ESRC STEPS Centre's Co-Director Professor Andy Stirling gave a keynote speech to European technology analysts at the European Commission's 'FTA 2014: future oriented technology analysis' conference in Brussels in November 2014.
Prof. Stirling's address is titled 'From Knowledge Economy to Innovation Democracy: collective action in the shaping of scientific and technological futures'
You can watch a video of this address and a short interview with Prof. Stirling at: http://steps-centre.org/2015/blog/stirlinginnovdemo
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www.steps-centre.org
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Video at http://stockholmresilience.org/seminarandevents/otherseminars/ness2011/videoarchive.4.1f74f76413071d337c380005790.html
Andy Stirling - Royal Society Policy Lab STEPS Centre
Presentation by Prof Andy Stirling, STEPS Centre at the Royal Society Policy Lab on 14 June 2010.
Prof Stirling is a co-director of the STEPS Centre. For more information on the Manifesto project mentioned in the presentation, visit www.anewmanifesto.org
Andy Stirling - Addressing Uncertainty, Ambiguity and Ignorance in Sustainabi...STEPS Centre
Presentation by Dr Andy Stirling of the STEPS Centre to an interdisciplinary workshop on
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www.steps-centre.org
Melissa Leach: Pathways to Sustainability: Environmental social science and ...STEPS Centre
From NESS 2011 (The 10th Nordic Environmental Social Science Conference), June 2011.
Video at http://stockholmresilience.org/seminarandevents/otherseminars/ness2011/videoarchive.4.1f74f76413071d337c380005790.html
Andy Stirling - Royal Society Policy Lab STEPS Centre
Presentation by Prof Andy Stirling, STEPS Centre at the Royal Society Policy Lab on 14 June 2010.
Prof Stirling is a co-director of the STEPS Centre. For more information on the Manifesto project mentioned in the presentation, visit www.anewmanifesto.org
From Risk Regulation to Innovation Democracy: precaution, participation and t...STEPS Centre
Presentation by Andy Stirling, STEPS Centre co-director, to a workshop on ‘responding to risks ‐ a key to dealing with socio‐ecological challenges’, Institut für Regional- und Umweltwirtschaft, Wirtschaftsuniversität Wien, 23rd June 2014
Direction, Distribution, Diversity! pluralising progress in innovation, susta...STEPS Centre
Presentation by Andy Stirling to a seminar at
Department of Innovation Sciences
Technical University Eindhoven, 15th April, 2010.
For more about Innovation, Sustainability, Development: A New Manifesto see http://www.anewmanifesto.org
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the Netherlands on 11 December 2008
My presentation at the DMU-hosted seminar [held on 8 December 2011] on THE ASSAULT ON UNIVERSITIES: Privatisation, Secrecy and the Future of Higher Education.
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This presentation brings together storytelling, design thinking, and complexity as it discusses approaching the difficult challenges facing Colorado’s emergency management community. Focused on problem framing, storytelling is explored as a key step in engaging with complex issues while the audience is invited to think about the stories they are currently telling about problems and consider how they might begin to craft different ones.
From Risk Regulation to Innovation Democracy: precaution, participation and t...STEPS Centre
Presentation by Andy Stirling, STEPS Centre co-director, to a workshop on ‘responding to risks ‐ a key to dealing with socio‐ecological challenges’, Institut für Regional- und Umweltwirtschaft, Wirtschaftsuniversität Wien, 23rd June 2014
Direction, Distribution, Diversity! pluralising progress in innovation, susta...STEPS Centre
Presentation by Andy Stirling to a seminar at
Department of Innovation Sciences
Technical University Eindhoven, 15th April, 2010.
For more about Innovation, Sustainability, Development: A New Manifesto see http://www.anewmanifesto.org
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Professor Melissa Leach, IDS Director and former STEPS Centre Director, gave this presentation as part of a Plenary Dialogue with Johan Rockstrom of the Stockholm Resilience Centre at the Resilience 2014 conference in Montpellier, France on 7 May 2014. Find out more: http://steps-centre.org/
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An overview of the tensions that arise when attempting to embed a futures perspective, in the form of horizon scanning, in organisations with an evidence-based culture.
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Presentation by Andy Stirling, co-director of the ESRC STEPS Centre science director of SPRU on 'The Direction of Innovation and new challenges in the governance of technology'. This was presented to a conference on ‘Tilting perspectives on regulating technologies’
at TILT – Tilburg Institute for Law, Technology, and Society, Tilburg University,
the Netherlands on 11 December 2008
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Gregory vigneaux design thinking for the end of the worldGregory Vigneaux
This presentation brings together storytelling, design thinking, and complexity as it discusses approaching the difficult challenges facing Colorado’s emergency management community. Focused on problem framing, storytelling is explored as a key step in engaging with complex issues while the audience is invited to think about the stories they are currently telling about problems and consider how they might begin to craft different ones.
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2. “Progress” as Social Control
Ethnomethodology:
‘origin myths’ often address
central political tensions
“you can’t stop progress”
a vision
of science-driven
technology-mediated
depoliticised change
ongoing experience of emancipation
(slavery, colonialism, racism, patriarchy,
worker exploitation, heterosexuality)
politics, discourse, STS recognise
such deep imaginations are the
strongest means of ‘social control’
shows main driving counter-dynamic
is unruly collective action by
social movements and civil society
…whatever emerges from
incumbent interests
and structures
is “progress”
3. transport
materials
computing
military
robotics
synthetic biology
“we'll restore
science to its
rightful
place”…
“Our hope …
relies on
scientific and
technological
progress”
“One can not
impede scientific
progress.””
…“history is a race to
advance technology”
PROGRESS
TECHNOLOGY
SCIENCE
Lisbon Strategy:
“pro-innovation action”
for “Innovation Union”
“… the Government’s
strategy is
pro-innovation”
“strives to stay in the race”
”
“give technology the
status it deserves”
“you can’t stop progress”
“Progress” as Social Control
4. PROGRESS
TECHNOLOGY
SCIENCE
synthetic biology
“we'll restore
science to its
rightful
place”…
“Our hope …
relies on
scientific and
technological
progress”
“One can not
impede scientific
progress.””
Innovation studies also
emphasises linearity:
- advance (Nelson)
- diffusion (Rogers)
- early movers (Teece)
- first moving (Lieberman)
- catching up (Santangelo)
- latecomers (Tellis)
- forging ahead (Abramowicz)
- leapfrogging (Brezis)
- falling behind (Aho)
So even academic analysis
restricts attention to:
how much?
how fast?
what risk?
who‘s ahead?
Suppresses politics of:
which way?
what alternatives?
says who?
why?
“Progress” as Social Control
5. carbon capture
grassroots innovation
behaviour change
distributed renewables
market reform nuclear power
new eco-cities
centralised renewables
History, economics, social science, philosophy, politics,
show divergent branching infrastructure innovation trajectories
eg: alternative infrastructures for ‘the’ zero carbon transition …
… alternatives are matters for political, not managerial, institutions
The Channeling of Control
6. social shaping (Bijker, 85) co-construction (Misa, 03)
studies: expectations (Brown, 03) imaginations (Jasanoff, 05)
Social choices get politically closed down
carbon capture
behaviour change
distributed renewables
market reform nuclear power
centralised renewables
eg: alternative infrastructures for ‘the’ zero carbon transition …
The Channeling of Control
7. history: contingency (Mokyr, 92) momentum (Hughes 83)
path-dependence (David, 85) path creation (Karnoe, 01)
carbon capture
behaviour change nuclear power
centralised renewables
eg: alternative infrastructures for ‘the’ zero carbon transition …
Social choices get politically closed down
The Channeling of Control
8. philosophy: autonomy (Winner, 77) closure (Feenberg, 91)
/politics entrapment (Walker, 01) alignment (Geels, 02)
carbon capture
nuclear power
eg: alternative infrastructures for ‘the’ zero carbon transition …
Social choices get politically closed down
The Channeling of Control
9. economics: homeostasis (Sahal, 85) lock-in (Arthur, 89)
regimes (Nelson & Winter, 77) trajectories (Dosi, 82)
nuclear power
eg: alternative infrastructures for ‘the’ zero carbon transition …
Social choices get politically closed down
The Channeling of Control
10. Politics reduced to risk: from ends: strategic choices between visions
to means: detailed regulation of
modalities
Not all that is scientifically realistic, technically practicable,
economically feasible, socially viable, will be historically realisable
eg: alternative infrastructures for ‘the’ zero carbon transition …
nuclear power
The Channeling of Control
11. focus on restricted to “tolerable risk” for incumbent pathway …
Mainstream Innovation Closes Down Social Choice
nanotechnology
Framing in terms of specific technology – even technology in general…
sidelines alternative non-technological innovations
- services, business models, organisations, behaviours, culture…
Focus on visions & challenges as ends, not technologies as means
12. Politics reduced to risk: from ends: strategic choices between visions
to means: detailed regulation of
modalities
focus on restricted to “tolerable risk” for incumbent pathway …
Mainstream Innovation Closes Down Social Choice
for: shareholder profit
appropriated value
controlled supply
affluent demand
market share
assertive IP
…
therapeutics not prevention
end-of-pipe remediation
human enhancement
military applications
security controls
life extension
‘user impact’ in evaluation
‘pro-innovation’ strategies
‘sound scientific’ research
‘evidence based’ regulation
‘disciplinary rigour’ in assessment
even criticism organised as ‘prefix’ on axis
suppress the politics of plural directions
excludes:
human responses
social technology
grassroots innovation
open source practices
sociotechnical diversity
nanotechnology
13. Brundtland (1987) codified key professed aims
environmental
integrity
social
inclusion
human
wellbeing
- a liveable climate
- ecological balance
- air, water and soil quality
- protection of biodiversity
- intrinsic values of nature
- global equity
- political equality
- shared interest
- common action
- community participation
- poverty elimination
- livelihood security
- health and education
- peace and nonviolence
- economic development
SUSTAINABLILITY
“meeting the needs of the present, without compromising
the ability of future generations to meet their own needs”`
present needs have own diverse political voices
A “civilising hypocrisy” for challenge & accountability of direction
Need for “effective citizen participation” and “greater democracy”
The Importance of ‘Sustainability’
14. So, sustainability transcends ‘one-track deterministic ’ notions of “progress”
… instead, provokes and enables deliberate social agency over
contending interests and visions on alternative directions for progress
Result of political struggle by social movements resisted by elite governance
Emancipation
Equality
Ecology
‘Sustainability’ driven by Collective Action
15. Even the most specific environmental issues, all initially vigorously resisted
pesticides…
pesticides… asbestos…
pesticides… asbestos… radiation…
pesticides… asbestos… radiation… lead…
pesticides… asbestos… radiation… lead… carcinogens…
pesticides… asbestos… radiation… lead… carcinogens… CFCs…
pesticides… asbestos… radiation… lead… carcinogens… CFCs… EDCs…
Emancipation
Equality
Ecology
‘Sustainability’ Resisted by Formal Governance
16. And innovations now mainstream were initially excluded and suppressed
organic farming…
organic farming… wind turbines…
organic farming… wind turbines… super-efficiency…
organic farming… wind turbines… super-efficiency… closed cycle production…
Emancipation
Equality
Ecology
Suppression of Sustainable Innovation
Where ‘Sustainability’ is addressed as being about social control
rather than collective action, it betrays its own foundations
17. “planetary boundaries” are “control
variables of the Earth” (Rockstrom)
with “absolutely no uncertainty” …
brooking “no compromise” (Rockstrom)
“…the non-negotiable planetary preconditions
that humanity needs to respect…” (Rockstrom)
“Earth systems management” (Bierman)
driven by fear of “catastrophe” (Whiteman)
Undifferentiated “we” (Lovbrand) of “humanity
as a self-conscious control force that has
conquered the planet” (Schellnhuber)
With the aim and destiny of
“taking control of Nature’s realm” (Crutzen)
Anthropocene “Grand Challenges”
20. unproblematic
problematic
unproblematic problematic
knowledge
about
likelihoods
knowledge about possibilities
RISK
UNCERTAINTY
AMBIGUITY
INCERTITUDE
what is benefit or harm?
how fair? which alternatives?
whose values and societies?
- Socrates, Lao Tzu, Knight, Keynes, Shackle, Collingridge, Dovers, Ravetz, Wynne ...
unsettle pro innovation, sound science, evidence based closure
Opening Up Uncertainty
21. unproblematic
problematic
unproblematic problematic
knowledge
about
likelihoods
knowledge about possibilities
RISK
UNCERTAINTY
AMBIGUITY
IGNORANCE
novel agents or vectors
surprising conditions
new alternatives
wilful blinkers
INCERTITUDE
- Socrates, Lao Tzu, Knight, Keynes, Shackle, Collingridge, Dovers, Ravetz, Wynne ...
unsettle pro innovation, sound science, evidence based closure
Opening Up Uncertainty
22. unproblematic
problematic
unproblematic problematic
knowledge
about
likelihoods
knowledge about possibilities
RISK
UNCERTAINTY
AMBIGUITY
aggregative analysis
patronage, pressure
political closure
insurance limits
reductive models
stochastic reasoning
`science-based
policy
institutional
remits
political
culture
liability protection
harm definitions
indicators / metrics
IGNORANCE
risk focus is shaped by power – Beck’s “organised irresponsibility”
Power Closes Down to Risk
illuminate specific microdynamics of closure
23. probabilities
optimisation
decision trees
Delphi / Foresight
costbenefit analysis
RISK
unproblematic
problematic
unproblematic problematic
knowledge
about
likelihoods
knowledge about possibilities
risk focus is shaped by power – Beck’s “organised irresponsibility”
illuminate specific microdynamics of closure
Power Closes Down to Risk
roland: analytic believe in method, intuitive believe in results
Abstract
The governance of science and technology is conditioned by some pervasive fallacies and fantasies. None are more extensive or deeply embedded, than those concerning the ability of human agency deliberately to control key features of interest in the world. Aspects and implications of the associated dilemmas arise both in the ways knowledge itself is understood, as well as the styles of intervention that society seeks to undertake. Common to both areas, are the neglected dynamics of power - encouraging exaggeration both of the quality of knowledge and the tractability of action.
Focusing on the example of energy systems, this talk will quickly review some of the practical policy implications. It will argue for attention to a range of neglected 'broader based' methods for 'opening up' policy appraisal of energy systems. It will also conclude for greater attention to governance strategies that do not depend on claims and aspirations to control. Again, some practical implications will be discussed relating to resilience rather than stability in energy systems and transformation rather than deterministic transition. In all these respects, a concrete energy policy strategy that repeatedly comes to the fore is that of deliberate diversification.