16. Design Thinking | Worth
Is it worth it Analysis?
Details Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Sales Revenue ‐ B2B for Content Creation 12.95 14.95 17.27
Sales Revenue ‐ B2B for Hosting Services 1.30 1.70 2.42
Sales Revenue ‐ B2C 11.10 13.98 17.61
Total Revenue (Cash Inflow) 24.04 28.93 34.89
Business Set‐up Cost 1.00
Capital Cost of Content Creation Equipment 0.47 1.55 0.78 1.24
Application & Platform Development Cost 0.80
Total CapEx (Cash Outflow) 2.27 1.55 0.78 1.24
Annual Cost for Cloud Platform Services 0.20 0.22 0.24
Market Launch 1.00 1.00
Marketing Expenses 0.25 0.25
Content Creation Cost 6.55 9.61 14.25
Creative Team Salaries 1.37 2.01 2.09
Sales & Marketing Salaries 0.42 0.52 0.64
IT Support Team Salaries 0.30 0.37 0.46
General & Admin Salaries 0.14 0.18 0.22
Other Operating Expenses 0.50 0.62 0.76
Total OpEx (Cash Outflow) 1.00 10.49 13.77 18.92
Total Cash Outflow 3.27 12.04 14.54 20.16
Net Cash Flow ‐3.27 12.01 14.39 14.73
Period Present Value (@ 8% discount rate) ‐3.02 10.29 11.42 10.82
Net Present Value 29.52
Values in million US Dollars $ mn
Investment will payback within first year
Worst
Cast
Base
Case
Best
Case
NPV @ 8% discount rate 0.13 29.52 60.53
Market Size Projection
Base Projection Worst Base Best
B2B
No. of Govt Tourism Development Bodies 196
No of Airlines 1,096
No of Major Hotel Chains 45,500
Others 5,000
Total 51,792
Market Size (Expected to Opt for VT) 10.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0%
Expected Market Share in first year 5.0% 3.0% 5.0% 7.0%
Market Share (No. of B2B customers) in first year 259
B2C
World' Population 110,000,000,000
Business & Other Category Persons Targeted for Virtual Tourism 0.05% 0.04% 0.05% 0.06%
People with disabilities 190,000,000
Target Market Size of Disabled persons for Virtual Tourism 0.25% 0.20% 0.25% 0.30%
Market Size 55,475,000
Expected Market Share in first year 2.00% 1.00% 2.00% 2.50%
Market Share (No. of B2C customers) in first year 1,109,500
Is it Worth ? : Net Present Value is positive. The Project is worth Pursuing
Break‐Even
The Market Size Considering B2B and B2C is big. The Discount Rate at 8% is considered high
since there are risks involved in the initial market traction. The Total Revenue at end of Year
1 is 24.04 Million USD. The Total CAPEX is 2.27 Million USD. The Break Even happens within
the 1st Year. Net Present Value is 29.52 Million USD. Uncertainty involved as considered in
Worst and Base cases.