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#18MCSummit
Trends in Financing Agriculture
Massimo Pera, Rural Finance Officer, FAO
Abu Dhabi, 15 March 2016
3/23/2016 23/23/2016 2
#18MCSummit
The Agribusiness Sector is Effectively
Responding to an Expanding Global
Demand
1000
500
0
1500
3500
3000
2500
2000
Supply
Demand
Source: WASDE, USDA
2500
2000
1500
3500
3000
World total demand and supply of grains and oils seeds (in trillions of MT)
3/23/2016 33/23/2016 3
#18MCSummit
The reactive increase in supply has
been similar across the world
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
1400000
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Source: FAOSTAT
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
180000
200000
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Asia Latin America
Africa
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Cereals
Fruits and vegetables
Meats
Total production of different commodities in Asia, LAC and Africa (in thousands of MT)
3/23/2016 43/23/2016 4
#18MCSummit
Some agricultural products are
increasing in value more than others
Total export value of different commodities in Asia, LAC and Africa (in millions of USD)
Source: FAOSTAT
Asia Latin America
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Africa
Cereals
Fruits and vegetables
Meats
3/23/2016 53/23/2016 5
#18MCSummit
A critical determinant has been
long-term investment in agriculture
Agricultural capital stock in Asia, LAC andAfrica (in million of 2005 USD)
Source: FAOSTAT
Asia Latin America and the Caribbean
Africa
680000
700000
720000
740000
760000
780000
800000
820000
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
1700000
1750000
1800000
1850000
1900000
1950000
2000000
2050000
2100000
2150000
2200000
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
3/23/2016 63/23/2016 6
#18MCSummit
Who has financed the rise in
agricultural investments and how?
Source:ODI, 2012
3/23/2016 73/23/2016 7
#18MCSummit
Formal Financial Sector Plays a Minor Role
in Rural and Agricultural Finance
Percentage of Rural People Making Use of Financial Services in Rural Areas, 2014
East and South AsiaAfrica
LAC
3/23/2016 83/23/2016 8
#18MCSummit
East and South AsiaAfrica
LAC
Ag. credit as a share of total credit vs. ag. GDP as a share of total GDP for select countries (2010)
0 10 20 30 40
Cambo…
Pakistan
Vanuatu
Bangla…
Bhutan
Indone…
Sri Lanka
Thailand
Philippi…
Samoa
Maldives
Korea,…
6,06
8,5
0,0 5,0 10,0 15,0 20,0 25,0 30,0 35,0
México
Perú
Rep. Dominicana
Colombia
Panamá
Costa Rica
El Salvador
Honduras
Guatemala
Bolivia
Ecuador
Chile
Brasil
Argentina
Nicaragua
Uruguay
Venezuela
Paraguay
LAC / Promedio
América Latina y el Caribe: Porcentaje del PIB agropecuario respecto al PIB
total y del crédito agropecuario respecto del crédito total
Cartera agropecuaria /
Cartera total bruta (%)
2010
PIB agropecuario / PIB
total (%) 2010
0 10 20 30 40 50
Ethiopia
Burundi
Malawi
Tanzania
Kenya
Nigeria
Namibia
Seyche…

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Massimo Pera, FAO, Italy, Introduction: Innovating Agricultural Solutions to Meet Smallholder Needs

  • 1. 3/23/2016 1 #18MCSummit Trends in Financing Agriculture Massimo Pera, Rural Finance Officer, FAO Abu Dhabi, 15 March 2016
  • 2. 3/23/2016 23/23/2016 2 #18MCSummit The Agribusiness Sector is Effectively Responding to an Expanding Global Demand 1000 500 0 1500 3500 3000 2500 2000 Supply Demand Source: WASDE, USDA 2500 2000 1500 3500 3000 World total demand and supply of grains and oils seeds (in trillions of MT)
  • 3. 3/23/2016 33/23/2016 3 #18MCSummit The reactive increase in supply has been similar across the world 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000 1400000 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: FAOSTAT 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000 160000 180000 200000 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Asia Latin America Africa 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Cereals Fruits and vegetables Meats Total production of different commodities in Asia, LAC and Africa (in thousands of MT)
  • 4. 3/23/2016 43/23/2016 4 #18MCSummit Some agricultural products are increasing in value more than others Total export value of different commodities in Asia, LAC and Africa (in millions of USD) Source: FAOSTAT Asia Latin America 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Africa Cereals Fruits and vegetables Meats
  • 5. 3/23/2016 53/23/2016 5 #18MCSummit A critical determinant has been long-term investment in agriculture Agricultural capital stock in Asia, LAC andAfrica (in million of 2005 USD) Source: FAOSTAT Asia Latin America and the Caribbean Africa 680000 700000 720000 740000 760000 780000 800000 820000 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 1700000 1750000 1800000 1850000 1900000 1950000 2000000 2050000 2100000 2150000 2200000 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
  • 6. 3/23/2016 63/23/2016 6 #18MCSummit Who has financed the rise in agricultural investments and how? Source:ODI, 2012
  • 7. 3/23/2016 73/23/2016 7 #18MCSummit Formal Financial Sector Plays a Minor Role in Rural and Agricultural Finance Percentage of Rural People Making Use of Financial Services in Rural Areas, 2014 East and South AsiaAfrica LAC
  • 8. 3/23/2016 83/23/2016 8 #18MCSummit East and South AsiaAfrica LAC Ag. credit as a share of total credit vs. ag. GDP as a share of total GDP for select countries (2010) 0 10 20 30 40 Cambo… Pakistan Vanuatu Bangla… Bhutan Indone… Sri Lanka Thailand Philippi… Samoa Maldives Korea,… 6,06 8,5 0,0 5,0 10,0 15,0 20,0 25,0 30,0 35,0 México Perú Rep. Dominicana Colombia Panamá Costa Rica El Salvador Honduras Guatemala Bolivia Ecuador Chile Brasil Argentina Nicaragua Uruguay Venezuela Paraguay LAC / Promedio América Latina y el Caribe: Porcentaje del PIB agropecuario respecto al PIB total y del crédito agropecuario respecto del crédito total Cartera agropecuaria / Cartera total bruta (%) 2010 PIB agropecuario / PIB total (%) 2010 0 10 20 30 40 50 Ethiopia Burundi Malawi Tanzania Kenya Nigeria Namibia Seyche…