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The perfect storm II
From profit to purpose
4 november 2016
The global shifting context
Towards a new paradigm
What can HR do ?
society organisations
WHY
HR
WHAT
icon by SimpleIcon in business
2
A shifting
global
context
1Exponential
technological
developments
1. JOB AUTOMATION
Willtechnologyautomateworkas
artificialintelligenceandrobotics
becomemainstream?
“ 47 Percent Of U.S. Jobs
Are At Risk Because Of
Advancing Technologies
Oxford university
Berger
Frey
Osborne
‘47 Percent’ Of U.S. Jobs Are At Risk
Because Of Advancing Technologies
10
Routine jobs are at risk for automation
“The factory of the future will have only two
employees, a man and a dog.
The man will be there to feed the dog.
The dog will be there to keep the man from
touching the equipment.Warren Bennis
American scholar, organizational
consultant and author,
2. INEQUALITY
97
% of population in groups with flat or falling market income, 2005−141
Both the extent of flat or falling incomes and the forces driving the
phenomenon vary considerably among countries.
AGGREGATE DEMAND
Although the global recession was
the most important factor, median
household incomes were also
affected by long-run trends.
170M–210M540M–580M
<10 MILLION<10 MILLION
DISPOSABLE INCOMEMARKET INCOME
of households in advanced economies, on average, were in income
segments whose incomes in 2014 were flat or down compared with 2005.1
65–70%
65–70%
<2%
2005–14
1993–2005
PEOPLE WITH FLAT OR
FALLING INCOME
The population with flat or falling incomes has surged in advanced economies
a new look at
INCOME INEQUALITYFLAT OR FALLING
65–70% 

of people in 25 advanced countries
saw no increase in their earnings
between 2005 and 2014
Research by the McKinsey Global Institute
14
Who will be buying
products & services?
3. SPACESHIP EARTH
WORLD POPULATION
billion
1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
partspermillion
2
3
3
3
3
18Motor vehicles
Species extinct
Average surface temperature
northern hemisphere
population
Co2 concentration
GDP
Water use
Fisheries exploited
Foreign investments
Paper consumption
Ozone depletion
The world Resource
consumption growth
New Scientist, 2008
loss of tropical rainforest &
woodland
2000
CARBON DIOXIDE (CO2)
partspermillion
1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000
270
300
330
360
390
WE ARE THE FIRST
GENERAT ION TO FEEL
THE EFFECT OF
CLIMAT E CHANGE………..
AND THE LAST
GENERAT ION TO DO
SOMETHING ABOUT IT!
PRESIDENT OBAMA
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/06/03/opinion/sunday/are-we-in-the-midst-of-a-sixth-mass-extinction.html
IT’S NOT JUST POLAR BEARS,
CORAL REEFS AND THE RAINFOREST
UNDER THREAT.
KAISA KOSOSONEN, GREEN PEACE
IT IS US !
• china pensseeltjes
Is this the future
we long for ?
The global shifting context
Towards a new paradigm
What can HR do ?
Endless
possibilities
oftechnology
“
Peter Diamandis
engineer, physician and entrepreneur
founder of the X Prize Foundation,
co-founder Singularity University
We are racing toward a world of abundance,
and we are going to be increasing the quality
of life for everyone on this planet.
The world's biggest problems are the world's
biggest business opportunities.
Thegrowthmodel
isbroken
“Een economie gebaseerd op
groei en consumptie ten koste
van de aarde en haar inwoners is
niet langer houdbaar.Herman Wijffels
Nederlandse econoom
Hoogleraar 'duurzaamheid en
maatschappelijke verandering'
aan de Universiteit Utrecht.
“Neoliberalism is broken………..…
We are in a long transition beyond
capitalism
Paul Mason
is an English journalist and
broadcaster.
“We live in a time of massive
institutional failure,
collectively creating results that
nobody wants.
Otto Scharmer
American economist, senior
lecturer at MIT, Boston
“ Growth has become the
enemy of prosperity
Douglas Rushkoff
American media theorist, writer,
columnist, lecturer, graphic novelist, and
documentarian
“We have created an economy build on
the wrong values and are now running it
on a digital platform
And the whole thing is spinning out
of control
Douglas Rushkoff
American media theorist, writer,
columnist, lecturer, graphic novelist, and
documentarian
“De economisering van
onze begeerte
Victor broers
public thinker, speaker
and writer
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1771 1801 1831 1861 1891 1921 1951 1981 2011 2041 2071
2nd
1870
electrical energy
mass production
3rd
1784
electronics & IT
http
4th
today
artificial intelligence
robotics
1st
1784
mechanical production
steam power energy
The next industrial RevolutionNeoliberal capitalistic paradigm
The feudal System
end of the
enlightenment 

Neoliberal capitalism
-At the expense of people and
our planet
-The creation of profit &
shareholders value above
all else
push the
transition towards
a new model of
abundance
do nothing
EFFICIENCY
& COMPLEXITY
TIME
You are now here
Laszlo’s Evolutionary transformation of social systems
“ The future can not be
created based upon blind
optimism
Gerd Leonhard
Author and futurist
1771 1801 1831 1861 1891 1921 1951 1981 2011 2041 2071
The next industrial Revolution
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2nd
1870
electrical energy
mass production
3rd
1971
electronics & IT
http
4th
today
artificial intelligence
robotics
1st
1784
mechanical production
steam power energy
Neoliberal capitalistic paradigm
The feudal System
Neoliberal capitalism
Capitalism
end of the
enlightenment
The period between the old and the new
“How can we use the power
of business to to create a
future we all want?
Elfried Klarenbeek
World citizen
1.897 Corporations  
50 Countries  
130 Industries  
1 Unifying Goal
To redefine
success in
business
A better phone is a
phone made better
www.fairphone.com
The global shifting context
Towards a new paradigm
What can HR do ?
“
Tony Robbins
#1 New York Times best-selling
author, life and business strategist,
philanthropist, entrepreneur
The resources we need to turn our
dreams into reality are within us,
merely waiting for the day when
we decide to wake up.
Thankyou
elfried@gmail.com

@elfried

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The perfect storm II

  • 1. The perfect storm II From profit to purpose 4 november 2016
  • 2. The global shifting context Towards a new paradigm What can HR do ?
  • 4. icon by SimpleIcon in business 2 A shifting global context 1Exponential technological developments
  • 6. “ 47 Percent Of U.S. Jobs Are At Risk Because Of Advancing Technologies Oxford university Berger Frey Osborne
  • 7. ‘47 Percent’ Of U.S. Jobs Are At Risk Because Of Advancing Technologies
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. 10 Routine jobs are at risk for automation
  • 11. “The factory of the future will have only two employees, a man and a dog. The man will be there to feed the dog. The dog will be there to keep the man from touching the equipment.Warren Bennis American scholar, organizational consultant and author,
  • 13. 97 % of population in groups with flat or falling market income, 2005−141 Both the extent of flat or falling incomes and the forces driving the phenomenon vary considerably among countries. AGGREGATE DEMAND Although the global recession was the most important factor, median household incomes were also affected by long-run trends. 170M–210M540M–580M <10 MILLION<10 MILLION DISPOSABLE INCOMEMARKET INCOME of households in advanced economies, on average, were in income segments whose incomes in 2014 were flat or down compared with 2005.1 65–70% 65–70% <2% 2005–14 1993–2005 PEOPLE WITH FLAT OR FALLING INCOME The population with flat or falling incomes has surged in advanced economies a new look at INCOME INEQUALITYFLAT OR FALLING 65–70% of people in 25 advanced countries saw no increase in their earnings between 2005 and 2014 Research by the McKinsey Global Institute
  • 14. 14
  • 15. Who will be buying products & services?
  • 17. WORLD POPULATION billion 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 partspermillion 2 3 3 3 3
  • 18. 18Motor vehicles Species extinct Average surface temperature northern hemisphere population Co2 concentration GDP Water use Fisheries exploited Foreign investments Paper consumption Ozone depletion The world Resource consumption growth New Scientist, 2008 loss of tropical rainforest & woodland
  • 19. 2000 CARBON DIOXIDE (CO2) partspermillion 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 270 300 330 360 390
  • 20. WE ARE THE FIRST GENERAT ION TO FEEL THE EFFECT OF CLIMAT E CHANGE……….. AND THE LAST GENERAT ION TO DO SOMETHING ABOUT IT! PRESIDENT OBAMA
  • 22. IT’S NOT JUST POLAR BEARS, CORAL REEFS AND THE RAINFOREST UNDER THREAT. KAISA KOSOSONEN, GREEN PEACE IT IS US !
  • 24. Is this the future we long for ?
  • 25. The global shifting context Towards a new paradigm What can HR do ?
  • 26.
  • 28. “ Peter Diamandis engineer, physician and entrepreneur founder of the X Prize Foundation, co-founder Singularity University We are racing toward a world of abundance, and we are going to be increasing the quality of life for everyone on this planet. The world's biggest problems are the world's biggest business opportunities.
  • 30. “Een economie gebaseerd op groei en consumptie ten koste van de aarde en haar inwoners is niet langer houdbaar.Herman Wijffels Nederlandse econoom Hoogleraar 'duurzaamheid en maatschappelijke verandering' aan de Universiteit Utrecht.
  • 31. “Neoliberalism is broken………..… We are in a long transition beyond capitalism Paul Mason is an English journalist and broadcaster.
  • 32. “We live in a time of massive institutional failure, collectively creating results that nobody wants. Otto Scharmer American economist, senior lecturer at MIT, Boston
  • 33. “ Growth has become the enemy of prosperity Douglas Rushkoff American media theorist, writer, columnist, lecturer, graphic novelist, and documentarian
  • 34. “We have created an economy build on the wrong values and are now running it on a digital platform And the whole thing is spinning out of control Douglas Rushkoff American media theorist, writer, columnist, lecturer, graphic novelist, and documentarian
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38. “De economisering van onze begeerte Victor broers public thinker, speaker and writer
  • 39. 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1771 1801 1831 1861 1891 1921 1951 1981 2011 2041 2071 2nd 1870 electrical energy mass production 3rd 1784 electronics & IT http 4th today artificial intelligence robotics 1st 1784 mechanical production steam power energy The next industrial RevolutionNeoliberal capitalistic paradigm The feudal System end of the enlightenment Neoliberal capitalism -At the expense of people and our planet -The creation of profit & shareholders value above all else
  • 40. push the transition towards a new model of abundance do nothing EFFICIENCY & COMPLEXITY TIME You are now here Laszlo’s Evolutionary transformation of social systems
  • 41.
  • 42. “ The future can not be created based upon blind optimism Gerd Leonhard Author and futurist
  • 43.
  • 44. 1771 1801 1831 1861 1891 1921 1951 1981 2011 2041 2071 The next industrial Revolution 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2nd 1870 electrical energy mass production 3rd 1971 electronics & IT http 4th today artificial intelligence robotics 1st 1784 mechanical production steam power energy Neoliberal capitalistic paradigm The feudal System Neoliberal capitalism Capitalism end of the enlightenment
  • 45.
  • 46. The period between the old and the new
  • 47. “How can we use the power of business to to create a future we all want? Elfried Klarenbeek World citizen
  • 48. 1.897 Corporations   50 Countries   130 Industries   1 Unifying Goal
  • 50.
  • 51. A better phone is a phone made better www.fairphone.com
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 54. The global shifting context Towards a new paradigm What can HR do ?
  • 55. “ Tony Robbins #1 New York Times best-selling author, life and business strategist, philanthropist, entrepreneur The resources we need to turn our dreams into reality are within us, merely waiting for the day when we decide to wake up.