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International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 09 Issue: 10 | Oct 2022 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
ยฉ 2022, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.529 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 299
EXTREME CLIMATIC EVENTS IN CHALAKKUDY TOWN, THRISSUR
DISTRICT, KERALA.
VIMOD K K1 & KRIPA MARIYA THOMAS2
1 Kerala Forest Research Institute. Peechi, Thrissur, Kerala, India
2 Department of Geology and Env Science, Christ college Irinjalakuda, Kerala, India
---------------------------------------------------------------------***---------------------------------------------------------------------
Abstract - In recent years mankind has faced the most
disastrous climatic events such as high (and low)
temperatures, very heavy rainfall, and very high wind speeds.
The major reason behind all these events is the changes we
made on the earthโ€™s surface. Increased anthropogenic
activities and unscientific land use methods are collapsingthe
natural land cover system. These Land cover and land use
(LCLU) changes induced by human and naturalprocessesplay
a major role in global as well as regional scale patterns of the
climate and biogeochemistry of the Earth system.
The present study involves the assessment of extreme climatic
events in Chalakudy. The study area, Chalakudy isamunicipal
town situated on the banks of the Chalakudy river in Thrissur
District of the Kerala State in India. In recent years different
regions of the study area have experienced extreme climatic
events such as high temperatures, veryheavyrainfall, and very
high wind speeds. On October 2nd, 2018 there was a
destructive wind in Chalakudy town that ends with nonstop
rain nearly for two hours. On August 15 and 16, 2018 there
was heavy flooding in Chalakudy. Along with these extreme
climatic events, studies have shown that the study area is
vulnerable to earthquakes. On 18 September 2007, there was
an earthquake of magnitude 1.6.
Key Words: Geographic information system(GIS), Land Use
Land Cover, NDVI, LST, LSE, ABT, etc.
1. INTRODUCTION
These studies have shown that there remain only a few
landscapes on Earth that are still in their natural state. Due
to chiefly environmental pollution and pollutants activities,
the Earth's surface is changing dramaticallyinsomewayand
human presence on earth and its use ofland havea profound
effect on the natural environment, thereby resulting in an
observable pattern of land use/land cover over time. The
study of land use/land cover (LULC) changes is very
important for proper planning and utilization of natural
resources and their management. Traditional methods for
gathering demographic data, censuses, and analysis of
environmental samples are not adequate for multicomplex
environmental studies, since many problems are often
presented in environmental issues and the great complexity
of handling the multidisciplinary data set; we require new
technologies like satellite remote sensing and Geographical
Information Systems (GIS). These technologies providedata
to study and monitor the dynamics of natural resources for
environmental management.
Remote sensing has become an important tool applicable to
developing and understandingtheglobal,physical processes
affecting the earth. GIS is an integrated system of computer
hardware and software capable of capturing, storing,
retrieving, manipulating, analyzing, and displaying
geographically referenced (spatial) information to aid
development-oriented management and decision-making
processes. Remote sensing and GIS have covered a wide
range of applications in the fields of agriculture,
environments, and integrated eco-environmentassessment.
Several researchers have focused on LU/LC studies because
of their adverse effects on the ecology of the area and
vegetation.
Every year, disasters related to weather, climate, and water
hazards cause significant loss of life and set back economic
and social development over years. The term extreme
weather event refers to an occurrenceofa valueofa weather
or climate variable beyond a threshold that lies near the end
of the range of observations for the variable. It is a weather
event that is unusually intense or long, occasionally beyond
what has been experienced before. Examples include very
high (and low) temperatures, very heavy rainfall (and
snowfall in cold climates), and very high wind speeds. The
study involves the assessment of probable impacts of
extreme climatic events in Chalakudy.
1.1 Study area
Chalakudy isa municipal town,withapopulationofabout
50,000. It is located in the southern end of the Thrissur
district in Kerala, India. Thearea islocatedbetweena titude
f t d a gitude f
t The study area is about 78
kmยฒ around Chalakudy town. The study has made use of
various primary and secondary data. The Survey of India
toposheet58 B/71at1:50,000scaleandsatelliteimageswere
used in this study. Land surface temperature data were
collected from Landsat 8. Field surveys were made for
collecting details about floods. ArcGIS and QGIS were the
software used.
International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 09 Issue: 10 | Oct 2022 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
ยฉ 2022, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.529 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 300
Study area map
Pagination anywhere in the paper. Do not number text
heads-the template will do that for you.
Finally, complete content and organizational editing
before formatting. Please take note of the following items
when proofreading spelling and grammar.
1.2 Preparation of Land Use / Land Cover.
Using ArcGIS, the buffer zone of radius 5Km from
Chalakudy town was marked. The Survey of India top sheet
58b71 at 1:50,000 scale is used to prepare a base map. QGIS
is used for extracting the land use/ land cover layers, of the
years 2008 and 2018 from satellite imageries.
1.3 Preparation of Land Surface Temperature.
In the present study, TIR bands 10 and 11 were used to
estimate brightness temperature, and bands 4 and 5 were
used to generate NDVI of the study area. Satellite data over
the Chalakudy region of March years 2016, 2017, 2018, and
2019 have been used in this study. Landsat 8 provides
metadata of the bands such as thermal constant, rescaling
factor value, etc., which can be used for CalculationslikeLST.
1.4 Preparation of Wind Hazards.
The GPS locations of the affected areas were collected
during the field survey. The affected regions were
categorized into classes having descending values out of 10
according to wind intensity. The highly affected regions
come under the value 10.
1.5 Preparation of Flood mapping.
A survey of the flood was conducted to collectthewater
levels. A flood intensity map was prepared using this data
and according to flood intensity, the study area was
classified into three zones, i.e. high flood zone,mediumflood
zone, and low flood zone.
1.6 Preparation of earthquake mapping.
The study of earthquakes in Kerala provided
information about historical incidents. The studies have
shown that there was an earthquake on 18 September 2007
and there are two epicenters within the boundary of the
study area. The georeferenced locations were brought into
the map layer in Arc GIS.
1.7 Preparation of earthquake mapping
The area consumed by human-made infrastructures
such as buildings, roads, railways, etc. were added to the
map layer to create a built-up density map. It was made to
analyze the earthquake vulnerability of the study area.
2. RESULT AND DISCUSSION
2.1 Land Use Land Cover Change Analysis 2008 to
2018.
When it comes to 2018, the major changes have occurred in
the classes of mixed cultivation, homestead with mixed
cultivation, paddy field, major roads, and built. The change
that s occurred in the mixed cultivation and paddy fields is
noticeable. In 2008 the area covering mixed cultivation was
about 3122.3ha which then declined to 1852.68ha in 2018.
Paddy fields covered 1132.7ha of the total area in 2008
while it is only 848.16ha in 2018. This decline is associated
with the conversion of paddy fields into coconut plantations
and mixed cultivation. The increased population triggered
the construction of homesteadsinvegetatedareas.Thereisa
remarkable increase in the contribution of homesteads with
mixed cultivation in 2018. HMC covered 2604.7ha of the
total area in 2008 which then increased to 3828.77ha in
2018. In 2008 the contribution of built-ups was only
117.89ha which is 1.50% of the total area while it is about
338.42ha (4.31%) in 2018. Thesebuilt-upsareconcentrated
in Chalakudy town In 2008 the area used by roads was
274.75ha (3.46%) which increased to 455.34ha (5.80%) in
2018. Another noticeable change is seen in the number of
water bodies. The 83.38ha of water bodies reduced to
52.33ha in 2018.
International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 09 Issue: 10 | Oct 2022 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
ยฉ 2022, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.529 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 301
Table -1: Land use land cover during 2008
Sl.No Category
Area
(Ha.)
Percentage of
total area
1 Built up 117.89 1.50
2 Major roads 274.75 3.46
3 Railway 10.64 0.18
4 Water body 83.38 1.06
5 River Waterbody 1.54
6 Riverbank 39.63 0.50
7 Open scrub 34.68 0.44
8 Ground 11.56 0.15
9 Mining 26.98 0.27
10 Paddy field 1132.7 14.43
11 Uncultivated paddy 29.14 0.37
12 Coconut plantation 242.7 3.09
13 Mixed cultivation 3122.3 39.76
14
Homestead with Mixed
cultivation
2604.7 33.25
Total 7852.26 100.00
Table 2 : Land use land cover during 2018
Sl.No Category
Area
(Ha.)
Percentage of
total area
1 Built up 338.42 4.31
2 Major roads 455.34 5.80
3 Railway 10.64 0.14
4 Water body 52.33 0.67
5 River 128.62 1.64
6 Riverbank 24.3 0.31
7 Open scrub 32.5 0.41
8 Ground 12.5 0.16
9 Mining 27.96 0.36
10 Paddy field 848.16 10.80
11 Uncultivated paddy 121.39 1.55
12 Coconut plantation 118.65 1.51
13 Mixed cultivation 1852.68 23.59
14
Homestead with Mixed
cultivation
3828.77 48.76
Total 7852.26 100.00
2.2 LST Analysis.
Table -3: LST temperature ranges and areas for the
month of March 2016
Sl.No Temperature (ยฐC) Area (Ha) Percentage (%)
1 23.42 - 25 165.66 2.11
2 25 - 30 1405.66 17.90
3 30 - 35 6257.17 79.69
4 35 - 38.43 23.77 0.30
Total 7852.26 100
LST temperature ranges and areas for the month of March. 2016
Table -4: LST temperature ranges and areas for the
month of March 2017
Sl.No Temperature (ยฐC)
Area
(Ha)
Percentage
(%)
1 25.57 - 30 1023.69 13.04
2 30 - 35 6540.91 83.30
3 35 - 40.21 587.66 3.66
Total 7852.26 100
International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 09 Issue: 10 | Oct 2022 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
ยฉ 2022, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.529 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 302
LST temperature ranges and areas for the month of March 2017.
Table -5: LST temperature ranges and areas for the
month of March 2018
Sl.No Temperature (ยฐC) Area (Ha) Percentage (%)
1 -22.13 - 0 1036.98 13.21
2 0 - 15 3857.09 49.12
3 15 - 20 1614.69 20.56
4 20 - 25 1178.04 15.00
5 25 - 30 161.87 2.06
6 30 - 31 3.59 0.05
Total 7852.26 100
LST temperature ranges and areas for the month of March 2018.
Table -6: LST temperature ranges and areas for the
month of March 2019
Sl.No Temperature (ยฐC) Area (Ha) Percentage (%)
1 29.04 - 30 51.18 0.65
2 30 - 35 7209.39 91.81
3 35 - 40 583.54 7.43
4 40 - 41.65 8.15 0.10
Total 7852.26 100
LST temperature ranges and areas for the month of March 2019.
Table -7: LST analysis of the past 4 years.
Sl
N
o
Year
Temperat
ure
25หšC-30หšC
Temperatur
e
30หšC-35หšC
Temperatu
re 35หšC-
40หšC
Tempe
rature
above
40หšC
1 2016 1405.66 6257.17 23.77 -
2 2017 1023.69 6540.91 587.66 -
3 2018 161.87 3.59 - -
4 2019 51.18 7209.39 583.54 8.15
The LULC analysis shows that there has been an increase in
urban areas from 117.89 ha to 338.42 ha during the last
decade. These land cover changes have also influenced the
local climate. The areas having temperatures betwee C
d C re i cre si g ver years.In2016itwas6257.17ha
but in 2019 it is about 7209.39 ha area. Along with this
change, the areas coming under the temperature between
C d C re decre si g I the area comingunder
this class was 1405.66 ha. In 2019 area decreased to 51.18
ha.
International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 09 Issue: 10 | Oct 2022 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
ยฉ 2022, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.529 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 303
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
2016 2017 2018 2019
25หšC-
30หšC
30หšC-
35หšC
Graphs of LST analysis of past 4 years.
Apart from all other years, 2019 shows a new class of areas
h vi g temper ture b ve C I cre sed LST i cert i
urban pockets in comparisontotheirsurroundingsduetothe
increase in paved surfaces is known as the urban heat island
(UHI) phenomenon. A landscape of concrete, asphalt, and
densely packed buildings can enhance heat.
2.3 Wind Hazard Analysis.
Cities contribute to a number of several thatmightleadto
more thunderstorm births or storm enhancement.
The urban heat-island effect: A landscape of concrete,
asphalt, anddenselypackedbuildingscanenhanceheat.Low-
pressure forms atop the urban area with higher pressure in
surrounding rural areas. The scenario might cause low-level
atmospheric convergence; which forces air up into
thunderstorms. Localized areas of upward moving air
resulting from increased surface roughness. A cityscape
modifies wind direction and speed, which might lead to
enhanced convergence and thunderstorm formation.
In 2008, 117.89 ha of the total study area was covered by
built-ups. In 2018 built-ups cover 338.4coveredof the total
area. It is a noticeable changeand it may be the reasonforthe
unpredictable cyclone that occurred in Chalakudy town.
2.4 Flood Hazard Analysis.
On August 15 and 16, there was heavy flooding in
Chalakudy River as the dams in Tamil Nadu were opened
releasing a huge amount of water to the river leading to the
overflow of Peringalkuthu Dam upstream Athirappally
Waterfalls. The water flows into the Peringalkuthu reservoir
in Kerala from the Parambikulam and Tamil Nadu Sholayar
dams resulting in the Chalakudy river overflowing and the
town flooding. The Full Reservoir Level of theParambikulam
dam was 1,825 feet. As the inflow to Parambikulam and
Tamil Nadu Sholayar dams increased,thewaterwasreleased
into the Peringalkuthu reservoir and onto the Chalakudy
river. 35,000 cusecs of water were released from the
Parambikulam dam and 30,000 cusecs from the Tamil Nadu
Sholayar dam which flowed into the Chalakudy river.
2.5 Flood Zone Area.
The total study area is categorized into three zones, low
flood, medium flood, and high flood according to flood
intensity. 4868.33 Ha, which is 62% of the total study area
was highly affected. The flood covered a 3 to 4 km distance
from the Chalakudy River. The water level reached a peak of
9.05 meters from ground level. The most affected areas are
those close to the river. The flooded areas with a water level
of about 1 to 2.01 come under medium flood and it covers
1282.23 ha of the total area, which is 16.33%. The low flood
zone covers 1701.70 ha (21.67%) of the study area with a
water level of 0.69 to 1 meter.
Causes of floods are due to natural factors such as heavy
rainfall, high floods, high tides, etc., and human factors such
as blocking of channels or aggravation of drainage channels,
dam failures improper land use, deforestation in headwater
regions, etc. Floods result in losses of life and damage to
properties. Population increase resultsinmoreurbanization,
more impervious areas andlessinfiltration,andgreaterflood
peak and runoff.
International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 09 Issue: 10 | Oct 2022 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
ยฉ 2022, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.529 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 304
Table -8: Flood zone area.
Sl.No Zone Class
Range of Water
level (In m)
Area
(Ha.)
Percentage
of total
arethe a
1 Low flood 0.69 - 1.00 1701.70 21.67
2 Medium flood 1.00 - 2.01 1282.23 16.33
3 High flood 2.01 - 9.05 4868.33 62.00
Total 7852.26 100
The total study area is categorized into three zones, low
flood, medium flood, and high flood according to flood
intensity. 4868.33 Ha, which is 62% of the total study area
was highly affected. The flood covered a 3 to 4 km distance
from the Chalakudy River. The water level reached a peak of
9.05 meters from ground level. The most affected areas are
those close to the river. The flooded areas with a water level
of about 1 to 2.01 come under medium flood and it covers
1282.23 ha of the total area, which is 16.33%. The low flood
zone covers 1701.70 ha(21.67%) of the study area with a
water level of 0.69 to 1 meter.
Causes of floods are due to natural factors such as heavy
rainfall, high floods, high tides, etc., and human factors such
as blocking of channels or aggravation of drainage channels,
dam failures improper land use, deforestation in headwater
regions, etc. Floods result in losses of life and damage to
properties. Population increase resultsinmoreurbanization,
more impervious areas andlessinfiltration,andgreaterflood
peak and runoff.
2.6 Built-up density and Earthquake vulnerability
analysis.
On 18 September 2007 at latitude 10.30 and longitude
76.34, there was an earthquake of magnitude 1.6. The
distances from epicenters to the spot are 6km and 4.8 km.
According to the Richter scale, 1.6 comes under micro
earthquake. There are two epicenters in the study area.
Quarries present in the vicinities of epicenters increase
the risk of earthquakes. Quarries are located at a distance of
5.4 km and 2.9 km from the epicenters. The removal of
material from the earth can cause instability, leading to
sudden collapses that trigger earthquakes.
The increased built-up density is one of the probablereasons
for earthquakes. In 2008, 117.89 ha of the total study area
was covered by built-ups. When it comes to 2018, built-ups
cover 338.42 ha of the total area. Therewasanearthquakein
2007 which means that the study area is vulnerable to
earthquakes. The unplanned expansion and development in
disaster-prone areasare thereasonfortheincreasedimpacts
of disasters.
3. CONCLUSIONS
Chalakudy has become a disaster-prone area
because of climatic events that happened in the past years.
The people living in this area have faced floods, destructive
wind, and high temperatures. According to the present
study, LULC changes play a major role. The decreased
amounts of wetlands increased the impact of floods.
Nowadays flash floods are very often due to poor drainage
systems. In the case of the appearance of strong wind, the
increasing amounts of human-made infrastructures play a
International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 09 Issue: 10 | Oct 2022 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
ยฉ 2022, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.529 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 305
major role. Anthropogenic materials such as concrete,glass,
etc. have high heat capacity. The urban heat island effect
forms a low pressure atop the urban area with higher
pressure in surrounding rural areas. The scenario might
cause low-level atmospheric convergence; which forces air
up into thunderstorms.
The study area was included in the high-impact zone of
cyclone Gaja in November 2018. It was dissipated but it
could damage the entire area.
In 2019 there were low flooding and strong wind in the
study area which mean these events are becoming part of
our life. They may get worse if we do not make decisions
about global warming and climate change.
Overall these climatic events are somehow related to LULC
changes. Now it is time to pay for what we did which made
all these happen. We must do things to retain the carbon
balance and reduce the impacts.
REFERENCES
[1] Ambika P. Gautam, Edward L. Webb and
ApisitEiumnoh(2002). GIS Assessment of Land
Use/Land Cover Changes Associated With Community
Forestry Implementation in the Middle Hills of Nepal
Mountain Research and Development. 22(1): 63โ€“69
[2] C.P. Rajendran, Biju John, K. Sreekumariand
KusalaRajendran. (2009). Reassessing the Earthquake
Hazard in Kerala Based on the Historical and Current
Seismicity.Journal Geological Society of India. 73: 785-
802
[3] G. Sreenivasulua1, N. Jayarajub, K. Kishorec and T.
Lakshmi prasadd.(2014). Landuse and landcover
analysis using remote sensing and gis: a case Study in
and around rajampet, kadapa district, andhrapradesh,
India. Indian J.Sci.Res. 8 (1): 123-129. ISSN: 0976
[4] H.S. Sudhira, T.V. Ramachandra andK.S.Jagadish.(2004).
Urban sprawl: metrics, dynamics and modelling using
GIS. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation
and Geoinformation.5: 29โ€“39
[5] John Rogana and DongMeiChenb.(2004). Remote
sensing technology for mapping and monitoring land-
cover and land-use change. Progress in Planning
61:301โ€“325
[6] N. C. Anil, G.JaiSankar, M. JagannadhaRao and
U.Sailaja.(2011). Studies on Land Use/Land Cover and
change detection from parts of South West Godavari
District, A.P โ€“ Using Remote Sensing and GIS
Techniques. 15: 187-194
[7] PandianMangan.(2014). Land use and land cover
change detection using remote sensing and gis in parts
of Coimbatore and Tiruppur districts,Tamil Nadu,India.
[8] Ramachandra T. V., Bharath H. Aithal and
DurgappaSanna D. (2012).Land Surface Temperature
Analysis in an Urbanising Landscape through Multi-
Resolution Data. Research & Reviews: Journal of Space
Science & Technology .1(1): 1-10

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EXTREME CLIMATIC EVENTS IN CHALAKKUDY TOWN, THRISSUR DISTRICT, KERALA.

  • 1. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056 Volume: 09 Issue: 10 | Oct 2022 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072 ยฉ 2022, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.529 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 299 EXTREME CLIMATIC EVENTS IN CHALAKKUDY TOWN, THRISSUR DISTRICT, KERALA. VIMOD K K1 & KRIPA MARIYA THOMAS2 1 Kerala Forest Research Institute. Peechi, Thrissur, Kerala, India 2 Department of Geology and Env Science, Christ college Irinjalakuda, Kerala, India ---------------------------------------------------------------------***--------------------------------------------------------------------- Abstract - In recent years mankind has faced the most disastrous climatic events such as high (and low) temperatures, very heavy rainfall, and very high wind speeds. The major reason behind all these events is the changes we made on the earthโ€™s surface. Increased anthropogenic activities and unscientific land use methods are collapsingthe natural land cover system. These Land cover and land use (LCLU) changes induced by human and naturalprocessesplay a major role in global as well as regional scale patterns of the climate and biogeochemistry of the Earth system. The present study involves the assessment of extreme climatic events in Chalakudy. The study area, Chalakudy isamunicipal town situated on the banks of the Chalakudy river in Thrissur District of the Kerala State in India. In recent years different regions of the study area have experienced extreme climatic events such as high temperatures, veryheavyrainfall, and very high wind speeds. On October 2nd, 2018 there was a destructive wind in Chalakudy town that ends with nonstop rain nearly for two hours. On August 15 and 16, 2018 there was heavy flooding in Chalakudy. Along with these extreme climatic events, studies have shown that the study area is vulnerable to earthquakes. On 18 September 2007, there was an earthquake of magnitude 1.6. Key Words: Geographic information system(GIS), Land Use Land Cover, NDVI, LST, LSE, ABT, etc. 1. INTRODUCTION These studies have shown that there remain only a few landscapes on Earth that are still in their natural state. Due to chiefly environmental pollution and pollutants activities, the Earth's surface is changing dramaticallyinsomewayand human presence on earth and its use ofland havea profound effect on the natural environment, thereby resulting in an observable pattern of land use/land cover over time. The study of land use/land cover (LULC) changes is very important for proper planning and utilization of natural resources and their management. Traditional methods for gathering demographic data, censuses, and analysis of environmental samples are not adequate for multicomplex environmental studies, since many problems are often presented in environmental issues and the great complexity of handling the multidisciplinary data set; we require new technologies like satellite remote sensing and Geographical Information Systems (GIS). These technologies providedata to study and monitor the dynamics of natural resources for environmental management. Remote sensing has become an important tool applicable to developing and understandingtheglobal,physical processes affecting the earth. GIS is an integrated system of computer hardware and software capable of capturing, storing, retrieving, manipulating, analyzing, and displaying geographically referenced (spatial) information to aid development-oriented management and decision-making processes. Remote sensing and GIS have covered a wide range of applications in the fields of agriculture, environments, and integrated eco-environmentassessment. Several researchers have focused on LU/LC studies because of their adverse effects on the ecology of the area and vegetation. Every year, disasters related to weather, climate, and water hazards cause significant loss of life and set back economic and social development over years. The term extreme weather event refers to an occurrenceofa valueofa weather or climate variable beyond a threshold that lies near the end of the range of observations for the variable. It is a weather event that is unusually intense or long, occasionally beyond what has been experienced before. Examples include very high (and low) temperatures, very heavy rainfall (and snowfall in cold climates), and very high wind speeds. The study involves the assessment of probable impacts of extreme climatic events in Chalakudy. 1.1 Study area Chalakudy isa municipal town,withapopulationofabout 50,000. It is located in the southern end of the Thrissur district in Kerala, India. Thearea islocatedbetweena titude f t d a gitude f t The study area is about 78 kmยฒ around Chalakudy town. The study has made use of various primary and secondary data. The Survey of India toposheet58 B/71at1:50,000scaleandsatelliteimageswere used in this study. Land surface temperature data were collected from Landsat 8. Field surveys were made for collecting details about floods. ArcGIS and QGIS were the software used.
  • 2. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056 Volume: 09 Issue: 10 | Oct 2022 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072 ยฉ 2022, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.529 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 300 Study area map Pagination anywhere in the paper. Do not number text heads-the template will do that for you. Finally, complete content and organizational editing before formatting. Please take note of the following items when proofreading spelling and grammar. 1.2 Preparation of Land Use / Land Cover. Using ArcGIS, the buffer zone of radius 5Km from Chalakudy town was marked. The Survey of India top sheet 58b71 at 1:50,000 scale is used to prepare a base map. QGIS is used for extracting the land use/ land cover layers, of the years 2008 and 2018 from satellite imageries. 1.3 Preparation of Land Surface Temperature. In the present study, TIR bands 10 and 11 were used to estimate brightness temperature, and bands 4 and 5 were used to generate NDVI of the study area. Satellite data over the Chalakudy region of March years 2016, 2017, 2018, and 2019 have been used in this study. Landsat 8 provides metadata of the bands such as thermal constant, rescaling factor value, etc., which can be used for CalculationslikeLST. 1.4 Preparation of Wind Hazards. The GPS locations of the affected areas were collected during the field survey. The affected regions were categorized into classes having descending values out of 10 according to wind intensity. The highly affected regions come under the value 10. 1.5 Preparation of Flood mapping. A survey of the flood was conducted to collectthewater levels. A flood intensity map was prepared using this data and according to flood intensity, the study area was classified into three zones, i.e. high flood zone,mediumflood zone, and low flood zone. 1.6 Preparation of earthquake mapping. The study of earthquakes in Kerala provided information about historical incidents. The studies have shown that there was an earthquake on 18 September 2007 and there are two epicenters within the boundary of the study area. The georeferenced locations were brought into the map layer in Arc GIS. 1.7 Preparation of earthquake mapping The area consumed by human-made infrastructures such as buildings, roads, railways, etc. were added to the map layer to create a built-up density map. It was made to analyze the earthquake vulnerability of the study area. 2. RESULT AND DISCUSSION 2.1 Land Use Land Cover Change Analysis 2008 to 2018. When it comes to 2018, the major changes have occurred in the classes of mixed cultivation, homestead with mixed cultivation, paddy field, major roads, and built. The change that s occurred in the mixed cultivation and paddy fields is noticeable. In 2008 the area covering mixed cultivation was about 3122.3ha which then declined to 1852.68ha in 2018. Paddy fields covered 1132.7ha of the total area in 2008 while it is only 848.16ha in 2018. This decline is associated with the conversion of paddy fields into coconut plantations and mixed cultivation. The increased population triggered the construction of homesteadsinvegetatedareas.Thereisa remarkable increase in the contribution of homesteads with mixed cultivation in 2018. HMC covered 2604.7ha of the total area in 2008 which then increased to 3828.77ha in 2018. In 2008 the contribution of built-ups was only 117.89ha which is 1.50% of the total area while it is about 338.42ha (4.31%) in 2018. Thesebuilt-upsareconcentrated in Chalakudy town In 2008 the area used by roads was 274.75ha (3.46%) which increased to 455.34ha (5.80%) in 2018. Another noticeable change is seen in the number of water bodies. The 83.38ha of water bodies reduced to 52.33ha in 2018.
  • 3. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056 Volume: 09 Issue: 10 | Oct 2022 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072 ยฉ 2022, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.529 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 301 Table -1: Land use land cover during 2008 Sl.No Category Area (Ha.) Percentage of total area 1 Built up 117.89 1.50 2 Major roads 274.75 3.46 3 Railway 10.64 0.18 4 Water body 83.38 1.06 5 River Waterbody 1.54 6 Riverbank 39.63 0.50 7 Open scrub 34.68 0.44 8 Ground 11.56 0.15 9 Mining 26.98 0.27 10 Paddy field 1132.7 14.43 11 Uncultivated paddy 29.14 0.37 12 Coconut plantation 242.7 3.09 13 Mixed cultivation 3122.3 39.76 14 Homestead with Mixed cultivation 2604.7 33.25 Total 7852.26 100.00 Table 2 : Land use land cover during 2018 Sl.No Category Area (Ha.) Percentage of total area 1 Built up 338.42 4.31 2 Major roads 455.34 5.80 3 Railway 10.64 0.14 4 Water body 52.33 0.67 5 River 128.62 1.64 6 Riverbank 24.3 0.31 7 Open scrub 32.5 0.41 8 Ground 12.5 0.16 9 Mining 27.96 0.36 10 Paddy field 848.16 10.80 11 Uncultivated paddy 121.39 1.55 12 Coconut plantation 118.65 1.51 13 Mixed cultivation 1852.68 23.59 14 Homestead with Mixed cultivation 3828.77 48.76 Total 7852.26 100.00 2.2 LST Analysis. Table -3: LST temperature ranges and areas for the month of March 2016 Sl.No Temperature (ยฐC) Area (Ha) Percentage (%) 1 23.42 - 25 165.66 2.11 2 25 - 30 1405.66 17.90 3 30 - 35 6257.17 79.69 4 35 - 38.43 23.77 0.30 Total 7852.26 100 LST temperature ranges and areas for the month of March. 2016 Table -4: LST temperature ranges and areas for the month of March 2017 Sl.No Temperature (ยฐC) Area (Ha) Percentage (%) 1 25.57 - 30 1023.69 13.04 2 30 - 35 6540.91 83.30 3 35 - 40.21 587.66 3.66 Total 7852.26 100
  • 4. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056 Volume: 09 Issue: 10 | Oct 2022 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072 ยฉ 2022, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.529 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 302 LST temperature ranges and areas for the month of March 2017. Table -5: LST temperature ranges and areas for the month of March 2018 Sl.No Temperature (ยฐC) Area (Ha) Percentage (%) 1 -22.13 - 0 1036.98 13.21 2 0 - 15 3857.09 49.12 3 15 - 20 1614.69 20.56 4 20 - 25 1178.04 15.00 5 25 - 30 161.87 2.06 6 30 - 31 3.59 0.05 Total 7852.26 100 LST temperature ranges and areas for the month of March 2018. Table -6: LST temperature ranges and areas for the month of March 2019 Sl.No Temperature (ยฐC) Area (Ha) Percentage (%) 1 29.04 - 30 51.18 0.65 2 30 - 35 7209.39 91.81 3 35 - 40 583.54 7.43 4 40 - 41.65 8.15 0.10 Total 7852.26 100 LST temperature ranges and areas for the month of March 2019. Table -7: LST analysis of the past 4 years. Sl N o Year Temperat ure 25หšC-30หšC Temperatur e 30หšC-35หšC Temperatu re 35หšC- 40หšC Tempe rature above 40หšC 1 2016 1405.66 6257.17 23.77 - 2 2017 1023.69 6540.91 587.66 - 3 2018 161.87 3.59 - - 4 2019 51.18 7209.39 583.54 8.15 The LULC analysis shows that there has been an increase in urban areas from 117.89 ha to 338.42 ha during the last decade. These land cover changes have also influenced the local climate. The areas having temperatures betwee C d C re i cre si g ver years.In2016itwas6257.17ha but in 2019 it is about 7209.39 ha area. Along with this change, the areas coming under the temperature between C d C re decre si g I the area comingunder this class was 1405.66 ha. In 2019 area decreased to 51.18 ha.
  • 5. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056 Volume: 09 Issue: 10 | Oct 2022 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072 ยฉ 2022, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.529 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 303 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 2016 2017 2018 2019 25หšC- 30หšC 30หšC- 35หšC Graphs of LST analysis of past 4 years. Apart from all other years, 2019 shows a new class of areas h vi g temper ture b ve C I cre sed LST i cert i urban pockets in comparisontotheirsurroundingsduetothe increase in paved surfaces is known as the urban heat island (UHI) phenomenon. A landscape of concrete, asphalt, and densely packed buildings can enhance heat. 2.3 Wind Hazard Analysis. Cities contribute to a number of several thatmightleadto more thunderstorm births or storm enhancement. The urban heat-island effect: A landscape of concrete, asphalt, anddenselypackedbuildingscanenhanceheat.Low- pressure forms atop the urban area with higher pressure in surrounding rural areas. The scenario might cause low-level atmospheric convergence; which forces air up into thunderstorms. Localized areas of upward moving air resulting from increased surface roughness. A cityscape modifies wind direction and speed, which might lead to enhanced convergence and thunderstorm formation. In 2008, 117.89 ha of the total study area was covered by built-ups. In 2018 built-ups cover 338.4coveredof the total area. It is a noticeable changeand it may be the reasonforthe unpredictable cyclone that occurred in Chalakudy town. 2.4 Flood Hazard Analysis. On August 15 and 16, there was heavy flooding in Chalakudy River as the dams in Tamil Nadu were opened releasing a huge amount of water to the river leading to the overflow of Peringalkuthu Dam upstream Athirappally Waterfalls. The water flows into the Peringalkuthu reservoir in Kerala from the Parambikulam and Tamil Nadu Sholayar dams resulting in the Chalakudy river overflowing and the town flooding. The Full Reservoir Level of theParambikulam dam was 1,825 feet. As the inflow to Parambikulam and Tamil Nadu Sholayar dams increased,thewaterwasreleased into the Peringalkuthu reservoir and onto the Chalakudy river. 35,000 cusecs of water were released from the Parambikulam dam and 30,000 cusecs from the Tamil Nadu Sholayar dam which flowed into the Chalakudy river. 2.5 Flood Zone Area. The total study area is categorized into three zones, low flood, medium flood, and high flood according to flood intensity. 4868.33 Ha, which is 62% of the total study area was highly affected. The flood covered a 3 to 4 km distance from the Chalakudy River. The water level reached a peak of 9.05 meters from ground level. The most affected areas are those close to the river. The flooded areas with a water level of about 1 to 2.01 come under medium flood and it covers 1282.23 ha of the total area, which is 16.33%. The low flood zone covers 1701.70 ha (21.67%) of the study area with a water level of 0.69 to 1 meter. Causes of floods are due to natural factors such as heavy rainfall, high floods, high tides, etc., and human factors such as blocking of channels or aggravation of drainage channels, dam failures improper land use, deforestation in headwater regions, etc. Floods result in losses of life and damage to properties. Population increase resultsinmoreurbanization, more impervious areas andlessinfiltration,andgreaterflood peak and runoff.
  • 6. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056 Volume: 09 Issue: 10 | Oct 2022 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072 ยฉ 2022, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.529 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 304 Table -8: Flood zone area. Sl.No Zone Class Range of Water level (In m) Area (Ha.) Percentage of total arethe a 1 Low flood 0.69 - 1.00 1701.70 21.67 2 Medium flood 1.00 - 2.01 1282.23 16.33 3 High flood 2.01 - 9.05 4868.33 62.00 Total 7852.26 100 The total study area is categorized into three zones, low flood, medium flood, and high flood according to flood intensity. 4868.33 Ha, which is 62% of the total study area was highly affected. The flood covered a 3 to 4 km distance from the Chalakudy River. The water level reached a peak of 9.05 meters from ground level. The most affected areas are those close to the river. The flooded areas with a water level of about 1 to 2.01 come under medium flood and it covers 1282.23 ha of the total area, which is 16.33%. The low flood zone covers 1701.70 ha(21.67%) of the study area with a water level of 0.69 to 1 meter. Causes of floods are due to natural factors such as heavy rainfall, high floods, high tides, etc., and human factors such as blocking of channels or aggravation of drainage channels, dam failures improper land use, deforestation in headwater regions, etc. Floods result in losses of life and damage to properties. Population increase resultsinmoreurbanization, more impervious areas andlessinfiltration,andgreaterflood peak and runoff. 2.6 Built-up density and Earthquake vulnerability analysis. On 18 September 2007 at latitude 10.30 and longitude 76.34, there was an earthquake of magnitude 1.6. The distances from epicenters to the spot are 6km and 4.8 km. According to the Richter scale, 1.6 comes under micro earthquake. There are two epicenters in the study area. Quarries present in the vicinities of epicenters increase the risk of earthquakes. Quarries are located at a distance of 5.4 km and 2.9 km from the epicenters. The removal of material from the earth can cause instability, leading to sudden collapses that trigger earthquakes. The increased built-up density is one of the probablereasons for earthquakes. In 2008, 117.89 ha of the total study area was covered by built-ups. When it comes to 2018, built-ups cover 338.42 ha of the total area. Therewasanearthquakein 2007 which means that the study area is vulnerable to earthquakes. The unplanned expansion and development in disaster-prone areasare thereasonfortheincreasedimpacts of disasters. 3. CONCLUSIONS Chalakudy has become a disaster-prone area because of climatic events that happened in the past years. The people living in this area have faced floods, destructive wind, and high temperatures. According to the present study, LULC changes play a major role. The decreased amounts of wetlands increased the impact of floods. Nowadays flash floods are very often due to poor drainage systems. In the case of the appearance of strong wind, the increasing amounts of human-made infrastructures play a
  • 7. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056 Volume: 09 Issue: 10 | Oct 2022 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072 ยฉ 2022, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.529 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 305 major role. Anthropogenic materials such as concrete,glass, etc. have high heat capacity. The urban heat island effect forms a low pressure atop the urban area with higher pressure in surrounding rural areas. The scenario might cause low-level atmospheric convergence; which forces air up into thunderstorms. The study area was included in the high-impact zone of cyclone Gaja in November 2018. It was dissipated but it could damage the entire area. In 2019 there were low flooding and strong wind in the study area which mean these events are becoming part of our life. They may get worse if we do not make decisions about global warming and climate change. Overall these climatic events are somehow related to LULC changes. Now it is time to pay for what we did which made all these happen. We must do things to retain the carbon balance and reduce the impacts. REFERENCES [1] Ambika P. Gautam, Edward L. Webb and ApisitEiumnoh(2002). GIS Assessment of Land Use/Land Cover Changes Associated With Community Forestry Implementation in the Middle Hills of Nepal Mountain Research and Development. 22(1): 63โ€“69 [2] C.P. Rajendran, Biju John, K. Sreekumariand KusalaRajendran. (2009). Reassessing the Earthquake Hazard in Kerala Based on the Historical and Current Seismicity.Journal Geological Society of India. 73: 785- 802 [3] G. Sreenivasulua1, N. Jayarajub, K. Kishorec and T. Lakshmi prasadd.(2014). Landuse and landcover analysis using remote sensing and gis: a case Study in and around rajampet, kadapa district, andhrapradesh, India. Indian J.Sci.Res. 8 (1): 123-129. ISSN: 0976 [4] H.S. Sudhira, T.V. Ramachandra andK.S.Jagadish.(2004). Urban sprawl: metrics, dynamics and modelling using GIS. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation.5: 29โ€“39 [5] John Rogana and DongMeiChenb.(2004). Remote sensing technology for mapping and monitoring land- cover and land-use change. Progress in Planning 61:301โ€“325 [6] N. C. Anil, G.JaiSankar, M. JagannadhaRao and U.Sailaja.(2011). Studies on Land Use/Land Cover and change detection from parts of South West Godavari District, A.P โ€“ Using Remote Sensing and GIS Techniques. 15: 187-194 [7] PandianMangan.(2014). Land use and land cover change detection using remote sensing and gis in parts of Coimbatore and Tiruppur districts,Tamil Nadu,India. [8] Ramachandra T. V., Bharath H. Aithal and DurgappaSanna D. (2012).Land Surface Temperature Analysis in an Urbanising Landscape through Multi- Resolution Data. Research & Reviews: Journal of Space Science & Technology .1(1): 1-10