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DEFINITION 
• In finance, an exchange rate (also known as a foreign-exchange 
rate, forex rate, FX rate or Agio) between 
two currencies is the rate at which one currency will be 
exchanged for another 
• It is the minimum number of units of one countries 
currency required to purchase one unit of the other 
countries currency.
Why do we need it? 
• To pay the country from which the goods are imported. 
• Different countries have different currencies with 
different values. 
• Example: America - Dollar, Japan - Yen 
China – Yuan, Yaman – Rial, etc 
• Currency of one country is not acceptable in another.
Different Currencies
FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET 
• Also called “FOREX” market. 
• It is the place were foreign moneys are bought and sold. 
• It involves the buying of one currency and selling of 
another currency simultaneously. 
• Exchange rates are determined here. 
• No geographical boundaries.
STRUCTURE OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET
FUNCTIONS OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET 
• To transfer funds from one country to 
another 
• To provide short term credit to 
importers 
• To stabilize foreign exchange rate
TYPES OF MARKET 
• Two types of market: 
•Spot Market 
•Forward Market
SPOT MARKET 
• Transaction time of 2 days 
• Spot Transaction 
• Spot Exchange Rate
FORWARD MARKET 
• Transaction time of more than 90 days 
• Forward Transaction 
• Forward Exchange Rate
FACTORS AFFECTING THE EXCHANGE RATE 
• Differentials in Inflation 
• Differentials in interest rates 
• Current account deficits 
• Public Debt 
• Terms of trade 
• Political stability and Economic Performance
Differentials in Inflation 
• Lower inflation exhibits rising currency value 
• Purchasing power increases
Differentials in Interest Rates 
• Interest rates, inflation and exchange rates co-related 
• Higher interest rates means higher exchange rate
Current Account Deficits 
• Balance of trade 
• Country spends more on foreign trade than its earning 
• Excess foreign currency demands decreases exchange 
rate
Public Debt 
• Countries with large public deficits and debts are less 
attractive to foreign investors 
• If governments prints money, it causes inflation and 
decrease in exchange rate
Terms of Trade 
• More exports than imports means improved terms of 
trade
Political Stability and Economic Performance 
• Foreign investors seeks countries with strong economy 
• Political turmoil can be dangerous
Theories of exchange rate determination 
• Meaning: 
Theories which determine the prices of forex rate 
considering inflation, interest rate, and elasticity of price 
etc.. 
Methods: 
a) Short run theory 
b) Long run theory
Short Run Theory 
• This theories are based more on current information or 
immediate performance of economic variables. 
• This theories try to take into account the short run factor 
which may be eliminated in the long run.
Long Run Theory 
•This are the theories which predominately take into account the 
fundamental changes of economy. 
•Here fundamental changes refers to the change which are going to 
change the economic performance of the economy Purchasing power 
for all times to come. 
Types of theory: 
Purchasing power parity. 
•1) Absolute purchasing power parity. 
•2) Relative purchasing power parity. 
Interest Rate parity 
•1) Covered Interest Rate parity 
•2) UnCovered Interest Rate parity
Purchasing Power Parity Theory 
Founder –Swedish economist Gustav Cassel in 1918. 
•Meaning : According to this theory ,the price levels and 
the changes in these price levels in different countries 
determine the exchanges rates of these countries 
currencies. 
•The basic principle of this theory is that the exchange 
rates between various currencies reflect the purchasing 
power of these currencies .This theory is based law of one 
price.
Absolute form of PPP Theory 
•If the law of one price were to hold good for each and 
every commodity then the theory is termed as Absolute 
form of PPP Theory. 
•This theory describes the link between the spot exchange 
rate and price levels at a particular point of time
Relative form of PPP 
• This theory describes the link between the changes in 
spot exchange rate and in the price levels over a period 
of time. 
• According to this theory ,changes in spot rates over a 
period of time reflect the changes in the price level over 
the same period in the concerned economies. 
• This theory relaxes three assumptions of PPP ie Absences 
of transportation cost ,transaction costs and tarriffs.
Interest Rate Parity Theory 
• Definition : 
The process that ensures that the annualized forward premium 
or discount equals the interest rate differential on 
equivalent securities in two currencies. 
It represents an equilibrium state under which investers will be 
indifferent to interest rates available on bank deposits in 2 
countries 
• International Fisher effect 
• Expected Rate of change = Interest rate of the exchange rate 
differential 
• Interest Rate = Real Interest Expected Differential Rate + 
inflation rate
Interest Rate parity 
•1) Covered Interest Rate parity 
•2) UnCovered Interest Rate parity
PERSISTANT DECLINE IN RUPEE 
• Imports becoming costlier 
• Imports extensive country 
• Drives away foreign investors
Factors affecting the fluctuation in exchange rate of Indian Rupee 
• Using FOREX reserve 
• Interest Rate 
• Balance Of Trade 
• Foreign Debt
CONCLUSION
THANK YOU!!

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Exchange Rate Definition and Determination

  • 1.
  • 2. DEFINITION • In finance, an exchange rate (also known as a foreign-exchange rate, forex rate, FX rate or Agio) between two currencies is the rate at which one currency will be exchanged for another • It is the minimum number of units of one countries currency required to purchase one unit of the other countries currency.
  • 3. Why do we need it? • To pay the country from which the goods are imported. • Different countries have different currencies with different values. • Example: America - Dollar, Japan - Yen China – Yuan, Yaman – Rial, etc • Currency of one country is not acceptable in another.
  • 5. FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET • Also called “FOREX” market. • It is the place were foreign moneys are bought and sold. • It involves the buying of one currency and selling of another currency simultaneously. • Exchange rates are determined here. • No geographical boundaries.
  • 6. STRUCTURE OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET
  • 7. FUNCTIONS OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET • To transfer funds from one country to another • To provide short term credit to importers • To stabilize foreign exchange rate
  • 8. TYPES OF MARKET • Two types of market: •Spot Market •Forward Market
  • 9. SPOT MARKET • Transaction time of 2 days • Spot Transaction • Spot Exchange Rate
  • 10. FORWARD MARKET • Transaction time of more than 90 days • Forward Transaction • Forward Exchange Rate
  • 11. FACTORS AFFECTING THE EXCHANGE RATE • Differentials in Inflation • Differentials in interest rates • Current account deficits • Public Debt • Terms of trade • Political stability and Economic Performance
  • 12. Differentials in Inflation • Lower inflation exhibits rising currency value • Purchasing power increases
  • 13. Differentials in Interest Rates • Interest rates, inflation and exchange rates co-related • Higher interest rates means higher exchange rate
  • 14. Current Account Deficits • Balance of trade • Country spends more on foreign trade than its earning • Excess foreign currency demands decreases exchange rate
  • 15. Public Debt • Countries with large public deficits and debts are less attractive to foreign investors • If governments prints money, it causes inflation and decrease in exchange rate
  • 16. Terms of Trade • More exports than imports means improved terms of trade
  • 17. Political Stability and Economic Performance • Foreign investors seeks countries with strong economy • Political turmoil can be dangerous
  • 18. Theories of exchange rate determination • Meaning: Theories which determine the prices of forex rate considering inflation, interest rate, and elasticity of price etc.. Methods: a) Short run theory b) Long run theory
  • 19. Short Run Theory • This theories are based more on current information or immediate performance of economic variables. • This theories try to take into account the short run factor which may be eliminated in the long run.
  • 20. Long Run Theory •This are the theories which predominately take into account the fundamental changes of economy. •Here fundamental changes refers to the change which are going to change the economic performance of the economy Purchasing power for all times to come. Types of theory: Purchasing power parity. •1) Absolute purchasing power parity. •2) Relative purchasing power parity. Interest Rate parity •1) Covered Interest Rate parity •2) UnCovered Interest Rate parity
  • 21. Purchasing Power Parity Theory Founder –Swedish economist Gustav Cassel in 1918. •Meaning : According to this theory ,the price levels and the changes in these price levels in different countries determine the exchanges rates of these countries currencies. •The basic principle of this theory is that the exchange rates between various currencies reflect the purchasing power of these currencies .This theory is based law of one price.
  • 22. Absolute form of PPP Theory •If the law of one price were to hold good for each and every commodity then the theory is termed as Absolute form of PPP Theory. •This theory describes the link between the spot exchange rate and price levels at a particular point of time
  • 23. Relative form of PPP • This theory describes the link between the changes in spot exchange rate and in the price levels over a period of time. • According to this theory ,changes in spot rates over a period of time reflect the changes in the price level over the same period in the concerned economies. • This theory relaxes three assumptions of PPP ie Absences of transportation cost ,transaction costs and tarriffs.
  • 24. Interest Rate Parity Theory • Definition : The process that ensures that the annualized forward premium or discount equals the interest rate differential on equivalent securities in two currencies. It represents an equilibrium state under which investers will be indifferent to interest rates available on bank deposits in 2 countries • International Fisher effect • Expected Rate of change = Interest rate of the exchange rate differential • Interest Rate = Real Interest Expected Differential Rate + inflation rate
  • 25. Interest Rate parity •1) Covered Interest Rate parity •2) UnCovered Interest Rate parity
  • 26.
  • 27. PERSISTANT DECLINE IN RUPEE • Imports becoming costlier • Imports extensive country • Drives away foreign investors
  • 28. Factors affecting the fluctuation in exchange rate of Indian Rupee • Using FOREX reserve • Interest Rate • Balance Of Trade • Foreign Debt