Presentation by Andy Stirling to conference of INET in collaboration with OECD on ‘Forecasting the Future for Sustainable Development: approaches to modelling and the science of prediction’. 16th June 2021
Coloniality in Transformation: decolonising methods for activist scholarship ...STEPS Centre
Presentation by Andy Stirling to 2021 Transformations to Sustainability conference session on '‘Philosophical Underpinnings’ in decolonizing research methods for transformation towards sustainability', 17th June 2021
Discussion: The Future of the World is Mobile - Giorgia GiovannettiSTEPS Centre
By Giorgia Giovannetti, University of Firenze and Robert Schuman Centre, EUI. Given at EUI on 10 April 2019.
https://steps-centre.org/event/the-future-of-the-world-is-mobile-what-can-we-learn-from-pastoralists/
Saurabh Arora - The advantages of uncertainty - toward new principles for coo...STEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
Mehta et al - Climate change and uncertainty from below and aboveSTEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
Advisory To Ottawa Council on Solving Its Transportation MessBarry Wellar
The City of Ottawa Canada has been in a transportation mess since the early 1970s. This advisory proposes five steps for Ottawa city council to take in order to think its way through the transportation mess.
Andy Stirling: From Risk Regulation to Innovation Governance: reconciling rat...STEPS Centre
Talk by Andy Stirling, STEPS Co-Director, at the conference ‘Modelling Futures: Understanding risk and uncertainty’ on 28-30 September.
http://www.crassh.cam.ac.uk/events/1133
Coloniality in Transformation: decolonising methods for activist scholarship ...STEPS Centre
Presentation by Andy Stirling to 2021 Transformations to Sustainability conference session on '‘Philosophical Underpinnings’ in decolonizing research methods for transformation towards sustainability', 17th June 2021
Discussion: The Future of the World is Mobile - Giorgia GiovannettiSTEPS Centre
By Giorgia Giovannetti, University of Firenze and Robert Schuman Centre, EUI. Given at EUI on 10 April 2019.
https://steps-centre.org/event/the-future-of-the-world-is-mobile-what-can-we-learn-from-pastoralists/
Saurabh Arora - The advantages of uncertainty - toward new principles for coo...STEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
Mehta et al - Climate change and uncertainty from below and aboveSTEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
Advisory To Ottawa Council on Solving Its Transportation MessBarry Wellar
The City of Ottawa Canada has been in a transportation mess since the early 1970s. This advisory proposes five steps for Ottawa city council to take in order to think its way through the transportation mess.
Andy Stirling: From Risk Regulation to Innovation Governance: reconciling rat...STEPS Centre
Talk by Andy Stirling, STEPS Co-Director, at the conference ‘Modelling Futures: Understanding risk and uncertainty’ on 28-30 September.
http://www.crassh.cam.ac.uk/events/1133
David Hand:Trustworthiness of statistical analysisjemille6
Abstract: Trust in statistical conclusions derives from the trustworthiness of the data and analysis methods. Trustworthiness of the analysis methods can be compromised by misunderstanding and incorrect application. However, that should stimulate a call for education and regulation, to ensure that methods are used correctly. The alternative of banning potentially useful methods, on the grounds that they are often misunderstood and misused is short-sighted, unscientific, and Procrustean. It damages the capability of science to advance, and feeds into public mistrust of the discipline.
Ian Scoones - Enabling plural pathways - uncertainty and responses to climate...STEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
From Risk Regulation to Innovation Democracy: precaution, participation and t...STEPS Centre
Presentation by Andy Stirling, STEPS Centre co-director, to a workshop on ‘responding to risks ‐ a key to dealing with socio‐ecological challenges’, Institut für Regional- und Umweltwirtschaft, Wirtschaftsuniversität Wien, 23rd June 2014
Brian Wynne - Reconciling top-down and bottom-up uncertainties in knowledge, ...STEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
Andy Stirling - nexus methods (RGS 2016)STEPS Centre
"Meeting ‘Nexus’ Challenges: from policy connections to political transformations" - presentation given at the Royal Geographic Society/Institute for British Geographers conference on 'Nexus Thinking', August 2016.
Cultural Contradictions of Scanning in an Evidence-based Policy EnvironmentWendy Schultz
An overview of the tensions that arise when attempting to embed a futures perspective, in the form of horizon scanning, in organisations with an evidence-based culture.
FoME Symposium 2015 | Workshop 9: Story-telling and other New Methods of Eval...FOME2015
This presentation was held at the FoME Symposium, Oct. 1-2, 2015 at DW Akademie Bonn. FoME stands for "Forum Medien und Entwicklung". It's the German Forum "Media and Development", a network of institutions and individuals active in the field of media development cooperation.
Find the Symposium’s documentation here: http://fome.info/2015
Andy Stirling: Pathways to Sustainable Energy:issues of power, diversity an...STEPS Centre
Andy Stirling, co-director of the STEPS Centre, talks about the Centre's appproach to sustainable energy for development issues at the Low Carbon Energy for Development Network's second international conference at the University of Sussex, September 2012
Abstract: The emerging configuration of educational institutions, technologies, scientific practices, ethics policies and companies can be usefully framed as the emergence of a new “knowledge infrastructure” (Paul Edwards). The idea that we may be transitioning into significantly new ways of knowing – about learning and learners, teaching and teachers – is both exciting and daunting, because new knowledge infrastructures redefine roles and redistribute power, raising many important questions. What should we see when open the black box powering analytics? How do we empower all stakeholders to engage in the design process? Since digital infrastructure fades quickly into the background, how can researchers, educators and learners engage with it mindfully? This isn’t just interesting to ponder academically: your school or university will be buying products that are being designed now. Or perhaps educational institutions should take control, building and sharing their own open source tools? How are universities accelerating the transition from analytics innovation to infrastructure? Speaking from the perspective of leading an institutional innovation centre in learning analytics, I hope that our experiences designing code, competencies and culture for learning analytics sheds helpful light on these questions.
Interfacing pastoral movements and modern mobilitiesSTEPS Centre
By Michele Nori, PASTRES (Pastoralism, Uncertainty, Resilience) project. Given at EUI on 10 April 2019.
https://steps-centre.org/event/the-future-of-the-world-is-mobile-what-can-we-learn-from-pastoralists/
More Related Content
Similar to Opening up the politics of justification in maths for policy: power and uncertainty in aligning innovation with the SDGs
David Hand:Trustworthiness of statistical analysisjemille6
Abstract: Trust in statistical conclusions derives from the trustworthiness of the data and analysis methods. Trustworthiness of the analysis methods can be compromised by misunderstanding and incorrect application. However, that should stimulate a call for education and regulation, to ensure that methods are used correctly. The alternative of banning potentially useful methods, on the grounds that they are often misunderstood and misused is short-sighted, unscientific, and Procrustean. It damages the capability of science to advance, and feeds into public mistrust of the discipline.
Ian Scoones - Enabling plural pathways - uncertainty and responses to climate...STEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
From Risk Regulation to Innovation Democracy: precaution, participation and t...STEPS Centre
Presentation by Andy Stirling, STEPS Centre co-director, to a workshop on ‘responding to risks ‐ a key to dealing with socio‐ecological challenges’, Institut für Regional- und Umweltwirtschaft, Wirtschaftsuniversität Wien, 23rd June 2014
Brian Wynne - Reconciling top-down and bottom-up uncertainties in knowledge, ...STEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
Andy Stirling - nexus methods (RGS 2016)STEPS Centre
"Meeting ‘Nexus’ Challenges: from policy connections to political transformations" - presentation given at the Royal Geographic Society/Institute for British Geographers conference on 'Nexus Thinking', August 2016.
Cultural Contradictions of Scanning in an Evidence-based Policy EnvironmentWendy Schultz
An overview of the tensions that arise when attempting to embed a futures perspective, in the form of horizon scanning, in organisations with an evidence-based culture.
FoME Symposium 2015 | Workshop 9: Story-telling and other New Methods of Eval...FOME2015
This presentation was held at the FoME Symposium, Oct. 1-2, 2015 at DW Akademie Bonn. FoME stands for "Forum Medien und Entwicklung". It's the German Forum "Media and Development", a network of institutions and individuals active in the field of media development cooperation.
Find the Symposium’s documentation here: http://fome.info/2015
Andy Stirling: Pathways to Sustainable Energy:issues of power, diversity an...STEPS Centre
Andy Stirling, co-director of the STEPS Centre, talks about the Centre's appproach to sustainable energy for development issues at the Low Carbon Energy for Development Network's second international conference at the University of Sussex, September 2012
Abstract: The emerging configuration of educational institutions, technologies, scientific practices, ethics policies and companies can be usefully framed as the emergence of a new “knowledge infrastructure” (Paul Edwards). The idea that we may be transitioning into significantly new ways of knowing – about learning and learners, teaching and teachers – is both exciting and daunting, because new knowledge infrastructures redefine roles and redistribute power, raising many important questions. What should we see when open the black box powering analytics? How do we empower all stakeholders to engage in the design process? Since digital infrastructure fades quickly into the background, how can researchers, educators and learners engage with it mindfully? This isn’t just interesting to ponder academically: your school or university will be buying products that are being designed now. Or perhaps educational institutions should take control, building and sharing their own open source tools? How are universities accelerating the transition from analytics innovation to infrastructure? Speaking from the perspective of leading an institutional innovation centre in learning analytics, I hope that our experiences designing code, competencies and culture for learning analytics sheds helpful light on these questions.
Similar to Opening up the politics of justification in maths for policy: power and uncertainty in aligning innovation with the SDGs (20)
Interfacing pastoral movements and modern mobilitiesSTEPS Centre
By Michele Nori, PASTRES (Pastoralism, Uncertainty, Resilience) project. Given at EUI on 10 April 2019.
https://steps-centre.org/event/the-future-of-the-world-is-mobile-what-can-we-learn-from-pastoralists/
Reconceiving migration through the study of pastoral mobilitySTEPS Centre
By Natasha Maru, PASTRES (Pastoralism, Uncertainty, Resilience) project. Given at EUI on 10 April 2019.
https://steps-centre.org/event/the-future-of-the-world-is-mobile-what-can-we-learn-from-pastoralists/
Bringing moral economy into the study of land deals: reflections from MadagascarSTEPS Centre
19 March 2019, Institute of Development Studies
Seminar organised by the Resource Politics and Rural Futures Clusters, in association with the STEPS Centre’s PASTRES project
Speaker: Mathilde Gingembre
https://steps-centre.org/event/steps-seminar-mathilde-gingembre-bringing-moral-economy-into-the-study-of-land-deals-reflections-from-madagascar/
Agency and social-ecological system (SES) pathways: the Transformation Lab in...STEPS Centre
Presentation by J. Mario Siqueiros, February 2019, at a STEPS Seminar at the Institute of Development Studies.
More information: https://steps-centre.org/project/pathways-network/
From controlled transition to caring transformations - StirlingSTEPS Centre
Presentation from Week 2 of the System Change HIVE that presents some questions to guide thinking about transformation and power.
http://systemchangehive.org/
Systems, change and growth - Huff and BrockSTEPS Centre
Presentation from week 1 of the System Change HIVE that outlines big ideas about the environment and some criticisms of capitalism.
http://systemchangehive.org/
STEPS Annual Lecture 2017: Achim Steiner - Doomed to fail or bound to succeed...STEPS Centre
Achim Steiner, incoming UNDP director, gave the STEPS Annual lecture at the University of Sussex on 15 May 2017. Find out more: https://steps-centre.org/event/steps-annual-lecture-achim-steiner/
Suresh Rohilla - Climate change and sanitation, water resourcesSTEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
Suraje Dessai - Uncertainty from above and encounters in the middleSTEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
Sumetee Pahwa Gajjar - Uncertainty from withinSTEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
Shibaji Bose - Voices from below - a Photo Voice exploration in Indian sundar...STEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
Matthias Heymann - The climate change dilemma - big science, the globalizing ...STEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
Lyons et al - Protecting what is left - making local perspectives of uncertai...STEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
Krishna AchutaRao - Uncertainty from above - can it be reduced?STEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
Dominic Kniveton - Embracing uncertaintySTEPS Centre
Workshop on climate change and uncertainty from below and above, Delhi. http://steps-centre.org/2016/blog/climate-change-and-uncertainty-from-above-and-below/
Salas, V. (2024) "John of St. Thomas (Poinsot) on the Science of Sacred Theol...Studia Poinsotiana
I Introduction
II Subalternation and Theology
III Theology and Dogmatic Declarations
IV The Mixed Principles of Theology
V Virtual Revelation: The Unity of Theology
VI Theology as a Natural Science
VII Theology’s Certitude
VIII Conclusion
Notes
Bibliography
All the contents are fully attributable to the author, Doctor Victor Salas. Should you wish to get this text republished, get in touch with the author or the editorial committee of the Studia Poinsotiana. Insofar as possible, we will be happy to broker your contact.
hematic appreciation test is a psychological assessment tool used to measure an individual's appreciation and understanding of specific themes or topics. This test helps to evaluate an individual's ability to connect different ideas and concepts within a given theme, as well as their overall comprehension and interpretation skills. The results of the test can provide valuable insights into an individual's cognitive abilities, creativity, and critical thinking skills
Remote Sensing and Computational, Evolutionary, Supercomputing, and Intellige...University of Maribor
Slides from talk:
Aleš Zamuda: Remote Sensing and Computational, Evolutionary, Supercomputing, and Intelligent Systems.
11th International Conference on Electrical, Electronics and Computer Engineering (IcETRAN), Niš, 3-6 June 2024
Inter-Society Networking Panel GRSS/MTT-S/CIS Panel Session: Promoting Connection and Cooperation
https://www.etran.rs/2024/en/home-english/
DERIVATION OF MODIFIED BERNOULLI EQUATION WITH VISCOUS EFFECTS AND TERMINAL V...Wasswaderrick3
In this book, we use conservation of energy techniques on a fluid element to derive the Modified Bernoulli equation of flow with viscous or friction effects. We derive the general equation of flow/ velocity and then from this we derive the Pouiselle flow equation, the transition flow equation and the turbulent flow equation. In the situations where there are no viscous effects , the equation reduces to the Bernoulli equation. From experimental results, we are able to include other terms in the Bernoulli equation. We also look at cases where pressure gradients exist. We use the Modified Bernoulli equation to derive equations of flow rate for pipes of different cross sectional areas connected together. We also extend our techniques of energy conservation to a sphere falling in a viscous medium under the effect of gravity. We demonstrate Stokes equation of terminal velocity and turbulent flow equation. We look at a way of calculating the time taken for a body to fall in a viscous medium. We also look at the general equation of terminal velocity.
Richard's aventures in two entangled wonderlandsRichard Gill
Since the loophole-free Bell experiments of 2020 and the Nobel prizes in physics of 2022, critics of Bell's work have retreated to the fortress of super-determinism. Now, super-determinism is a derogatory word - it just means "determinism". Palmer, Hance and Hossenfelder argue that quantum mechanics and determinism are not incompatible, using a sophisticated mathematical construction based on a subtle thinning of allowed states and measurements in quantum mechanics, such that what is left appears to make Bell's argument fail, without altering the empirical predictions of quantum mechanics. I think however that it is a smoke screen, and the slogan "lost in math" comes to my mind. I will discuss some other recent disproofs of Bell's theorem using the language of causality based on causal graphs. Causal thinking is also central to law and justice. I will mention surprising connections to my work on serial killer nurse cases, in particular the Dutch case of Lucia de Berk and the current UK case of Lucy Letby.
Toxic effects of heavy metals : Lead and Arsenicsanjana502982
Heavy metals are naturally occuring metallic chemical elements that have relatively high density, and are toxic at even low concentrations. All toxic metals are termed as heavy metals irrespective of their atomic mass and density, eg. arsenic, lead, mercury, cadmium, thallium, chromium, etc.
Nutraceutical market, scope and growth: Herbal drug technologyLokesh Patil
As consumer awareness of health and wellness rises, the nutraceutical market—which includes goods like functional meals, drinks, and dietary supplements that provide health advantages beyond basic nutrition—is growing significantly. As healthcare expenses rise, the population ages, and people want natural and preventative health solutions more and more, this industry is increasing quickly. Further driving market expansion are product formulation innovations and the use of cutting-edge technology for customized nutrition. With its worldwide reach, the nutraceutical industry is expected to keep growing and provide significant chances for research and investment in a number of categories, including vitamins, minerals, probiotics, and herbal supplements.
Comparing Evolved Extractive Text Summary Scores of Bidirectional Encoder Rep...University of Maribor
Slides from:
11th International Conference on Electrical, Electronics and Computer Engineering (IcETRAN), Niš, 3-6 June 2024
Track: Artificial Intelligence
https://www.etran.rs/2024/en/home-english/
Observation of Io’s Resurfacing via Plume Deposition Using Ground-based Adapt...Sérgio Sacani
Since volcanic activity was first discovered on Io from Voyager images in 1979, changes
on Io’s surface have been monitored from both spacecraft and ground-based telescopes.
Here, we present the highest spatial resolution images of Io ever obtained from a groundbased telescope. These images, acquired by the SHARK-VIS instrument on the Large
Binocular Telescope, show evidence of a major resurfacing event on Io’s trailing hemisphere. When compared to the most recent spacecraft images, the SHARK-VIS images
show that a plume deposit from a powerful eruption at Pillan Patera has covered part
of the long-lived Pele plume deposit. Although this type of resurfacing event may be common on Io, few have been detected due to the rarity of spacecraft visits and the previously low spatial resolution available from Earth-based telescopes. The SHARK-VIS instrument ushers in a new era of high resolution imaging of Io’s surface using adaptive
optics at visible wavelengths.
Earliest Galaxies in the JADES Origins Field: Luminosity Function and Cosmic ...Sérgio Sacani
We characterize the earliest galaxy population in the JADES Origins Field (JOF), the deepest
imaging field observed with JWST. We make use of the ancillary Hubble optical images (5 filters
spanning 0.4−0.9µm) and novel JWST images with 14 filters spanning 0.8−5µm, including 7 mediumband filters, and reaching total exposure times of up to 46 hours per filter. We combine all our data
at > 2.3µm to construct an ultradeep image, reaching as deep as ≈ 31.4 AB mag in the stack and
30.3-31.0 AB mag (5σ, r = 0.1” circular aperture) in individual filters. We measure photometric
redshifts and use robust selection criteria to identify a sample of eight galaxy candidates at redshifts
z = 11.5 − 15. These objects show compact half-light radii of R1/2 ∼ 50 − 200pc, stellar masses of
M⋆ ∼ 107−108M⊙, and star-formation rates of SFR ∼ 0.1−1 M⊙ yr−1
. Our search finds no candidates
at 15 < z < 20, placing upper limits at these redshifts. We develop a forward modeling approach to
infer the properties of the evolving luminosity function without binning in redshift or luminosity that
marginalizes over the photometric redshift uncertainty of our candidate galaxies and incorporates the
impact of non-detections. We find a z = 12 luminosity function in good agreement with prior results,
and that the luminosity function normalization and UV luminosity density decline by a factor of ∼ 2.5
from z = 12 to z = 14. We discuss the possible implications of our results in the context of theoretical
models for evolution of the dark matter halo mass function.
Travis Hills' Endeavors in Minnesota: Fostering Environmental and Economic Pr...Travis Hills MN
Travis Hills of Minnesota developed a method to convert waste into high-value dry fertilizer, significantly enriching soil quality. By providing farmers with a valuable resource derived from waste, Travis Hills helps enhance farm profitability while promoting environmental stewardship. Travis Hills' sustainable practices lead to cost savings and increased revenue for farmers by improving resource efficiency and reducing waste.
Opening up the politics of justification in maths for policy: power and uncertainty in aligning innovation with the SDGs
1. Opening up the politics of
justification in maths for policy:
power and uncertainty in aligning
innovation with the SDGs
Andy Stirling
SPRU and STEPS Centre
University of Sussex
presentation to conference of INET in collaboration with OECD on:
‘Forecasting the Future for Sustainable Development: approaches to modelling and the science of prediction’
- session on ‘Innovation and mathematics for Sustainable Development Goals’
16th June 2021
2. What does it Mean, to call Forecasting a ‘Science’?
Implications of: authority? determinacy? precision? singular ‘truth’?
– but: … ozone hole … endocrine disruption … BSE … 2008 crash … COVID-19 …
Where is evidence for this? What is credibility? Why such implausible language?
… “science” … ?
… “prediction” …?
3. Be Rigorous also about the Politics of Justification
The most valuable commodity in politics in politics is not truth but justification
(eg: after Habermas, Collingridge, Hood, Boltanksi, Thevenot, Wynne)
‘Justification’: the process of procuring means to:
- engineer closure – singular (not plural) interpretations / recommendations
- establish authority – impression of confident power, not contingent dependence
- secure credibility – thro’ myth of science about certainty more than uncertainty
- build legitimacy – implicit authoritarian and technocratic vision of democracy
- foster trust – of incumbent power, not wider actors or trustworthiness
- manage blame – with inevitable occurrence of “event, dear boy, events”
- assert interests – a chance partly to favourably configure emerging outcomes
This is not about science (“nullius in verba” – “not on authority”)
but politics (‘elevator pitch’; ‘science based decisions’; ‘evidence based policy’)
To be “in power” is not about control, but about using stories of control to ‘surf’
contingent events that are actually out of control, such as to maintain prevailing privilege
4. Be Rigorous on Power Dynamics of Sustainablity
This is why the conservative
media call the SDGs ‘the
stupid development goals’
SDGs resist pressures for hegemonic policy justification
Challenging hegemonic ideas of singular self-evident “the way forward”
as driven by powerful interests - private profit
- economic growth
- military domination
5. This is how ‘sustainability’ gets “regulatory captured”
“Sound science” discourse; “pro-innovation” policies treat innovation as scalar
- ‘how fast?’ ‘who’s ahead?’ ‘what risk?’ … not ‘which way?’ ‘who says?’ ‘why?’
Multiple possible disparate pathways are presented as a single ‘way forward’
– reinforces ‘lock-in’, ‘path dependency’, ‘entrenchment’, ‘entrapment’ …
Justification forces innovation to be scalar not vector
– the quality of direction (crucial for sustainability) is effectively deleted
eg: pathways to ‘sustainable’ … energy, food, agriculture, transport, cities …
6. Justification forces ‘quantification’ into ‘aggregation’
Policy evidence in modelling and assessment routinely neglects to attend to full
range of sensitivities or variabilities in background peer reviewed literatures
A misleading impression is given of the robustness of ‘sound science’, the
precision of ‘evidence based analysis’, the sufficiency of scientific expertise
This is how ‘sustainability’ becomes technocratic
8. unproblematic
problematic
unproblematic problematic
knowledge
about
likelihoods
knowledge about possibilities
eg:
aggregation
eg: insurance
eg:
liability
`
eg: metrics
AMBIGUITY
UNCERTAINTY
RISK
IGNORANCE
The impression that probabilities are sufficient is engineered by institutions –
compounds misleading picture of the confidence warranted in prescriptions
Justification reduces uncertainty & ignorance to ‘risk’
9. unproblematic
problematic
unproblematic problematic
knowledge
about
likelihoods
IGNORANCE
RISK
knowledge about possibilities
explore and experiment with ‘plural conditional’ practices
… collective action by civil society ‘open up’ space for appreciating incertitude
UNCERTAINTY
burden of evidence
onus of persuasion
uncertainty factors
decision heuristics
interval analysis
sensitivity testing
precautionary
appraisal
AMBIGUITY
Practical Tools to Open Up Sustainability Appraisal
reductive
mathematics
11. knowledge
about
likelihoods
problematic UNCERTAINTY
… collective action by civil society ‘open up’ space for appreciating incertitude
unproblematic
unproblematic problematic
AMBIGUITY
RISK
knowledge about possibilities
explore and experiment with ‘plural conditional’ practices
Practical Tools to Open Up Sustainability Appraisal
civic research,
monitoring,
flexibility,
reversibility
diversity,
resilience,
agility
IGNORANCE
learning
adaptation