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Reimagining South Asia in 2030
Parallel Session A1
Achieving Sustainable Energy for All in South Asia: Modalities of Cooperation
Presentation by
Mr Alias Wardak
Secretary General
New Beginning Network (NBN), Afghanistan
16 October 2016
Ninth South Asia Economic Summit
[SAES-IX], Dhaka
Achieving Sustainable Energy for All in South Asia:
Modalities of Cooperation
Afghanistan- Transit country PLUS EXPORTER
Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak
(New Beginning Network- NBN)
Dhaka/ 16th October 2016
Outline
I. Short Overview
 Current Situation
 Domestic Potentials Afghanistan
 Development Plan of Afghan Government
II. JOINT Energy Projects and Regional Interests
 Benefits of JOINT ENERGY PROJECTS for Afghanistan and the
region
 Opportunities for Afghanistan and the Region
 Obstacles for Afghanistan and the Region
 Recommendations – “ Peace, Stability and Economic Growth
through JOINT energy projects”
Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning
Network- NBN)
22%
78%
Domestic
Import
54%37%
9%
Hydro
Thermal
Other RE's
Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning
Network- NBN)
I. Short Overview Afghan Power Situation
Current Situation- Generation Capacity
- Total Connections rate : 32 % ; In rural areas < 10 %
- 90 % residential , only 6.7 % commercial customers
Source: Inter Ministerial Commission (ICE)- AFG
Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning
Network- NBN)
Afghan Power Generation - Potentials
 Hydropower : 23,000 MW
 Solar : 222,000 MW
 Wind : 68,000 MW
Only 1.4 % of hydro power potential used
Solar and Wind almost 0%
Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning
Network- NBN)
Afghan Power Development Plan up to 2032
Investment optimized scenario [million USD]
Overview on
Investment type
Subtotal by
project
Stage A
[ up to 2015]
Stage B
[up to 2020]
Stage C
[ up to 2025]
Stage D
[ up to 2032]
Generation
Development
7,329.6 327.6 348.5 981.5 5,671.9
Major
Transmission
Projects
1726.8 595.0 676.9 212.9 242.0
Transmission
Development
within the
provinces
1,040.1 290.1 439.8 215.1 95.0
Total: 10,096.40 1,212.70 1,465.2 1409.5 6,009.0
Source: Afghan Power Sector Master Plan ( 2013)
 65 % in rural and almost 100 % in urban areas will be
connected to the grid
 Share of domestic generation will be 68 %
Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning
Network- NBN)
II. JOINT Energy Projects and Regional Interests
Central Asia
ENERGY SURPLUS
countries
South Asia
ENERGY DEFICIT
countries
Afghanistan
CASA 1000
TUTAP
KUNAR
TAPI
ATGP
Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning
Network- NBN)
CASA-1000
Basis for Central Asia South Asia Regional Energy Market
(CASAREM)
Objective:
 Supply of 1,000 MW power from Kyrgyzstan and
Tajikistan through Afghanistan to Pakistan
Additional 300 MW to Afghanistan (!!!!)
 Supply of Power for 5 months (summertime)
o Total Project Cost : 1.17 Billion USD
 Donors: World Bank (WB), Islamic Development Bank
(IDB), European Investment Bank (EIB) and USAID
 Completion Date: 2020
 Latest: Bidding Process for Convertor Station in
Sangtuda (TAJ) and Nawshera (PAK) is
launched
TUTAP
Turkmenistan-Uzbekistan-Tajikistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan
Interconnection
Objective:
 Transmission of thermal and hydro power from Central
Asia to Afghanistan and Pakistan
 Unification of the Afghan Power Grid , in order secure
sustainable power supply to Afghanistan and Pakistan
o Total Project Cost : > 1 Billion USD
Donors: Asian Development Bank (ADB)
Current Status:
 Completion Date: 2020 (tentative)
 Realization depends on the outcome of
negotiations between the involved countries.
Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning
Network- NBN)
Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning
Network- NBN)
KUNAR Hydro Power Projects
Energy and Trust
Option 1 : KUNAR A-Shal ( 789 MW/4,772 GWh, Projected
Completion 2022, Cost = 2 billion USD]
Status:
 Feasibility Study completed in 2008
 Upon completion (within 5 years), the project could
contribute to domestic energy demand and also as
additional supply source for transmitting of power to
Pakistan
Option 2: 1,200 MW Joint-Energy-Project (AFG-PAK)
Status:
 Pre-Feasibility Study completed
 World Bank indicated willingness to support the
process technically
Benefits:
-Increase of AFG revenues and energy security
- Economic hydro energy supply to Pakistan
- Basis for “AFG-PAK”- trust building
Source: www.google.de- Watapur District, Kunar, AFG
11
Regional Schematic
KGZ
PAK
AFG
TRM
UZB
TAJ
KGZ
500kv AC
AC/DC Convertor
HVDC Back to Back Convertor
DC/AC Convertors
500kV DC
220kV AC
500kV AC
220kV AC
500kV AC
Kabul
CASA
TUTAP
HVDC Back to Back Convertor
Pul-e-Khumril
Sangtuda
TAJ
PAK
AFG
TRM
UZB
CASA 1000 + TUTAP+ Kunar
Source: DABS –RECCA Presentation
(2015)
KUNAR HPP’s
Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning
Network- NBN)
BENEFITS of JOINT ENERGY PROJECTS for Afghanistan
and the Region
Economic:
 Generation reserves can be
utilized more economically in
an interconnected regional
system
 Increase of revenues for
exporting countries and
Afghanistan as transit country
and later as an exporter
 Decrease of power shortage
in importing countries and
increase of revenue through
cost efficient and eco-friendly
energy supply
 Less dependency on cost
intensive petroleum products
for importing countries
 Technology transfer and
Human Resource Development
more possible and accessible
 Enhancement of foreign
investments
Political:
 Interdependency among
countries lead to more
cooperation in other fields
 Existing and future conflicts
between countries can be
solved in a more peaceful
environment and the light of
common interests
 Security improvement
through joint initiatives in the
related fields
 More trust of people in
national governments through
provision of better services,
which lead to strengthening of
the society and increased
legitimacy of the government
Social:
 Better living conditions
(health, education) for the
people through growth
economic in the region
 More Employment
opportunities, especially for
young generation
 Poverty Reduction through
GDP growth
 Improvement of education
and health standards, due to
increment of national budget
 Cooperation between social
society in the country and
between CSO’s contribute to a
peaceful environment and
cooperation ( student exchange
programs, cultural events etc.)
Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning
Network- NBN)
Opportunities for Afghanistan and the Region
Afghanistan
Economic growth through
energy transit and even export
to neighboring countries,
especially Pakistan
 Less dependency on foreign
aid- self-reliance!
 Development of its
infrastructure ( roads, railway
network)
through energy trade revenues
Development of a sustainable
mining sector through increased
revenues and availability of
infrastructure
 Effective management of
water resources ( increment of
storage capacity) through
available domestic resources
 Improved security and
political stability through
provision of social services
(education, health etc.) by the
government
Central Asia
Economic growth through
energy export to Afghanistan
and South Asia (Pakistan and
India)
 Access to Indian and
Pakistani products / goods in a
more economic way, due to
improved security situation
 Further increment of
revenues as transit route from
South Asian and also Iranian
exports to Russia and Europe
 Growth of other sectors, such
as transportation and services
due to trade expansion
Pakistan
Economic growth through
energy transit and even export
to neighboring countries
 Cost efficient and reliable
energy supply
Less dependency on
petroleum products ( currently
50 % of export earnings!)
 Improvement of export
opportunities of Pakistani
products/ goods through
Afghanistan to Central Asia
Improved security and
political stability through
provision of social services
(education, health etc.) by the
government
 More efficiency in agriculture
and industry due to availability
of financial resources
Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning
Network- NBN)
OBSTACLES for Afghanistan and the Region
Lack of ……..
Security in Afghanistan and the Region
Trust between AFG & PAK and PAK & INDIA
Strong Institutions (governmental and non-
governmental) and facilitators
Human Resources
Clear Strategies on national and regional level –
“Where are you?” & “Where we want to be?”
Personalities who act as “influencer” (DeGaulle or
Andenauer in Europe during 1950s)
Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning
Network- NBN)
RECOMMENDATIONS
“ Peace, Stability and Economic Growth through JOINT
energy projects”
Regional Level (Energy Office)
Establishment of an “Regional Energy Office”
consisting of members of the national “Energy Task
Force” teams of each country in Kabul
Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning
Network- NBN)
Thank you
‫شــــــــــــکریا‬
‫تشکر‬
‫منــــــــنه‬
Katta Rahmat
Рахмат
Sag boluň

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Achieving Sustainable Energy for All in South Asia: Modalities of Cooperation

  • 1. Reimagining South Asia in 2030 Parallel Session A1 Achieving Sustainable Energy for All in South Asia: Modalities of Cooperation Presentation by Mr Alias Wardak Secretary General New Beginning Network (NBN), Afghanistan 16 October 2016
  • 2. Ninth South Asia Economic Summit [SAES-IX], Dhaka Achieving Sustainable Energy for All in South Asia: Modalities of Cooperation Afghanistan- Transit country PLUS EXPORTER Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning Network- NBN) Dhaka/ 16th October 2016
  • 3. Outline I. Short Overview  Current Situation  Domestic Potentials Afghanistan  Development Plan of Afghan Government II. JOINT Energy Projects and Regional Interests  Benefits of JOINT ENERGY PROJECTS for Afghanistan and the region  Opportunities for Afghanistan and the Region  Obstacles for Afghanistan and the Region  Recommendations – “ Peace, Stability and Economic Growth through JOINT energy projects” Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning Network- NBN)
  • 4. 22% 78% Domestic Import 54%37% 9% Hydro Thermal Other RE's Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning Network- NBN) I. Short Overview Afghan Power Situation Current Situation- Generation Capacity - Total Connections rate : 32 % ; In rural areas < 10 % - 90 % residential , only 6.7 % commercial customers Source: Inter Ministerial Commission (ICE)- AFG
  • 5. Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning Network- NBN) Afghan Power Generation - Potentials  Hydropower : 23,000 MW  Solar : 222,000 MW  Wind : 68,000 MW Only 1.4 % of hydro power potential used Solar and Wind almost 0%
  • 6. Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning Network- NBN) Afghan Power Development Plan up to 2032 Investment optimized scenario [million USD] Overview on Investment type Subtotal by project Stage A [ up to 2015] Stage B [up to 2020] Stage C [ up to 2025] Stage D [ up to 2032] Generation Development 7,329.6 327.6 348.5 981.5 5,671.9 Major Transmission Projects 1726.8 595.0 676.9 212.9 242.0 Transmission Development within the provinces 1,040.1 290.1 439.8 215.1 95.0 Total: 10,096.40 1,212.70 1,465.2 1409.5 6,009.0 Source: Afghan Power Sector Master Plan ( 2013)  65 % in rural and almost 100 % in urban areas will be connected to the grid  Share of domestic generation will be 68 %
  • 7. Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning Network- NBN) II. JOINT Energy Projects and Regional Interests Central Asia ENERGY SURPLUS countries South Asia ENERGY DEFICIT countries Afghanistan CASA 1000 TUTAP KUNAR TAPI ATGP
  • 8. Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning Network- NBN) CASA-1000 Basis for Central Asia South Asia Regional Energy Market (CASAREM) Objective:  Supply of 1,000 MW power from Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan through Afghanistan to Pakistan Additional 300 MW to Afghanistan (!!!!)  Supply of Power for 5 months (summertime) o Total Project Cost : 1.17 Billion USD  Donors: World Bank (WB), Islamic Development Bank (IDB), European Investment Bank (EIB) and USAID  Completion Date: 2020  Latest: Bidding Process for Convertor Station in Sangtuda (TAJ) and Nawshera (PAK) is launched TUTAP Turkmenistan-Uzbekistan-Tajikistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan Interconnection Objective:  Transmission of thermal and hydro power from Central Asia to Afghanistan and Pakistan  Unification of the Afghan Power Grid , in order secure sustainable power supply to Afghanistan and Pakistan o Total Project Cost : > 1 Billion USD Donors: Asian Development Bank (ADB) Current Status:  Completion Date: 2020 (tentative)  Realization depends on the outcome of negotiations between the involved countries.
  • 9. Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning Network- NBN)
  • 10. Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning Network- NBN) KUNAR Hydro Power Projects Energy and Trust Option 1 : KUNAR A-Shal ( 789 MW/4,772 GWh, Projected Completion 2022, Cost = 2 billion USD] Status:  Feasibility Study completed in 2008  Upon completion (within 5 years), the project could contribute to domestic energy demand and also as additional supply source for transmitting of power to Pakistan Option 2: 1,200 MW Joint-Energy-Project (AFG-PAK) Status:  Pre-Feasibility Study completed  World Bank indicated willingness to support the process technically Benefits: -Increase of AFG revenues and energy security - Economic hydro energy supply to Pakistan - Basis for “AFG-PAK”- trust building Source: www.google.de- Watapur District, Kunar, AFG
  • 11. 11 Regional Schematic KGZ PAK AFG TRM UZB TAJ KGZ 500kv AC AC/DC Convertor HVDC Back to Back Convertor DC/AC Convertors 500kV DC 220kV AC 500kV AC 220kV AC 500kV AC Kabul CASA TUTAP HVDC Back to Back Convertor Pul-e-Khumril Sangtuda TAJ PAK AFG TRM UZB CASA 1000 + TUTAP+ Kunar Source: DABS –RECCA Presentation (2015) KUNAR HPP’s
  • 12. Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning Network- NBN) BENEFITS of JOINT ENERGY PROJECTS for Afghanistan and the Region Economic:  Generation reserves can be utilized more economically in an interconnected regional system  Increase of revenues for exporting countries and Afghanistan as transit country and later as an exporter  Decrease of power shortage in importing countries and increase of revenue through cost efficient and eco-friendly energy supply  Less dependency on cost intensive petroleum products for importing countries  Technology transfer and Human Resource Development more possible and accessible  Enhancement of foreign investments Political:  Interdependency among countries lead to more cooperation in other fields  Existing and future conflicts between countries can be solved in a more peaceful environment and the light of common interests  Security improvement through joint initiatives in the related fields  More trust of people in national governments through provision of better services, which lead to strengthening of the society and increased legitimacy of the government Social:  Better living conditions (health, education) for the people through growth economic in the region  More Employment opportunities, especially for young generation  Poverty Reduction through GDP growth  Improvement of education and health standards, due to increment of national budget  Cooperation between social society in the country and between CSO’s contribute to a peaceful environment and cooperation ( student exchange programs, cultural events etc.)
  • 13. Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning Network- NBN) Opportunities for Afghanistan and the Region Afghanistan Economic growth through energy transit and even export to neighboring countries, especially Pakistan  Less dependency on foreign aid- self-reliance!  Development of its infrastructure ( roads, railway network) through energy trade revenues Development of a sustainable mining sector through increased revenues and availability of infrastructure  Effective management of water resources ( increment of storage capacity) through available domestic resources  Improved security and political stability through provision of social services (education, health etc.) by the government Central Asia Economic growth through energy export to Afghanistan and South Asia (Pakistan and India)  Access to Indian and Pakistani products / goods in a more economic way, due to improved security situation  Further increment of revenues as transit route from South Asian and also Iranian exports to Russia and Europe  Growth of other sectors, such as transportation and services due to trade expansion Pakistan Economic growth through energy transit and even export to neighboring countries  Cost efficient and reliable energy supply Less dependency on petroleum products ( currently 50 % of export earnings!)  Improvement of export opportunities of Pakistani products/ goods through Afghanistan to Central Asia Improved security and political stability through provision of social services (education, health etc.) by the government  More efficiency in agriculture and industry due to availability of financial resources
  • 14. Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning Network- NBN) OBSTACLES for Afghanistan and the Region Lack of …….. Security in Afghanistan and the Region Trust between AFG & PAK and PAK & INDIA Strong Institutions (governmental and non- governmental) and facilitators Human Resources Clear Strategies on national and regional level – “Where are you?” & “Where we want to be?” Personalities who act as “influencer” (DeGaulle or Andenauer in Europe during 1950s)
  • 15. Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning Network- NBN) RECOMMENDATIONS “ Peace, Stability and Economic Growth through JOINT energy projects” Regional Level (Energy Office) Establishment of an “Regional Energy Office” consisting of members of the national “Energy Task Force” teams of each country in Kabul
  • 16. Dipl.-Ing. Alias Wardak (New Beginning Network- NBN) Thank you ‫شــــــــــــکریا‬ ‫تشکر‬ ‫منــــــــنه‬ Katta Rahmat Рахмат Sag boluň