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Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 94, No. 2, pp. 591–597, April 2004
Estimating V¢s(30) (or NEHRP Site Classes) from Shallow Velocity Models
(Depths Ͻ 30 m)
by David M. Boore
Abstract The average velocity to 30 m [V¢s(30)] is a widely used parameter for
classifying sites to predict their potential to amplify seismic shaking. In many cases,
however, models of shallow shear-wave velocities, from which V¢s(30) can be com-
puted, do not extend to 30 m. If the data for these cases are to be used, some method
of extrapolating the velocities must be devised. Four methods for doing this are
described here and are illustrated using data from 135 boreholes in California for
which the velocity model extends to at least 30 m. Methods using correlations be-
tween shallow velocity and V¢s(30) result in significantly less bias for shallow models
than the simplest method of assuming that the lowermost velocity extends to 30 m.
In addition, for all methods the percent of sites misclassified is generally less than
10% and falls to negligible values for velocity models extending to at least 25 m.
Although the methods using correlations do a better job on average of estimating
V¢s(30), the simplest method will generally result in a lower value of V¢s(30) and thus
yield a more conservative estimate of ground motion [which generally increases as
V¢s(30) decreases].
Introduction
The average shear-wave velocity of the top 30 m of the
Earth [V¢s(30), which is computed by dividing 30 m by the
travel time from the surface to 30 m] is an important param-
eter used in classifying sites in recent building codes (e.g.,
Dobry et al., 2000; BSSC, 2001) and in loss estimation. The
site classes estimated from shallow shear-wave velocity
models are also important in deriving strong-motion predic-
tion equations (e.g., Boore et al., 1997), in construction of
maps of National Earthquake Hazard Reduction Program
(NEHRP) site classes (e.g., Wills et al., 2000), and in appli-
cations of building codes to specific sites. Many measure-
ments of near-surface shear-wave velocity, however, do not
reach 30 m. For example, with one exception the shear-wave
velocities at the Kyoshin Network (K-NET) stations in Japan
(data source: www.k-net.bosai.go.jp/) are between 10 and
20 m (the one exception is K-NET station AKT019, with a
depth to bottom of 5.04 m). Another example comes from a
recent compilation of shear-wave velocities from 277 bore-
holes in California, more than half (142) of which are shal-
lower than 30 m (Boore, 2003). A histogram of the depth to
the deepest measurement for boreholes in that compilation
is given in Figure 1, from which it can be seen that most of
the shallow holes were drilled and logged before 1990. Al-
though most of the holes are near 30 m, 31 have values less
than 25 m. A third example is seismic cone penetrometer
measurements made in the Oakland–Alameda area of Cali-
fornia (Holzer et al., 2002, 2004), where 193 out of 202
soundings are less than 30 m, with 146 of these being less
than 20 m.
This note compares several ways of estimating V¢s(30)
from velocity models that do not reach 30 m (the models
could be determined from either invasive or noninvasive
methods). The simplest method assumes that the lowermost
velocity of the model extends to 30 m; the other methods
use correlations of shallow velocities and V¢s(30).
Methods of Extrapolation
In the methods discussed here, a key quantity is the
time-averaged velocity V¢s(d) to a depth d. Generally d is the
depth to the bottom of the velocity model, which is not nec-
essarily the depth to the bottom of the borehole or the depth
of the deepest measurement in a borehole if the velocity
model was determined from borehole logging. I refrain from
using the phrase “depth to bottom of borehole,” which is
meaningless for velocity models determined from noninva-
sive methods. The time-averaged velocity is computed from
the equation
¢V (d) ‫ס‬ d/tt(d), (1)s
where the travel time tt(d) to depth d is given by
d
dz
tt(d) ‫ס‬ . (2)Ύ0 V (z)s
592 D. M. Boore
Table 1
Definition of NEHRP Site Classes in Terms of V¢s(30), the
Average Shear-Wave Velocity to 30 m
Site class Range of V¢s(30) (m/sec)
A 1500 Ͻ V¢s(30)
B 760 Ͻ V¢s(30) Յ 1500
C 360 Ͻ V¢s(30) Յ 760
D 180 Յ V¢s(30) Յ 360
E V¢s(30) Ͻ 180
Constructed from information in BSSC, 2001.
0 200 400 600 800
B
C
D
E
Vs (d)
NEHRPClass
Figure 2. An example of NEHRP class as a func-
tion of V¢s(d) for 135 boreholes. In this example,
d ‫ס‬ 16 m.
In equation (2), Vs(z) is the depth-dependent velocity model.
NEHRP classes are determined by V¢s(30), as indicated in
Table 1. The purpose of this note is to investigate ways of
approximating V¢s(30) if d Ͻ 30 m. If all that is desired is
the NEHRP class, a simple method is to use correlations be-
tween the NEHRP class and V¢s(d). I studied the correlation
from the 135 California boreholes that extended to at least
30 m, for various assumed depths, and found that there was
some overlap in site class for a given value of V¢s(d) (an
example is shown in Fig. 2). For this reason, and because
V¢s(30) is useful as a continuous parameter for characterizing
site response in regression equations (e.g., Boore et al.,
1997), I investigate here some methods that make more use
of the travel-time information from boreholes.
Extrapolation Assuming Constant Velocity
If the velocity model is available only to depth d, an
assumption about the velocity between d and 30 m can be
used to compute an estimate of V¢s(30) using the following
equation:
¢V (30) ‫ס‬ 30/(tt(d) ‫ם‬ (30 ‫מ‬ d)/V ), (3)s eff
where Veff is the assumed effective velocity from depth d to
30 m. The simplest assumption is that Veff equals the velocity
at the bottom of the velocity model:
V ‫ס‬ V (d). (4)eff s
Because the velocity in general increases with depth for both
geological and geotechnical reasons, however, this method
for determining Veff will usually lead to an underestimate of
V¢s(30) and therefore to site classes that may be biased toward
larger letter values (the problem should be worse the shal-
lower the model). This drawback to the simplest method led
to the methods described next.
Extrapolation Using the Correlation between
V¢s(30) and V¢s(d)
Another method uses the correlation between V¢s(30) and
V¢s(d). Using the same set of 135 boreholes for which the
actual depths reached or exceeded 30 m, I found that plots
of V¢s(30) against V¢s(d) for a series of assumed depths d could
be fit by a straight line. The scatter in these plots, however,
increased with V¢s(d). For this reason, a power-law relation
between V¢s(30) and V¢s(d) was assumed, for which a straight
line can be fit to the logarithms of the quantities. Figure 3
shows examples for four assumed depths. The correlation is
20 40 60 80 100
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Depth to Bottom (m)
NumberofBoreholes
all boreholes
boreholes post 1989
7743
Figure 1. Distribution of the depths to the bottom
of boreholes from California tabulated by Boore
(2003). Note that most of the holes have depths near
30 m (the two highest bars have been capped so as to
show better the distribution of other depths; the num-
bers indicate the height of the bars).
Estimating V¢s(30) (or NEHRP Site Classes) from Shallow Velocity Models (Depths Ͻ 30 m) 593
1.8 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3
logVs(30)
0.0422+1.029*x^1
d = 10 m
2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8
0.0140 +1.024*x^1
d = 16 m
2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3
log Vs(d)
logVs(30)
0.0269 +1.004*x^1
d = 22 m
2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8
log Vs(d)
7.874e-4 +1.003*x^1
d = 28 m
E
D
C
B
3
3
Figure 3. Fit of straight line to log V¢s(30) as a function of log V¢s(d), for d ‫ס‬ 10,
16, 22, and 28 m. Velocities in meter per second. The gray lines show the boundaries
between NEHRP site classes; the classes are shown in the lower right-hand graph.
good, even for the shallowest depth considered here (10 m).
Table 2 gives the regression coefficients for the equation
¢ ¢log V (30) ‫ס‬ a ‫ם‬ b log V (d) (5)s s
for depths ranging from 10 to 29 m. The velocity at the
bottom of the model [Vs(d)] rather than the average velocity
V¢s(d) was also considered as the predictor variable, but the
scatter was worse. Vs(d) has the advantage, however, that it
can be used if shallower parts of the velocity model are miss-
ing, as is often the case with suspension log results; I discuss
later a method for determining NEHRP class that uses Vs(d).
Equation (5) was used in two ways to determine V¢s(30)
and thus NEHRP class. The first was simply to insert the
value of V¢s(d) computed from the velocity model into equa-
tion (5). A second, somewhat more elaborate method used
an estimate of log V¢s(30) randomly drawn from a Gaussian
distribution with mean given by equation (5) and standard
deviation given in Table 2 (the contribution to the variance
due to uncertainty in the slope of the line is insignificant).
Extrapolation Based on Velocity Statistics to
Determine Site Class
Another way to account for the general increase of ve-
locity in a statistical way is discussed briefly in the appendix
to Atkinson and Boore (2003) and is elaborated on here. For
each borehole, I computed the ratio of Vs(d) to the effective
velocity (Veff) needed to raise the site class to the next stiffer
class than given by the simple extrapolation using equations
(3) and (4), for a series of depths ranging in 1-m increments
from 10 to 29 m. For each depth, the values of Veff/Vs(d)
were tabulated in increments of 0.1 units, starting from 0.4,
594 D. M. Boore
Table 2
Coefficients of the Equation log V¢s(30) ‫ס‬ a ‫ם‬ b logV¢s(d)
d a b r
10 4.2062E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0292E ‫ם‬ 00 7.1260E ‫מ‬ 02
11 2.2140E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0341E ‫ם‬ 00 6.4722E ‫מ‬ 02
12 1.2571E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0352E ‫ם‬ 00 5.9353E ‫מ‬ 02
13 1.4186E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0318E ‫ם‬ 00 5.4754E ‫מ‬ 02
14 1.2300E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0297E ‫ם‬ 00 5.0086E ‫מ‬ 02
15 1.3795E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0263E ‫ם‬ 00 4.5925E ‫מ‬ 02
16 1.3893E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0237E ‫ם‬ 00 4.2219E ‫מ‬ 02
17 1.9565E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0190E ‫ם‬ 00 3.9422E ‫מ‬ 02
18 2.4879E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0144E ‫ם‬ 00 3.6365E ‫מ‬ 02
19 2.5614E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0117E ‫ם‬ 00 3.3233E ‫מ‬ 02
20 2.5439E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0095E ‫ם‬ 00 3.0181E ‫מ‬ 02
21 2.5311E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0072E ‫ם‬ 00 2.7001E ‫מ‬ 02
22 2.6900E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0044E ‫ם‬ 00 2.4087E ‫מ‬ 02
23 2.2207E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0042E ‫ם‬ 00 2.0826E ‫מ‬ 02
24 1.6891E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0043E ‫ם‬ 00 1.7676E ‫מ‬ 02
25 1.1483E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0045E ‫ם‬ 00 1.4691E ‫מ‬ 02
26 6.5646E ‫מ‬ 03 1.0045E ‫ם‬ 00 1.1452E ‫מ‬ 02
27 2.5190E ‫מ‬ 03 1.0043E ‫ם‬ 00 8.3871E ‫מ‬ 03
28 7.7322E ‫מ‬ 04 1.0031E ‫ם‬ 00 5.5264E ‫מ‬ 03
29 4.3143E ‫מ‬ 04 1.0015E ‫ם‬ 00 2.7355E ‫מ‬ 03
r is the standard deviation of the residuals about the fitted line; velocities
in meters per second.
and a complementary cumulative distribution in terms of
percent (with a maximum value of 100) was computed and
plotted. A power law of the form
b
P(n Ͼ V /V (d)) ‫ס‬ a(V /V (d)) (6)eff s eff s
was then fit to the empirical distribution in a selected range
of Veff/Vs(d). A variety of functions were tried, but the power
law was simple and gave a good fit in most cases. Where
the power law failed to provide a good fit [usually at small
values of Veff/Vs(d) and deeper depths], P was given a value
of 100 for arguments less than a subjectively chosen value.
Figure 4 gives four examples of the fit at selected depths,
and Table 3 gives values of the coefficients for all depths
considered.
Equation (6) gives the probability P(n Ͼ Veff/Vs(d)) of
exceeding Veff/Vs(d) and can be used to decide if the site
class should be changed, following this procedure:
1. Compute a provisional site class based on the simple ex-
trapolation (equations 3 and 4).
2. Use equation (3) to solve for the Veff/Vs(d) needed to
move to the next stiffer site class (softer site classes are
not considered because in only a few cases from the set
of 135 boreholes would the site class actually become
softer; this example may not be universally applicable,
for there may be regions in which velocities might gen-
erally decrease with depth in the upper tens of meters).
3. Evaluate equation (6) for this value of Veff/Vs(d) (paying
attention to the values below which P is taken to be 100;
see Table 3). If P equals 100, then the provisional site
class is changed.
4. If P from the previous step does not equal 100, then a
random number r uniformly distributed between 0 and
100 is generated. If r Յ P, then the provisional site class
is changed to the next stiffer class (e.g., D to C), and if
r Ͼ P the class is set to the provisional site class (no
change in class). If the procedure is applied many times,
this step guarantees that the number of class changes will
agree with the number expected from the probability
value P that a change should occur.
Illustration of the Methods
The methods for estimating V¢s(30) are illustrated using
a subset of the 277 borehole models compiled by Boore
(2003). The subset consists of 135 boreholes whose velocity
models extend to at least 30 m. All of the boreholes are from
California, with 5 from northern California, 38 from the San
Francisco Bay area, 26 from central California, and 66 from
southern California. Of those from southern California,
about 36 are from the greater Los Angeles area and 18 are
from the Imperial Valley. The formations near the surface
are mostly Holocene in age, followed in number by those of
Pleistocene age. A few boreholes are located at sites with
highly weathered Mesozoic rocks at the surface. Except for
the simplest method (equations 3 and 4), the use of this sub-
set of boreholes does not constitute a true test of the methods
because the same dataset used to derive the statistical quan-
tities used in the methods is used for the application of the
methods. A random subset of the 135 holes could have been
selected for determination of the quantities in Tables 2 and
3 and the methods then tested against the rest of the holes.
In view of the rather limited number of boreholes, I opted
instead for a better determination of the statistical quantities.
Thus the comparisons between actual and derived site
classes are more a consistency check and an illustration of
the methods than a test of the methods.
Depths ranging in 1-m increments from 10 to 29 m were
chosen, assuming for each depth that the deeper part of the
velocity model was unknown. Examples of the simple
method and the method based on the statistics of Veff/Vs(d)
are given in Table 4 for an assumed depth to bottom of 10 m.
The entries in the columns will help in understanding the
method. For example, for hole a, Veff/Vs(d) ‫ס‬ 1.31 is re-
quired to move the class based on simple extrapolation (D)
to the next stiffer class (C); from equation (6) and Table 3,
the probability P of such a value is 31%, but the random
probability r is 79%, so no change was made in the class
(the value of r depends on the particular seed used in the
random number generator; other seeds might result in a
change in site class). The examples in Table 4 were chosen
to illustrate four cases: (1) both methods gave the same site
class as the actual site class; (2) the simple extrapolation
gave the wrong class, but the probabilty-based method gave
the correct class; (3) the simple extrapolation gave the cor-
rect class, but the probabilty-based method gave the wrong
Estimating V¢s(30) (or NEHRP Site Classes) from Shallow Velocity Models (Depths Ͻ 30 m) 595
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
0
20
40
60
80
100
P(_>Vs(d))
observed distribution
used for fit
d = 10 m
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
0
20
40
60
80
100
observed distribution
used for fit
d = 16 m
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
0
20
40
60
80
100
Veff/Vbot
P(_>Veff/Vs(d))
observed distribution
used for fit
d = 22 m
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
0
20
40
60
80
100
Veff/Vbot
observed distribution
used for fit
d = 28 m
Figure 4. The complement of the cumulative probability of the ratio Veff/Vs(d) (see
text) from 135 boreholes in California, for bottom depths of 10, 16, 22, and 28 m. Also
shown are the power-law fits to the indicated observations (open circles), as used in
the analysis [with P set equal to 100 for Veff/Vs(d) less than the values given in the
fourth column of Table 3].
class; and (4) both extrapolation methods gave the wrong
class.
For each method, an error count was kept for each as-
sumed depth to bottom, with separate counts being kept for
no change, changes to a stiffer class, and changes to a softer
class, according to how far apart the reassigned site classes
were from the actual site classes (in practice, this never ex-
ceeded one site class, so the count arrays were only incre-
mented by unity). For example, if the real class were C but
the reassigned class were D, then the array for erroneous
changes to a softer site would be incremented by 1 (the array
for erroneous changes to stiffer sites was incremented by
‫.)1מ‬ For each assumed depth, the cumulative number of
erroneous changes was converted to a percentage of all bore-
holes with an erroneous change of site class. The results for
all methods, plotted as a function of depth, are shown in
Figure 5. Also included are the results of adding the percent
of erroneous changes to stiffer and softer sites; this can be
thought of as the total bias for each procedure. Figure 5
shows that the simple method gives a result biased toward
softer sites, as expected. The biases for the other methods
are significantly smaller for all depths. The version of the
method using a Gaussian distribution about the regression
relation (equation 5) gives somewhat smaller bias than using
equation (5) by itself. The more fully probabilistic method
using equation (6) gives better results than using the linear
regression methods [but that method only yields an estimate
of site class and not the continuous variable V¢s(30)].
Overall, the chance of an error in site classification is
less than 10% for all but the shallowest depths; for the bore-
hole dataset used in this article, with most holes closer to or
deeper than 30 m (Fig. 1), the chance of an error is negligible
using any method.
Discussion and Conclusions
Using 135 boreholes for which the velocity model ex-
tends to at least 30 m, several methods for extrapolating Vs
to 30 m were investigated. Methods using the statistical
properties of the relation between V¢s(30) and shallower ve-
locities resulted in significantly less bias for shallow models
than the simple method of assuming that the lowermost ve-
locity extends to 30 m. In addition, for all methods the per-
cent of sites misclassified is generally less than 10% and falls
to negligible values for velocity models extending to at least
25 m. The results suggest that determination of site classes
for the USGS dataset of Boore (2003) will have few errors
using any method. The results, however, might prove useful
596 D. M. Boore
Table 3
Coefficients of Power-Law Fit (Equation 6) to the
Complementary Cumulative Distribution of Values of Veff/Vs(d)
d(m) a b n100:use n100:pwr
10 98.053 ‫391.4מ‬ 1.00 0.995
11 89.217 ‫164.4מ‬ 0.97 0.975
12 91.365 ‫983.4מ‬ 0.98 0.980
13 74.125 ‫377.3מ‬ 0.92 0.924
14 63.179 ‫759.3מ‬ 0.89 0.890
15 60.873 ‫090.4מ‬ 0.89 0.886
16 64.418 ‫374.4מ‬ 0.91 0.906
17 64.626 ‫994.4מ‬ 0.91 0.908
18 52.342 ‫185.4מ‬ 0.87 0.868
19 52.367 ‫921.4מ‬ 0.85 0.855
20 54.560 ‫468.4מ‬ 0.88 0.883
21 47.235 ‫192.6מ‬ 0.89 0.888
22 53.445 ‫855.6מ‬ 0.91 0.909
23 43.609 ‫071.7מ‬ 0.89 0.891
24 35.723 ‫588.5מ‬ 1.00 0.840
25 29.602 ‫413.5מ‬ 1.00 0.795
26 13.790 ‫588.5מ‬ 1.00 0.714
27 11.280 ‫614.4מ‬ 1.00 0.610
28 4.488 ‫139.2מ‬ 1.00 0.347
29 2.168 ‫561.3מ‬ 1.00 0.298
The column headed n100:use gives the values of Veff/Vs(d) below which
P is set to 100 in use, and the column headed n100:pwr gives the values of
Veff/Vs(d) that yield P ‫ס‬ 100 when inserted into equation (6).
Table 4
Examples of Determination of NEHRP Site Class using Simple
Extrapolation and Probability-Based Extrapolation
Hole V¢s(30):a V¢s(30):x Veff/Vs(d) P r Class:a Class:x Class:p
a 331 303 1.31 31 79 D D D
b 392 351 1.04 82 21 C D C
c 297 308 1.33 30 15 D D C
d 203 160 1.20 45 85 D E E
The values are for a velocity model stopping at 10 m. Velocities are in
meters per second. In the column labels, “:a,” “:x,” and “:p” stand for actual
values, extrapolated based on the simple model, and extrapolated values
based on the probability model, respectively. The value of Veff/Vs(d) is that
required to change to a stiffer class than given by the simple extrapolation.
The actual boreholes are not identified because the procedure is not in-
tended to make the proper prediction on a hole-by-hole basis; it should
make the proper predictions on the average when applied to a large set of
boreholes.
for other datasets, such as the K-NET dataset or other sites
for which shear-wave velocity models might extend to
depths significantly less than 30 m (such as many seismic
cone penetrometer soundings).
An important caveat: none of the methods are likely to
give a correct value of V¢s(30) for a specific site. The pro-
cedures are inherently statistical, and over many sites the
values should be correct on the average; the procedures only
make sense when the data from many stations are being used
in a statistical way, such as a regression analysis, and V¢s(30)
or site class for any particular site is not important.
The results here could be extended to determine the cor-
relation between V¢s(30) and the average velocity between a
depth range that does not reach the surface (i.e., using a
nonzero lower limit in equation 2). This would be useful for
application to suspension log results, which never reach the
surface. The results could also consider geological infor-
mation, such as whether the site is expected to be underlain
to 30 m by Holocene materials alone, Pleistocene materials
alone, or some combination. As it is, the analysis is domi-
nated by class NEHRP C and D sites, and the methods might
not work as well for NEHRP class E or class B sites. A way
of incorporating possible overall differences in the velocity
models due to different types of sites is to use some measure
of the gradient of the velocity model as a basis for extrap-
olation. This would also help deal with situations where the
velocity might not generally increase with depth, as it does
for the California boreholes used to illustrate the methods in
this article.
Acknowledgments
I thank Tom Holzer, Chris Stephens, and two anonymous reviewers
for comments that significantly improved the article. I also thank Tom Hol-
zer and Mike Bennett for providing the seismic cone penetrometer data for
the Oakland–Alameda region.
References
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Estimating V¢s(30) (or NEHRP Site Classes) from Shallow Velocity Models (Depths Ͻ 30 m) 597
10 15 20 25 30
-20
-10
0
10
20
Depth (m)
Percentofholes
Using constant velocity extrapolation
Bias for above
Using Veff/Vs(d) probability model
Bias for above
Too soft
Too hard
c)
10 15 20 25 30
-20
-10
0
10
20
Depth (m)
Percentofholes
Using constant velocity extrapolation
Bias for above
Using log Vs(30) vs logVs(d) and probability model
Bias for above
Too soft
Too hard
b)
10 15 20 25 30
-20
-10
0
10
20
Depth (m)
Percentofholes
Using constant velocity extrapolation
Bias for above
Using log Vs(30) vs logVs(d); no probability model
Bias for above
Too soft
Too hard
a)
Figure 5. Summary of changes to the NEHRP classes using various methods to
obtain V¢s(30): (a) using the regression fit of log V¢s(30) as a function of log V¢s(d), without
accounting for the scatter about the line; (b) using the regression fit and the scatter
about the line; and (c) using the probability distribution of Veff/Vs(d). For comparison,
the gray line in each graph shows the result of using simple extrapolation assuming a
constant velocity from the bottom depth to 30 m. Nonzero values indicate incorrect
class changes, as the percent of holes, with positive and negative values indicating a
new class that is too soft and too hard compared to the actual class, respectively. The
dashed lines are the overall bias, obtained by adding the number of sites misclassified
as being too hard and being too soft.
U.S. Geological Survey
345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977
Menlo Park, California 94025
boore@usgs.gov
Manuscript received 29 May 2003.

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ESTIMATING VS30 FOR GROUND CLASSIFICATION

  • 1. 591 Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 94, No. 2, pp. 591–597, April 2004 Estimating V¢s(30) (or NEHRP Site Classes) from Shallow Velocity Models (Depths Ͻ 30 m) by David M. Boore Abstract The average velocity to 30 m [V¢s(30)] is a widely used parameter for classifying sites to predict their potential to amplify seismic shaking. In many cases, however, models of shallow shear-wave velocities, from which V¢s(30) can be com- puted, do not extend to 30 m. If the data for these cases are to be used, some method of extrapolating the velocities must be devised. Four methods for doing this are described here and are illustrated using data from 135 boreholes in California for which the velocity model extends to at least 30 m. Methods using correlations be- tween shallow velocity and V¢s(30) result in significantly less bias for shallow models than the simplest method of assuming that the lowermost velocity extends to 30 m. In addition, for all methods the percent of sites misclassified is generally less than 10% and falls to negligible values for velocity models extending to at least 25 m. Although the methods using correlations do a better job on average of estimating V¢s(30), the simplest method will generally result in a lower value of V¢s(30) and thus yield a more conservative estimate of ground motion [which generally increases as V¢s(30) decreases]. Introduction The average shear-wave velocity of the top 30 m of the Earth [V¢s(30), which is computed by dividing 30 m by the travel time from the surface to 30 m] is an important param- eter used in classifying sites in recent building codes (e.g., Dobry et al., 2000; BSSC, 2001) and in loss estimation. The site classes estimated from shallow shear-wave velocity models are also important in deriving strong-motion predic- tion equations (e.g., Boore et al., 1997), in construction of maps of National Earthquake Hazard Reduction Program (NEHRP) site classes (e.g., Wills et al., 2000), and in appli- cations of building codes to specific sites. Many measure- ments of near-surface shear-wave velocity, however, do not reach 30 m. For example, with one exception the shear-wave velocities at the Kyoshin Network (K-NET) stations in Japan (data source: www.k-net.bosai.go.jp/) are between 10 and 20 m (the one exception is K-NET station AKT019, with a depth to bottom of 5.04 m). Another example comes from a recent compilation of shear-wave velocities from 277 bore- holes in California, more than half (142) of which are shal- lower than 30 m (Boore, 2003). A histogram of the depth to the deepest measurement for boreholes in that compilation is given in Figure 1, from which it can be seen that most of the shallow holes were drilled and logged before 1990. Al- though most of the holes are near 30 m, 31 have values less than 25 m. A third example is seismic cone penetrometer measurements made in the Oakland–Alameda area of Cali- fornia (Holzer et al., 2002, 2004), where 193 out of 202 soundings are less than 30 m, with 146 of these being less than 20 m. This note compares several ways of estimating V¢s(30) from velocity models that do not reach 30 m (the models could be determined from either invasive or noninvasive methods). The simplest method assumes that the lowermost velocity of the model extends to 30 m; the other methods use correlations of shallow velocities and V¢s(30). Methods of Extrapolation In the methods discussed here, a key quantity is the time-averaged velocity V¢s(d) to a depth d. Generally d is the depth to the bottom of the velocity model, which is not nec- essarily the depth to the bottom of the borehole or the depth of the deepest measurement in a borehole if the velocity model was determined from borehole logging. I refrain from using the phrase “depth to bottom of borehole,” which is meaningless for velocity models determined from noninva- sive methods. The time-averaged velocity is computed from the equation ¢V (d) ‫ס‬ d/tt(d), (1)s where the travel time tt(d) to depth d is given by d dz tt(d) ‫ס‬ . (2)Ύ0 V (z)s
  • 2. 592 D. M. Boore Table 1 Definition of NEHRP Site Classes in Terms of V¢s(30), the Average Shear-Wave Velocity to 30 m Site class Range of V¢s(30) (m/sec) A 1500 Ͻ V¢s(30) B 760 Ͻ V¢s(30) Յ 1500 C 360 Ͻ V¢s(30) Յ 760 D 180 Յ V¢s(30) Յ 360 E V¢s(30) Ͻ 180 Constructed from information in BSSC, 2001. 0 200 400 600 800 B C D E Vs (d) NEHRPClass Figure 2. An example of NEHRP class as a func- tion of V¢s(d) for 135 boreholes. In this example, d ‫ס‬ 16 m. In equation (2), Vs(z) is the depth-dependent velocity model. NEHRP classes are determined by V¢s(30), as indicated in Table 1. The purpose of this note is to investigate ways of approximating V¢s(30) if d Ͻ 30 m. If all that is desired is the NEHRP class, a simple method is to use correlations be- tween the NEHRP class and V¢s(d). I studied the correlation from the 135 California boreholes that extended to at least 30 m, for various assumed depths, and found that there was some overlap in site class for a given value of V¢s(d) (an example is shown in Fig. 2). For this reason, and because V¢s(30) is useful as a continuous parameter for characterizing site response in regression equations (e.g., Boore et al., 1997), I investigate here some methods that make more use of the travel-time information from boreholes. Extrapolation Assuming Constant Velocity If the velocity model is available only to depth d, an assumption about the velocity between d and 30 m can be used to compute an estimate of V¢s(30) using the following equation: ¢V (30) ‫ס‬ 30/(tt(d) ‫ם‬ (30 ‫מ‬ d)/V ), (3)s eff where Veff is the assumed effective velocity from depth d to 30 m. The simplest assumption is that Veff equals the velocity at the bottom of the velocity model: V ‫ס‬ V (d). (4)eff s Because the velocity in general increases with depth for both geological and geotechnical reasons, however, this method for determining Veff will usually lead to an underestimate of V¢s(30) and therefore to site classes that may be biased toward larger letter values (the problem should be worse the shal- lower the model). This drawback to the simplest method led to the methods described next. Extrapolation Using the Correlation between V¢s(30) and V¢s(d) Another method uses the correlation between V¢s(30) and V¢s(d). Using the same set of 135 boreholes for which the actual depths reached or exceeded 30 m, I found that plots of V¢s(30) against V¢s(d) for a series of assumed depths d could be fit by a straight line. The scatter in these plots, however, increased with V¢s(d). For this reason, a power-law relation between V¢s(30) and V¢s(d) was assumed, for which a straight line can be fit to the logarithms of the quantities. Figure 3 shows examples for four assumed depths. The correlation is 20 40 60 80 100 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Depth to Bottom (m) NumberofBoreholes all boreholes boreholes post 1989 7743 Figure 1. Distribution of the depths to the bottom of boreholes from California tabulated by Boore (2003). Note that most of the holes have depths near 30 m (the two highest bars have been capped so as to show better the distribution of other depths; the num- bers indicate the height of the bars).
  • 3. Estimating V¢s(30) (or NEHRP Site Classes) from Shallow Velocity Models (Depths Ͻ 30 m) 593 1.8 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3 logVs(30) 0.0422+1.029*x^1 d = 10 m 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 0.0140 +1.024*x^1 d = 16 m 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3 log Vs(d) logVs(30) 0.0269 +1.004*x^1 d = 22 m 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 log Vs(d) 7.874e-4 +1.003*x^1 d = 28 m E D C B 3 3 Figure 3. Fit of straight line to log V¢s(30) as a function of log V¢s(d), for d ‫ס‬ 10, 16, 22, and 28 m. Velocities in meter per second. The gray lines show the boundaries between NEHRP site classes; the classes are shown in the lower right-hand graph. good, even for the shallowest depth considered here (10 m). Table 2 gives the regression coefficients for the equation ¢ ¢log V (30) ‫ס‬ a ‫ם‬ b log V (d) (5)s s for depths ranging from 10 to 29 m. The velocity at the bottom of the model [Vs(d)] rather than the average velocity V¢s(d) was also considered as the predictor variable, but the scatter was worse. Vs(d) has the advantage, however, that it can be used if shallower parts of the velocity model are miss- ing, as is often the case with suspension log results; I discuss later a method for determining NEHRP class that uses Vs(d). Equation (5) was used in two ways to determine V¢s(30) and thus NEHRP class. The first was simply to insert the value of V¢s(d) computed from the velocity model into equa- tion (5). A second, somewhat more elaborate method used an estimate of log V¢s(30) randomly drawn from a Gaussian distribution with mean given by equation (5) and standard deviation given in Table 2 (the contribution to the variance due to uncertainty in the slope of the line is insignificant). Extrapolation Based on Velocity Statistics to Determine Site Class Another way to account for the general increase of ve- locity in a statistical way is discussed briefly in the appendix to Atkinson and Boore (2003) and is elaborated on here. For each borehole, I computed the ratio of Vs(d) to the effective velocity (Veff) needed to raise the site class to the next stiffer class than given by the simple extrapolation using equations (3) and (4), for a series of depths ranging in 1-m increments from 10 to 29 m. For each depth, the values of Veff/Vs(d) were tabulated in increments of 0.1 units, starting from 0.4,
  • 4. 594 D. M. Boore Table 2 Coefficients of the Equation log V¢s(30) ‫ס‬ a ‫ם‬ b logV¢s(d) d a b r 10 4.2062E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0292E ‫ם‬ 00 7.1260E ‫מ‬ 02 11 2.2140E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0341E ‫ם‬ 00 6.4722E ‫מ‬ 02 12 1.2571E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0352E ‫ם‬ 00 5.9353E ‫מ‬ 02 13 1.4186E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0318E ‫ם‬ 00 5.4754E ‫מ‬ 02 14 1.2300E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0297E ‫ם‬ 00 5.0086E ‫מ‬ 02 15 1.3795E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0263E ‫ם‬ 00 4.5925E ‫מ‬ 02 16 1.3893E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0237E ‫ם‬ 00 4.2219E ‫מ‬ 02 17 1.9565E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0190E ‫ם‬ 00 3.9422E ‫מ‬ 02 18 2.4879E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0144E ‫ם‬ 00 3.6365E ‫מ‬ 02 19 2.5614E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0117E ‫ם‬ 00 3.3233E ‫מ‬ 02 20 2.5439E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0095E ‫ם‬ 00 3.0181E ‫מ‬ 02 21 2.5311E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0072E ‫ם‬ 00 2.7001E ‫מ‬ 02 22 2.6900E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0044E ‫ם‬ 00 2.4087E ‫מ‬ 02 23 2.2207E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0042E ‫ם‬ 00 2.0826E ‫מ‬ 02 24 1.6891E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0043E ‫ם‬ 00 1.7676E ‫מ‬ 02 25 1.1483E ‫מ‬ 02 1.0045E ‫ם‬ 00 1.4691E ‫מ‬ 02 26 6.5646E ‫מ‬ 03 1.0045E ‫ם‬ 00 1.1452E ‫מ‬ 02 27 2.5190E ‫מ‬ 03 1.0043E ‫ם‬ 00 8.3871E ‫מ‬ 03 28 7.7322E ‫מ‬ 04 1.0031E ‫ם‬ 00 5.5264E ‫מ‬ 03 29 4.3143E ‫מ‬ 04 1.0015E ‫ם‬ 00 2.7355E ‫מ‬ 03 r is the standard deviation of the residuals about the fitted line; velocities in meters per second. and a complementary cumulative distribution in terms of percent (with a maximum value of 100) was computed and plotted. A power law of the form b P(n Ͼ V /V (d)) ‫ס‬ a(V /V (d)) (6)eff s eff s was then fit to the empirical distribution in a selected range of Veff/Vs(d). A variety of functions were tried, but the power law was simple and gave a good fit in most cases. Where the power law failed to provide a good fit [usually at small values of Veff/Vs(d) and deeper depths], P was given a value of 100 for arguments less than a subjectively chosen value. Figure 4 gives four examples of the fit at selected depths, and Table 3 gives values of the coefficients for all depths considered. Equation (6) gives the probability P(n Ͼ Veff/Vs(d)) of exceeding Veff/Vs(d) and can be used to decide if the site class should be changed, following this procedure: 1. Compute a provisional site class based on the simple ex- trapolation (equations 3 and 4). 2. Use equation (3) to solve for the Veff/Vs(d) needed to move to the next stiffer site class (softer site classes are not considered because in only a few cases from the set of 135 boreholes would the site class actually become softer; this example may not be universally applicable, for there may be regions in which velocities might gen- erally decrease with depth in the upper tens of meters). 3. Evaluate equation (6) for this value of Veff/Vs(d) (paying attention to the values below which P is taken to be 100; see Table 3). If P equals 100, then the provisional site class is changed. 4. If P from the previous step does not equal 100, then a random number r uniformly distributed between 0 and 100 is generated. If r Յ P, then the provisional site class is changed to the next stiffer class (e.g., D to C), and if r Ͼ P the class is set to the provisional site class (no change in class). If the procedure is applied many times, this step guarantees that the number of class changes will agree with the number expected from the probability value P that a change should occur. Illustration of the Methods The methods for estimating V¢s(30) are illustrated using a subset of the 277 borehole models compiled by Boore (2003). The subset consists of 135 boreholes whose velocity models extend to at least 30 m. All of the boreholes are from California, with 5 from northern California, 38 from the San Francisco Bay area, 26 from central California, and 66 from southern California. Of those from southern California, about 36 are from the greater Los Angeles area and 18 are from the Imperial Valley. The formations near the surface are mostly Holocene in age, followed in number by those of Pleistocene age. A few boreholes are located at sites with highly weathered Mesozoic rocks at the surface. Except for the simplest method (equations 3 and 4), the use of this sub- set of boreholes does not constitute a true test of the methods because the same dataset used to derive the statistical quan- tities used in the methods is used for the application of the methods. A random subset of the 135 holes could have been selected for determination of the quantities in Tables 2 and 3 and the methods then tested against the rest of the holes. In view of the rather limited number of boreholes, I opted instead for a better determination of the statistical quantities. Thus the comparisons between actual and derived site classes are more a consistency check and an illustration of the methods than a test of the methods. Depths ranging in 1-m increments from 10 to 29 m were chosen, assuming for each depth that the deeper part of the velocity model was unknown. Examples of the simple method and the method based on the statistics of Veff/Vs(d) are given in Table 4 for an assumed depth to bottom of 10 m. The entries in the columns will help in understanding the method. For example, for hole a, Veff/Vs(d) ‫ס‬ 1.31 is re- quired to move the class based on simple extrapolation (D) to the next stiffer class (C); from equation (6) and Table 3, the probability P of such a value is 31%, but the random probability r is 79%, so no change was made in the class (the value of r depends on the particular seed used in the random number generator; other seeds might result in a change in site class). The examples in Table 4 were chosen to illustrate four cases: (1) both methods gave the same site class as the actual site class; (2) the simple extrapolation gave the wrong class, but the probabilty-based method gave the correct class; (3) the simple extrapolation gave the cor- rect class, but the probabilty-based method gave the wrong
  • 5. Estimating V¢s(30) (or NEHRP Site Classes) from Shallow Velocity Models (Depths Ͻ 30 m) 595 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 0 20 40 60 80 100 P(_>Vs(d)) observed distribution used for fit d = 10 m 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 0 20 40 60 80 100 observed distribution used for fit d = 16 m 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 0 20 40 60 80 100 Veff/Vbot P(_>Veff/Vs(d)) observed distribution used for fit d = 22 m 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 0 20 40 60 80 100 Veff/Vbot observed distribution used for fit d = 28 m Figure 4. The complement of the cumulative probability of the ratio Veff/Vs(d) (see text) from 135 boreholes in California, for bottom depths of 10, 16, 22, and 28 m. Also shown are the power-law fits to the indicated observations (open circles), as used in the analysis [with P set equal to 100 for Veff/Vs(d) less than the values given in the fourth column of Table 3]. class; and (4) both extrapolation methods gave the wrong class. For each method, an error count was kept for each as- sumed depth to bottom, with separate counts being kept for no change, changes to a stiffer class, and changes to a softer class, according to how far apart the reassigned site classes were from the actual site classes (in practice, this never ex- ceeded one site class, so the count arrays were only incre- mented by unity). For example, if the real class were C but the reassigned class were D, then the array for erroneous changes to a softer site would be incremented by 1 (the array for erroneous changes to stiffer sites was incremented by ‫.)1מ‬ For each assumed depth, the cumulative number of erroneous changes was converted to a percentage of all bore- holes with an erroneous change of site class. The results for all methods, plotted as a function of depth, are shown in Figure 5. Also included are the results of adding the percent of erroneous changes to stiffer and softer sites; this can be thought of as the total bias for each procedure. Figure 5 shows that the simple method gives a result biased toward softer sites, as expected. The biases for the other methods are significantly smaller for all depths. The version of the method using a Gaussian distribution about the regression relation (equation 5) gives somewhat smaller bias than using equation (5) by itself. The more fully probabilistic method using equation (6) gives better results than using the linear regression methods [but that method only yields an estimate of site class and not the continuous variable V¢s(30)]. Overall, the chance of an error in site classification is less than 10% for all but the shallowest depths; for the bore- hole dataset used in this article, with most holes closer to or deeper than 30 m (Fig. 1), the chance of an error is negligible using any method. Discussion and Conclusions Using 135 boreholes for which the velocity model ex- tends to at least 30 m, several methods for extrapolating Vs to 30 m were investigated. Methods using the statistical properties of the relation between V¢s(30) and shallower ve- locities resulted in significantly less bias for shallow models than the simple method of assuming that the lowermost ve- locity extends to 30 m. In addition, for all methods the per- cent of sites misclassified is generally less than 10% and falls to negligible values for velocity models extending to at least 25 m. The results suggest that determination of site classes for the USGS dataset of Boore (2003) will have few errors using any method. The results, however, might prove useful
  • 6. 596 D. M. Boore Table 3 Coefficients of Power-Law Fit (Equation 6) to the Complementary Cumulative Distribution of Values of Veff/Vs(d) d(m) a b n100:use n100:pwr 10 98.053 ‫391.4מ‬ 1.00 0.995 11 89.217 ‫164.4מ‬ 0.97 0.975 12 91.365 ‫983.4מ‬ 0.98 0.980 13 74.125 ‫377.3מ‬ 0.92 0.924 14 63.179 ‫759.3מ‬ 0.89 0.890 15 60.873 ‫090.4מ‬ 0.89 0.886 16 64.418 ‫374.4מ‬ 0.91 0.906 17 64.626 ‫994.4מ‬ 0.91 0.908 18 52.342 ‫185.4מ‬ 0.87 0.868 19 52.367 ‫921.4מ‬ 0.85 0.855 20 54.560 ‫468.4מ‬ 0.88 0.883 21 47.235 ‫192.6מ‬ 0.89 0.888 22 53.445 ‫855.6מ‬ 0.91 0.909 23 43.609 ‫071.7מ‬ 0.89 0.891 24 35.723 ‫588.5מ‬ 1.00 0.840 25 29.602 ‫413.5מ‬ 1.00 0.795 26 13.790 ‫588.5מ‬ 1.00 0.714 27 11.280 ‫614.4מ‬ 1.00 0.610 28 4.488 ‫139.2מ‬ 1.00 0.347 29 2.168 ‫561.3מ‬ 1.00 0.298 The column headed n100:use gives the values of Veff/Vs(d) below which P is set to 100 in use, and the column headed n100:pwr gives the values of Veff/Vs(d) that yield P ‫ס‬ 100 when inserted into equation (6). Table 4 Examples of Determination of NEHRP Site Class using Simple Extrapolation and Probability-Based Extrapolation Hole V¢s(30):a V¢s(30):x Veff/Vs(d) P r Class:a Class:x Class:p a 331 303 1.31 31 79 D D D b 392 351 1.04 82 21 C D C c 297 308 1.33 30 15 D D C d 203 160 1.20 45 85 D E E The values are for a velocity model stopping at 10 m. Velocities are in meters per second. In the column labels, “:a,” “:x,” and “:p” stand for actual values, extrapolated based on the simple model, and extrapolated values based on the probability model, respectively. The value of Veff/Vs(d) is that required to change to a stiffer class than given by the simple extrapolation. The actual boreholes are not identified because the procedure is not in- tended to make the proper prediction on a hole-by-hole basis; it should make the proper predictions on the average when applied to a large set of boreholes. for other datasets, such as the K-NET dataset or other sites for which shear-wave velocity models might extend to depths significantly less than 30 m (such as many seismic cone penetrometer soundings). An important caveat: none of the methods are likely to give a correct value of V¢s(30) for a specific site. The pro- cedures are inherently statistical, and over many sites the values should be correct on the average; the procedures only make sense when the data from many stations are being used in a statistical way, such as a regression analysis, and V¢s(30) or site class for any particular site is not important. The results here could be extended to determine the cor- relation between V¢s(30) and the average velocity between a depth range that does not reach the surface (i.e., using a nonzero lower limit in equation 2). This would be useful for application to suspension log results, which never reach the surface. The results could also consider geological infor- mation, such as whether the site is expected to be underlain to 30 m by Holocene materials alone, Pleistocene materials alone, or some combination. As it is, the analysis is domi- nated by class NEHRP C and D sites, and the methods might not work as well for NEHRP class E or class B sites. A way of incorporating possible overall differences in the velocity models due to different types of sites is to use some measure of the gradient of the velocity model as a basis for extrap- olation. This would also help deal with situations where the velocity might not generally increase with depth, as it does for the California boreholes used to illustrate the methods in this article. Acknowledgments I thank Tom Holzer, Chris Stephens, and two anonymous reviewers for comments that significantly improved the article. I also thank Tom Hol- zer and Mike Bennett for providing the seismic cone penetrometer data for the Oakland–Alameda region. References Atkinson, G. M., and D. M. Boore (2003). Empirical ground-motion rela- tions for subduction-zone earthquakes and their application to Cas- cadia and other regions, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 93, 1703–1729. Boore, D. M. (2003). A compendium of P- and S-wave velocities from surface-to-borehole logging: summary and reanalysis of previously published data and analysis of unpublished data, U.S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 03-191, 13 pp.; http://quake.usgs.gov/ϳboore (last accessed February 2004). Boore, D. M., W. B. Joyner, and T. E. Fumal (1997). Equations for esti- mating horizontal response spectra and peak acceleration from west- ern North American earthquakes: a summary of recent work, Seism. Res. Lett. 68, 128–153. Building Seismic Safety Council (BSSC) (2001). NEHRP recommended provisions for seismic regulations for new buildings and other struc- tures, 2000 Edition, Part 1: Provisions, prepared by the Building Seis- mic Safety Council for the Federal Emergency Management Agency (Report FEMA 368), Washington, D.C. Dobry, R., R. D. Borcherdt, C. B. Crouse, I. M. Idriss, W. B. Joyner, G. R. Martin, M. S. Power, E. E. Rinne, and R. B. Seed (2000). New site coefficients and site classification system used in recent building seis- mic code provisions, Earthquake Spectra 16, 41–67. Holzer, T. L., M. J. Bennett, T. E. Noce, A. C. Padovani, and J. C. Tinsley III (2002). Liquefaction hazard and shaking amplification maps of Alameda, Berkeley, Emeryville, Oakland, and Piedmont, California: a digital database, U.S. Geol. Surv. Open-File Rept. 02-296; http:// geopubs.wr.usgs.gov/open-file/of02-296/ (last accessed February 2004). Holzer, T. L., M. J. Bennett, T. E. Noce, A. C. Padovani, and J. C. Tinsley III (2004). Shear-wave velocity of surficial geologic sediments: sta- tistical distributions and depth dependence, Earthquake Spectra 20, (in press). Wills, C. J., M. Petersen, W. A. Bryant, M. Reichle, G. J. Saucedo, S. Tan, G. Taylor, and J. Treiman (2000). A site-conditions map for California based on geology and shear-wave velocity, Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. 90, S187–S208.
  • 7. Estimating V¢s(30) (or NEHRP Site Classes) from Shallow Velocity Models (Depths Ͻ 30 m) 597 10 15 20 25 30 -20 -10 0 10 20 Depth (m) Percentofholes Using constant velocity extrapolation Bias for above Using Veff/Vs(d) probability model Bias for above Too soft Too hard c) 10 15 20 25 30 -20 -10 0 10 20 Depth (m) Percentofholes Using constant velocity extrapolation Bias for above Using log Vs(30) vs logVs(d) and probability model Bias for above Too soft Too hard b) 10 15 20 25 30 -20 -10 0 10 20 Depth (m) Percentofholes Using constant velocity extrapolation Bias for above Using log Vs(30) vs logVs(d); no probability model Bias for above Too soft Too hard a) Figure 5. Summary of changes to the NEHRP classes using various methods to obtain V¢s(30): (a) using the regression fit of log V¢s(30) as a function of log V¢s(d), without accounting for the scatter about the line; (b) using the regression fit and the scatter about the line; and (c) using the probability distribution of Veff/Vs(d). For comparison, the gray line in each graph shows the result of using simple extrapolation assuming a constant velocity from the bottom depth to 30 m. Nonzero values indicate incorrect class changes, as the percent of holes, with positive and negative values indicating a new class that is too soft and too hard compared to the actual class, respectively. The dashed lines are the overall bias, obtained by adding the number of sites misclassified as being too hard and being too soft. U.S. Geological Survey 345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977 Menlo Park, California 94025 boore@usgs.gov Manuscript received 29 May 2003.