SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Team : Gray Matter
Mayank Agrawal - 9930840608
Ashwin Jain - 9971063087
Tejas Shah - 9833232218
Entry Strategy for Bon Avion
The Consigliere 2.0
SLIDE NO. SLIDE DETAILS REMARKS FILES
1 Demand & Cost Drivers Demand & Cost Drivers References - DGCA, IATA
reports
2 Competitive Landscape Analysis of existing
market players
CAPA Aviation reports
3 Entry Strategy Details of aviation
strategies to be adopted
NA
4 Pricing Analysis of Yield Pricing
model
NA
5 Route Planning Factors affecting Route
Planning
6 Scheduled Routes Details of Routes
selected for operation
NA
7 Income Statement 5 year Income statement
with analysis
8 Breakeven Analysis Calculations regarding
Breakeven point
9 Airline Launch Plan Five month launch plan NA
INDEX
Demand and Cost Drivers Competitive Strategy Route Planning Financials
Cost drivers -
demand for
Air Seats
Trade
Real GDP
GDP per capita
Labor Force
Network Structure
Infrastructure
Business Model
Type of Service
Regulatory
Environment
Tourism
Disposable Income
Component
Costs as % of
Total variable
costs
Driving Factor
ATF (Airline turbine
fuel)
40-60%
Fuel Efficiency,
Engine Option
Maintenance 20-30% Age of Aircraft
Lease Rentals 15-20% Tenure of lease
Marketing 2-3% Online/Print
Reservation, Online
Sales
3-8%
Commissions,
Systems, ITES
Network Upkeep
Costs
3-5% Planning
Navigation, Flight
and routing charges
1-3% Planning
HR 2-10%
Training, Expat
pilots, Outsourcing
US – Aircrafts
7,000
India – Aircrafts
400
Passengers – Airlines
84 Million a year
Passengers – Railways
8.4 Billion a year
Market Potential
Time taken in train
Delhi – Mumbai 16 hours
Time taken in Flight
Delhi – Mumbai 02 hours
Time taken in train
Kolkatta –Agartala 60 hours
Time taken in Flight
Kolkatta –Agartala 45 mins.
Costs Incurred by airlines
• Largest International network to support
its domestic operations
• Advantage of being the national airline
• Highest penetration
• Large fleet & 108 employees per aircraft
Air India
• Lowest Aircraft Maintenance cost
• Standard and uniform base fares
• Point to point model & Single fleet
• Same day returns
• Lowest turnaround time
• Best on time performance
• Sale & lease back model - procurement
Indigo
• High fuel efficiency
• Experience and International tie ups
• Strong and Growing loyalty program
• Strong corporate tie ups
• Excellent customer experience
• Highest leg room and comfortable seat
Jet Airways
• Predatory pricing
• Highest load factor
Spicejet
• Premium Economy
• World class experience
• Full Service – Multi
cuisine food, other
services
Vistara
• Low fares
• Focus on Tier 2
connectivity
• Extra charges for
Check In Baggage
Air Asia
• Low fares
• Focus on Tier 2
connectivity
• Single fleet - 19
Go Air
Demand and Cost Drivers Competitive Strategy Route Planning Financials
Competitive
Rivalry
Supplier
Power
Threat of
substitutes
Buyer
power
Entry/Exit
Barriers
High
• ATF – Fluctuations in
international prices
• Aircraft – 2 major
players(oligopoly)
• Labor - Unions
Low/Mid
• Train
• Bullet Train
High
• Capital
• Initial
Expendi
ture
• Operati
on costs
Porter’s Five Forces
1
1
Low/Mid
• Fewer options
• Low supply of train
tickets
Low
Operational
Costs
Leveraging Seasonal Traffic
• Multi sector flights covering seasonal
high traffic destinations
Example:
• Feb to November Delhi – Bengaluru
• Dec to Jan Delhi-Goa-Bengaluru
Single Cabin Class
• Maximum seat capacity 180-189
• Minimum time in boarding
• Low turnaround time. Target 25-30
minutes
• High Load Factor: >75%
Customer Relationship
• Initially offering free return flights
instead of discounting
• Loyalty Program
• Strategic industry Tie Ups
• Standard and uniform fares
thereafter
• Lower base fares on 2/3/4 month
advance bookings
Recruitment
• Recruiting staff from point of
origin/destination to reduce hotel costs
• Minimum dependence on Expat pilots
• Fewer employees per aircraft. Target –
95 per aircraft
Red Eyed Flights
• Blue ocean strategy
• High aircraft utilization rates > 11 hours
• Covering longer distance routes, 3
hours and above
Hub & Spoke - Point to Point Hybrid Model
• Taking advantage of low airport fee at
Tier II/III airports
• Operating only on profitable routes
• Ensuring On time performance.
Target 90%
Single Fleet
• Low training costs for Pilot/Crew
• Learning by doing
• Bulk purchase/Lease discounts
• Leasing(Dry/Wet) 5 Aircrafts initially to
ensure risk minimization.
• Purchasing aircrafts after 2 years of
operations through Sale and Lease
Back Model
Low Maintenance Costs
• Young Aircraft Fleet – A320 Neo
• Maintaining average age of
aircrafts within 5 years
Demand and Cost Drivers Competitive Strategy Route Planning Financials
High operational efficiency of Cabin
Crew and Ground staff through
digitization of manual operations, both in
flight and on ground
Demand and Cost Drivers Competitive Strategy Route Planning Financials
Choice of Aircraft
2/3/4 Month
Low fares
Last 2 week
high prices
Based on Number of days before flight
2 weeks –
2 months
prices
BaseFare
Number of tickets 
Tuesday
Monday Morning
Friday Evening
Based on Day and time of the week
Friday/Sa
turday/S
unday
Day
BaseFare
Number of tickets 
Rest of
the week
Airbus A320 Neo
with CFM LEAP Engine option
• 20% per seat fuel burn saving
(approx. $250,000 a year)
• Low maintenance costs
• Capacity of 189 seats with single class
configuration
• Faster deliveries within 2-3 years
Pricing - Yield Pricing
• Limiting to seats to 180
enhance leg room
• Food and beverages in flight
on demand @price
• 7Kg + 15 Kg Free Baggage
• Extra Baggage @250 per Kg
• Competitive pricing for cargo
targeting e-tailing cargo
companies
Demand and Cost Drivers Competitive Strategy Route Planning Financials
0
1000000
2000000
3000000
4000000
5000000
6000000
7000000
8000000
9000000
10000000
HYDERABAD
KOLKATA
CHENNAI
BANGLORE
MUMBAI
DELHI
POTENTIALITY MATRIX
• The strategic importance is gauged by the business
activity, tourist destination and potential smart city.
• This matrix lists tier-2 & 3 cities according to their
potential air traffic.
• The growth is measured in terms of year on year
increase in the domestic passengers handled by
the airport.
• These cities can play a role in our hub and scope
model.
HIGHLY
STRATEGIC
HIGH GROWTH LOW GROWTH
LESS
STRATEGIC
• GOA
• AHEMDABAD
• PUNE
• BHOPAL
• NAGPUR
• LUCKNOW
• AGARTALA
• VIJAYWADA
• TIRUPATI
• VISHAKAPATNAM
• COCHIN
• BHUBANESWAR
• JAMMU
• AGARTALA
• INDORE
Demand and Cost Drivers Competitive Strategy Route Planning Financials
*Data from DGCA Reports
Monthly domestic passenger traffic at 6 busiest airports in India
• Delhi and Mumbai handle the highest number of domestic
passengers.
• Bangalore, Chennai, Kolkata and Hyderabad follow them
interchangeably
• These cities have an ever increasing demand and require a
good frequency of cross flights.
AIRC
RAFT
NO.
ROUTE TOTAL
MONTHLY
PASSENGERS
JOURNEY
S PER
DAY
AIRCRAFT
UTILISATI
ON RATE
MONTHS OF
OPERATION
ALTERNATE ROUTE TOTAL
MONTHLY
PASSENGE
RS
JOUR
NEYS
PER
DAY
AIRCRAFT
UTILISATION
RATE
MONTHS
OF
OPERATI
ON
HUB
1 DELHI-MUMBAI-
DELHI
472005 2 9.5 hrs Jan,Feb,Mar,A
pr,Jul,Sep,Oct,
Nov,Dec (9
months)
(a)Delhi-Ahmedabad-Mumbai-
Delhi
(b)Delhi-Nagpur-Mumbai-Delhi
(c)Delhi-Bhopal-Mumbai-Delhi
366177
272891
260653
2
2
2
11 hrs
12 hrs
12 hrs
May
June
August
Delhi
2 MUMBAI-
BANGLORE-
MUMBAI
270434 2 8.5 hrs Feb,Mar,Apr,M
ay,Jun,Jul,Aug,
Sep,Oct,Nov
(10 months)
Mumbai-Goa-Banglore-
Mumbai
248404 3 10 hrs Dec,Jan Mumb
ai
3 DELHI-BANGLORE-
DELHI
278022 2 12.5 hrs Feb,Mar,Apr,M
ay,Jun,Jul,Aug,
Sep,Oct,Nov
(9 months)
(a)Delhi-Goa-Banglore-Delhi
(b)Delhi-Pune-Banglore-Delhi
212021
261911
2
2
13.5 hrs
14.5 hrs
Dec,Jan
May
Delhi
4 DELHI-HYDERABAD-
DELHI
171440 2 11 hrs Jan,Feb,Mar,A
pr,May,Jun,Jul,
Aug,Sep,Oct,D
ec(11 months)
(a)Delhi-Hyderabad-Cochin-
Delhi
108640 2 14 hrs Nov Delhi
5 DELHI-KOLKATA-
DELHI
147849 2 9.33 hrs Jan,Feb,Mar,A
pr,May,,Jul,Au
g,Sep,Oct,Nov,
Dec
(10 months)
(a)Delhi-Lucknow-Kolkata-Delhi
(b)Delhi-Agartala-Kolkata-Delhi
137466
99717
2
2
10.5 hrs
15 hrs
June
May
Delhi
The routes have been selected by analysing the monthwise peaks in passenger traffic according to the DGCA reports for 2014-15
Demand and Cost Drivers Competitive Strategy Route Planning Financials
Demand and Cost Drivers Competitive Strategy Route Planning Financials
Income Statement 2017-2020
Income Statement For Bon-Avion
Particulars-Rs in Crs 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F
Revenue 346.63 693.25 1039.88 1386.50
Operating Cost 329.04 651.14 966.31 1274.55
EBIT 17.59 42.11 73.57 111.95
Non-Operating Cost
Marketing 8.77 8.68 12.88 13.60
Reservation, Online Sales 13.16 21.70 21.90 28.89
Network UpKeep cost 13.16 17.36 12.88 22.09
Navigation, Flight and routing
charges 4.39 8.68 10.31 11.90
HR 8.77 13.02 14.17 18.69
Total 48.26 69.46 72.15 95.17
Profit -30.67 -27.34 1.41 16.79
Demand and Cost Drivers Competitive Strategy Route Planning Financials
Breakeven Analysis – Bon Avion India
2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F
Operating
Profit
17.59 42.11 73.57 111.95
Net Profit -30.67 -27.34 1.41 16.79
Calculations for the cost analysis are attached in the Excel
December
2015
January
2016
February
2016
March
2016
April
2016
March
2019
8 15 22 29 5 12 19 26 3 10 17 24 29 7 14 21 28 5 12 19 2 9 1 23
Stage 1: Apply for FIPB approval for
commencing its operations in
India
Activity 1: Application
Activity 2: Expected Approval
grant (recent Vistara, Air Asia)
Stage 2: Permission to Schedule
Aircraft and transport passengers
Activity 1 : Application
Activity 2 : Approval & Leasing
Stage 3: Incorporate Joint Venture
Activity 1: (51% Indian Conglom-
erat. 49% Bon Avion)
Activity 2: Recruitment
Stage 4: Air Operator permit, Test
run, Scheduling flights
Stage 5: Flights on Offer
Stage 6: Breakeven Milestone
Bon Avion India Launch Plan
Thank You

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Airline(LCC) entry strategy in india

  • 1. Team : Gray Matter Mayank Agrawal - 9930840608 Ashwin Jain - 9971063087 Tejas Shah - 9833232218 Entry Strategy for Bon Avion The Consigliere 2.0
  • 2. SLIDE NO. SLIDE DETAILS REMARKS FILES 1 Demand & Cost Drivers Demand & Cost Drivers References - DGCA, IATA reports 2 Competitive Landscape Analysis of existing market players CAPA Aviation reports 3 Entry Strategy Details of aviation strategies to be adopted NA 4 Pricing Analysis of Yield Pricing model NA 5 Route Planning Factors affecting Route Planning 6 Scheduled Routes Details of Routes selected for operation NA 7 Income Statement 5 year Income statement with analysis 8 Breakeven Analysis Calculations regarding Breakeven point 9 Airline Launch Plan Five month launch plan NA INDEX
  • 3. Demand and Cost Drivers Competitive Strategy Route Planning Financials Cost drivers - demand for Air Seats Trade Real GDP GDP per capita Labor Force Network Structure Infrastructure Business Model Type of Service Regulatory Environment Tourism Disposable Income Component Costs as % of Total variable costs Driving Factor ATF (Airline turbine fuel) 40-60% Fuel Efficiency, Engine Option Maintenance 20-30% Age of Aircraft Lease Rentals 15-20% Tenure of lease Marketing 2-3% Online/Print Reservation, Online Sales 3-8% Commissions, Systems, ITES Network Upkeep Costs 3-5% Planning Navigation, Flight and routing charges 1-3% Planning HR 2-10% Training, Expat pilots, Outsourcing US – Aircrafts 7,000 India – Aircrafts 400 Passengers – Airlines 84 Million a year Passengers – Railways 8.4 Billion a year Market Potential Time taken in train Delhi – Mumbai 16 hours Time taken in Flight Delhi – Mumbai 02 hours Time taken in train Kolkatta –Agartala 60 hours Time taken in Flight Kolkatta –Agartala 45 mins. Costs Incurred by airlines
  • 4. • Largest International network to support its domestic operations • Advantage of being the national airline • Highest penetration • Large fleet & 108 employees per aircraft Air India • Lowest Aircraft Maintenance cost • Standard and uniform base fares • Point to point model & Single fleet • Same day returns • Lowest turnaround time • Best on time performance • Sale & lease back model - procurement Indigo • High fuel efficiency • Experience and International tie ups • Strong and Growing loyalty program • Strong corporate tie ups • Excellent customer experience • Highest leg room and comfortable seat Jet Airways • Predatory pricing • Highest load factor Spicejet • Premium Economy • World class experience • Full Service – Multi cuisine food, other services Vistara • Low fares • Focus on Tier 2 connectivity • Extra charges for Check In Baggage Air Asia • Low fares • Focus on Tier 2 connectivity • Single fleet - 19 Go Air Demand and Cost Drivers Competitive Strategy Route Planning Financials Competitive Rivalry Supplier Power Threat of substitutes Buyer power Entry/Exit Barriers High • ATF – Fluctuations in international prices • Aircraft – 2 major players(oligopoly) • Labor - Unions Low/Mid • Train • Bullet Train High • Capital • Initial Expendi ture • Operati on costs Porter’s Five Forces 1 1 Low/Mid • Fewer options • Low supply of train tickets
  • 5. Low Operational Costs Leveraging Seasonal Traffic • Multi sector flights covering seasonal high traffic destinations Example: • Feb to November Delhi – Bengaluru • Dec to Jan Delhi-Goa-Bengaluru Single Cabin Class • Maximum seat capacity 180-189 • Minimum time in boarding • Low turnaround time. Target 25-30 minutes • High Load Factor: >75% Customer Relationship • Initially offering free return flights instead of discounting • Loyalty Program • Strategic industry Tie Ups • Standard and uniform fares thereafter • Lower base fares on 2/3/4 month advance bookings Recruitment • Recruiting staff from point of origin/destination to reduce hotel costs • Minimum dependence on Expat pilots • Fewer employees per aircraft. Target – 95 per aircraft Red Eyed Flights • Blue ocean strategy • High aircraft utilization rates > 11 hours • Covering longer distance routes, 3 hours and above Hub & Spoke - Point to Point Hybrid Model • Taking advantage of low airport fee at Tier II/III airports • Operating only on profitable routes • Ensuring On time performance. Target 90% Single Fleet • Low training costs for Pilot/Crew • Learning by doing • Bulk purchase/Lease discounts • Leasing(Dry/Wet) 5 Aircrafts initially to ensure risk minimization. • Purchasing aircrafts after 2 years of operations through Sale and Lease Back Model Low Maintenance Costs • Young Aircraft Fleet – A320 Neo • Maintaining average age of aircrafts within 5 years Demand and Cost Drivers Competitive Strategy Route Planning Financials High operational efficiency of Cabin Crew and Ground staff through digitization of manual operations, both in flight and on ground
  • 6. Demand and Cost Drivers Competitive Strategy Route Planning Financials Choice of Aircraft 2/3/4 Month Low fares Last 2 week high prices Based on Number of days before flight 2 weeks – 2 months prices BaseFare Number of tickets  Tuesday Monday Morning Friday Evening Based on Day and time of the week Friday/Sa turday/S unday Day BaseFare Number of tickets  Rest of the week Airbus A320 Neo with CFM LEAP Engine option • 20% per seat fuel burn saving (approx. $250,000 a year) • Low maintenance costs • Capacity of 189 seats with single class configuration • Faster deliveries within 2-3 years Pricing - Yield Pricing • Limiting to seats to 180 enhance leg room • Food and beverages in flight on demand @price • 7Kg + 15 Kg Free Baggage • Extra Baggage @250 per Kg • Competitive pricing for cargo targeting e-tailing cargo companies Demand and Cost Drivers Competitive Strategy Route Planning Financials
  • 7. 0 1000000 2000000 3000000 4000000 5000000 6000000 7000000 8000000 9000000 10000000 HYDERABAD KOLKATA CHENNAI BANGLORE MUMBAI DELHI POTENTIALITY MATRIX • The strategic importance is gauged by the business activity, tourist destination and potential smart city. • This matrix lists tier-2 & 3 cities according to their potential air traffic. • The growth is measured in terms of year on year increase in the domestic passengers handled by the airport. • These cities can play a role in our hub and scope model. HIGHLY STRATEGIC HIGH GROWTH LOW GROWTH LESS STRATEGIC • GOA • AHEMDABAD • PUNE • BHOPAL • NAGPUR • LUCKNOW • AGARTALA • VIJAYWADA • TIRUPATI • VISHAKAPATNAM • COCHIN • BHUBANESWAR • JAMMU • AGARTALA • INDORE Demand and Cost Drivers Competitive Strategy Route Planning Financials *Data from DGCA Reports Monthly domestic passenger traffic at 6 busiest airports in India • Delhi and Mumbai handle the highest number of domestic passengers. • Bangalore, Chennai, Kolkata and Hyderabad follow them interchangeably • These cities have an ever increasing demand and require a good frequency of cross flights.
  • 8. AIRC RAFT NO. ROUTE TOTAL MONTHLY PASSENGERS JOURNEY S PER DAY AIRCRAFT UTILISATI ON RATE MONTHS OF OPERATION ALTERNATE ROUTE TOTAL MONTHLY PASSENGE RS JOUR NEYS PER DAY AIRCRAFT UTILISATION RATE MONTHS OF OPERATI ON HUB 1 DELHI-MUMBAI- DELHI 472005 2 9.5 hrs Jan,Feb,Mar,A pr,Jul,Sep,Oct, Nov,Dec (9 months) (a)Delhi-Ahmedabad-Mumbai- Delhi (b)Delhi-Nagpur-Mumbai-Delhi (c)Delhi-Bhopal-Mumbai-Delhi 366177 272891 260653 2 2 2 11 hrs 12 hrs 12 hrs May June August Delhi 2 MUMBAI- BANGLORE- MUMBAI 270434 2 8.5 hrs Feb,Mar,Apr,M ay,Jun,Jul,Aug, Sep,Oct,Nov (10 months) Mumbai-Goa-Banglore- Mumbai 248404 3 10 hrs Dec,Jan Mumb ai 3 DELHI-BANGLORE- DELHI 278022 2 12.5 hrs Feb,Mar,Apr,M ay,Jun,Jul,Aug, Sep,Oct,Nov (9 months) (a)Delhi-Goa-Banglore-Delhi (b)Delhi-Pune-Banglore-Delhi 212021 261911 2 2 13.5 hrs 14.5 hrs Dec,Jan May Delhi 4 DELHI-HYDERABAD- DELHI 171440 2 11 hrs Jan,Feb,Mar,A pr,May,Jun,Jul, Aug,Sep,Oct,D ec(11 months) (a)Delhi-Hyderabad-Cochin- Delhi 108640 2 14 hrs Nov Delhi 5 DELHI-KOLKATA- DELHI 147849 2 9.33 hrs Jan,Feb,Mar,A pr,May,,Jul,Au g,Sep,Oct,Nov, Dec (10 months) (a)Delhi-Lucknow-Kolkata-Delhi (b)Delhi-Agartala-Kolkata-Delhi 137466 99717 2 2 10.5 hrs 15 hrs June May Delhi The routes have been selected by analysing the monthwise peaks in passenger traffic according to the DGCA reports for 2014-15 Demand and Cost Drivers Competitive Strategy Route Planning Financials
  • 9. Demand and Cost Drivers Competitive Strategy Route Planning Financials Income Statement 2017-2020 Income Statement For Bon-Avion Particulars-Rs in Crs 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F Revenue 346.63 693.25 1039.88 1386.50 Operating Cost 329.04 651.14 966.31 1274.55 EBIT 17.59 42.11 73.57 111.95 Non-Operating Cost Marketing 8.77 8.68 12.88 13.60 Reservation, Online Sales 13.16 21.70 21.90 28.89 Network UpKeep cost 13.16 17.36 12.88 22.09 Navigation, Flight and routing charges 4.39 8.68 10.31 11.90 HR 8.77 13.02 14.17 18.69 Total 48.26 69.46 72.15 95.17 Profit -30.67 -27.34 1.41 16.79
  • 10. Demand and Cost Drivers Competitive Strategy Route Planning Financials Breakeven Analysis – Bon Avion India 2017F 2018F 2019F 2020F Operating Profit 17.59 42.11 73.57 111.95 Net Profit -30.67 -27.34 1.41 16.79 Calculations for the cost analysis are attached in the Excel
  • 11. December 2015 January 2016 February 2016 March 2016 April 2016 March 2019 8 15 22 29 5 12 19 26 3 10 17 24 29 7 14 21 28 5 12 19 2 9 1 23 Stage 1: Apply for FIPB approval for commencing its operations in India Activity 1: Application Activity 2: Expected Approval grant (recent Vistara, Air Asia) Stage 2: Permission to Schedule Aircraft and transport passengers Activity 1 : Application Activity 2 : Approval & Leasing Stage 3: Incorporate Joint Venture Activity 1: (51% Indian Conglom- erat. 49% Bon Avion) Activity 2: Recruitment Stage 4: Air Operator permit, Test run, Scheduling flights Stage 5: Flights on Offer Stage 6: Breakeven Milestone Bon Avion India Launch Plan