This document discusses skepticism around predictions related to automation and AI. It summarizes past predictions that did not come true, such as forecasts of overpopulation, resource depletion, and other crises. It notes that forecasting the future is difficult and linear extrapolation is often inaccurate. Extrapolating based on current trends ignores factors like social and technological change. The document advocates bringing data to the discussion and considering the complexity of social and economic systems when making predictions. It argues that automation is more likely to augment human capabilities than replace jobs. Overall, the document expresses optimism that societies and economies can adapt to technological change.
Slides presented by David Wood, chair of London Futurists and Principal of Delta Wisdom, at the Funzing event at Café 1001, Brick Lane, on 26th June 2017: http://uk.funzing.com/funz/ldn-talks-night-is-tech-the-end-of-getting-old-9331
Three challenges faced by ethical systems in the modern world, and four possible responses to these challenges. Presentation used by David Wood at an event at Newspeak House on 11th January 2017, advocating a technoprogessive approach. For more details of the event, see https://www.meetup.com/London-Futurists/events/235828492/. For a recording of a live video stream of the event, see https://www.youtube.com/edit?video_id=TThdPAkB68M.
Texas Association of State Systems for Computing and Communications, The Future is Here: IT Prime Time, Jim Brazell, Venture Ramp, Inc.August 3-5, Houston, Westin Galleria, Final Speech
The Future is Here: The Impact of Data on Society and Our Daily LivesJim "Brodie" Brazell
The Future is Here: The Impact of Data on Society and Our Daily Lives
Wearable Computers
Robots
Video Games
Philadelphia Department of Education, Data Summit, Lancaster, PA, May 18, 2014, Keynote Jim Brazell Ventureramp.com
World Affairs Council, 2013, Summer Teacher Institute, Humanities and STEM
The Future is Here
Next Level Global Education and Social Studies Design Workshop
Teaching in a Time of Transition, World Affairs Council, Summer Institute on International Affairs, June 24-28. 2013
Technological advancement and its impacts on the world of work and societyFernando Alcoforado
Technological progress will inevitably have three consequences: 1) the decline in consumption or general demand for goods and services due to the increase in unemployment and the reduction of the purchasing power of the working population; (2) the decline of the middle class with major implications of a political nature since it acts as an ally of the bourgeoisie; and (3) the weakening of the struggle of the unions for the benefit of the workers and of the class struggle between the bourgeoisie and the proletariat. The political consequences of the end of employment thanks to technological advances are quite serious because the population needs to work to survive. This may open the way for a social revolution with unpredictable consequences, unless a new model of society inspired by Scandinavian social democracy (Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Finland and Iceland) is implemented.
Slides presented by David Wood, chair of London Futurists and Principal of Delta Wisdom, at the Funzing event at Café 1001, Brick Lane, on 26th June 2017: http://uk.funzing.com/funz/ldn-talks-night-is-tech-the-end-of-getting-old-9331
Three challenges faced by ethical systems in the modern world, and four possible responses to these challenges. Presentation used by David Wood at an event at Newspeak House on 11th January 2017, advocating a technoprogessive approach. For more details of the event, see https://www.meetup.com/London-Futurists/events/235828492/. For a recording of a live video stream of the event, see https://www.youtube.com/edit?video_id=TThdPAkB68M.
Texas Association of State Systems for Computing and Communications, The Future is Here: IT Prime Time, Jim Brazell, Venture Ramp, Inc.August 3-5, Houston, Westin Galleria, Final Speech
The Future is Here: The Impact of Data on Society and Our Daily LivesJim "Brodie" Brazell
The Future is Here: The Impact of Data on Society and Our Daily Lives
Wearable Computers
Robots
Video Games
Philadelphia Department of Education, Data Summit, Lancaster, PA, May 18, 2014, Keynote Jim Brazell Ventureramp.com
World Affairs Council, 2013, Summer Teacher Institute, Humanities and STEM
The Future is Here
Next Level Global Education and Social Studies Design Workshop
Teaching in a Time of Transition, World Affairs Council, Summer Institute on International Affairs, June 24-28. 2013
Technological advancement and its impacts on the world of work and societyFernando Alcoforado
Technological progress will inevitably have three consequences: 1) the decline in consumption or general demand for goods and services due to the increase in unemployment and the reduction of the purchasing power of the working population; (2) the decline of the middle class with major implications of a political nature since it acts as an ally of the bourgeoisie; and (3) the weakening of the struggle of the unions for the benefit of the workers and of the class struggle between the bourgeoisie and the proletariat. The political consequences of the end of employment thanks to technological advances are quite serious because the population needs to work to survive. This may open the way for a social revolution with unpredictable consequences, unless a new model of society inspired by Scandinavian social democracy (Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Finland and Iceland) is implemented.
Stephen Hawking: 'Transcendence looks at the implications of artificial intel...eximbroker
Stephen Hawking: 'Transcendence looks at the implications of artificial intelligence - but are we taking AI seriously enough?'
Success in creating AI would be the biggest event in human history. Unfortunately, it might also be the last, unless we learn how to avoid the risks, says a group of leading scientists
2013, Cyber Social Studies, Next Level Global Education, & STEM+Humanities by...Jim "Brodie" Brazell
The Future is Here: Next Level Global Education and Social Studies Design Workshop, June 24-28. 2013. STEM+Humanities: A workshop for Teaching in a Time of Transition, World Affairs Council, Summer Institute on International Affairs, June 24-28. 2013.
Presentation by David Wood of London Futurists at Transvision 2014, Paris, 20th Nov: Accelerating technology and increasing inequality. With Appendix slide covering Q&A at the event.
The Future is Here: Why Science and Technology Change the Kind of Schools We ...Jim "Brodie" Brazell
The Future is Here: Why Science and Technology Change the Kind of Schools We Need
Analysis of robots, wearable computers, and video games by technology forecaster Jim Brazell, Ventureramp.com, illuminate why science, technology, engineering, and math (STEM) changes the kind of schools we need. Analysis includes changes in social institutions (education, family, health and work) with analysis of the implications for the individual (privacy, beliefs, values, etc.) in 2014. A speech ten (10) years in the making and remarkably prescient, Brazell helps us see over the horizon to what is next by understanding where we are today.
Incarceration has historically been about punishment but recently the trend has shifted towards reform, schooling, and an entrepreneurial spirit. In this report, we look at trends in prison experiences, technology, as well as edtech and entrepreneurship in prisons. Prisons are increasingly enabling inmates to get a vocational training, degrees, and even healing. No longer are inmates looked upon as "less than human" but there is a curiosity about their minds and views that are pro-reform so that they integrate well into society on their release. We then forecast three scenarios on mass incarceration in 2040.
Experts say robots will take 47% of our jobs. Is this true? And if so is it...Tumotech
Experts say robots will take 47% of our jobs. Is this true? And if so is it a problem? A guide to the coming robot revolution everybody should know about.
This is an analysis of the robot revolution
Make: Society @ The Red Vic - Embassy NetworkNick Pinkston
In this talk, I discuss that social implications of the Maker Movement. I cover the future of Education & Manufacturing and its ability to influence society.
Talk Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SId0_9CDj_s
My talk to the joint OECD/G20 German Presidency conference on digitalization in Berlin on January 12, 2017. Fitness landscapes as applied to technology, business, and the economy. Note that the fitness landscape slides will not be animated in this PDF, which I shared this way so that you could see my narrative in the speaker notes. While it has some slides in common with my White House Frontiers conference talk, it includes a bunch of other material.
Love is a very complex emotion to decode. Or is it?
Machines and their relationship with humans have been explored in great detail. However the impact of machines on the future of love and the connection between technology and emotions seem more pertinent now than before.
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...gerogepatton
Artificial intelligence is the highest form of human development and sound outcome of human conscience
till the date. But the very development seems to be devastating to human future ahead and has been heavily
projected accordingly. More than it may be to decay and destroy the world, the negative and chilling views
on the prospective damages of AI that scholars are percolating to public are costing many times on
humans; and that is plunging human mindset into irreparable pessimism and negativity. This article
explores the way that AI is being depressingly explored and investigated to browbeat public. In addition,
this write-up highlights the serious lacuna, which the advanced academic engagement has still grossly
failed to fill up, of a great deal in course of mainstreaming views and discussions for noble cause of human
development and societal well-belling . Further, it unmasks the dire need in making constructive,
encouraging and optimistic mind-set building academic pursuits and writings then makes an alarming call
to the all prominent scholars to engage with due compliance of it .
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...ijaia
Artificial intelligence is the highest form of human development and sound outcome of human conscience
till the date. But the very development seems to be devastating to human future ahead and has been heavily
projected accordingly. More than it may be to decay and destroy the world, the negative and chilling views
on the prospective damages of AI that scholars are percolating to public are costing many times on
humans; and that is plunging human mindset into irreparable pessimism and negativity. This article
explores the way that AI is being depressingly explored and investigated to browbeat public. In addition,
this write-up highlights the serious lacuna, which the advanced academic engagement has still grossly
failed to fill up, of a great deal in course of mainstreaming views and discussions for noble cause of human
development and societal well-belling . Further, it unmasks the dire need in making constructive,
encouraging and optimistic mind-set building academic pursuits and writings then makes an alarming call
to the all prominent scholars to engage with due compliance of it .
The Technological Singularity and EntrepreneurshipRandy Lubin
This talk was given at Stanford Graduate School of Business by Randy Lubin, Robert Denning, and Nick Staubach. It is a basic introduction to the Technological Singularity and its relationship with entrepreneurship.
Stephen Hawking: 'Transcendence looks at the implications of artificial intel...eximbroker
Stephen Hawking: 'Transcendence looks at the implications of artificial intelligence - but are we taking AI seriously enough?'
Success in creating AI would be the biggest event in human history. Unfortunately, it might also be the last, unless we learn how to avoid the risks, says a group of leading scientists
2013, Cyber Social Studies, Next Level Global Education, & STEM+Humanities by...Jim "Brodie" Brazell
The Future is Here: Next Level Global Education and Social Studies Design Workshop, June 24-28. 2013. STEM+Humanities: A workshop for Teaching in a Time of Transition, World Affairs Council, Summer Institute on International Affairs, June 24-28. 2013.
Presentation by David Wood of London Futurists at Transvision 2014, Paris, 20th Nov: Accelerating technology and increasing inequality. With Appendix slide covering Q&A at the event.
The Future is Here: Why Science and Technology Change the Kind of Schools We ...Jim "Brodie" Brazell
The Future is Here: Why Science and Technology Change the Kind of Schools We Need
Analysis of robots, wearable computers, and video games by technology forecaster Jim Brazell, Ventureramp.com, illuminate why science, technology, engineering, and math (STEM) changes the kind of schools we need. Analysis includes changes in social institutions (education, family, health and work) with analysis of the implications for the individual (privacy, beliefs, values, etc.) in 2014. A speech ten (10) years in the making and remarkably prescient, Brazell helps us see over the horizon to what is next by understanding where we are today.
Incarceration has historically been about punishment but recently the trend has shifted towards reform, schooling, and an entrepreneurial spirit. In this report, we look at trends in prison experiences, technology, as well as edtech and entrepreneurship in prisons. Prisons are increasingly enabling inmates to get a vocational training, degrees, and even healing. No longer are inmates looked upon as "less than human" but there is a curiosity about their minds and views that are pro-reform so that they integrate well into society on their release. We then forecast three scenarios on mass incarceration in 2040.
Experts say robots will take 47% of our jobs. Is this true? And if so is it...Tumotech
Experts say robots will take 47% of our jobs. Is this true? And if so is it a problem? A guide to the coming robot revolution everybody should know about.
This is an analysis of the robot revolution
Make: Society @ The Red Vic - Embassy NetworkNick Pinkston
In this talk, I discuss that social implications of the Maker Movement. I cover the future of Education & Manufacturing and its ability to influence society.
Talk Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SId0_9CDj_s
My talk to the joint OECD/G20 German Presidency conference on digitalization in Berlin on January 12, 2017. Fitness landscapes as applied to technology, business, and the economy. Note that the fitness landscape slides will not be animated in this PDF, which I shared this way so that you could see my narrative in the speaker notes. While it has some slides in common with my White House Frontiers conference talk, it includes a bunch of other material.
Love is a very complex emotion to decode. Or is it?
Machines and their relationship with humans have been explored in great detail. However the impact of machines on the future of love and the connection between technology and emotions seem more pertinent now than before.
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...gerogepatton
Artificial intelligence is the highest form of human development and sound outcome of human conscience
till the date. But the very development seems to be devastating to human future ahead and has been heavily
projected accordingly. More than it may be to decay and destroy the world, the negative and chilling views
on the prospective damages of AI that scholars are percolating to public are costing many times on
humans; and that is plunging human mindset into irreparable pessimism and negativity. This article
explores the way that AI is being depressingly explored and investigated to browbeat public. In addition,
this write-up highlights the serious lacuna, which the advanced academic engagement has still grossly
failed to fill up, of a great deal in course of mainstreaming views and discussions for noble cause of human
development and societal well-belling . Further, it unmasks the dire need in making constructive,
encouraging and optimistic mind-set building academic pursuits and writings then makes an alarming call
to the all prominent scholars to engage with due compliance of it .
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...ijaia
Artificial intelligence is the highest form of human development and sound outcome of human conscience
till the date. But the very development seems to be devastating to human future ahead and has been heavily
projected accordingly. More than it may be to decay and destroy the world, the negative and chilling views
on the prospective damages of AI that scholars are percolating to public are costing many times on
humans; and that is plunging human mindset into irreparable pessimism and negativity. This article
explores the way that AI is being depressingly explored and investigated to browbeat public. In addition,
this write-up highlights the serious lacuna, which the advanced academic engagement has still grossly
failed to fill up, of a great deal in course of mainstreaming views and discussions for noble cause of human
development and societal well-belling . Further, it unmasks the dire need in making constructive,
encouraging and optimistic mind-set building academic pursuits and writings then makes an alarming call
to the all prominent scholars to engage with due compliance of it .
The Technological Singularity and EntrepreneurshipRandy Lubin
This talk was given at Stanford Graduate School of Business by Randy Lubin, Robert Denning, and Nick Staubach. It is a basic introduction to the Technological Singularity and its relationship with entrepreneurship.
The Future World is a presentation by Sasha Kazantseva first done at the Woman Development Forum in Guernsey. Sasha explores the technology trends of the past 300 years and the implications for the future.
We live in a VUCA (volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous) world where the main currency is ideas and innovation and the most important investment you can make if you.
Sasha blogs at www.startupme.co
Sasha is a Guernsey resident technology entrepreneur, angel investor and NED. She set up her first venture in school aged 16 and the entrepreneurial spark never left her. Since then she has worked for Google, L'Oreal and Priceline, co-founded a private start-up accelerator, a green activist group in Russia and launched a mobile game for iOS.
At Google, Sasha created or co-founded global award winning campaigns such as the Google Cultural Institute and a big data predictor algorithm for competitions. She is passionate about supporting and promoting startup ecosystems and is involved with projects in Guernsey as a director with Start Up Guernsey, committee member of Creative Industries.
She has lived and worked in Singapore, Thailand, Mongolia, Russia, UK and Spain and holds a BSc from the London School of Economics and an MBA from INSEAD. She lives in Guernsey with her husband, whom she met climbing Mt Kilimanjaro for charity, and their twin daughters.
Happy New Year 2039! What our world will look like 25 years from now.Natalia Hatalska
Future will be awesome. Future is so unpredictable. Future is scary. We don’t know what the next few years will bring let alone next decades. But I challenged the world’s greatest minds to deal with that daunting task and gathered their opinions to show us the future in the next 25 years. In 12 different aspects of our lives.
The future makers will tell you about it. Today.
Inspirational talk on AI (artificial intelligence) and machine learning, i.e., how to give birth to an AI. Introductory and intentionally kept simple for non experts and non technical executives. Care should be taken not too over interpret some of the intentional simplified statements in the presentation.
Some Increasingly Significant Technology by 2050 for the European Commisssion...Jerome Glenn
This is an overview of future technology for consideration by the European Commission's KT (Knowledge Triangle: Innovation, Research, and Higher Education) 2050 Scenarios Group.
Traditionally our technology has spoken for us, but these days the products have become so sophisticated that the technology is becoming imperceptible. With that step; our roles in them, the careers they present and the business opportunities all diminish. Out of sight is out of mind; and out of mind is de-prioritised.
in 2018, Dr Cherry Vu (T.S. Vũ Anh Đào) and Rob England started travelling from New Zealand to Vietnam, to teach, coach, and consult to senior executives and owners on business agility, calling themselves Teal Unicorn. Their dozens of clients range from twenty to twenty thousand employees, in industries such as food, real estate, wholesale, retail, manufacturing, logistics, and banking. When COVID hit, they pivoted to serving Vietnam online from Wellington (and from their caravan travelling around the country).
The results their clients get are so good that they have difficulty overcoming the justifiable scepticism of anything written by a consultancy about themselves. In Vietnamese, Cherry has tens of thousands of followers, is a best selling author, and is overloaded with work. In English, not so much. They've written two books that both get 5-star ratings but aren't widely known. Even an article in the BAI's quarterly Journal Emergence has been met largely with silence.
In this presentation, they share those fantastic results and answer your questions. They want you to know that business agility really works.
A 40 minute introduction to DevOps for the Wellington DevOps Meetup, March 2021.
Rob forgot to talk about DevSecOps, which was a fundamental topic, and the general concept of "Shift left". Only so much you can fit in an hour, but they are good topics to research further.
Rob also mentioned some books
IT Revolution DevOps Forum is the best sources of free ebooks about Devops. It costs you an email signup, but it is worth it.
Team of Teams, Stanley McChrystal - good for business agility.
(See also Brave New Work, by Aaron Dignan, as Rob's favourite primer on new ways of working)
The Phoenix Project, by Gene Kim et al. - KoolAid intro to Devops, convinces most people.
Devops Handbook, gene Kim at al - good general refence
Continuous Delivery, Humble and Farley - still the definitive textbook
The Checklist Manifesto, Atul Gawande - in praise of checklists
Field Guide to Human Error, Sidney Dekker - safety culture influences Devops
(see also Dekker's two Youtube videos on Safety Differently and Just Culture)
Rob England consults and trains in IT locally in Welly tealunicorn.com/nwomit
Or see the work Rob and Cherry do together at enterprise level tealunicorn.com/clients
Agile at work within industry and business v5Rob England
Teal Unicorn presented at the Agile In Business Forum 2019 in Auckland NZ.
Asked to do a case study, we gave five success stories to show that Business Agility works. No theory or practices, just descriptions of the companies and people, and the results. Four stories are from Vietnam at the CEO level, and one from NZ within IT. All are dancing with the system, so each one is different in the nature and journey.
There is a renaissance in the ways we work, the likes of which we haven’t seen since the introduction of management as a discipline, except perhaps the ideas of flow after World War II.
The flagship is the Agile movement, which has escaped IT and is now transforming organizations, government, and society. But Agile is too narrow a portmanteau, so we call the movement as a whole Human Systems Agility, to embrace all the concepts involved.
In this presentation we’ll explore this human aspect, one that is desperately needed in most IT cultures, through some of our practical experiences.
Presented at SHINE19 online global conference https://www.servicedeskinstitute.com/events-networking/shine19/
what holds ITIL back from more successful transformation of IT work, and how we can help it succeed, as DevOps and ITSM finally converge on each other in the common ground of service operations.
You will see all sorts of claims on the internet of how DevOps is the end of ITIL. It ain't so, and there is as much strong argument out there for the use of both. How do DevOps and ITSM affect each other? What are the connections? How will they work together? Here is one view of where the work will be needed, and what value they offer each other.
Surviving DevOps: bringing everyone along on the transformation journeyRob England
DevOps is about reskilling yourself and others in this new IT age.
Through DevOps improvement we transform the way we work. DevOps provides the approach to improving our way of working, and the navigational stars to steer by (the unicorn exemplars to aspire to).
Such transformation is essential to make people's lives better. So be careful our attempts doesn't make people's lives worse, or damage the culture of the organisation.
Let's ensure we lift everyone, or at least as many people as we can. We can make life better, the results better, and customer satisfaction better.
The three Rs: Roles Responsibilities RelationshipsRob England
IT is about people, and more specifically the 3 R’s – roles, responsibilities and relationships. Rob will highlight that this is the key to getting the people side of IT right; define and communicate clearly everybody's roles, responsibilities, and build and cement strong relationships both within IT and with internal and external business partners too. According to Rob, if we can agree who does what and to whom first, then the processes and tools will follow. Without that, IT initiatives are doomed to fail: all the shiny flowcharts and software in the world won't affect improvements until people are working together effectively. Rob will also discuss how to design service models to make sure everybody plays their part: operating models (or their subset support models), engagement models and RACI charts for each practice. He will also look at what we need and what tools are available to help you get there.
Blog post here http://www.itskeptic.org/content/how-devops-messes-your-head
This presentation looks at how DevOps turns some fundamental principles of IT and ITSM on their heads, with new concepts such as high velocity change, fail fast, infrastructure as code, people over process, servers as cattle, and empowered developers. DevOps is a strong leading indicator of our IT future: sooner or later we will all need to make the lateral shift in mindset required by these challenging concepts.Your IT fundamental axioms will be challenged.
IT is going through a once-in-a-lifetime (hopefully) transformation as profound as the historical Renaissance.
Presented at Pink Elephant IT Service Management Conference 2016
Enterprises are wrestling with the conflicting needs to chase competitiveness in a world of endlessly changing technology, whilst still remaining mindful and careful. In IT we are caught in the same bind. I have written about this squeeze before in "To Protect and Serve".
This year I'm looking at solutions: how IT can deal with the dichotomy with Multi-Speed IT. By embracing Agile, DevOps, BYOD and other "liberation" approaches, and integrating them into our ITSM, risk, and governance practices, we can create an IT environment with a better chance of responding at the speed of business, whatever the business chooses that speed to be. This article proposes a nuanced approach to two-speed IT, where each lifecycle implementation is a blend of the two "speeds".
http://www.itskeptic.org/content/multi-speed-it
Big Uncle is a name for the concept of “benevolent security”. Privacy is a dated concept, disappearing fast. People get all tied in a knot over this, but the consequences are only as bad as we let them be. Like any technology, there will be evil applications and there will be good ones. There are upsides: Big Uncle not Big Brother.
Who controls which one we get? The people who work in IT: we make either one happen, we are the troops.
When establishing the relationship between an external service provider (outsourcer) and customer, why do we document a whole operating model spanning both organisations? The whole point of outsourcing is that the supplier should be a black box, with inputs, outputs and performance requirements. What we need to define is the interface between the two entities, to ensure the operating models of each one mesh properly together: the Engagement Model.
This is more efficient: we don't redundantly document processes which already exist, and are documented elsewhere. It is more effective: we focus on the gaps, specifying the requirements for change in each organisation in order to connect their operating models.
This is pioneering stuff: there is very little published on what an engagement model should look like or how to develop and use it. Rob has built them: this presentation looks at a format, the content, and its uses
a pragmatic approach to Continual Service Improvement. Enough theory: this is how to actually manage an improvement programme.
Improvement changes the way people think and behave. Improving the practices and tools are secondary to changing culture. You can change software in minutes. You can change process in days. But people take much longer to change. Improvement should happen in an incremental manner: evolution not revolution. Improvement is not a project - improvement is normal behaviour for professionals: to devote a certain percentage of our time to improving the systems we work with. We should all expect that things will be better next year. We should all expect that we will make a difference and leave systems better than we found them. Improvement is business as usual.
This presentation looks at the huge amount fo potential improvement in most organisations, and how improvement goes on as part of the professional's daily work. We describe a method of breaking the task down to make it manageable, and then organising that improvement based on small increments, agile approach, empowering staff and a "relaxed" attitude - a pragmatic way of dealing with our constraints.
More here http://www.basicsm.com/tipu
a layman's view of COBIT and why you need to know about it. It may have started out as an audit tool but now COBIT is very much a general IT practices framework. There is no reason other than history why ITIL is the "default" choice as an IT framework. There are better ones around. In my consulting practice I use COBIT as my framework, and flesh it out with ITIL and other bodies of knowledge when necessary. I use COBIT to frame assessment, current state analysis, reviews, improvement planning, strategy, roles, and so on. It's better.
Real IT: the reality of IT for most organisationsRob England
"RealIT" (reality, get it?) is the application of information and its technology to the functioning of an organisation. I.e. never mind the businesses that sell shiny tech things or that manage other peoples information, or all the other specialist tech businesses we are so captivated and distracted by. Real IT is about using IT to execute an organisation's mission.
When people talk about IT these days the term is - as usual - becoming debased to mean any or all of these. That's why I have started refering to RealIT: to focus on the reality of applying IT to business/enterprise/organisational outcomes; to take us away from confusing RealIT with the consumer personal digital experience (direct from manufacturer to consumer - think Apple - is NOT Real IT, the rules are different) or with the specialist industries of IT service aggregators/outsourcers/suppliers, or IT manufacturers/startups/entrepreneurs/vendors ... all of which are hijacking and distorting the "IT" conversation away from RealIT.
The Information Technology sector is layering into interacting industries. RealIT is one layer.
RealIT isn't always about speed; the hysterical frenzy of the startup or of the retail technology vendor. RealIT isn't always about innovation or competitiveness. RealIT isn't always about novelty and attractiveness and pandering to the desires of the users. These are viewpoints which are more important in the other parts of the value chain.
RealIT is about balancing the conflicting duties of "To Protect and Serve": acting as custodian of the massive existing investment in information and its technology, whilst also serving the changing needs of the organisation.
UiPath Test Automation using UiPath Test Suite series, part 3DianaGray10
Welcome to UiPath Test Automation using UiPath Test Suite series part 3. In this session, we will cover desktop automation along with UI automation.
Topics covered:
UI automation Introduction,
UI automation Sample
Desktop automation flow
Pradeep Chinnala, Senior Consultant Automation Developer @WonderBotz and UiPath MVP
Deepak Rai, Automation Practice Lead, Boundaryless Group and UiPath MVP
Essentials of Automations: Optimizing FME Workflows with ParametersSafe Software
Are you looking to streamline your workflows and boost your projects’ efficiency? Do you find yourself searching for ways to add flexibility and control over your FME workflows? If so, you’re in the right place.
Join us for an insightful dive into the world of FME parameters, a critical element in optimizing workflow efficiency. This webinar marks the beginning of our three-part “Essentials of Automation” series. This first webinar is designed to equip you with the knowledge and skills to utilize parameters effectively: enhancing the flexibility, maintainability, and user control of your FME projects.
Here’s what you’ll gain:
- Essentials of FME Parameters: Understand the pivotal role of parameters, including Reader/Writer, Transformer, User, and FME Flow categories. Discover how they are the key to unlocking automation and optimization within your workflows.
- Practical Applications in FME Form: Delve into key user parameter types including choice, connections, and file URLs. Allow users to control how a workflow runs, making your workflows more reusable. Learn to import values and deliver the best user experience for your workflows while enhancing accuracy.
- Optimization Strategies in FME Flow: Explore the creation and strategic deployment of parameters in FME Flow, including the use of deployment and geometry parameters, to maximize workflow efficiency.
- Pro Tips for Success: Gain insights on parameterizing connections and leveraging new features like Conditional Visibility for clarity and simplicity.
We’ll wrap up with a glimpse into future webinars, followed by a Q&A session to address your specific questions surrounding this topic.
Don’t miss this opportunity to elevate your FME expertise and drive your projects to new heights of efficiency.
Slack (or Teams) Automation for Bonterra Impact Management (fka Social Soluti...Jeffrey Haguewood
Sidekick Solutions uses Bonterra Impact Management (fka Social Solutions Apricot) and automation solutions to integrate data for business workflows.
We believe integration and automation are essential to user experience and the promise of efficient work through technology. Automation is the critical ingredient to realizing that full vision. We develop integration products and services for Bonterra Case Management software to support the deployment of automations for a variety of use cases.
This video focuses on the notifications, alerts, and approval requests using Slack for Bonterra Impact Management. The solutions covered in this webinar can also be deployed for Microsoft Teams.
Interested in deploying notification automations for Bonterra Impact Management? Contact us at sales@sidekicksolutionsllc.com to discuss next steps.
Accelerate your Kubernetes clusters with Varnish CachingThijs Feryn
A presentation about the usage and availability of Varnish on Kubernetes. This talk explores the capabilities of Varnish caching and shows how to use the Varnish Helm chart to deploy it to Kubernetes.
This presentation was delivered at K8SUG Singapore. See https://feryn.eu/presentations/accelerate-your-kubernetes-clusters-with-varnish-caching-k8sug-singapore-28-2024 for more details.
LF Energy Webinar: Electrical Grid Modelling and Simulation Through PowSyBl -...DanBrown980551
Do you want to learn how to model and simulate an electrical network from scratch in under an hour?
Then welcome to this PowSyBl workshop, hosted by Rte, the French Transmission System Operator (TSO)!
During the webinar, you will discover the PowSyBl ecosystem as well as handle and study an electrical network through an interactive Python notebook.
PowSyBl is an open source project hosted by LF Energy, which offers a comprehensive set of features for electrical grid modelling and simulation. Among other advanced features, PowSyBl provides:
- A fully editable and extendable library for grid component modelling;
- Visualization tools to display your network;
- Grid simulation tools, such as power flows, security analyses (with or without remedial actions) and sensitivity analyses;
The framework is mostly written in Java, with a Python binding so that Python developers can access PowSyBl functionalities as well.
What you will learn during the webinar:
- For beginners: discover PowSyBl's functionalities through a quick general presentation and the notebook, without needing any expert coding skills;
- For advanced developers: master the skills to efficiently apply PowSyBl functionalities to your real-world scenarios.
State of ICS and IoT Cyber Threat Landscape Report 2024 previewPrayukth K V
The IoT and OT threat landscape report has been prepared by the Threat Research Team at Sectrio using data from Sectrio, cyber threat intelligence farming facilities spread across over 85 cities around the world. In addition, Sectrio also runs AI-based advanced threat and payload engagement facilities that serve as sinks to attract and engage sophisticated threat actors, and newer malware including new variants and latent threats that are at an earlier stage of development.
The latest edition of the OT/ICS and IoT security Threat Landscape Report 2024 also covers:
State of global ICS asset and network exposure
Sectoral targets and attacks as well as the cost of ransom
Global APT activity, AI usage, actor and tactic profiles, and implications
Rise in volumes of AI-powered cyberattacks
Major cyber events in 2024
Malware and malicious payload trends
Cyberattack types and targets
Vulnerability exploit attempts on CVEs
Attacks on counties – USA
Expansion of bot farms – how, where, and why
In-depth analysis of the cyber threat landscape across North America, South America, Europe, APAC, and the Middle East
Why are attacks on smart factories rising?
Cyber risk predictions
Axis of attacks – Europe
Systemic attacks in the Middle East
Download the full report from here:
https://sectrio.com/resources/ot-threat-landscape-reports/sectrio-releases-ot-ics-and-iot-security-threat-landscape-report-2024/
Software Delivery At the Speed of AI: Inflectra Invests In AI-Powered QualityInflectra
In this insightful webinar, Inflectra explores how artificial intelligence (AI) is transforming software development and testing. Discover how AI-powered tools are revolutionizing every stage of the software development lifecycle (SDLC), from design and prototyping to testing, deployment, and monitoring.
Learn about:
• The Future of Testing: How AI is shifting testing towards verification, analysis, and higher-level skills, while reducing repetitive tasks.
• Test Automation: How AI-powered test case generation, optimization, and self-healing tests are making testing more efficient and effective.
• Visual Testing: Explore the emerging capabilities of AI in visual testing and how it's set to revolutionize UI verification.
• Inflectra's AI Solutions: See demonstrations of Inflectra's cutting-edge AI tools like the ChatGPT plugin and Azure Open AI platform, designed to streamline your testing process.
Whether you're a developer, tester, or QA professional, this webinar will give you valuable insights into how AI is shaping the future of software delivery.
"Impact of front-end architecture on development cost", Viktor TurskyiFwdays
I have heard many times that architecture is not important for the front-end. Also, many times I have seen how developers implement features on the front-end just following the standard rules for a framework and think that this is enough to successfully launch the project, and then the project fails. How to prevent this and what approach to choose? I have launched dozens of complex projects and during the talk we will analyze which approaches have worked for me and which have not.
Epistemic Interaction - tuning interfaces to provide information for AI supportAlan Dix
Paper presented at SYNERGY workshop at AVI 2024, Genoa, Italy. 3rd June 2024
https://alandix.com/academic/papers/synergy2024-epistemic/
As machine learning integrates deeper into human-computer interactions, the concept of epistemic interaction emerges, aiming to refine these interactions to enhance system adaptability. This approach encourages minor, intentional adjustments in user behaviour to enrich the data available for system learning. This paper introduces epistemic interaction within the context of human-system communication, illustrating how deliberate interaction design can improve system understanding and adaptation. Through concrete examples, we demonstrate the potential of epistemic interaction to significantly advance human-computer interaction by leveraging intuitive human communication strategies to inform system design and functionality, offering a novel pathway for enriching user-system engagements.
JMeter webinar - integration with InfluxDB and GrafanaRTTS
Watch this recorded webinar about real-time monitoring of application performance. See how to integrate Apache JMeter, the open-source leader in performance testing, with InfluxDB, the open-source time-series database, and Grafana, the open-source analytics and visualization application.
In this webinar, we will review the benefits of leveraging InfluxDB and Grafana when executing load tests and demonstrate how these tools are used to visualize performance metrics.
Length: 30 minutes
Session Overview
-------------------------------------------
During this webinar, we will cover the following topics while demonstrating the integrations of JMeter, InfluxDB and Grafana:
- What out-of-the-box solutions are available for real-time monitoring JMeter tests?
- What are the benefits of integrating InfluxDB and Grafana into the load testing stack?
- Which features are provided by Grafana?
- Demonstration of InfluxDB and Grafana using a practice web application
To view the webinar recording, go to:
https://www.rttsweb.com/jmeter-integration-webinar
14. Paul Ehrlich
“The battle to feed all of humanity is over.” He later
went on to forecast that hundreds of millions would
starve to death in the 1970s, that 65 million of them
would be Americans, that crowded India was
essentially doomed, that odds were fair “England will
not exist in the year 2000.”
Dr. Ehrlich was so sure of himself that he warned in
1970 that “sometime in the next 15 years, the end
will come.” By “the end,” he meant “an utter
breakdown of the capacity of the planet to support
humanity.”
As you may have noticed, England is still with us.
NY Times https://goo.gl/DRdr6q
25. Peak oil
For every barrel of oil consumed over the past
35 years, two new barrels have been
discovered
BP https://goo.gl/Dks4Kc
https://goo.gl/j4Ef64
28. New ice age
An increase by only a factor of 4 in global aerosol
background concentration may be sufficient to
reduce the surface temperature by as much as 3.5°K.
If sustained over a period of several years, such a
temperature decrease over the whole globe is
believed to be sufficient to trigger an ice age.
"Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide and Aerosols: Effects of Large Increases on Global Climate".
Science, 1971
29. New ice age
The longer the planners (politicians) delay, the more
difficult will they find it to cope with climatic change once
the results become grim reality...
resulting famines could be catastrophic...drought and
desolation...the most devastating outbreak of tornadoes
ever recorded...droughts, floods, extended dry spells,
long freezes, delayed monsoons...impossible for
starving peoples to migrate...
the present decline has taken the planet about
a sixth of the way toward the Ice Age.
Newsweek, 1975
36. Acid rain
… will cost Europe 118 million cubic metres of wood
worth Pounds sterling 16 billion – every year for the
next century. Western Europe will lose 48 million
cubic metres of timber a year.
Eastern Europe will lose 35 million cubic metres and
the European part of the Soviet Union 35 million
cubic metres.
The total losses are equivalent
to about 30 times the timber Britain produces each
year.
New Scientist, 1990
55. Extrapolation fallacy
• limiting factors:
• cultural resistance (e.g. Google Glass)
• cost of implementation (e.g. electric cars)
• environmental impact (e.g. wind power)
• lack of resources (e.g. solar power, batteries)
• social impact (e.g. self-driving trucks)
• danger (e.g. hydrogen fueled cars)
• fear (e.g. nuclear power)
• antiscience (e.g. GMO) Do you think that people
will just sit and let this
happen? Truckers will
shut down US highways.
Wendell Wallach
https://goo.gl/kQxUtp
61. Complex systems
• Have more factors (“active agents”) than can be
understood
• Must be modelled
• Models are only accurate within the known data.
They are no better at extrapolation than a simple
formula.
• It is the same fallacy.
• The only way to find out is to “suck it and see”.
63. Automation and AI
Robots will master us!!
our technology will match and
then vastly exceed the
refinement and suppleness of
what we regard as the best of
human traits.
Ray Kurzweil
64. Automation and AI
Robots are taking our jobs!!
Productivity is at record levels, innovation has
never been faster, and yet at the same time,
we have a falling median income and we have
fewer jobs. People are falling behind because
technology is advancing so fast
Erik Brynjolfsson
We used to need very intelligent, very well-
trained people called doctors to do medical
diagnostic work. And now, we have
technologies that are really, really good at it.
Andrew McAfee
65. Automation and AI
Robots will destroy us!!
With artificial intelligence, we are
summoning the demon.
There’s maybe a five to 10 percent
chance of success of creating safe AI.
Elon Musk
66. Automation and AI
Robots will replace us!!
The real risk with AI isn’t malice
but competence,’ he said. ‘A
superintelligent AI will be
extremely good at accomplishing
its goals, and if those goals aren’t
aligned with ours, we’re in trouble
Stephen Hawking
68. Kurzweil’s singularity
I have set the date 2045 for
the ‘Singularity’ which is
when we will multiply our
effective intelligence a billion
fold by merging with the
intelligence we have created.
Kurzweil https://goo.gl/XcNwyC
69. How accurate is Kurzweil anyway?
Ray Kurzweil missed the Cloud, Facebook, Twitter,
SaaS, phone apps, and Angry Birds.
He rates himself 85-95% accurate.
LessWrong rates him 54% https://goo.gl/YQEJCA
I rate him 50/50. https://goo.gl/rNFaYT
Even a blind squirrel finds a few nuts.
70. (BTW)
Supercomputers will achieve one human
brain capacity by 2010, and personal
computers will do so by about 2020.
Ray Kurzweil https://goo.gl/CNGjHJ
71. The mechanical model fallacy
The most complex known object
in the universe: a custom-made
analogue processor with 20 year
setup, multiple parallel
processing mechanisms, both
electrical and chemical,
specialised "hardware" areas, and
active biological self-modification
• Physical
• More nodes than stars in the
galaxy
• 100 trillion nerve connections
• Electrical
• Chemical
• Hormonal
• DNA and growth
Researchers at the
University of North Carolina
have shown that dendrites
do more than relay
information from one
neuron to the next. They
actively process
information, multiplying the
brain's computing power.
"Suddenly, it's as if the
processing power of the
brain is much greater than
we had originally thought”
https://goo.gl/y4z8Kk
73. The helpless herd fallacy
• Acid rain levels have dropped 65% since 1976
• The Green Revolution continues to feed the world.
• Fracking dropped the price of oil and broke the
OPEC cartel
• Electric cars are a thing.
• Our food is so clean and healthy we obsess about
almost undetectable fears.
• We sure fixed that ice age problem.
74. The static world fallacy
by 2030, many of the
world's largest economies
will have more jobs than
adult citizens to do those
jobs
Rainer Strack, BCG
https://goo.gl/oSbYq4
“My grandfather wouldn’t
recognize what I do as
work.”
Google chief economist Hal Varian
https://goo.gl/hghz8p
75. The social change fallacy
• We need to worry about sociological change, and
society can't change faster than society can change.
• There is no singularity here. Technology will fly off
into unrealised potential, while we eat up that
potential as fast as we can AND NO FASTER.
81. Bring data
In contrast to other studies, we take into account the
heterogeneity of workers’ tasks within occupations.
Overall, we find that, on average across the 21 OECD
countries, 9 % of jobs are automatable. The threat
from technological advances thus seems much less
pronounced.
OECD https://goo.gl/gZqagi
82. Robots are simpletons
Google’s self-driving cars can only
operate on roads that humans have
mapped by hand, manually marking
every piece of street-furniture.
The NSA can’t point to a single
terrorist plot that mass-surveillance
has disrupted.
Ad personalization sucks so hard you
can hear it from orbit.
Cory Doctorow
https://goo.gl/saLhYr
83. It’s an illusion
Asking whether a
computer can
think is a bit like
asking whether
submarines can
swim
Edsger Dijkstra, pioneer
of AI,
IBM’s Watson
(and others)
provide the
*illusion* of
cognitive
computing
John Brand, Forrester
https://goo.gl/AP1Crk
84. The analyst/vendor hype complex
Two words: venture capital
With “the internet” no longer a
credible vehicle for Silicon Valley’s
wild fantasies and intellectual
bullying of other industries, “AI”
has taken its place.
Almost everything you read about
AI is fake news. The AI coverage
comes from a media willing itself
into the mind of a three year old
child, in order to be impressed.
Andrew Orlowski
https://goo.gl/4GRLvy
85. Where’s Watson?
Watson AI panned, 5¼ years of
sales decline
Not only has its Watson offering been
skewered by Wall Street analysts, it's also
just reported its 21st straight quarter of
revenue decline
The Register, 2017
IBM Watson Adoption
Accelerates Globally
IBM, 2014
ANZ Turns to IBM's Watson to
Customize Wealthy Client Services
2013
88. Apocalypse when
We are nowhere near peak employment. We are
nowhere near a plateau in how much work our
economy requires to function. Thinking of a post-
work world is incredibly premature.
Andrew McAfee
There is no shortage of work that only people can do.
We are moving very, very fast, but it’s decades before
we get to that kind of world.
Erik Brynjolfsson
https://goo.gl/5mQHBG
90. Optimism
• World is ‘astonishingly pessimistic,’ says EU
research commissioner Carlos Moedas
• Media are too full of ‘alarmist, hysterical’
doomsday scenarios
• Alarmist and panicked, sometimes even hysterical.
• fearing what is arguably one of the most exciting
new technologies of our generation and denying
ourselves its amazing benefits is not the answer
https://goo.gl/93N7Na
91. Age old issue With these new-
fangled "wheels" they
can drag a sled with a
fraction the number of
people. Where will
sled-draggers find
new jobs?
92. Don’t fear the robot
The law of comparative
advantage has not been
repealed. Machines
take away some jobs and
create others, while
producing more output
overall.
Tyler Cowen
https://goo.gl/yvTBvW
93. Robots augment people
the best way to think about AI is to
see it as simply the latest in a long
line of cognitive enhancements that
humans have invented to augment
the abilities of their brains
The Economist
https://goo.gl/6CGs12
94. Robots augment people
the story is more nuanced. While automation will eliminate
very few occupations entirely in the next decade, it will affect
portions of almost all jobs to a greater or lesser degree
McKinsey Quarterly
https://goo.gl/HvTGWQ
95. Robots augment people
we as humans should continue to focus on what
we do best — thinking creatively, building
empathy for other humans — in order to guide
machines in the right directions.
Yue Wu, Yelp
https://goo.gl/BLUWt4
97. The real value of automation
Automation supports
• Faster lead times
• More frequent releases
• Less turbulent releases
• Fewer errors
• Higher quality
• Faster recovery
Automation gives rote tasks
to computers and allows
people to
• Weigh evidence
• Solve problems
• Make decisions based
on feedback
• Use their skills,
experience and judgment
It is tasks that are automated, not the jobs
98. Free the people
If a robot took your job, it
was a cruel job.
Machines will take away
the jobs of sewer
cleaners and miners and
filing clerks and shelf
packers.
Roll on robots.
It is tasks that are automated, not the jobs
If I had to do it over again, I
would put more emphasis on
the way technology leads to
structural changes in the
economy, and less on jobs,
jobs, jobs. The central
phenomenon is not net job
loss. It’s the shift in the kinds of
jobs that are available.
Andrew McAfee https://goo.gl/HNFd9L
99. Free the people
60-percent of occupations today are currently seeing
their practitioners wasting 30-percent of their time
on tasks that could be automated.
Less than 5-percent of all jobs are able to be
completely replaced by a computer or machine.
Even among this small number, the replaceable jobs
are mostly confined to physical labor in very
structured and predictable environments.
https://goo.gl/8k1Ped
•Meat packers
•Plasterers and stucco masons
•Ophthalmic lab technicians
100. People want people • Advisors
• Sales
• Service desk
• Nurses
• Editors
• Musicians
• Companions
• Coaches
• Teachers
• Masseurs
• Guides
• Designers
• Commentators
• Artists
• Hairdressers
• Religion
• ….
In retail, there will always be
a need for human workers
The Guardian
https://goo.gl/4tPm6D
101. Stop underestimating mankind
200 years ago, the majority of the human race
worked on the land. 100 years ago the majority
worked in heavy industry. Those people aren't
unemployed.
The human race is anti-fragile: we thrive on change,
stress, discontinuities. Germany and Japan after
WWII. Christchurch after the quake.
98% of the manual labor
performed in ancient
Egypt is now automated
Keith Swenson
https://goo.gl/hTP7Mq
103. Adapt, reinvent
Not every employee will adapt and innovate, but we
believe most will.
Those that do adapt will go in two directions: one
group will focus on becoming more productive by
doing more of the same kind of work they did in the
past with the assistance of digital labor.
The other will move on to more value-added
activities
ISG https://goo.gl/5HvJXe
104. If opinion matters to you…
1,896 experts divided:
52% expect that technology will not displace more jobs
than it creates by 2025
• Advances in technology may displace certain types of
work, but historically they have been a net creator of
jobs.
• We will adapt to these changes by inventing entirely
new types of work, and by taking advantage of uniquely
human capabilities.
• Technology will free us from day-to-day drudgery, and
allow us to define our relationship with “work” in a
more positive and socially beneficial way.
• Ultimately, we as a society control our own destiny
through the choices we make.
Pew Research https://goo.gl/z55szF
105. Robots augment people
What will new technology let us do
that was previously impossible?
This is the true opportunity of
technology: it extends human
capability.
Tim O’Reilly
https://goo.gl/BxLTqs
By Jashuah - Own work by uploader, data from BP workbook of historical data, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=20745151
By Jashuah - Own work by uploader, data from BP workbook of historical data, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=20745151
Dogs and cats living together
But then again we also have this, so… you know
Life isn’t a movie
"Wow man, imagine if..." "Far out! You're freaking me out man. It could be real!"
We don’t teach enough science or critical thought
By Skeptical Science; Based on data published in Peterson, Thomas C., William M. Connolley, and John Fleck. "The myth of the 1970s global cooling scientific consensus." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 89.9 (2008): 1325-1337. - http://www.skepticalscience.com/graphics.php, CC BY 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=22915488
What Ray fails to mention is that long before you get to the second half of the chessboard you have wheat pissing everywhere, pouring off the sides of the board, making it impossible to count let alone pile it. The pile would be bigger than Mt Everest - you couldn't find the chessboard. Even if you could, there isn't enough rice on Earth to do this. Every simple extrapolation hits physical constraints that slow and eventually cap an increase. Welcome to the real world. Kurzweil and Brynjolfsson and McAfee and all the other abusers of practical science can indulge in all the "oh wow man" intellectual masturbation they want, the real world just doesn't work like that. The graph doesn't rocket off the top, and the sky doesn't fall.
in 12 years or so we might hypothetically have enough processing power - if the extraordinary and historically unprecedented curve of this graph is sustainable into new orders of magnitude for another decade and a half and if no other factor intervenes such as economic collapse - to run a simulation with the same CPU instruction rate as the overly simplistic model of the human brain.
This does not say we will know how to model the human brain. Only that we can run a model with the same number of operations per second as we think might maybe be happening in the human brain. What that model will actually DO is completely unknown and this curve tells us nothing about that.
Even if we come up with some sort of brain model to use up all these FLOPS, there is zero evidence that it will behave as an intelligence of any sort, only that it will have the same horsepower as our simplistic neuron models of the brain suggest we might have. I can build a fire that releases the same energy as a car, but it won't tell me much about how cars work.
We aren't helpless and we aren't mindless. We adjust, we respond, we correct, we react
Forget all the sci-fi your brains have been addled with. Current real-world robots are dedicated machines that can do one task better than a human can, over and over. They're not general thinking machines, not even Watson. AI is still so far away it's ridiculous. Artificial intelligence is like nuclear fusion: it has been 10 years off for the last fifty years. And McKinsey predict it will stay that way: the future of robotics will continue to be dedicated to specialised tasks.
"Oh sure it can recognise the video image of a cat. Ask it how to make a cat happy."- me
IBM have to recover some of that R&D, and they have to brand as innovators. So too do a small number of clients with more money than sense. Watson will disappear too, after they've generated a few brochure case studies. Remember Big Blue?
Watson is just a fancy IVR answer-phone. Sure it can learn the answers you like to hear, pulling them from known data. But it does not truly understand. It has no experience, no context. It no more understands WHAT it is answering than your IVR does. John Brand at Forrester has similar things to say about Watson. Stop anthropomorphising a dumb machine.
It is tasks that are automated, not the jobs
It is tasks that are automated, not the jobs
It is tasks that are automated, not the jobs
it's no different to the factory: if your job involves mindless drudgery then maybe Watson the robot can do it more reliably and cheaply. But if you are replace-able that's because you are doing a robot job - get out of it. If your job is to be a real human and a knowledge-worker then relax, your job isn't going to a robot. An Indian, Filipino, or Nigerian maybe, but not a machine.
If a robot replaces someone now or in the foreseeable future (based on real facts not wild extrapolations) it is because that person was doing a job I wouldnt wish on them. If you free people from slavery, they find new things to do. History has shown that over and over. We should embrace their liberation, not set them quaking in fear.
So what happens when robots take more and more drudge jobs? Same as has been happening for the last 30 years as robotics expanded. People find new jobs. Entrepreneurs work out how to use available talent to deliver value. We are resilient, resourceful, intelligent. We turn situations to our advantage. We find new opportunities. Heck, we CREATE and INVENT new opportunities. We legislate against negative effects (when we're smart enough).