
These three industry segments demonstrate that
the AV future is closer than it looks. Key players
have already started investing to ensure they
have a strategy for emerging AV opportunities.
The synergies between expectation and
innovation are setting the pace of AV adoption,
and these early movers will have a significant role.
Nothing will change overnight, but AVs will undoubtedly bring dramatic
shifts across numerous industries. Now’s the time for each business
to start considering the impact of AVs on its own industry and create
a game plan. And now’s the time to reassess collaboration models,
especially with unconventional partners, to ensure a business gets a seat
at the table when AVs really hit the mainstream. Act now to ensure your
business is a beneficiary – not a victim – in the coming AV revolution.
CONCLUSION