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Research Workshop:
Food Industries for People and Planet
26 June 2018
IFPRI, Conference Room 12A
1201 Eye Street NW, Washington D.C. 20005
Background
The International Food Policy Research Institute’s (IFPRI) new research program on “Food
industries for people and planet” (FIPP) will expand traditional ways of thinking about the
global food system and will provide evidence-based policy assessments aimed at making agri-
food industries and food systems more inclusive in terms of employment and income
opportunities, more efficient in terms of meeting global food needs, and conducive to the
promotion of healthy diets and environmentally sound production and distribution systems.
Building on its comparative advantages, IFPRI and its partners will focus on three interrelated
areas of research (see Annex for further background to these research areas):
(1) Improving agri-food market efficiency and access: This research area will focus on
understanding the impact that the changing agri-food industry has on market access, food prices,
technology adoption, and market interlinkages (e.g. land, credit, and output markets), as well as
the role that policymakers can play in influencing these changes.
(2) Innovation for inclusive agri-food value chains development: In the context of changing
food markets, this research area will assess the effectiveness of policy options to create more
inclusive, well-developed food value chains that can also help meet global food security and
sustainability targets, as defined through the Sustainable Development Goals.
(3) Incentives for safer, healthier and sustainable food: This research area will focus on
understanding the risks posed by food system developments to food safety, the environment, and
nutrition and on assessing the potential of innovative policy approaches to mitigate these risks
and leverage change for better nutrition and health and food system sustainability.
Workshop objectives
The workshop will provide a platform to discuss existing research related to the above-
mentioned areas in order to take stock of the state of the art of available and ongoing research
and to identify needs for new research directions and explore possibilities for collaborative
policy- and action-oriented research. These findings will be used to further shape the FIPP
program and forge partnerships for its implementation.
2
As a further outcome, the papers (or a selection of them) will be bundled into a book publication
(or special journal issue).
Workshop setup
The workshop will kick-off with an overview study prepared by Thomas Reardon (Michigan
State University) for the event. The paper will provide a synthesis of recent evidence and
analyses of the industrialization of food systems as this is taking place in different parts of the
world and lay out some of the more specific knowledge gaps and research challenges which the
FIPP program would need to consider. During the first session Reardon will introduce his paper
followed by discussion. The subsequent three sessions will be devoted to presentations and
discussions of papers that address issues related to the three key research areas indicated above.
Each of those sessions will include one or two invited papers and a number of papers selected
from a call for papers. In the final session, conclusions of the workshop deliberation will be
drawn for the research orientation of the FIPP program and areas for research collaboration
among partner institutes and agencies.
Program
| Light Breakfast – 8:30– 8:55
| Panel Session 1 – 9:00 – 9:45
Food Industries for People and Planet: what are the issues?
Moderator: Rob Vos (IFPRI)
Keynote address:
- Food industries and transformative change upstream and downstream food systems
Thomas Reardon, MSU
Discussant: Maximo Torero (World Bank)
3
| Panel Session 2 – 9:45 – 11:00
Improving agri-food market efficiency and access: Challenges and opportunities
Moderator: Eric Trachtenberg (MCC)
Panel presentations:
- Technology and innovation in food supply chains: theory and practice
David Zilberman, UC at Berkeley
- Implications of Africa’s unfolding diet transformation for farm employment: Evidence from
Tanzania
David Tschirley, MSU
- Science, innovation, and competition: What the life sciences industry growth, public policy, and
regulation mean for developing-country food systems
David Spielman, IFPRI
Discussants: Stephen Gelb (ODI), David Neven (FAO)
Coffee break – 11:00– 11:15
| Panel Session 3 – 11:15 – 12:15
Innovation for inclusive food value chain development
Moderator: Eelco Baan (SNV)
Panel presentations:
- Transformative changes in dairy value chains in Uganda and Ethiopia
Bart Minten, IFPRI
- Effectiveness of standards and certification for reinforcing tropical supply chains
Ruerd Ruben, Wageningen Economic Research
- Insurance and risk management tools for resilient food systems
Berber Kramer, Francisco Ceballos and others, IFPRI
Discussants: Karen Brooks (IFPRI), Gerd Fleischer (GiZ), James Thurlow (IFPRI)
Lunch – 12:15 – 13:15
4
| Parallel Sessions – 13:15 – 15:15
1
Improving agri-food market
efficiency and access: Challenges
and opportunities
Moderator: Ruerd Ruben/Rob Vos
Conference Room 12E
2
Innovation for inclusive food
value chain development
Moderator: David Spielman
Conference Room 12F
3
Incentivizing food that is safer
and healthier for people and
planet
Moderator: Gina Kennedy
Conference Room 12G
Estimates and affluence elasticity
of consumer food waste
Monika Verma, Wageningen
Economic Research
Gendered milk markets in peri-
urban Nairobi
Alessandra Galie, ILRI (Steven Staal
presenting on behalf)
Weight gains from trade in foods:
Evidence from Mexico
Matthias Rieger, International
Institute of Social Studies
Implementing the Dry Chain to
Reduce Postharvest Commodity
Losses and Improve Food Safety
Kent Bradford, UC Davis
What is the role of men in
connecting women to cash crop
markets? Evidence from Uganda
Kate Ambler. IFPRI
Food Consumption and Household
Expenditure Variability: Evidence
from Nigeria
Sylvan Herskowitz and Alan de
Brauw, IFPRI
Assessing determinants of food
loss along the food chain:
Implications for policy research
Eduardo Nakasone, MSU and IFPRI
Options for Reducing Poverty in
Remote Areas of Northern Ghana:
Can Maize Contract Farming
Schemes Help?
Catherine Ragasa, IFPR
Recapturing vegetable
phytonutrients for healthier diets
Ray-Yu Yang, World Vegetable
Center
Imperfect competition in fertilizer
markets: implications for output
markets and food security
Manuel Hernandez, IFPRI
Improving trust and reciprocity in
agricultural input markets: A lab-in-
the-field experiment in Bangladesh
Berber Kramer, IFPRI
Analysis of perceived risk on
consumers’ confidence in food
safety practices: Evidence from
Ghana
Carl Johan Lagerkvist, Swedish
University of Agricultural Sciences
Overcoming the challenges for
large-scale utilization of ready-to-
eat fish products for nourishing
nations
Shakuntala Haraksingh Thilsted,
WorldFish
Demand for aflatoxin-safe maize in
Kenya: Dynamic response to
temporary discounts and
advertising
Vivian Hoffman, IFPRI, Christine
Moser and Tom Herrman
Coffee break – 15:15– 15:30
5
| Session 4 – 15:30 – 17:00
Incentivizing food that is safer and healthier for people and planet
Moderator: Emmy Simmons (GOPAN)
Panel presentations:
- Unhealthy diets and the global burden of disease: food policy implications?
Ashkan Afshin, Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), University of Washington
- Effectiveness of sugar taxes on dietary outcomes: The case of Guatemala
Valeria Piñeiro, Lionel Cosnard, Flor Paz, Summer Allen, Eugenio Diaz-Bonilla, IFPRI
- Demand for porcine cysticercosis vaccine in Uganda: Lessons and insights
Steven Staal
Discussants: Harold Alderman (IFPRI), Gina Kennedy (Biodiversity)
| Session 5 – 17:00 – 17:30
Lessons for further research and research collaboration
Concluding remarks and next steps
Thomas Reardon and Rob Vos
Reception – 17:30 – 18:30
6
Annex: Background and key research issues
Why take a closer look at the food industry?
Food systems in both developed and developing countries are changing rapidly. In developing
countries, food system transformation is being driven by the recent explosive growth of urban
populations, as well as by income growth and the emergence of the middle class. At the same
time, the expanding food industry in developing countries has experienced increased
consolidation and vertical coordination (via contracts and market-linkage arrangements), as well
as a shift from the public sector to the private sector for the establishment of commodity grades
and standards. Worldwide, the expansion of supermarkets has changed the nature of food
distribution networks and supply chains, while market liberalization and reduced restrictions on
foreign direct investment have created an ever-more globalized agri-food industry with
complicated worldwide supply chains. Finally, information technologies and online distribution
channels continue to change how markets are organized and how people access food.
These changes in the global food system have opened up enormous opportunities. The global
food industry has vast potential to underpin economic growth, create jobs, and satisfy changing
consumer demand in developing countries, especially in countries experiencing rapid
urbanization. Importantly, the food system could open the door for the widespread creation of
lucrative employment opportunities in Africa south of the Sahara and South Asia. Agriculture
remains the driving factor for food security and economic growth in many developing-country
contexts; however, as countries develop, off-farm contributions to the food economy increase
substantially.
As with any other industry, the food industry will thrive when supported by a favorable enabling
policy environment and reliable, high-quality infrastructure. This context will allow and
encourage firms to take advantage of economies of scale and to invest in R&D. The evolution of
the food industry in developed countries illustrates the potential of the sector to drive growth and
innovation as firms expand across national boundaries. In developed countries, scale economies
and technological innovation have helped improve efficiency along the entire agri-food chain,
diversify food availability, and enhance food quality and safety, including through cold storage
facilities and improved handling and processing techniques.
However, modern food industries also pose new challenges and controversial questions.
Consumer preferences have begun to shift in favor of more processed foods, raising concerns
regarding the high calorie and low nutritional content of many food items. In addition, increased
market concentration and the need to produce for a large-scale global market have raised new
barriers to market access for smallholder farmers and small-scale food producers and service
providers. The modernization of food chains has helped reduce food loss through improved
storage, handling, and conservation, but mass production has also induced greater food waste at
the consumer stage. In addition, the lengthening of food chains comes with increased risk of
food-borne disease and food-related health risks; lengthened food value chains also require
increased use of energy and other resources, leaving larger ecological footprints than traditional
food chains. Finally, while new technologies, such as the internet, smartphones and mobile
7
devices, and satellite information, bring new opportunities to better integrate supply chains, they
also run the risk of leaving behind smallholder producers who are unable to adapt.
The implications of all of these changes for the future of global food security, health, and
environmental sustainability remain poorly understood. It is clear, however, that food policies
will need to respond and change in order to address the challenges and take advantage of the
opportunities provided by changing food systems. Food policies, and food policy research, have
traditionally focused on ways to enhance agricultural productivity and to keep food prices at
levels that balance (farm-level) producer and consumer interests. Specifically, policymakers have
aimed to stimulate productivity at the farm level while protecting consumer interests through
agriculture and food price subsidies and social protection mechanisms. However, the challenges
posed by today’s food system require policy approaches that take account of what happens
beyond the farmgate. Pre- and post-farmgate activities have important impacts on employment
and prices and therefore on food security for both urban and rural populations. These activities
are also reshaping farm systems and technologies. The traditional approach to food policy must
be expanded to include new, food-system-wide approaches that promote inclusive and
sustainable development of agri-food systems and steer consumer behavior and food preferences
toward healthier diets.
What do we mean by the agri-food industry?
In this research program, the “food industry” comprises key input markets (seeds, fertilizers,
pesticides, animal genetics, machinery, etc.) and the long downstream chain of food storage,
processing, distribution, transport, associated logistics, retailing, preparation, restaurants,
promotion, e-commerce, and other services. Food system transformations reflect changes in each
of these key areas. Vertical integration occurs across the entire food chain, but the degree of
market concentration varies across the different up- and downstream parts of agri-food chains
(see Figure 1), ranging (globally) from very high concentration in key input markets,
intermediate concentration spread between small and large agri-food businesses in the processing
and handling stages, and low concentration (on average) in farming stage, at one end, and the
food services and waste and recycling stages, at the other end.
8
Figure: The agri-food industry
What will the new research program do?
The International Food Policy Research Institute’s (IFPRI) new research program on “Food
industries for people and planet” (FIPP) will expand traditional ways of thinking about the
global food system and will provide evidence-based policy assessments aimed at making agri-
food industries and food systems more inclusive in terms of employment and income
opportunities, more efficient in terms of meeting global food needs, and conducive to the
promotion of healthy diets and environmentally sound production and distribution systems.
Building on its comparative advantages, IFPRI and its partners will focus on three interrelated
areas of research:
(1) Improving agri-food market efficiency and access: This research area will focus on
understanding the impact that the changing agri-food industry has on market access, food prices,
technology adoption, and market interlinkages (e.g. land, credit, and output markets), as well as
the role that policymakers can play in influencing these changes.
(2) Innovation for inclusive agri-food value chains development: In the context of changing
food markets, this research area will assess the effectiveness of policy options to create more
inclusive, well-developed food value chains that can also help meet global food security and
sustainability targets, as defined through the Sustainable Development Goals.
(3) Incentives for safer, healthier and sustainable food: This research area will focus on
understanding the risks posed by food system developments to food safety, the environment, and
nutrition and on assessing the potential of innovative policy approaches to mitigate these risks
and leverage change for better nutrition and health and food system sustainability.
9
To address the challenges posed by changing global food systems, researchers and
policymakers need to undertake an integrated evaluation of agri-food industry developments.
The FIPP program aims provide answers to a range of key policy research questions (specified in
the following sections) for each of the three research modules. Most of these questions are
strongly interconnected, however. Therefore, the research program will address these mostly
through integrated country-, value chain-, and company-specific studies that will look across the
wider spectrum of the agri-food industry.
(1) Improving agri-food market efficiency and access
Food systems are seeing significant horizontal and vertical restructuring, leading to an
unprecedented consolidation in key input markets (seeds, fertilizer, animal genetics, and farm
machinery) and, in many contexts, key output markets for food processing, wholesale, and retail.
This increased integration has also led to fundamental changes in the procurement of food
products, with individual distributors and spot markets being largely taken over by large-scale,
vertically integrated distribution mechanisms. In addition, private sector actors now take a
leading role in setting food quality standards, and new data technologies are driving the
consolidation of food system activities. For instance, vertical integration allows companies to
bring a range of services, such as input provision, farm-level genomic information, farm
machinery, and market information under one roof, thereby transforming agriculture in the
process.
Trade in agricultural commodities remains dominated by a handful of actors, including new
actors from emerging markets. In addition, trading, shipping, and processing are becoming
increasingly integrated, and demand for biofuels is driving production decisions in a number of
countries. In this context, independent grain traders find it increasingly difficult to compete,
while food processors, wholesalers, and retailers seek to expand market shares and capture new
markets using marketing strategies designed to both meet and drive changing consumer
demands. For example, food businesses may aim to improve their reputations by creating or
acquiring seemingly healthier and more sustainable brands or by sourcing inputs or products
from small-scale farmers or food producers. However, as large-scale processors and distributors
move upstream to better oversee supply chains and ensure quality, their interests often clash with
those of the world’s numerous smallholder producers.
It is crucial for researchers and policymakers to better understand the consequences of these
changes for farmers’ input use and market access, rural livelihoods, and food and nutrition
security. This first research area will explore to what extent and under what conditions the
transformation of food markets “includes” or “excludes” small-scale farmers and producers and
whether inclusion in effect helps raise incomes and modernize technologies for these producers.
The following key questions will guide this part of the research program:
10
• Are changes in agri-food markets happening uniformly? What opportunities do these changes
create? What concerns do these changes raise, and how important are those concerns?
• Do changes to the global food system affect market efficiency? If so, can policies designed to
stimulate competition help reduce market inefficiencies?
• How and where are investments and innovations in R&D for agriculture and food technologies
taking place? What should we expect from disruptive technologies (such as new food
technologies, blockchain technology in marketing; etc.)? How will these technologies affect
farming systems? Will they accelerate dietary changes?
• What policies are needed to reduce the vast food loss and waste that exists both upstream and
downstream in the agri-food industry?
(2) Innovation for inclusive agri-food value chain development
The food industry encompasses many different activities and a relatively large share of jobs in
the manufacturing and services sectors in developing countries, as well as in several developed
countries.1
With growth in both urban populations and overall income, food markets are likely to
expand significantly in the coming decades, particularly in lower-income countries in South Asia
and Africa. The same trends are expected to change dietary preferences, driving increased
demand for high-value foods such as vegetables, fruits, dairy, meat, fish, and processed food
items. For many farmers in developing countries, urban food markets represent the most
important end destination for their produce. Branded and packaged foods are also expanding
rapidly in these urban markets, as is the demand for food consumed away from home. In
response to these trends, modern retail (including supermarkets run by cooperatives and large-
scale private sector chains) has emerged rapidly in developing countries. In addition, the
increasing importance of high-value foods has produced new marketing system structures, such
as modern cold storage facilities. These trends are creating new opportunities for farmers and
other producers in the food industry.
This second research area will address a range of research questions related to how the food
system can fully tap into the employment- and income-generating potential of well-developed
food chains while still allowing for the achievement of global food security and sustainability
objectives. As countries (and regions within countries) are in different stages of agri-food system
development, policy questions will be tailored to the country and value chain context. The
related research questions in this area include:
1
The share of farming (or agriculture) in total employment still dominates in many countries, accounting for about
60 percent of total employment in Africa south of the Sahara and for almost 70 percent of total employment in low-
income countries globally. These shares would be even larger when considering employment in the broader food
system. For example, in Malawi and Tanzania, food and beverages account for more than 40 percent of total
manufacturing employment. Even in some high-income countries, such as New Zealand, share of food and
beverages in total manufacturing employment is more than 35 percent, driven primarily by exports. In the European
Union, the food and beverages industry provides a larger share of employment than other manufacturing sectors.
(Source: IFPRI Global Food Policy Report, 2017).
11
• Do effective and inclusive business models exist to help smallholder farmers and small-
scale food processors and distributors gain from connections to large players in the modern
agri-food industry?
• Can agri-food business development play a role in solving Africa’s and South Asia’s youth
employment challenges? How can agri-food business development economically empower
rural women?
• How can disruptive IT technologies be used to drive inclusive agri-food value chain
development? What should public policies do to enable such technological contributions?
• Can product certification and labelling for food safety and quality, smallholder origin,
and/or environmental sustainability promote inclusive value chain development?
• Can weather and income-risk insurance help create greater resilience along agri-food value
chains?
(3) Incentives for safer, healthier, and more sustainable food
Changes in the structure of the modern food industry also bring impacts on human health and the
environment, both with potentially substantial economic cost. People’s health may suffer through
a lack of access to adequate food at all times, the consumption of unhealthy diets, the
consumption of unsafe or contaminated foods, or exposure to contaminants in water, soil, and
air. As global diets shift to include more and more processed foods, populations are
experiencing a triple burden of malnutrition: undernourishment, overweight and obesity, and
micronutrient deficiency. In addition, these changes to the food system place ever-increasing
pressures on the environment and the availability of natural resources. This area of the research
program will build on IFPRI’s expertise in food safety, nutrition and environmental issues to
explore the following research questions:
• What drives people’s food choice in developing countries? What role does marketing by
the private sector, as well as taxes and incentives and larger macroeconomic policies
established by the public sector, play in the creation of consumer demand?
• How can traceability and technology use support food safety? What is the potential for
public-private partnerships (PPPs) for nutrition and food safety?
• What factors pose constraints to the uptake of biofortified foods by both producers and
consumers? How can such constraints be addressed?
• What are the macroeconomic costs, both global and national, of the health impacts of
food safety risks and the triple burden of malnutrition and of the environmental impacts
of shifting demand toward processed foods and agricultural commodities?

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Research Workshop on Making Food Industries More Inclusive, Efficient and Sustainable

  • 1. 1 Research Workshop: Food Industries for People and Planet 26 June 2018 IFPRI, Conference Room 12A 1201 Eye Street NW, Washington D.C. 20005 Background The International Food Policy Research Institute’s (IFPRI) new research program on “Food industries for people and planet” (FIPP) will expand traditional ways of thinking about the global food system and will provide evidence-based policy assessments aimed at making agri- food industries and food systems more inclusive in terms of employment and income opportunities, more efficient in terms of meeting global food needs, and conducive to the promotion of healthy diets and environmentally sound production and distribution systems. Building on its comparative advantages, IFPRI and its partners will focus on three interrelated areas of research (see Annex for further background to these research areas): (1) Improving agri-food market efficiency and access: This research area will focus on understanding the impact that the changing agri-food industry has on market access, food prices, technology adoption, and market interlinkages (e.g. land, credit, and output markets), as well as the role that policymakers can play in influencing these changes. (2) Innovation for inclusive agri-food value chains development: In the context of changing food markets, this research area will assess the effectiveness of policy options to create more inclusive, well-developed food value chains that can also help meet global food security and sustainability targets, as defined through the Sustainable Development Goals. (3) Incentives for safer, healthier and sustainable food: This research area will focus on understanding the risks posed by food system developments to food safety, the environment, and nutrition and on assessing the potential of innovative policy approaches to mitigate these risks and leverage change for better nutrition and health and food system sustainability. Workshop objectives The workshop will provide a platform to discuss existing research related to the above- mentioned areas in order to take stock of the state of the art of available and ongoing research and to identify needs for new research directions and explore possibilities for collaborative policy- and action-oriented research. These findings will be used to further shape the FIPP program and forge partnerships for its implementation.
  • 2. 2 As a further outcome, the papers (or a selection of them) will be bundled into a book publication (or special journal issue). Workshop setup The workshop will kick-off with an overview study prepared by Thomas Reardon (Michigan State University) for the event. The paper will provide a synthesis of recent evidence and analyses of the industrialization of food systems as this is taking place in different parts of the world and lay out some of the more specific knowledge gaps and research challenges which the FIPP program would need to consider. During the first session Reardon will introduce his paper followed by discussion. The subsequent three sessions will be devoted to presentations and discussions of papers that address issues related to the three key research areas indicated above. Each of those sessions will include one or two invited papers and a number of papers selected from a call for papers. In the final session, conclusions of the workshop deliberation will be drawn for the research orientation of the FIPP program and areas for research collaboration among partner institutes and agencies. Program | Light Breakfast – 8:30– 8:55 | Panel Session 1 – 9:00 – 9:45 Food Industries for People and Planet: what are the issues? Moderator: Rob Vos (IFPRI) Keynote address: - Food industries and transformative change upstream and downstream food systems Thomas Reardon, MSU Discussant: Maximo Torero (World Bank)
  • 3. 3 | Panel Session 2 – 9:45 – 11:00 Improving agri-food market efficiency and access: Challenges and opportunities Moderator: Eric Trachtenberg (MCC) Panel presentations: - Technology and innovation in food supply chains: theory and practice David Zilberman, UC at Berkeley - Implications of Africa’s unfolding diet transformation for farm employment: Evidence from Tanzania David Tschirley, MSU - Science, innovation, and competition: What the life sciences industry growth, public policy, and regulation mean for developing-country food systems David Spielman, IFPRI Discussants: Stephen Gelb (ODI), David Neven (FAO) Coffee break – 11:00– 11:15 | Panel Session 3 – 11:15 – 12:15 Innovation for inclusive food value chain development Moderator: Eelco Baan (SNV) Panel presentations: - Transformative changes in dairy value chains in Uganda and Ethiopia Bart Minten, IFPRI - Effectiveness of standards and certification for reinforcing tropical supply chains Ruerd Ruben, Wageningen Economic Research - Insurance and risk management tools for resilient food systems Berber Kramer, Francisco Ceballos and others, IFPRI Discussants: Karen Brooks (IFPRI), Gerd Fleischer (GiZ), James Thurlow (IFPRI) Lunch – 12:15 – 13:15
  • 4. 4 | Parallel Sessions – 13:15 – 15:15 1 Improving agri-food market efficiency and access: Challenges and opportunities Moderator: Ruerd Ruben/Rob Vos Conference Room 12E 2 Innovation for inclusive food value chain development Moderator: David Spielman Conference Room 12F 3 Incentivizing food that is safer and healthier for people and planet Moderator: Gina Kennedy Conference Room 12G Estimates and affluence elasticity of consumer food waste Monika Verma, Wageningen Economic Research Gendered milk markets in peri- urban Nairobi Alessandra Galie, ILRI (Steven Staal presenting on behalf) Weight gains from trade in foods: Evidence from Mexico Matthias Rieger, International Institute of Social Studies Implementing the Dry Chain to Reduce Postharvest Commodity Losses and Improve Food Safety Kent Bradford, UC Davis What is the role of men in connecting women to cash crop markets? Evidence from Uganda Kate Ambler. IFPRI Food Consumption and Household Expenditure Variability: Evidence from Nigeria Sylvan Herskowitz and Alan de Brauw, IFPRI Assessing determinants of food loss along the food chain: Implications for policy research Eduardo Nakasone, MSU and IFPRI Options for Reducing Poverty in Remote Areas of Northern Ghana: Can Maize Contract Farming Schemes Help? Catherine Ragasa, IFPR Recapturing vegetable phytonutrients for healthier diets Ray-Yu Yang, World Vegetable Center Imperfect competition in fertilizer markets: implications for output markets and food security Manuel Hernandez, IFPRI Improving trust and reciprocity in agricultural input markets: A lab-in- the-field experiment in Bangladesh Berber Kramer, IFPRI Analysis of perceived risk on consumers’ confidence in food safety practices: Evidence from Ghana Carl Johan Lagerkvist, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences Overcoming the challenges for large-scale utilization of ready-to- eat fish products for nourishing nations Shakuntala Haraksingh Thilsted, WorldFish Demand for aflatoxin-safe maize in Kenya: Dynamic response to temporary discounts and advertising Vivian Hoffman, IFPRI, Christine Moser and Tom Herrman Coffee break – 15:15– 15:30
  • 5. 5 | Session 4 – 15:30 – 17:00 Incentivizing food that is safer and healthier for people and planet Moderator: Emmy Simmons (GOPAN) Panel presentations: - Unhealthy diets and the global burden of disease: food policy implications? Ashkan Afshin, Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), University of Washington - Effectiveness of sugar taxes on dietary outcomes: The case of Guatemala Valeria Piñeiro, Lionel Cosnard, Flor Paz, Summer Allen, Eugenio Diaz-Bonilla, IFPRI - Demand for porcine cysticercosis vaccine in Uganda: Lessons and insights Steven Staal Discussants: Harold Alderman (IFPRI), Gina Kennedy (Biodiversity) | Session 5 – 17:00 – 17:30 Lessons for further research and research collaboration Concluding remarks and next steps Thomas Reardon and Rob Vos Reception – 17:30 – 18:30
  • 6. 6 Annex: Background and key research issues Why take a closer look at the food industry? Food systems in both developed and developing countries are changing rapidly. In developing countries, food system transformation is being driven by the recent explosive growth of urban populations, as well as by income growth and the emergence of the middle class. At the same time, the expanding food industry in developing countries has experienced increased consolidation and vertical coordination (via contracts and market-linkage arrangements), as well as a shift from the public sector to the private sector for the establishment of commodity grades and standards. Worldwide, the expansion of supermarkets has changed the nature of food distribution networks and supply chains, while market liberalization and reduced restrictions on foreign direct investment have created an ever-more globalized agri-food industry with complicated worldwide supply chains. Finally, information technologies and online distribution channels continue to change how markets are organized and how people access food. These changes in the global food system have opened up enormous opportunities. The global food industry has vast potential to underpin economic growth, create jobs, and satisfy changing consumer demand in developing countries, especially in countries experiencing rapid urbanization. Importantly, the food system could open the door for the widespread creation of lucrative employment opportunities in Africa south of the Sahara and South Asia. Agriculture remains the driving factor for food security and economic growth in many developing-country contexts; however, as countries develop, off-farm contributions to the food economy increase substantially. As with any other industry, the food industry will thrive when supported by a favorable enabling policy environment and reliable, high-quality infrastructure. This context will allow and encourage firms to take advantage of economies of scale and to invest in R&D. The evolution of the food industry in developed countries illustrates the potential of the sector to drive growth and innovation as firms expand across national boundaries. In developed countries, scale economies and technological innovation have helped improve efficiency along the entire agri-food chain, diversify food availability, and enhance food quality and safety, including through cold storage facilities and improved handling and processing techniques. However, modern food industries also pose new challenges and controversial questions. Consumer preferences have begun to shift in favor of more processed foods, raising concerns regarding the high calorie and low nutritional content of many food items. In addition, increased market concentration and the need to produce for a large-scale global market have raised new barriers to market access for smallholder farmers and small-scale food producers and service providers. The modernization of food chains has helped reduce food loss through improved storage, handling, and conservation, but mass production has also induced greater food waste at the consumer stage. In addition, the lengthening of food chains comes with increased risk of food-borne disease and food-related health risks; lengthened food value chains also require increased use of energy and other resources, leaving larger ecological footprints than traditional food chains. Finally, while new technologies, such as the internet, smartphones and mobile
  • 7. 7 devices, and satellite information, bring new opportunities to better integrate supply chains, they also run the risk of leaving behind smallholder producers who are unable to adapt. The implications of all of these changes for the future of global food security, health, and environmental sustainability remain poorly understood. It is clear, however, that food policies will need to respond and change in order to address the challenges and take advantage of the opportunities provided by changing food systems. Food policies, and food policy research, have traditionally focused on ways to enhance agricultural productivity and to keep food prices at levels that balance (farm-level) producer and consumer interests. Specifically, policymakers have aimed to stimulate productivity at the farm level while protecting consumer interests through agriculture and food price subsidies and social protection mechanisms. However, the challenges posed by today’s food system require policy approaches that take account of what happens beyond the farmgate. Pre- and post-farmgate activities have important impacts on employment and prices and therefore on food security for both urban and rural populations. These activities are also reshaping farm systems and technologies. The traditional approach to food policy must be expanded to include new, food-system-wide approaches that promote inclusive and sustainable development of agri-food systems and steer consumer behavior and food preferences toward healthier diets. What do we mean by the agri-food industry? In this research program, the “food industry” comprises key input markets (seeds, fertilizers, pesticides, animal genetics, machinery, etc.) and the long downstream chain of food storage, processing, distribution, transport, associated logistics, retailing, preparation, restaurants, promotion, e-commerce, and other services. Food system transformations reflect changes in each of these key areas. Vertical integration occurs across the entire food chain, but the degree of market concentration varies across the different up- and downstream parts of agri-food chains (see Figure 1), ranging (globally) from very high concentration in key input markets, intermediate concentration spread between small and large agri-food businesses in the processing and handling stages, and low concentration (on average) in farming stage, at one end, and the food services and waste and recycling stages, at the other end.
  • 8. 8 Figure: The agri-food industry What will the new research program do? The International Food Policy Research Institute’s (IFPRI) new research program on “Food industries for people and planet” (FIPP) will expand traditional ways of thinking about the global food system and will provide evidence-based policy assessments aimed at making agri- food industries and food systems more inclusive in terms of employment and income opportunities, more efficient in terms of meeting global food needs, and conducive to the promotion of healthy diets and environmentally sound production and distribution systems. Building on its comparative advantages, IFPRI and its partners will focus on three interrelated areas of research: (1) Improving agri-food market efficiency and access: This research area will focus on understanding the impact that the changing agri-food industry has on market access, food prices, technology adoption, and market interlinkages (e.g. land, credit, and output markets), as well as the role that policymakers can play in influencing these changes. (2) Innovation for inclusive agri-food value chains development: In the context of changing food markets, this research area will assess the effectiveness of policy options to create more inclusive, well-developed food value chains that can also help meet global food security and sustainability targets, as defined through the Sustainable Development Goals. (3) Incentives for safer, healthier and sustainable food: This research area will focus on understanding the risks posed by food system developments to food safety, the environment, and nutrition and on assessing the potential of innovative policy approaches to mitigate these risks and leverage change for better nutrition and health and food system sustainability.
  • 9. 9 To address the challenges posed by changing global food systems, researchers and policymakers need to undertake an integrated evaluation of agri-food industry developments. The FIPP program aims provide answers to a range of key policy research questions (specified in the following sections) for each of the three research modules. Most of these questions are strongly interconnected, however. Therefore, the research program will address these mostly through integrated country-, value chain-, and company-specific studies that will look across the wider spectrum of the agri-food industry. (1) Improving agri-food market efficiency and access Food systems are seeing significant horizontal and vertical restructuring, leading to an unprecedented consolidation in key input markets (seeds, fertilizer, animal genetics, and farm machinery) and, in many contexts, key output markets for food processing, wholesale, and retail. This increased integration has also led to fundamental changes in the procurement of food products, with individual distributors and spot markets being largely taken over by large-scale, vertically integrated distribution mechanisms. In addition, private sector actors now take a leading role in setting food quality standards, and new data technologies are driving the consolidation of food system activities. For instance, vertical integration allows companies to bring a range of services, such as input provision, farm-level genomic information, farm machinery, and market information under one roof, thereby transforming agriculture in the process. Trade in agricultural commodities remains dominated by a handful of actors, including new actors from emerging markets. In addition, trading, shipping, and processing are becoming increasingly integrated, and demand for biofuels is driving production decisions in a number of countries. In this context, independent grain traders find it increasingly difficult to compete, while food processors, wholesalers, and retailers seek to expand market shares and capture new markets using marketing strategies designed to both meet and drive changing consumer demands. For example, food businesses may aim to improve their reputations by creating or acquiring seemingly healthier and more sustainable brands or by sourcing inputs or products from small-scale farmers or food producers. However, as large-scale processors and distributors move upstream to better oversee supply chains and ensure quality, their interests often clash with those of the world’s numerous smallholder producers. It is crucial for researchers and policymakers to better understand the consequences of these changes for farmers’ input use and market access, rural livelihoods, and food and nutrition security. This first research area will explore to what extent and under what conditions the transformation of food markets “includes” or “excludes” small-scale farmers and producers and whether inclusion in effect helps raise incomes and modernize technologies for these producers. The following key questions will guide this part of the research program:
  • 10. 10 • Are changes in agri-food markets happening uniformly? What opportunities do these changes create? What concerns do these changes raise, and how important are those concerns? • Do changes to the global food system affect market efficiency? If so, can policies designed to stimulate competition help reduce market inefficiencies? • How and where are investments and innovations in R&D for agriculture and food technologies taking place? What should we expect from disruptive technologies (such as new food technologies, blockchain technology in marketing; etc.)? How will these technologies affect farming systems? Will they accelerate dietary changes? • What policies are needed to reduce the vast food loss and waste that exists both upstream and downstream in the agri-food industry? (2) Innovation for inclusive agri-food value chain development The food industry encompasses many different activities and a relatively large share of jobs in the manufacturing and services sectors in developing countries, as well as in several developed countries.1 With growth in both urban populations and overall income, food markets are likely to expand significantly in the coming decades, particularly in lower-income countries in South Asia and Africa. The same trends are expected to change dietary preferences, driving increased demand for high-value foods such as vegetables, fruits, dairy, meat, fish, and processed food items. For many farmers in developing countries, urban food markets represent the most important end destination for their produce. Branded and packaged foods are also expanding rapidly in these urban markets, as is the demand for food consumed away from home. In response to these trends, modern retail (including supermarkets run by cooperatives and large- scale private sector chains) has emerged rapidly in developing countries. In addition, the increasing importance of high-value foods has produced new marketing system structures, such as modern cold storage facilities. These trends are creating new opportunities for farmers and other producers in the food industry. This second research area will address a range of research questions related to how the food system can fully tap into the employment- and income-generating potential of well-developed food chains while still allowing for the achievement of global food security and sustainability objectives. As countries (and regions within countries) are in different stages of agri-food system development, policy questions will be tailored to the country and value chain context. The related research questions in this area include: 1 The share of farming (or agriculture) in total employment still dominates in many countries, accounting for about 60 percent of total employment in Africa south of the Sahara and for almost 70 percent of total employment in low- income countries globally. These shares would be even larger when considering employment in the broader food system. For example, in Malawi and Tanzania, food and beverages account for more than 40 percent of total manufacturing employment. Even in some high-income countries, such as New Zealand, share of food and beverages in total manufacturing employment is more than 35 percent, driven primarily by exports. In the European Union, the food and beverages industry provides a larger share of employment than other manufacturing sectors. (Source: IFPRI Global Food Policy Report, 2017).
  • 11. 11 • Do effective and inclusive business models exist to help smallholder farmers and small- scale food processors and distributors gain from connections to large players in the modern agri-food industry? • Can agri-food business development play a role in solving Africa’s and South Asia’s youth employment challenges? How can agri-food business development economically empower rural women? • How can disruptive IT technologies be used to drive inclusive agri-food value chain development? What should public policies do to enable such technological contributions? • Can product certification and labelling for food safety and quality, smallholder origin, and/or environmental sustainability promote inclusive value chain development? • Can weather and income-risk insurance help create greater resilience along agri-food value chains? (3) Incentives for safer, healthier, and more sustainable food Changes in the structure of the modern food industry also bring impacts on human health and the environment, both with potentially substantial economic cost. People’s health may suffer through a lack of access to adequate food at all times, the consumption of unhealthy diets, the consumption of unsafe or contaminated foods, or exposure to contaminants in water, soil, and air. As global diets shift to include more and more processed foods, populations are experiencing a triple burden of malnutrition: undernourishment, overweight and obesity, and micronutrient deficiency. In addition, these changes to the food system place ever-increasing pressures on the environment and the availability of natural resources. This area of the research program will build on IFPRI’s expertise in food safety, nutrition and environmental issues to explore the following research questions: • What drives people’s food choice in developing countries? What role does marketing by the private sector, as well as taxes and incentives and larger macroeconomic policies established by the public sector, play in the creation of consumer demand? • How can traceability and technology use support food safety? What is the potential for public-private partnerships (PPPs) for nutrition and food safety? • What factors pose constraints to the uptake of biofortified foods by both producers and consumers? How can such constraints be addressed? • What are the macroeconomic costs, both global and national, of the health impacts of food safety risks and the triple burden of malnutrition and of the environmental impacts of shifting demand toward processed foods and agricultural commodities?