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How can research reveal the science underlying
health informatics ?
So we can make HI more professional - like building bridges
Prof Jeremy Wyatt DM FRCP ACMI Fellow
Leadership chair in eHealth research, University of Leeds, UK
Clinical adviser on new technologies, Royal College of Physicians
From 1/1/16: Director, Wessex Institute of Health, University of
Southampton
j.c.wyatt@leeds.ac.uk
Some tough questions
1. Why are usable EPRs so hard to engineer ?
2. Why do one third of CDSS trials fail (Garg 2005) – when
those CDSS must be very well engineered for an RCT ?
3. How can an ePrescribing system cause so much harm ?
(Koppel, JAMA 2005)
A clue: why don’t bridges fall down nowadays:
a) There is a science of materials and construction methods
b) Engineers are professionals: they learn the science &
keep up to date
Tay Bridge disaster, 1879
Is HI / eHealth a “professional”
discipline yet ?
Evolution of professionalism:
• Intuition – a craft
• Mapping, taxonomy – a trade
• Testing of predictive theories - research
• Reliable engineering based on this – a profession
Heathfield H, Wyatt JC. Methods Inf Med, 1995
For HI:
1960-70s
1980-1990s
2000-2020
2020 on ?
What kinds of theories are relevant
in eH / HI ?
User 2
Health information
system
Decision
Improved behaviour
& outcome
User 1
Theories of communication
Theories of information retrieval
Theories of decision making
Behaviour change theories
(personal / organisational)
Consider a simple eHealth system: an internet forum to support
smoking cessation
How to carry out theory-based
eHealth research
Identify a promising theory
Identify a common, important
eHealth problem
Version of information system
that ignores the theory
Incorporate this theory
into an information system
Measure
usage & impact
of both systems
Analyse problem characteristics
and possible solutions
New knowledge about the
problem - and the theory
Literature review,
systematic review
Example 1: Does Fogg’s theory help website
persuade people to donate organs for transplant?
Persuasive features:
1. URL includes https, dundee.ac.uk
2. University Logo
3. No advertising
4. References
5. Address & contact details
6. Privacy Statement
7. Articles all dated
8. Site certified (W3C / Health on Net)
Work of Thomas Nind,
PhD Student, Dundee
Example 2: does feedback on group
performance increase exercise ?
RCT with 32 students: all sent us daily txt msg of step count
Half (“Team B”) got weekly feedback on total step count of
“their” group vs control group
Modest support for “group obligation” theory
Control (team A)
Intervention (team B)
Work of Sam Dhesi,
Medical Student, Leeds
Intervention modelling
experiments
Aim: to optimise the intervention before an RCT
Example methods:
• Attitude surveys
• Focus groups
• Formal usability studies
• Log file analysis
• Eye tracking studies
• Neuromarketing methods
• Simulated decision studies
Example 3: How to improve the
acceptability of prescribing alerts?
DSS are effective tools to improve prescribing (Garg
2005)
However, GPs usually turn off their prescribing alerts,
because:
• Too many alerts – no grading by severity
• False positives: poor knowledge base, poorly coded data
Question:
• Can we improve acceptability of alerts while still
reducing prescribing errors ?
Work of Greg Scott, ACF, London funded by NPfIT
Potential ways to improve
clinical alerts
Alert content:
• Wording – signal words (“Warning !”)
• Other material: symbols – alert triangles etc.
• Clickable list of actions to perform
Alert accuracy:
• Improve completeness, quality of coded patient data
• Improve completeness, quality of drug knowledge
• Improve underlying alert logic eg. calculate event probability
How the alert appears on screen:
• Location, size
• Persistence
Interruptive alert
Non-interruptive alert
Summary of results
Modal alerts: participants 12X (95% CI 6.0 to 22.3) less likely to make prescribing
error than when not shown any alert
Non-modal alert: 3 times (CI 1.9 to 5.3) less likely to make prescribing error
Non-modal alert error rate 4 times higher (CI 1.9 to 7.0) than with modal alerts
“Safe” Dr = 0 or 1 error out of 24 scenarios
Some participant comments
“When you are in a rush, the one that pops up is better –
forces you to click on OK”
“Pop-ups make you think more as you do it”
“[I prefer] interruptive – likely to miss otherwise. But
recognise the problems, irritating in daily use.”
“Interruptive tend to be annoying. But if it’s something you
don’t want to miss…”
“Difficult to say what deserves one type or other of alert”
“Didn’t notice it”
Published as: Scott et al JAMIA 2011
The MOST SMART approach
MOST: multiphase optimisation (of complex
interventions):
1. Screen intervention components for effectiveness (lab expts
on simulated decisions, RCTs, full / fractional ANOVA…)
2. Fine tune the combination of intervention components using
SMART, qv.
3. Standard RCT to confirm effectiveness
SMART: sequential multiple assignment randomised
trial (of time-varying interventions):
• Randomise participants at each stage to competing
interventions, as suggested by theory
• Collins et al. Am J rev Med 2007
SMART: example for an
exercise SMS programme
Assess stage
of change
(Prochaska)
-ve / +ve framed
msgs
Positive framed
msgs better for
relapsers ?
Own name
or not
Own name
annoying after
a while ?
Individual /
aggregate team
feedback
Risk of
everyone
matching lowest
performer in
group ?
Theories tested:
What is eHealth research
really for ?
Relevant theory
Rigorous research
Generic, reliable,
actionable knowledge
Safer, more reliable
eHealth tools
Publication,
dissemination
Health
problem
Benefits of building the
eHealth “theory base”
• No more trial and error or re-invention of ad hoc systems
that seemed sensible at the time
• eHealth will evolve from an intuitive craft (reliant on
experts and apprenticeship) into a professional discipline,
making its decisions based on tested theories
• Systems will be safe, efficient & predictable (like bridges)
• No need to evaluate every version of every app / website
/ serious game...
Conclusions
1. Professionalism requires sound theories
2. eHealth research should test theories from
information, cognitive, organisational and
computer science
3. Suggested procedure:
• Define a question of generic importance to our field
• Identify a candidate theory, relevant eHealth case
study & potential biases
• Select the best evaluation method to test the theory
• Carry out the study
4. Promote the results to students and eH
practitioners
Even a tablet is a complex
intervention
Doctor / nurse /
pharmacist instructions
Leaflet insert
Packaging
Colour of the pills
Monitoring of drug levels, response to therapy
Pt expectations
Clinician
expectations
Experience of others
eHealth mechanism of action
22/39
Clinical eHealth
system
eHealth system
Clinician
Outcome
Patientt1
action Disease
activityt1
Patientt2
Disease
activityt2
Patient eHealth
system
Decision
interval
t2-t1
ii
data collection bias
placebo effectcontamination,
checklist effect
TIDieR intervention reporting checklist
Hoffmann et al. Template for Intervention Description and Replication
(TIDieR) checklist and guide. BMJ 2014
23/39
BRIEF NAME - name or a phrase that describes the intervention.
WHY Describe any rationale, theory, or goal of the elements essential to the intervention.
WHAT: Materials: Describe any physical or information materials used, including those provided to participants or
used in intervention delivery or in training of intervention providers. Provide information on where the materials can
be accessed (e.g. online appendix, URL).
Procedures: Describe each procedure activity, and/or process used in the intervention, including any enabling or
support activities.
WHO PROVIDED For each category of intervention provider (e.g. psychologist, nursing assistant), describe their
expertise, background and any specific training given.
HOW Describe the modes of delivery (e.g. face-to-face or by some other mechanism, such as internet or
telephone) of the intervention and whether it was provided individually or in a group.
WHERE Describe the type(s) of location(s) where the intervention occurred, including any necessary infrastructure
or relevant features.
WHEN and HOW MUCH Describe the number of times the intervention was delivered and over what period of time
including the number of sessions, their schedule, and their duration, intensity or dose.
TAILORING If intervention was planned to be personalised / adapted, then describe what, why, when, and how.
MODIFICATIONS If the intervention was modified during the course of the study, describe the changes (what, why,
when, and how).
HOW WELL:
Planned: If intervention adherence or fidelity was assessed, describe how and by whom, and if any strategies were
used to maintain or improve fidelity, describe them.
Actual: If intervention adherence or fidelity was assessed, describe the extent to which the intervention was
delivered as planned.
Cross disciplinary research
Chindogu device for restarting your PC
Neuromarketing – a food industry
example
Theory: for behaviour, emotion > information (Kahneman’s System 1)
Methods: FMRI; EDA; facial EMG; web-cam facial expression recognition
Study aim & methods
Aim: to help develop more effective SMS msgs for health
promotion, by:
• Developing a reliable methods to capture EDA, facial EMG
• Validate it against words & phrases of known emotional import
• Use it to test & improve new phrases and txt msgs before an RCT
Methods - 40 volunteers:
• Measure EDA and facial EMG
• Exposed to 20 words of known emotional import, 5 words about
exercise, 5 nonsense words & their own name in random order
Work of Gabriel Mata, Leeds PhD student funded by CONACYT, Mexico
Methods
Results
hysineral
moofthrist
fim
napsate
retrating
kiss
sexy
explosion
hysterical
killer
nightmare
music
family
clown
news
infection
funeralpillow
relax
table
nunbored
pale
you today
activity
exercisephysical
[NAME]
-0.04000000
-0.02000000
0.00000000
0.02000000
0.04000000
0.06000000
0.08000000
1 6 11 16 21 26
reactivityinµS
word
EDA reactivity

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1115 wyatt wheres the science in hi for christchurch nz oct 2015

  • 1. How can research reveal the science underlying health informatics ? So we can make HI more professional - like building bridges Prof Jeremy Wyatt DM FRCP ACMI Fellow Leadership chair in eHealth research, University of Leeds, UK Clinical adviser on new technologies, Royal College of Physicians From 1/1/16: Director, Wessex Institute of Health, University of Southampton j.c.wyatt@leeds.ac.uk
  • 2. Some tough questions 1. Why are usable EPRs so hard to engineer ? 2. Why do one third of CDSS trials fail (Garg 2005) – when those CDSS must be very well engineered for an RCT ? 3. How can an ePrescribing system cause so much harm ? (Koppel, JAMA 2005) A clue: why don’t bridges fall down nowadays: a) There is a science of materials and construction methods b) Engineers are professionals: they learn the science & keep up to date Tay Bridge disaster, 1879
  • 3. Is HI / eHealth a “professional” discipline yet ? Evolution of professionalism: • Intuition – a craft • Mapping, taxonomy – a trade • Testing of predictive theories - research • Reliable engineering based on this – a profession Heathfield H, Wyatt JC. Methods Inf Med, 1995 For HI: 1960-70s 1980-1990s 2000-2020 2020 on ?
  • 4. What kinds of theories are relevant in eH / HI ? User 2 Health information system Decision Improved behaviour & outcome User 1 Theories of communication Theories of information retrieval Theories of decision making Behaviour change theories (personal / organisational) Consider a simple eHealth system: an internet forum to support smoking cessation
  • 5. How to carry out theory-based eHealth research Identify a promising theory Identify a common, important eHealth problem Version of information system that ignores the theory Incorporate this theory into an information system Measure usage & impact of both systems Analyse problem characteristics and possible solutions New knowledge about the problem - and the theory Literature review, systematic review
  • 6. Example 1: Does Fogg’s theory help website persuade people to donate organs for transplant? Persuasive features: 1. URL includes https, dundee.ac.uk 2. University Logo 3. No advertising 4. References 5. Address & contact details 6. Privacy Statement 7. Articles all dated 8. Site certified (W3C / Health on Net) Work of Thomas Nind, PhD Student, Dundee
  • 7. Example 2: does feedback on group performance increase exercise ? RCT with 32 students: all sent us daily txt msg of step count Half (“Team B”) got weekly feedback on total step count of “their” group vs control group Modest support for “group obligation” theory Control (team A) Intervention (team B) Work of Sam Dhesi, Medical Student, Leeds
  • 8. Intervention modelling experiments Aim: to optimise the intervention before an RCT Example methods: • Attitude surveys • Focus groups • Formal usability studies • Log file analysis • Eye tracking studies • Neuromarketing methods • Simulated decision studies
  • 9. Example 3: How to improve the acceptability of prescribing alerts? DSS are effective tools to improve prescribing (Garg 2005) However, GPs usually turn off their prescribing alerts, because: • Too many alerts – no grading by severity • False positives: poor knowledge base, poorly coded data Question: • Can we improve acceptability of alerts while still reducing prescribing errors ? Work of Greg Scott, ACF, London funded by NPfIT
  • 10. Potential ways to improve clinical alerts Alert content: • Wording – signal words (“Warning !”) • Other material: symbols – alert triangles etc. • Clickable list of actions to perform Alert accuracy: • Improve completeness, quality of coded patient data • Improve completeness, quality of drug knowledge • Improve underlying alert logic eg. calculate event probability How the alert appears on screen: • Location, size • Persistence
  • 13. Summary of results Modal alerts: participants 12X (95% CI 6.0 to 22.3) less likely to make prescribing error than when not shown any alert Non-modal alert: 3 times (CI 1.9 to 5.3) less likely to make prescribing error Non-modal alert error rate 4 times higher (CI 1.9 to 7.0) than with modal alerts “Safe” Dr = 0 or 1 error out of 24 scenarios
  • 14. Some participant comments “When you are in a rush, the one that pops up is better – forces you to click on OK” “Pop-ups make you think more as you do it” “[I prefer] interruptive – likely to miss otherwise. But recognise the problems, irritating in daily use.” “Interruptive tend to be annoying. But if it’s something you don’t want to miss…” “Difficult to say what deserves one type or other of alert” “Didn’t notice it” Published as: Scott et al JAMIA 2011
  • 15. The MOST SMART approach MOST: multiphase optimisation (of complex interventions): 1. Screen intervention components for effectiveness (lab expts on simulated decisions, RCTs, full / fractional ANOVA…) 2. Fine tune the combination of intervention components using SMART, qv. 3. Standard RCT to confirm effectiveness SMART: sequential multiple assignment randomised trial (of time-varying interventions): • Randomise participants at each stage to competing interventions, as suggested by theory • Collins et al. Am J rev Med 2007
  • 16. SMART: example for an exercise SMS programme Assess stage of change (Prochaska) -ve / +ve framed msgs Positive framed msgs better for relapsers ? Own name or not Own name annoying after a while ? Individual / aggregate team feedback Risk of everyone matching lowest performer in group ? Theories tested:
  • 17. What is eHealth research really for ? Relevant theory Rigorous research Generic, reliable, actionable knowledge Safer, more reliable eHealth tools Publication, dissemination Health problem
  • 18. Benefits of building the eHealth “theory base” • No more trial and error or re-invention of ad hoc systems that seemed sensible at the time • eHealth will evolve from an intuitive craft (reliant on experts and apprenticeship) into a professional discipline, making its decisions based on tested theories • Systems will be safe, efficient & predictable (like bridges) • No need to evaluate every version of every app / website / serious game...
  • 19. Conclusions 1. Professionalism requires sound theories 2. eHealth research should test theories from information, cognitive, organisational and computer science 3. Suggested procedure: • Define a question of generic importance to our field • Identify a candidate theory, relevant eHealth case study & potential biases • Select the best evaluation method to test the theory • Carry out the study 4. Promote the results to students and eH practitioners
  • 20.
  • 21. Even a tablet is a complex intervention Doctor / nurse / pharmacist instructions Leaflet insert Packaging Colour of the pills Monitoring of drug levels, response to therapy Pt expectations Clinician expectations Experience of others
  • 22. eHealth mechanism of action 22/39 Clinical eHealth system eHealth system Clinician Outcome Patientt1 action Disease activityt1 Patientt2 Disease activityt2 Patient eHealth system Decision interval t2-t1 ii data collection bias placebo effectcontamination, checklist effect
  • 23. TIDieR intervention reporting checklist Hoffmann et al. Template for Intervention Description and Replication (TIDieR) checklist and guide. BMJ 2014 23/39 BRIEF NAME - name or a phrase that describes the intervention. WHY Describe any rationale, theory, or goal of the elements essential to the intervention. WHAT: Materials: Describe any physical or information materials used, including those provided to participants or used in intervention delivery or in training of intervention providers. Provide information on where the materials can be accessed (e.g. online appendix, URL). Procedures: Describe each procedure activity, and/or process used in the intervention, including any enabling or support activities. WHO PROVIDED For each category of intervention provider (e.g. psychologist, nursing assistant), describe their expertise, background and any specific training given. HOW Describe the modes of delivery (e.g. face-to-face or by some other mechanism, such as internet or telephone) of the intervention and whether it was provided individually or in a group. WHERE Describe the type(s) of location(s) where the intervention occurred, including any necessary infrastructure or relevant features. WHEN and HOW MUCH Describe the number of times the intervention was delivered and over what period of time including the number of sessions, their schedule, and their duration, intensity or dose. TAILORING If intervention was planned to be personalised / adapted, then describe what, why, when, and how. MODIFICATIONS If the intervention was modified during the course of the study, describe the changes (what, why, when, and how). HOW WELL: Planned: If intervention adherence or fidelity was assessed, describe how and by whom, and if any strategies were used to maintain or improve fidelity, describe them. Actual: If intervention adherence or fidelity was assessed, describe the extent to which the intervention was delivered as planned.
  • 24. Cross disciplinary research Chindogu device for restarting your PC
  • 25. Neuromarketing – a food industry example Theory: for behaviour, emotion > information (Kahneman’s System 1) Methods: FMRI; EDA; facial EMG; web-cam facial expression recognition
  • 26. Study aim & methods Aim: to help develop more effective SMS msgs for health promotion, by: • Developing a reliable methods to capture EDA, facial EMG • Validate it against words & phrases of known emotional import • Use it to test & improve new phrases and txt msgs before an RCT Methods - 40 volunteers: • Measure EDA and facial EMG • Exposed to 20 words of known emotional import, 5 words about exercise, 5 nonsense words & their own name in random order Work of Gabriel Mata, Leeds PhD student funded by CONACYT, Mexico

Editor's Notes

  1. Example of an interruptive alert
  2. Example of a non-interruptive alert for the same error
  3. In HC we sometimes abuse technology, with serious consequences Technologists sometimes misunderstand our problems – Japanese art of Chindogu Sometimes it feels like doctors & technologists inhabit 2 worlds - Maurits Escher – one neat & tidy, the other a bit more real… and I often seem to be the bridge between the two
  4. Gabriel Mata’s research project will explore the role of SMS and related communication tools to address obesity in less developed countries. Supported by Mexican govt. National Council for Science & Technology In 2010 OECD declared Mexico as the worst affected country, with 30% of population obese and 70% overweight. May be hangover from 1970s Mexican govt campaign against malnutrition – told parents to give their children eggs, beans & corn tortillas every day ! Various actions started to alleviate the problem in children and young people. Portable devices very important in Mexican life and could form the basis the foundation of an "mHealth" approach. Principal Research Fellow at IDH Thomas Nichols - Head of Neuroimaging Statistics at Applied Neuroimaging Lab – advisor on use of FMRI as a tool to pilot test & refine the health promotion messages – “neuro marketing” used by Campbell's soup etc. - swords to plough shares ! Charles Hutchinson prof Med Imaging also involved.