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ECONOMICS
Foreign Exchange
Short revision series
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
 Popularly referred to as FOREX
 The conversion of one country’s currency
into that of another.
 It is the minimum number of units of one
country’s currency required to purchase one
unit of the other country’s currency.
Foreign exchange markets
 Place where foreign monies are bought and
sold
 It involves the buying of one currency and
selling of another simultaneously
 Exchange rates are determined here
 Has no geographical boundaries
Foreign exchange rate
 It is the rate at which one currency will be
exchanged for another in foreign exchange.
 It is also regarded as the value of one
country’s currency in terms of another
currency.
 Types
 There are 3 basic types:
1. Fixed rate
2. Floating rate
3. Managed rate
Fixed exchange rate
 It is the system of following a fixed rate for
converting currencies.
 In this system, the government intervenes in
the currency market in order to keep the
exchange rate close to a fixed target
 It does not allow major fluctuations from the
central rate.
Advantages/disadvantages of fixed
exchange rate.
 Advantages
 It provides stability of exchange rate
 Fixed rates provide greater certainty for
exporters and importers
 Disadvantages
 Too rigid
 Need large reserves to defend the fixed rate
and keep it from falling.
 May cause destabilizing speculations
Floating/Flexible exchange rate
 Under the flexible exchange rate system, the
rate of exchange is allowed to vary to suitthe
economic policies of the government.
 Flexible exchange rates are exchange rates
which fluctuate according to market forces.
 The value of the currency is determined
solely by forces of demand and supply in the
exchange market.
Advantages/disadvantages of
floating exchange rate
 Advanatages
1. Automatic adjustment for countries with a
large balance of payment deficit
2. Flexibility in determining interest rates
3. Allow countries to maintain independent
economic policies
4. Permit a smooth adjustment to external
shocks
5. Dont need to maintain large reserves to
maintain rates.
 Disadvantages
1. Flexible exchange rates are highly unstable
so that flows of foreign trade and
investment may be discouraged.
2. They can cause inflation.
Managed exchange rate
 Managed exchange rate systems permit the
government to place some influence on an
exchange rate that would otherwise be freely
floating.
 The exchange rate has attributes of both
systems
 Through such official interventions it is
possible to manage both fixed and floating
exchange rates.
Theories of exchange rate
1. Purchasing Power Parity Theory (PPP
theory)
2. The balance of Payment Theory
Purchasing Power Parity Theory
(PPP theory)
 Most widely accepted theory
 According to PPP theory, when exchange
rates are of a fluctuating nature, the rate of
exchange between two currencies in the long
run will be fixedby their respective purchsing
powers in their own nations
 i.e the price of a good that is charged in one
country should be equal to the one charged
for the same good in another country, being
exchanged at the current rate.
 This rule is also known as the law of one
price.
 It is an economic theory that estimates the
amount of adjustment needed on the
exchange rate between countries in order for
the exchange to be equivalent to each
currency’s purchasing power.
The balance of payment theory
 The balance of payments approach is another
method that explains what the factors are that
determine the supply and demand curves of a
country’s currency.
 As it is known from macroeconomics, the
balance of payments is a method of recording all
the international monetary transactions of a
country during a specific period of time.
 The transactions recorded are divided into four
categories: the current account transactions, the
capital account transactions, financial account
and the central bank transaction.
CURRENT ACCOUNT
export and import of goods &services
CAPITAL ACCOUNT
Capital transfers
FINANCIAL TRANSFERS
Foreign direct investment
Portfolio investment
RESERVEBANK TRANSACTIONS
DETERMINANTS OF FOREIGN
EXCHANGE RATE
1. Interest Rate
Whenever there is an increase interest rates in
domestic market there will be increase
investment funds causing a decrease in
demand for foreign currency and an increase
in supply of foreign currency.
2. Inflation Rate
when inflation increases there will be less
demand for local goods (decreased supply of
foreign currency) and more demand for foreign
goods (increased demand for foreign currency).
3. Government budget deficit or surplus
The market usually react negatively to widening
govt. budget deficits and positively to narrowing
budget deficits. This will result in change in the
value of countries currency.
4. Political conditions
Internal, regional and international political
conditions and events can have a profound
effect on currency market
END

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Foreignexchange

  • 2. FOREIGN EXCHANGE  Popularly referred to as FOREX  The conversion of one country’s currency into that of another.  It is the minimum number of units of one country’s currency required to purchase one unit of the other country’s currency.
  • 3. Foreign exchange markets  Place where foreign monies are bought and sold  It involves the buying of one currency and selling of another simultaneously  Exchange rates are determined here  Has no geographical boundaries
  • 4. Foreign exchange rate  It is the rate at which one currency will be exchanged for another in foreign exchange.  It is also regarded as the value of one country’s currency in terms of another currency.  Types  There are 3 basic types: 1. Fixed rate 2. Floating rate 3. Managed rate
  • 5. Fixed exchange rate  It is the system of following a fixed rate for converting currencies.  In this system, the government intervenes in the currency market in order to keep the exchange rate close to a fixed target  It does not allow major fluctuations from the central rate.
  • 6. Advantages/disadvantages of fixed exchange rate.  Advantages  It provides stability of exchange rate  Fixed rates provide greater certainty for exporters and importers  Disadvantages  Too rigid  Need large reserves to defend the fixed rate and keep it from falling.  May cause destabilizing speculations
  • 7. Floating/Flexible exchange rate  Under the flexible exchange rate system, the rate of exchange is allowed to vary to suitthe economic policies of the government.  Flexible exchange rates are exchange rates which fluctuate according to market forces.  The value of the currency is determined solely by forces of demand and supply in the exchange market.
  • 8. Advantages/disadvantages of floating exchange rate  Advanatages 1. Automatic adjustment for countries with a large balance of payment deficit 2. Flexibility in determining interest rates 3. Allow countries to maintain independent economic policies 4. Permit a smooth adjustment to external shocks 5. Dont need to maintain large reserves to maintain rates.
  • 9.  Disadvantages 1. Flexible exchange rates are highly unstable so that flows of foreign trade and investment may be discouraged. 2. They can cause inflation.
  • 10. Managed exchange rate  Managed exchange rate systems permit the government to place some influence on an exchange rate that would otherwise be freely floating.  The exchange rate has attributes of both systems  Through such official interventions it is possible to manage both fixed and floating exchange rates.
  • 11. Theories of exchange rate 1. Purchasing Power Parity Theory (PPP theory) 2. The balance of Payment Theory
  • 12. Purchasing Power Parity Theory (PPP theory)  Most widely accepted theory  According to PPP theory, when exchange rates are of a fluctuating nature, the rate of exchange between two currencies in the long run will be fixedby their respective purchsing powers in their own nations  i.e the price of a good that is charged in one country should be equal to the one charged for the same good in another country, being exchanged at the current rate.
  • 13.  This rule is also known as the law of one price.  It is an economic theory that estimates the amount of adjustment needed on the exchange rate between countries in order for the exchange to be equivalent to each currency’s purchasing power.
  • 14. The balance of payment theory  The balance of payments approach is another method that explains what the factors are that determine the supply and demand curves of a country’s currency.  As it is known from macroeconomics, the balance of payments is a method of recording all the international monetary transactions of a country during a specific period of time.  The transactions recorded are divided into four categories: the current account transactions, the capital account transactions, financial account and the central bank transaction.
  • 15. CURRENT ACCOUNT export and import of goods &services CAPITAL ACCOUNT Capital transfers FINANCIAL TRANSFERS Foreign direct investment Portfolio investment RESERVEBANK TRANSACTIONS
  • 16. DETERMINANTS OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATE 1. Interest Rate Whenever there is an increase interest rates in domestic market there will be increase investment funds causing a decrease in demand for foreign currency and an increase in supply of foreign currency. 2. Inflation Rate when inflation increases there will be less demand for local goods (decreased supply of foreign currency) and more demand for foreign goods (increased demand for foreign currency).
  • 17. 3. Government budget deficit or surplus The market usually react negatively to widening govt. budget deficits and positively to narrowing budget deficits. This will result in change in the value of countries currency. 4. Political conditions Internal, regional and international political conditions and events can have a profound effect on currency market
  • 18. END