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NewBase 18 April 2016 - Issue No. 832 Edited & Produced by: Khaled Al Awadi
NewBase For discussion or further details on the news below you may contact us on +971504822502, Dubai, UAE
Oil Plunges After Output Talks Fail Amid Saudi Demands
Over Iran….. Bloomberg = Elena Mazneva + News Agenceies
Oil tumbled by the most in two months after output talks Sunday between the world’s biggest
producers ended without any agreement on limiting supplies, a diplomatic failure that threatens to
renew the rout in prices.
Futures fell as much as 6.8 percent in New York, the biggest intraday drop since Feb. 1. The
summit in the Qatari capital, which dragged on for more than ten hours beyond its initially
scheduled conclusion, finished with no final accord.
There were significant hurdles to any deal after Saudi Arabia’s Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed
bin Salman said the kingdom wouldn’t restrain its production without commitments from other
major producers including Iran, which has ruled out freezing for now.
“The weekend talks are demonstration that the Saudi government, as the deputy crown prince has
clearly stated, doesn’t want to cede market share,” said Ed Morse, head of global commodity
research at Citigroup Inc. by phone.
Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed,
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“They are fearful that the world may be in a weak or bearish market for a long period of time. In a
bear market, as they learned from the 1980s, if they cede market share it is very difficult to get it
back.”
West Texas Intermediate for May delivery lost as much as $2.75 to $37.61 a barrel on the New
York Mercantile Exchange and was at $38.36 at 10:35 a.m. Hong Kong time. The contract fell
$1.14, or 2.8 percent, to $40.36 on Friday. Total trading volume was almost fivefold the 100-day
average.
Brent for June settlement dropped as much as $3, or 7 percent, to $40.10 a barrel on the London-
based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The contract lost 74 cents, or 1.7 percent, to $43.10 on
Friday. The global benchmark was at a $1.47 premium to WTI for June.
Oil ministers from 16 nations, representing about half the world’s output, gathered in the Qatari
capital in a bid to stabilize the global market, the first significant attempt at coordinating oil output
between the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and nations outside the group in 15
years.
Discussions stumbled after Saudi Arabia and other Gulf nations wouldn’t agree to any deal unless
all OPEC members joined including Iran, which wasn’t present at the meeting, Russian Energy
Minister Alexander Novak told reporters.
Tense Negotiations
Forty traders and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg last week were evenly split on whether a
consensus would be reached, and tensions were visible throughout the negotiations. While
analysts doubted that any accord would have a significant impact on the global oil surplus, the
group’s inability to agree undermines any prospect of coordinated action to solve the market
slump.
Russia was surprised there wasn’t an agreement, said Novak. Officials from Saudi Arabia, Qatar,
Venezuela and Russia -- who initiated the push for a freeze in February -- agreed to a draft accord
on Saturday, but some countries changed their position right before the summit the following day,
leading to “hot discussions,” he said.
“The fact that Saudi Arabia seems to have blocked the deal is an indicator of how much its oil
policy is being driven by the ongoing geopolitical conflict with Iran,” said Jason Bordoff, director of
the Center on Global Energy Policy at Columbia University and a former White House official.
Saudi Obstacle
A freeze could have sped up the rebalancing of the market by six months, which may now take
until mid-2017, Novak said in a press conference after the talks. The “door is not closed” to a
future accord, although “Russia won’t be as optimistic as before,” he said.
OPEC members will consult among themselves and with other oil producers until June, Qatar’s
Energy Minister Mohammed Al Sada said at news conference after the meeting. The next
scheduled bi-annual OPEC meeting is on June 2.
Iran, which is reviving oil exports after international sanctions were lifted in January, ruled out any
limits on its output before reaching pre-sanctions levels, dismissing the notion of joining the freeze
Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed,
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as “ridiculous.” The nation’s Oil Minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh said Saturday he wouldn’t attend
the Doha talks and won’t be a signatory to any deal as it would amount to self-imposed sanctions.
Kuwait production cuts and hedge fund positions:
• Kuwait’s crude production tumbled by 60 percent and its refineries scaled back operations
as the state oil company took emergency measures Sunday to cope with the first day of an
open-ended labor strike.
• Money managers’ net-long positions in WTI futures and options are more than twice as
large as two months ago and increased by 11 percent in the week ended April 12, U.S.
Commodity Futures Trading Commission data showed Friday.
Oil's Grand Bargain Falls Victim to Saudi Arabia's Iran Fixation
In the end, the outcome of Sunday’s summit of 16 oil ministers at Qatar’s Sheraton hotel turned on
one country that wasn’t there.
Iran’s decision, on the eve of the meeting, not to attend signaled things wouldn’t go well. When
ministers assembled the next day, Saudi Arabia stunned some of them by insisting every OPEC
member, including Iran, must subscribe to the deal to freeze oil production. Scheduled to end with
an early afternoon press conference, proceedings dragged into the evening.
When the meeting finally broke up without a deal just after 9 p.m. local time, it fell to the host
minister, Qatar’s Mohammed Al Sada, to announce the result at a press conference for the
dozens of reporters who’d flown in to cover the talks.
“The inclusion of all OPEC members would definitely help in reaching an agreement,” he said,
promising more consultation before the group’s June meeting.
Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed,
or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this
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The freeze deal, mooted in February as the first coordinated action between OPEC and non-
OPEC producers for 15 years, had fallen victim to tensions between Saudi Arabia and its main
regional rival, a relationship soured by proxy conflicts from Syria to Yemen.
Taken Control
Mohammed bin Salman, the young Saudi deputy crown prince who’s taken control of economic
policy in the world’s top oil producer, had publicly warned twice that no deal was possible without
Iran’s participation. In turn, Iran insisted on its right to boost crude production to the level it
pumped before it became subject to international sanctions.
Iran had no intention of voluntarily sanctioning itself, the deputy oil minister said on Saturday.
The government in Tehran had decided there was no point in turning up to Doha on Friday after
Qatari officials contacted Iran to say only countries intending to sign up to the freeze should
attend, according to a person with direct knowledge of the deliberations. Unable to meet those
terms, Iran took that as a withdrawal of Qatar’s invitation and decided to stay away.
Still, ministers gathered on Saturday evening in a positive mood. There was no indication Saudi
Arabia had any problems with a draft text committing attendees to keep production at January
levels, according to one of the participants. Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak, who’d
spoken to his Saudi counterpart by phone earlier in the week, told reporters he was “optimistic”
about a deal.
Meeting Delayed
The trouble started on Sunday morning.
Saudi Arabia’s Ali al-Naimi, an octogenarian who’s been in the post for most than 20 years,
insisted the draft agreement must include language that made the deal dependent on Iran’s
eventual participation, participants said. The start of the meeting was delayed several hours while
officials sought to agree the text.
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“Discussions are at a very high level between the Saudis, Russians and Gulf countries,” over
Iran’s output, Wilson Pastor, Ecuador’s governor to OPEC, said in a Bloomberg Television
interview in Doha before the start of formal talks. “The general agreement is in place,” but there
were some disagreements on the wording, he said.
Once the meeting proper got
underway, the haggling continued. In
the hotel’s gaudy gold-leafed
ballroom, ministers huddled round a
PC taking it in turns to try and find
the key sentence everyone could
agree upon, according a person
inside the room, who asked to not
identified because the deliberations
were confidential.
No Deal
After hours of talks, the ministers couldn’t agree on a text that would satisfy al-Naimi and the
meeting broke up without a deal, hours before crude oil futures started trading in Asia.
In an apparent reference to Saudi Arabia, Russia’s Novak said at a press conference after the
talks that some countries changed their position right before the meeting after agreeing to an
earlier draft.
“I thought countries that came here, came to agree and not to discuss the need of joining in of
those countries that were not participating,” he said. “We had been disputing today a lot, and that
was because some countries from OPEC changed their positions in the morning.”
Crude oil has rallied since the freeze was first proposed in February, with Brent crude up more
than 45 percent since falling to a 12-year low in January. The global benchmark lost as much as 7
percent when markets opened Monday.
"Ultimately, Saudi oil policy has become extremely politicized,” said Amrita Sen, chief oil analyst at
Energy Aspects Ltd. “They are going to get a fairly big sell-off tomorrow.”
The deal’s demise will probably do little to alter supply-demand fundamentals as producers
committed to a freeze including Russia and Iraq were already producing at record levels. But it’s
left a coordinated response to the slump in ruins, and that will send an important message to the
market: it’s every country for itself again.
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Kuwait oil output plunges 60% as workers strike over pay
Bloomberg + Gulf Times
Kuwait’s crude production tumbled by 60% and its refineries scaled back operations as the state
oil company took emergency measures to cope with the first day of an open-ended labour strike.
The Opec member’s production dropped to 1.1mn bpd, Saad al-Azmi, deputy chief executive for
finance and spokesman at Kuwait Oil Co, said in posts on Instagram and Twitter yesterday when
workers walked off the job. Kuwait Petroleum Corp, the parent company for KOC and other
operating units, will continue providing fuel to the local market and can meet demand from
international customers for exports, it said on Twitter.
Kuwait is among Middle Eastern oil
producers that are cutting spending
and benefits to plug holes that the
oil-price drop of nearly 30% in the
past year has punched in
government budgets. Prices have
fallen as rising output from the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting
Countries and other suppliers has
created a global glut. Kuwait
produced 2.81mn bpd last month,
making it Opec’s fourth-largest
member, while worldwide supply
exceeded demand by 1.6mn in the
first quarter, according to the International Energy Agency. The plunge in Kuwait’s output “is just
shocking,” Edward Bell, a commodities analyst at Dubai-based bank Emirates NBD, said
yesterday by phone. “That would take care of the surplus right there. There could be quite a bit of
upside in oil tomorrow.”
Oil ministers from producing countries such as Saudi Arabia, Opec’s largest member, and Russia
were meeting in Doha yesterday to discuss a proposal to freeze oil output to help prop up prices.
Brent crude closed at $43.10 a barrel Friday, posting gains of about 25% since the freeze was
proposed in mid- February. News of a possible deal from that meeting could be overshadowed by
the impact of Kuwait’s reduced production, Bell said.
Kuwait’s oil and gas refineries are processing 520,000 bpd of crude, said Khaled al-Asousi,
spokesman for Kuwait National Petroleum Co. The state-owned refinery unit reduced processing
rates at the country’s three oil plants, which have a combined capacity of about 900,000 bpd, due
to emergency measures and because less supply is available from KOC, he said.
Members of the 13,000-strong Oil & Petrochemical Industries Workers Confederation are
protesting cuts in their wages and benefits, Saif al-Qahtani, the union’s leader, said by phone on
Thursday. About 6,000 workers walked off the job when the strike began yesterday, CNBC
Arabiya cited him as saying.
Union officials couldn’t be reached for comment yesterday.Natural gas production stood at 620mn
standard cubic feet a day, al-Azmi said. Kuwait’s refineries process crude into refined products
such as gasoline, diesel and jet fuel for domestic use and export.
Negotiations with the strikers were continuing, Mohammed al-Shatti, Kuwait’s representative to
Opec, said in Doha.
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UAE: Electric car charging units installed in Dubai
Seven electric vehicle charging units installed at Enoc and Eppco service
stations .
The push to plug Dubai into the global green economy continues as more charging stations are
set up at petrol stations to charge the growing trend of electric cars hitting the streets.
On Sunday, Emirates National Oil Company (Enoc), a wholly-owned entity of the Government of
Dubai, stated that it had installed seven electrical vehicle charging stations at Enoc/Eppco service
stations across Dubai.
The new charging units promote
sustainability and are in line with the Dubai
Government’s Smart City strategy, the
energy firm said.
With partners Dubai Electricity and Water
Authority (Dewa), the first seven charging
stations were completed and commissioned
in Enoc/Eppco petrol stations in February,
while two more units will be installed at new
sites currently under construction in Dubai.
Saeed Mohammad Al Tayer, vice-chairman
of Enoc Group and managing director and
chief executive officer of Dewa, said, “This
project highlights our commitment to
sustainability and our strategy to promote the
use of electric cars, in line with the Dubai
Government’s Smart City initiative. We are
thankful to Enoc for its support in providing
their facilities to establish the infrastructure
needed to facilitate the implementation,” he
said in a statement released on Sunday.
Saif Humaid Al Falasi, Enoc Group CEO,
said: “The incorporation of electric charging
units at our service stations underlines our
commitment to protect the environment as
well as our support to the government sector
in its efforts to achieve the emirate’s sustainable development goals. We are proud to cooperate
with Dewa, and the Government of Dubai, by offering our wide network of service stations to build
the infrastructure needed to apply this visionary initiative.”
Dewa launched the electric-vehicle charging stations programme last year in support of the vision
of His Highness Shaikh Mohammad Bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Vice-President and Prime Minister of
the UAE and Ruler of Dubai, to transform Dubai into the smartest city in the world. Electric-vehicle
charging stations promote sustainable personal transportation and preserve natural resources.
Highlighting its support to promoting
sustainability and in line with the
Dubai Government’s Smart City
strategy, Emirates National Oil
Company (ENOC), a wholly-owned
entity of the Government of Dubai,
has announced the installation of
nine electrical vehicle charging
stations at ENOC/EPPCO service
stations across Dubai.
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In February 2015, Dewa launched its first charging station for electric cars at its headquarters.
Enoc is a strong participant in environmental protection, promoting the use of Compressed Natural
Gas (CNG) as a clean and green fuel of choice that supports the Green Economy for Sustainable
Development vision of the UAE through EMGAS. Enoc also owns and operates a ‘green service
station’ in Dubai, the first of its kind in the region.
NewBase Editorial expect that by year 2030 NO sight will be for any petrol
filling station in the cities in the UAE . Electrical cars with advance battaries
will rule the streets of the cities & perhaps in all GCC major cities.
Future filling stations
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GCC petchem capacity rises to 142mn tonnes in 2015, says GPCA
GPCA + Gulf News + NewBase
The GCC’s petrochemical industry has expanded its capacity from 38mn tonnes in 2004 to
142.1mn tonnes last year, the Gulf Petrochemicals and Chemicals Association (GPCA) has said.
And with the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) tripling its production capacity between 2004 and
2015, petrochemical producers in the region must focus on supply chain efficiencies in order to
retain export market share, GPCA said ahead of the Supply Chain Conference in May.
Regional chemical output in plastics, fertilisers and other products are chiefly destined for
overseas markets. In 2015, 80%, or 70.6mn tonnes, of petrochemicals were exported abroad.
“In just over a decade, the GCC’s petrochemical industry has
expanded its capacity from 38mn tonnes in 2004, to 142.1mn
tonnes in 2015,” said Dr Abdulwahab al-Sadoun, secretary
general, GPCA.
“At 9.5% a year, this production growth is second only to
China, with more and more diversified products being
produced in the GCC. As capacity expansions continue, and
an estimated 40 additional products are introduced from GCC
petrochemical producers till 2020, the supply chain will have
to adjust.
We can already see the direct impact of product expansion
on the supply chain, resulting in the emergence of business-
to-business style logistics industry that includes road, shipping and port facilities, with further
expansion plans in railways in the near future,” he continued. New and improved port
infrastructure in the region includes Qatar’s New Port Project (NPP), Yanbu Port in Saudi Arabia
and Jebel Ali Port and Khalifa Port in the UAE.
Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed,
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Port expansions are expected to continue into 2016, as the new $7bn mega port near Qatar’s
Mesaieed Industrial City is set to open this year, and port construction continues in Kuwait.
However, there are some serious challenges the region has to overcome including current
economic conditions, port congestion, complicated customs procedures, under-invested
infrastructure and stalled free trade agreement negotiations with the major economic blocks like
the European Union.
“Improving logistics facilities are well within the remit of the region’s petrochemical companies:
petrochemical producers should also up their investment in training and education of their
workshop and partner with regional universities and colleges to bridge the current gap between
academia and industry,” al-Sadoun said.
To support regional players in this endeavour, the GCC is set to host its 8th Supply Chain
Conference in Dubai.
Held on the theme, ‘Supporting Downstream Development - Creating Supply Chain Linkages’, the
conference gathers speakers from petrochemical companies, railways and consultancies explore
synergies between the GCC’s chemical industry and the emerging logistics infrastructure in the
region.
Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed,
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Oman LNG 2015 revenue at $2.6bn
Oman Observer
Majority government owned Oman LNG, which operates a three-train natural gas liquefaction
plant at Sur, has announced revenues of $2.612 billion for 2015, down from the previous year’s
figure of $4.074 billion — a decline attributed primarily to the collapse in international oil and gas
prices, as well as a shortfall in LNG production .
The slump in revenues was the steepest in the last five years, reflective of the devastating impact
that the oil price crash continues to wreak upon energy producing economies, such as Oman. It
compares with record high revenues of $4.491 billion achieved in 2013, up from $4.342 billion in
2012, and $3.963 billion in 2011.
Net income after tax (NIAT) also plummeted to $965 million in 2015, down from $1.768 billion a
year earlier, the company said in its 2015 Annual Report. Summing up the impact on the
company’s performance in 2015 and the outlook for the current year, Dr Mohammed bin Hamed al
Rumhy, Chairman of the Board of Directors of Oman LNG, said: “We enter 2016 with oil and gas
prices still languishing at values more than two thirds below their mid-2014 high.
To say that this does not present challenges to our company would be to deny the undeniable.
The company has shown wisdom in responding to this challenge; as we have had to initiate some
Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed,
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serious cost optimisation and take measures to create more efficiencies in all areas of our
business.”
Harib al Kitani, Oman LNG Chief Executive Officer, commented: “Despite some encouraging signs
early this year, the time has not yet arrived to declare a reversal of the oil and gas price trend. It is
expected to come in due course, and in the meantime several budgetary restraints will continue in
the oil and gas industry, including Oman LNG.
This has not undermined the health of either our balance sheet or our company strategic
objectives.” LNG production slumped to 7.91 million tonnes in 2015 — the lowest since 2011 — as
natural gas was diverted by the government primarily to meet burgeoning demand from the power
generation and water desalination. This led to the underutilisation of Oman LNG’s capacity by
2.49 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) last year, equating to around 15 per cent of the integrated 3-
train plant’s total capacity of 10.4 mtpa.
However, to help offset part of the impact of market volatility on its revenue objectives, Oman LNG
resorted to cargo swaps and diversions to optimise earnings — a strategy that has been aided by
Oman LNG’s integration with sister firm Qalhat LNG in 2013, the CEO noted. A total of 126
cargoes (83 from Oman LNG and 43 from Qalhat LNG) were loaded from the integrated Sur plant
in 2015.
Meanwhile, production of natural gas liquids (NGL) — a byproduct of gas liquefaction — also
suffered its biggest fall in five years to 241,185 metric tonnes last year, down from 145,711 metric
tonnes in 2014. NGLs are typically lifted by state-owned Oman Oil Refineries and Petroleum
Industries Company (Orpic) for processing into fuel and other refined petroleum products.
Qalhat LNG revenues at $870m
Revenues generated by Qalhat LNG as its share of gross earnings from the integrated three-train
LNG plant amounted to $870 million in 2015.
Qalhat LNG owns the third of the three liquefactions trains, although all three trains are operated
by Oman LNG. The Omani government (with a 46.84 per cent stake) and Oman LNG (with a 36.8
per cent share) are the main shareholders in Qalhat LNG.
Qalhat LNG has three long-term sale and purchase agreements (SPAs) for a total contracted
volume of approximately 3.3 mtpa. The agreements to supply LNG include a 20-year SPA with
Spain’s Union Fenosa Gas (1.65 mtpa), a 17-year SPA with Japan’s Osaka Gas (0.8 mtpa) and a
15-year SPA with Mitsubishi Japan (0.8 mtpa).
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NewBase 18 April 2016 Khaled Al Awadi
NewBase For discussion or further details on the news below you may contact us on +971504822502 , Dubai , UAE
Oil price falls after Doha summit ends without output freeze deal
Reuters + CNBC + NewBase
Oil prices pared back some of the over 5 percent losses seen in early Asian hours, after the
world's largest oil-producing countries failed to strike a deal to freeze output.
As of 10:10 a.m. HK/SIN time on Monday, U.S. crude futures were down 4.56 percent at $38.52 a
barrel, after falling over 5.7 percent in early morning trade. Global benchmark Brent was down
3.99 percent at $41.38, retracing some of its over 5 percent losses from earlier.
Energy stocks in the region were firmly lower, with shares of Santosfalling 6 percent, Oil
Search down 4 percent and Woodside Petroleumeasing by 0.8 percent. Japan's Inpex tumbled
4.98 percent while Japan Petroleum fell 4.15 percent.
Mainland Chinese oil plays were also down, with shares of Sinopec off 3.09 percent and China
Petroleum down 2.79 percent.
A deal between nearly 20 of the world's largest oil exporters, including Saudi Arabia and non-
OPEC member Russia, had been hoped to formalize an output freeze at January levels. In
February, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Venezuela agreed to freeze output if other producers
would join them.
Oil price special
coverage
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Optimism of an agreement was hit early after Iran made a last minute decision not to attend,
and OPEC's defacto leader Saudi Arabia vowed not to freeze production unless other major
producers did the same.
Most analysts agreed that a key reason oil producers failed to reach a deal was due to the
ongoing tension between Saudi Arabia and Iran.
Analysts at Barclays said in a note, the "meeting exposed that the heightening geopolitical tension
between Saudi Arabia and Iran continues to transcend into the oil market, hampering OPEC
representatives' ability to save face with even a simple, vague agreement to do what they had
planned to do anyway for the next couple of months."
Angus Nicholson, a market analyst at IG, added the Saudis have little inclination to "freeze their
own production and make way for newly sanctions-free Iran to increase their market share," given
the proxy wars the two countries are fighting in Yemen and Syria-Iraq.
Iran has consistently maintained that it would not consider freezing or reducing production level
until it regained its market share, following the lifting of the international sanctions in January.
Reuters reported Iran's oil minister Bijan Zanganeh saying on Saturday that oil producers should
accept the reality of Iran's return to the market, adding a production freeze will not help the country
benefit from the lifting of sanctions.
Saudi Arabia, on the other hand, maintained that it would consider freezing output on the condition
that other members follow through.
The latest setback marks a turnaround for oil prices, which had risen over 50 percent since
February, even as the market remained oversupplied.
Michael O'Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading, said in a note Monday morning Asia
time that crude's rally this year was not due to rising demand, but rather fueled by "repeated
speculation that a deal for a production cut would be reached ... in Doha."
U.S. crude futures hit their lowest for the year in February, when prices fell as low as $26.21 a
barrel, and have rebounded as much as 54 percent since then. Brent crude futures were down as
low as $27.88 a barrel in January, and have since rebounded 55 percent.
O'Rourke said, "eighty percent of the speculator positions in crude are long, thus making the
commodity ripe for a pullback."
Recent data, however, have indicated some reduction in non-OPEC oil supply, which, analysts
have said indicated the balancing process in oil markets is underway.
On Friday, Reuters reported data from oilfield services firm Baker Hughes showing the number of
rigs drilling for oil in U.S. fields fell by 3 to a total of 351 in the previous week. At the same time
last year, U.S. producers were operating 734 oil rigs, said Reuters.
Analysts at Goldman Sachs said in a note the lack of agreement in Doha does not "imply that
OPEC production will recover in the short-term, as the year-to-date stabilization owes to ongoing
disruptions and maintenance rather than coordination," the analysts said.
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or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this
publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 15
NewBase Special Coverage
News Agencies News Release 18 April 2016
Oil Producers Spook Emerging Markets as Ringgit Leads Selloff
Bloomberg - Harry Suhartono
Share on FacebookShare on Twitter
The failure by the world’s biggest oil producers to agree on an output freeze spurred a selloff
across emerging markets, with stocks halting a seven-day rally as Brent crude plunged as much
as 7 percent.
The ringgit led declines in developing-nation currencies as thedisappointment stemming from the
weekend meeting in Doha disrupted a recovery in commodity prices, putting pressure on
Malaysian finances as a net oil exporter. Hopes an agreement would be reached had pushed
Brent above $44 a barrel for the first time since December and spurred gains across asset classes
in recent days. It’s now headed back toward $40 as the discussions to address a global oil glut
stalled after Saudi Arabia and other Gulf nations wouldn’t commit to any deal unless all OPEC
members joined, including Iran.
Energy-related companies fell the most among the 10 industry groups of the MSCI Emerging
Markets Index, which dropped 0.7 percent and extended its retreat from last week’s highest level
since November. While that was the biggest decline since April 5, the energy component slid 1.5
percent and industrial stocks 1.1 percent.
“We have seen a high correlation between oil, commodity prices and emerging assets this year
and we have seen a strong run up, so the latest development on the failure to agree on an oil
output freeze should spark profit taking among investors,” said Miles Remington, head of equities
at BNP Paribas Securities Indonesia.
Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed,
or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this
publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 16
The ringgit declined 0.9 percent to 3.9385 per dollar as of 10:38 a.m. in Kuala Lumpur and
touched 3.9625, the weakest level since March 30. The MSCI currencies’ gauge fell 0.3 percent
following last week’s 0.6 percent advance. The JPMorgan Emerging Market Volatility Index
dropped 1 percent.
South Korea’s won dropped 0.3 percent. The Bank of Korea will refrain from following India and
Indonesia in easing monetary policy further on Tuesday, and keep its benchmark interest rate at a
record-low 1.5 percent for a 10th straight month, according to 16 of 20 economists surveyed by
Bloomberg. The rest see a 25 basis-point cut. North Korea is capable of conducting a fifth nuclear
test at any time, South Korean Defense Ministry spokesman Moon Sang Gyun said at a regular
briefing.
Oil ministers from 16 nations, representing about half the world’s output, gathered in the Qatari
capital in a bid to stabilize the global market, the first significant attempt at coordinating production
between the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and nations outside the group in 15
years. Saudi Arabia’s Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said the kingdom wouldn’t
restrain its production without commitments from other major producers including Iran, which has
ruled out freezing for now.
Brent was down 4.3 percent at $41.26 after dropping to $40.10. That’s trimmed its rebound from
January’s 12-year low of $27 to 53 percent. Prices are still off their 2014 peak of more than $115.
C R E D I T : R E Z A / C O N T R I B U T O R
Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed,
or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this
publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 17
NewBase For discussion or further details on the news below you may contact us on +971504822502, Dubai, UAE
Your partner in Energy Services
NewBase energy news is produced daily (Sunday to Thursday) and
sponsored by Hawk Energy Service – Dubai, UAE.
For additional free subscription emails please contact Hawk Energy
Khaled Malallah Al Awadi,
Energy Consultant
MS & BS Mechanical Engineering (HON), USA
Emarat member since 1990
ASME member since 1995
Hawk Energy member 2010
Mobile: +97150-4822502
khdmohd@hawkenergy.net
khdmohd@hotmail.com
Khaled Al Awadi is a UAE National with a total of 25 years of experience in
the Oil & Gas sector. Currently working as Technical Affairs Specialist for
Emirates General Petroleum Corp. “Emarat“ with external voluntary Energy
consultation for the GCC area via Hawk Energy Service as a UAE
operations base , Most of the experience were spent as the Gas Operations
Manager in Emarat , responsible for Emarat Gas Pipeline Network Facility &
gas compressor stations . Through the years, he has developed great
experiences in the designing & constructing of gas pipelines, gas metering & regulating stations
and in the engineering of supply routes. Many years were spent drafting, & compiling gas
transportation, operation & maintenance agreements along with many MOUs for the local
authorities. He has become a reference for many of the Oil & Gas Conferences held in the UAE
and Energy program broadcasted internationally, via GCC leading satellite Channels.
NewBase : For discussion or further details on the news above you may contact us on +971504822502 , Dubai , UAE
NewBase 18 April 2016 K. Al Awadi
Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed,
or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this
publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 18
Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed,
or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this
publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 19

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New base 832 special 18 april 2016

  • 1. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 1 NewBase 18 April 2016 - Issue No. 832 Edited & Produced by: Khaled Al Awadi NewBase For discussion or further details on the news below you may contact us on +971504822502, Dubai, UAE Oil Plunges After Output Talks Fail Amid Saudi Demands Over Iran….. Bloomberg = Elena Mazneva + News Agenceies Oil tumbled by the most in two months after output talks Sunday between the world’s biggest producers ended without any agreement on limiting supplies, a diplomatic failure that threatens to renew the rout in prices. Futures fell as much as 6.8 percent in New York, the biggest intraday drop since Feb. 1. The summit in the Qatari capital, which dragged on for more than ten hours beyond its initially scheduled conclusion, finished with no final accord. There were significant hurdles to any deal after Saudi Arabia’s Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said the kingdom wouldn’t restrain its production without commitments from other major producers including Iran, which has ruled out freezing for now. “The weekend talks are demonstration that the Saudi government, as the deputy crown prince has clearly stated, doesn’t want to cede market share,” said Ed Morse, head of global commodity research at Citigroup Inc. by phone.
  • 2. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 2 “They are fearful that the world may be in a weak or bearish market for a long period of time. In a bear market, as they learned from the 1980s, if they cede market share it is very difficult to get it back.” West Texas Intermediate for May delivery lost as much as $2.75 to $37.61 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange and was at $38.36 at 10:35 a.m. Hong Kong time. The contract fell $1.14, or 2.8 percent, to $40.36 on Friday. Total trading volume was almost fivefold the 100-day average. Brent for June settlement dropped as much as $3, or 7 percent, to $40.10 a barrel on the London- based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The contract lost 74 cents, or 1.7 percent, to $43.10 on Friday. The global benchmark was at a $1.47 premium to WTI for June. Oil ministers from 16 nations, representing about half the world’s output, gathered in the Qatari capital in a bid to stabilize the global market, the first significant attempt at coordinating oil output between the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and nations outside the group in 15 years. Discussions stumbled after Saudi Arabia and other Gulf nations wouldn’t agree to any deal unless all OPEC members joined including Iran, which wasn’t present at the meeting, Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak told reporters. Tense Negotiations Forty traders and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg last week were evenly split on whether a consensus would be reached, and tensions were visible throughout the negotiations. While analysts doubted that any accord would have a significant impact on the global oil surplus, the group’s inability to agree undermines any prospect of coordinated action to solve the market slump. Russia was surprised there wasn’t an agreement, said Novak. Officials from Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Venezuela and Russia -- who initiated the push for a freeze in February -- agreed to a draft accord on Saturday, but some countries changed their position right before the summit the following day, leading to “hot discussions,” he said. “The fact that Saudi Arabia seems to have blocked the deal is an indicator of how much its oil policy is being driven by the ongoing geopolitical conflict with Iran,” said Jason Bordoff, director of the Center on Global Energy Policy at Columbia University and a former White House official. Saudi Obstacle A freeze could have sped up the rebalancing of the market by six months, which may now take until mid-2017, Novak said in a press conference after the talks. The “door is not closed” to a future accord, although “Russia won’t be as optimistic as before,” he said. OPEC members will consult among themselves and with other oil producers until June, Qatar’s Energy Minister Mohammed Al Sada said at news conference after the meeting. The next scheduled bi-annual OPEC meeting is on June 2. Iran, which is reviving oil exports after international sanctions were lifted in January, ruled out any limits on its output before reaching pre-sanctions levels, dismissing the notion of joining the freeze
  • 3. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 3 as “ridiculous.” The nation’s Oil Minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh said Saturday he wouldn’t attend the Doha talks and won’t be a signatory to any deal as it would amount to self-imposed sanctions. Kuwait production cuts and hedge fund positions: • Kuwait’s crude production tumbled by 60 percent and its refineries scaled back operations as the state oil company took emergency measures Sunday to cope with the first day of an open-ended labor strike. • Money managers’ net-long positions in WTI futures and options are more than twice as large as two months ago and increased by 11 percent in the week ended April 12, U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data showed Friday. Oil's Grand Bargain Falls Victim to Saudi Arabia's Iran Fixation In the end, the outcome of Sunday’s summit of 16 oil ministers at Qatar’s Sheraton hotel turned on one country that wasn’t there. Iran’s decision, on the eve of the meeting, not to attend signaled things wouldn’t go well. When ministers assembled the next day, Saudi Arabia stunned some of them by insisting every OPEC member, including Iran, must subscribe to the deal to freeze oil production. Scheduled to end with an early afternoon press conference, proceedings dragged into the evening. When the meeting finally broke up without a deal just after 9 p.m. local time, it fell to the host minister, Qatar’s Mohammed Al Sada, to announce the result at a press conference for the dozens of reporters who’d flown in to cover the talks. “The inclusion of all OPEC members would definitely help in reaching an agreement,” he said, promising more consultation before the group’s June meeting.
  • 4. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 4 The freeze deal, mooted in February as the first coordinated action between OPEC and non- OPEC producers for 15 years, had fallen victim to tensions between Saudi Arabia and its main regional rival, a relationship soured by proxy conflicts from Syria to Yemen. Taken Control Mohammed bin Salman, the young Saudi deputy crown prince who’s taken control of economic policy in the world’s top oil producer, had publicly warned twice that no deal was possible without Iran’s participation. In turn, Iran insisted on its right to boost crude production to the level it pumped before it became subject to international sanctions. Iran had no intention of voluntarily sanctioning itself, the deputy oil minister said on Saturday. The government in Tehran had decided there was no point in turning up to Doha on Friday after Qatari officials contacted Iran to say only countries intending to sign up to the freeze should attend, according to a person with direct knowledge of the deliberations. Unable to meet those terms, Iran took that as a withdrawal of Qatar’s invitation and decided to stay away. Still, ministers gathered on Saturday evening in a positive mood. There was no indication Saudi Arabia had any problems with a draft text committing attendees to keep production at January levels, according to one of the participants. Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak, who’d spoken to his Saudi counterpart by phone earlier in the week, told reporters he was “optimistic” about a deal. Meeting Delayed The trouble started on Sunday morning. Saudi Arabia’s Ali al-Naimi, an octogenarian who’s been in the post for most than 20 years, insisted the draft agreement must include language that made the deal dependent on Iran’s eventual participation, participants said. The start of the meeting was delayed several hours while officials sought to agree the text.
  • 5. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 5 “Discussions are at a very high level between the Saudis, Russians and Gulf countries,” over Iran’s output, Wilson Pastor, Ecuador’s governor to OPEC, said in a Bloomberg Television interview in Doha before the start of formal talks. “The general agreement is in place,” but there were some disagreements on the wording, he said. Once the meeting proper got underway, the haggling continued. In the hotel’s gaudy gold-leafed ballroom, ministers huddled round a PC taking it in turns to try and find the key sentence everyone could agree upon, according a person inside the room, who asked to not identified because the deliberations were confidential. No Deal After hours of talks, the ministers couldn’t agree on a text that would satisfy al-Naimi and the meeting broke up without a deal, hours before crude oil futures started trading in Asia. In an apparent reference to Saudi Arabia, Russia’s Novak said at a press conference after the talks that some countries changed their position right before the meeting after agreeing to an earlier draft. “I thought countries that came here, came to agree and not to discuss the need of joining in of those countries that were not participating,” he said. “We had been disputing today a lot, and that was because some countries from OPEC changed their positions in the morning.” Crude oil has rallied since the freeze was first proposed in February, with Brent crude up more than 45 percent since falling to a 12-year low in January. The global benchmark lost as much as 7 percent when markets opened Monday. "Ultimately, Saudi oil policy has become extremely politicized,” said Amrita Sen, chief oil analyst at Energy Aspects Ltd. “They are going to get a fairly big sell-off tomorrow.” The deal’s demise will probably do little to alter supply-demand fundamentals as producers committed to a freeze including Russia and Iraq were already producing at record levels. But it’s left a coordinated response to the slump in ruins, and that will send an important message to the market: it’s every country for itself again.
  • 6. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 6 Kuwait oil output plunges 60% as workers strike over pay Bloomberg + Gulf Times Kuwait’s crude production tumbled by 60% and its refineries scaled back operations as the state oil company took emergency measures to cope with the first day of an open-ended labour strike. The Opec member’s production dropped to 1.1mn bpd, Saad al-Azmi, deputy chief executive for finance and spokesman at Kuwait Oil Co, said in posts on Instagram and Twitter yesterday when workers walked off the job. Kuwait Petroleum Corp, the parent company for KOC and other operating units, will continue providing fuel to the local market and can meet demand from international customers for exports, it said on Twitter. Kuwait is among Middle Eastern oil producers that are cutting spending and benefits to plug holes that the oil-price drop of nearly 30% in the past year has punched in government budgets. Prices have fallen as rising output from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and other suppliers has created a global glut. Kuwait produced 2.81mn bpd last month, making it Opec’s fourth-largest member, while worldwide supply exceeded demand by 1.6mn in the first quarter, according to the International Energy Agency. The plunge in Kuwait’s output “is just shocking,” Edward Bell, a commodities analyst at Dubai-based bank Emirates NBD, said yesterday by phone. “That would take care of the surplus right there. There could be quite a bit of upside in oil tomorrow.” Oil ministers from producing countries such as Saudi Arabia, Opec’s largest member, and Russia were meeting in Doha yesterday to discuss a proposal to freeze oil output to help prop up prices. Brent crude closed at $43.10 a barrel Friday, posting gains of about 25% since the freeze was proposed in mid- February. News of a possible deal from that meeting could be overshadowed by the impact of Kuwait’s reduced production, Bell said. Kuwait’s oil and gas refineries are processing 520,000 bpd of crude, said Khaled al-Asousi, spokesman for Kuwait National Petroleum Co. The state-owned refinery unit reduced processing rates at the country’s three oil plants, which have a combined capacity of about 900,000 bpd, due to emergency measures and because less supply is available from KOC, he said. Members of the 13,000-strong Oil & Petrochemical Industries Workers Confederation are protesting cuts in their wages and benefits, Saif al-Qahtani, the union’s leader, said by phone on Thursday. About 6,000 workers walked off the job when the strike began yesterday, CNBC Arabiya cited him as saying. Union officials couldn’t be reached for comment yesterday.Natural gas production stood at 620mn standard cubic feet a day, al-Azmi said. Kuwait’s refineries process crude into refined products such as gasoline, diesel and jet fuel for domestic use and export. Negotiations with the strikers were continuing, Mohammed al-Shatti, Kuwait’s representative to Opec, said in Doha.
  • 7. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 7 UAE: Electric car charging units installed in Dubai Seven electric vehicle charging units installed at Enoc and Eppco service stations . The push to plug Dubai into the global green economy continues as more charging stations are set up at petrol stations to charge the growing trend of electric cars hitting the streets. On Sunday, Emirates National Oil Company (Enoc), a wholly-owned entity of the Government of Dubai, stated that it had installed seven electrical vehicle charging stations at Enoc/Eppco service stations across Dubai. The new charging units promote sustainability and are in line with the Dubai Government’s Smart City strategy, the energy firm said. With partners Dubai Electricity and Water Authority (Dewa), the first seven charging stations were completed and commissioned in Enoc/Eppco petrol stations in February, while two more units will be installed at new sites currently under construction in Dubai. Saeed Mohammad Al Tayer, vice-chairman of Enoc Group and managing director and chief executive officer of Dewa, said, “This project highlights our commitment to sustainability and our strategy to promote the use of electric cars, in line with the Dubai Government’s Smart City initiative. We are thankful to Enoc for its support in providing their facilities to establish the infrastructure needed to facilitate the implementation,” he said in a statement released on Sunday. Saif Humaid Al Falasi, Enoc Group CEO, said: “The incorporation of electric charging units at our service stations underlines our commitment to protect the environment as well as our support to the government sector in its efforts to achieve the emirate’s sustainable development goals. We are proud to cooperate with Dewa, and the Government of Dubai, by offering our wide network of service stations to build the infrastructure needed to apply this visionary initiative.” Dewa launched the electric-vehicle charging stations programme last year in support of the vision of His Highness Shaikh Mohammad Bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Vice-President and Prime Minister of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai, to transform Dubai into the smartest city in the world. Electric-vehicle charging stations promote sustainable personal transportation and preserve natural resources. Highlighting its support to promoting sustainability and in line with the Dubai Government’s Smart City strategy, Emirates National Oil Company (ENOC), a wholly-owned entity of the Government of Dubai, has announced the installation of nine electrical vehicle charging stations at ENOC/EPPCO service stations across Dubai.
  • 8. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 8 In February 2015, Dewa launched its first charging station for electric cars at its headquarters. Enoc is a strong participant in environmental protection, promoting the use of Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) as a clean and green fuel of choice that supports the Green Economy for Sustainable Development vision of the UAE through EMGAS. Enoc also owns and operates a ‘green service station’ in Dubai, the first of its kind in the region. NewBase Editorial expect that by year 2030 NO sight will be for any petrol filling station in the cities in the UAE . Electrical cars with advance battaries will rule the streets of the cities & perhaps in all GCC major cities. Future filling stations
  • 9. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 9 GCC petchem capacity rises to 142mn tonnes in 2015, says GPCA GPCA + Gulf News + NewBase The GCC’s petrochemical industry has expanded its capacity from 38mn tonnes in 2004 to 142.1mn tonnes last year, the Gulf Petrochemicals and Chemicals Association (GPCA) has said. And with the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) tripling its production capacity between 2004 and 2015, petrochemical producers in the region must focus on supply chain efficiencies in order to retain export market share, GPCA said ahead of the Supply Chain Conference in May. Regional chemical output in plastics, fertilisers and other products are chiefly destined for overseas markets. In 2015, 80%, or 70.6mn tonnes, of petrochemicals were exported abroad. “In just over a decade, the GCC’s petrochemical industry has expanded its capacity from 38mn tonnes in 2004, to 142.1mn tonnes in 2015,” said Dr Abdulwahab al-Sadoun, secretary general, GPCA. “At 9.5% a year, this production growth is second only to China, with more and more diversified products being produced in the GCC. As capacity expansions continue, and an estimated 40 additional products are introduced from GCC petrochemical producers till 2020, the supply chain will have to adjust. We can already see the direct impact of product expansion on the supply chain, resulting in the emergence of business- to-business style logistics industry that includes road, shipping and port facilities, with further expansion plans in railways in the near future,” he continued. New and improved port infrastructure in the region includes Qatar’s New Port Project (NPP), Yanbu Port in Saudi Arabia and Jebel Ali Port and Khalifa Port in the UAE.
  • 10. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 10 Port expansions are expected to continue into 2016, as the new $7bn mega port near Qatar’s Mesaieed Industrial City is set to open this year, and port construction continues in Kuwait. However, there are some serious challenges the region has to overcome including current economic conditions, port congestion, complicated customs procedures, under-invested infrastructure and stalled free trade agreement negotiations with the major economic blocks like the European Union. “Improving logistics facilities are well within the remit of the region’s petrochemical companies: petrochemical producers should also up their investment in training and education of their workshop and partner with regional universities and colleges to bridge the current gap between academia and industry,” al-Sadoun said. To support regional players in this endeavour, the GCC is set to host its 8th Supply Chain Conference in Dubai. Held on the theme, ‘Supporting Downstream Development - Creating Supply Chain Linkages’, the conference gathers speakers from petrochemical companies, railways and consultancies explore synergies between the GCC’s chemical industry and the emerging logistics infrastructure in the region.
  • 11. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 11 Oman LNG 2015 revenue at $2.6bn Oman Observer Majority government owned Oman LNG, which operates a three-train natural gas liquefaction plant at Sur, has announced revenues of $2.612 billion for 2015, down from the previous year’s figure of $4.074 billion — a decline attributed primarily to the collapse in international oil and gas prices, as well as a shortfall in LNG production . The slump in revenues was the steepest in the last five years, reflective of the devastating impact that the oil price crash continues to wreak upon energy producing economies, such as Oman. It compares with record high revenues of $4.491 billion achieved in 2013, up from $4.342 billion in 2012, and $3.963 billion in 2011. Net income after tax (NIAT) also plummeted to $965 million in 2015, down from $1.768 billion a year earlier, the company said in its 2015 Annual Report. Summing up the impact on the company’s performance in 2015 and the outlook for the current year, Dr Mohammed bin Hamed al Rumhy, Chairman of the Board of Directors of Oman LNG, said: “We enter 2016 with oil and gas prices still languishing at values more than two thirds below their mid-2014 high. To say that this does not present challenges to our company would be to deny the undeniable. The company has shown wisdom in responding to this challenge; as we have had to initiate some
  • 12. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 12 serious cost optimisation and take measures to create more efficiencies in all areas of our business.” Harib al Kitani, Oman LNG Chief Executive Officer, commented: “Despite some encouraging signs early this year, the time has not yet arrived to declare a reversal of the oil and gas price trend. It is expected to come in due course, and in the meantime several budgetary restraints will continue in the oil and gas industry, including Oman LNG. This has not undermined the health of either our balance sheet or our company strategic objectives.” LNG production slumped to 7.91 million tonnes in 2015 — the lowest since 2011 — as natural gas was diverted by the government primarily to meet burgeoning demand from the power generation and water desalination. This led to the underutilisation of Oman LNG’s capacity by 2.49 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) last year, equating to around 15 per cent of the integrated 3- train plant’s total capacity of 10.4 mtpa. However, to help offset part of the impact of market volatility on its revenue objectives, Oman LNG resorted to cargo swaps and diversions to optimise earnings — a strategy that has been aided by Oman LNG’s integration with sister firm Qalhat LNG in 2013, the CEO noted. A total of 126 cargoes (83 from Oman LNG and 43 from Qalhat LNG) were loaded from the integrated Sur plant in 2015. Meanwhile, production of natural gas liquids (NGL) — a byproduct of gas liquefaction — also suffered its biggest fall in five years to 241,185 metric tonnes last year, down from 145,711 metric tonnes in 2014. NGLs are typically lifted by state-owned Oman Oil Refineries and Petroleum Industries Company (Orpic) for processing into fuel and other refined petroleum products. Qalhat LNG revenues at $870m Revenues generated by Qalhat LNG as its share of gross earnings from the integrated three-train LNG plant amounted to $870 million in 2015. Qalhat LNG owns the third of the three liquefactions trains, although all three trains are operated by Oman LNG. The Omani government (with a 46.84 per cent stake) and Oman LNG (with a 36.8 per cent share) are the main shareholders in Qalhat LNG. Qalhat LNG has three long-term sale and purchase agreements (SPAs) for a total contracted volume of approximately 3.3 mtpa. The agreements to supply LNG include a 20-year SPA with Spain’s Union Fenosa Gas (1.65 mtpa), a 17-year SPA with Japan’s Osaka Gas (0.8 mtpa) and a 15-year SPA with Mitsubishi Japan (0.8 mtpa).
  • 13. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 13 NewBase 18 April 2016 Khaled Al Awadi NewBase For discussion or further details on the news below you may contact us on +971504822502 , Dubai , UAE Oil price falls after Doha summit ends without output freeze deal Reuters + CNBC + NewBase Oil prices pared back some of the over 5 percent losses seen in early Asian hours, after the world's largest oil-producing countries failed to strike a deal to freeze output. As of 10:10 a.m. HK/SIN time on Monday, U.S. crude futures were down 4.56 percent at $38.52 a barrel, after falling over 5.7 percent in early morning trade. Global benchmark Brent was down 3.99 percent at $41.38, retracing some of its over 5 percent losses from earlier. Energy stocks in the region were firmly lower, with shares of Santosfalling 6 percent, Oil Search down 4 percent and Woodside Petroleumeasing by 0.8 percent. Japan's Inpex tumbled 4.98 percent while Japan Petroleum fell 4.15 percent. Mainland Chinese oil plays were also down, with shares of Sinopec off 3.09 percent and China Petroleum down 2.79 percent. A deal between nearly 20 of the world's largest oil exporters, including Saudi Arabia and non- OPEC member Russia, had been hoped to formalize an output freeze at January levels. In February, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Venezuela agreed to freeze output if other producers would join them. Oil price special coverage
  • 14. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 14 Optimism of an agreement was hit early after Iran made a last minute decision not to attend, and OPEC's defacto leader Saudi Arabia vowed not to freeze production unless other major producers did the same. Most analysts agreed that a key reason oil producers failed to reach a deal was due to the ongoing tension between Saudi Arabia and Iran. Analysts at Barclays said in a note, the "meeting exposed that the heightening geopolitical tension between Saudi Arabia and Iran continues to transcend into the oil market, hampering OPEC representatives' ability to save face with even a simple, vague agreement to do what they had planned to do anyway for the next couple of months." Angus Nicholson, a market analyst at IG, added the Saudis have little inclination to "freeze their own production and make way for newly sanctions-free Iran to increase their market share," given the proxy wars the two countries are fighting in Yemen and Syria-Iraq. Iran has consistently maintained that it would not consider freezing or reducing production level until it regained its market share, following the lifting of the international sanctions in January. Reuters reported Iran's oil minister Bijan Zanganeh saying on Saturday that oil producers should accept the reality of Iran's return to the market, adding a production freeze will not help the country benefit from the lifting of sanctions. Saudi Arabia, on the other hand, maintained that it would consider freezing output on the condition that other members follow through. The latest setback marks a turnaround for oil prices, which had risen over 50 percent since February, even as the market remained oversupplied. Michael O'Rourke, chief market strategist at JonesTrading, said in a note Monday morning Asia time that crude's rally this year was not due to rising demand, but rather fueled by "repeated speculation that a deal for a production cut would be reached ... in Doha." U.S. crude futures hit their lowest for the year in February, when prices fell as low as $26.21 a barrel, and have rebounded as much as 54 percent since then. Brent crude futures were down as low as $27.88 a barrel in January, and have since rebounded 55 percent. O'Rourke said, "eighty percent of the speculator positions in crude are long, thus making the commodity ripe for a pullback." Recent data, however, have indicated some reduction in non-OPEC oil supply, which, analysts have said indicated the balancing process in oil markets is underway. On Friday, Reuters reported data from oilfield services firm Baker Hughes showing the number of rigs drilling for oil in U.S. fields fell by 3 to a total of 351 in the previous week. At the same time last year, U.S. producers were operating 734 oil rigs, said Reuters. Analysts at Goldman Sachs said in a note the lack of agreement in Doha does not "imply that OPEC production will recover in the short-term, as the year-to-date stabilization owes to ongoing disruptions and maintenance rather than coordination," the analysts said.
  • 15. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 15 NewBase Special Coverage News Agencies News Release 18 April 2016 Oil Producers Spook Emerging Markets as Ringgit Leads Selloff Bloomberg - Harry Suhartono Share on FacebookShare on Twitter The failure by the world’s biggest oil producers to agree on an output freeze spurred a selloff across emerging markets, with stocks halting a seven-day rally as Brent crude plunged as much as 7 percent. The ringgit led declines in developing-nation currencies as thedisappointment stemming from the weekend meeting in Doha disrupted a recovery in commodity prices, putting pressure on Malaysian finances as a net oil exporter. Hopes an agreement would be reached had pushed Brent above $44 a barrel for the first time since December and spurred gains across asset classes in recent days. It’s now headed back toward $40 as the discussions to address a global oil glut stalled after Saudi Arabia and other Gulf nations wouldn’t commit to any deal unless all OPEC members joined, including Iran. Energy-related companies fell the most among the 10 industry groups of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, which dropped 0.7 percent and extended its retreat from last week’s highest level since November. While that was the biggest decline since April 5, the energy component slid 1.5 percent and industrial stocks 1.1 percent. “We have seen a high correlation between oil, commodity prices and emerging assets this year and we have seen a strong run up, so the latest development on the failure to agree on an oil output freeze should spark profit taking among investors,” said Miles Remington, head of equities at BNP Paribas Securities Indonesia.
  • 16. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 16 The ringgit declined 0.9 percent to 3.9385 per dollar as of 10:38 a.m. in Kuala Lumpur and touched 3.9625, the weakest level since March 30. The MSCI currencies’ gauge fell 0.3 percent following last week’s 0.6 percent advance. The JPMorgan Emerging Market Volatility Index dropped 1 percent. South Korea’s won dropped 0.3 percent. The Bank of Korea will refrain from following India and Indonesia in easing monetary policy further on Tuesday, and keep its benchmark interest rate at a record-low 1.5 percent for a 10th straight month, according to 16 of 20 economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The rest see a 25 basis-point cut. North Korea is capable of conducting a fifth nuclear test at any time, South Korean Defense Ministry spokesman Moon Sang Gyun said at a regular briefing. Oil ministers from 16 nations, representing about half the world’s output, gathered in the Qatari capital in a bid to stabilize the global market, the first significant attempt at coordinating production between the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and nations outside the group in 15 years. Saudi Arabia’s Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said the kingdom wouldn’t restrain its production without commitments from other major producers including Iran, which has ruled out freezing for now. Brent was down 4.3 percent at $41.26 after dropping to $40.10. That’s trimmed its rebound from January’s 12-year low of $27 to 53 percent. Prices are still off their 2014 peak of more than $115. C R E D I T : R E Z A / C O N T R I B U T O R
  • 17. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 17 NewBase For discussion or further details on the news below you may contact us on +971504822502, Dubai, UAE Your partner in Energy Services NewBase energy news is produced daily (Sunday to Thursday) and sponsored by Hawk Energy Service – Dubai, UAE. For additional free subscription emails please contact Hawk Energy Khaled Malallah Al Awadi, Energy Consultant MS & BS Mechanical Engineering (HON), USA Emarat member since 1990 ASME member since 1995 Hawk Energy member 2010 Mobile: +97150-4822502 khdmohd@hawkenergy.net khdmohd@hotmail.com Khaled Al Awadi is a UAE National with a total of 25 years of experience in the Oil & Gas sector. Currently working as Technical Affairs Specialist for Emirates General Petroleum Corp. “Emarat“ with external voluntary Energy consultation for the GCC area via Hawk Energy Service as a UAE operations base , Most of the experience were spent as the Gas Operations Manager in Emarat , responsible for Emarat Gas Pipeline Network Facility & gas compressor stations . Through the years, he has developed great experiences in the designing & constructing of gas pipelines, gas metering & regulating stations and in the engineering of supply routes. Many years were spent drafting, & compiling gas transportation, operation & maintenance agreements along with many MOUs for the local authorities. He has become a reference for many of the Oil & Gas Conferences held in the UAE and Energy program broadcasted internationally, via GCC leading satellite Channels. NewBase : For discussion or further details on the news above you may contact us on +971504822502 , Dubai , UAE NewBase 18 April 2016 K. Al Awadi
  • 18. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 18
  • 19. Copyright © 2015 NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 19